<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>njarboe</author><text>I would like to read a good book on this issue. Any recommendations? Preferably a book written by an historian.&lt;p&gt;My current understanding is that the economics did not work out because: power company borrows x billion in capital to build a nuclear power plant, interest rates in the 80&amp;#x27;s are in the double digits, activists tie up the startup of the power plant for 5-10 years doubling the cost due to interest, power company finally drops starting the plant altogether and the public eats the loss.&lt;p&gt;Of course there are all sorts of complications to what really happened, like power consumption rates going up like crazy while AC is adopted and power companies thinking that the trend would continue forever, which didn&amp;#x27;t happen.&lt;p&gt;Have something you want to believe and you can find a narrative to fit it. This is a really hard trap to avoid and I&amp;#x27;m sure I fall in it often.</text><parent_chain><item><author>epistasis</author><text>I used to think the same thing, that it was supposedly environmental groups that stopped nuclear.&lt;p&gt;However, after investigating the history more closely, it appears that nuclear construction projects were boondoggles even before Three Mile Island. Economics, not activism, is what killed nuclear in the US.&lt;p&gt;Nuclear has always been marketed under a lie, that its cheap, and perhaps too cheap to meter. In reality, well engineered projects are insanely complex, requiring huge material and labor costs during construction. And then there&amp;#x27;s maintenance.&lt;p&gt;People always talk about regulations driving up costs for nuclear, but they never talk about inappropriate regulations that drive up costs, meaning that the high costs are necessary.&lt;p&gt;And when you think about the design of the things, there&amp;#x27;s no reason to think it should be cheap: the nuclear is merely a heat source, which still requires the massive amount of machinery needed for steam turbines. The only part of the thing that&amp;#x27;s potentially cheaper is fuel, but to handle that fuel you&amp;#x27;ve got to have massively engineering and equipment efforts.&lt;p&gt;This history of nuclear is always glossed over by its boosters. It&amp;#x27;s really expensive, and if we didn&amp;#x27;t have better options now, we should build it anyway. And we &lt;i&gt;should&lt;/i&gt; have built a lot during the 80s like France did.&lt;p&gt;But today, grid storage is far cheaper than nuclear, and it makes no sense at all to ever build a new nuclear plant. Let&amp;#x27;s keep existing ones running until they&amp;#x27;re replaced with other carbon free sources, but for new investment, current nuclear tech is dead. New SMR, maybe maybe some day if it&amp;#x27;s cheap, but we shall see in a few decades, it&amp;#x27;s not available today like storage, wind, water, and solar are.</text></item><item><author>njarboe</author><text>It is really a shame that nuclear power was demonized so early in its technological development by the same people and groups that are now advocating drastic reductions in fossil fuel consumption. It&amp;#x27;s not like global warming was not understood in 1980. If society had another 40 years of nuclear tech advancement under its belt, I&amp;#x27;m sure China and India would be installing massive nuclear power infrastructure instead of a coal burning power plant a week (and India is just getting started).</text></item><item><author>kimikelku</author><text>In 20 years the changes are huge.
Seeing the data in this perspective is really scary, I don&amp;#x27;t understand how can there be countries ignoring this.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Temperature Anomalies by Country 1880-2017</title><url>https://www.flickr.com/photos/150411108@N06/30562013098/in/photostream/</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>bjourne</author><text>Case in point - the bankruptcy of Westinghouse. Caused by economics not environmentalists.</text><parent_chain><item><author>epistasis</author><text>I used to think the same thing, that it was supposedly environmental groups that stopped nuclear.&lt;p&gt;However, after investigating the history more closely, it appears that nuclear construction projects were boondoggles even before Three Mile Island. Economics, not activism, is what killed nuclear in the US.&lt;p&gt;Nuclear has always been marketed under a lie, that its cheap, and perhaps too cheap to meter. In reality, well engineered projects are insanely complex, requiring huge material and labor costs during construction. And then there&amp;#x27;s maintenance.&lt;p&gt;People always talk about regulations driving up costs for nuclear, but they never talk about inappropriate regulations that drive up costs, meaning that the high costs are necessary.&lt;p&gt;And when you think about the design of the things, there&amp;#x27;s no reason to think it should be cheap: the nuclear is merely a heat source, which still requires the massive amount of machinery needed for steam turbines. The only part of the thing that&amp;#x27;s potentially cheaper is fuel, but to handle that fuel you&amp;#x27;ve got to have massively engineering and equipment efforts.&lt;p&gt;This history of nuclear is always glossed over by its boosters. It&amp;#x27;s really expensive, and if we didn&amp;#x27;t have better options now, we should build it anyway. And we &lt;i&gt;should&lt;/i&gt; have built a lot during the 80s like France did.&lt;p&gt;But today, grid storage is far cheaper than nuclear, and it makes no sense at all to ever build a new nuclear plant. Let&amp;#x27;s keep existing ones running until they&amp;#x27;re replaced with other carbon free sources, but for new investment, current nuclear tech is dead. New SMR, maybe maybe some day if it&amp;#x27;s cheap, but we shall see in a few decades, it&amp;#x27;s not available today like storage, wind, water, and solar are.</text></item><item><author>njarboe</author><text>It is really a shame that nuclear power was demonized so early in its technological development by the same people and groups that are now advocating drastic reductions in fossil fuel consumption. It&amp;#x27;s not like global warming was not understood in 1980. If society had another 40 years of nuclear tech advancement under its belt, I&amp;#x27;m sure China and India would be installing massive nuclear power infrastructure instead of a coal burning power plant a week (and India is just getting started).</text></item><item><author>kimikelku</author><text>In 20 years the changes are huge.
Seeing the data in this perspective is really scary, I don&amp;#x27;t understand how can there be countries ignoring this.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Temperature Anomalies by Country 1880-2017</title><url>https://www.flickr.com/photos/150411108@N06/30562013098/in/photostream/</url></story>