<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>josh2600</author><text>Counter example: HD DVD was selected as the format of choice for next generation porn media. Didn&apos;t turn out so well.&lt;p&gt;I think tumblr was easier for people to post stupid pictures of cats and porn. The friction to entry was lower IMHO.</text><parent_chain><item><author>Swizec</author><text>Porn. Tumblr has porn.&lt;p&gt;As always, when two technologies are battling, the one porn picks will win.</text></item><item><author>btipling</author><text>Maybe this could have been Posterous had they won that battle with Tumblr. Posterous had the superior product early on, but for some reason it never caught on. I wonder how that works, who wins for what reasons. It does not seem to be for product or technology reasons as I think Posterous had Tumblr beat. It&apos;s almost luck and magic who picks up the right kind of early users that lead to success. Admittedly it did seem like a bit of an uphill struggle since Tumblr got started a little earlier? Maybe that&apos;s it. Tumblr and Posterous were a new kind of microblog platform a couple of years ago, now Tumblr is massive and Posterious is dead.&lt;p&gt;Another thing that seems interesting to me is that whenever someone exits into an acquisition it&apos;s like this space becomes open again for new startups. Someone should make a new microblogging platform that now disrups Tumblr/Yahoo. It&apos;s kind of like the dragon Ouroboros, eating its own tail, around here sometimes.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Yahoo to Acquire Tumblr</title><url>http://finance.yahoo.com/news/yahoo-acquire-tumblr-120000116.html</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>freehunter</author><text>Except HD-DVD. In that battle, it was the one who had a video game console backing the standard versus the one with porn but a console maker only paying lip service to the technology.</text><parent_chain><item><author>Swizec</author><text>Porn. Tumblr has porn.&lt;p&gt;As always, when two technologies are battling, the one porn picks will win.</text></item><item><author>btipling</author><text>Maybe this could have been Posterous had they won that battle with Tumblr. Posterous had the superior product early on, but for some reason it never caught on. I wonder how that works, who wins for what reasons. It does not seem to be for product or technology reasons as I think Posterous had Tumblr beat. It&apos;s almost luck and magic who picks up the right kind of early users that lead to success. Admittedly it did seem like a bit of an uphill struggle since Tumblr got started a little earlier? Maybe that&apos;s it. Tumblr and Posterous were a new kind of microblog platform a couple of years ago, now Tumblr is massive and Posterious is dead.&lt;p&gt;Another thing that seems interesting to me is that whenever someone exits into an acquisition it&apos;s like this space becomes open again for new startups. Someone should make a new microblogging platform that now disrups Tumblr/Yahoo. It&apos;s kind of like the dragon Ouroboros, eating its own tail, around here sometimes.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Yahoo to Acquire Tumblr</title><url>http://finance.yahoo.com/news/yahoo-acquire-tumblr-120000116.html</url></story>