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BY Art Thiel 07:00AM 01/02/2021
Thiel: Metcalf catching Largent, not Megatron
DK Metcalf is likely to break a 35-year-old club record by a Seahawks legend Sunday. But to catch NFL leader Calvin Johnson, he needs to be on a bad team.
Seahawks RB Curt Warner, left, won the Star of the Year award in 1983 and WR Steve Largent followed two years later in 1985, the year he set the club record for receiving yards. / Seattle Sports Commission
In 1985, Seahawks coach Chuck Knox, inventor of diabolically mundane Ground Chuck offense, found a way for QB Dave Krieg to complete 79 passes to WR Steve Largent for 1,287 yards, breaking his own 1979 mark and setting a franchise standard that has lasted in Seattle for 35 years.
That was so long ago that fans actually attended games in person. Shoulder to shoulder. Maskless. Indoors.
It sounds made up, I know. But it's true.
For a Knox offense to have set a positive pass-receiving record would seem unlikely. Not as unlikely, say, as Snacks Harrison medaling at the Winter Olympics in the slalom, but hard.
The key, apparently is to have a modest urge to throw to others.
Guess who was No. 2 in receptions that year? A running back. A good one — Curt Warner, with 47. The No. 2 wideout was Daryl Turner (34 catches). The tight end was Charle Young (28).
The topic comes up because WR DK Metcalf is six yards shy of breaking the record of Hall of Famer Largent, which he seems destined to do Sunday against the 6-9 49ers (in Arizona, 1:25 p.m., FOX) in the regular-season finale.
"To break a record that's been standing for so long, it's a blessing just to be in this position," Metcalf said this week. "It's an amazing opportunity I have in front of me."
In the first meeting with the 49ers at the Loo Nov. 1, Metcalf torched the damaged SF secondary with 12 receptions and 161 yards in a 37-27 win. The Niners again will be without CB Richard Sherman — as well as CBs K'Waun Williams, Emmanuel Moseley and a cast of a thousand wounded — who played in just five games because of a calf injury. At 32, he has said publicly he thinks his three-year tenure by the Bay is likely done.
So the depleted Niners seem to offer an opportunity for the Seahawks to put on video for playoff opponents some evidence that the explosive passing attack that dazzled the NFL in the first half of the season is still there; to say it is merely shrouded by choice, not inability.
After the 5-0 start, defenses began using two safeties deep to discourage shots to Metcalf and WR Tyler Lockett. In his searching, QB Russell Wilson hung on to the ball too long and forced matters, creating some turnovers. But the decision to throw under the coverage, coupled with a return to health in the run game, has made the offense a harder, if less flashy, out.
"We kind of went through a little hiccup in the middle of the season, but now we got it figured out," Metcalf said. "Defenses have to find another way to beat us. If teams start going two-high, it's gonna be interesting to see how how teams stop us.
"If you play two-high, we're gonna run the ball. If you try to load the box, then we're throwing it over your head. They they can pick their poison."
The balance makes the offense less reliant on Metcalf. In the first eight games, he had seven of 90 or more yards. In the past seven, only one of more than 80 yards.
It's worked out increasingly well for the offense. But if the change in emphasis becomes a more or less permanent feature of the offense over time, Metcalf in future seasons is going to have a difficult time reaching his other personal milestone beyond Largent's mark — Calvin Johnson's single-season NFL record of 1,964 yards in 2012.
"I kind of looked up (Largent's) record last year, toward the end of the season," Metcalf said. "So I knew it was going to be on the agenda this year to break it.
"I've got to start small with the Largent record, and then hopefully move on to Calvin's record."
That 700-yard difference is an epic climb. While Metcalf is a match for Megatron's size, speed, power and hands, he bears the burden of being on a good team.
Johnson's nine-year career (2007-15) was spent with the Detroit Lions, where he was often the only game-breaking option on a franchise that had two winning seasons in his time.
The Lions haven't won a playoff game since 1991. Metcalf in his second season already has been in as many playoff games as the three-time All-Pro — two. In his record year, the Lions lost their final eight to finish 4-12 and broke a 30-year-old NFL record with 740 pass attempts (46.25 per game).
That's how to get to a nearly unmatchable individual record in the NFL — be the best guy by far on a roster of perpetual mediocrity.
With the Seahawks about to enter their ninth postseason in 11 years under Carroll, a big believer in balance, Metcalf is going to get plenty of chances to be a star. But he has to share the stage.
Metcalf isn't even leading the Seahawks in receptions.
Lockett has 88 catches, 11th in the NFL (Stephon Diggs leads with 120) and seven shy of breaking Doug Baldwin's 2016 club record. Metcalf's 80 are 19th. Metcalf's 1,282 yards are sixth, Lockett has 964, which is 19th. Metcalf has 10 TDs, Lockett eight.
That makes for one of the best tandems in the league. But as long as the band stays together, it's not the best shot for a record solo act. Yet Carroll Friday was unwilling to put a lid on Metcalf's capabilities.
"I don't know what's not attainable for DK," he said. "He is such an extraordinary player. For us, he's just getting started. I think the sky's the limit for the kid. Because of his habits, his talent and and his mentality, he's got everything that you're looking for.
"So we shouldn't set any boundaries for him at all."
For a kid who turned 23 two weeks ago, owning a 35-year-old record is plenty for now.
Thiel: Eagles pick a fight with the wrong dude
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Thiel: Wilson needs Carroll to show his trust
Thiel: Answers needed from Wilson and Carroll
marmoto
I'd love to see Lockett get the receptions record tomorrow. His body language lately has conveyed less than his usual buoyancy. Maybe he needs the crowd back. Or maybe I'm projecting.
He hasn't quite been as energized as I've seen him. Don't know why.
I get that Megatron's record seems like a reach, but . . .
Heading into Week 17, DK has 80 catches (on 120 targets) for 1,282 yards (a 16.025 yards per catch average).
Stefon Diggs is #1 in the league in both receptions, targets, and yards with 120 catches on 158 targets for 1,459 yards. If Diggs had matched DK's average of 16.025 yards per catch, he'd be sitting at 1,923 yards heading into the final game . . . only 41 yards shy of the record.
Could DK get 120+ catches next season? Sure. Would he need the #2 receiver to get 50 or fewer? Not necessarily.
As mentioned, Diggs has 120 receptions this year. The #2 WR in Buffalo (Cole Beasley) has 82.
Combined, Diggs and Beasley have 202 receptions on 265 targets for 2,426 yards. Metcalf and Lockett have combined for 168 catches on 238 targets for 2,246 yards.
That's not a huge difference.
From a QB perspective, Wilson and Allen are pretty close as well. Allen has completed 378 of 547 passes (69.1%) for 4,320 yards. Wilson has completed 364 of 522 passes (69.7%) for 4,031 yards.
The main difference is that Buffalo's top 2 receivers account for 53% of the catches and Seattle's top 2 receivers account for 46%. If that "extra" 7% (roughly 25 catches) had gone to DK, he'd be sitting at close to 1,700 yards right now.
Long story short . . . if DK wants to top Megatron's record in the next couple of years, I wouldn't bet against him. And I don't think Seattle would need to change much for him to have a legitimate shot.
Marion Tutor
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Thanks for a good look at the numbers. My main point is that Carroll will always gravitate to a strong ground game because of the reduced risk of turnovers. The numbers for Metcalf/Lockett were inflated this year to compensate for injuries and the defense's slow start. And Allen has nine INTs, Wilson 13. Those extra four for Wilson loom large in Carroll's mind.
As long as Carroll has Wilson, Lockett and a top-tier RB, Metcalf's numbers won't approach Johnson's.
Cathy Corbo
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I'm not on topic, Art, but wanted to say that your question to Pete in the Wednesday Presser about 'standards for hiring / managing assistants / staff' was one of the best questions from the press corps this year.
I'm not sure what motivated you to ask about that, but found it to be quite interesting from the perspective that Pete has fired and replaced more top assistants than any other successful long-tenured head coach I can think of. After all, who fires his offensive and defensive coordinators (in 2017) and still gets to the playoffs the next season? -Kind of 'Coach of the Year' stuff, given all the pressure he put on himself with that. Since Pete has such well defined principals for how he wants to play the game, its not hard to think that he would have a philosophy towards hiring / managing / terminating. "I talk to John and other trusted coaches" clearly wasn't an illuminating answer. It was still a great question though.
I asked because tomorrow is Black Monday for NFL coaches. Lots of staff changes, and Carroll has already lost son Brennan to U of Arizona as OC. As you noticed, Carroll didn't quite take the answer where I hoped it would go. I assumed that he learned things as an assistant from senior coaches who did things right and wrong that would inform his choices as an NFL head coach.
Lockett is approaching 1000 yards for the season, sitting on 964 currently. The Hawks have never had two players hit the 1000 yard mark in the same season.
DK in a way reminds me of Darryl "Deep Heat" Turner. Both are exceptionally tall receivers who can catch the long ball but with Turner he seemed to only catch the long ball. Anything less was typically dropped. DK has been growing in terms of holding onto the ball after the catch. A staple of the receivers during the Pete Carroll era.
With the 49ers as injury depleted as they are, especially on defense, both DK and Lockett could set some records. That could set some momentum going into the playoffs. Just hope that Shell and Randall haven't started momentum on the COVID19 front on the team.
I think Metcalf has it over Turner in every aspect, including blocking, never a Turner forte.
Oops. Correction: Joey Galloway and Brian Blades both eclipsed the 1000 yard mark in 1995. Agree that DK is a good blocker. The standard for all Seahawks WR's set by Steve Largent.
I would put Golden Tate with Largent.


?From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Vanessa Joy Minnillo (born November 9, 1980) is an American television personality, television host, model, and actress. A former Miss Teen USA, she has been a New York-based correspondent for Entertainment Tonight and a host of Total Request Live on MTV. She was the host of the Miss Universe 2007, which was held at Mexico City, Mexico, in the National Auditorium, with Mario Lopez. Description above from the Wikipedia article Vanessa Minnillo, licensed under CC-BY-SA, full list of contributors on Wikipedia.
In DISASTER MOVIE, the filmmaking team behind the hits \Scary Movie,\ \Date Movie,\ \Epic Movie\ and \Meet The Spartans\ this time puts its unique, inimitable stamp on one of the biggest and most bloated movie genres of all time -- the disaster film.
The Fantastic Four return to the big screen as a new and all powerful enemy threatens the Earth. The seemingly unstoppable Silver Surfer, but all is not what it seems and there are old and new enemies that pose a greater threat than the intrepid superheroes realize.
Let's Make a Deal is a television game show which originated in the United States and has since been produced in many countries throughout the world. The show is based around deals offered to members of the audience by the host. The traders usually have to weigh the possibility of an offer being for a valuable prize, or an undesirable item, referred to as a "Zonk". Let's Make a Deal is also known for the various unusual and crazy costumes worn by audience members, who dressed up that way in order to increase their chances of being selected as a trader. The show was hosted for many years by Monty Hall, who co-created and co-produced the show with Stefan Hatos. The current version is hosted by Wayne Brady, with Jonathan Mangum, Tiffany Coyne, and Cat Gray assisting.


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Jankov Most (, , ), wörtlich übersetzt "Jankovs Brücke", ist ein Ort im serbischen Banat und gehört zum Verwaltungsgebiet der Stadt Zrenjanin.

Demografie
In Jankov Most leben nach einer Volkszählung aus dem Jahr 2002 insgesamt 543 volljährige Personen in 237 Haushalten. Das Durchschnittsalter der Einwohner liegt bei 48,2 Jahren (45,3 bei der männlichen und 51,2 bei der weiblichen Bevölkerung). Das Dorf hat eine rumänische Mehrheit und verzeichnet seit den fünfziger Jahren des zwanzigsten Jahrhunderts eine kontinuierlich sinkende Einwohnerzahl.

Weblinks
 Offizielle Website der Verwaltung in Zrenjanin

Ort in der Opština Zrenjanin

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Lock in a great price for Salad Beach Resort – rated 8 by recent guests!
I loved the location, amenities, and the room in general!
Great breakfast, nice pool, cozy rooms, amazing sundeck!
Salad beach is the best location on the island. It's beautiful and remote so the beaches are empty. GO TO JACKS bar it's amazing!!!
The room was spacious & comfy for the price paid. Value for money. The resort is located at a private beach with few more resorts. The beach here is very clean & beautiful. Good location for snorkeling. Recommend this place for families who would like some private time. Despite this place being far from the main town & the full moon party, they had regular transportation to help you get to the places you wanted to go.
It was really well maintained and the property was beautiful! They were accommodating and after some sweet talking, let us stay with our rather large family, in a small room. Even though it was expensive, I appreciated that it included a really great breakfast at a small charge.
Property is very nice located on a quiet beach. Pool area is very nice as well as the resort grounds.
Fantastic breakfast included on the beach front restaurant. Cooked to order omelettes, fruit plates, etc. great beach. Friendly and helpful staff.
The beach was great, the pool was clean, the A/C in the room worked well. The restaurant had a nice setup with tables on the beach for dinner.
Salad Beach Resort This rating is a reflection of how the property compares to the industry standard when it comes to price, facilities and services available. It's based on a self-evaluation by the property. Use this rating to help choose your stay!
The Koh Phangan's Salad Beach Resort is on Haad Salad, a 30-minute drive from Thong Sala Port. It features a beachfront restaurant, its own diving school and an outdoor pool. Free wireless hotspots are available.
This self-contained resort includes a spa, hot tub, and beauty salon for guests looking for a relaxing visit. Diving trips, snorkeling and windsurfing can be arranged by the resort's tour desk. Guests can rent a bike to explore the resort's natural surroundings.
Salad Beach Resort is less than half a mile from Salad Beach and 17 miles from Samui Airport.
The rooms and bungalows provide a touch of old-world charm. Most come with balconies and an outdoor sitting area. A fridge and safe are available.
Cuttaleeya Restaurant features panoramic views of the ocean and serves a variety of Thai and Western dishes. Room service is also available.
This property also has one of the top-rated locations in Salad Beach! Guests are happier about it compared to other properties in the area.
When would you like to stay at Salad Beach Resort?
A spacious room for 2 with a balcony and outdoor sitting area.
Room has no capacity for an extra bed.
Rooms with garden views are a 2-minute walk from the beach.
Room has no capacity for extra bed.
Standalone bungalows are located from the main building.
Standalone bungalows offer views of the pool.
Located just steps away from the beach, restaurant and spa, this beachfront bungalow comes with air conditioning, a safety deposit box and a refrigerator. The private bathroom includes hot/cold shower facilities.
Koh Phangan is the largest in a small archipelago of six islands and lies to the north of Koh Samui in the Gulf of Thailand. This idyllic island is known for its pristine white beaches and its infamous Full Moon Party, which brings party-goers from around the world together to experience one of the biggest beach parties around. Salad Beach Resort is located on idyllic Haad Salad, a pure white sand beach in a picture perfect bay with all the trappings of tropical island life. The resort is set amongst beautiful tropical gardens and is right on the beach, harmonizing with the wonderful natural surroundings and making Salad Beach the perfect place to spend your dream holiday.
House Rules Salad Beach Resort takes special requests – add in the next step!
Salad Beach Resort accepts these cards and reserves the right to temporarily hold an amount prior to arrival.
Please inform Salad Beach Resort of your expected arrival time in advance. You can use the Special Requests box when booking, or contact the property directly using the contact details in your confirmation.
The buildings and rooms are in fair shape but could do with some touching up. At times it was a bit hectic with children playing in the pool, bit that is to be expexted.
The beach front location (the restaurant and sun chairs), the pool is lovely, the whole garden area so charming.
I didn't like that there weren't enough outlets in our room. It was very hard to use our computers if they needed to be plugged in and it was difficult to charge our phones.
WE spend one mire night. Personnal was kind. Confort top.
We have spend there 11 days. Resort has very beautiful and green area. Stuff was very nice and friendly. Reustourant at resort has very tasty and fresh food, especially fish BBQ. Recomend to everyone who us looking for calm and relax vacation.
I came here to chill, go diving and rummage about the island on a moped....I booked 5 nights and liked it so much I booked another 3 nights rather than find another place at Haadd Rin. I didn't like my room, as it was near the pool pump and moped parking and not perfect for after lunch snoozing 😁 and the duty manager laughed, said he guite undestood and moved me to the quietest bungalow available.....ideal result. Pirate dive centre is next door and they were spot on for a novice.....no worries moped hire through the hotel...... The resteraunt is good with a decent buffet breakfast for all tastes and proper brewed coffee....I was usually in there by 7.30am... rarely out before 9.30....stuffed to the brim, most mornings I used it as an office🤔. Yup...still got to do a little work and the WiFi was fine. It's right on a quiet and sandy beach with good snorkeling and shallow for the Kids. There is a pagoda where I had two full Thai massage a week apart and loved every minute, really got the girls giggling when I kept snorting like a pig when she hit a tickly bit!!! After dark there are several half decent places to eat along the beach but that best Thai food at great prices is Yings kitchen near the crossroads, a lovely family run place that I ate at loads, big smiles all round. HAPPY TO BOOK HERE AGAIN SOME DAY.
Management needs to invest some money to improve the standard of the resort. More staff at reception and restaurant area. Definitely Refurbishment at : restaurant and bathrooms, Room mattress , room bathrooms, sheets, and towels Avoid plastic chairs and tables on the beach A bar is missing Overall the resort is nice but with some investment you can improve the quality to be a Good resort .
Good and comfortable resort with a quiet and nice beach.
We didn't like the room that was dedicated to Booking.com. We book a double standard room. It was not satisfying. To small, and not comfortable. We had to upgrade. Serious problem to flush the toilets. They had only one standard room and that was for Booking.com😫 Bad smell in rooms. The pillows smell bad.
Breakfast was good with all we needed. Friendly staff, beach was wonderful.


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Divisor facts for kids
For the second operand of a division, see division (mathematics).
In mathematics, a divisor of an integer n, also called a factor of n, is an integer which evenly divides n without leaving a remainder. Any number is always evenly divisible by 1 and itself, which are two of the divisors. A prime number has no other divisors.
Finding one or more factors of a given number is called factorization.
Spotting divisors
For example, 7 is a divisor of 42 because 42/7 = 6. We also say 42 is divisible by 7 or 42 is a multiple of 7 or 7 divides 42 or 7 is a factor of 42 and we usually write 7 | 42. For example, the positive divisors of 42 are 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 14, 21, 42.
In general, we say m|n (read: m divides n) for non-zero integers m and n iff there exists an integer k such that n = km. Thus, divisors can be negative as well as positive, although often we restrict our attention to positive divisors. (For example, there are six divisors of four, 1, 2, 4, -1, -2, -4, but one would usually mention only the positive ones, 1, 2, and 4.)
1 and -1 divide (are divisors of) every integer, every integer is a divisor of itself, and every integer is a divisor of 0, except by convention 0 itself (see also division by zero). Numbers divisible by 2 are called even and numbers not divisible by 2 are called odd.
A divisor of n that is not 1, -1, n or -n is known as a non-trivial divisor; numbers with non-trivial divisors are known as composite numbers, while prime numbers have no non-trivial divisors.
The name comes from the arithmetic operation of division: if a/b = c then a is the dividend, b the divisor, and c the quotient.
There are properties which allow one to recognize certain divisors of a number from the number's digits. Those properties can be used as "math tricks" to quickly spot some divisors of a number.
For example, if the last digit is even (0, 2, 4, 6 or 8), then 2 is a divisor. If the last digit is 0 or 5, then 5 is a divisor. If the digits add up to a multiple of 3, then 3 is a divisor. For the number 340, ending in "0" then both 2 and 5 are divisors, plus 2×5 = 10 is also a divisor. Dividing by 10, 340/10 = 34, as finally 2×17. Combining all the smaller numbers, the 12 divisors of 340 are:
Divisors of 340: 1, 2, 4, 5, 10, 17, 20, 34, 68, 85, 170, 340.
Note that any number is always evenly divisible by 1 and itself.
The divisors of 10 illustrated with Cuisenaire rods: 1, 2, 5, and 10
Divisor Facts for Kids. Kiddle Encyclopedia.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Saudi-Israel Normalization? Jared Kushner Slated to Visit the Kingdom for Talks
President Trump's son-in-law looking to resolve the dispute between Qatar and its Gulf neighbors.
By Yakir Benzion, United With Israel
President Trump's senior advisor and son-in-law Jared Kushner will fly to Saudi Arabia and Qatar in the coming days in what could be the Trump administration's last chance to persuade the kingdom to normalize ties with Israel.
Reuters, quoting an American official, reported that Kushner hopes to finalize additional normalization agreements between Israel and other Arab states to build on his success with the Abraham Accords, the name given to Israel's peace deals with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Sudan.
The trip is also a final effort to mediate a solution to the dispute between Qatar and its Gulf neighbors, reports said Monday.
In 2017, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Egypt cut diplomatic relations with Qatar and launched a boycott on the grounds that Qatar supports terrorism, including the Muslim Muslim Brotherhood. Qatar's rivals also say it's too friendly with Iran, a country that regularly threatens the Gulf countries as well as Israel.
"Fixing the rift between Saudi Arabia and Qatar would bring a sense of stability back to the Gulf and notch a last-minute achievement for Kushner and the Trump administration" before the January 20 inauguration of president-elect Joe Biden, wrote Axios reporter and veteran Middle East diplomatic affairs analyst Barak Ravid.
America has close ties with all the countries involved, and there are also U.S. military bases in Qatar and neighboring Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain. Previous attempts by the Trump administration to broker a solution failed, and Kushner is expected to meet with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) and Qatari Emir Tamim Bin Hamad al-Thani, both of whom he has met before.
The Kushner mission will include White House envoy special Middle East envoy Avi Berkowitz, who helped with the negotiations that paved the way for the UAE and Bahrain to sign peace deals with Israel, and former special envoy for Iran envoy Brian Hook, who is now a special adviser to the White House and was involved in the previous efforts end the intra-Arab conflict.
Kushner will meet MBS after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu secretly flew to Saudi Arabia last week, although the content of the Netanyahu-MBS meeting was not disclosed.
Qatar plays a key role in supplying tens of millions of dollars in U.S. cash each month to the Gaza Strip, where poor families receive the charity to help keep the pressure off of the Hamas terror group, which has ruled Gaza with an iron military fist for the past 13 years and driven its economy into the ground.
Kushner's good relations with MBS helped pave the way for the Abraham Accords – the peace deal with the UAE and Bahrain – that Saudi Arabia is not yet ready to join, possibly saving Saudi recognition of Israel as a bargaining chip to gain points with the incoming Biden Administration.
The two will also meet in the shadow of last week's assassination of Iranian nuclear chief Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, with Iran threatening to retaliate for the killing. Qatar condemned the assassination, but the Saudis have remained silent on it, Ravid reported.
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The post Saudi-Israel Normalization? Jared Kushner Slated to Visit the Kingdom for Talks first appeared on United with Israel.
By David on November 30, 2020 / Israel in the News


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Coping with Ethical Uncertainty
uncertainty decision theory probability probability of frequency plausibility plausibilistic expectation utility expected utility Kant
John R. Welch
Saint Louis University, Department of Philosophy
Most ethical decisions are conditioned by formidable uncertainty. Decision makers may lack reliable information about relevant facts, the consequences of actions, and the reactions of other people. Resources for dealing with uncertainty are available from standard forms of decision theory, but successful application to decisions under risk requires a great deal of quantitative information: point-valued probabilities of states and point-valued utilities of outcomes. When this information is not available, this paper recommends the use of a form of decision theory that operates on a bare minimum of information inputs: comparative plausibilities of states and comparative utilities of outcomes. In addition, it proposes a comparative strategy for dealing with second-order uncertainty. The paper illustrates its proposal with reference to a well-known ethical dilemma: Kant's life-saving lie.
Welch, John R. 2017. "Coping With Ethical Uncertainty". Diametros, no. 53 (October):150-66. https://doi.org/10.13153/diam.53.0.1105.
John R. Welch, Saint Louis University, Department of Philosophy
John R. Welch, PhDSaint Louis University - Madrid CampusDepartment of PhilosophyAvenida del Valle, 3428003 MadridSpain
E-mail: jwelch7@slu.edu
Allen R.J. (1994), "Factual Ambiguity and a Theory of Evidence," Northwestern University Law Review 88 (2): 604–640.
Allen R.J., Pardo M.S. (2007), "The Problematic Value of Mathematical Models of Evidence," Journal of Legal Studies 36 (1): 107–140.
Anscombe F.J., Aumann R.J. (1963), "A Definition of Subjective Probability," The Annals of Mathematical Statistics 34 (1): 199–205.
Aristotle (1984), The Complete Works of Aristotle, J. Barnes (ed.), Princeton University Press, Princeton.
Aven T. (2008), Risk Analysis: Assessing Uncertainties beyond Expected Values and Probabilities, Wiley, Chichester, England and Hoboken (NJ).
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text:
Search results: 8 matches found for Valve
Vacuum Tube — 2022-01-12 08:49:37
…nology of the day to move forward. The valve was pivotal in laying the foundations of what we call electronics technology today. This invention made possible or imp…
… networks, ~Analogue and Digital computers == War Needs == The outbreak of World War 2 was a key point in thermionic valve history. These devices came into their own as they were needed for electronic equipment of all sorts from radio receive…
…rs to transmitters, radar sets, electronic warfare equipment, telecommunications repeaters and much more. {{Tag ids="Valve Electronic Tube Thermionic amplification "}} …
Loudspeaker — 2021-11-07 21:26:37
…at we know today. == Power == What this invention needed was amplification and that came along with the [[Thermionic_valve|valve]]. With more power bigger magnets and cones could now be used. A model of his loudspeaker is in the British Sc…
Marshall Amplification — 2021-08-29 20:23:50
… tone that musicians still favour today. So the Marshall production facility, sited in Bletchley, England, still uses "valves". ::c:: == Recognition == {{Image url="MArshallLemmy.jpg" class="right" title="Lemmy and a Marshall stack" width="" }…
… that this was first done in 1713 by a boy, '''Humphrey Potter''', charged with opening the valves; when he grew bored and wanted to play with the other children he set up ropes to automate the process.) '''Humphrey …
…there were many early disasters. The most important refinement to the high pressure engine at this point was the safety valve, which releases excess pressure. Reliable and safe operation came only with a great deal of experience and codification…
Toilet — 2020-11-30 16:28:35
… }}>> (1748 - December 9, 1814), born Stainborough, Yorkshire, England. [[Hydraulics|Joseph Bramah]] invented a hinged valve or 'crank valve' in 1778. This sealed the bottom of the bowl. He also devised a float valve system for the cistern. Ear…
… chamber and then into the cess-pit or sewer. The metal rusted and the seals between the components leaked. Because the valve was unreliable, there had to be an overflow. Although the parts were in a wooden case, the toilet did smell. The 'U-ben…
…d', or the water-sealed trap, was invented in 1782. This could replace the outlet valve. Because it could not jam, it did not need an overflow. === Josiah George Jennings 1852 === Born on 10 November 1810 …
…reated the one-piece 'wash-out' toilet, called the 'Unitas'. This used a 'P'-shaped trap. In 1885, he created the first valveless toilet made of china. Other makers at this stage included Josiah Wedgwood, Thomas Crapper and John Shanks. === Tho…
Digital Photography — 2020-08-17 17:33:21
…taken by physicist and inventor Michael Francis Tompsett in **1972.** Tompsett was a researcher at **English Electric Valve Company** (EEV now E2V) in Chelmsford. In 1968 Dr Tompsett invented the un-cooled Pyro-electric thermal-imaging camera …
Electronic Computer — 2020-08-14 21:59:12
…nd working the mathematician **Maxwell Newman** they proposed an electronic computer system using **1500** [[Thermionic_valve|Thermionic valves]]. Colossus could work at 5000 characters per second with an interval between sprocket holes of 200 m…
Thermionic Valve — 2016-03-03 15:03:44
…Thermionic Valve :: Thermionic Valve === John Ambrose Fleming 1904 === {{redirect target="Vacuum Tube"}}…
'Guillotine'


After treating myself to a session in the Olympic Pool on Monday, I couldn't face the local 25m pool yesterday with only one lane given over to swimming, the rest of the pool was filled with lessons. I'd come out of a Pilates class and was going to have a quick swim to refresh myself and stretch out but it was just too busy.
Still, today, I managed my core work, stretching and a bit of yoga, followed by a tougher than usual session on the bike, a 25 minute speed cycle, before cranking up the tension to start increasing my strength.
I'm enjoying doing my cycling at home, in my pyjamas if I need to, catching up on a bit of iPlayer or listening to the radio. This morning I discovered that I can watch a Merlin on Netflix. While all this is very enjoyable, I'm desperate to get out on my 'proper bike'.
I was back at the physio today and will be again tomorrow, I'm still being told I have to wait a little bit longer to get outside, my balance and strength isn't quite there yet. I have thought about turning the bike around so it faces outside, but I think that might be more frustrating, watching a lovely sunny, crisp morning while I'm stuck static.
Still, on a positive note, I am definitely getting stronger, and by the time the snow, ice and cold weather disappears and spring arrives, I should be out and about properly, if not quite running, then definitely on my bike.
#janathon is making me stronger, I'm really glad I signed up for the extra motivation.


September and October have always been hectic months for me. Ever since I was a little girl, Momma R would tell me that I was busy as a bee during these months and would end up sick at some point during or towards the end of it. Well, true to form, I am sitting in a hotel room in Whitehorse and, instead of breaking bread with friends tonight, I am drinking neo citran and watching pixelated food network. At least, it gives me the opportunity to take a break, process some photos and give wannafoodie some overdue attention.
Our new plan for breaking bread and sharing time with friends is to host them for brunch. Brunch has always been one of my most favourite meals... it has the best of everything - sweet, savoury, boozy and a civilized hour! hahah. I enjoy dinner parties but Doug and I have a newfound appreciation for brunch parties - prepping in advance, hosting our friends, then still having our whole day to fuss and muss and reset for the week.
In the midst of our chaotic fall and just prior to leaving on our Mexican adventure and wedding celebration of our friends, Cary and Des, we took a welcome reprieve and invited the soon-to-be newlyweds to kick off our Brunch with Friends series.


Do this exercise while you watch.
Do this exercise after you've watched the film.
Mum (Helen): Careful, careful ... Rob, don't drop it!
Dad (Rob): Well, if you shout at me I will!
Mum: Put it down there ... there to the left, the left a bit! Oh, all right, the right.
Dad: Oh, can I just put it down!?
Mum: Oh yes, that's fine.
Dad: All right! Yeah, I'm on it, I'm on it!
Mum: Well, well done, Einstein!
Dad: Oi, you! Bedtime! C'mon!
Mum: They're in the bag!
Mum: They're in the blue bag!
Jamie: Well, you could have said! These aren't Pingoes!
Mum: Will you just shush for one moment!!
Dad: Well, I don't know what else you want from me, Helen!?
I've had a long day!
Dad: Oi, what you watchin'?
Mum: What is it, Jamie? Mummy's busy right now.
Jamie: Can you help me with my maths, please?
Mum: No, I'm far too busy. Why don't you ask your father?
Mum: Rob ... Rob! Can you help Jamie with his maths, please?
Dad: All right, squirt. How can I help?
Dad: Can't even keep a job as a banana! Get off!
Dad: Get off! Or I'll clout you with my banana! All right, all right! Let's watch some telly.
How important is the television in your house? How many hours a week do you watch the box?
We watch television every evening and we watch for 1 to 2 hour(s) a day.
We hardly ever watch tv in my house,we prefer going out to take a walk.
I have TV at home. Moreover I have 2 TVs. But I don't even turn them on! I'm not keen on it-whatching TV is boring for me, I think it's wasting time!
my family couldn't bear living without television. they watch the box all day, so do my little sister and my little brother. But, I just watch television two times a month. that's because I live in boarding home which doesn't have entertainment facilities like television. Sometimes it's really boring but I think it gives me the good impact so that I can more focus on studying.


I had my interview in Juarez on Feb 20th, got approved and as everyone else I was told my visa will be ready in 10 days tops.
We apologize for any inconvenience. Thank you for providing your information. We have escalated this case to the appropriate department. This case will be investigated and you will be notified after we have found a solution.
I had a phone number they provided too so I called this morning and they told me to send an email to the support team.
Do you know if I can track this information somewhere from other timelines in Juarez? It seems that everyone is getting their visas back in 8 days but I only have like 3 timelines to compare.
I'm so anxious, we don't have a ticket yet but prices keep going up and my fiance already took days off for March 23rd to spend time together after my arrival.
wait for 2 business day and if not then call them and speak to them. As usual they will say to email but then at that time give them the reference to the email you sent.
We have had delays in every single step of the process. This is so exhausting.
I'm already worried, I check everyday but it keeps on ISSUED status, I've been reading some people had changes before that back to AP or READY.
I'll wait until wednesday morning to call again Thank you.
Yeah I know that. It's been a 13 months journey so far and counting. I'm trying to stay patient, but I'm also really anxious and need to vent.
Someone just reported that it took them 3 weeks 4 days through USEM.
I'm close to that mark, 19 days (or 13 business days).
Update: I decided to send another email. (Last one was on Thursday).
A couple of hours later I got my tracking number and IMMEDIATELY after that (2-3 min later), the support time asnwered my email with my tracking number.
My visa should be here tomorrow afternoon. Thank you all.
Very happy news. Soon the 90 day clock will start!


Spank Lock On Grip grips Standard brown. Nur noch 19 auf Lager. Please log in to write a product review. Mountain Biking, Casual Riding. Handlebars and Handlebar Accessories Products of Spank in: Ihre zuletzt angesehenen Artikel und besonderen Empfehlungen. Spank Subrosa Lock On Grips.
Reaffirm that the spanking was stronger than normal, but that is what it should be whenever you feel you want to spank more significantly. Thanks for your great advice. She is accepting that this is something i really want and needs so i am sure the strength of the spanks will increase. If you have received a complaint about this blog, it will be from a person whi has a personal grudge against us. Newer Post Older Post Home. I especially like 2 where the Lady puts her leg over one or both of his legs to better lock him in position, holding her target right where she wants it until she is finished. I liked to be spanked naked over her knee with really hard spanking and than forced to stay in corner of the room naked and not allowed to ruby ads and also not allowed to wear clothes rest of the days.
The paddles look like hair brushes without the brisles about a half inch thick 6" and 12" long. Attitude adjustment for Cal. Thursday, 2 August Ricky Bat. I especially like 2 where the Lady puts her leg over one or both of his legs to better lock him in position, holding her target right where she wants it until she is finished.
Description: Sunday, 29 July Sting Spanking Classic: Gino Takin' it Like a Man. Click here to view this week's Saturday Spankables at the new JockSpank blog. Shawn, second photo, that is how I'm mostly spanked, naked, leg log and bottom be properly spanked.
YOU need to come to terms here, nobody else.


text:
QuestionsNowWorkBooksWriting
@balajis has recently proposed how futuristic countries may come about. This seems enabled by a combination of dissatisfaction at existing governments[1] and new technologies (blockchains and cryptocurrencies, in particular) which are prompting ideas of radically different social structures. It's an interesting and thought-provoking idea. He's also offering $100 in BTC for constructive feedback... so here goes.
TL;DR: He's a strong and convincing storyteller. Ignoring that, the idea still appears to stand on its own fairly well, and he's not the only one doing it. Amoveo (cryptocurrency) has some related ideas.
In March 2021, Balaji spoke with Tim Ferris for over 3 hours (one of Tim's longest interviews) about this and several other dramatically futuristic topics, reaching millions of listeners. This episode might go on to become one of Tim's most important episodes. Or possibly the most comical. Either way, why should society remain the way it is now anyway? Of course it'll change. And since innovation seems to happen simultanously, there are probably other people thinking about crazy new country structures[2].
So what is Balaji doing?
He has a new project called 1729. It's a kind of community, centered (for now) around a newsletter and website. Nothing new there.
He's made one important change to the standard "newsletter community" model: he's building an economic model of participation into it which rewards value-adding activities like learning skills (education) or being healthy (healthcare) with cryptocash that holds value outside the community. It's like someone offering you money to quit your job and move across the ocean to join their startup.
Except he's doing this with the whole world, and it's a country you're being paid to join, not a business.
Even this isn't that novel; online-to-offline communities have been done before, or are being done (eg the Roam Research community maybe starting a ranch in Utah and living together under the iconic/heroic Conor). But not at this scale.
Possible Outcomes
Let's assume he has the funds to support $5000 ($100 for the first 10 submissions for 5 tasks) per week for 5 years ($1.3M).
After a few years there'll be several million people begin participating in this community (citizens of this country). They'll be talking, doing life together, sharing conversations and experiences.
Over time, shared beliefs are established, built around real economic value (and therefore minimising spam/trolls).
As these real relationships build, people who interact online start to move closer together offline, because some things are just easier and nicer to do offline (eg have dinner together). There may be some critical number of members in a particular location to catalyse this, but a physical community absolutely could form, like many other existing physical communities.
As the community grows, gains members, and prospers, the members of this "diaspora" become influential outside the community. This is really the cornerstone of the theory, and depends on the community being filled with people interested in adding value. Are Balaji's heuristics for people sufficient? The critical ones might be:
Willingness to do "tasks" (work) for others
Interest in personal health (decreasing need for a healthcare system)
Desire to learn (which increases the quality of task work and compounds in value)
Willingness to invest financially in the community (pay others for their work)
Alternatively, after some time, people might just become jaded and leave. Possible reasons:
Unhappy with governance
Insufficient real liquidity or value creation
Some unknown reason
More likely, other people will have similar ideas and we'll see lots of other new countries beginning, and possibly some long-existing digital communities realising their power and deciding to exercise it.[3]
Balaji includes some metrics for his country.
An obvious one. One less obvious by-product if this metric is highly public is that it may encourage people to spread the word, prompting FOMO just like you get when you see a green stock ticker.
On-chain GDP
I love this metric, because measuring it will encourage economic activity to move on-chain.
There will be (even more) really interesting dynamics with local governments as this happens. For example, if you are earning, investing and spending Bitcoin in a "foreign nation", what should your local tax contribution really be, and why? How could that happen?
If you're providing value to someone online, cryptocurrency is the most efficient way to compensate you. Think this is a strong statement? Consider the work required to transfer traditional currency, making sure to include all the work, and not just the energy used by the network infrastructure at transaction time. The bulk of the energy consumed by traditional currency is actually in the financial institutions, the people working at those institutions, the laws (and lawyers) to govern it, etc. Next to that huge energy expenditure, Bitcoin might seem pretty green. And there are new blockchains offering more efficient systems (though there are stability arguments and philosophical arguments[4] against this).
So it's likely that compensation in cryptocurrency will increase and eventually (mostly) replace traditional currency.
Like traditional currency, crypto can be invested, loaned, and otherwise used to grow wealth. But more generally if you're holding the currency and using it for a significant percentage of your expenditure then, through opportunity cost, you're invested.
Why isn't this happening already? Probably regulation.
And here the virtual community is tied into something undeniably and measureably physical. This metric is related to the requirement of community influence, as those holding land tend, historically, to influence those who don't.
There's already a lot of real-estate wealth held by people who became rich on-chain, and it's likely these people would be interested in this new country since it'll be full of other people like them (network effects), so there's a good chance that this metric could rise pretty quickly.
It's worth mentioning that, similar to futarchy, this is something that @zack_bitcoin has been thinking about for Amoveo.
Questions and Thoughts
How is policy created?
ie, how does politics work? How are decisions made in this country? How is a military mustered, or education provided, or taxes levied? And are those even necessary in this new country? Could the country use a futarchy-based system? Amoveo is one crypto-currency experimenting with futarchy built into the protocol. Essentially this allows citizens to "vote with their wallets" on everything, not just which companies or products they like.
Will there be a barrier to entry?
There's a growing gap between those who believe in crypto, and those who don't. There are already many Bitcoin millionaires. If this continues, and it seems likely it will, then at some point it'll be extremely hard to catch up with those who believed from the beginning, and at that point, those people are their community with their own financial moat. Even if the blockchain growth doesn't continue, maybe there's already enough "off-chain" wealth which was created "on-chain" that those wealthy people (and their ideologies) can bootstrap a very real new physical community.
What could we throw away in current systems?
How much baggage do our current governing or societal structures carry which we could throw away in Balajistan? Policy is organisational scar tissue (something bad-a wound-happens, and a the policy-a scar-forms in its place). Some institutions are clearly outdated:
Banks and classical financial institutions (DeFi + Blockchain are inevitable)
Schools (glorified day-care -> guided creativity)
Legal systems (lawyers -> blockchain programmers & mathematicians)
What happens when people do bad things?
They can be fired from companies, but how will this new country deal with that? This could be delegated to the question of governance, but that feels like a bit of a cop-out. Policing and maintaining law-and-order are necessary and will be tricky. Then again, these problems of policy are well; it's just a case of implementing them.
Will there be reification competition?
(Thanks @mkstra for this thought) Will real cities compete to host this country (or part of it)? As the massively beneficial outputs and wealth become obvious, it seems likely that savvy mayors will work on making their cities attractive for members of the community. And would this conflict with the sovereignty of either party?
When and where will it be?
Are we building this thing for us, or for our children? Which countries will allow such a self-governing state to exist in their territory?
One way to start small: take, for example, a small US state, and convince enough people of influence there to join, so that, over time, this state effectively turns into the Balaji-state. The new state would have to abide by the same federal laws, but internally would be full of the new state values and culture. This probably isn't optimal as US immigration laws will prevent many people from taking part.
Instead of congregating in one place, the more likely (and simpler) scenario is that this society would congregate in multiple physical places simultaneously. This could begin with local meetups over the next year or two. The people attending those meetups would be the early-adopters, and those keen to build, so would probably be keen to, for example, move close together, begin working together in spare time, etc.
What about a military?
As the china-taiwan conflict reminds us, brute force and violence is still very much in vogue.
[1] - Is this a good proxy at dissatisfaction with life in general, and so is the government able to regain their reputation with some clever policy changes? Or is this a one-way change?
[2] - If societal change is fuelled by technological change, as it feels it might be, and if technological change is accelerating due some compounding effects, we should expect society to change more in the next 100 years than it did in the last 100 years. Though this is not necessarily true; technological change tends to come in unpredictable steps.
[3] - As artists are realising, they have so much power in being the gatekeepers to their community. In the information age, they own the labels, not the other way round. See Non Fungible Taylor Swift
[4] - Proof of stake allows the rich to get richer (rewards are a percentage of staked amount, resulting in compound growth for the stakers). Proof of work allows anyone to do "an honest day's work for a days wage". Counter-argument: the difficulty of that day's work has increased to a point where the wage isn't worth it for most people.
Big thanks to Rico Meinl and Markus Strasser for reading drafts of this and suggesting improvements.
Blockchain mail (b-mail)
March 2021 Draft - still thinking about this.
I keep coming back to this idea of an email-like system based on smart contracts.
The core proposal is that there should be economic incentive to only communicate valuable information. Sending an e-mail should cost "something".
Why doesn't this exist now? Possibly because the obvious way to do it involves a centralised authority which charges you (eg a post-office), and that isn't appealing for multiple reasons. But actually we could implement a system like this quite easily with blockchain (a mutually trusted mechanism of transferring wealth) and smart-contracts (a way to write decentralised software).
As a convenient bonus, encryption is first class.
The core challenge is to determine the pricing mechanism, and, ideally, the network itself would determine the pricing mechanism (eg automatically penalising spammers). A secondary question is whether we need a way of establishing some kind of trust between parties.
So how would this work?
The basic mechanism is straightforward:
To send a message to someone, you use their public key to encrypt and wrap the message (headers+body) into a token and publish it on the blockchain.
A smart contract takes up your message, determines a suitable messaging fee, and transfers the fee from your account to your recipient's account, pushing the message to the recipient at the same time.
There's some encryption magic to ensure the message is only readable once the smart contract has processed it.
The recipient decrypts your message with their private key and reads it.
After that, and depending on the messaging fee algorithm, or network rules, anything more complex could be done.
Pricing structures
The cost to send a message could be fixed or determined dynamically. For example, it could based on
The size of the message.
Some other property of the message content (eg "information density")
The number of times you've messaged that person before
The number of messages you send per T (rolling time window), which could discourage sending many messages
The "correspondence factor" of the two participants (eg ratio of to/from each party, possibly with a time-factor). This could reduce the cost for friends who talk often.
Could the contract involve a "contacts list"? ie the message is free if both people agree for it to be free.
The number of people you're sending the message to
Between friends, you'd probably want the cost of messaging to be extremely low, and in a situation where the correspondence factor is high, the cost would be expected to average out. In this situation, it would be important to have extremely low transaction fees, or to have a way to batch transactions (ie level 2). For ETH, this would probably be a level 2 protocol, though if a fast and cheap network like Avalanche is used, it could be done on-chain.
Note that this would be real wealth being transferred between people, alongside information. You'd literally be paying people to read your messages. The pricing mechanism would have to be designed to make it totally cost-prohibitive to spam people.
It's like the traditional post system, except that we pay each other instead of a centralised third party. We pay each other to contribute and act as valuable citizens.
Also, there could be many networks, and each network could have different rules. So, for example, you could have one b-mail for personal correspondence, and another for newsletter-style correspondence, and the pricing mechanisms could be quite different. Each network has a different set of smart contracts, built on the same fundamental mechanism.
Why is reputation needed? Why can't we just use money? Because most games humans play are about winning either wealth or status, and we tend to trade one for the other. Blockchain communities are necessarily collaborative, and reputation is extremely valuable in a collaborative society.
How does one earn reputation? By sending emails which are not marked as spam.
In a system where we want to incorporate some kind of reputation system, after reading the message, the recipient could publish an acknowledgement on the chain with an indication of how valuable the information was. This could be as simple as yes/no/abstain. There would probably need to be rules here to prevent gaming the system. For example, the weight of the acknlowedgement could decrease over time. The pricing mechanism could then be based on your reputation.
The reputation would be stored in a token, and a set of smart contracts would goven their behaviour.
Reputation could be fungible (ie if I have 10 reputation, I can "endorse" someone else up to 10-N reputation, N tbd, for example - there could be other endorsement rules). This could permit anyone to create multiple pseudonyms which, with some ZKP magic, all "share" their reputation, but cannot be linked. This could even work across networks.
Issues/Questions
Reputation systems are hard, and this is vulnerable to the classic average rating problem, where one extremely negative review ("you killed my friend") is lost in a sea of mediocre reviews ("I use this sometimes, works ok")? (XKCD ~ TornadoGuard)
What does having more reputation "buy" you? Other than cheaper messages? Maybe there could be rules that allow people to block messages from senders with reputation below a given value.
Why does this work?
As a recipient, if you value the information, you're incentivised to not mark it as spam (because if you do, you're less likely to receive more of it).
As a sender, you're incentivised to think carefully about the information you send, because it costs you real money to send it. The meaning of "think carefully" would depend on the network rules as described above, and it could, for example, involve some kind of reputation consideration.
If (and only if) the rules are chosen carefully, and assuming there is an equilibrium condition (that is, the cost of messaging is stable in some sense), the net effect is that the information transferred is mutually valuable to both the sender and recipient, and everyone is happy.
Of course, this system doesn't feel at all necessary for communicating between friends, and it seems likely that email could continue to be the protocol of choice there. However, as a mechanism of communication between organisations, or as a mechanism of news-distribution, this could be nice.
A deep problem with blockchain: how to change applications after they've been deployed.
One general solution might be a kind of contract which automatically transfers wealth (eg COIN1 -> COIN2) when certain conditions are satisfied. But is there a Gödel loophole here where the master contract itself can be changed (maliciously) to extract wealth?
What does decentralised mean? Ethereum is a platform for hosted protocols (smart contracts). The current internet is a home for applications. Protocols are valuable because anyone can participate without needing to obtain consent from a central party.
2020: A Year Of Serverless
February 2021 Draft - still thinking about this.
I spent most of 2020 working with Serverless systems, and this is a summary of my thoughts and findings.
Here's a controversial statement: cloud engineers are not programmers. The industry (including me) is building cloud applications like hardware, not software. Most cloud teams have a heavily waterfall (!) style process, though they won't admit to it.
There's a requriements gathering phase, a design phase, an implementation phase, and a test phase (all of this usually spread over several weeks). Care is taken at every step to plan things because infrastructure, like hardware, is hard.
Shouldn't we aspire to treat cloud applications just like real software?
Serverless technology (cloud functions, not platforms) is moving us in the right direction, but isn't there yet.
Microservices are an anti-pattern?
Why do we use microservices?
Simple replacement of service components (deployment)
Separation of concerns
Multiple programming languages in one system
Other reasons?
Problems they cause:
Rigidity and brittleness, leading to up-front design work.
Testing complexity
Waterfall-style development (services, agree on apis, implement, integrate, test).
Microservices done badly are just distributed monoliths, which are 10x worse than normal monoliths, because network unreliability.
Are they an anti-pattern which only exist because current deployment methods aren't good enough, and the application abstractions are leaky? Maybe we formally optimise structure because there isn't a compiler which can optimise it for us).
Could we apply traditional software engineering approaches to cloud systems?
For example, if we had a C/C++ program with multiple components, we would compile each component individually, and then link them together to form the complete application. We could let multiple teams work on the complete application - each team builds libraries (microservices).
If our cloud deployment system was smart enough, it could iteratively deploy the application, so we eliminate all the reasons to use microservices (except the multiple languages reason).
Serverless - Soft Infrastructure
There aren't that many ways to build serverless projects, Serverless Framework is great for small projects, but if you're doing something bigger, you'll need to understand AWS.
Cloud functions are probably commodities -- most cloud providers have them and prices are being driven downwards and performance is shooting upwards. This is great for us, so I spent a big chunk of 2020 (during the Covid-19 lockdowns) working on a different approach to serverlesss computation.
The key goal was to take the orchestration logic out of the programmers hands, so that a "compiler" can determine the optimal infrastructure and glue logic. Just like a C/C++ compiler determines the optimal sequence of CPU instructions. The novel contribution was to allow the programmer to use cloud functions as threads in a concurrent programming language. This is then general and poweful enough to implement any kind of workflow.
The implementation is a runtime (virtual machine) and a compiler. The runtime defines semantics for concurrent computation distributed across multiple threads. The compiler maps programs into infrastructure for specific cloud providers.
Secondary goals:
Development speed
Portability - as the programmer does not directly specify the infrastructure, one could define compilers and runtime environments for any cloud.
Zero infrastructure management - programmers shouldn't be doing infrastructure, because infrastructure is hardware.
Result: Hark.
Is it better to build a new language and VM, or implement a cloud-native runtime for an existing language/VM (eg Python or Go)
C is heavily designed for a specific CPU architecture, which is precisely what allows you to build performant programs in it. Why should cloud be different?
Go might be "trivially" portable.
Is a turing complete language really necessary to describe the kind of
systems we implement in the cloud? Or is a workflow language sufficient (ie, Airflow, Dagster et al)?
My gut is that programmers using workflow-style systems eventually try to write "proper" programs in the workflow style, because that's what programmers do.
Could we build something like Hark on top of Firecracker to orchestrate functions?
This could reduce the startup overhead...
But it'd be a new platform, and would compete with AWS Lambda. Probably not a great idea.
How do we make data sharing performant?
Storage and sharing data across threads is slow, because there's network traffic and we can't control the placement of our containers in AWS's infrastructure. Are we just waiting for someone to build a better database? (distributed database optimised for specific workloads).
Quite a few institutions and clever people are thinking about ways to formalise serverless computation. This is great!
Formal foundations of serverless computing. Jangda, A., Pinckney, D., Brun, Y., & Guha, A. (2019). Proceedings of the ACM on Programming Languages, 3(OOPSLA), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1145/3360575
Great academic paper which lays out a formal lamdba calculus for distributed computation across cloud functions, encapsulating the execution semantics (retries, etc).
Formalizing Event-Driven Behavior of Serverless Applications. Obetz, M., Patterson, S., & Milanova, A. (2019). http://arxiv.org/abs/1912.03584
Another nice formal definition of operation semantics for serverless systems.
The Stanford Builder (GG). https://www.usenix.org/system/files/atc19-fouladi.pdf
Some great work at Stanford. The ffmpeg demo is incredible.
The Design of Stateful Serverless Infrastructure. https://www.vikrams.io/papers/thesis.pdf
A completely new platform for stateful "serverless" computation. Very nice work; bold move to entirely replace AWS Lambda / GCF.
Serverless: I'm a big kid now. https://www.simplethread.com/serverless-im-a-big-kid-now/
A great summary article of serverlesss in 2020.
Build What They Want
TL;DR: I spent years mistakenly thinking I understood what Paul Graham meant. I'm trying something slightly different now.
I prefer a different wording of Paul Graham's advice for startups.
Build What They Want makes the precedence obvious: before you start, you have to find out who they are, and what they want.
It's not about building what you want.
Paul Graham starts with "build something", and that's what hits your subconscious first, allowing the "something" to remain ambiguous. I'd prefer to start with "build what", so you're forced to evaluate the "what". The original wording lets you think that you can build something and convince people to want it later (once you show them and tell them how great it is, and all the important features it has...).
This changes everything.
My problem is that I find it too easy to imagine things that I could build, and once I've imagined something, I struggle to not want to build it exactly that like. Because I enjoy the process of building.
Building is a wonderful thing to enjoy. If you want to start a businesss, just do it differently.
Instead of applying imagination to products, apply imagination to companies. What company could exist if someone (you) went and built it? What excites you? A company is built on something that people want.
How do you know what people want?
Talk to people. Understand them. Ask questions.
Choose who you talk to. Talk to people who you think might want something that you would be excited to build. Don't imagine the product though. Imagine the kind of change you could make in their lives.
They probably won't be able to describe exactly what they want; the skill you must develop is in spotting the unexpressed (or inexpressible) want.
But whatever you do, your goal must be to build something they want.
This is strongly related to jobs to be done. The things they want will always be related to the things they already do. Find that link.
Last year I built something that I wanted to build. I only partly wanted the final product. Mostly, I wanted the experience of building it. And actually that turned out to be extremely valuable, though it wasn't the right way to build a business.
Then again, it's important to geek out and build interesting things without immediate value. Contribute something novel, and maybe one day it will be useful to someone else (even just as prior art).
And if you're going to build something for the love of building, you should definitely do so in public. You'll make new friends and learn much more. So publish your code, get a website up, and tell people what you're doing.
You can start by telling me.
Send feedback and thoughts: Twitter // [email protected]
Read more: Blog archive // Book notes // RSS
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hd00:08Slow Motion Fire. Isolated on black background.
hd00:09Fire explosion in slowmotion, shooting with high speed camera.
4k00:48Blaze fire flame texture background. Real flames ignite on a black background. Real fire.
hd00:11Real fire flame in slowmotion, shooting with high speed camera.
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You have probably heard many people talk about things like "company culture", but maybe you've wondered how that is ever implemented in a meaningful way at a brokerage. At Weichert, we believe that getting this right is one of the most important elements of keeping your team in place over time. One way to build this culture is through awards and recognition. They don't have to be elaborate ceremonies, or expensive gifts, but public and regular recognition of achievement is a proven way to create positivity in your environment. It can appeal and motivate your entire workforce in a way that transcends money. Recognition tells people you notice and you care about the big and little things they do. Recognition will go a long way in creating the culture of trust and support that every broker should want.
Everyone is an individual and is motivated by different things. But if there is one thing everyone has in common, it's that they want to be on a winning team. Being recognized, seeing their colleagues recognized, celebrating collective milestones and achievements of the brokerage all contribute to positive feelings throughout the company. Everyone is working toward common goals, they can visually see progress being made, can cheer each other on and celebrate success. In short – it just makes everyone feel good! Who doesn't want to be part of that? That energy motivates a team to continue to move forward and is especially powerful to have in the bank to get tough times.
Awards, or acts of recognition, both big and small, both public and private, do a number of things for you and your agents. So what are some of the things you can recognize?
How about a distinguished service award for someone who volunteers at a charity in the company name? Or who generates the most donations for a particular drive.
End of Year recognitions based on GCI or Transactions. Create different levels. Recognize your best Rookie.
You can recognize people for particular skillsets or expertise they possess, such as your client management system or recognize an agent for delivering the best listing presentation, most phone calls made, most direct mail pieces sent. Use your imagination, but keep it real.
As a broker, you are constantly leaned upon to play the role of the fearless leader and keep your agents motivated. However, you also deserve to have a support system that empowers you to stay motivated, improves upon your success, recognizes your achievements, and helps you grow as a leader. Who helps motivate you and encourage you to keep going?
When you partner with a franchisor like Weichert, not only do you get the coaching and guidance to help you implement awards and recognition in your office, but our coaching team is there to support and cheer you on as an owner. Plus, we support a national awards program that recognizes both agent and company achievement. This includes an annual season of local events that take place around the country, where members of your office as well as from fellow franchisees in your region will come together to congratulate, celebrate and cheer each other on. It's all just another way to be in business for yourself, but not by yourself. After all, everyone likes to be part of a winning team.
For more information about how you can be part of the winning Weichert brand, visit www.weichertfranchise.com or call 877-567-3350.


The intention of sustainable design is to "eliminate negative environmental impact completely through skillful, sensitive design."
Low-impact materials: choose non-toxic, sustainability produced or recycled materials which require little energy to process.
Quality and durability: longer-lasting and better-functioning products will have to be replaced less frequently, reducing the impacts of producing replacements.
Public Safety Building completed March 2011 received LEED Gold Certification.
Social and Behavioral Sciences Building completed May 2011 received LEED Silver Certification.
University Student Union completed January 2014 received LEED Gold Certification.
Student Health and Counseling completed October 2014 is projected to receive LEED Gold.
For more information about these building and other buildings on campus please visit our Planning Design & Construction webpage.
For more information about LEED Building or Sustainable Design.


text:
ref: https://conda.io/projects/conda/en/latest/
---

# Usage

```shell
conda create --name python2 python=2.7
conda install pyqt=4
```

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


We don't design web sites, we design dreams.
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We create a new standards of web sites and we really enjoy it.
Every web sites are designed. Our are designed well.
Our team of expert designers and developers can help your project succeed. Let's talk!
Do you have a questions? Or got a project?
or send message from contact form.


text:
Movie Monday: Find Me
After a difficult, stressful week, my husband and I returned to our pandemic routine and enjoyed a quiet Saturday night at home with take-out and a movie. Since we were both feeling pretty run-down and overwhelmed, I looked for a movie with a positive message and inspiring setting, and I found just the thing. Find Me won several indie film awards but seems to have flown under the radar. Since it has an astounding Rotten Tomatoes' critic review of 100% and included scenes in National Parks (our favorite places), I thought it would be just right for us. We both thoroughly enjoyed this warm, poignant movie with gorgeous settings.
Joe, played by Tom Huang, works as an accountant in a firm in Los Angeles. Since his divorce, he's been pretty much just going through the motions in his life: going to work, checking on his parents, going home to his tiny apartment, and eating the same takeout dinner every night before falling asleep in front of the TV while watching nature shows. The only bright spot in his life is his co-worker, Amelia (played by Sara Amini), who travels all over and comes back to regale Joe with her adventures. Joe comes to life in Amelia's company, and the two of them laugh a lot together and talk constantly throughout their long days at work. Then, one day, Amelia just disappears. She doesn't show up at work, Joe doesn't hear a word from her, and eventually their boss says that she requested a week off, but now it's been more than two weeks. Joe gets a note in the mail from her, postmarked Springdale, UT (if you know your national parks, you know the significance of that address!), with an-almost blank page inside with just two words: "Find Me." Though it is highly out of character for Joe to do anything impulsive, he's worried about Amelia, so he sets up help for his parents, gets in his car, and drives to Utah. From there, Amelia takes Joe on a very cool kind of National Park scavenger hunt, traveling from one amazing natural wonder to another, following her breadcrumbs (in the form of videos on SD drives, hidden like geocaches). He's worried about her, but as he takes this one-of-a-kind journey, he also begins to discover that life still contains plenty of joy and wonder.
Tom Huang is not only the lead actor here, he also wrote and directed the movie, which is quite impressive! We love road trips and National Parks, so this movie was made for us. But it is a unique kind of road trip story, with an underlying story with suspense, joy, and sadness all woven into it. There are some surprises for Joe along the way, and not all of them are pleasant, but the trip and the places he visits open him up to the world around him, just as Amelia has been urging him to do. The settings and the videography are stunning--we wish we could have seen this on a big screen in a theater--and we enjoyed revisiting some of our own favorite places, as well as some we've never been to before. It's not just about the trip and the parks, though; this is also a story about tragedy, connecting with the world, and opening yourself to joy and wonder. There is some sadness here, but the ultimate message of the film is uplifting. The closing scenes provided the perfect ending, in my opinion. We thoroughly enjoyed going on this virtual trip, both physical and emotional, alongside Joe.
We watched Find Me free on IMDb, through Amazon Prime (at the link). It also seems to be available on Tubi and Pluto TV for free, as well as for a fee on many other streaming services.
If you enjoy poignant and moving movies in a beautiful natural setting, I also recommend these (links to my reviews, with trailers - no spoilers):
Leave No Trace, about a complicated father-daughter relationship, set in the dense forests of the Pacific Northwest.
Nomadland - Oscar-winning fictional story of real-life modern nomads, living in vans and campers and traveling to seasonal jobs, with some stunning scenes, especially in Badlands National Park (one of our personal favorites).
Hunt for the Wilderpeople - a warm, hilarious movie about an abandoned teen and a grumpy old man, on the run together in the New Zealand outback. A favorite!
Call of the Wild - a Disney-fied version of the classic novel but still a moving story of a man and a dog saving each other, set against the stunning backdrop of Alaska and the Yukon.
Redwood Highway - a warm, thoughtful film about a grandma who decides to walk the 80 miles to her granddaughter's wedding! Set in the forests and along the coast of Oregon, with stunning natural footage, as she hikes and camps along the way.
Throwback Thursday: 13 Years Ago - Lyme Disease, D...
Movie Monday: The Map of Tiny Perfect Things
Movie Monday: The Nice Guys
Weekly Inspiration: A Much-Needed Respite
Weekly Inspiration: A Plan B Day


This method is used to create loads.
pickupCity required The Pick up city The origin city should not be greater than 100 characters.
pickupState required The Pick up State The origin state should not be greater than 2 characters.
destinationCity required The Destination City The destination city should not be greater than 100 characters.
destinationState required The Destination State The destination state should not be greater than 2 characters.
curl -k -u apiuser:test -H "Accept: application/json" -H "Content-Type: application/x-www-form-urlencoded; charset=UTF-8" -d "pickupCity=LAS VEGASπckupState=NV&destCity=LAS VEGAS&destState=NV&loadCount=1πckupDate=10/19/2016&deliveryDate=10/19/2016&equipment=V&volume=LTL" "https://www.factorsnetwork.com/api/users/3be13e8e-00be-498d-a843-d6aad5af4cc1/loads"


Following the introduction of its Foamply foaming installations, 1-component-foam-sealing specialist CeraCon GmbH, Weikersheim, Germany, has unveiled its latest variant: the Foamply E micro. Fitted with a servo motor drive and a small dosing cylinder, it is specifically designed to reliably dispense tiny amounts of foam. The lowest dosing rate is 0.008 g/s. This can reproducibly create foam beads of 1.0 mm width and 0.5 mm height. The new system lends itself to sealing electrical connectors or very small electronic housings, such as those on the narrow lip of a housing edge for rear-view cameras.
The servomotors of the Foamply E and Foamply F variants for normal dosing rates have been overhauled, too. In addition, the Foamply M variant offers very high dosing rates and is capable of continuous foam metering at 50 g/s and more.


The UNM Office of Sustainability encourages Albuquerque area residents to recycle Christmas trees through Sunday, Jan. 11 and pick up fresh mulch in the process.
The Solid Waste Management Department, Parks and Recreation and PNM will recycle Christmas trees and Christmas lights for free at three separate locations in Albuquerque beginning Jan. 2, 2015.
Remove all bags, tree stands, decorations and lights from trees before dropping them off to be mulched. Limit five (5) trees per resident, no commercial customers.
Crews will grind trees into chips, which can then be used as mulch to provide a better growing environment for plants and landscapes. Residents can pick up the freshly ground wood chips for use in their home landscapes free of charge while supplies last.
After dropping off their Christmas tree, residents may also deposit their Christmas tree lights into marked containers for recycling. Christmas tree lights should never be placed into the blue recycling carts that residents use at their homes.
Trees and lights may be dropped off at the locations below beginning Friday, Jan. 2 through Sunday, Jan. 11. Hours are 8 a.m. and 5 p.m.
Christmas trees can also be dropped off at Soilutions, Inc., located at 9008 Bates Lane, SE, and open from 8 a.m to 4:30 pm. Soilutions recycles greenwaste into compost and mulch that protect and nourish the earth and they also pick up food waste from UNM's La Posada for recycling. Please remove all lights, ornaments and tinsel. You can learn more about Soilutions.


text:
Рабишка могила (до 29 юни 1942 г. Магура) е изолирана височина в Северозападна България, Западния Предбалкан, област Видин.

Изолираната височина Рабишка се издига в най-западната част на Западния Предбалкан и е разположена южно от Рабишкото езеро. Издига се изразително над съседните равнинни околности на повече от 270 м. По северното ѝ подножие преминава условната граница между Западната Дунавска равнина и Западния Предбалкан.

Дължината на възвишението от запад на изток е около 3 км, а ширината му – 0,7 – 0,8 км. Максимална височина е връх Магура (460,9 м), разположен в средната му част. Склоновете му са скалисти, стръмни и са изградени от горноюрски и долнокредни, дълбоко окарстени варовици. Покрито е с редки храсталаци и ксерофитна тревна растителност. Южният склон, който е по-полегат е зает от лозови насаждения.

В непосредствена близост на север от възвишението се намира Рабишкото езеро, което предлага идеални условия за рекреационна дейност, а на южното подножие, на 2,7 км северозападно от село Рабиша се намира една от най-красивите български пещери – Магурата.

Вижте също
 Списък на планините в България

Топографска карта

Източници

Възвишения в България
Предбалкан
Община Белоградчик


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