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An Interview With The LA-Based UK Born Musician, WOLFE JACKSON!
Tag: All Access, All Access Music, All Access Music Group, Artist Interview, Comfort Love, Nobody Knows Me (Better Than You), Photographs, Wolfe Jackson
Wolfe Jackson is a UK born, Los Angeles based singer-songwriter who just released his single "Photographs." Premiered on Twangville, the soft piano ballad is a pure, heartwarming track about finding a way to hold onto memories of love lost. It definitely shows off Wolfe's stellar falsetto and thoughtful songwriting sensibilities.
Today, Wolfe released his new EP! Check it out here:
Learn more about Wolfe Jackson in the following All Access interview:
Thanks for your time! So where does this interview find you? What's on tap for the rest of your day?
I'm between morning run and poster designs and album artwork designs right now! Getting together with my guitarist to run over some arrangements for the upcoming EP release show which I'm stoked to play.
Overall, how do you think 2017 was for you and your career? What are you most excited about for this year? What is one big goal you have for 2018?
I think 2017 was a really important year of discovery for me; I matured a lot in my writing style and started to explore and allow myself to be influenced by a lot of new genres and styles of music. I can't wait to release my EP later this month and play the new material at the EP Release Show in LA later this month. My biggest aim for 2018 is to get another EP recorded and book a ton of touring and festivals for 2019 throughout the U.S. and Europe.
Growing up, did you ever think that this would be the kind of life that you would have? Has music always been a big part of your life? Can you recall your first ever musical experience?
I remember singing along to The Beach Boys and The Beatles in the back of the car as a young kid and I think that boy would be pretty proud of where I'm at now. Music has always been the most important thing in my life. It influences me every day, it helps me grow and understand myself better and allows me to speak a whole other language; a language everyone can speak.
How do you think you and your music has been influenced by your hometown? How has moving to Los Angeles from New York and London affected your music and general songwriting?
You know strangely I think although the moves have often been the trigger for a move in a new direction musically, I wouldn't necessarily say the location has had any relation to the genre or style of my writing. I think it's more to do with where I'm at in my head and what's going on at the time. I've incorporated elements of Soul, R&B, Country, Blues, Rock & Jazz over the years and I still feel deeply influenced by all of those genres. My new material is a lot heavier and blues-driven.
Let's talk about your latest single "Comfort Love"? What was the inspiration for this track? How do you think it compares with anything else that you have put out in the past? How does it and your previous single "Photographs" prepare listeners for your forthcoming EP, "Nobody Knows Me (Better Than You)"?
I wrote "Comfort Love" in the real center of my time in New York City and I think to me it was an important reflection on my behavior and how I was using relationships to try and fill the void of real love that might have been missing. It's very honest and vulnerable and recorded live and acoustically in one take so it's as raw and real as it gets. The forthcoming EP is a deeper exploration of that vulnerability and relationship and conversation between me and the listener.
What was it like making "Nobody Knows Me (Better Than You)"? Did anything surprise you about the overall process? Were there any unexpected challenges? Why did you choose to record it all live?
So Leo (who produced the record with me) and I had discussed how the raw energy and irreplaceable feeling that live performances produce are hard to imitate on a studio record. So we figured why not record the EP that way and let the very intimate, raw and most importantly human performance loose. We didn't use tuning, click-tracks, headphones or any of that stuff. It was a bold decision in a world where everyone wants filters, photoshopping and the "perfect finish," but I know that deep down people want to connect with something real.
While it's difficult, can you pick out a couple of your favorite songs from your EP and talk about how they were written and how they got on this collection?
I think "One More Time" is one of my favorites from the record. It's a real country/folk style ballad thats super nostalgic yet very familiar in its sound. I wrote the song on New Year's Eve 2 years ago at about 2 am as I was missing my ex-girlfriend and the song is an honest open conversation asking if she could "love me one more time." Another favorite of mine is "Brother," which I wrote to let my best mate know how much I love him, cos we Brits don't really do that much in person, you know?
What do you think makes for an ideal show for you? What has been a favorite performance of yours so far? Do you have any upcoming shows you would like to tell our readers about?
To me, the best shows are the ones in which I've tried to fully enjoy the moment and just really live in it while it's happening. I had a pretty special single release show in New York City last year and the crowd and atmosphere were just unbelievable. Spreading the love and feeling the love is what it's all about! I have an awesome EP Release Show in Los Angeles on May 31st at Hotel Café, where I'll be playing tracks from the EP with a full band as well as some new stuff I've never played before. It's set to be my biggest show yet.
We are living through a very trying and politically charged time right now so I am curious how you think being a musician gives you the most joy in life today? How do you think that music is going to reflect these challenging times?
I think my music speaks very honestly no matter what the subject. Whether it's a song that's a cry for help, a song blowing steam about a terrible job or whether it's the simple reminder of how love is more important than anything else out there. Everybody feels these things and knowing that there are other people out there that feel the same way and are going through the same struggles brings us together and I think that unity is more important than ever at the moment.
Who are some of your favorite artists or rather, what musicians have continued to inspire you and your music? What musicians would you absolutely still love to work with in the future?
I would say The Beatles continue to inspire me no matter how many more years pass and how many times I've listened to all of their albums. Jeff Buckley has always hugely influenced me along with Led Zeppelin, Red Hot Chili Peppers and a lot of blues artists like Muddy, John Lee Hooker and BB King. I think the dream collaboration would be to get together and write something with Paul McCartney. I'd also love to work with Kendrick Lamar; he inspires me so much and transcends genre – I can see us making something really dope.
At the end of the day, what do you hope your fans take away from your music? What would you say is the overall message of your songs?
I think what I hope people get from this very live and raw EP is a reminder of how much beauty there is in being imperfect, vulnerable and real. It's easy to avoid feelings, to keep a safe distance or refuse to address the hardest struggles you're dealing with but it's much harder to deal with the consequences. This EP will always be a constant reminder of that for me.
Would you like to share anything else about yourself or your music with our readers?
If you're in LA, there are still tickets left for the EP Release Show at Hotel Café on May 31. They're available on my website and Instagram page. Also I have a very special announcement and secret new music for everyone at the concert so don't miss out!
An Interview With Singer-Songwriter MAE KRELL On New Music, Biggest Inspirations, Shooting Their Latest Music Video and More!
SOFI TUKKER Brings Their Treehouse Dance Party to LA's Fonda Theatre!


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Tag Ciroc Vodka
by BX N
tags 1 am, Bermuda Dunes, Brother Love, Cassie Ventura, Ciroc Vodka, Coachella, COMBFEST, Combsfest, Katie Welch, Lil Wayne, Nana Judy, P.Diddy, Rich the Kid, Scotty James, Shaun Ross, Swae Lee, The Weeknd, Yes Julz
Combsfest: Nana Judy, Diddy and Friends Take Over Coachella
The king of hip hop Puff Daddy, also known as P-Diddy, Diddyand most recently, Brother Love partnered with Australian fashion label Nana Judy to bring COMBFEST, a three-day music celebration of energy packed-fun events from afternoon to late night at a private estate in Bermuda Dunes, California at Coachella Music Festival. The festivities officially began Friday night, April 13, 2018 with an epic party performed by none other than Lil Wayne, on a converted stage
tags Apple Music, Bad Boy Records, Can't Stop Won't Stop, Ciroc Vodka, DeLeón Tequila, Diddy, Film Premiere, French Montana, Heather Parry, Kendall Jenner, LA Guestlist, Lana Del Rey, Live Nation, Los Angeles, Los Angelesl, Tyrese Gibson
Diddy Threw a Celeb Filled Party in honor of the 'Can't Stop, Won't Stop' World Premiere
In 1993, Sean "Diddy" Combs, aka Puff Daddy, founded Bad Boy Records, and changed American life forever. In 2016, the Bad Boy Family reunited for the biggest homecoming in hip-hop history, cementing their legacy as a driving force behind music and culture. Can't Stop Won't Stop: A Bad Boy Story is coming exclusively to Apple Music and will be available to watch on on June 25, 2017. The film, produced
in Events, Fashion, Product Launch
tags and Models, Beverly Hills, Chris Stamp, Christina Milian, Ciroc Vodka, Frank Alva, Karrueche Tran, LA Guestlist, Larry English, Los Angeles, Made to Make It, Mister Blaqk, Mr. Taco, Nicole Williams, Puma, Redbull, Season 3.0, Sharina Guitierrez, Stampd
Stampd and Puma Took Over Beverly Hills for the Launch of their Season 3.0 Collaboration
Stampd and Puma threw a launch party Saturday evening at the top of Beverly Hills with founder Chris Stamp hosting LA socials, editors, and influencers including Christina Milian, Larry English, and Models, Nicole Williams, Sharina Guitierrez, and Karrueche Tran. The elevated event, which took place on August 20th, was held in celebration of the third collaboration between Stampd and Puma at a gorgeous private home in the Hollywood Hills. The
in Events, Fashion, Music Festival
tags A$AP Ferg, A$ap Rocky, Aimee Song, Alé by Alessandra, Birchbox beauty bar, Ciroc Vodka, Coachella, Coachella 2016, Colourpop, Delikate Rayne, In-N-Out Burger, Joico, LA Guestlist, Los Angeles, Project September, Pusha T, Revolve, Revolve Desert House, Sincerely Jules, travis scott
The REVOLVE Desert House Threw One of The Best Coachella Events with a Fun Crowd Made of Rappers and Fashion Bloggers
All of the Coachella events that we attended were great, but one stood out from the rest, especially since it was their first year throwing their own event. Premium Online Retailer REVOLVE took over the old Lacoste Coachella Playground to create a two day experience of their own with the REVOLVE Desert House. Over the course of the two days, an uncountable number of celebrities stopped by to soak up

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Queen Adelaide
Queen Adelaide Society inc.
Welcome to The Queen Adelaide Society Inc.
The Queen Adelaide Society Inc. was established in 1981 by the late Dorothy Howie, who had become increasingly dismayed at the apparent lack of knowledge of Adelaide's history by the general populace.
Dorothy formed the Society to promote public knowledge and awareness of Queen Adelaide after whom the capital city of South Australia was named. As a part of achieving this aim, the Society has published a small booklet entitled "The Story of Adelaide" which is available on application to the Society's postal address or through the General Enquiries number.
South Australain Flag
To further promote knowledge of Queen Adelaide, committee members are able to "guest speak" on invitation at meetings, dinners and other functions for any group of people, no matter how large or small.
The Society holds a celebration each year on the thirteenth of August which is the anniversary of Queen Adelaide's birthday. Queen Adelaide had a great interest and love for children and worked throughout her life for a better education and living conditions for children and the poor in general. In her memory, The Queen Adelaide Society Inc. makes an annual donation to a South Australian children's charity from funds raised at various functions held throughout the year.
Members of the Society are kept informed of events and items of interest via newsletters prepared by the committee. The Queen Adelaide Society Inc. was founded for all who share an interest in the life and times of Queen Adelaide, the city of Adelaide and have a love of children.
The Society is open to men and women of any age. The annual subscription and entrance fees to functions are always kept to a minimum so that the Society is non-exclusive in line with the principles of our foundress, Dorothy Howie.
The Queen Adelaide Society Inc.
Email: info@queenadelaidesociety.com
Copyright © 2017 - 2022 The Queen Adelaide Society Inc.


text:
Viral Post Recounts Key Details of Ron DeSantis' Life Before Politics
A viral social media post accurately summarized the early life and career of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
In July 2022, we received mail from our readers that asked us to look into the veracity of a viral Facebook post about the life of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. The post, which appeared to originate in May 2021 and was later copied and pasted by a large number of users, laid out what it claimed were a number of accomplishments in DeSantis' law and military careers. In our research, we found a variety of sources that confirmed that the key points made in the viral copypasta were accurate.
The viral Facebook post about DeSantis' life began with the following bit about an April 2021 segment on the CBS News program, "60 Minutes":
Just in case you were wondering why 60 minutes had a hit piece on this Paisan – the Governor of Florida. Anyone who criticizes him – I have a question for you – can you please post your education and service to our country resume so we can put things in perspective?
The controversy surrounding the episode of "60 Minutes" was addressed in an opinion piece published by Poynter. According to the article, the news magazine TV show failed to provide "substantial evidence" after claiming that DeSantis gave the Publix grocery store chain "preferential treatment to distribute COVID-19 vaccines." The charge was that DeSantis favored Publix simply because they donated to his campaign. He responded to the segment by calling it "irresponsible" and "a lie." According to the Poynter article, "it doesn't appear as if DeSantis did anything wrong."
The rest of the Facebook post recounted DeSantis' accomplishments before entering politics. It read as follows:
Ronald Dion DeSantis was born on September 14, 1978, in Jacksonville, Florida, the son of Karen (née Rogers) and Ronald DeSantis. He is of Italian descent. His family moved to Orlando, Florida, before relocating to Dunedin, Florida, when he was six years old. In 1991, he was a member of the Little League team from Dunedin National that made it to the Little League World Series in Williamsport, Pennsylvania.
After graduating from Dunedin High School in 1997, DeSantis attended Yale University. He was captain of Yale's varsity baseball team and joined the Delta Kappa Epsilon fraternity. On the Yale baseball team, DeSantis was an outfielder; as a senior in 2001, he had the team's best batting average at .336.
He graduated from Yale in 2001 with a B.A. magna cum laude in history. He then spent a year as a history teacher at the Darlington School. DeSantis then attended Harvard Law School, graduating in 2005 with a Juris Doctor cum laude.
DeSantis received his Reserve Naval officer's commission and assignment to the Judge Advocate General's Corps (JAG) in 2004 at the U.S. Naval Reserve Center in Dallas, Texas, while still a student at Harvard Law School. He completed Naval Justice School in 2005. Later that year, he received orders to the JAG Trial Service Office Command South East at Naval Station Mayport, Florida, as a prosecutor. In 2006, he was promoted from lieutenant, junior grade to lieutenant. He worked for the commander of Joint Task Force-Guantanamo (JTF-GTMO), working directly with detainees at the Guantanamo Bay Joint Detention Facility.
In 2007, DeSantis reported to the Naval Special Warfare Command Group in Coronado, California, where he was assigned to SEAL Team One and deployed to Iraq with the troop surge as the Legal Advisor to the SEAL Commander, Special Operations Task Force-West in Fallujah.
DeSantis returned to the U.S. in April 2008, at which time he was reassigned to the Naval Region Southeast Legal Service. The U.S. Department of Justice appointed him to serve as an Assistant U.S. Attorney at the U.S. Attorney's Office in the Middle District of Florida. DeSantis was assigned as a trial defense counsel until his honorable discharge from active duty in February 2010. He concurrently accepted a reserve commission as a lieutenant in the Judge Advocate General's Corps of the US Navy Reserve. He was awarded the Bronze Star Medal, the Navy and Marine Corps Commendation Medal, the Global War on Terrorism Service Medal and the Iraq Campaign Medal. #DeSantis #leadership
We weren't able to find documentation to verify the exact dates cited for all of these items. However, we did confirm with the following sources that the key points and details about DeSantis' life and career in both law and the military are accurate.
Alfonsi, Sharyn. How the Wealthy Cut the Line during Florida's Frenzied Vaccine Rollout. 5 Apr. 2021, https://www.cbsnews.com/news/florida-covid-vaccine-ron-de-santis-60-minutes-2021-04-04/.
"CANDIDATE Q&A: U.S. House 6, Ron DeSantis (R) | Palm Coast." Palm Coast Observer, 27 July 2012, https://www.palmcoastobserver.com/article/candidate-qa-us-house-6-ron-desantis-r.
"Combat Veterans For Congress." Electing Fiscal Conservatives, https://combatveteransforcongress.org/cand/2790.
Congressional Directory. Authenticated U.S. Government Information, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CDIR-2018-10-29/pdf/CDIR-2018-10-29-FL-H-5.pdf.
Contorno, Steve. "Immigration Hardliner Ron DeSantis' Great-Great-Grandmother Was Nearly Barred from America." Tampa Bay Times, 21 Aug. 2018, https://www.tampabay.com/florida-politics/buzz/2018/08/21/like-stephen-miller-ron-desantis-has-a-complicated-immigration-back-story/.
"Darlington Welcomes New Faces." Darlington School, 28 June 2001, https://www.darlingtonschool.org/2460189.
Dunedin High School Class of 1997. http://dunedinhighschool.org/class-of-1997.html.
Jones, Tom. "'60 Minutes' Misses the Mark in Its Story about Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and COVID-19 Vaccines." Poynter, 7 Apr. 2021, https://www.poynter.org/newsletters/2021/60-minutes-misses-the-mark-in-its-story-about-florida-gov-ron-desantis-and-covid-19-vaccines/.
Mahoney, Emily L., and Howard Altman. "Ron DeSantis Cites Serving at Guantanamo, But Little Is Known About Exactly What He Did." Miami Herald via Newspapers.com, 26 Aug. 2018, p. 15A, https://www.newspapers.com/image/651064035/.
Mazzei, Patricia. "Could Ron DeSantis Be Trump's G.O.P. Heir? He's Certainly Trying." The New York Times, 10 Apr. 2021, https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/10/us/politics/ron-desantis-republican-trump.html.
Moline, Michael. "DeSantis Says Biden Can 'Barely Read,' But Our Governor Is No Paragon of Fluency." Florida Phoenix, 26 July 2022, https://floridaphoenix.com/2022/07/26/desantis-says-biden-can-barely-read-but-our-governor-is-no-paragon-of-fluency/.
Morgan, Nancy. "Yale Grad DeSantis Is a Hit On, Off Field." Tampa Bay Times, 10 June 2001, https://www.tampabay.com/archive/2001/06/10/yale-grad-desantis-is-a-hit-on-off-field/.
Museum of Florida History. https://museumoffloridahistory.com/collections/governors-portraits/ronald-d-desantis/.
Observer Staff. "CANDIDATE Q&A: U.S. House 6, Ron DeSantis (R) | Palm Coast." Palm Coast Observer, 27 July 2012, https://www.palmcoastobserver.com/article/candidate-qa-us-house-6-ron-desantis-r.
Perry, Mitch. "Ron DeSantis Admits GOP Faithful Are 'Demoralized, Depressed and Dejected' at D.C. Republicans." SaintPetersBlog. 8 Sept. 2015, https://saintpetersblog.com/ron-desantis-admits-gop-faithful-are-demoralized-depressed-and-dejected-at-d-c-republicans/.
Romano, John. "The Ron DeSantis Double Play: A Star Ballplayer and a Future Politician." Tampa Bay Times, 10 Mar. 2020, https://www.tampabay.com/sports/rays/2020/03/10/the-ron-desantis-double-play-a-star-ballplayer-and-a-future-politician/.
"Ron DeSantis, Governor from Florida." Voterly, http://voterly.com/politicians/cs2to3Z0bd/ron-desantis.
Schorsch, Peter. "As Federal Prosecutor, Did Ron DeSantis Go Easy in Child Porn Cases?" Florida Politics – Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government., 20 Mar. 2018, https://floridapolitics.com/archives/259197-desantis/.
Smith, Adam C., and Alex Leary. "Ivy Leaguer, Military Man, Trump's Pick." Tampa Bay Times via Newspapers.com, 11 Feb. 2018, p. A8, http://www.newspapers.com/image/475566336/.
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Q: Im having trouble populating ListTile in ListView.builder from database Im having trouble populating ListTile in ListView.builder from database.
I dont have "model class" since i dont need to update delete data i just need simple query.
I have ExpansionTile with three categories and in each one i need query from db. I dont know hoe to write or what to return from db class for this to work.
        child: Column(
          children: <Widget>[
            Expanded(
              child: ListView.builder(
                itemBuilder: (context, i) => ExpansionTile(
                      title: new Text(
                        '${categoryName[i]}',
                        style: TextStyle(
                            fontSize: 18,
                            fontStyle: FontStyle.normal,
                            fontWeight: FontWeight.bold,
                            color: Color.fromRGBO(49, 85, 158, 1)),
                      ),
                      children: list                //final list = new List.generate(17, (i) => "Item ${i + 1}"); --just to populete with dummy items, instad of this i need db data
                          .map((val) => ListTile(
                                  // leading: Icon(Icons.add),
                                  title: new Row(
                                children: <Widget>[
                                  new Checkbox(
                                      value: _isCheck,
                                      onChanged: (bool value) {
                                        onChange(value);

                                      }),
                                  new Expanded(child: new Text(val)),
                                ],
                              )))
                          .toList(),
                    ),
                itemCount: categoryName.length,
              ),
            ),

          ],
        ),

From my db class :
  Future<List> getAllNotes() async {
    var databasesPath = await getDatabasesPath();
    String path = join(databasesPath, 'books.db');
    Database database = await openDatabase(path, version: 1);
    //var dbClient = await database();
    var result = await database.rawQuery('SELECT * FROM $booksTable WHERE $colDescription = ${'Adventure'}');

    return result.toList();
  }

So how to write simple query to get result in ListView/ListTile?

A: You really need to provide much more details about your problem. Anyways, ill try to answer with what I have understood.
Let's say you have a table names 'booksTable' with 3 fields:
bookId | bookName | bookCategory
  1       Book A     Adventure
  2       Book B      History
  3       Book C     Adventure
  4       Book D      History

Make sure you create all these database functions in DatabaseHelper() class, so that you don't have to write logic to db again and again.
Now you query will look something like this:
Future<List<String>> getAllNotes(String category) async {
    var dbClient = await database();
 List<String> bookNames = List<String();
    var result = await dbClient.rawQuery("SELECT bookname FROM booksTable WHERE bookCategory = $category");
result.forEach((item) {
 bookNames.add(item["bookname"]);
});
    return bookNames;
      }

This will work only if you have to deserialise 1 column. If you have multiple columns selected, you have to create a model class.
Now in your front view, you have two options:
1) You can use initState to populate your List with bookNames of category in the parameter
2) You can use FutureBuilder to populate your list as well
(You have to use StatefulWidget for both these options)
I'll show you how to do it using initState here. If you want to know how to do it using FutureBuilder, let me know in comments.
List<String> booksList =List<String>();
var db = DatabaseHelper();

readList() async {
booksList = await db.getAllNotes("Adventure");
}

@override
void initState() {
    super.initState();
 readList();
}

ListView.builder(
                itemBuilder: (context, i) {
Column( crossAxisAlignment: CrossAxisAlignment.stretch,
          children: <Widget>[
               ExpansionTile(
                      title: new Text(
                        "Adventure Category",
                        style: TextStyle(
                            fontSize: 18,
                            fontStyle: FontStyle.normal,
                            fontWeight: FontWeight.bold,
                            color: Color.fromRGBO(49, 85, 158, 1)),
                      ),
                      ListTile(
                                  title: new Row(
                                children: <Widget>[
                                  new Checkbox(
                                      value: _isCheck,
                                      onChanged: (bool value) {
                                        onChange(value);
                                      }),
                                  Expanded(child: new Text("${booksList[i]}")),
                                ],
                              )))
                    ),])}
                itemCount: booksList.length,
              ),
            ),
          ],
        )

Note: There might be typos in the code above, since i have typed it on phone, but you get the idea how to do it, right?

A: So, i have ListView (with 3 expanded groups) im geting them from array: ( List categoryName = ['Part 1: Adventure', 'Part 2:  History','Part 3: Horror'];
And passing then here :
     child: Column(
          children: [
            Expanded(
              child: ListView.builder(
                itemBuilder: (context, i) => ExpansionTile(
                      title: new Text(
                        '${categoryName[i]}',
                      ),
That part working fine, i get 3 expandeble titles, now children of that ( ListTile ) need to be populate from db .
With your example :
readList() async {
    sinsAgainstGod = await db.getSins("Adventure");
}
I get error: ...near "Adventure": syntax error..
And keep geting  0 lenght on booksList...
  Future<List<String>> getNotes(String category) async {
    var databasesPath = await getDatabasesPath();
    String path = join(databasesPath, 'books.db');
    Database database = await openDatabase(path, version: 1);

    List<String> bookNames = List<String>();
    var result = await database.rawQuery("SELECT $colDescription FROM $booksTable WHERE = $category ");
    result.forEach((item) {
      bookNames.add(item['Category']);

    });
    return bookNames;
  }

What this result.forEach(item) suppose to do?

A: Thank you for your answer it was helpful.
Can you tell me why im getting 20 same description instead literate through all with this code:
  Future<List<String>> getSins(String column) async {
    var databasesPath = await getDatabasesPath();
    String path = join(databasesPath, 'confession.db');
    Database database = await openDatabase(path, version: 1);

    List<String> bookNames = List<String>();

    for (int i = 0; i < 20; i++) {
      var result = await database.rawQuery(
          'SELECT * FROM $plannerTable WHERE $colCategory= "Adventure');
      bookNames.add((result[0][column].toString()));
    }

    return bookNames;
}

I want to get all decription from adventure category. Tnx

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
GEAB N°51 is available! Systemic global crisis - 2011: The ruthless year, at the crossroads of three roads of global chaos
This GEAB issue marks the fifth anniversary of the publication of the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin. In January 2006, on the occasion of the first issue, the LEAP/E2020 team indicated that a period of four to seven years was opening up which would be characterized by the "Fall of the Dollar Wall", an event similar to the fall of the Berlin Wall which resulted, in the following years, in the collapse of the communist bloc then that of the USSR. Today, in this GEAB issue, which presents our thirty-two anticipations for 2011, we believe that the coming year will be a pivotal year in the roll out of this process between 2010 and 2013. It will be, in any case, a ruthless year because it will mark the entry into the terminal phase of the world before the crisis (1).
Since September 2008, when the evidence of the global and systemic nature of the crisis became clear to all, the United States, and behind it the Western countries, were content with palliative measures that have merely hidden the undermining effects of the crisis on the foundations of the present-day international system. 2011 will, according to our team, mark the crucial moment when, on the one hand, these palliative measures see their anesthetic effect fade away whilst, in contrast, the consequences of systemic dislocation in recent years will dramatically surge to the forefront (2).
In summary, 2011 will be marked by a series of violent shocks that will explode the faulty safety devices put in place since 2008 (3) and will carry off, one by one, the "pillars" on which the "Dollar Wall" has rested for decades. Only the countries, communities, organizations and individuals which, over the last three years, have actually undertaken to learn the lessons from the current crisis to distance themselves as quickly as possible from the pre-crisis patterns, values and behavior will get through this year unscathed; the others will be carried away in the procession of monetary, financial, economic, social and political difficulties that 2011 holds.
Thus, as we believe that 2011 will, globally, be the most chaotic year since 2006, the date of the beginning of our work on the crisis, in this GEAB issue our team has focused on 32 anticipations for 2011, which also include a number of recommendations to deal with future shocks. Thus, this GEAB issue offers a kind of map forecasting financial, monetary, political, economic and social shocks for the next twelve months.
If our team believes that 2011 will be the worst year since 2006, the beginning of our anticipation work on the systemic crisis, it's because it's at the crossroads of three paths to global chaos. Absent fundamental treatment of the causes of the crisis, since 2008 the world has only gone back to take a better jump forward.
A bloodless international system
The first path that the crisis can take to cause world chaos is simply a violent and unpredictable shock. The dilapidated state of the international system is now so advanced that its cohesion is at the mercy of any large-scale disaster (4). Just look at the inability of the international community to effectively help Haiti over the past year (5), the United States to rebuild New Orleans for six years, the United Nations to resolve the problems in Darfur, Côte d'Ivoire for a decade, the United States to progress peace in the Middle East, NATO to beat the Taliban in Afghanistan, the Security Council to control the Korean and Iranian issues, the West to stabilize Lebanon, the G20 to end the global crisis be it financial, food, economic, social, monetary, ... to see that over the whole range of climatic and humanitarian disasters, like economic and social crises, the international system is now powerless.
In fact, since the mid-2000s at least, all the major global players, at their head of course the United States and its cortege of Western countries, do no more than give out information, or gesticulate. In reality, all bets are off: The crisis ball rolls and everyone holds their breath so it doesn't fall on their square. But gradually the increasing risks and issues of the crisis have changed the casino's roulette wheel into Russian roulette. For LEAP/E2020, the whole world has begun to play Russian roulette (6), or rather its 2011 version, "American Roulette" with five bullets in the barrel.
Monthly progression of the FAO food index (2010) and the price of principal foodstuffs (2009/2010) (base 100: averaged over 2002-2004) - Source: FAO/Crikey, 01/2011
Soaring commodity prices (food, energy (7),...) should remind us of 2008 (8). It was indeed in the six months preceding Lehman Brothers and Wall Street's collapse that the previous episode of sharp increases in commodity prices was set. And the actual causes are the same as before: a flight from financial and monetary assets in favour of "concrete" investments. Last time the big players fled the mortgage market and everything that depended on it, as well as the U.S. Dollar; today they are fleeing all financial stocks, Treasury bonds (9) and other public debts. Therefore, we have to wait for a time between Spring and Autumn 2011 for the explosion of the quadruple bubble of Treasury bonds, public debt (10), bank balance sheets (11) and real estate (American, Chinese, British, Spanish,... and commercial (12)), all taking place against a backdrop of a heightened currency war (13).
The inflation induced by US, British and Japanese Quantitative Easing and similar stimulus measures of the Europeans and Chinese will be one of the destabilizing factors in 2011 (14). We will come back to this in more detail in this issue. But what is now clear with respect to what is happening in Tunisia (15), is that this global context, especially the rise in food and energy prices, now leads on to radical social and political shocks (16). The other reality that the Tunisian case reveals is the impotence of the French, Italian or American "godfathers" to prevent the collapse of a "friendly regime" (17).
Impotence of the major global geopolitical players
And this impotence of the major global geopolitical players is the other path that the crisis can use to produce world chaos in 2011. In effect, one can place the major G20 powers in two groups whose only point in common is that they are unable to influence events decisively.
On one side we haves a moribund West with, on the one hand, the United States, for whom 2011 will show that its leadership is no more than fiction (see this issue) and which is trying to freeze the entire international system in its configuration of the early 2000s (18), and on the other hand we have Euroland, "sovereign" in the pipeline, which is currently mainly focused on adapting to its new environment (19) and new status as an emerging geopolitical entity (20), and which, therefore, has neither the energy nor the vision necessary to influence world events (21).
And on the other side are the BRIC countries (with China and Russia in particular) who are, at the moment, proving to be incapable of taking control of all or part of the international system and whose only action is therefore limited to quietly undermine what remains of the foundations of the pre-crisis order (22).
Ultimately, impotence is widespread (23) at the international community level, increasing not only the risk of major shocks, but also the significance of the consequences of these shocks. The world of 2008 was taken by surprise by the violent impact of the crisis, but paradoxically the international system was better equipped to respond being organized around an undisputed leader (24). In 2011, this is no longer the case: not only is there no undisputed leader, but the system is bloodless as we have seen above. And the situation is aggravated further by the fact that the societies of many countries in the world are on the verge of socio-economic break-up.
US petrol prices (2009-2011) - Source: GasBuddy, 01/2011
Societies on the edge of socio-economic break-up
This is particularly the case in the United States and Europe where three years of crisis are beginning to weigh very heavily on the socio-economic and therefore political balance. US households, now insolvent in their tens of millions, oscillate between sustained poverty (25) and rage against the system. European citizens, trapped between unemployment and the dismantling of the welfare state (26), are starting to refuse to pay the bills for financial and budget crises and are beginning to look for culprits (banks, the Euro, government political parties…).
But amongst the emerging powers too, the violent transition which constitutes the crisis is leading societies towards situations of break-up: in China, the need to control expanding financial bubbles is hampered by the desire to improve the lot of whole sectors of society such as the need for employment for tens of millions of casual workers; in Russia, the weakness of the social security system fits badly with the enrichment of the elite, just as in Algeria shaken by riots. In Turkey, Brazil and India, everywhere the rapid change these countries are seeing is triggering riots, protests and terrorist attacks. For reasons that are sometimes contradictory, growth for some, penury for others, across the globe our diverse societies tackle 2011 in a context of strong tensions and socio-economic break-up, which have the making of political time bombs.
It's its position at the crossroads of three paths which thus makes 2011 a ruthless year. And ruthless it will be for the States (and local authorities) which have chosen not to draw hard conclusions from the three years of crisis which have gone before and / or who have contented themselves with cosmetic changes not altering their fundamental imbalances at all. It will also be so for businesses (and States (27)) who believed that the improvement in 2010 was a sign of a return to "normal" of the global economy. And finally it will be so for investors who have not understood that yesterday's investments (securities, currencies,...) couldn't be those of tomorrow (in any case for several years). History is usually a "good girl". She often gives a warning shot before sweeping away the past. This time, it gave the warning shot in 2008. We estimate that in 2011, it will do the sweeping. Only players who have undertaken, even painstakingly, even partially, to adapt to the new conditions generated by the crisis will be able to hang on; for the others, chaos is at the end of the road.
(1) Or of the world that we have known since 1945 to repeat our 2006 description.
(2) The recent decision by the US Department of Labor to extend the inclusion of the measure of long-term unemployment in the US employment statistics to five years instead of the maximum of two years until now, is a good indicator of the entry into a new stage of the crisis, a step that has seen the disappearance of the "practices" of the world before. As a matter of fact, the US government cites "the unprecedented rise" of long-term unemployment to justify this decision. Source: The Hill, 12/28/2010
(3) These measures (monetary, financial, economic, budgetary, strategic) are now closely linked. That's why they will be carried away in a series of successive shocks.
(4) Source: The Independent, 01/13/2011
(5) It's even worse because it was international aid that brought cholera to the island, causing thousands of deaths.
(6) Moreover Timothy Geithner, US Treasury Secretary, little known for his overactive imagination, has just indicated that "the US government could once again have to do exceptional things", referring to the bank bailout in 2008. Source: MarketWatch, 01/13/2011
(7) Moreover, India and Iran are in the course of establishing a system of exchange "gold for oil" to try and avoid supply disruptions. Source: Times of India, 01/08/2011
(8) In January 2011 the FAO food price index (at 215) has just exceeded its previous record set in May 2008 (at 214).
(9) Wall Street banks are currently unloading their US Treasury bonds as fast as possible (unseen since 2004). Their official explanation is "the remarkable improvement in the US economy which no longer requires us to seek refuge in Treasury Bonds". Of course, you are free to believe it, like Bloomberg 's journalist on 01/10/2011.
(10) Thus Euroland is already taking big steps forward along the path described in the GEAB N°50 with a discount in the case of refinancing the debts of a member state, whilst Japanese and US debt are now about to enter the storm. Sources: Bloomberg, 01/07/2011; Telegraph, 01/05/2011
(11) We believe that, in general, global banks' balance sheets contain at least 50% ghost assets which in the coming year will require to be discounted by between 20% to 40% due to the return of the global recession combined with austerity, the rise in defaults on household, business, community and state loans, currency wars and a pickup in the fall of real estate prices. The American, European, Chinese, Japanese and others "stress-tests" can still continue to try and reassure markets with "Care Bears" scenarios except that this year it's "Alien against Predator " which is on the banks' agenda. Source: Forbes, 01/12/2011
(12) Each of these real estate markets will fall sharply again in 2011 in the case of those which have already started falling in recent years, or in the case of China, which will begin its sharp deflation amid economic slowdown and monetary tightening.
(13) The Japanese economy is, moreover, one of the first victims of this currency war, with 76% of the CEOs of 110 major Japanese companies surveyed by Kyodo News now reported being pessimistic about Japanese growth in 2011 following the rise in the yen. Source: JapanTimes, 01/04/2011
(14) Here are several instructive examples put together by the excellent John Rubino. Source: DollarCollapse, 01/08/2011
(15) By way of reminder, in the GEAB N°48 we had classified Tunisia in the category of countries "with significant risks" in 2011.
(16) No doubt, moreover, that the Tunisian example is generating a round of reassessment amongst the rating agencies and the "experts in geopolitics", who, as usual, didn't see anything coming. The Tunisian case also illustrates the fact that it's now the satellite countries of the West in general and the US in particular, who are on the way to shocks in 2011 and in the years to come. And it confirms what we regularly repeat: a crisis accelerates all the historical processes. The Ben Ali regime, twenty-three years old, collapsed in a few weeks. When political obsolescence is involved everything changes quickly. Now it's all the pro-Western Arab regimes which are obsolete in the light of events in Tunisia.
(17) No doubt this « Western godfather » paralysis will be carefully analyzed in Rabat, Cairo, Jeddah and Amman, for example.
(18) A configuration that was all the more favorable because it was without a counterweight to their influence.
(19) We will return in more detail in this GEAB issue, but seen from China we are not mistaken. Source: Xinhua, 01/02/2011
(20) Little by little Europeans are discovering that they are dependent on centres of power other than Washington. Beijing, Moscow, Brazilia, New Dehli,… Source: La Tribune, 01/05/2011; Libération, 12/24/2010; El Pais, 01/05/2011
(21) All Japan's energy is focused on its desperate attempt to resist the attraction of China. As for other Western countries, they are not able to significantly influence global trends.
(22) The US Dollar's place in the global system is a part of these last foundations that the BRIC countries are actively eroding day after day.
(23) As regards deficit, the US case is textbook. Beyond the speeches, everything continues as before the crisis with a deficit swelling exponentially. However, even the IMF is now ringing the alarm. Source: Reuters, 01/08/2011
(24) Moreover, even the Wall Street Journal on 01/12/2011, echoing the Davos Forum, is concerned over the lack of international coordination, which is in itself a major risk to the global economy.
(25) Millions of Americans are discovering food banks for the first time in their lives, whilst in California, as in many other states, the education system is disintegrating fast. In Illinois, studies on the state deficit are now comparing it to the Titanic. 2010 broke the record for real estate foreclosures. Sources: Alternet, 12/27/2010; CNN, 01/08/2011; IGPA-Illinois, 01/2011; LADailyNews, 01/13/2011
(26) Ireland, which is facing, purely and simply, a reconstruction of its economy, is a good example of situations to come. But even Germany, with remarkable current economic results however can't escape this development as shown by the funding crisis for cultural activities. Whilst in the United Kingdom, millions of retirees are seeing their incomes cut for the third year running. Sources : Irish Times, 12/31/2010; Deutsche Welle, 01/03/2011; Telegraph, 01/13/2011
(27) In this regard, US leaders confirm that they are rushing straight into the wall of public debt, failing to anticipate the problems. Indeed, the recent statement by Ben Bernanke, the Fed chairman, that the Fed will not help the States (30% fall in 2009 tax revenues according to the Washington Post on 01/05/2011) and the cities collapsing under their debts, just as Congress decides to stop issuing "Build America Bonds" which enabled States to avoid bankruptcy these last few years, shows a Washington blindness only equal to that which Washington demonstrated in 2007/2008 in the face of the mounting consequences of the "subprime" crisis. Sources: Bloomberg, 01/07/2011; WashingtonBlog, 01/13/2011
http://www.leap2020.eu/geab-n-51-is-available-systemic-global-crisis-2011-the-ruthless-year-at-the-crossroads-of-three-roads-of-global-chaos_a5775.html
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Labels: europe, geab, leap2020, US
Long Shadows Cast Over Useconomy
Numerous are the threats to the USEconomy and US financial structures. Many are hidden threats, subtle challenges to undermine increasingly fragile support systems, planks, and cables that hold the system together. The year 2011 will be when the system breaks in open visible fashion, when the explanations that justify it sound silly and baseless, when the entire bond world endures major crashes. All thing financial are inter-related. Recall that in summer 2007, the professor occupying the US Federal Reserve claimed the subprime mortgage crisis was isolated. The Jackass countered with a claim that the bond market was suffering a crisis in absolute terms, where all bond markets were on the verge of fracture, perhaps globally. In year 2008 the banking system in the Western world broke, fatally and irreparably in my view. In 2009, the solutions, the treatment, the official programs were all exaggerated for their effectiveness while banker welfare became a fixture. Neglect of the people on Main Street became policy. In 2010, the system revealed it is still broken. The global monetary system after all rests atop the sovereign bond market. This year, it must fight off a collapse. Many are the hidden points of vulnerability. Gold & Silver will continue to be the great beneficiaries.
BOND OUTFLOWS
Huge outflows have struck from US-based bond funds, while the outflows continue for stock funds since may 2010. Even the flagship pimco bond fund saw net redemptions. The public is stepping aside as the usfed does its destructive work. No end is in sight for the stock fund outflows. A public boycott seems firmly in place. The new event is the largest bond fund outflow in almost 30 months. The Investment Company Institute reported that in the week ended December 15th, another massive outflow took place from domestic stock funds. It was the 33rd week in a row, amounting to an exit of $2.4 billion. Worse, taxable and municipal bonds saw a nasty shocker of $8.62 billion in outflows, which included another record $4.9 billion in muni bond outflows. Bond mutual funds had the biggest client withdrawals in more than two years, as a flight from fixed income investments has accelerated. The withdrawals were the largest since mid-October 2008, when investors pulled out $17.6 billion from bond funds. The US bond fund retreat showed acceleration signs, since the rise was from $1.66 billion the week before, according to the ICI report. So outflows are in progress for both US stocks and US bonds!! Year to date, investors have yanked $100 billion in funds from US-focused equity mutual funds, offset by a smaller $16 billion in comparable inflows into equity strategies via ETFunds. The $250 billion PIMCO Total Return Fund, managed by Bill Gross, had its first net withdrawals in two years in November as investors pulled $1.9 billion, according to Morningstar.
The public has grown jaded by stories of flash trading smears of the stock market, insider trading scandals, and incessant internal reports of stock support from the Working Group for Financial Markets. They sense stock prices are heavily manipulated and not a reflection of true value. They might on a wider basis believe that most US financial markets are either in ruins or corrupted. The vast record outflows accompany a rise in the S&P500 stock index, which is a clear signal of USGovt prop programs in a corrupt market. Ridiculous illogical and ludicrous interpretations continue to be disseminated about the USEconomy in recovery. The false story has become a billboard message of deception. We are told that investors are retreating from bond funds after signs of an economic recovery and a stock market rally, which have lifted interest rates broadly. The reality is something quite different. The selloff in USTreasurys happened exactly after the US Federal Reserve in November offered specific details on its pledge to purchase $600 billion in bond assets to revive the sluggish USEconomy. The 10-year USTreasury yields lie in the 3.2% to 3.4% range, much higher than the 2.49% in the first week of November. The bond market contradiction to the USFed monetization plan is without precedent in US bond market history, a grandiose insult.
The QE2 team is buying $100 billion in USTBonds per month, taking up the slack, without producing any decline in bond yields. The USFed is running a dangerous desperate gambit. Attempts to hold together the ustreasury market during its QE2 strongarm episode are underway. Obviously the USFed is the USTreasury market, with outsized USTBond purchases as part of its QE2 program. An approved posse of market specialists is buying hundreds of $billions of USTreasury securities on the open market. They are filling a vacuum. They are offsetting global creditors in abandonment. They bought in 2011 a full 75% of all USGovt debt issuance, just like Banana Republics!! They must keep the interest rates low. They must prevent a credit derivative blowup event. The USFed is fast losing all credibility, exhausting its power, testing its limits, fighting off demands for independent audits. The QE2 team seeks the best price available. However, due the fully advertised initiative and the heavy volume, is destined to pay a premium price. They have tipped their hand, as they buy $100 billion per month in USTreasurys. It is not possible to be a known buyer with a schedule and agenda, and execute favorable prices. An unexpected backfire occurred on the way to the QE2 launch. Bond yields fell sharply between August and November as the markets anticipated the new program. Bond yields have defiantly risen since details on QE2 were formally announced in November, delivering losses to the frontrunners in the autumn months. Too much doubt was left lingering on the volume of the program, and furthermore, whether a QE3 would launch. Bernanke actually hinted of a third launch, foolishly. The states need several hundred $billion, another monetization object.
GOLD & SILVER PREPARE FOR ANOTHER BREAKOUT
A major consolidation is taking place in the Gold price. A near total disconnect has occurred between the physical Gold & Silver markets and the control strings from the paper futures market held by the maestros. Grotesque shortages exist in silver. Difficulties in gold delivery are commonplace. The central banks and Bank For Intl Settlements scramble to keep gold & silver supplied to the exchanges, in order to avert openly visible defaults. A strong uptrend with rising moving averages is evident in Gold. The breakout in October has been consolidating for three full months, while Europe experiences its open sores of sovereign debt distress. Its price will soon encounter the uptrend lines for likely ignition. When a European aid package is assembled, whether of substance or not, merely if it seems credible, the Euro currency will rebound and the Gold bull will resume. In year 2011, the global monetary system will fracture in visible fashion. Its broken debt foundation will be the proximal cause. Gold is widely regarded as a reserve asset, no longer a stodgy secure asset for Arab sheiks. The dirtiest little secret might be that private Wall Street firm accounts own vast Gold bullion accounts, while their corporate banking entities in South Manhattan own the short futures positions, soon to be dumped on the USGovt in formal fashion. The greatest propulsion force to the Gold price is obviously the USFed and its grandiose QE2 initiative. Their purchase of $100 billion in USTBonds per month signifies that they are the USTreasury Bond market. PIMCO is worried sick about the unbridled monetization. The USFed monetized 75% of USGovt debt in 2011. When the USFed is done with QE2, they will argue for a QE3, probably to cover state debt shortfalls. The precedent has been set. The global currency war is in full swing. Simply put, the Gold price will rise when China is prepared to pay a higher price, after exhausting supply at lower prices.
The greatest offender in currency manipulation and currency undermine is the United States. It is essential that the USGovt continue to make accusations against foreign central bankers, in order to deflect attention. The problem is QE2, and the likelihood of a followup QE3. The USGovt is without permission forcing a debt writedown on foreign USTreasury creditors by installing inflation engines. See the commodity prices, led by food & energy. The USFed and USDept Treasury will proclaim victory by mid-summer, as price inflation begins to rage much hotter. They will call it economic growth. Check import price inflation from the last three months of 2011. Import prices rose 3.7% during that brief time. Not just emerging economies like China and Brazil are contending with price inflation. The US does too, but it calls it growth, since its economic trackers are much more accomplished decepticons. When job losses mount in the second half of 2011, the lies will be unmasked. The USFed is the greatest destoyer of working capital in the history of the world. Their balance sheet is negative $1 trillion and growing worse, their highly appropriate report card. Their wretched financial condition matches their decaying reputation. They are the buyer of worthless toxic bonds, the buyer of last resort. The housing market will NOT recover to bail them out.
USGOVT BUDGET BATTLES
Budget battles are sure to reveal the true fascist motives of those in power. The people will be denied while the war machine is preserved, guns & bombs over bread & butter, big banks over households. In fact, the defense budgets will not be reduced. Rather, defense contractors will be forced to eat cost overruns without volume cutbacks in weapon units at all. The war is sacred, the signature mark of the fascist state. The USGovt seems to have suddenly found religion in reducing the budget and its deeply engrained deficit. It is more superficial than from the heart with conviction. The new wave is all about perceptions. To be sure, some in the USCongress are worried sick and scared pale over the prospects of a structural $trillion deficit. A decade ago such a deficit magnitude would be considered a telltale signature of a Banana Republic nation sliding toward the Third World perilously. The budget battle with the new USCongress will be extremely revealing of the priorities for the Syndicate in full control of the USGovt and press networks. The budget process will in my view continue to place the war as a sacred priority not to be touched, not to be altered, not to be disrupted. In rough terms, the USGovt budget contains components 20.0% Defense, 21.0% Social Security & Medicare, and 14.0% Safety Net System.
In my view, the budget cuts will come exclusively from the people and their homes and work centers, their pensions, their Social Security & Medicare. Tax deduction removals and phaseouts will be a centerpiece. The war machine has given stress to the defense contractors, who will be expected to absorb cost overruns in weapons programs, according to recent Pentagon pronouncements. Enormous costs are involved with the war machine support. The base military budget is $536 billion. The extended budget for the wars adds another $170 billion in supplemental spending, which officials prefer to call Overseas Contingency Operations since it sounds more sophisticated.
The total sum, over $700 billion per year, is the sacred cost of the USMilitary. It includes hundreds of overseas bases, lavish embassies, and endless weapon systems, of types conventional, nuclear, and drones. The United States spends as much on annual military investment as the rest of the world combined, according to the Stockholm Intl Peace Research Institute. One must wonder if the wars are to produce enemies. The United States maintains troops at more than 560 bases and other sites abroad. The outsized yawning Defense spending is a primary cause for USGovt insolvency. It has a staggering deficit impact on the budget and the negative international image of the nation. Watch the unfolding events as the USGovt and USCongress grapple with spending cuts. They will avoid Pentagon and defense budget cuts with fierce opposition. This is a key part of the Fascist Business Model, as sacred as Wall Street largesse.
Harken back to the 1950 decade, during the post-WW2 glow. President Dwight Eisenhower once said, "Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed." The words from Ike fell on deaf ears. Not until the last decade have his words rung shrill. He never met the current crowd in control, but he could see a path to their evolution, which he called the Military Industrial Complex. No disrespect is meant to soldiers who have sacrificed. One must wonder for what cause their sacrifice has been, and toward what outsized profits to defense and service contractors, even Syndicate bank accounts. Talk has already begun, that "out of respect for our fighting soldiers and veterans" who have served in active duty, the defense budget will be spared of cuts. Watch the priorities be revealed as the battle unfolds over the budget. In my view, the potential for defense cuts and huge savings is great but it will not be tapped. Instead the people will be asked to expect less aid, to rely upon less, to eat less, to expect less federal help, and endure poverty more.
SHADOW HOME INVENTORY
The standard inventory of homes comes from brokers and multilists. The hidden inventory of homes adds another 50% to 80% to the working supply, half of that from pending seizures, half from bank owned units festering on their balance sheets. Home prices cannot rise in such a deeply distressed climate. The unofficial shadow inventory is another one million homes. Any economist who overlooks the hidden supply of homes is a hack. The housing market cannot recovery for another two years, until it works off the hidden inventory. The problem is that the ongoing home foreclosures results in more bank seizures, and a steady source of renewed hidden inventory. Housing is a crippled market, one that acts like a gigantic millstone around the USEconomy. Housing prices will descend further in 2011, as the shadow inventory acts with powerful forces upon the Supply & Demand equation. It still applies despite any messianic proclamations from banking high priests or Wall Street marketing agents. The mainstream has finally begun to grasp the wreckage and ruin, but not that the housing sector will cause a systemic failure for the nation. It is most assuredly coming. The contradictions and shallow work of Roubini are worth a pass. His work has been ridiculed in the past by the Jackass, like a few months ago when he expected the gold market to turn down. Instead, it rose another 10% to 15% in a string of breakouts. Yet he is still revered, and sought as a guest on the financial networks.
Nouriel Roubini offers some obvious commentary, followed by contradictory nonsense about a USEconomic recovery. His inconsistency earns him a 'C Minus' grade in his own class. The professor is a fool once again. Roubini acknowledges that the housing market is in a double dip, as prices can only go down. He brought attention to what he called below trend economic growth as baseline, but also two negative factors specific to the housing market. The first factor is the expiration of federal home buyer tax credits for first-time home buyers. The housing prices have been falling every month since the tax credit expired last May. He correctly identified the stolen demand from the future to take advantage of the home buyer credit. So he makes an obvious point. The second factor putting downward pressure on home prices is the ongoing chaos with mortgage documentation, and the related temporary moratorium by banks for mortgage foreclosure proceedings. The suspension appears to be ending. Aware of an imminent flood of housing supply, Roubini said "There has been an effective moratorium on foreclosures. The shadow inventory of not-yet-foreclosed homes, due to the moratorium, will surge in the next year. Supply will increase, demand will drop." Obvious points, enough to force a USEconomic recession without a remote chance otherwise.
Roubini remains a shallow economist without strong basis for his opinions, even plain contradictions. He does not expect a double dip recession, since he believes the USGovt kool-aid on doctored statistics. The dull blade Roubini said, "The rest of the economy is recovering. Most of the numbers are consistent with a growth rate of 2.7%, still below trend. So unemployment will likely remain above 9%. The EuroZone shock, long-term structural deficits, and state & local governments operating near bankruptcy are other ominous economic signs on the horizon. The 12 million households are already in negative equity and 8 million more have an Loan-to-Value between 95% and 100%. Thus even a 5% fall in home price will push an extra 8 million in negative equity with risk of millions walking away from their home, i.e. jingle mail." Without realization, he undermines his own assessment of slow USEconomic growth, and provides ample justification for a worse recession than already is in progress. His housing market observations contradict his economic outlook. He does not realize (or admit) that price inflation is running at over 7% right here, right now. Therefore the GDP estimates are all way high, exaggerated by 5% or more. The USEconomy is mired in a deep recession. Sadly, Roubini is a victim of the establishment, which ordered him to compromise his work in order to continue to occupy an important post. See the CNBC article.
The Great Roubini is awakening to the disaster in housing, but he does not yet grasp how it will result in a systemic USEconomic failure. He begins with a slow growth scenario, then cannot justify it, even to contradict it while discussing relevant factors. He will be one of the first shoddy economists to claim the USEconomy is in recovery, as price inflation accelerates, which will incorrectly be labeled it growth. My theory is simple. If the entire USEconomy depended upon the housing boom to expand from 2003 to 2007, then it will be capable of collapsing the same structures given the extreme vulnerability to debt. The vicious cycle will be powerful, unstoppable, and deadly. It has been game over since the September 2008 events when the US banking system collapsed and died, led by Lehman Brothers, Fannie Mae, and AIG. The weight of the continuing housing market decline, combined with strangulation in the banks with toxic debt paper and a surplus of home inventory, is easily sufficient to cause a systemic failure to the entire USEconomy. The big banks are stuck in mud at the cemetery gate. That failure is in progress with momentum. Guys like Roubini and Krugman will be the last to realize the collapse. They are celebrated cheerleaders within the system, compromised souls.
LABOR MARKET STEP-DOWN
The economic step-down is a hidden powerful effect in the de-industrialization of America. The job growth is not a sufficient condition for the USEconomy recovery. People are taking lesser jobs, with huge declines in income. Fewer opportunities exist, while survival demands tough decisions. The endless USEconomic recession has an ugly trademark. People are taking steep pay cuts, enduring lasting reductions in wages. People are taking jobs far below their skill levels. Between 2007 and 2009, more than half the full-time workers who lost jobs (held for at least three years) and found new jobs later reported wage declines, according to the USDept Labor. The detail is 36% of them reported the new job paid 20% less than the previous lost job. An effect rarely seen in recessions since the Great Depression, wages have taken a sharp and swift decline for a significant slice of the labor market. THIS IS A THIRD WORLD HARBINGER. It is worse for many others. The unemployment rolls include 14.5 million people, even 6.4 million stuck jobless for more than six months. A key part of earnings losses, according to the survey, is that workers skills acquired over the last two decades that are fast becoming outdated and obsolete. Then instead of gaining new skills for a higher paying job, they often settle for a lower wage and stop their job hunts, unable to benefit from training. Lack of retraining programs is a huge dropped ball by the USGovt, whose economists cannot find their hind parts with their hands. Research shows that children of displaced workers also suffer in a domino effect. Even those fortunate to remain on the same jobs have seen wage cuts. Many assume more duties too.
RETAIL LEADERS ON THE ROPES
Howard Davidowitz screams his case on the broad retail distress, with details. He warns of huge unresolved problems with commercial property loans, with great stress for landlords. A Paradigm Shift is underway, for smaller footprint shopping centers, as the United States footprint is double anything reasonable. The consumer model is fast breaking down. Davidowitz does not mince words, as he destroyed the illusion of a USEconomic recovery, pointing out absolutely no consumer renaissance. During a recent Bloomberg interview, retail expert Howard Davidowitz shattered the consensus klapptrapp, with quality content and logical thought. He said, "I am not surprised by the strength of retail sales, because I knew that 30% of consumers are responsible for retail sales, and these 30% did much better because of the performance of capital markets. I do not think it is indicative of anything going forward. I do not think the economy is going to get any better. If you look at our fiscal and monetary policy, we went two trillion dollars in the hole last year. Two trillion, to produce this, and unemployment went up to 9.8%! We have spent two trillion dollars. We are printing money. We are going bananas. Our the balance sheet, we have $2.6 trillion on there, and for what? Look at government securities, and mortgage backed securities. If interest rates go up a point Bernanke's bankrupt. Everything he has bought is underwater. All the mortgage bonds are underwater, the whole country is underwater. Does anyone see the issue now with why rising interest rates, aside from predicting a supposed recovery, may also, courtesy of its [greatly increased wrecked bond investments], actually predicts the insolvency of the Federal Reserve?" His comments are not a breath of fresh air, strewn with honesty.
Davidowitz provided several key observations on the supposed retail renaissance. Wal-Mart makes for 10% of US retail sales, has 150 million customers, and its stock it is down six consecutive quarters, not a good sign. Sears is the largest department store in America, but their stock is in terrible shape. Best Buy suffered a huge earnings miss. The financial loss recorded by ToysRUs increased last quarter. Supermarket chain A&P recently filed for bankruptcy. Department store chain Loehmanns just filed for bankruptcy. Charming Shoppes announced plans to close 100 stores. TJMaxx just liquidated AJRight. Davidowitz honed in on Sears for crucifixion. Sears is in the tank, ready to fold its tents in his opinion. Eddie Lampert took over the company recently from his hedge fund position, lacking any conceivable operational experience. He has engrained a policy that departs from price competition. He has not invested in capital equipment upgrades. He has sold his best stores. His online investment has not succeeded. The corporation is gutted, heading for the dumpster, then cemetery. If Lampert were smart, he would sell the company to a greater fool. A joke has surfaced, that A&P might merge with Stop & Shop, with a new corporate name of Stop & Pee, which would open enormous marketing potential.
In addition to dissecting the collapse of Sears, analyst Davidowitz observed what should be a loud glaring alarm signal for guys like Ackman and all those who are betting on the resurgence of the US mall storefront with vehicles like General Growth. The bulk of retail store traffic is moving online, where incidentally the only jobs created are those of packagers and quality control line people either in China or in some warehouse in Texas, California, or Florida. Davidowitz said, "Online sales have to lead you to question the whole retail selling strategy. We have 21 square feet of selling space for every man woman and child in this country. We already have double of what we need. With the explosion of online sales, what happens to all these retail malls and shopping centers which are marginals? Huge changes are going to be taking place as people continue shopping online. A revolution in retail is coming in both size and location of stores, a trend starting with the advent of much smaller Wal-Mart stores. In the end what to do with the retail space is going to be a huge question for retail in the next ten years. That is why Wal-Mart is starting to build smaller stores. That is why Wal-Mart is building more overseas than they are building here. It is going to be the biggest retail change that we have ever seen." The bulldozing of half the US retail malls will be a positive move for economic progress, but extremely disruptive.
The biggest losers in the maverick analyst's estimation will be commercial real estate landlords. Expect great pain for the REIT investments (stock trusts). Howard continues in his railing, making the point of commercial loans next collapsing, a point made by the Jackass for the last 18 months or more. He said "Landlords better start figuring it out pretty quick because they already have occupancy problems, rent problems, and everything else right now. I do not think the Commercial Real Estate (CRE) problems are fixed by any means. That is why we are going to close hundreds of community banks going forward. We are going to close hundreds more. Those CRE debts are coming due and they will not be able to be rolled over. We have lots of problems still coming up in the banking system, and the problems in the real estate issue is here for a long time. In other news, Kool Aid to be served in aisle 5 of the next door Sears box from now until permanent closing time." The man is solid as a rock in his retail analysis, accurate as a sharp knife, with no nonsense.
COMPLEX SOCIETIES & SYSTEMS
Complex societies do not last forever. They break down from internal stresses as often as from external. A society must maintain its system, with more energy expended when more complex. The reserves can be tapped repeatedly if crisis is not averted from regulatory machinery. In time, neglect enters the picture, as stresses break the fabric. Joseph Tainter is well-known for his classic book entitled "The Collapse of Complex Societies" despite his expertise as an archeologist. He must have done much thinking about the collapse of societies whose ruins he unearthed in massive digs. Tainter is on record with his developed thesis, born out of his dissatisfaction with prevailing collapse theories. His argument is straightforward. Human societies are problem solving organizations, which supply the necessities along with entertainment, as well as training to ensure continuation. The over-arching Sociopolitical systems require energy for their maintenance. If left without proper tending, they fall apart like a garden without attention. Increasing complexity carries with it increased cost per capita. Simple monarchies need much less maintenance than democracies, as voices are heard and justice grinds slowly. Investment in sociopolitical complexity often reaches a point of declining marginal returns, as time passes, interest wanes, justice disappoints. When debt saturation occurs, like today, the cost of maintenance and decline can be overwhelming. The complex system becomes vulnerable to collapse after great stresses and what Tainter calls perturbations, better thought of as disruptions or disturbances.
Stress and perturbation are a constant feature of any complex society, always occurring somewhere in its territory. The developed operating regulatory machinery is designed to deal with unplanned changes. Imagine spotty agricultural failures, border conflicts, large scale accidents, social eruptions, and disease outbreaks. Such localized stress tends to recur with regularity, and thus can be anticipated with preparations. To meet major unexpected stress surges, the society must have some form of net reserve. It can take the form of excess productive capacities in farm output, stored energy, or stockpiled minerals, or hoarded surpluses from past production, even reserve savings. Stress surges of great magnitude cannot be accommodated without such a reserve. A society beset by regular self-inflicted crises will be forced to draw upon its stored reserves too quickly. As declining marginal returns are experienced, the society must contend with rising systemic risk. The costs outweigh the yield put in reserve. Excess productive capacity will at some point be exhausted, and accumulated surpluses allocated to current operating needs will be used up. Even when the adversities are met and the surges are dealt with, a detriment to the system as a whole occurs. The society is weakened in the process, and made more vulnerable to the next crisis. Once a complex society develops the vulnerabilities of declining marginal returns, collapse might require the sufficient passage of time to render probable the occurrence of an insurmountable calamity.
More importantly, declining marginal returns make complexity a less attractive goal to maintain. The problem solving strategy takes a secondary role to instituting simpler systems. The society tends to accept the option for less costly and less sophisticated social forms. The alternative embraced eventually is an endorsed level of disintegration. This has occurred to the United States in grand style. As marginal returns deteriorate, tax rates rise with less benefit to the local level. Irrigation systems go untended, bridges and roads are not maintained, the frontier is not adequately defended, product liability is not protected, and fraud prevention is compromised. Notice in the US how cities exhaust their funds with pension programs, unable to provide proper services like police protection. Notice how the US has countless bridges and pipelines (water, sewer, energy) that have gone without proper care. The nation has turned too much attention to war.
As the process degrades, many of the social units that comprise a complex society no longer pursue the increased general advantage, and instead pursue a strategy of personal independence. Then begins a different pursuit of their own immediate goals rather than long-term goals of the networked hierarchy. They see little benefit coming from systemic contributions. Behavioral interdependence (constructive groups) yields way to broader independence (working on one's own). Shrinking resources are strained even more, as control slides away and is lost. The investment in regulatory systems is crucial, as efficiency devices. When they degrade into support systems for corruption, the system falters from its own rotten moral fabric and invites the seeds of rebellion. Eventually, perturbation occurs from within, as civil disobedience takes root. The lack of justice, the apparent predation by the upper hierarchy levels (bankers), and public frustration breeds anarchy like thousands of microdots within the society. See the home mortgage voluntary defaults. Justice is a delicate factor within a society. When justice is dealt, order tends to be preserved. When justice is absent, like for the big US banks, like for military aggression, the people object and depart from norms. The presence in the last two decades of bigger amplitudes in the crisis pain and cost, together with greater frequency of events in cycles, has combined to deplete the reserves of the nation. The Rubin Doctrine of surviving today even if taking aware reserves from tomorrow has assured much greater risk of systemic ruin. In my view, it has guaranteed ruin and collapse. See the Naked Capitalism for a thought provoking article. Complex systems are fascinating, especially when they enter a period of dysfunction.
THE HAT TRICK LETTER PROFITS IN THE CURRENT CRISIS.
From subscribers and readers:
At least 30 recently on correct forecasts regarding the bailout parade, numerous nationalization deals such as for Fannie Mae and the grand Mortgage Rescue.
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(DanC in Washington)
"You have the unique ability to sift through the mountains of disparate economic data and hearsay and weave them into a coherent compelling storyline. The amount of unbiased factual information you provide is unparalleled in the industry (and desperately needed in these scary times). I love your no holds barred approach to dealing with the narrow minded purveyors of dis-information in the industry."
(BobA in North Carolina)
"I think that your newsletter is brilliant. It will also be an excellent chronicle of these times for future researchers."
(PeterC in England)
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Editor of the "HAT TRICK LETTER"
Hat Trick Letter
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Posted by kevin at 1/17/2011 11:36:00 am No comments:
Labels: debt, deleveraging, US, willie
Harry Schultz's last testament Commentary: Letter gives final investment allocation recommendation
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — After 45 years, Harry Schultz has just published the last issue of his International Harry Schultz Letter. He's superbearish but opportunistic.
Schultz, now 87, is one of the legendary characters of the investment letter industry: a hard-driving promoter who specialized in bold, radical high-concept stands. ( See Sept. 16, 2010 column.) I named him Letter of the Year in 2008, because he indisputably predicted the Crash (a "financial tsunami") although paradoxically failed to benefit very much. ( See Dec. 28, 2008 column.)
But Schultz is also a trader, with a great respect for short-term trends. In this respect, if no other, he's like the Aden sisters, to whose Aden Forecast he will be contributing occasional columns. ( See Dec. 30, 2010 column.)
The International Harry Schultz Letter has been something of a tsunami itself, with dozens of recommendations and opinions on an amazing range of subjects. Its relationship with the Hulbert Financial Digest's monitoring system has been complex and sometimes strained.
But one thing is clear: In recent years, HSL has done brilliantly. It's the third-best performer over the last past 12 months, up 39.65% by Hulbert Financial Digest count, versus 17.16% for the dividend-reinvested Wilshire 5000 Total Stock Market Index. Over the past ten years, the letter was up an annualized 8.94%, versus 2.5% annualized for the total return Wilshire 5000.
In his last issue, Schultz does not attempt a grand summing-up. But he does observe this:
"Roughly speaking, the mess we are in is the worst since 17th century financial collapse. Comparisons with the 1930's are ludicrous. We've gone far beyond that. And, alas, the courage & political will to recognize the mess & act wisely to reverse gears, is absent in U.S. leadership, where the problems were hatched & where the rot is by far the deepest."
He writes favorably of investment advice given in a recent interview by former Reagan Office of Management and Budget Director David Stockman:
"Stockman replied (to my huge surprise, coming from a former top government official) 'Get some gold, beans, water, anything that Bernanke can't destroy. Ron Paul is right. We're entering a global monetary conflagration. If a sell-off of U.S. bonds starts, it will be an Armageddon.'"
About gold, Schultz retains his long-term bullishness. He quotes the respected Seeking Alpha service:
"For gold to match the growth in US M1, M2, public debt & budget deficit, gold will have to reach $1,800, $2,400, $7,800 & $13,200, respectively. While I can't imagine gold going to $13k, these numbers tell me that calling gold a bubble is a bit premature. In my view, money supply, public debt & the budget deficit are in a bubble, not gold, not yet."
Schultz's comment: "Wake me up at $2,400 gold."
But Schultz also retains short-term flexibility. Looking at a chart of iShares MSCI EAFE Index ETF (EFA 58.93, +1.27, +2.20%) , he notes:
"It's a stock market index for Europe, Australasia and the Far East. Chart shows massive bullish base. If it breaks upside, these areas are where we should buy some new investments. Some modest pre-emptive buying in stocks there, having good chart patterns, is justified."
Schultz's final investment allocation recommendation:
• 5-10% Stocks (nongolds).
• 15-20% Commodities: via futures, commodity stocks &/or physical assets.
• 50% gold stocks & bullion: 15% blue chips, 5% junior, 5% bullion via futures, 25-35% in physical bullion.
• 0% currencies ("Close out ALL fiduciary time/call deposits, money market funds & municipal bonds, pension funds…")
• 1-5% Cash in hand. ("Stored privately.")
• 0-5% bear stock market protection via ETFs like ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (DXD 20.06, -0.02, -0.10%) .
• 15-20% Government notes/bills/bonds ("In 3-6 month T-Bills/bonds only — buy these only in Swiss Francs, Australian dollars, Canadian dollars, Brazilian reals, Singapore dollars, Chinese Yuan only)."
Harry Schultz's final words: "Good luck to us all."
Labels: bear market, debt, deleveraging, gold
GEAB N°51 is available! Systemic global crisis - 2...
Harry Schultz's last testament Commentary: Letter...


Set of three nesting brand new Galvanized iron carpenter trays with handles. Small measures about 15 3/4" long by 6" wide, medium is about 18" by 6 3/4" and large is about 20" by 7 1/2" by 10 1/2" tall to top of handle. Perfect to use as planters, buckets, containers, baskets, etc.


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Class ShadowMotionEvent

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org.robolectric.shadows.ShadowMotionEvent

@Implements(value=android.view.MotionEvent.class)
public class ShadowMotionEvent
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Shadow for MotionEvent.

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int
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static android.view.MotionEvent
obtain(long downTime,
      long eventTime,
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static android.view.MotionEvent
obtain(android.view.MotionEvent motionEvent)

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ShadowMotionEvent

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obtain

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public static android.view.MotionEvent obtain(long downTime,
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                                                              int action,
                                                              float x,
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obtain

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public static android.view.MotionEvent obtain(android.view.MotionEvent motionEvent)

getAction

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setAction

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getRawX

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getRawY

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getX

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getX

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@Implementation
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findPointerIndex

@Implementation
public final int findPointerIndex(int id)

getActionMasked

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public final float getPressure(int pointerIndex)

setLocation

@Implementation
public final void setLocation(float x,
                                              float y)

setPointer2

public android.view.MotionEvent setPointer2(float x,
                                            float y)

setPointerIndex

public void setPointerIndex(int pointerIndex)

setPointerIds

public void setPointerIds(int index0PointerId,
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"Doomsday Book" by Connie Willis
By Jackson on February 11, 2013 • ( 5 Comments )
Title: Doomsday Book
Author: Connie Willis
Publisher: Spectra
Doomsday Book tells the story of young Kivrin, an undergraduate at Oxford, who wants to travel back in time. Such technology is typically forbidden to undergrads, and doubly so for the dangerous and uncharted fourteenth century. But she manages to finagle a trip and heads back to 1320 for the chance at some first-hand historical reporting. Back in 2054, things start falling apart as soon as Kivin is gone. An epidemic sweeps through Oxford, and the school falls under medical quarantine. It's up to her advisor, Mr. Dunworthy, to make sure the machines are still running so Kivrin can get back.
But things are even worse for Kivrin. She is afflicted by the same disease that has crippled Oxford. And without any companions or medical support, she is at the mercy of the "contemps" to nurse her back to healthy. And while they seem fortunately (and inexplicably) immune to Kivrin's ailment, the shadow of pestilence still hangs over the entire village.
This book is difficult to summarize without giving away key plot points which, while telegraphed pretty obviously by Willis, are nonetheless not certain until well into the story. But overall, the book has a great story to tell and it starts off with a bang. The middle third of the book is the weakest, although it is important thematically to set up the final act. When Kivrin and the villagers confront their own helplessness and fear in the face of things beyond anyone's control, it is truly heart-wrenching. The best scene in the book is when Kivrin is telling a story to a fourteenth-century girl (Agnes) about a maiden who wanders into the woods:
"Once in a far land there was a maiden. She lived by a greater forest–"
"Her father said, 'Go not into the woods.' But she was wicked and did not listen," Agnes said.
"She was wicked and did not listen," Kivrin said. "She put on her cloak–"
"Her red cloak with a hood," Agnes said. "And she went into the wood, even though her father told her not to."
Even though her father told her not to. "I'll be perfectly all right," she had told Mr. Dunworthy. "I can take care of myself."
"She should not have gone into the woods, should she?" Agnes said.
"She wanted to see what was there. She thought she would go just a little way," Kivrin said.
"She should not have," Agnes said, passing judgment. "I would not. The woods are dark."
Without context, this story is just a story, with a rather obvious allegory attached. But within the book, this passage moved me to tears. Little Kivrin, full of misplaced confidence, had strolled into the past and learned just how vulnerable she and everyone around her really were.
The story is also rare in that for a book as well-researched, plotted and written, it nonetheless has some glaring flaws. Most specifically, Willis is good at developing her primary characters, but the secondary characters are just cardboard cutouts that have only one feature. One guy is a useless intellectual; everything he ever does in the book will be based on that. One woman is an insufferable harridan; expect her to be insufferable in every interaction she has with anyone throughout the story. And so on.
But this does not detract too much from the overall story, and most of these characters are virtually absent in the final third of the book anyway. This book provided me with a better understanding of the fourteenth century, and it was quite gripping to boot. This is top-notch science fiction, and worthy of the accolades (including Hugo and Nebula awards) it has received.
Interested? Read it for yourself! Buy Doomsday Book from an independent bookstore or Amazon (Kindle version is available).
I receive a very, very small commission when you purchase the book through the above links. Thank you for helping to support my site–and my book addiction!
Categories: 4-4.5 stars, Book Reviews, Jackson's Reviews
Tagged as: Agnes, characterization, Connie Willis, Doomsday Book, Hugo Award, Kivrin, Mr. Dunworthy, Nebula Award, plague, review, science fiction, secondary characters, time travel
"S.E.C.R.E.T." by L. Marie Adeline
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Thank you to those who turned in their Auction items at our 2nd Procurement Drop-Off on Wednesday! Congratulations to the Exnicios Family who won 2 Free Admissions to BINGO night for turning in their procurement forms already! You may continue to turn in your Auction items and procurement forms to the Auction Office located in the Administration Building now through February 14th.
The Auction will be holding a fun, adults only BINGO Night on Friday, February 22nd from 7-10 pm in Egan Hall. Don't miss out on the fun! Tickets are $35/person and include six BINGO games, 2 beer/wine drink coupons, and heavy appetizers. This event helps underwrite the wine served at the Auction Gala Event. You can purchase your tickets here: St. John Auction Bingo Tickets.
Image Collector – Volunteer to obtain images for Silent Auction items and insert into Auction website (can be done at home) Update: Filled. Thank you, Meg Deines!