### Apache Airflow version

main (development)

### What happened

Task failing with error "missing upstream values" when running a dag with dynamic task group mapping
error -
```
[2022-11-23, 15:50:07 UTC] {abstractoperator.py:456} ERROR - Cannot expand <Task(_PythonDecoratedOperator): increment_and_verify.hello_there> for run manual__2022-11-23T15:49:59.771915+00:00; missing upstream values: ['x']
```

### What you think should happen instead

It should succeed 

### How to reproduce

Run the below dag code 
```
from airflow import DAG
from airflow.models.taskinstance import TaskInstance
from airflow.operators.dummy import DummyOperator
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
from airflow.decorators import task, task_group
with DAG(
    dag_id="taskmap_taskgroup",
    tags=["AIP_42"],
    start_date=datetime(1970, 1, 1),
    schedule_interval=None,
) as dag:

    @task
    def onetwothree():
        return [1,2,3]

    @task
    def hello_there(arg):
        print(arg)

    @task_group
    def increment_and_verify(x):
        hello_there(x)

    increment_and_verify.expand(x=onetwothree())>>DummyOperator(task_id="done")
```

### Operating System

mac os

### Versions of Apache Airflow Providers

_No response_

### Deployment

Virtualenv installation

### Deployment details

_No response_

### Anything else

_No response_

### Are you willing to submit PR?

- [ ] Yes I am willing to submit a PR!

### Code of Conduct

- [X] I agree to follow this project's [Code of Conduct](https://github.com/apache/airflow/blob/main/CODE_OF_CONDUCT.md)

.filter(
                    TaskInstance.dag_id == self.dag_id,
                    TaskInstance.task_id == self.task_id,
                    TaskInstance.run_id == run_id,
                )
                .scalar()
            )
            indexes_to_map = range(current_max_mapping + 1, total_length)
        for index in indexes_to_map:
            
            ti = TaskInstance(self, run_id=run_id, map_index=index, state=state)
            self.log.debug("Expanding TIs upserted %s", ti)
            task_instance_mutation_hook(ti)
            ti = session.merge(ti)
            ti.refresh_from_task(self)  
            all_expanded_tis.append(ti)
        
        
        total_expanded_ti_count = total_length or 0
        
        
        session.query(TaskInstance).filter(
            TaskInstance.dag_id == self.dag_id,
            TaskInstance.task_id == self.task_id,
            TaskInstance.run_id == run_id,
            TaskInstance.map_index >= total_expanded_ti_count,
        ).update({TaskInstance.state: TaskInstanceState.REMOVED})
        session.flush()
        return all_expanded_tis, total_expanded_ti_count - 1
    def render_template_fields(