<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>kelnos</author><text>&amp;gt; &lt;i&gt;This is why for all the fear of China, the country cannot succeed on its current trajectory.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;p&gt;I really really really want this to be true, but I don&amp;#x27;t think it&amp;#x27;s wise to discount China as a threat to worldwide autonomy just because they&amp;#x27;re behaving like typical authoritarians, and have the weaknesses that you&amp;#x27;d expect from that kind of government.&lt;p&gt;Personally I think China&amp;#x27;s demographic issues should be more of a worry for them.  The aftermath of the one-child policy, as well as all the selective abortion (under one-child, parents preferred to give birth to a boy) creating a imbalance between the number of men and women, means their population will start shrinking soon.  And there will be a lot of only children supporting both of their parents when they start getting older, not to mention a glut of older folks leaving the workforce without equal replacement from the younger generations.</text><parent_chain><item><author>addicted</author><text>This is why for all the fear of China, the country cannot succeed on its current trajectory.&lt;p&gt;Things look great until the leaders are doing well, but all it takes is for 1 bad set of leadership for all to fall apart.&lt;p&gt;And Xi Jinping has guaranteed failure by removing term limits. Term limits meant that other ambitious political leaders were willing to wait and try their luck next turn. But with no term limits multiple generations of leaders are locked out of even the possibility of becoming the party leader, which means they have become a threat to Jinping.&lt;p&gt;And since so many people are now a threat to him, his selection criteria for people to lead different parts of the party and government has to be based entirely on loyalty rather than competence.&lt;p&gt;Which almost guarantees a lot of counter productive incompetence.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Apache Log4j bug: China’s industry ministry pulls support from Alibaba Cloud</title><url>https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3160670/apache-log4j-bug-chinas-industry-ministry-pulls-support-alibaba-cloud</url></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>sudosysgen</author><text>According to machine translation (both Google Translate and DeepL) of the law itself, it seems that this is not actually the case, and that the article is simply wrong. Indeed, it seems that they have a legal responsibility to notify the MIIT within two days, but a legal responsibility to notify upstream immediately (according to another commenter, they do not even have any responsibility to disclose to the government, only to Apache).&lt;p&gt;Perhaps this translation is incorrect, but Chinese speaking commenters below think that it is accurate, so it&amp;#x27;s probably just the article being wrong (as usual), leading to incorrect conclusions that China is not a threat and will not succeed because they will shoot themselves in the foot etc, while reality is a lot more reasonable.</text><parent_chain><item><author>addicted</author><text>This is why for all the fear of China, the country cannot succeed on its current trajectory.&lt;p&gt;Things look great until the leaders are doing well, but all it takes is for 1 bad set of leadership for all to fall apart.&lt;p&gt;And Xi Jinping has guaranteed failure by removing term limits. Term limits meant that other ambitious political leaders were willing to wait and try their luck next turn. But with no term limits multiple generations of leaders are locked out of even the possibility of becoming the party leader, which means they have become a threat to Jinping.&lt;p&gt;And since so many people are now a threat to him, his selection criteria for people to lead different parts of the party and government has to be based entirely on loyalty rather than competence.&lt;p&gt;Which almost guarantees a lot of counter productive incompetence.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Apache Log4j bug: China’s industry ministry pulls support from Alibaba Cloud</title><url>https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3160670/apache-log4j-bug-chinas-industry-ministry-pulls-support-alibaba-cloud</url></story>