<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>LV-426</author><text>&amp;gt; When it comes to Bitcoin, I think of Linux as an analogy.&lt;p&gt;I&amp;#x27;ve read Bitcoin is like email, Bitcoin is like TCP&amp;#x2F;IP, Bitcoin is like the entire Internet. Now I&amp;#x27;ve read Bitcoin is like Linux.&lt;p&gt;At one time few people had heard of (random thing from thin air) New Kids On The Block.&lt;p&gt;Some didn&amp;#x27;t understand the new fangled (boy band) concept, some thought existing bands&amp;#x2F;music were good enough, some thought they&amp;#x27;ll take over the world, and some just thought they could get rich off it all before it collapsed.&lt;p&gt;Bitcoin is something that happened to catch on (&lt;i&gt;entirely&lt;/i&gt;, by design, due to profit motive), which is why it&amp;#x27;s superficially similar to other things that happened to catch on. (Even things that catch on because they&amp;#x27;re actually useful, and not just a potential route to get rich quick without any effort.)&lt;p&gt;Once upon a time Denmark, like Bitcoin, didn&amp;#x27;t exist.&lt;p&gt;Danes (like Bitcoiners) were a strange bunch, famed and feared for their involvement in crime to make money. Slowly their influence started to spread, however, despite - but in some ways because of - their criminal behaviour.&lt;p&gt;Many legends were created... Ragnar Lothbrok, Ivar the Boneless, Magical Tux and Free Ross.&lt;p&gt;Then along came Christianity[1] (Coinbase&amp;#x2F;Winklevii) which provided more legitimacy with other, less beardy, groups. The true believers didn&amp;#x27;t like this, of course, but most people recognised the social and economic benefits of selling out everything they were supposedly all about.&lt;p&gt;The similarities end there, sadly, because today Bitcoin consumes even more power than Denmark. A fact which is completely batshit insane, but since Bitcoin hype and hysteria is even more insane, and increasing with every $1000 price pump, nobody cares.&lt;p&gt;Serious question (which will go largely unanswered in favour of turning this text white) for people who seriously think Bitcoin ranks in importance&amp;#x2F;significance with email&amp;#x2F;Internet&amp;#x2F;Linux&amp;#x2F;Denmark:&lt;p&gt;Now in its &lt;i&gt;tenth year&lt;/i&gt;[2], what has Bitcoin &lt;i&gt;actually achieved&lt;/i&gt;, other than a sickening energy waste and crazy price fluctuations and speculation?&lt;p&gt;[1] Which is also Bitcoin: &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;twitter.com&amp;#x2F;larslfe&amp;#x2F;status&amp;#x2F;909192006362005506&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;twitter.com&amp;#x2F;larslfe&amp;#x2F;status&amp;#x2F;909192006362005506&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;[2] See creation dates for bitcoin.com&amp;#x2F;net&amp;#x2F;org.</text><parent_chain><item><author>mccoyspace</author><text>When it comes to Bitcoin, I think of Linux as an analogy. When it first emerged, many people questioned it&amp;#x27;s basic premise: &amp;quot;why is there a new operating system? Everyone uses Windows, or Mac&amp;quot;. People didn&amp;#x27;t know or understand the idea of open source: &amp;quot;Doesn&amp;#x27;t that just mean people will find bugs and ways to hack it?&amp;quot; &amp;quot;Without a company behind it, how do I know I can trust it in the long term?&amp;quot;
At first it&amp;#x27;s usability sucked. It took forever to get it up and running. It was confusing and hard to learn.
It had a small, rabid fan base who kept obsessing about desktop adoption rates and wondering when it would take over.
That is all kind of the same vibe as Bitcoin. But just as Linux showed, you don&amp;#x27;t need a monolithic, centralized entity to back it, it can start slowly and improve over time.  
&amp;quot;linux on the desktop&amp;quot; basically failed (cue all the linux desktop heads on HH....!) but it completely took over the whole back end of the Internet. Every server runs it. And it then morphed and took over almost all mobile&amp;#x2F;tablet&amp;#x2F;smartTV&amp;#x2F;etc&amp;#x2F;etc devices. I think something similar could easily happen with Bitcoin. It has securely held Billions of USD equivalents in value for years. The software continues to evolve. Its core technology has morphed into many other formats. And like Linux on the Desktop, maybe the early idea of digital cash will change into another idea, like a settlement layer. who knows?
But I remain pretty optimistic about it.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Goldman Sachs Is Setting Up a Cryptocurrency Trading Desk</title><url>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-21/goldman-is-setting-up-a-cryptocurrency-trading-desk</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>golergka</author><text>Survivor bias. It is also true about many, many things that turned out to be flops in the end.</text><parent_chain><item><author>mccoyspace</author><text>When it comes to Bitcoin, I think of Linux as an analogy. When it first emerged, many people questioned it&amp;#x27;s basic premise: &amp;quot;why is there a new operating system? Everyone uses Windows, or Mac&amp;quot;. People didn&amp;#x27;t know or understand the idea of open source: &amp;quot;Doesn&amp;#x27;t that just mean people will find bugs and ways to hack it?&amp;quot; &amp;quot;Without a company behind it, how do I know I can trust it in the long term?&amp;quot;
At first it&amp;#x27;s usability sucked. It took forever to get it up and running. It was confusing and hard to learn.
It had a small, rabid fan base who kept obsessing about desktop adoption rates and wondering when it would take over.
That is all kind of the same vibe as Bitcoin. But just as Linux showed, you don&amp;#x27;t need a monolithic, centralized entity to back it, it can start slowly and improve over time.  
&amp;quot;linux on the desktop&amp;quot; basically failed (cue all the linux desktop heads on HH....!) but it completely took over the whole back end of the Internet. Every server runs it. And it then morphed and took over almost all mobile&amp;#x2F;tablet&amp;#x2F;smartTV&amp;#x2F;etc&amp;#x2F;etc devices. I think something similar could easily happen with Bitcoin. It has securely held Billions of USD equivalents in value for years. The software continues to evolve. Its core technology has morphed into many other formats. And like Linux on the Desktop, maybe the early idea of digital cash will change into another idea, like a settlement layer. who knows?
But I remain pretty optimistic about it.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Goldman Sachs Is Setting Up a Cryptocurrency Trading Desk</title><url>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-21/goldman-is-setting-up-a-cryptocurrency-trading-desk</url></story>