<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>thebean11</author><text>But it&amp;#x27;s only been a few months since administration, will the gap between expected and actual keep growing, or will they eventually level out?</text><parent_chain><item><author>delecti</author><text>Crude rate seems to be observed cases per million doses administered.&lt;p&gt;So a lot more incidents than expected, but still extremely rare (0.002% of doses).&lt;p&gt;Edit: missed an extra &amp;quot;0&amp;quot; in that percent, thanks for the the catch everyone who did</text></item><item><author>_Microft</author><text>The interesting table with absolute numbers is on page 18 of [0]. Expected and observed cases are cases of myocarditis &amp;#x2F; pericarditis here. Crude rate is the number of cases per 1 million administered doses. Use landscape mode if you are reading this from a mobile device, the table is narrow enough for that.&lt;p&gt;&lt;pre&gt;&lt;code&gt;  Age group  Doses       Crude   Expected Observed 
              administ.   rate    cases    cases

  12–15 yrs    134,041    22.4     0–1        2 
  16–17 yrs  2,258,932    35.0     2–19      79
  18–24 yrs  9,776,719    20.6     8–83     196
&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/pre&gt;
[0] (PDF) &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.fda.gov&amp;#x2F;media&amp;#x2F;150054&amp;#x2F;download&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.fda.gov&amp;#x2F;media&amp;#x2F;150054&amp;#x2F;download&lt;/a&gt;</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Heart inflammation cases in young men higher than expected after mRNA vaccines</title><url>https://www.reuters.com/world/us/cdc-heart-inflammation-cases-ages-16-24-higher-than-expected-after-mrna-covid-19-2021-06-10/</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>Swenrekcah</author><text>For those getting worried like I was, it’s 0.002% or one in 50,000, not 0.02% or one in 5,000.</text><parent_chain><item><author>delecti</author><text>Crude rate seems to be observed cases per million doses administered.&lt;p&gt;So a lot more incidents than expected, but still extremely rare (0.002% of doses).&lt;p&gt;Edit: missed an extra &amp;quot;0&amp;quot; in that percent, thanks for the the catch everyone who did</text></item><item><author>_Microft</author><text>The interesting table with absolute numbers is on page 18 of [0]. Expected and observed cases are cases of myocarditis &amp;#x2F; pericarditis here. Crude rate is the number of cases per 1 million administered doses. Use landscape mode if you are reading this from a mobile device, the table is narrow enough for that.&lt;p&gt;&lt;pre&gt;&lt;code&gt;  Age group  Doses       Crude   Expected Observed 
              administ.   rate    cases    cases

  12–15 yrs    134,041    22.4     0–1        2 
  16–17 yrs  2,258,932    35.0     2–19      79
  18–24 yrs  9,776,719    20.6     8–83     196
&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/pre&gt;
[0] (PDF) &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.fda.gov&amp;#x2F;media&amp;#x2F;150054&amp;#x2F;download&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.fda.gov&amp;#x2F;media&amp;#x2F;150054&amp;#x2F;download&lt;/a&gt;</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Heart inflammation cases in young men higher than expected after mRNA vaccines</title><url>https://www.reuters.com/world/us/cdc-heart-inflammation-cases-ages-16-24-higher-than-expected-after-mrna-covid-19-2021-06-10/</url></story>