### Preflight Checklist

- [X] I have read the [Contributing Guidelines](https://github.com/electron/electron/blob/main/CONTRIBUTING.md) for this project.
- [X] I agree to follow the [Code of Conduct](https://github.com/electron/electron/blob/main/CODE_OF_CONDUCT.md) that this project adheres to.
- [X] I have searched the [issue tracker](https://www.github.com/electron/electron/issues) for a bug report that matches the one I want to file, without success.

### Electron Version

17.3.1, also affected: 16, 17, 18, 19, 20

### What operating system are you using?

macOS

### Operating System Version

12.3, also affected: Win, Linux

### What arch are you using?

x64

### Last Known Working Electron version

15.3.4

### Expected Behavior

Requesting `app.requestSingleInstanceLock()` on first start of the app should return `true`.

### Actual Behavior

Requesting `app.requestSingleInstanceLock()` on first start of the app returns `false`.

### Testcase Gist URL

https://gist.github.com/6d51100568b78f98c5177cb27d370f9f

### Additional Information

It seems that the issue only exists when setting the `userData` path to a non-existent folder (which is most likely the case when you start the app for the first time on a fresh computer). Subsequent starts result in correct behavior because the folder has been created by then. The issue was not present in E15 and below; I'll bisect further.

The issue becomes problematic when implementing a behavior as described [in the docs](https://www.electronjs.org/docs/latest/api/app#apprequestsingleinstancelockadditionaldata) because the app will just quit on first start:
```js
const gotTheLock = app.requestSingleInstanceLock(additionalData)
if (!gotTheLock) {
  app.quit()
} else {...
```

cc @miniak 

_funfact: this was a pain to debug since it crashed our CI in a very obscure way 😆_ 
shell/browser/api/electron_api_app.cc
&App::IsAccessibilitySupportEnabled)
      .SetMethod("setAccessibilitySupportEnabled",
                 &App::SetAccessibilitySupportEnabled)
      .SetMethod("disableHardwareAcceleration",
                 &App::DisableHardwareAcceleration)
      .SetMethod("disableDomainBlockingFor3DAPIs",
                 &App::DisableDomainBlockingFor3DAPIs)
      .SetMethod("getFileIcon", &App::GetFileIcon)
      .SetMethod("getAppMetrics", &App::GetAppMetrics)
      .SetMethod("getGPUFeatureStatus", &App::GetGPUFeatureStatus)
      .SetMethod("getGPUInfo", &App::GetGPUInfo)
#if defined(MAS_BUILD)
      .SetMethod("startAccessingSecurityScopedResource",
                 &App::StartAccessingSecurityScopedResource)
#endif
#if BUILDFLAG(IS_MAC)
      .SetProperty("dock", &App::GetDockAPI)
      .SetProperty("runningUnderRosettaTranslation",
                   &App::IsRunningUnderRosettaTranslation)
#endif
#if BUILDFLAG(IS_MAC) || BUILDFLAG(IS_WIN)
      .SetProperty("runningUnderARM64Translation",
                   &App::IsRunningUnderARM64Translation)
#endif
      .SetProperty("userAgentFallback", &App::GetUserAgentFallback,
                   &App::SetUserAgentFallback)
      .SetMethod("configureHostResolver", &ConfigureHostResolver)
      .SetMethod("enableSandbox", &App::EnableSandbox);
}
const char* App::GetTypeName() {