<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>kmonsen</author><text>I think May 15 is a bit early, but if you say for example 4th of July I think you are correct. At least by that date everyone who wants a vaccine in the US should be able to get it. And they do work incredibly well, enough to lift all restrictions and even start traveling again. I fully expect to be able to go home to Europe to visit family and have some vacation by the end of the summer.</text><parent_chain><item><author>chmod600</author><text>Does anyone expect covid to be a significant cause of death in the US past, say, May 15? I guess if we get another wave very soon, maybe it could persist. But it just seems like this is on its way out between organic immunity and vaccine immunity (especially because the latter was focused on the vulnerable).&lt;p&gt;I&amp;#x27;m not an expert, so don&amp;#x27;t take this as advice to go coughing on everyone. But we all have to make some decisions based on imperfect information and it seems like covid is nearly knocked out.&lt;p&gt;There is some concern over another wave, but it might just be minor cases from unvaccinated young people. That hopefully won&amp;#x27;t lead to a lot more deaths.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Pfizer 91% effective in updated data, protective against South African variant</title><url>https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN2BO55Y</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>roywiggins</author><text>We are already seeing the beginning of a new wave in Michigan.&lt;p&gt;&amp;gt; But she said the most significant increase in hospitalizations in the state is in people in their 50s, a group still at risk of becoming severely ill or dying from Covid-19. Younger people have driven the rapid increase in cases recently, she said, including high school students who participate in sports and have contracted the virus through those activities.&lt;p&gt;&amp;gt; “I do think this could be the beginning of a third surge,” Dr. Khaldun said, after an initial rush of cases in Michigan last March and April, followed by a surge in October and November. “I am concerned. But I also think there are things that we can do today that will start to turn that curve down.”&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.nytimes.com&amp;#x2F;2021&amp;#x2F;04&amp;#x2F;01&amp;#x2F;us&amp;#x2F;michigan-covid-outbreak.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.nytimes.com&amp;#x2F;2021&amp;#x2F;04&amp;#x2F;01&amp;#x2F;us&amp;#x2F;michigan-covid-outbrea...&lt;/a&gt;</text><parent_chain><item><author>chmod600</author><text>Does anyone expect covid to be a significant cause of death in the US past, say, May 15? I guess if we get another wave very soon, maybe it could persist. But it just seems like this is on its way out between organic immunity and vaccine immunity (especially because the latter was focused on the vulnerable).&lt;p&gt;I&amp;#x27;m not an expert, so don&amp;#x27;t take this as advice to go coughing on everyone. But we all have to make some decisions based on imperfect information and it seems like covid is nearly knocked out.&lt;p&gt;There is some concern over another wave, but it might just be minor cases from unvaccinated young people. That hopefully won&amp;#x27;t lead to a lot more deaths.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Pfizer 91% effective in updated data, protective against South African variant</title><url>https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN2BO55Y</url></story>