The total transaction count (for progress estimation) is counted as the known count at the last checkpoint, plus an estimated number per day.

The last checkpoint is now 996 days ago, and its estimated 60000 transactions per day leads to a total estimate of 96M transactions, while the real number is around 183M.

Fix this by updating the count, timestamp, and rate of transactions... with or without adding a new checkpoint.
if (state.IsInvalid())
                InvalidBlockFound(pindexNew, state);
            return error("ConnectTip(): ConnectBlock %s failed", pindexNew->GetBlockHash().ToString());
        }
        nTime3 = GetTimeMicros(); nTimeConnectTotal += nTime3 - nTime2;
        LogPrint("bench", "  - Connect total: %.2fms [%.2fs]\n", (nTime3 - nTime2) * 0.001, nTimeConnectTotal * 0.000001);
        bool flushed = view.Flush();
        assert(flushed);
    }
    int64_t nTime4 = GetTimeMicros(); nTimeFlush += nTime4 - nTime3;
    LogPrint("bench", "  - Flush: %.2fms [%.2fs]\n", (nTime4 - nTime3) * 0.001, nTimeFlush * 0.000001);
    
    if (!FlushStateToDisk(state, FLUSH_STATE_IF_NEEDED))
        return false;
    int64_t nTime5 = GetTimeMicros(); nTimeChainState += nTime5 - nTime4;
    LogPrint("bench", "  - Writing chainstate: %.2fms [%.2fs]\n", (nTime5 - nTime4) * 0.001, nTimeChainState * 0.000001);
    
    mempool.removeForBlock(blockConnecting.vtx, pindexNew->nHeight, !IsInitialBlockDownload());
    
    UpdateTip(pindexNew, chainparams);
    int64_t nTime6 = GetTimeMicros(); nTimePostConnect += nTime6 - nTime5; nTimeTotal += nTime6 - nTime1;
    LogPrint("bench", "  - Connect postprocess: %.2fms [%.2fs]\n", (nTime6 - nTime5) * 0.001, nTimePostConnect * 0.000001);
    LogPrint("bench", "- Connect block: %.2fms [%.2fs]\n", (nTime6 - nTime1) * 0.001, nTimeTotal * 0.000001);
    return true;
}
/**
 * Return the tip of the chain with the most work in it, that isn't
 * known to be invalid (it's however far from certain to be valid).
 */
static CBlockIndex* FindMostWorkChain() {