<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>pwinnski</author><text>Academic studies have repeatedly found that one of the single biggest determinants in success of just about any kind is luck. It is a very common misconception that hard work results in success, or that talent results in success, but that&amp;#x27;s looking at the successful from the wrong end.&lt;p&gt;It is rare to find someone very lazy or completely talentless among the most successful, so it must be hard work and talent, right? No, because it&amp;#x27;s easy to find very hard-working and talented people who are not successful. In fact, according to research[0], the most successful are usually &lt;i&gt;not&lt;/i&gt; the most talented, but those of mediocre talent and a lot of luck.&lt;p&gt;[0] &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;arxiv.org&amp;#x2F;abs&amp;#x2F;1802.07068&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;arxiv.org&amp;#x2F;abs&amp;#x2F;1802.07068&lt;/a&gt;</text><parent_chain><item><author>itsoktocry</author><text>&amp;gt;&lt;i&gt;The key to a success of this type is luck.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;p&gt;What an odd mentality.&lt;p&gt;No, the &lt;i&gt;key&lt;/i&gt; to success is &lt;i&gt;skill&lt;/i&gt;, with &lt;i&gt;effort&lt;/i&gt; (grit?) thrown in there as well.  Luck can sometimes play a significant factor, all else being equal.  But the idea that everyone is equally &amp;quot;good&amp;quot; at things, or put in the same effort, and that it&amp;#x27;s mere chance that success happens to someone is...pessimistic to say the least.</text></item><item><author>necovek</author><text>That seems to ignore the fact that there are hundreds of people of equally &amp;quot;honed skills&amp;quot; not having earned $100k over 6 days.&lt;p&gt;The key to a success of this type is luck.  Sure, you can optimize for being on the path of success, but majority will still be missed.</text></item><item><author>ahmadss</author><text>the key to his success is honing his craft via side projects, sharing these ideas often, having a quick and easy tooling to publish ideas, pushing to prod and sharing these ideas. thats the key to success. the MKBHD pickup is just the recognition of the skill honed through this process.</text></item><item><author>oefrha</author><text>Is the average iPhone owner willing to spend $28 on an icon pack? Probably not.&lt;p&gt;Can you find 3626 iPhone owners willing to spend $28 on an icon pack? Sure you can. In fact I bet you can find 3626 Android owners willing to part with $28 too.&lt;p&gt;The key to this success story is this:&lt;p&gt;&amp;gt; Then, MKBHD happened.</text></item><item><author>kyran_adept</author><text>As an Android user, I am completely blown away by two things: #1 iPhones got this only in 2020, when Android had this since the first version, #2 iPhone owners are willing to spend $28 for a icon pack, a very nice one, but still an icon pack.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Six Figures in 6 days</title><url>https://tr.af/6</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>sudosysgen</author><text>There is no need to assume that everyone is equally good at things, or puts in the same effort. Some people are much better than others at many things, and yet luck is the biggest determinant of success.&lt;p&gt;That being said, it doesn&amp;#x27;t mean that one shouldn&amp;#x27;t hone their skills and try to be successful. It&amp;#x27;s just that it&amp;#x27;s not likely that you will have such meteoric success no matter the skill or effort you put in.&lt;p&gt;Luck doesn&amp;#x27;t just play a significant factor, luck almost always plays the biggest factor. But being skillful and putting in effort is the only thing you can change and definitely does help too.</text><parent_chain><item><author>itsoktocry</author><text>&amp;gt;&lt;i&gt;The key to a success of this type is luck.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;p&gt;What an odd mentality.&lt;p&gt;No, the &lt;i&gt;key&lt;/i&gt; to success is &lt;i&gt;skill&lt;/i&gt;, with &lt;i&gt;effort&lt;/i&gt; (grit?) thrown in there as well.  Luck can sometimes play a significant factor, all else being equal.  But the idea that everyone is equally &amp;quot;good&amp;quot; at things, or put in the same effort, and that it&amp;#x27;s mere chance that success happens to someone is...pessimistic to say the least.</text></item><item><author>necovek</author><text>That seems to ignore the fact that there are hundreds of people of equally &amp;quot;honed skills&amp;quot; not having earned $100k over 6 days.&lt;p&gt;The key to a success of this type is luck.  Sure, you can optimize for being on the path of success, but majority will still be missed.</text></item><item><author>ahmadss</author><text>the key to his success is honing his craft via side projects, sharing these ideas often, having a quick and easy tooling to publish ideas, pushing to prod and sharing these ideas. thats the key to success. the MKBHD pickup is just the recognition of the skill honed through this process.</text></item><item><author>oefrha</author><text>Is the average iPhone owner willing to spend $28 on an icon pack? Probably not.&lt;p&gt;Can you find 3626 iPhone owners willing to spend $28 on an icon pack? Sure you can. In fact I bet you can find 3626 Android owners willing to part with $28 too.&lt;p&gt;The key to this success story is this:&lt;p&gt;&amp;gt; Then, MKBHD happened.</text></item><item><author>kyran_adept</author><text>As an Android user, I am completely blown away by two things: #1 iPhones got this only in 2020, when Android had this since the first version, #2 iPhone owners are willing to spend $28 for a icon pack, a very nice one, but still an icon pack.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Six Figures in 6 days</title><url>https://tr.af/6</url></story>