<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>quotemstr</author><text>The concept of &amp;quot;nuclear winter&amp;quot; is a great example of science gone wrong. As it turns out, the original 1980s report vastly overestimated the amount of combustible fuel in cities and inaccurately estimated both modern nuclear weapon yield and blast size. Nuclear war would &lt;i&gt;not&lt;/i&gt; create firestorms capable of injecting soot into the stratosphere and would &lt;i&gt;not&lt;/i&gt; cause years-long crop failures. Nuclear war is, in fact, quite survivable.&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;skeptoid.com&amp;#x2F;episodes&amp;#x2F;4244&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;skeptoid.com&amp;#x2F;episodes&amp;#x2F;4244&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.nature.com&amp;#x2F;articles&amp;#x2F;475037b&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.nature.com&amp;#x2F;articles&amp;#x2F;475037b&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.quora.com&amp;#x2F;How-many-nukes-would-it-take-to-cause-a-minor-nuclear-winter-What-about-a-moderate-one&amp;#x2F;answer&amp;#x2F;Allen-E-Hall-2&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;https:&amp;#x2F;&amp;#x2F;www.quora.com&amp;#x2F;How-many-nukes-would-it-take-to-cause-...&lt;/a&gt;</text><parent_chain></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Carl Sagan Warned the World About Nuclear Winter</title><url>https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/when-carl-sagan-warned-world-about-nuclear-winter-180967198/?no-ist</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>mcguire</author><text>I find it weird that scientists get crap from other scientists for speaking publicly. Simple jealousy doesn&amp;#x27;t explain the vehemence.&lt;p&gt;As for the politics of the issue, mutual assured destruction has been the working theory since Eisenhower. Those who think strategic nuclear war is winnable, as well as the SDI nutters, are threats to that stability.</text><parent_chain></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Carl Sagan Warned the World About Nuclear Winter</title><url>https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/when-carl-sagan-warned-world-about-nuclear-winter-180967198/?no-ist</url></story>