<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>DonsDiscountGas</author><text>IIRC the lifetime risk of lung cancer for smokers is more like 20%. For reference, among non-smokers the risk of lung cancer[0] is about 1%. So smoking is represents a 20x increase in risk.&lt;p&gt;Around 80% of lung cancers are found in smokers and another 10% with heavy exposure to second-hand smoke. Smoking is the single largest risk factor for lung cancer.&lt;p&gt;[0] All numbers are based on general population of US, so heavily white-skewed, I dunno about asian americans specifically.</text><parent_chain><item><author>max_</author><text>There are Many things that cause lung cancer other than smoking.&lt;p&gt;Infact majority of people that smoke don&amp;#x27;t get Cancer (only about 30% in a group of smokers get lung cancer)&lt;p&gt;Edit: I don&amp;#x27;t mean it&amp;#x27;s comforting I prefer to have it at 0&amp;#x2F;10&lt;p&gt;I am just trying to say that things that cause cancer are not as deterministic as we think.</text></item><item><author>helsinkiandrew</author><text>12% of Asian American men smoke compared with 2.6% of women.  So non smoking Asian women are more likely to live with a smoking man.  Could second hand smoking exposure be a factor in this?&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.lung.org&amp;#x2F;quit-smoking&amp;#x2F;smoking-facts&amp;#x2F;impact-of-tobacco-use&amp;#x2F;tobacco-use-racial-and-ethnic&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.lung.org&amp;#x2F;quit-smoking&amp;#x2F;smoking-facts&amp;#x2F;impact-of-to...&lt;/a&gt;</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Asian American women are getting lung cancer despite never smoking</title><url>https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/asian-american-women-lung-cancer-rcna138895</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>Zancarius</author><text>I suspect part of this is because smokers, generally, don&amp;#x27;t always live long enough to actually &lt;i&gt;get&lt;/i&gt; cancer, and statistically their year-over-year cancer risk drops to the same as the general population when they do quit.&lt;p&gt;However, COPD, once established, is irreversible.&lt;p&gt;My dad was a long time smoker and it was COPD that eventually got him. He battled it for years after he quit.</text><parent_chain><item><author>max_</author><text>There are Many things that cause lung cancer other than smoking.&lt;p&gt;Infact majority of people that smoke don&amp;#x27;t get Cancer (only about 30% in a group of smokers get lung cancer)&lt;p&gt;Edit: I don&amp;#x27;t mean it&amp;#x27;s comforting I prefer to have it at 0&amp;#x2F;10&lt;p&gt;I am just trying to say that things that cause cancer are not as deterministic as we think.</text></item><item><author>helsinkiandrew</author><text>12% of Asian American men smoke compared with 2.6% of women.  So non smoking Asian women are more likely to live with a smoking man.  Could second hand smoking exposure be a factor in this?&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.lung.org&amp;#x2F;quit-smoking&amp;#x2F;smoking-facts&amp;#x2F;impact-of-tobacco-use&amp;#x2F;tobacco-use-racial-and-ethnic&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.lung.org&amp;#x2F;quit-smoking&amp;#x2F;smoking-facts&amp;#x2F;impact-of-to...&lt;/a&gt;</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Asian American women are getting lung cancer despite never smoking</title><url>https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/asian-american-women-lung-cancer-rcna138895</url></story>