← You Got An Ear To Go With That Mouth?
I recently attended an all-day conference on happiness entitled 'The Habits of Happy People'. It was sponsored by the Institute for Brain Potential and the speaker was Dennis Marikis, Ph.D. The beauty of the social work profession is that you earn education credits for your license and improve your personal life at the same time. This pleases me because I am the mother of multi-tasking. I recite lines from my plays while driving in the car, rehearse songs in the shower, and eat at my computer. This could be hazardous to my happiness as you will learn. I do not text and drive, nor do I walk and chew gum. One has to draw the line somewhere.
With almost 200 people in attendance, I'm obviously not the only one interested in happiness. Even the forefathers of our country made sure to enlist protection in the constitution for our right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. The pursuit? Why not say the right to life, liberty and happiness? It's as if happiness is a mysterious and elusive concept, something to chase but not possess. It poses the question of 'who' or 'what' we believe is responsible for our happiness. Is it the government, our spouse, our job, our church, or our children? Is it dependent on our wealth, our health, or our circumstances? If so, then happiness will always be out of our grasp, a mirage that appears in front of us only to vanish before our eyes when it seems we have reached it. If happiness is something outside of us, then it will always be in the control of others or subject to the whims of the world.
What if happiness were ours to have at will? Happiness is a choice and much more within our control than most realize. That's not to say we aren't challenged by genetics, other people, and circumstances beyond our control. We often, however, fall into the traps of the primitive brain; fear, insecurity, and anger. These things trigger chemical responses in the body that separate us from good health and a sense of peace. Those who don't know happiness is largely a choice, are just plain miserable. Because, let's face it. Society offers us plenty of reasons to feel bad about life. We innately hold the tools for happiness and they're free! Practicing gratitude and mindfulness are two of the biggest ones for me. We can do this through meditation, prayer, forgiveness, or a multitude of other exercises every day if we become intentional about it.
I was walking with a friend recently on a beautiful fall day being very mindful of the moment. I was admiring the big, billowy white clouds overlapping the vivid blue of the sky. I was feeling the breeze in my hair and the sun warming my cheeks. I then spotted three deer in a side yard about 300 feet away. I stopped my friend and the conversation to watch them eating and looking around. I was in heaven until my friend interrupted my bliss. "Don't stare", she said. "We'd better go or they might charge us." Really?! In the cognitive business we call these ANTS or Automatic Negative Thoughts. We need to banish these little buggers or they will ruin the picnic every time. I asked her if she had ever been charged by a deer. No. Had she ever known anyone charged by a deer? No. How many times in her life had she seen deer nearby? Hundreds. So I asked her the origin of her thought. "I don't know. I think I heard or read something somewhere that it could happen" was her reply. As ludicrous or irrational as this may sound, we all do it…every day. Our brains are so wired to protect ourselves we routinely become paranoid. Are there deer who charge people? I guess so, but we have to use common sense.
The numbers on meditation have been in for years. The research clearly supports the benefits of meditation over any medication. We westerners just don't want to hear it. Mmmm. Maybe it's because it would call us to stop blaming others.
At the end of the seminar I had to wait in a very long line for my certificate. I exited to a horribly congested parking lot leading to a backed up side street. Ultimately, I was funneled onto the interstate into rush hour traffic. Grrrr! Is this a test? Sitting in my car, I speculated what our world would look like if we learned the practice of meditation, mindfulness and gratitude as children. What if it was a mandatory class in our school systems?
I'm sure our crime, suicide and divorce rates would be much less. I bet our family relationships and our medical health would be significantly better. If it were practiced globally, I doubt we would hear much about war, famine and genocide. If we want to start solving the major woes and crises in this world, we need to start by tending to the soul at the earliest age possible. If you are hearing these concepts for the first time as an adult, I'm sorry. Start today, though! Google the terms. Find the books and articles. Read the research. Develop a plan. Change your own thoughts and your own life and we can transform the world, one soul at a time.
This entry was posted in happiness, Inspiration, Mindfulness and tagged gratitude, Happiness, inspiration, meditation, Mindfullness. Bookmark the permalink.


Humans migrated out of Africa to escape a drying climate, about 60,000 years ago, according to a new study in the journal Geology. The study contradicts previous suggestions to the opposite: that the climate must have been wet in order for people to be able to cross the Horn of Africa and the Middle East.
While humans may have left Africa earlier, genetic research indicates that the main migration into Eurasia that eventually peopled the rest of the world probably occurred between 70,000 and 55,000 years ago.
The researchers traced the Horn of Africa's climate 200,000 years into the past by analyzing a core of ocean sediment taken in the western end of the Gulf of Aden. The study's lead author, Jessica Tierney of the University of Arizona, said the core showed that 70,000 years ago, the region also became cooler. "Our data say the migration comes after a big environmental change. Perhaps people left because the environment was deteriorating," she said.
Tierney, deMenocal and colleagues had previously charted the Horn of Africa's climate back 40,000 years by studying cores of marine sediment. They hoped to use the same means to reconstruct the region's climate back 55,000 to 70,000 years ago, but the first challenge was finding a core with sediments that old. They found one at the Lamont-Doherty Core Repository, collected off the Horn of Africa in 1965 by the Lamont research ship Robert D. Conrad. DeMenocal studied and dated the layers of the 1965 core and found it had sediments going back as far as 200,000 years.
At the University of Arizona, Tierney and coauthor Paul Zander teased out temperature and rainfall records from organic matter preserved in the sediment layers. The scientists took samples from the core about every four inches, a distance that represented about every 1,600 years.
To construct a long-term temperature record for the Horn of Africa, the researchers analyzed the sediment layers for chemicals called alkenones made by a particular kind of marine algae. The algae change the composition of the alkenones depending on the water temperature. The ratio of the different alkenones indicates the sea surface temperature when the algae were alive and also reflects regional temperatures.
To figure out the region's ancient rainfall patterns, the researchers analyzed leaf wax that had blown into the ocean from terrestrial plants. Because plants alter the chemical composition of the wax depending on how dry or wet the climate is, this provides a record of past fluctuations in rainfall. The analyses showed that the time people migrated out of Africa coincided with a big shift to a much drier and colder climate, Tierney said.


text:
package components

import "fmt"

type StringPrinter struct {
	In chan string
}

func NewStringPrinter() *StringPrinter {
	return &StringPrinter{
		In: make(chan string, BUFSIZE),
	}
}

func (p *StringPrinter) Run() {
	for s := range p.In {
		fmt.Print(s)
	}
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


Strawberry templates for 3D page flip book are the newest theme for free today. You can download these templates and display in your flash flipping book to get a wonderful flash book layout. I believe nobody can refuse delicious food as well as these delicious pictures. When you want to published a flipbook with food topic or fruit content, you can choose these templates as your first priority. Three templates show you different strawberry with its color, quantities, size and position. You can choose the one which most fit your 3D eBook to get the best look. Enjoy designing 3D page flip book here!
Strawberry Templates for 3D Flip Book 1.0 Geographical Localization software developed by 3D Pageflip Ltd. The license of this geographical localization software is freeware, the price is free, you can free download and get a fully functional freeware version of Strawberry Templates for 3D Flip Book. Do not use illegal warez version, crack, serial numbers, registration codes, pirate key for this geographical localization freeware Strawberry Templates for 3D Flip Book. Always use genuine version that is released by original publisher 3D Pageflip Ltd..


This topic contains 1 reply, has 1 voice, and was last updated by Joachim 3 years, 2 months ago.
I have an iPad mini which I usually use touch to open. If not, I use my 4 digit passcode. I'm just getting the message, Enter Passcode, Touch id requires your passcode when iPad restarts. It doesn't restart and it seems my passcode i wrong.
I have an iPad mini2 which I usually use touch to open. If not, I use my 4 digit passcode. I'm just getting the message, Enter Passcode, Touch id requires your passcode when iPad restarts. It doesn't restart and it seems my passcode is wrong.


Each lithograph is signed by Kurt Zander, the wonderful and prolific 19th-century poultry illustrator. The heavy paper is blank on its reverse, measures 6.25" x 9.5" (16x24 cm), with each image measuring approximately 3.25" x 4.625" (8x12 cm). There are no tears, folds, creases, or marks.


text:
package com.badlogic.gdx.backends.android.surfaceview;

/** Will manipulate the GLSurfaceView. Gravity is always center. The width and height of the View will be determined by the
 * classes implementing {@link ResolutionStrategy}.
 *
 * @author christoph widulle */
public interface ResolutionStrategy {

	public MeasuredDimension calcMeasures (final int widthMeasureSpec, final int heightMeasureSpec);

	public static class MeasuredDimension {
		public final int width;
		public final int height;

		public MeasuredDimension (int width, int height) {
			this.width = width;
			this.height = height;
		}

	}

}


In the layout you define which colors, fonts and rectangles to use. Besides you decide where to put the site-modules. Because the layout is defined for all your pages (the menu is for instance always blue and is placed always on the left hand side) it is a static output.
There are two ways to layout your site: with html tables or with CSS layouting. I definetely prefer CSS layouting. If you don't know it just read the good css layout tutorial. This tutorial explains CSS-layouting with Dreamweaver but just grasp the concepts and you will do your way without using Dreamweaver. Apart from layouting you anyway should put presentation information (blue big font, borders etc.) into a CSS file and include it inside your template.
The calling of your site modules is the dynamic part of your template. The site modules get called and generated dynamically the html content which gets replaced at the place where the modules got called. The output depends on the URL you currently chose. And because these site modules get called at one place (your template) with calling site modules you are defining dynamic information.
To learn how to include site modules in your template download CMS4_aldana which comes with a homepage sample.
Here an example, how the site modules could be placed in the template layout.


text:
Михајло Михајлов (; Панчево, 26. септембар 1934 — Београд, 7. март 2010) био је српски књижевник, академик и публициста.

Био је најпознатији противник титоизма након Милована Ђиласа због чега је укупно провео седам година у затвору. Једини је дисидент коме је одузето југословенско држављанство.

Биографија
Рођен је у породици руских емиграната. Његовом оцу Николају је било седамнаест а мајци седам година када су 1921. године са врангелском емиграцијом дошли у Краљевину Срба, Хрвата и Словенаца. Руски језик му је био матерњи а он и сестре су практично у школи научили српски језик.

Завршио је гимназију у Сарајеву и дипломирао је на Загребачком свеучилишту (подружница Задар) на катедри за компаративну књижевност, 1959. године. После завршетка постдипломских студија 1961. године, служио је војску годину дана до 1962. у Требињу.

Први пут је ухапшен 1965. године после објављивања дела есеја "Лето московско" у београдском часопису "Дело". Након тога, почео је да објављује текстове и у страним штампама, због чега је 1966. осуђен на три и по године затвора. Поново је осуђен 1974. због објављивања у новинама "Њујорк тајмс" и "Њујорк ривју оф букс", и затворен је до 1977. године. Емигрирао је у Сједињене Америчке Државе 1978. године, где је између осталог радио као предавач и где је држављанство стекао 1985. године. Од 1985. до 1994. године, сарађивао је са Радио Слободном Европом.

У Београд се вратио 2001. где је живео до своје смрти 7. марта 2010. године. Сахрањен је 13. марта 2010. у Алеји заслужних грађана на београдском Новом гробљу.

Галерија

Референце

Рођени 1934.
Умрли 2010.
Руси у Србији
Књижевници из Панчева
Српски академици
Српски публицисти
Српски професори
Политички затвореници СФР Југославије
Сахрањени у Алеји заслужних грађана на Новом гробљу у Београду

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


This week, and everyday I appreciate the amazing tenacity and quality teaching I received from Mr. Smith. I believe every child in New York City deserves a teacher like Mr. Smith.
In the early 1990s, I was forever changed by the tremendous courage of Mr. Smith, my 3rd grade teacher. He taught me and 20 or so other low-income, children of color on the north side of the mostly segregated city. My mother, a meat shop worker and my father, a mostly unemployed community college student sent me to school in good faith that whatever I was learning would inspire me to change my life trajectory of generational poverty.
A neighborhood plagued by gangs, teen pregnancy, high incarceration rates, and steep unemployment, the children in my class were lucky if we had ever been outside the county, let alone the country. Mr. Smith pushed me when I didn't have the tenacity. He interceded when my parents didn't have the capacity. He took me to the library and helped me think critically by asking probing questions. He was rigorous and demanding. He helped me apply to competitive middle schools and sent me enriching assignments.
I found solace in Mr. Smith's 3rd grade class and I believe he changed my life. I attribute Mr. Smith with my love of learning, creative writing, and jazz music. Yes, jazz music. Mr. Smith played John Coltrane for us every morning to ease our mind and restart our imagination. He was the first teacher, the first person, who told me I could be anything I wanted to be. Mr. Smith's expectation of me stayed with me throughout my life. He inspired me to attend college and to work on social and civil justice issues that affected the lives of children.


Follow me on Twitter or Facebook to stay up to date with SonicWebs' development.
SonicWeb for Mac is an advanced multi-radio recording internet radio player. Listen to free internet radio stations, record them and automatically split the recorded streams into separate tracks. Create custom playlists or export tracks to iTunes and into files to enjoy them anywhere you like. Listen to always changing seamless mixes of songs created from the radio stations you love.
Select from more than two thousand free, hand selected, high quality internet radio stations. New radio stations are added to the station database on a regular basis. If you are missing a radio station please let me know and it will be added quickly.
Listen live, with and without recording. Timeshift and pause internet radio. Skip tracks or listen to tracks as many times as you like. With several simultaneously active radio stations your playlists will fill quickly with many unheard tracks. This allows you to skip tracks you don't like, without any skip limit. Already heard tracks stay in the playlists and can be heared again and again. With SonicWeb you can control internet radio almost like the playlist or a regular media player.
Station lists record tracks from multiple radio stations simultaneously. A station list records as many internet radio stations at the same time as you like, only limited by your internet connection speed. SonicWeb splits the radio station streams into separate tracks and adds them to a common playlist that you can control just like a media player. You can define as many station lists as you like and switch between them, regular internet radio stations and custom playlists at any time.
Audio playback is gapless with tracks from different internet radios crossfading into each other. SonicWeb dynamically adjusts the volume of loud and silent tracks so that you don't have to. These features enable uniform and unbroken audio playback just like with a regular radio station. In combination with station lists SonicWeb will automatically create your own, personal radio stations. And it also makes SonicWeb party ready!
The iTunes export allows you to listen to your recordings and to copy them to your iPad, iPhone and iPhone Touch using iTunes. With the export into folders you can listen to your recordings with any media player and build your own music library.
SonicWeb combines the functionality of an internet radio player and recorder in a powerful, unique way. With SonicWeb you can listen to internet radio like never before.


text:
package com.viestards.formhelper;

public class RadioButtonsField {

}


text:
Resume + Contacts
Kim Wilcox
Kim Wilcox has been designing costumes for award-winning television series and motion pictures since 1995.
Most recently Kim designed the pilot for the Russo Brothers' Sony/Syfy series Deadly Class. Directed by Lee Toland Krieger and based on the comic from Rick Remender and Wes Craig, this coming-of-age story is set against the backdrop of late 1980s counterculture, and follows a homeless, disillusioned teen who is recruited into a storied high school for assassins.
Kim is also very proud to be part of the creative team for Season 2 of Matt and Ross Duffer's Golden Globe-nominated horror/sci-fi sensation Stranger Things. Set in 1984 – with homages to the classic films of Spielberg, Carpenter and King – this Netflix series tells the story of a group of teenage friends from small-town Indiana as they deal with changing relationships, past traumas and the supernatural monsters who are trying to invade their world. For her work on Stranger Things, Kim was nominated for the 2018 Costume Designers Guild Award for Excellence in Period Television.
In 2015 Kim helped create the world of Mr. Robot, a psychological cyber-thriller on USA. Critic Nate Scott said of the show: "Mr. Robot was not only the most ambitious show of 2015, it was also the most beautiful, the best written, and the most immediate, speaking in a real way to the world we live in." Starring Rami Malek and Christian Slater, the series won the 2016 Golden Globe Award for Best Drama Series as well as AFI, Critic's Choice, WGA, Gotham, and Peabody awards.
Previous designs for television include Season 2 of Denis Leary and Bob Fisher's hilarious comedy Sirens as well as costumes for Starz' Golden Globe-nominated series Boss starring Kelsey Grammer, Connie Nielsen, Sanaa Lathan, and Jonathan Groff.
Kim's work for independent film has been seen at the Sundance, Venice, Toronto and Tribeca Film Festivals, and includes costumes for Barry Levinson's The Humbling starring Al Pacino and Greta Gerwig; early 1800s re-enactors for Justin Schwarz's road comedy The Discoverers starring Griffin Dunne, Cara Buono and Melanie Martin; 1980s and contemporary fashions for the pageant comedy Ass Backwards featuring Jon Cryer, Vincent D'Onofrio and Alicia Silverstone; and designs capturing Silverlake and the NYC art world for Magnolia Pictures' award-winning dramedy Nobody Walks, directed by Ry Russo-Young and co-written by Lena Dunham.
Born in the heartland and raised across the U.S., Kim studied theatre and anthropology at The College of William and Mary in Virginia, then drawing at The Art Students League of New York, and earned an MFA in Costume Design from Brandeis University in Boston. After apprenticing on Broadway for two years, she joined IATSE USA Local 829, and worked for several years as an assistant costume designer on such diverse projects as Pollock, Brown Sugar, Adventureland, How to Make It In America, and Duplicity. For her work on HBO's The Sopranos, she received two Emmy nominations.
Kim is a proud aunt and a traveler at heart, and is based out of Brooklyn, NY and Chattanooga, TN.
THE IMAGES ON THIS SITE ARE FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF DEMONSTRATING
THE WORK OF KIM WILCOX AND ARE NOT TO BE USED OTHERWISE.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


We are pleased to announce an event for prospective applicants to the V&A/RCA History of Design MA on Friday 29th June 2018 from 4.15 –6.30pm at the Victoria and Albert Museum.
Join us for bespoke gallery tours of the museum led by programme tutors from the RCA and V&A. Following the tours there will be refreshments and the chance to talk to staff from the programme, and to learn more about our teaching, professional development opportunities and student and staff research, and the new programme pathways in Performance, and Photography.
After the History of Design event, the V&A will be open until 10pm with the Friday Night Late, this month celebrating speculative and imagined worlds with talks, music, performances and refreshments.


text:
Here's a List of Meghan Markle's Baby's Potential Godparents and What They Could Bring to the Table
By Raisa Bruner
Updated: June 20, 2019 12:49 PM ET | Originally published: April 10, 2019
When royal baby Archie Harrison Mountbatten-Windsor was born this spring, the new royal — child of the Duchess of Sussex, Meghan Markle, and the Duke of Sussex, Prince Harry — was instantly ushered into a rarefied world of elite celebrity. And that's just the immediate family. Thanks to Markle's showbiz roots as an actress on Suits and a friend of many high-profile activists and stars, as well as Prince Harry's position as one of the world's most famous names since birth, both Archie's mom and dad have their fair share of impressive and often well-known friends.
So while we don't yet know just who Prince Harry and Markle will choose as godparents for their first royal baby, we do know some of the options on the table, from the famous guest list at their royal wedding last spring to their closest confidantes over their year of marriage. The royals tend to select a bunch of godparents for each child; Prince George, Princess Charlotte and Prince Louis, children of the Duke of Cambridge, Prince William and the Duchess of Cambridge, Kate Middleton, each have five or more godparents who were announced at their christening ceremonies. (They range from childhood friends of the parents to relatives to long-time professional aides.) Neither Prince Harry nor Meghan Markle are godparents to their niece and nephews, however. Harry is a godparent to about a half-dozen of the children of his closest friends, including Florence van Cutsem and Zalie Warren, while Markle is godmother to her friends' children Remi and Ryan Litt, all of whom appeared at their wedding as bridesmaids and page boys in the British tradition.
US tennis player Serena Williams and her husband Alexis Ohanian arrive for the wedding ceremony of Britain's Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex and US actress Meghan Markle at St George's Chapel, Windsor Castle, in Windsor, on May 19, 2018.
Ian West—AFP/Getty Images
Not only did the famous tennis star help host and organize Markle's big baby shower bash in Manhattan in February, but she also has a noted history with Markle, attending her wedding and mentioning that they have a supportive texting relationship. ("We have known each other for a long time, but we really kind of are relying on each other right a lot recently," she said back in September.) As a mother to her own daughter Olympia and wife of Reddit founder Alexis Ohanian, Williams would make for a high-profile godmother — not to mention she brings nothing less than the world's best tennis skills to the table, in the case that little Archie chooses to try out the sport.
George and Amal Clooney
Amal Clooney and US actor George Clooney arrive for the wedding ceremony of Britain's Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex and US actress Meghan Markle at St George's Chapel, Windsor Castle, in Windsor, on May 19, 2018.
Gareth Fuller—AFP/Getty Images
Another set of wedding guests, the popular actor and international human rights lawyer reside in the U.K. as well and are known to socialize with the royal couple. (Amal also went to the New York baby shower.) The two are already parents of twins, leading George to joke at one point that he already has "enough s–t to deal with — literally!" when asked about godparent rumors. But if they do get the additional responsibility, the Clooneys would be sure to teach young Archie how they balance their love of the good life (see: George's Lake Como home and successful tequila brand) with their longstanding commitments to activism in the name of global justice.
US presenter Oprah Winfrey arrives for the wedding ceremony of Britain's Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex and US actress Meghan Markle at St George's Chapel, Windsor Castle, in Windsor, on May 19, 2018.
We know Oprah attended Markle and Prince Harry's royal wedding last May, and the beloved media mogul even took the time to hang out with Doria Ragland, Markle's California-based mom, with whom she shared fruit and practiced yoga. Not only would Winfrey be an excellent source of wisdom, as we all know thanks to her longstanding status in the U.S. as everyone's benevolent spiritual guru, but she would apparently also make for a source of fresh fruit. (Plus, she has great book recommendations.)
Jessica and Ben Mulroney
Actress Meghan Markle and Jessica Mulroney attend the Instagram Dinner held at the MARS Discovery District on May 31, 2016 in Toronto, Canada.
George Pimentel—WireImage
This Canadian pair — Jessica is a stylist and TV personality, while Ben is a TV host and the son of the country's former prime minister — are high up on the "likely" list for godparent status; Markle and Mulroney have been close for years since Markle was still an actress on Suits and Prince Harry was visiting Canada for the Invictus Games. With the Mulroneys in royal baby Archie's life, the fashion police could stand down forever. (And they would always be welcome in Canada.)
Abigail Spencer (L) and Priyanka Chopra (2L) arrive for the wedding ceremony of Britain's Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex and US actress Meghan Markle at St George's Chapel, Windsor Castle, in Windsor, on May 19, 2018.
Chris Jackson—AFP/Getty Images
There would be a few perks to being actress Priyanka Chopra's godchild: for one, she's married to singer Nick Jonas, whose famous Jonas Brothers boy band has just re-launched their career with a chart-topping album. (Assuming they continue on with a long and fruitful next few decades as a group, á la the Backstreet Boys, young Archie could have some very highly sought-after backstage access to future tours.) But more importantly, Chopra has proved herself as long-time UNICEF Goodwill Ambassador who shares in Markle's feminist beliefs.
Zara Tindall
Prince Harry and Zara Phillips attend day 1 of Royal Ascot at Ascot Racecourse on June 14, 2016 in Ascot, England.
Max Mumby/Indigo—Getty Images
Prince Harry is already a godparent to his royal cousin Zara Tindall's newest daughter Lena Elizabeth, so it would only make sense for him to return the favor. Tindall, the daughter of Princess Anne and Mark Phillips, is the Queen's eldest granddaughter. She would be a trusted insider confidante for the new royal, and could help teach him or her the ropes about being part of the high-profile family. Plus, Tindall is a celebrated equestrian, even making Olympic appearances for the U.K.—and could help train up the young Sussex in the equine skills department.
Princess Eugenie and Princess Beatrice
Princess Beatrice, Prince Harry and Princess Eugenie during Trooping The Colour in London on June 16, 2012.
Mark Cuthbert—UK Press via Getty Images
Princess Eugenie and Princess Beatrice have always had a positive relationship with Prince Harry. As his cousins, they have often stepped up to perform royal duties and appear at public events, while also engaging in their own careers; Eugenie works in the art world as a gallery director in London, while her older sister Beatrice has mostly focused on charitable endeavors. Plus, their ubiquitous collection of hats would be fun for a godchild to get to play dress-up with.
Tom Inskip
Tom Inskip (left) attends the wedding of Jake Warren and Zoe Stewart in the Wren Chapel at the Royal Hospital Chelsea on December 14, 2013 in London, England.
One of Prince Harry's oldest friends, Tom "Skippy" Inskip is a school pal going back to Eton days. Prince Harry attended his wedding in Jamaica in 2017 with Markle as well. Despite tabloids suggesting there is a rift between the pair, nothing has been discussed publicly. Inskip and Prince Harry were known to vacation together when they were younger, and even both had partial ownership of a racehorse named "Usain Colt," which would suggest Inskip could be something of the "fun godfather" type, if he were to be named.
Charlie van Straubenzee
Tom Inskip, Charlie van Straubenzee, Prince Harry and Thomas van Straubenzee attend the 2015 Rugby World Cup Semi Final match between Argentina and Australia at Twickenham Stadium on October 25, 2015 in London, England.
Charlie van Straubenzee is a school friend of Prince Harry's, and invited Markle and the Prince to his 2018 nuptials with Daisy Jenks. His brother, Thomas, is already a royal godparent, having been named to the role for Prince William's daughter Princess Charlotte — so he should know what's expected of the task. He has been part of the two princes' inner circle since they were young.
Jake Warren
Prince Harry and Jake Warren attend day one of Royal Ascot at Ascot Racecourse on June 17, 2014 in Ascot, England.
Kirstin Sinclair—2014 Getty Images
Another of Prince Harry's old pals, Jake Warren was one of late Princess Diana's godsons as well. The pair are often spotted together at the annual Royal Ascot horse races, as Warren is the son of the Queen's horse racing manager. Seems like he'd be able to help any godchild of his pick a winning horse. Warren's daughter Zalie also was one of Meghan Markle's young bridesmaids at their wedding — and Prince Harry is her godfather, too.
Write to Raisa Bruner at raisa.bruner@time.com.


text:
Chambers Ireland welcomes EU's positive fiscal stance
|In Economy
The European Commission has confirmed the need to move towards a more positive fiscal stance for the euro area. The signal was made as part of the Commission's views on the EU's economic and social priorities for the year ahead, building on the guidance from President Jean-Claude Juncker's 2016 State of the Union address and on the latest economic data from the Commission's Autumn 2016 Forecast.
Commenting on the commencement of the 2017 European Semester, Ian Talbot, Chief Executive, Chambers Ireland said: "This important change of stance by the Junker Commission points to a recognition that the European Union, and the eurozone in particular, is at risk of suffering from structural low economic growth and almost zero inflation. The utility of European monetary policy has been all but exhausted by the efforts undertaken by the ECB since the financial crisis, so a new strategy was a necessity.
"This intervention will encourage a fiscal policy more conducive to stimulating investment and demand throughout Europe. The move will also go some way towards compensating for the reality that some member states within the eurozone consistently run high surpluses while others remain in deficit."
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Talbot added that for Ireland, this change in fiscal stance does not necessarily mean that the Government is in a position to expand our public spending or investment in the immediate term but that there will be indirect benefits as other member states are encouraged to ramp up public investment which will stimulate economic activity and demand.
"If Ireland continues to adhere to its obligations under the Stability and Growth Pact and can continue to demonstrate the capacity to manage our deficit, there may be an opportunity to expand public spending in the near term. However, we believe that this option, should it become available, should only be utilised for important national infrastructure projects, and comes with the caveat that any additional public spending by Ireland will always need to be repaid at some point in the future.
It remains to be seen whether the Commission's ambitions can be realised, as it will require the eurozone member states working collectively and cooperatively on fiscal policy. Strong leadership will be required to make this happen."
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text:
Home All issues Volume 535 (November 2011) A&A, 535 (2011) A93 Online Material
Volume 535, November 2011
Extragalactic astronomy
https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201117420
Appendix A: Notes on individual sources
In this appendix we discuss the X-ray spectral analysis of some galaxies with XMM-Newton data.
It is the most luminous nearby (z < 0.01) merger system. Its energy output is dominated by a powerful starburst. Previous ASCA, Chandra, and XMM-Newton X-ray observations of this galaxy have been analyzed in detail by Moran et al. (1999), Lira et al. (2002) and Jenkins et al. (2004), respectively. We used a simple model (absorbed vmekal + power-law) to fit the XMM-Newton spectrum. It provides an acceptable fit ( ) for our analysis. Jenkins et al. (2004) tentatively detected a Fe Kα emission line at ~ 6–7 keV. The higher S/N ratio data analyzed here clearly show an emission line at 6.60 keV (Table 6). The energy of the line suggests that it is produced by ionized Fe, possibly related to supernovae activity. The upper limit for the EW of a neutral Fe Kα line at 6.4 keV is < 70 eV (Table 6). This low EW is not compatible with that expected from a luminous Compton-thick AGN.
Arp 299 (NGC 3690 and IC 694)
It is a luminous infrared (LIR = 6 × 1011L⊙) merger system. It hosts one of the most powerful starbursts in local galaxies (Alonso-Herrero et al. 2009b). The X-ray emission below 10 keV is dominated by star formation, however a Compton-thick AGN is found in the system (Della Ceca et al. 2002). The hard X-ray spectrum of the nucleus of NGC 3690 indicates that the obscured AGN is probably located there (Zezas et al. 2003). Ballo et al. (2004) detected the Fe Kα emission feature in both system components NGC 3690 and IC 694. They found that the energy of the emission line in NGC 3690 is consistent with neutral iron, but in our fit the energy of the emission line is only poorly constrained (Table 6). The measured 6.4 keV Fe Kα flux is ~10 times higher than that expected from star formation suggesting the presence of an AGN in NGC 3690. The energy of the emission line in IC 694 is consistent with the Fe Kα from ionized iron that may be produced in highly ionized gas around the AGN or SN explosions (Ballo et al. 2004). For the fit we used a model consisting of an absorbed thermal plasma plus a power-law. We included a Gaussian profile to account for the Fe Kα emission lines.
MCG−03-34-064
This galaxy is classified as Seyfert 1.8. The soft X-ray spectrum is dominated by a thermal component likely produced by star formation and gas photoionized by the AGN. The AGN absorbed component dominates the spectrum in the hard X-ray range. An Fe Kα emission line is detected at 6.4 keV, consistent with neutral iron. A detailed analysis of the XMM-Newton data of this galaxy was presented by Miniutti et al. (2007).
IC 4518W
It is a Seyfert 2 galaxy. Its XMM-Newton and INTEGRAL observations are described by de Rosa et al. (2008). This is the only galaxy in the sample in which we detected two prominent emission lines in the hard X-ray spectrum, one at 6.39 ± 0.03 keV and a weaker emission line at 7.1 (Table 6). The former is compatible with Fe Kα emission from neutral Fe. The latter may be Fe Kα produced by highly ionized iron, Fe Kβ or these lines blended. Comastri et al. (2010) found the Fe Kβ line in some obscured AGN. However, the Fe Kβ/Fe Kα ratio from neutral iron is 0.12–0.17 (Palmeri et al. 2003) and the ratio between the 6.39 and the 7.1 keV emission lines in IC 4518W is larger (0.4). Accordingly there might be a contribution from the Fe xxvi Kα emission line.
MCG+04-48-002
This galaxy is classified as H II from optical spectroscopy, but its radio, hard X-ray emission, and mid-IR spectrum suggest the presence of an obscured AGN (Masetti et al. 2006; Pereira-Santaella et al. 2010). Suzaku observations of this galaxy were analyzed by Winter et al. (2009). We detected an emission line at 6.47 that is compatible with neutral Fe Kα. The high hydrogen column density ( cm-2) toward the AGN and the powerful star-formation might explain why no AGN signatures are found in its optical spectrum.
is a composite Seyfert 1/starburst galaxy. It is sometimes misclassified as Seyfert 2 (see Shi et al. 2010). The hard X-ray spectrum is well reproduced by a power-law model, but we had to add a soft thermal plasma component to account for the soft X-ray excess. Della Ceca et al. (2001) reported X-ray fluxes ~ 7 times higher in the soft and hard bands from the analysis of contemporaneous (1998) ASCA and BeppoSax observations of this galaxy. Previous X-ray observations of NGC 7679 are available with Einstein (1981) and ROSAT (1990). The fluxes in the 0.2–4 keV (Einstein) and 0.1–2.4 keV (ROSAT) bands are a factor of ~ 2 higher than those measured in the XMM-Newton data (Della Ceca et al. 2001). These flux variations reflect the long-term variability of the X-ray emission of this galaxy.
Appendix B: Optical classification
Fig. B.1
Observed optical spectra of seven LIRGs from the 6dFGS database.
Open with DEXTER
The optical spectra of seven galaxies in the parent sample of LIRGs (Alonso-Herrero et al. 2006, 2011) without a previous activity classification were obtained as part of the six-degree Field (6dF) Galaxy Survey (6dFGS DR3; Jones et al. 2004, 2009). Only four of these seven LIRGs are members of the subsample studied in this paper. However, we present the optical spectra of all of them because in Sect. 2 we compare the nuclear activity of both samples.
The optical spectra were obtained with the 6dF multi-object fibre spectrograph on the United Kingdom Schmidt Telescope (UKST) from 2001 to 2006. The fiber angular diameter is 6 7, which means that at the distance of these LIRGs it covers the central ~2 kpc of the galaxies (i.e., similar to the physical regions covered by the Veilleux et al. 1995 spectra of local LIRGs). Each object was observed with two gratings in the V (3900–5600 Å) and R (5400–7500 Å) bands for at least 1 h and 0.5 h, respectively. These two spectra were later spliced to obtain the final object spectrum. The spectral resolution is 5–6 Å in V and 9–12 Å in R. The spectra are not accurately flux-calibrated, but they can be used to calculate ratios of emission lines near in wavelength (see Lee et al. 2011). The spectra of the 7 LIRGs are shown in Fig. B.1.
We measured the Hβ, [O iii]λ5007 Å, Hα, and [N ii]λ6584 Å emission lines in the spectra by fitting a Gaussian to each emission line. The measured [N ii]/Hα and [O iii]/Hβ line ratios are listed in Table B.1. We did not correct Hβ for stellar absorption, so the calculated [O iii]/Hβ ratio should be considered as an upper limit.
To determine the nuclear activity of these galaxies, we used the standard optical diagnostic diagram [N ii]λ6584 Å/Hα vs. [O iii]λ5007 Å/Hβ (Baldwin et al. 1981). We adopted the boundaries between H II, AGN, and composite galaxies of Kewley et al. (2006). The diagram for these LIRGs is shown in Fig. B.2 and the adopted classifications are listed in Table B.1. Neither the Hβ nor the [O iii]λ5007 emission lines are detected in IC 4518E, therefore we do not plot this galaxy in Fig. B.2. We did not detect the [O iii]λ5007 Å emission line in the spectrum of IC 4280, so we plotted the upper limit of the [O iii]/Hβ ratio in Fig. B.2. This does not affect the H II activity classification of this galaxy (see Fig. B.2).
[N ii]λ6584/Hα versus [O iii]λ5007/Hβ diagnostic diagram for the nuclear spectra of six LIRGs. The black lines show the empirical separation between H II, AGN, and composite galaxies of Kewley et al. (2006).
Table B.1
Observed optical emission line ratios and classification.
X-ray spectral properties of Seyfert galaxies and the unification scheme
FERO: Finding extreme relativistic objects — I. Statistics of relativistic Fe Kα lines in radio-quiet Type 1 AGN
On the driver of relativistic effect strength in Seyfert galaxies
Broad iron emission lines in Seyfert galaxies – re-condensation of gas onto an inner disk below the ADAF?
The narrow Fe Kα line and the molecular torus in active galactic nuclei: an IR/X-ray view


text:
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text:
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Calumet Island
Captree Island
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Cayuga Island
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Center Island
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Coney Island
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Constitution Island
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Croil Island
Croyle Island
Cuba Island
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Davids Island
Dayton Island
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Duck Island
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East Channel Island
East Crow Island
East Fire Island
Echo Island
Egg Island
Elder Island
Ellis Island
Eatons Neck
Fire Island
Fish Island
Flat Rock Island
Fishers Island
Frenchman Island
Galloo Island
Galop Island
Gardiners Island
Gardiners Point
Gatamby Rock
Georges Island
Gilgo Island
Glen Island
Goat Island
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Goose Island (New Rochelle, New York)
Governors Island
Grand Island
Grass Island
Great Island
Great Gull Island
Green Island
Grenadier Island
Harrison Island
Hart Island
Hen Island
Hewlett Hassock
Hicks Island
High Island
Hoffman Island
Hog Island
Hospital Island
Howland Island (Montezuma WMA)
Huckleberry Island
Ingraham Hassock Island
Indian Island (Bay Shore West)
Indian Island (Mattituck)
Iona Island
Ironsides Island
Islands of the Bronx
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John Boyle Island
Jones Island
Jones Beach Island
Lanes Island
Liberty Island
Little Cedar Island
Little Galloo Island
Little Goose Island
Little Gull Island
Little Island
Little Ram Island
Long Beach Island
Long Island
Long Meadow Island
Low Island
Luna Island
Manhattan Island
Manursing Island
Meadow Island
Meadowmere Park Island
Middle Crow Island
Middle Line Island
Mill Rock
Money Island
Murray Isle
Neptune Island
New Made Island
Nezeras Island
Nicoll Island
North Black Banks Hassock Island
North Brother Island
North Cinder Island
North Dumpling Island
North Line Island
North Manursing Island
North Meadow Island
Oak Island (Bay Shore West)
Oak Island (New Rochelle) (in Premium Mill-Pond)
Olivers Island
Oscawana Island
Outer Barrier Islands
Paradise Island
Parsonage Island
Pattersquash Island
Pearsalis Hassock
Pelican Island
Penny Island
Pine Island
Pea Island
Plum Island
Pollopel Island
Prall's Island
Ram Island
Randalls and Wards Islands (joined)
Rat Island
Reedy Island
Ridge Island
Rikers Island
Robins Island
Rock Island
Ruffle Bar
Roosevelt Island
Sand City Island
Sanford Island
Schodack Island
Schuyler Island
Sea Dog Island
Seamans Island
Sedge Island (Gardiners Island West)
Sedge Island (New Rochelle)
Sedge Island (Quogue)
Seganus Thatch Island
Sexton Island
Shelter Island
Shoofly Island
Shooters Island
Short Beach Island
Simmons Hassock
Snipe Island
South Black Banks Hassock
South Brother Island
South Dumpling Island
South Line Island
Star Island
Staten Island
Strawberry Island
Squaw Island (Canandaigua Lake)
Swinburne Island
Tank Island
Thatch Island
The Hassock
Throggs Neck
Three Cornered Hassock
Thousand Islands
Three Sisters Islands
Townsend Island
Travers Island
U Thant Island (Belmont Island)
Unity Island (formerly known as Squaw Island [Buffalo])
Valcour Island
Valiant Rock
Van Rensselaer Island
Van Schaick Island
Wansers Island
Warner Island
West Island
West Crow Island
West Fire Island
Westhampton Island
Wicopesset Island
Wood Tick Island
Wreck Island
Wright Island
Wellesley Island
Youngs Island

See also
List of smaller islands in New York City

Islands
New York


text:
class ClaripyError(Exception):
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class ClaripyFrontendError(ClaripyError):
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class ClaripySerializationError(ClaripyError):
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class BackendError(ClaripyError):
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class ClaripyZ3Error(ClaripyError):
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class ClaripyBackendVSAError(BackendError):
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class ClaripyVSASimplifierError(ClaripyBackendVSAError):
    pass

#
# AST errors
#

class ClaripyASTError(ClaripyError):
    pass

class ClaripyTypeError(ClaripyASTError):
    pass

class ClaripySizeError(ClaripyASTError):
    pass

class ClaripyOperationError(ClaripyASTError):
    pass

class ClaripyRecursionError(ClaripyOperationError):
    pass


text:
Shagird () is a 2011 Indian Hindi-language action thriller film directed by Tigmanshu Dhulia starring Nana Patekar as Hanumant Singh, Mohit Ahlawat as Mohit Kumar and Rimi Sen as Varsha Mathur. The film released on 13 May 2011. Despite a positive critical reception, the film failed to perform well commercially.

Plot

The film starts with gangster Bunty Bhaiya being arrested in Ghaziabad. In Delhi, Mohit Kumar is about to join the Crime branch as a sub-inspector under Senior inspector Hanumant Singh. There he meets Singh's team, which is taking bribes from a builder and their commission from the land mafia lord who is threatening the builder's life.

On arrival, he asks for Hanumant Singh where Rathi tells him that Hanumant Singh is not a human, he is in between humans and God. He is afraid of God, and Humans are afraid of Hanumant Singh.

Meanwhile, Hanumant Singh visits land mafia lord Choudhary as a Land owner from Rajasthan, where he kills him and his gang members. Two of the remaining gang members escapes and hides in a house. There they are surrounded by police. Shortly a news crew arrives to lead by Varsha Mathur from the Aaj Tak news channel to cover the ongoing incident. There Hanumant takes their camera and goes to the door of the house where gang members are hiding. There he pretends to be a camera man from the news channel, and as soon as they open the door, he shoots them. Later he tells the media that both were wanted, terrorists. Later he is joined by his teammates and takes Mohit for a drive. On the other side of the city, a person comes and threatens Hanumant's wife of killing Hanumant and his whole family if he doesn't stop doing his mischievous activities.

Hanumant takes Mohit to a hotel and asks him how he joined Crime Branch directly and about his hobbies and personal life. He later drops him to a party and goes home. Where on arrival, police informs him that gunshots were fired on his house. He tells his wife to leave India as soon as she gets her passport.

Bunty bhaiya has been transferred to Delhi jail, where he is treated as a high-profile personality by the jailer. In jail, Bunty befriends with two terrorists of Lashkar-e-Haq. Hanumant takes Mohit to Rajmani's (politician) birthday. There Rajmani tells him to encounter Ali tonight at his birthday party.

Before encountering Ali, he tells Hanumant of the drug deal going to take place, which Hanumant sabotages and takes money and drugs with him. In the drug deal encounter, Mohit saves Hanumant's life in the nick of a time. Later, Hanumant sends his wife and son to New-Zealand for their own safety. In the meantime, three journalists are kidnapped by a terrorist who asks for the release of their mates and Bunty bhaiya from Tihar jail.

When the government releases the three, Hanumant kills the two terrorists and takes Bunty into his safe house. Its later revealed that Hanumant was actually behind the kidnapping. Meanwhile, Mohit tips Hanumant about their colleague Shamsher Rana trying to kill him on instructions of Rajmani. Alert, Hanumant, in turn, kills Shamsher, faking it as a suicide case. Then Hanumant demands 15 crore from Rajmani for his release else he will post the video of Bunty's confessions to the media.

Hanumant is shot down, where Mohit shows his presence of mind and admits him to the hospital. In the hospital, Hanumant realizes that Mohit was all along working for Rajamani. Even though Mohit is planning to eliminate Hanumant, he agrees to share his ransom money for Mohit to save his life during the drug deal encounter, which genuine attempt, unlike the other attempts made to gain his confidence. Then both of them chalk out a plan to make money from Rajmani.

After increasing the deal from 15 to 25 crore by sending a video recording of Bunty with Mohit in the video (which he wasn't aware of), Rajmani agreed on the deal and gives Mohit the money. Mohit shows up at the place as directed by Hanumant and drives off to meet him. In the end, when Hanumant and Mohit divide their share of the money, and part ways, not knowing there is a transponder in the case. Hanumant had some children call Rajmani Bunty's location, and they rush off to the location. Upon entering Rajmani's car, Bunty was shot dead by Rajmani, and they continue to the parliament. Not realising the reporters are watching, Rajmani is captured by the police in a road block when they saw Bunty's dead body in the car.

Mohit is killed by Rajmani's people after a car chase in which he kills them all too... Later, when Hanumant goes to send money to his family through Kamlesh (Veerendra Saxena), who helps him send money when he needs to, he is shot twice by Kamlesh . Kamlesh tells him that he also has a family to feed, and that he has never seen such a big amount in his whole life, and that has made him disloyal. Kamlesh then shoots him a third time before walking out with the money. He then dials a number - it is shown that Mohit's cell keeps on ringing on the road where he lies dead, assuming Mohit arranged the plot, and walks off.

Hanumanth dies listening to old Hindi songs playing on the TV.

Cast

Soundtrack
This movie feature only one track "Kaisi Talab Hai" sung by Kunal Ganjawala composed by Abhishek Ray music on T-Series.

Critical reception
Nikhat Kazmi of The Times of India gave the movie a 3 star rating saying "Watch the film for its topicality. Shagird holds up a hard-hitting mirror on India: corrupt to the core, India: permanently scarred by the unholy nexus between tainted politicians, ruthless gangsters and dishonest cops." Taran Adarsh called the movie a power packed and well made film but blamed the awareness and low hype for the movie giving it a 3/5 star rating.

Music
The music was composed by music director Abhishek Ray.

References

External links

2011 films
Films scored by Abhishek Ray
Indian action thriller films
Indian police films
Reliance Entertainment films
Films directed by Tigmanshu Dhulia
2011 action thriller films
2010s Hindi-language films
Fictional portrayals of the Delhi Police
Films set in Delhi
Films set in Uttar Pradesh


The state of the economy can often dictate how much growth certain industries are experiencing which can influence business decisions such as investing in business process improvement.
Ultra takes a huge interest in world economic affairs, with special focus on the U.S. Manufacturing and Distribution Industry. October's state of the economy update includes facts and figures captured in over the last month, as well as details about events that have major sway over the economy.
The global upswing in economic activity is strengthening, with global growth projected to rise to 3.6 percent in 2017 and 3.7 percent in 2018. Broad-based upward revisions in the euro area, Japan, emerging Asia, emerging Europe, and Russia more than offset downward revisions for the United States and the United Kingdom. But the recovery is not complete: while the baseline outlook is strengthening, growth remains weak in many countries, and inflation is below target in most advanced economies.
Commodity exporters, especially of fuel, are particularly hard hit as their adjustment to a sharp stepdown in foreign earnings continues. While short-term risks are broadly balanced, medium-term risks are still tilted to the downside. For policymakers, the welcome cyclical pickup in global activity provides an ideal window of opportunity to tackle key challenges—namely to boost potential output while ensuring its benefits are broadly shared, and to build resilience against downside risks.
Global temperatures have increased at an unprecedented pace over the past 40 years, and significant further warming could occur, depending on our ability to restrain greenhouse gas emissions. Increases in temperature have uneven macroeconomic effects, with adverse consequences concentrated in countries with relatively hot climates, such as most low-income countries.
In these countries, a rise in temperature lowers per capita output, in both the short and medium term. Sound domestic policies and development alongside investment in adaptation strategies could help to some extent, but given the constraints faced by low-income countries, the international community must play a key role in supporting these countries' efforts to cope with climate change.
Europe remained one of the brighter spots in the world, continuing to dominate the list of economies with strong manufacturing growth. The IHS Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI increased to its highest level since February 2011.
Manufacturing activity in France, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands once again grew at their quickest paces in more than six years, and Greek activity expanded at its fastest pace since June 2008. Real GDP in the Eurozone increased 0.6 percent in the second quarter. That translated into 2.3 percent growth year-over-year—its quickest pace since the first quarter of 2011.
The Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI declined from 51.6 in August to 51.0 in September but expanded for the fourth straight month. Survey respondents mostly cited slower—but slightly modest—growth for new orders, output and exports.
Future output, while continuing to indicate decent growth, was also seen expanding more slowly than last month. In addition to those measures, the rate of decline for employment stabilized a little, with that index at its highest point in six months despite contracting in every month since October 2013.
In Canada, real GDP grew 1.1 percent in the second quarter, accelerating from the 0.9 percent gain in the first quarter. With that said, output in manufacturing declined 0.4 percent in July, largely on weakness in the transportation equipment sectors, including motor vehicles and parts. More positively, manufacturing output has risen 3.7 percent year-over-year. At the same time, retail spending increased 0.4 percent in July, with year-over-year growth of 7.8 percent.
The IHS Markit Mexico Manufacturing PMI rose from 52.2 in August to 52.8 in September, suggesting modest growth generally. In September, new orders, output, and exports all increased, but employment eased somewhat. Looking ahead, manufacturers in Mexico remained very upbeat about future output even with a slight deceleration in the forward-looking measure. This would indicate strong gains in production over the next six months.
In the U.S., consumer confidence soared in October, rising to its highest point since January 2004, according to preliminary data. Overall, the report was encouraging and a sign that consumers felt more upbeat in their views on the economy and in their expectations for spending in the months ahead. Along those lines, retail spending rose sharply, up 1.6 percent in September, buoyed by hurricane-related purchases of motor vehicles and home repair supplies and by higher gasoline prices. The labor market has also been encouraging this year, with signs that the job market continues to tighten. Along those lines, manufacturing hiring remained robust in August.
The pace of hiring was the best since November 2007. As a result, net hiring jumped from 33,000 in July to 48,000 in August. Notable pickups occurred in both consumer and producer prices in September, largely from higher energy costs. The consumer price index increased 2.2 percent year-over-year in September, up from 1.9 percent in August and a five-month high.
A fair share of this increase was related to recent hurricanes and likely transitory in nature. Core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy costs, inched up 0.1 percent in September, or 1.7 percent year-over-year. Yet, measures suggest mostly modest inflation right now, even with the recent acceleration.
For manufacturers, exports have trended in the right direction through the first seven months of this year—a welcome development after weaker data in the past two years. This reflects better year-to-date figures in five of the top-six markets for U.S.-manufactured goods: Canada, Mexico, China, Japan, and Germany.
The lone exception was our fifth-largest trading partner, the United Kingdom, with marginally softer exports to that nation year to date this year versus last. The U.S. trade deficit fell to its lowest level in 11 months in August. The improvement in the deficit in August came from somewhat higher goods exports, combined with a slight decline in goods imports.
International markets have shown a resilient stability in the face of political uncertainty surrounding trade policies. The Eurozone continues to emit consistent growth and China continues to demonstrate its economic strength, month over month and seems to be getting even more stable in its growth. Markets have not changed dramatically from last month's update; U.S. regional indexes were mixed this past month with some regions experiencing expected declines due to natural disaster concerns. The Northeast continued to exhibit some strong numbers and seems to be on a consistent rise after many months of extremely low growth. Perhaps most notably, U.S. exports improved this month, narrowing the deficit.
However, the U.S. still has a long way to go in this regard. Our top trading partners are experiencing multi – year highs in their production industries, and their exports consistently surpass our own. Furthermore, trade policy is in flux with fourth round of NAFTA negotiations begin in Virginia with expectations of controversial new U.S. proposals which has put strain on the trade relationship between the U.S. and Canada.
Additionally, the U.S. and Korea are moving towards a potential amendment of a trade agreement. Although the general outlook is positive at the moment, this year has been rough on the markets so far and trade policy hasn't stabilized for the U.S. so I'm not getting my hopes up quite yet.


Welcome to the inaugural post of Write Out, the Dwyer Café's service for writers, thinkers, and socialites who want to know where to go when working at home just won't do. To get things rolling, I've walked half a block from home to the Firehouse Café, a mecca for the coffee cognoscenti who frequent the Village of Fairhaven in south Bellingham, Washington.
My goal in these posts is not to become your coffee critic, but to provide information twice a week on a venue where you can sit and create art or friendships. I'll be providing uniform details about all spaces, as well as some personal impressions of each visit. Don't look for a rating system, as I'm not here to judge anyone's approach to doing business.
12-oz cappuccino: $3.75 tax incl.
At the Firehouse, the space exudes warmth in the most literal of ways. They keep a wood fire going in a real hearth, rather than a modern add-on fueled by gas. I got a Dickensian feel from writing next to the flames.
When I asked about WiFi, my barista offered to help me if it didn't work. It lit right up, and it worked the whole time I was there.
"There's a lady who's sure I fell into a burning ring of fire," she said.
"Oh, take a chance on me," he replied.
I can ignore music when I write out, for some reason. I'll mention the nature of any music I hear at the venues, so you can decide whether or not it suits your comfort level. At the Firehouse, there was a stereo going behind the barista at a gentle volume, with no speakers in the café area. The songs ranged from 1960s classic rock to 2010s folky girl singers. At one point, a woman at a table sang a few snatches of "Time of the Season" by the Zombies.
For those who want to camp out to write: The Firehouse has eight tables that can hold two laptops each. The barista said that, unless the place filled up, I wouldn't be bumped out. The folks at the Firehouse are used to seeing writers (and professors grading essays) at work, so you're safe here.
I have seen groups pull tables together, most often when a French conversation group meets. If you're planning to set a story in France or Québec, you may want to find out when the group is here so you can have them murmuring in the background. The Firehouse has a solid core clientele, generally mature neighborhood people, and the baristas recognize them.
The menu offers a full range of drinks, with a 12-ounce cappuccino (the benchmark for my blog) costing $3.75, tax included. They rotate a variety of in-house baked goods, including some gluten-free options. If you get hungry while you write, try the chili here; it's not super-spicy, but it's thick and flavorful.
Be aware that the Firehouse takes only cash or checks. You get double card punches on Mondays, so I show up on Mondays.
The Firehouse supports artists, and it runs a performance center that hosts concerts, dance and yoga classes, and films.
I wrote this whole post at the Firehouse, so I found the workspace effective enough. Your tastes may vary, but now you know the lay of the land when it comes to the Firehouse.
And what have I accomplished this week, between my Writing In and my Writing Out? Obviously, I created a Facebook writer page, which I tied to this new blog and the companion website. I also tweaked two short things so I could send them out the door, one to Memoir and one to Alfred Hitchcock's Mystery Magazine.
One of my short works has been in the hands of an editor for four months. I take that as a good sign that it's on the bubble. My story may not be such an obvious winner that it got snapped up the moment of its reading, but it didn't come back a week later in a flaming envelope, either. Wish that little guy luck for me, if you don't mind.
Thanks for this, Sean! I also spent a lot of time Writing Out, and haven't checked out the Firehouse yet. Sounds lovely. I'm glad to have met you at Saturday's RWB Happy Hour, and will look finding some of my future Write Out locations through your posts.


Accent chair furniture is a fantastic enhancement to any home which can be found in classic or modern layouts. Chairs could give prominence to any room in any kind of kind of structure. Amongst different sorts of accent furniture, chairs as well as tables are one of the most functional as well as useful for houses, workplaces as well as buildings. Accent chairs and tables have basic objectives as well as can turn a practical piece of furniture right into a masterpiece.
Gorgeous chairs aren't just for high-end but likewise work as a method to loosen up after a hard day's job. Back in the old days, males and females sat on the ground or on a big rock to take a remainder. As man came to be a lot more innovative, he formed tree trunks into benches and also made use of tree stumps as stools. These were the earliest sort of chairs and the only way individuals can have a bit of comfort as well as remainder. It was a terrific improvement from sitting on dirt.
Are you aware of all the different types of Accent Chairs readily available for your living-room? I sure wasn't. I had no suggestion there was so much to pick from until I started wanting to change my present furniture. After much study as well as time spent visiting furniture stores, I believed I would share what I have actually learnt and also perhaps help reduce the procedure for the next individual.
1. Wingback Chairs – These are chairs that have actually been around for centuries as well as are connected with high-end and also nobility. For an aesthetic, think about the chairs you've seen in flicks that a kind and also queen would being in. This type of chair is normally draped in material yet can be made in leather also. It will certainly have noticeable elevated legs, round padded arms, well supported seats as well as obviously the winged back. The wings are thought to aid conceal a person's face while they are sitting must somebody search in their direction from the side.
2. Armless chairs – These chairs are more modern as well as classy. Envision a common upholstered chair yet without the arms. Armless chairs have a cushion seat and also back. Some designs will certainly have a contour to the back while others are just a straight back. Many armless chairs have visible legs with completed wood.
3. Chaise Lounge – Let me aim to provide you a visual on this chair. Consider an upholstered chair with an extended seat/base or visualize a chair with an ottoman attached to it and that's just what a chaise looks like. Chaises can be made with different styles in mind. Some are really traditional aiming to the more modern rounded styles. An additional alternative available with a chaise is the enhancement of an arm on one side. For those wanting to acquire this kind of chair remember majority are large and occupy a good quantity of area.
a. Two Placement Reclining chair – This is a stationary reclining chair with 2 placements described as "Sitting" as well as "Reading." Resting is equally as it implies; you rest upright with your feet on the ground. The reading placement is when you recline back in the chair as well as your feet are propped up. This chair recline using a handle that is located outside of the chair or occasionally hidden below the arm and also beside the seat cushion.
b. Rocker Recliner chair – This kind resembles both Placement Recliner chair however has the added advantage of rocking back and forth.
c. Push Back Reclining chair – This reclining chair is likewise just like both Position Recliner chair but rather than needing to pull a manage to recline, you simply push back in the chair.
5. Bathtub Chairs – This chair has a semi-circular back with rounded arms. To picture, think of half a tub that has actually been cushioned as well as offered legs. The back as well as arms are one continuous item with the seat cushion have the alternative of being connected or removable. These likewise have the alternative of being made with a swivel base if someone wants that included high-end.


NOVA SCOTIA PROVINCE FLAG - This 3 ft x 5 ft high-quality Canadian Province Flag is Made-in-America to Nova Scotia specifications using authentic Provincial Colors, design, and proportions. This Authentic Nova Scotia Canadian Province Flag is manufactured from High-Quality heavyweight 200-denier SolarMax nylon bunting with strong white header and solid brass grommets. Fly this Nova Scotia Provincial Flag to celebrate your Canadian heritage or business or to call attention to your Nova Scotian Event or Club.


Add more power to your robot with this metal-geared MG90S servo. The tiny little servo can rotate approximately 90 degrees (45 in each direction), and works just like the standard kinds you're used to but smaller. You can use any servo code, hardware or library to control these servos. Good for beginners who want to make stuff move without building a motor controller with feedback & gear box, especially since it will fit in small places. Of course, its not nearly as strong as a standard servo. Works great with the Motor Shield for Arduino, our 16-channel Servo Driver, or by just wiring up with the Servo library. Comes with a few horns and hardware.
Please note, this servo will 'hold' the position even when no signal is sent!


. . . BRI raises bigger questions about the kind of regional economic and security order we would like to see in the Indo-Pacific. It is telling that BRI is organised on a 'hub-and-spokes' model, despite Chinese claims that it is somehow 'multilateral' in form. The 'One Belt' and 'One Road' run back to One Capital – Beijing – and joining BRI would require signing a bilateral memorandum of understanding with China rather signing up to some kind of internationally negotiated, rules-governed, multilateral institution. This speaks volumes about China's ambitions under Xi, particularly the desire for a Sino-centric economic order in which Beijing decides who gets trading and financial privileges from China, and who does not.
Sounds a lot like flypaper.
It all makes sense if you think of China as the "Middle Kingdom" and the rest of the world as tribute-paying barbarians.


text:
"Twilight of Democracy: The Failure of Politics and the Parting of Friends" by Anne Applebaum
Adam M Wakeling
In 1927, Julien Benda published La Trahison des Clercs (The Treason of the Intellectuals), the short book that would become his most famous work. Benda was infuriated with intellectuals who allowed themselves to become cheerleaders for totalitarianism. He was living, as he writes sadly, in the age of the "intellectual organisation of political hatreds."
This quotation from Benda appears as the epigraph of Anne Applebaum's Twilight of Democracy: The Failure of Politics and the Parting of Friends. Applebaum argues that La Trahison des Clercs is as relevant now as it was a century ago. Modern-day clercs—anti-democratic elites of the left and right in politics and the media—are just as willing to overthrow, bypass or undermine democratic institutions. "Given the right conditions, any society can turn against democracy," Applebaum writes. "Indeed, if history is anything to go by, all our societies eventually will."
Applebaum argues that there is no single recipe for democratic collapse, but the book runs through a few likely ingredients. One is the "medium-sized lie": the conspiracy theories that so effortlessly spread through social media. Another is "restorative nostalgia": the desire to bring back a mythical past that may have never actually existed. Then there's the understandable frustration with the slow, complex and out-of-touch institutions of modern liberal democracies. The final ingredient is the hyper-partisan world of politics in internet echo chambers, where it has become worryingly easy to isolate yourself from opposing views and start seeing your ideological opponents as an existential threat to society. "People have always had different opinions," Applebaum writes. "Now they have different facts."
Applebaum is concerned about the authoritarian sensibility of far-left campus agitators, Twitter mobs and intellectuals turned spin doctors, and she was one of the signatories of the Harper's letter on justice and open debate. But while she acknowledges that their cultural power is growing, Applebaum argues that only the anti-democratic clercs commonly associated with the nationalist or populist right—a movement "more Bolshevik than Burkean"—have managed to actually get into government.
To demonstrate this, Applebaum takes her readers on a stroll through the contemporary political landscape of five countries. First, she covers Poland and Hungary, where the political movements Applebaum is critical of are in government, and then the UK, Spain and the US, where she argues that they are gaining influence. She has personal connections in and familiarity with each place, and her anecdotes, quotations and observations from them form one of the most interesting parts of Twilight of Democracy.
A Tour of Democracy in 2020
Applebaum begins in Poland, where she has one of the best local connections—her husband is politician Radosław Tomasz "Radek" Sikorski and she is a dual Polish–US citizen. She begins the section in 1999, at a New Years' Eve Party in rural Poland, where an eclectic group of liberals and conservatives are celebrating the country's first decade free from Communist rule. Twenty years later, many of the partygoers are no longer on speaking terms because of their opposing opinions on the country's ruling Law and Justice Party. Some have eagerly embraced it; others, like Applebaum, consider it worryingly authoritarian. Hence the connection between the twilight of democracy and the parting of friends in the book's subtitle.
Applebaum is critical of the Law and Justice Party's politicisation of the courts and influence over the media—she likens the appointment of populist politician Jacek Kurski as chair of state TV network Telewizja Polska to putting conspiracy theory website InfoWars in charge of the BBC. In Hungary, she is similarly critical of the Fidesz Party of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. She accuses her former friends and allies of whataboutism in their willingness to defend both these governments. For example, she describes a tense interview with British conservative columnist John O'Sullivan, who now lives in Budapest and works for the Danube Institute, a Fidesz-aligned think tank. When she asks him about growing government control over the media, he responds by pointing out that the media in the United States is more favourable to the Democratic Party. Applebaum's criticisms of the Law and Justice Party and Fidesz can come across as vague at times—I had to search for supplementary information elsewhere—but her warning about the dangers of whataboutism cannot be repeated enough.
Of course, the topic most readers are probably most interested in is Applebaum's view of the future of democracy in the English-speaking world. In Spain, democracy is younger than leisure suits and disco. In Poland and Hungary, democracy is younger than MTV and rap music. But are there meaningful threats to democracy in its centuries-old strongholds in London and Washington? Applebaum doesn't offer a direct answer, and the series of individual people and incidents she describes don't really form a cohesive whole. For example, she writes extensively on Boris Johnson and Brexit, without really explaining where they fit into the big picture. I was not left convinced that the collapse of democracy in the UK and US is inevitable.
Even so, Twilight of Democracy is well worth reading. Applebaum cites western conservatives, worried about counterculture and political correctness, who have been drawn to the Law and Justice Party and Fidesz. Yet the Law and Justice Party openly supports "LGBT-free" zones, now encompassing a third of Poland, where free speech is curtailed. Both Reporters Without Borders and Freedom House have published reports expressing concern about press freedom in Hungary. The Orbán government's takeover of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences has created fears for academic freedom both inside and outside the country. Political institutions in the United States are much sounder than those in Eastern Europe, but Applebaum's concern about President Trump's penchant for conspiracy theories and about the rhetoric of his associates is perfectly reasonable. Sadly, I expect her criticisms will often be deflected using the very whataboutism and hyper-partisanship she warns about in the book.
Preserving Democracy
Applebaum concludes by noting that liberal democracies demand effort and participation from their citizens, as well as a tolerance for "cacophony and chaos." This last point is critical—particularly in such a cacophonous and chaotic year as this one. One of the clercs criticised by Benda in Treason of the Intellectuals is Charles Maurras, a fiercely nationalistic writer who became involved in politics during the Dreyfus Affair of 1894, in which Alfred Dreyfus, a Jewish officer in the French Army, was convicted of treason based on a letter later found to be forged. Maurras, a self-described antisemite, was among the anti-Dreyfusards, who were happy to see Dreyfus sacrificed on the altar of national unity. In the 1930s, Maurras was scathingly critical of French conservatives who openly admired Hitler, but in the 1940s, he eagerly embraced the Vichy regime. The Vichy government blamed France's ignominious defeat on the decadence of the Third Republic, with its weak governments and tumultuous politics, and promised renewal through an authoritarian counter-revolution. Believing that the Enlightenment and democracy had sent France down a path of decline, Maurras was perfectly happy to dispense with the French Republican motto of Liberty, Equality and Brotherhood in favour of the Vichy alternative of Work, Family and Fatherland. Convicted of collaborating with the Axis powers after the war, he famously declared "this is Dreyfus' revenge!" to the court that sentenced him to prison. Applebaum describes Maurras' story in detail in Twilight of Democracy. She rightly points out that, although any future collapse of democracy in the western world will not simply be a repeat of the democratic retreat of the 1930s, clercs who think like Maurras could easily play a similar role.
Liberal democracy is preserved by those who think it worth the effort. Twilight of Democracy is a timely warning to anyone who might be tiring of its "cacophony and chaos" and looking for some sort of authoritarian counter-revolution of their own—or, at the very least, be willing to defend authoritarianism only because they fear something else that they wrongly consider to be just as bad.
Adam Wakeling is an Australian writer, lawyer, and historian. He is the author of three books on Australian history, the most recent being A House of Commons for a Den of Thieves: Australia's Journey From Penal Colony to Democracy. He is the law and democracy editor at Culturico, his website is https://www.amwakeling.com/, and he is on Twitter @AdamMWakeling.
Thank You for Offending Us: In Praise of Satirists
@stuart chambers "The governments in the U.S., Poland and Hungary presently are the opposite of democracy. Voter suppression, controlling the press, and nepotism limit the rights of citizens. It's trademark authoritarianism." My point is that Democracy's evil twin is mob-rule. I think that's what Applebaum sees in Poland and Hungary. Maybe she has a point, but Poland and Hungary are so far not Weimar and Venezuela. Those latter countries took the democratic route to authoritarianism. Judgments on Poland and Hungary are premature. Including the US in that list would require some actual reasons. Voter suppression could be obstructing the ability to vote and it could be stuffing ballot boxes with fraudulent votes. I suspect you are not considering the latter possibility. Controlling the press is not so hard with subsidized, captive media like the CBC. It's even easier with MSNBCCNNABCNPRABCCBS, who probably get as much revenue from just Canadian clicks… Read more »
"Yet the Law and Justice Party openly supports "LGBT-free" zones, now encompassing a third of Poland, where free speech is curtailed."
At least that's far smaller than the percentage of universities, television networks, and corporations in the United States where free speech is curtailed, suppressed, or subject to Human Resources department intersectional group think.
If Applebaum's major premise is that rightist authoritarian governments are the problem, she has missed out on the term "bureaucracy." At least in the U.S.. And if it's pure democracy she's worried about, the Law and Justice Party and Fidesz are examples of Democracy unleashed.
aNanyMouse
"Trump's penchant for conspiracy theories", but not the penchant of his foes for conspiracy theories?
What conspiracy theories has Trump touted, at anywhere near the decibel level hurled by the Dems/ MSM, about Collusion with Russian Hacking?
"only the anti-democratic clercs commonly associated with the nationalist or populist right… have managed to actually get into government.
Were Clinesmith, Comey, Page, Strzok etc. associated with the nationalist or populist right?
Until her ilk can refrain from such tripe, they should stay inside their Elite echo-chambers, rather than waste the time of those of us who live in the real world.
stuart chambers
Great review–and Applebaum's book is well worth the read!


As of 25th May 2018 a new EU legislation called GDPR or GENERAL DATA PROTECTION REGULATION is effective. This affects everyone. You as the consumer have rights to your data and what businesses do with it. To know how we collect and use your data please read my Privacy Statement (below).
We will only use your information to provide services to you that you have requested and give you information regarding treatments and products available from me. Any medical information held will only be used by us in conjunction with your appointments and will be stored in a secured/locked location that only we have access to. The correct medical information is necessary for us to carry out your appointment. We will never pass any of your information onto any third party other than Shedul which is my booking system. Shedul will only hold your name, contact number, email address and what treatments you have. Your sensitive information is not held electronically.
From time to time we would like to contact you with any offers or events we are running. We may also contact you reminding you of appointments.
We are required under UK law to keep your basic details such as name, contact number, address, date of birth, email address and medical details for a minimum of 7 years after your last treatment with me. After this timescale they will be securely destroyed.
More information regarding data protection and your rights can be found on the Information Commissioner's Office Website (https://ico.org.uk/).