<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>xadhominemx</author><text>The longer time goes on, the more rare records should become. But record highs are becoming more common</text><parent_chain><item><author>teekert</author><text>There is that and then there is the fact that measuring for increasingly longer time periods will give you more and more extremes.&lt;p&gt;With two dice you usually start by rolling some 7&amp;#x27;s, a 10, etc. Then after many tries you will have rolled a 2 and a 12.&lt;p&gt;Edit: Note that this is not me saying I don&amp;#x27;t believe in climate change people!</text></item><item><author>Gravityloss</author><text>Over 10 years ago, James Hansen called future extreme events &amp;quot;Rolling a Thirteen&amp;quot;. You were suspecting the two dice you were rolling were not regular anymore, because the average had crept upwards, but after rolling a thirteen, you know.&lt;p&gt;EDIT: It seems to actually have been Steven Sherwood in 2010. &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;greenfyre.wordpress.com&amp;#x2F;2010&amp;#x2F;08&amp;#x2F;21&amp;#x2F;tumblin-dice&amp;#x2F;&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;greenfyre.wordpress.com&amp;#x2F;2010&amp;#x2F;08&amp;#x2F;21&amp;#x2F;tumblin-dice&amp;#x2F;&lt;/a&gt;</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Canada weather: Dozens dead as heatwave shatters records</title><url>https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-57654133</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>blackbrokkoli</author><text>Yes, but we have an awful lot of new high points in recent times.&lt;p&gt;The earth is quite a big place and we are recording temperatures quite detailed since the 1850ies, so if we are accepting the null hypotheses of there not being a rise in averages, stochastic is rearing it&amp;#x27;s ugly head quite a bit since the early two-thousands...</text><parent_chain><item><author>teekert</author><text>There is that and then there is the fact that measuring for increasingly longer time periods will give you more and more extremes.&lt;p&gt;With two dice you usually start by rolling some 7&amp;#x27;s, a 10, etc. Then after many tries you will have rolled a 2 and a 12.&lt;p&gt;Edit: Note that this is not me saying I don&amp;#x27;t believe in climate change people!</text></item><item><author>Gravityloss</author><text>Over 10 years ago, James Hansen called future extreme events &amp;quot;Rolling a Thirteen&amp;quot;. You were suspecting the two dice you were rolling were not regular anymore, because the average had crept upwards, but after rolling a thirteen, you know.&lt;p&gt;EDIT: It seems to actually have been Steven Sherwood in 2010. &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;greenfyre.wordpress.com&amp;#x2F;2010&amp;#x2F;08&amp;#x2F;21&amp;#x2F;tumblin-dice&amp;#x2F;&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;greenfyre.wordpress.com&amp;#x2F;2010&amp;#x2F;08&amp;#x2F;21&amp;#x2F;tumblin-dice&amp;#x2F;&lt;/a&gt;</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Canada weather: Dozens dead as heatwave shatters records</title><url>https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-57654133</url></story>