<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>brudgers</author><text>&lt;i&gt;&quot;This account is written to portray Scott as the bad guy&quot;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;p&gt;Journalistically, the technical term is &quot;hatchet job.&quot;&lt;p&gt;The piece flows like an official leak. On the surface the narrative seems plausible as that of a press event. In depth, it is not.&lt;p&gt;Forestall cashed out his shares in May, more than a month before the release of the Maps app was announced and almost five months before the letter of apology. Usually, when a senior executive cashes out, it is a clear statement that the direction of the company is such that it no longer appears to be a wise investment - it expresses a loss of faith in the company.&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://news.cnet.com/8301-13579_3-57425920-37/apple-exec-scott-forstall-sells-off-95-percent-of-his-shares/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://news.cnet.com/8301-13579_3-57425920-37/apple-exec-sco...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;p&gt;What I find interesting in this officially unofficial narrative is what its truth would imply about Apple&apos;s leadership. In an a distorted reality where Forstall signed the letter rather than Cook, consumers would have said, &quot;Who&apos;s that?&quot;&lt;p&gt;More importantly, Wall Street would have said, &quot;Who&apos;s in charge?&quot; Forstall would have been taking on the responsibility as the face of Apple, and Cook would have looked ineffectual as a leader by failing to take responsibility.&lt;p&gt;A letter bearing Forstall&apos;s signature would be a clear statement that he was so vital to Apple&apos;s future that he was allowed to atone for such a grave error rather than being summarily sacked. It would have made it nearly impossible to fire him, because of the contradictory signals leadership would be sending.&lt;p&gt;So I doubt the narrative. I doubt that Apple&apos;s leadership is so inept as to have considered anyone but Cook signing a letter. I doubt that Cook is so inept as to not seriously consider not apologizing. I doubt that anyone at Apple is so naive as to have misunderstood what Forstall&apos;s stock sale meant.&lt;p&gt;I believe the truth is simple.&lt;p&gt;At his level, it&apos;s pretty much up or out for &quot;Type A personalities.&quot; Forstall did not succeed Jobs as CEO. Six months after Job&apos;s death, he sold his stock. A year later he publicly took the fall for Maps. In return, Apple lets 75,000 options vest while he advises Cook over the next year. By signing the apology, Cook looks compassionate to consumers. By sacking Forstall, he looks decisive to Wall Street.&lt;p&gt;The officially unofficial narrative serves it&apos;s purpose. It&apos;s more interesting than one about a negotiated severance package and the implementation of a succession plan.&lt;p&gt;And by getting the media to accuse him of acting Jobsian, Forstall displays a Jobsian brilliance. I suspect there is already a queue of companies seeking him as CEO.</text><parent_chain><item><author>ChuckMcM</author><text>Hmm, sounds like the Apple variation of the 3 envelopes joke. I expect the Scott is going take a lot of the heat here as the designated person but with most things I expect the story is more nuanced.&lt;p&gt;This account is written to portray Scott as the bad guy, one could speculate that perhaps he had been arguing all along that there needed to be a different option, which no one accepted, and when the choice to ship turned out to be a poor one and he was asked to take the blame for it, he might have said &quot;No way, I told you we shouldn&apos;t ship it, you overrode me, you sign it.&quot;&lt;p&gt;The version with Scott as the hero, refusing to compromise his principles, also fits all the &apos;known&apos; facts (maps kinda sucks, Tim signed the apology) and might be communicated by nameless &quot;people familiar with the matter&quot; who liked Scott.&lt;p&gt;But we won&apos;t know. Some folks will know, and some folks will think they know, but having been high enough in the food chain to directly witness some executive shifts like this first hand, and to see how they got spun to the public and to others. the one thing I know is that those of us out here in the peanut gallery, we don&apos;t have an ice cube&apos;s chance in hell of knowing the &apos;real&apos; story.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Apple Software Chief Refused to Sign Maps Apology</title><url>http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204840504578087192497916304.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection</url><text></text></story>
<instructions>Your goal is to analyze the following comment and estimate how highly it will be upvoted by the Hacker News community.</instructions><comment><author>aresant</author><text>I had to look up the 3-envelopes joke:&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.design.caltech.edu/erik/Misc/Prepare_3_Envelopes.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.design.caltech.edu/erik/Misc/Prepare_3_Envelopes....&lt;/a&gt;</text><parent_chain><item><author>ChuckMcM</author><text>Hmm, sounds like the Apple variation of the 3 envelopes joke. I expect the Scott is going take a lot of the heat here as the designated person but with most things I expect the story is more nuanced.&lt;p&gt;This account is written to portray Scott as the bad guy, one could speculate that perhaps he had been arguing all along that there needed to be a different option, which no one accepted, and when the choice to ship turned out to be a poor one and he was asked to take the blame for it, he might have said &quot;No way, I told you we shouldn&apos;t ship it, you overrode me, you sign it.&quot;&lt;p&gt;The version with Scott as the hero, refusing to compromise his principles, also fits all the &apos;known&apos; facts (maps kinda sucks, Tim signed the apology) and might be communicated by nameless &quot;people familiar with the matter&quot; who liked Scott.&lt;p&gt;But we won&apos;t know. Some folks will know, and some folks will think they know, but having been high enough in the food chain to directly witness some executive shifts like this first hand, and to see how they got spun to the public and to others. the one thing I know is that those of us out here in the peanut gallery, we don&apos;t have an ice cube&apos;s chance in hell of knowing the &apos;real&apos; story.</text></item></parent_chain></comment><story><title>Apple Software Chief Refused to Sign Maps Apology</title><url>http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204840504578087192497916304.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection</url><text></text></story>