<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>motohagiography</author><text>&amp;quot;Jumpers,&amp;quot; as described mostly just lacked a fear of consequences of being wrong and were presented with an incentive to guess. Not to be conspiratorial, but one can&amp;#x27;t help but notice a recent preoccupation in mainstream outlets with pathologizing conspiracy theorists, dissenters, and now, &amp;quot;jumpers.&amp;quot;&lt;p&gt;Referencing Khaneman and Tversky&amp;#x27;s &amp;quot;system 1 and system 2&amp;quot; from their bestseller Thinking Fast and Slow without crediting it seems to be more about avoiding the scrutiny that would draw, and instead, appearing authoritative with statements about how ancient psychological researchers commonly distinguish between these types of thought. We should even be concerned someone who could be a &amp;quot;jumper,&amp;quot; may also have schizophrenia, as our thinking may have applications to that.&lt;p&gt;Maybe it&amp;#x27;s interesting, or maybe on closer inspection and thoughtful consideration it resembles propaganda to ignore your instincts, trust the narrative, and provides blunt tools for being  suspicious of others who don&amp;#x27;t.  If only most people were smart and comfortable enough to jump to conclusions and then course correct as needed, we could avoid the consequences of  groupthink by those who fear criticism above all.</text><parent_chain></parent_chain></comment><story><title>People who jump to conclusions show other kinds of thinking errors</title><url>https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/people-who-jump-to-conclusions-show-other-kinds-of-thinking-errors/</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>anovikov</author><text>Haha i am a person who jumps to conclusions, and i actually bought my most recent car after 1.5 visits to dealerships (i tried BMW but the dealer was rude to me so i left before i actually found out anything, and went straight to Volvo and i am super happy with my new S60). So i think i am qualified for an opinion :D&lt;p&gt;One thing that hits me is conspiracy theories. Although i am not buying into any of the currently circulating ones (covid deliberately invented by Chinese, mind control chips and 5G, faked Moon landings), i understand people who do. Actually, hiding link between cell phones and cancer was a very viable idea through ~mid-2000s when cell phones became just way too numerous so if the link was true, it would become impossible to hide (and this is about the time when i heard of this theory a lot, then it gradually subsided, i haven&amp;#x27;t really heard of it in any serious manner in the last 10 years). After all, we know that they quite deliberately denied addictiveness of tobacco? They denied harm from leaded gasoline and lead water pipes? There is so much nasty crap authorities concealed or actively denied because they made money on it. They still deny how dangerous and addictive sugar is. Many of them still deny global warming.</text><parent_chain></parent_chain></comment><story><title>People who jump to conclusions show other kinds of thinking errors</title><url>https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/people-who-jump-to-conclusions-show-other-kinds-of-thinking-errors/</url></story>