<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>pclmulqdq</author><text>This is, I think, the single biggest factor in the proliferation of cheating.  Most cheaters are smart enough to do the math on how they should win at the sport, or is smart enough to hire someone who can do the math.  In other words, cheaters are rational actors.&lt;p&gt;Allowing people back into the sport swings the EV math heavily in favor of cheating if the penalty isn&amp;#x27;t massive given that the chance of getting caught is so low (as long as you know what you&amp;#x27;re doing).  The only way to make the EV of cheating negative is to make the sanction very, very bad.  Losing all of your future earnings from the sport is a good way to do that.&lt;p&gt;I used to run Magic: the Gathering tournaments, and there was a tremendous amount of &amp;quot;minor&amp;quot; cheating - forgetting the rules when it benefits them, shuffling in suspicious ways, peeking at opponents decks, etc.  Many competitive players even openly admitted to doing this.  Even if a tournament official could call them on the cheating and disqualify them (which was frowned upon without hard evidence), they would likely not be suspended from sanctioned play at all unless the evidence was overwhelming.  Several famous cheaters did it many times and got caught several times.  Minor cheating was very common as a result.</text><parent_chain><item><author>j-krieger</author><text>The fact that an athlete in a competitive sport was allowed to partake in an event even after admitting to cheating not only once, but twice, is outrageous in itself.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Chess Investigation Finds U.S. Grandmaster ‘Likely Cheated’ More Than 100 Times</title><url>https://www.wsj.com/articles/chess-cheating-hans-niemann-report-magnus-carlsen-11664911524</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>antiterra</author><text>The admissions were from when he was 12 and 16; many so societies generally believe in redemption from childhood transgressions.</text><parent_chain><item><author>j-krieger</author><text>The fact that an athlete in a competitive sport was allowed to partake in an event even after admitting to cheating not only once, but twice, is outrageous in itself.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Chess Investigation Finds U.S. Grandmaster ‘Likely Cheated’ More Than 100 Times</title><url>https://www.wsj.com/articles/chess-cheating-hans-niemann-report-magnus-carlsen-11664911524</url></story>