<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>krschultz</author><text>Damn lies and statistics. The Android dashboard numbers are always super pessimistic on upgrade rate.&lt;p&gt;I am the lead for an app with &amp;gt;250,000 installs. Over 45% of our usage is coming from Lollipop. The rest is JB &amp;amp; KK. We see &amp;lt;6% ICS for the last 30 days.&lt;p&gt;I know other major apps that have even better numbers.&lt;p&gt;Looking at my data, L usage was basically nil in January 2015. There was slow growth from there until April, when we saw an inflection point in the number of Lollipop users. This aligned with the release of several Samsung updates that pushed Lollipop to some of the most popular devices out there.&lt;p&gt;If you want publicly available numbers, I would rely on Mixpanel[1] not the Android dashboard. And even this understates it, as of writing this comment Mixpanel is not including 5.1 in the Lollipop numbers which is cutting 2-3% off that. [2]&lt;p&gt;[1] &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;mixpanel.com&amp;#x2F;trends&amp;#x2F;#report&amp;#x2F;android_os_adoption&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;mixpanel.com&amp;#x2F;trends&amp;#x2F;#report&amp;#x2F;android_os_adoption&lt;/a&gt;
[2] &lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;twitter.com&amp;#x2F;mixpanel&amp;#x2F;status&amp;#x2F;604025242529308672&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;twitter.com&amp;#x2F;mixpanel&amp;#x2F;status&amp;#x2F;604025242529308672&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;The narrative about Android fragmentation is really out of touch with what I experience on a daily basis.</text><parent_chain><item><author>27182818284</author><text>Google is showing off Android M dev previews while devices sold new last fall in major US retailers are still running KitKat with no updates from Google or their providers. They continue to actively create the &amp;quot;fractured&amp;quot; world of Android.&lt;p&gt;In other words, that&amp;#x27;s cool about Android M, but most people aren&amp;#x27;t even using L. (40% on K, 9% on L whose preview was the 2014 IO)&lt;p&gt;Can Google not poach one or two of Apple&amp;#x27;s negotiators to go to the right meetings at Motorola, Verizon, etc to talk about updates?</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Android M Developer Preview and Tools</title><url>http://android-developers.blogspot.com/2015/05/android-m-developer-preview-tools.html</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>kllrnohj</author><text>Your post was word for word identical to posts made 2 years about KitKat when it was released. Only instead being compared against Gingerbread. And several years before THAT when Gingerbread was released people were saying it about Donut &amp;amp; Eclair.&lt;p&gt;So yes you&amp;#x27;ll have to wait ~2 years for the majority to be on M or higher. Oh well. Does that suck? Yeah. Is it a major, show stopping, &amp;quot;omg google why haven&amp;#x27;t you devoted 100% resources to fixing this?&amp;quot; issue? No, that&amp;#x27;s absurd.&lt;p&gt;And why do you think Apple has negotiators for this? Apple doesn&amp;#x27;t license iOS to anyone. They&amp;#x27;ve never attempted to solve this problem. Ever. For anything.</text><parent_chain><item><author>27182818284</author><text>Google is showing off Android M dev previews while devices sold new last fall in major US retailers are still running KitKat with no updates from Google or their providers. They continue to actively create the &amp;quot;fractured&amp;quot; world of Android.&lt;p&gt;In other words, that&amp;#x27;s cool about Android M, but most people aren&amp;#x27;t even using L. (40% on K, 9% on L whose preview was the 2014 IO)&lt;p&gt;Can Google not poach one or two of Apple&amp;#x27;s negotiators to go to the right meetings at Motorola, Verizon, etc to talk about updates?</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Android M Developer Preview and Tools</title><url>http://android-developers.blogspot.com/2015/05/android-m-developer-preview-tools.html</url></story>