<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>cherryteastain</author><text>Canon and Nikon are also working on alternatives such as nanoimprint lithography [1]. Chinese universities and companies are working on particle accelerator based EUV sources [2]. Question is, will they be able to actually commercialize it &lt;i&gt;before&lt;/i&gt; ASML manages to get improved versions of their current litho machines out the door? Commercialization of a technology like this can easily take 5-10 years, and ASML aren&amp;#x27;t twiddling their thumbs. Once the incumbent has a technology that is, say, 80-90% as good as the challenger, the big players will always choose them to minimize risks.&lt;p&gt;[1] &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;semiengineering.com&amp;#x2F;nanoimprint-finds-its-footing-in-photonics&amp;#x2F;&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;semiengineering.com&amp;#x2F;nanoimprint-finds-its-footing-in...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;[2] &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.electronicsweekly.com&amp;#x2F;news&amp;#x2F;business&amp;#x2F;china-to-build-huge-particle-accelerator-for-litho-2023-09&amp;#x2F;&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.electronicsweekly.com&amp;#x2F;news&amp;#x2F;business&amp;#x2F;china-to-bui...&lt;/a&gt;</text><parent_chain></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Japan on edge of EUV lithography chip-making revolution</title><url>https://asiatimes.com/2024/08/japan-on-edge-of-euv-lithography-chip-making-revolution/</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>mangecoeur</author><text>They mention validation in software which suggests a hardware implementation is a way off with a lot of practical issues that might crop up on the way. So best of luck to them but i wouldn’t expect to see hit the market for quite a while - saying they are “on the edge of euv chip making” is very optimistic.</text><parent_chain></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Japan on edge of EUV lithography chip-making revolution</title><url>https://asiatimes.com/2024/08/japan-on-edge-of-euv-lithography-chip-making-revolution/</url></story>