The total transaction count (for progress estimation) is counted as the known count at the last checkpoint, plus an estimated number per day.

The last checkpoint is now 996 days ago, and its estimated 60000 transactions per day leads to a total estimate of 96M transactions, while the real number is around 183M.

Fix this by updating the count, timestamp, and rate of transactions... with or without adding a new checkpoint.
std::set<CBlockIndex*, CBlockIndexWorkComparator>::iterator it = setBlockIndexCandidates.begin();
    while (it != setBlockIndexCandidates.end() && setBlockIndexCandidates.value_comp()(*it, chainActive.Tip())) {
        setBlockIndexCandidates.erase(it++);
    }
    
    assert(!setBlockIndexCandidates.empty());
}
/**
 * Try to make some progress towards making pindexMostWork the active block.
 * pblock is either NULL or a pointer to a CBlock corresponding to pindexMostWork.
 */
static bool ActivateBestChainStep(CValidationState& state, const CChainParams& chainparams, CBlockIndex* pindexMostWork, const std::shared_ptr<const CBlock>& pblock, bool& fInvalidFound, ConnectTrace& connectTrace)