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95th Academy Awards Nominations Reaction
It was a glorious performance for Everything Everywhere All at Once and The Banshees of Inisherin with this morning's Oscar nominations. Both pics were up everywhere they needed to be for everything to potentially win the big prize on March 12th.
There were also strong showings for All Quiet on the Western Front, Elvis, The Fabelmans, and Top Gun: Maverick. However, it's fair to say that each missed a key race or two that would've helped for their Best Picture viability.
As far as my own showing, I went 79 for 105 in my projections. I'll take it though it's slightly under my 82/105 performance from the previous year. One bright spot: no 2 for 5's as I'd experienced a couple of times in preceding years.
Let's walk through each race one by one with initial thoughts, shall we?
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, Women Talking
How I Did: 8/10
No real shockers. The movies that I had listed 11th and 12th (Avatar and Women Talking) made it over my selections of Babylon and The Whale. I went a little bold omitting Water in the first place.
As hinted at, I'm seeing this as between Everything and Banshees with Fabelmans as a potential spoiler (and maybe Maverick if I'm feeling bold).
The Nominees: Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Todd Field (Tár), Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness), Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
How I Did: 4/5
The Daniels v. Spielberg is where this may come down to. All Quiet had a solid morning, but Edward Berger missing (I predicted him) likely eliminates it as a BP winner. Ostlund gets in instead.
The Nominees: Cate Blanchett (Tár), Ana de Armas (Blonde), Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie), Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans), Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
In just the last few days, there was an organic (?) campaign launched for Riseborough by plenty of famous faces. She was nowhere near the radar for the bulk of the season. Her inclusion might alter how campaigns look in the future. Williams (who was looking shaky) and Riseborough make it over my predictions of Viola Davis (The Woman King) and Danielle Deadwyler (Till). Both of their pics were shutout completely. As for who makes the podium trip, it's either Blanchett or Yeoh.
The Nominees: Austin Butler (Elvis), Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brendan Fraser (The Whale), Paul Mescal (Aftersun), Bill Nighy (Living)
How I Did: 5/5 (!)
For most prognosticators, this came down to Tom Cruise in Top Gun: Maverick vs. Mescal for the fifth slot. It wasn't to be for a fourth Cruise nod. For Mescal and Nighy, it's an honor to be in the quintet. The race is between Butler and Farrell and Fraser (who have all nabbed key precursors). FYI – this entire lineup is first-time nominees and 16 of the acting nominees are newbies (which is very high).
The Nominees: Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), Hong Chau (The Whale), Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin), Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Hsu, who was my alternate, is in over Triangle's Dolly De Leon. If you'd told me De Leon's movie would get Picture, Director, and Original Screenplay – I would've been even more confident she'd make it. With victories already at the Globes and Critics Choice, Bassett is the frontrunner.
The Nominees: Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway), Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans), Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin), Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Henry gets the unanticipated nod over my pick of Paul Dano in The Fabelmans (many had Eddie Redmayne in The Good Nurse projected here). This is, frankly, the simplest acting derby to call and it is Quan.
The Nominees: The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Tár, Triangle of Sadness
The expected five as the Banshees v Everything showdown could be a clue during the night as to what wins BP at the end of it.
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Living, Top Gun: Maverick, Women Talking
Maverick and All Quiet over She Said (which was shut out) and The Whale. Considering Women Talking made it in the BP ten, it could get the gold in this race and this one only since it received the least amount of nods (2) for the BP hopefuls. As an aside, there's always a screenplay contender that gets no other noms anywhere else. This year it was Glass Onion.
The Nominees: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, The Sea Beast, Turning Red
Pinocchio should take this, but this marks its only nod (it was expected to contend for Song and some techs). I had gone with Netflix's Wendell and Wild for the fifth spot over Netflix's The Sea Beast.
Best International Feature Film
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Argentina, 1985, Close, EO, The Quiet Girl
Here's where there was a total surprise with Decision to Leave getting snubbed. I would've had it as the runner-up possibility to win over All Quiet (easily the favorite). I didn't have Close or EO (though neither is unexpected). In addition to Decision, I also had Joyland.
The Nominees: All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Fire of Love, A House Made of Splinters, Navalny
Had Descendant instead of Splinters. There's a path to victory for everything but Splinters in my view.
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Bardo, Elvis, Empire of Light, Tár
Top Gun: Maverick missing is baffling considering it was a major threat to win. It misses along with The Batman in favor of Bardo and Tár. I wouldn't discount Empire for the victory though Quiet could make noise in this one.
The Nominees: Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Everything's over performance is evident. I had The Woman King instead. The first three alphabetically are your possible winners.
Best Film Editing
The Nominees: The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick
In years past, getting an editing nod is often needed if you want to take BP. So it's bad news for All Quiet and The Fabelmans. Banshees and Tár join the lineup in their place. Elvis, Everything, and Maverick all possibilities.
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, The Batman, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Elvis, The Whale
Had Amsterdam and not Quiet. Elvis or The Whale are most likely.
Best Original Score
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Babylon, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans
Considering it made BP, I didn't think Women Talking would miss. I also had Pinocchio but it's All Quiet and Everything. This could be the sole Oscar for Babylon.
The Nominees: "Applause" from Tell It Like a Woman, "Hold My Hand" from Top Gun: Maverick, "Lift Me Up" from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, "Naatu Naatu" from RRR, "This Is a Life" from Everything Everywhere All at Once
Had Pinocchio's "Ciao Papa" and not the Everything tune. Despite big names like Lady Gaga, Rihanna, and producer Diane Warren in the mix, "Naatu Naatu" has taken the precursors.
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Elvis, The Fabelmans
A rare occurrence as I had Everything projected and it didn't make it. All Quiet materializes instead. This could be Elvis or maybe a second shot for Babylon.
Best Sound
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Elvis, Top Gun: Maverick
The sound you hear when the envelope opens might be Maverick's only victory (now that Cinematography is impossible). I had EEAAO and not The Batman.
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Top Gun: Maverick
Had the wrong MCU pic with Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness and not Panther. All Quiet is also in and I had Thirteen Lives. This should be the Avatar trophy.
That means these movies ended up garnering these numbers in terms of nominations:
9 Nominations
All Quiet on the Western Front, The Banshees of Inisherin
Tár, Top Gun: Maverick
Babylon, The Batman, Triangle of Sadness, The Whale
Living, Women Talking
1 Nomination
Aftersun, All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Argentina, 1985, Bardo, Blonde, Causeway, Close, Empire of Light, EO, Fire of Love, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, A House Made of Splinters, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Navalny, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, The Quiet Girl, RRR, The Sea Beast, Tell It Like a Woman, To Leslie, Turning Red
So what's next? Followers of the blog may recall that I will soon begin my "Case Of" posts. That's 35 separate write-ups making the case for and against all contenders in Picture, Director, and the four acting competitions. Stay tuned!
Author toddmthatcherPosted on January 24, 2023 Categories Oscar PredictionsTags A House Made of Splinters, academy awards, Aftersun, All Quiet on the Western Front, All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Ana de Armas, Andrea Riseborough, Angela Bassett, Argentina 1985, Austin Butler, Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Bardo, Barry Keoghan, Bill Nighy, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blonde, Brendan Fraser, Brendan Gleeson, Brian Tyree Henry, Cate Blanchett, Causeway, Close, Colin Farrell, Critics Choice Awards, Dan Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Danielle Deadwyler, Daniels, Decision to Leave, Descendant, Diane Warren, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Dolly De Leon, Eddie Redmayne, Edward Berger, Elvis, Empire of Light, EO, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Fire of Love, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Golden Globes, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Hong Chau, Jamie Lee Curtis, Joyland, Judd Hirsch, Ke Huy Quan, Kerry Condon, Lady Gaga, Living, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Martin McDonagh, MCU, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, movies, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Navalny, Oscar Predictions, oscars, Paul Dano, Paul Mescal, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, rihanna, RRR, Ruben Ostlund, She Said, Stephanie Hsu, steven spielberg, TAR, Tell It Like a Woman, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Batman, The Fabelmans, The Good Nurse, The Quiet Girl, The Sea Beast, The Whale, The Woman King, Thirteen Lives, Till, To Leslie, Todd Field, tom cruise, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, Turning Red, Viola Davis, Wendell and Wild, Women TalkingLeave a comment on 95th Academy Awards Nominations Reaction
76th BAFTA Nominee Reactions
Five days ahead of the Academy Awards nominations, our friends across the pond have revealed their picks. The BAFTAs (Great Britain's Oscars equivalent) take place March 13th with Richard E. Grant hosting.
After the long lists of potential contenders were revealed, it was an impressive showing for Edward Berger's WWI epic All Quiet on the Western Front. Today's nods solidified its status as a favorite of this branch with a terrific 14 nominations. In short, it showed up everywhere it could've with the exception of Best Actor.
While Quiet made noise, it was the opposite for Women Talking and Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery. Both were blanked. In particular, each were expected to contend in Adapted Screenplay (Talking is seen as a potential winner at Oscar). The Fabelmans only managed one mention. I projected that though not in the race where it materialized.
I went 83/119 on my forecasts. Let's walk through each category with some quick takes.
All Quiet on the Western Front, The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Tár
No shockers here as Elvis got in over Triangle of Sadness. Given the performance by Quiet today, it may battle it out with Banshees (which did well this morning) and Everything for the grand prize.
Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front), Park Chan-wook (Decision to Leave), Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Todd Field (Tár), Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), Gina Prince-Bythewood (The Woman King)
My runner-up Chan-wook making the cut was not a surprise. Prince-Bythewood getting in is. They're in over Alice Diop (Saint Omer) who was my own surprise pick and Charlotte Wells (Aftersun). It's worth noting that Aftersun had a rather subpar day. We already knew Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) was out since he didn't make the long list. This might be Berger v. Daniels.
Actressk
Cate Blanchett (Tár), Viola Davis (The Woman King), Danielle Deadwyler (Till), Ana de Armas (Blonde), Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande), Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Deadwyler over Lesley Manville in Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris. As projected, this is another high profile omission for Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans. Her Oscar hopes are shakier by the minute.
Austin Butler (Elvis), Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brendan Fraser (The Whale), Daryl McCormack (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande), Paul Mescal (Aftersun), Bill Nighy (Living)
McCormack unexpectedly pops up instead of Felix Kammerer – the one miss for All Quiet. Noteworthy that Tom Cruise couldn't land here for Top Gun: Maverick (with a so-so haul of 4 tech nods).
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), Hong Chau (The Whale), Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin), Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness), Carey Mulligan (She Said)
The question here is whether Bassett keeps the victory streak alive or whether Condon, De Leon, or one of the others can disrupt a sweep. Curtis and Mulligan surface over my projected picks of Lashana Lynch (The Woman King) and Janelle Monáe (Glass Onion).
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin), Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin), Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse), Albrecht Schuch (All Quiet on the Western Front), Micheal Ward (Empire of Light)
Another call for Redmayne. He and Schuch join this sextet instead of Woody Harrelson (Triangle of Sadness) and Brad Pitt (Babylon). Quan is the favorite.
The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Tár, Triangle of Sadness
The sole nod for The Fabelmans is here and I thought Aftersun would be in the quintet instead. Will Banshees or Everything emerge?
All Quiet on the Western Front, Living, The Quiet Girl, She Said, The Whale
Ouch. As mentioned, no Glass Onion or Women Talking and I also had Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio listed. All Quiet, The Quiet Girl, and The Quiet Whale, errr just The Whale, were the trio I wasn't counting on. Good luck selecting a winner here. I'm thinking Living at the moment.
Outstanding British Film
Aftersun, The Banshees of Inisherin, Brian and Charles, Empire of Light, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Living, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical, See How They Run, The Swimmers, The Wonder
The only race with 10 contenders, one would think Banshees (as the only Best Film nominee) is out front. I had Blue Jean and Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris and not See How They Run or The Swimmers.
Outstanding Debut a British Writer, Director, or Producer
Aftersun, Blue Jean, Electric Malady, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Rebellion
Malady and Rebellion over Emily and Wayfinder. Before this morning, I would've thought Aftersun was a slam dunk. It likely still takes this, but Grande could threaten given its over performance.
Film Not in the English Language
All Quiet on the Western Front, Argentina, 1985, Corsage, Decision to Leave, The Quiet Girl
Had EO and not Corsage. The only way All Quiet doesn't take this in a blowout is if it wins Best Film and the voters want to choose something else. That probably won't occur, but if so, Decision to Leave is viable considering the directing nod.
Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Turning Red
I won't pat myself too hard on the back since the only category with a quartet wasn't much of a challenge. Picking a recipient isn't either as Pinocchio should prevail.
All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Fire of Love, Moonage Daydream, Navalny
I admittedly went with a couple spoilers in Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song and The Ghost of Richard Harris. Fire and Navalny are present instead for what could be a preview of the Oscar five (or at least 4/5).
Aftersun, All Quiet on the Western Front, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Triangle of Sadness
Chose Banshees and Fabelmans and not All Quiet (get used to hearing that) or Elvis.
All Quiet on the Western Front, The Batman, Elvis, Empire of Light, Top Gun: Maverick
Had Athena and Tár as opposed to The Batman and Elvis.
All Quiet on the Western Front, Amsterdam, Babylon, Elvis, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
All Quiet and Amsterdam are suited for competition instead of Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (a notable snub) and Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical.
All Quiet on the Western Front, The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Top Gun: Maverick
Thought the Brits might select Moonage Daydream but it's Banshees instead.
Make Up and Hair
All Quiet on the Western Front, The Batman, Elvis, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical, The Whale
Didn't have All Quiet or Matilda. Did have Amsterdam and Babylon.
All Quiet on the Western Front, Babylon, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Two of the year's most acclaimed scores (Empire of Light, Women Talking) fall out with All Quiet and Everything in.
All Quiet on the Western Front, Babylon, The Batman, Elvis, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Ouch Part II. Only correctly called Babylon and Elvis (the duo most likely to win). Incorrectly had Avatar: The Way of Water, Banshees, and Empire of Light.
All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of Water, Elvis, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick
Tár in, The Batman out.
Special Visual Effects
All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Top Gun: Maverick
All Quiet in over Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore. Despite a meager haul for Avatar, it should manage a victory in this race.
For those keeping score, that means these pictures garnered these numbers of nominations:
The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Aftersun, The Batman, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Top Gun: Maverick, The Whale
Babylon, Empire of Light, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Living, Triangle of Sadness
Avatar: The Way of Water, Decision to Leave, The Quiet Girl, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical, She Said, The Woman King
All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Argentina, 1985, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blonde, Blue Jean, Brian and Charles, Corsage, Electric Malady, The Fabelmans, Fire of Love, The Good Nurse, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Moonage Daydream, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Navalny, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Rebellion, See How They Run, The Swimmers, Till, Turning Red, The Wonder
I'll have final predictions up shortly before the ceremony's airdate!
Author toddmthatcherPosted on January 19, 2023 Categories BAFTA, Oscar PredictionsTags academy awards, Aftersun, Albrecht Schuch, Alice Diop, All Quiet on the Western Front, All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Ana de Armas, Angela Bassett, Argentina 1985, Athena, Austin Butler, Babylon, BAFTA, BAFTA Awards, Barry Keoghan, Bill Nighy, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blonde, Blue Jean, brad pitt, Brendan Fraser, Brendan Gleeson, Brian and Charles, Carey Mulligan, Cate Blanchett, Charlotte Wells, Colin Farrell, Corsage, Dan Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Danielle Deadwyler, Daniels, Daryl McCormack, Decision to Leave, Dolly De Leon, Eddie Redmayne, Edward Berger, Electric Malady, Elvis, Emily, Emma Thompson, Empire of Light, EO, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, Felix Kammerer, Fire of Love, Gina Prince-Bythewood, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Good Luck to You Leo Grande, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen a Journey a Song, Hong Chau, Jamie Lee Curtis, Janelle Monae, Ke Huy Quan, Kerry Condon, Lashana Lynch, Lesley Manville, Living, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Martin McDonagh, Micheal Ward, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, Moonage Daydream, movies, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Navalny, Oscar Predictions, oscars, Park Chan-wook, Paul Mescal, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Rebellion, Richard E. Grant, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical, Saint Omer, See How They Run, She Said, steven spielberg, TAR, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Batman, The Fabelmans, The Ghost of Richard Harris, The Good Nurse, The Quiet Girl, The Swimmers, The Whale, The Woman King, The Wonder, Till, Todd Field, tom cruise, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, Turning Red, Viola Davis, Wayfinder, Women Talking, Woody HarrelsonLeave a comment on 76th BAFTA Nominee Reactions
76th BAFTA Nominee Predictions
Arriving five days before Oscar nominations are the British Academy Film Awards – commonly known as the BAFTAs. On January 6th, the long lists in each category were revealed. There were major surprises like Avatar: The Way of Water not being in the list of 10 for Best Film consideration (same goes for its maker James Cameron in Director). Perhaps the biggest shock was Steven Spielberg being omitted from the Directing race. That's partly why I have The Fabelmans generating a grand total of 1 nomination.
This is a show that isn't afraid to go their own way. In 2021, while all 5 Best Film contenders were also BP contenders with the Academy, none of the six Best Actress hopefuls scored an Oscar nod (I doubt that happens again). Only two of the six Actor nominees got the Academy's consideration.
You know the drill. For each competition, I'm giving you my picks (nominees can be between 4 and 10 and mostly 5 and 6 depending on the race) and a runner-up. Let's go!
All Quiet on the Western Front, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Tár, Triangle of Sadness
Runner-Up: Top Gun: Maverick
Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front), Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Alice Diop (Saint Omer), Todd Field (Tár), Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), Charlotte Wells (Aftersun)
Runner-Up: Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave
Cate Blanchett (Tár), Viola Davis (The Woman King), Ana de Armas (Blonde), Lesley Manville (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris), Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande), Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Runner-Up: Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
Austin Butler (Elvis), Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brendan Fraser (The Whale), Felix Kammerer (All Quiet on the Western Front), Paul Mescal (Aftersun), Bill Nighy (Living)
Runner-Up: Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), Hong Chau (The Whale), Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin), Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness), Lashana Lynch (The Woman King), Janelle Monáe (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)
Runner-Up: Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin), Woody Harrelson (Triangle of Sadness), Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brad Pitt (Babylon), Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Micheal Ward (Empire of Light)
Runner-Up: Ben Whishaw, Women Talking
Aftersun, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Tár, Triangle of Sadness
Runner-Up: The Fabelmans
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Living, She Said, Women Talking
Runner-Up: The Whale
Aftersun, The Banshees of Inisherin, Blue Jean, Brian and Charles, Empire of Light, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Living, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical, The Wonder
Runner-Up: Lady Chatterley's Lover
Aftersun, Blue Jean, Emily, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Wayfinder
Runner-Up: Donna
All Quiet on the Western Front, Argentina, 1985, Decision to Leave, EO, The Quiet Girl
Runner-Up: RRR
All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, The Ghost of Richard Harris, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song, Moonage Daydream
Runner-Up: Navalny
Aftersun, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Triangle of Sadness
Runner-Up: All Quiet on the Western Front
All Quiet on the Western Front, Athena, Empire of Light, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick
Runner-Up: The Banshees of Inisherin
Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Elvis, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical
Runner-Up: Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
All Quiet on the Western Front, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Moonage Daydream, Top Gun: Maverick
Runner-Up: Aftersun
Amsterdam, Babylon, The Batman, Elvis, The Whale
Babylon, The Banshees of Inisherin, Empire of Light, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Women Talking
Runner-Up: The Batman
Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Empire of Light
All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Elvis, Top Gun: Maverick
Runner-Up: Thirteen Lives
Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, Top Gun: Maverick
Runner-Up: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
That equates to these movies garnering these numbers in nominations:
Aftersun, Elvis
Babylon, Empire of Light, Tár, Triangle of Sadness
Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Living, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, The Whale
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blue Jean, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Moonage Daydream, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical, The Woman King, Women Talking
All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Argentina, 1985, Athena, Blonde, Brian and Charles, Decision to Leave, Emily, EO, The Fabelmans (!), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, The Ghost of Richard Harris, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, The Quiet Girl, Saint Omer, She Said, Turning Red, Wayfinder, The Wonder
I'll have a recap up Thursday!
Author toddmthatcherPosted on January 17, 2023 Categories BAFTATags academy awards, Aftersun, Alice Diop, All Quiet on the Western Front, All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Ana de Armas, Angela Bassett, Argentina 1985, Athena, Austin Butler, Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, BAFTA, BAFTA Awards, Barry Keoghan, Ben Whishaw, Bill Nighy, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blonde, Blue Jean, brad pitt, Brendan Fraser, Brendan Gleeson, Brian and Charles, Cate Blanchett, Charlotte Wells, Colin Farrell, Dan Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Daniels, Decision to Leave, Dolly De Leon, Donna, Edward Berger, Elvis, Emily, Emma Thompson, Empire of Light, EO, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Felix Kammerer, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Good Luck to You Leo Grande, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen a Journey a Song, Hong Chau, Jamie Lee Curtis, Janelle Monae, Ke Huy Quan, Kerry Condon, Lady Chatterley's Lover, Lashana Lynch, Lesley Manville, Living, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Martin McDonagh, Micheal Ward, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, Moonage Daydream, movies, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Navalny, Oscar Predictions, oscars, Park Chan-wook, Paul Mescal, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical, RRR, Saint Omer, She Said, steven spielberg, TAR, The Bad Guys, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Batman, The Fabelmans, The Ghost of Richard Harris, The Quiet Girl, The Whale, The Woman King, The Wonder, Thirteen Lives, Todd Field, tom cruise, Triangle of Sadness, Turning Red, Viola Davis, Wayfinder, Women Talking, Woody HarrelsonLeave a comment on 76th BAFTA Nominee Predictions
95th Academy Awards Predictions: January 16th Edition
It has been two weeks since my last Oscar predictions and a lot has transpired since. The Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards aired. SAG nominations came out. So did the BAFTA shortlists and PGA and DGA contenders.
All of this has made the puzzle a little clearer. Yet the fact remains – Oscar will Oscar when noms are released in a week. This is my penultimate forecast. Final predictions will arrive this weekend. Tonight's estimates are your last look at rankings. It will simply be the listed picks a few days from now with commentary and a runner-up projection in each feature film category.
Here's the latest developments as we are almost at the end of the line:
The Whale rises as it is back in my top 10 BP nominees. Women Talking falls out. A similar scenario in Supporting Actress as The Whale's Hong Chau is in over Women Talking's Claire Foy. After victories at the Globes and Critics Choice, Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) vaults over Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) for the #1 slot in Supporting Actress.
On the other hand, I'm putting Austin Butler (Elvis) back in first over Brendan Fraser (The Whale). This is essentially a coin flip with Colin Farrell from Banshees as a legit spoiler.
Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front) returns to the directorial quintet and James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water) is out.
In Actress, Viola Davis (The Woman King) at last makes the cut with Margot Robbie (Babylon) dropping. That's not the only news in this derby. I almost went with Ana de Armas (Blonde) instead of Davis. And there's the recent development of Andrea Riseborough's online campaign for the micro budget indie drama To Leslie. Numerous performers, including Cate Blanchett, have boarded the Riseborough bandwagon. Two weeks ago – she was on no one's radar screen. Now the buzz is enough to put her in 8th.
You can read all the movement below and look for those FINAL predictions this weekend!
Predicted Nominees
1. Everything Everywhere All at Once (Previous Ranking: 1) (Even)
2. The Fabelmans (PR: 2) (E)
3. The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 3) (E)
4. Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 4) (E)
5. Tár (PR: 5) (E)
6. Elvis (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 6) (-1)
8. All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: 10) (+2)
9. The Whale (PR: 12) (+3)
10. Triangle of Sadness (PR: 9) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
11. Babylon (PR: 11) (E)
12. RRR (PR: 13) (+1)
13. Women Talking (PR: 8) (-5)
14. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 14) (E)
15. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Predicted Nominees:
1. Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans (PR: 1) (E)
2. Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 2) (E)
3. Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 3) (E)
4. Todd Field, Tár (PR: 4) (E)
5. Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: 7) (+2)
6. James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Joseph Kosinski, Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 10) (+3)
8. S.S. Rajamouli, RRR (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Ruben Ostlund, Triangle of Sadness (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Baz Luhrmann, Elvis (PR: 9) (-1)
Sarah Polley, Women Talking
1. Cate Blanchett, Tár (PR: 1) (E)
2. Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 2) (E)
3. Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans (PR: 3) (E)
4. Danielle Deadwyler, Till (PR: 4) (E)
5. Viola Davis, The Woman King (PR: 6) (+1)
6. Ana de Armas, Blonde (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Margot Robbie, Babylon (PR: 5) (-2)
8. Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Olivia Colman, Empire of Light (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Naomi Ackie, Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody (PR: Not Ranked)
Jennifer Lawrence, Causeway
Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
1. Austin Butler, Elvis (PR: 2) (+1)
2. Brendan Fraser, The Whale (PR: 1) (-1)
3. Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 3) (E)
4. Bill Nighy, Living (PR: 4) (E)
5. Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 5) (E)
6. Paul Mescal, Aftersun (PR: 6) (E)
7. Hugh Jackman, The Son (PR: 7) (E)
8. Adam Sandler, Hustle (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Tom Hanks, A Man Called Otto (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Jeremy Pope, The Inspection (PR: 10) (E)
Gabriel LaBelle, The Fabelmans
1. Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: 4) (+3)
2. Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 1) (-1)
3. Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 2) (-1)
4. Hong Chau, The Whale (PR: 9) (+5)
5. Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness (PR: 3) (-2)
6. Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 8) (+2)
7. Jessie Buckley, Women Talking (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Janelle Monáe, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Claire Foy, Women Talking (PR: 5) (-4)
10. Carey Mulligan, She Said (PR: 10) (E)
1. Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 1) (E)
2. Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 2) (E)
3. Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 3) (E)
4. Paul Dano, The Fabelmans (PR: 4) (E)
5. Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans (PR: 5) (E)
6. Brad Pitt, Babylon (PR: 8) (+2)
7. Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse (PR: 10) (+3)
8. Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Ben Whishaw, Women Talking (PR: 7) (-2)
10. Tom Hanks, Elvis (PR: 9) (-1)
1. Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 1) (E)
5. Triangle of Sadness (PR: 5) (E)
6. Aftersun (PR: 6) (E)
7. Babylon (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Decision to Leave (PR: 9) (+1)
9. The Menu (PR: 7) (-2)
10. Armageddon Time (PR: Not Ranked)
1. Women Talking (PR: 1) (E)
2. The Whale (PR: 3) (+1)
3. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 2) (-1)
4. She Said (PR: 4) (E)
5. Living (PR: 5) (E)
6. All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: 8) (+2)
8. White Noise (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (PR: 9) (E)
10. Bones and All (PR: 10) (E)
2. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (PR: 2) (E)
3. Turning Red (PR: 3) (E)
4. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (PR: 4) (E)
5. Wendell and Wild (PR: 7) (+2)
6. The Bad Guys (PR: 6) (E)
7. My Father's Dragon (PR: 5) (-2)
8. Strange World (PR: 8) (E)
9. Inu-Oh (PR: 9) (E)
10. Lightyear (PR: 10) (E)
1. All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: 1) (E)
2. Decision to Leave (PR: 2) (E)
3. Close (PR: 6) (+3)
4. Argentina, 1985 (PR: 4) (E)
5. EO (PR: 7) (+2)
6. Saint Omer (PR: 3) (-3)
7. Bardo (PR: 5) (-2)
8. The Quiet Girl (PR: 10) (+2)
9. Joyland (PR: 9) (E)
10. Holy Spider (PR: 8) (-2)
1. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (PR: 1) (E)
2. All That Breathes (PR: 3) (+1)
3. Fire of Love (PR: 4) (+1)
4. Navalny (PR: 2) (-2)
5. The Territory (PR: 5) (E)
6. Descendant (PR: 6) (E)
7. Moonage Daydream (PR: 7) (E)
8. Retrograde (PR: 10) (+2)
9. Bad Axe (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Last Flight Home (PR: Not Ranked)
2. Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 2) (E)
5. Empire of Light (PR: 6) (+1)
6. Babylon (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Elvis (PR: Not Ranked)
8. The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 7) (-1)
9. The Batman (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Nope (PR: Not Ranked)
1. Elvis (PR: 1) (E)
2. Babylon (PR: 2) (E)
3. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: 3) (E)
4. The Woman King (PR: 4) (E)
5. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (PR: 7) (+2)
6. The Fabelmans (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Living (PR: 6) (-1)
9. Corsage (PR: 9) (E)
10. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: Not Ranked)
7. The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 8) (+1)
9. Tár (PR: 10) (+1)
1. Elvis (PR: 2 (+1)
2. The Whale (PR: 1) (-1)
3. The Batman (PR: 3) (E)
7. Amsterdam (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Blonde (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Emancipation (PR: 7) (-2)
10. Crimes of the Future (PR: 10) (E)
Predicted Nomnees:
3. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (PR: 5) (+2)
4. Women Talking (PR: 2) (-2)
5. Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 7) (+2)
7. The Woman King (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: 10) (+2)
10. All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: 9) (-1)
1. "Naatu Naatu" from RRR (PR: 2) (+1)
2. "Hold My Hand" from Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 1) (-1)
3. "Lift Me Up" from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: 3) (E)
4. "Ciao Papa" from Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (PR: 4) (E)
5. "Applause" from Tell It Like a Woman (PR: 6) (+1)
6. "This Is a Life" from Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 5) (-1)
7. "Carolina" from Where the Crawdads Sing (PR: 7) (E)
8. "New Body Rhumba" from White Noise (PR: 8) (E)
9. "Good Afternoon" from Spirited (PR: Not Ranked)
10. "Stand Up" from Till (PR: 9) (-1)
"Nothing is Lost (You Give Me Strength)" from Avatar: The Way of Water
3. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: 4) (+1)
7. Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 6) (-1)
10. The Batman (PR: 10) (E)
4. Elvis (PR: 3) (-1)
9. Moonage Daydream (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (PR: 9) (-1)
4. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (PR: 4) (E)
7. Nope (PR: 5) (-2)
8. Thirteen Lives (PR: 8) (E)
9. Jurassic World: Dominion (PR: 9) (E)
10. Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (PR: 10) (E)
That equates to these movies garnering these numbers in terms of nominations:
All Quiet on the Western Front, The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Top Gun: Maverick
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, The Whale
Babylon, Tár
The Batman, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Triangle of Sadness
Living, The Woman King, Women Talking
All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Argentina, 1985, Close, Decision to Leave, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Empire of Light, EO, Fire of Love, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Navalny, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, RRR, She Said, Tell It Like a Woman, The Territory, Till, Turning Red, Wendell and Wild
Author toddmthatcherPosted on January 16, 2023 Categories Oscar PredictionsTags A Man Called Otto, academy awards, Adam Sandler, Aftersun, All Quiet on the Western Front, All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Ana de Armas, Andrea Riseborough, Angela Bassett, Argentina 1985, Armageddon Time, Austin Butler, Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Bad Axe, BAFTA, BAFTA Awards, Bardo, Barry Keoghan, Baz Luhrmann, Ben Whishaw, Bill Nighy, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blonde, Bones and All, brad pitt, Brendan Fraser, Brendan Gleeson, Brian Tyree Henry, Carey Mulligan, Cate Blanchett, Causeway, Claire Foy, Close, Colin Farrell, Corsage, Crimes of the Future, Critics Choice Awards, Dan Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Danielle Deadwyler, Daniels, Decision to Leave, Descendant, DGA, Directors Guild of America, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Dolly De Leon, Eddie Redmayne, Edward Berger, Elvis, Emancipation, Emma Thompson, Empire of Light, EO, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, Fire of Love, Gabriel LaBelle, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Golden Globes, Good Luck to You Leo Grande, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Holy Spider, Hong Chau, Hugh Jackman, Hustle, Inu-Oh, James Cameron, Jamie Lee Curtis, Janelle Monae, jennifer lawrence, Jeremy Pope, Jessie Buckley, Joseph Kosinski, Joyland, Judd Hirsch, Jurassic World: Dominion, Ke Huy Quan, Kerry Condon, Last Flight Home, Lightyear, Living, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Margot Robbie, Martin McDonagh, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, Moonage Daydream, movies, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, My Father's Dragon, Naomi Ackie, Navalny, Nope, Olivia Colman, Oscar Predictions, oscars, Paul Dano, Paul Mescal, PGA, Producers Guild of America, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Retrograde, RRR, Ruben Ostlund, S.S. Rajamouli, SAG Awards, Saint Omer, Sarah Polley, She Said, Spirited, Stephanie Hsu, steven spielberg, Strange World, TAR, Tell It Like a Woman, The Bad Guys, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Batman, The Fabelmans, The Good Nurse, The Inspection, The Janes, The Menu, The Quiet Girl, The Son, The Territory, The Whale, The Woman King, Thirteen Lives, Till, To Leslie, Todd Field, tom cruise, tom hanks, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, Turning Red, Viola Davis, Wendell and Wild, Where the Crawdads Sing, White Noise, Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody, Women TalkingLeave a comment on 95th Academy Awards Predictions: January 16th Edition
28th Annual Critics Choice Awards Winner Predictions
Airing only five days after the Golden Globes solidified some potential paths to Oscar glory, the Critics Choice Awards come our way on the CW tomorrow evening with Chelsea Handler hosting.
We have a number of feature film categories to pick and I'll do so by forecasting a winner and a runner-up. I'm not going into details for these (frankly because I'm on a vacation this weekend), but a few quick questions to ponder:
Is this where Brendan Fraser (The Whale) gets a needed victory over Globe recipients Austin Butler (Elvis) or Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) to keep himself in the winner conversation? The same narratives apply to Everything Everywhere All at Once being named BP instead of Banshees and The Fabelmans. If Everything is going to make a stand, it should begin here and I'm projecting that it will. Will Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) begin a streak of trophies that the Globes started or will there be a mix of Supporting Actress honorees as we head toward Oscar?
I'll have a recap up (probably Monday morning) with my thoughts, but here's how I see this particular show shaking out!
The Nominees: Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, RRR, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick, Women Talking
PREDICTED WINNER: Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Nominees: James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water), Damien Chazelle (Babylon), Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Todd Field (Tár), Baz Luhrmann (Elvis), Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), Sarah Polley (Women Talking), Gina Prince-Bythewood (The Woman King), S.S. Rajamouli (RRR), Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
PREDICTED WINNER: Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
Runner-Up: Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Nominees: Cate Blanchett (Tár), Viola Davis (The Woman King), Danielle Deadwyler (Till), Margot Robbie (Babylon), Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans), Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
PREDICTED WINNER: Cate Blanchett, Tár
Runner-Up: Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Nominees: Austin Butler (Elvis), Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick), Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brendan Fraser (The Whale), Paul Mescal (Aftersun), Bill Nighy (Living)
PREDICTED WINNER: Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Runner-Up: Brendan Fraser, The Whale
The Nominees: Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), Jessie Buckley (Women Talking), Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin), Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Janelle Monáe (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)
PREDICTED WINNER: Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Runner-Up: Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
The Nominees: Paul Dano (The Fabelmans), Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway), Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans), Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin), Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
PREDICTED WINNER: Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Runner-Up: Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
The Nominees: Aftersun, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Tár
PREDICTED WINNER: The Banshees of Inisherin
Runner-Up: Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Nominees: Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Living, She Said, The Whale, Women Talking
PREDICTED WINNER: Women Talking
The Nominees: The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, The Woman King, Women Talking
Runner-Up: Women Talking
Best Young Actor/Actress
The Nominees: Frankie Corio (Aftersun), Jalyn Hall (Till), Gabriel LaBelle (The Fabelmans), Bella Ramsey (Catherine Called Birdy), Banks Repeta (Armageddon Time), Sadie Sink (The Whale)
PREDICTED WINNER: Gabriel LaBelle, The Fabelmans
Runner-Up: Frankie Corio, Aftersun
The Nominees: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Turning Red, Wendell and Wild
PREDICTED WINNER: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Runner-Up: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
The Nominees: The Banshees of Inisherin, Bros, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Triangle of Sadness, The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Argentina, 1985, Bardo, Close, Decision to Leave, RRR
PREDICTED WINNER: RRR
The Nominees: Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Empire of Light, The Fabelmans, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick
PREDICTED WINNER: Top Gun: Maverick
Runner-Up: Babylon
The Nominees: Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, The Woman King
PREDICTED WINNER: Elvis
The Nominees: Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick
Best Hair and Makeup
The Nominees: Babylon, The Batman, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Whale
The Nominees: Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans
PREDICTED WINNER: Babylon
Runner-Up: Avatar: The Way of Water
The Nominees: Babylon, The Batman, The Fabelmans, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Tár, Women Talking
"Carolina" from Where the Crawdads Sing, "Ciao Papa" from Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, "Hold My Hand" from Top Gun: Maverick, "Lift Me Up" from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, "Naatu Naatu" from RRR, "New Body Rhumba" from White Noise
PREDICTED WINNER: "Naatu Naatu" from RRR
Runner-Up: "Lift Me Up" from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
The Nominees: Avatar: The Way of Water, The Batman, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Everything Everywhere All at Once, RRR, Top Gun: Maverick
PREDICTED WINNER: Avatar: The Way of Water
That works out to the following movies garnering these numbers of wins:
Babylon, Elvis, The Fabelmans, RRR
1 Win
Avatar: The Way of Water, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick, Women Talking
Author toddmthatcherPosted on January 14, 2023 January 15, 2023 Categories Critics Choice Awards, Oscar PredictionsTags academy awards, Aftersun, All Quiet on the Western Front, Angela Bassett, Argentina 1985, Armageddon Time, Austin Butler, Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Banks Repeta, Bardo, Barry Keoghan, Baz Luhrmann, Bella Ramsey, Bill Nighy, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Brendan Fraser, Brendan Gleeson, Brian Tyree Henry, Bros, Cate Blanchett, Catherine Called Birdy, Causeway, Chelsea Handler, Close, Colin Farrell, Critics Choice Awards, Damien Chazelle, Dan Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Danielle Deadwyler, Daniels, Decision to Leave, Elvis, Empire of Light, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Frankie Corio, Gabriel LaBelle, Gina Prince-Bythewood, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Golden Globes, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Jalyn Hall, James Cameron, Jamie Lee Curtis, Janelle Monae, Jessie Buckley, Judd Hirsch, Ke Huy Quan, Kerry Condon, Living, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Margot Robbie, Martin McDonagh, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, movies, Oscar Predictions, oscars, Paul Dano, Paul Mescal, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, RRR, S.S. Rajamouli, Sadie Sink, Sarah Polley, She Said, Stephanie Hsu, steven spielberg, TAR, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Batman, The Fabelmans, The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent, The Whale, The Woman King, Till, Todd Field, tom cruise, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, Turning Red, Viola Davis, Wendell and Wild, Where the Crawdads Sing, White Noise, Women TalkingLeave a comment on 28th Annual Critics Choice Awards Winner Predictions
80th Golden Globe Awards Winner Predictions
After controversies kept the 79th ceremony off of the air in 2021, the 80th Golden Golden Awards is set to air on NBC Tuesday night with Jerrod Carmichael hosting. When it comes down to winners for their contribution to film, we can safely bet on one. Eddie Murphy will receive the Cecil B. DeMille Award for his four decades of work onscreen. We can probably safely bet on more than just Eddie (Colin Farrell comes to mind).
Most categories are tougher to project. There are a number of races where I don't feel confident with my arrived at winner. Quite frankly, if I go 7/14 this year, I'll be content.
For each category, I'll give you my pick and my runner-up. Unlike the Oscars, you won't get detailed analysis though I will say here's some of the categories that are tough:
Best Motion Picture (Drama) is a four-way race between everything not named Tár while Best Motion Picture (Musical or Comedy) is a genuine two-way competition between The Banshees of Inisherin and Everything Everywhere All at Once.
The Fabelmans might be fading with the Academy and that could hinder Spielberg's chance at Director. The legendary filmmaker was very notably snubbed from the sixteen shortlist possibilities at BAFTA. However, that happened after voting had closed with HFPA. I still give him the slight edge with the Globes, but watch out for the Daniels or Baz Luhrmann.
In the lead acting races, three are easy to pick. Actor in a Drama is not as I think it's a coin flip between Austin Butler and Brendan Fraser. My selection comes down to what I chose for Best Picture.
I don't think Carey Mulligan takes Supporting Actress for She Said. The other four are all viable. While Kerry Condon might be the soft favorite for Oscar, I could see the HFPA going with a more famous performer with a celebrated body of work. Whether that's Angela Bassett or Jamie Lee Curtis is an excellent question.
RRR could take Non-English Language Film and Song though the runners-up are both strong spoilers. Women Talking, The Fabelmans, and Babylon are all totally feasible for Score.
All right – enough talk! Time to (yikes) choose…
BEST MOTION PICTURE (DRAMA)
The Nominees: Avatar: The Way of Water, Elvis, The Fabelmans, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick
BEST MOTION PICTURE (MUSICAL OR COMEDY)
The Nominees: Babylon, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Triangle of Sadness
The Nominees: James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water), Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Baz Luhrmann (Elvis), Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE (DRAMA)
The Nominees: Cate Blanchett (Tár), Olivia Colman (Empire of Light), Viola Davis (The Woman King), Ana de Armas (Blonde), Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)
BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE (DRAMA)
The Nominees: Austin Butler (Elvis), Brendan Fraser (The Whale), Hugh Jackman (The Son), Bill Nighy (Living), Jeremy Pope (The Inspection)
Predicted Winner: Austin Butler, Elvis
BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE (MUSICAL OR COMEDY)
The Nominees: Lesley Manville (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris), Margot Robbie (Babylon), Anya Taylor-Joy (The Menu), Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande), Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Predicted Winner: Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Runner-Up: Margot Robbie, Babylon
BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE (MUSICAL OR COMEDY)
The Nominees: Diego Calva (Babylon), Daniel Craig (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery), Adam Driver (White Noise), Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), Ralph Fiennes (The Menu)
Runner-Up: Is there one?? Let's say Daniel Craig, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
The Nominees: Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin), Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness), Carey Mulligan (She Said)
Predicted Winner: Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
The Nominees: Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin), Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin), Brad Pitt (Babylon), Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once), Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse)
The Nominees: The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Tár, Women Talking
The Nominees: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Inu-oh, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Turning Red
BEST NON-ENGLISH LANGUAGE FILM
The Nominees: All Quiet on the Western Front, Argentina, 1985, Close, Decision to Leave, RRR
The Nominees: Babylon, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Fabelmans, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Women Talking
The Nominees: "Carolina" from Where the Crawdads Sing, "Ciao Papa" from Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, "Hold My Hand" from Top Gun: Maverick, "Lift Me Up" from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, "Naatu Naatu" from RRR
Runner-Up: "Hold My Hand" from Top Gun: Maverick
That equates to these movies achieving these numbers in terms of wins:
The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, RRR
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, The Fabelmans, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Tár, Women Talking
I'll have a recap up Tuesday night with analysis!
Author toddmthatcherPosted on January 8, 2023 Categories Golden GlobesTags academy awards, Adam Driver, All Quiet on the Western Front, Ana de Armas, Angela Bassett, Anya-Taylor Joy, Argentina 1985, Austin Butler, Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, BAFTA, BAFTA Awards, Barry Keoghan, Baz Luhrmann, Bill Nighy, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blonde, brad pitt, Brendan Fraser, Brendan Gleeson, Carey Mulligan, Cate Blanchett, Close, Colin Farrell, Dan Kwan, Daniel Craig, Daniel Scheinert, Daniels, Decision to Leave, Diego Calva, Dolly De Leon, Eddie Murphy, Eddie Redmayne, Elvis, Emma Thompson, Empire of Light, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Golden Globes, Good Luck to You Leo Grande, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Hugh Jackman, Inu-Oh, James Cameron, Jamie Lee Curtis, Jeremy Pope, Jerrod Carmichael, Ke Huy Quan, Kerry Condon, Lesley Manville, Living, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Margot Robbie, Martin McDonagh, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, movies, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Olivia Colman, oscars, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Ralph Fiennes, RRR, She Said, steven spielberg, TAR, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Fabelmans, The Good Nurse, The Inspection, The Menu, The Son, The Whale, The Woman King, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, Turning Red, Viola Davis, Where the Crawdads Sing, White Noise, Women TalkingLeave a comment on 80th Golden Globe Awards Winner Predictions
All Quiet Makes Noise at the BAFTA Shortlists
Edward Berger's All Quiet on the Western Front made an unexpected amount of noise when the British Academy of Film and Television Art (BAFTA) announced their shortlists prior to the final nominations on January 19th. The long lists can vary in size and so can the numbers of eventual nominees coming in two weeks.
It's a little confusing and hard to keep track of, but one thing is certain. World War I epic Quiet is eligible for the most races with 15 followed by The Banshees of Inisherin at 14. The superb performance from the former only helps its recent surge in the Oscar race (where I elevated it to my 10 for BP contenders on Monday).
Not all pictures had good showings from our British colleagues. This is especially true for The Fabelmans (with a shockingly subpar showing) and Women Talking.
Let's go through each feature length shortlist with some general comments. Predictions for the nominees will come shortly before the 19th when I'll delve a bit deeper.
Half of these features will make the cut and it's hard to imagine All Quiet not doing so considering its haul. Same for Banshees would could be a soft frontrunner. It's also worth noting Everything did just fine. Key pics you won't find here: Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, and Women Talking.
Brian and Charles
Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Lady Chatterley's Lover
Plenty of British titles here that aren't expected to make a dent with the Academy's voters. Only three of these hopefuls made Best Film and Banshees should have a leg up on Aftersun (which performed splendidly with BAFTA) and Living.
Outstanding Debut by a British Writer, Director or Producer
Electric Malady
This one should be Aftersun all the way considering it's the only entry vying for the top prize.
While Saint Omer made the director cut, its miss is notable here. Bardo got in, but popped up nowhere else. Even more surprisingly – same goes for RRR. This should be an All Quiet win.
All That Breathes
A Bunch of Amateurs
The Ghost of Richard Harris
Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song
Louis Armstrong's Black & Blues
McEnroe
Like the Academy, Good Night Oppy couldn't make the shortlist while Descendant is another high profile snub.
Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
4 of 8 go through. While Pinocchio is out front – don't sleep on Marcel.
Colm Bairéad, The Quiet Girl
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave
Chinonye Chukwu, Till
Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Alice Diop, Saint Omer
Sara Dosa, Fire of Love
Todd Field, Tár
Joseph Kosinski, Top Gun: Maverick
Marie Kreutzer, Corsage
Baz Luhrmann, Elvis
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Gina Prince-Bythewood, The Woman King
Maria Schrader, She Said
Charlotte Wells, Aftersun
BAFTA puts up 8 male and 8 female filmmakers on the shortlist before it shrinks to 6 (three of each gender). I'll have more on who I think gets in later, but how about who didn't!?!? There's James Cameron for Avatar (which had a mediocre performance overall). The giant shocker was not seeing Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans. And this one feels like it could have Oscar implications. I've had him listed #1 in Director for months. That placement is in serious jeopardy. I think he still gets makes the Academy's quintet, but I suspect his #1 status will take a hit when I update in a couple of days.
Leading Actress
Naomi Ackie, Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Jessica Chastain, The Good Nurse
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Lesley Manville, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
It's a bit unexpected seeing Ackie and Chastain over some picks BAFTA might've gone for like Vicky Krieps in Corsage and Florence Pugh in The Wonder. Same goes (sort of) for Olivia Colman in Empire of Light. However, it's worth pointing out that BAFTA also ignored her for The Father and The Lost Daughter (the Academy didn't). And you won't see Babylon's Margot Robbie in the mix either.
Leading Actor
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Harris Dickinson, Triangle of Sadness
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Daniel Kaluuya, Nope
Felix Kammerer, All Quiet on the Western Front
Daryl McCormack, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Bill Nighy, Living
I have a feeling the six eventual nominees may not include Dickinson, Kaluuya, Kammerer, and McCormack but that's not a final call. Notable names out include Diego Calva (Babylon), Ralph Fiennes (The Menu), Hugh Jackman (The Son, which was blanked) and Jeremy Pope (The Inspection).
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness
Lashana Lynch, The Woman King
Janelle Monae, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Carey Mulligan, She Said
Emma Thompson, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical
Aimee Lou Wood, Living
Ms. Thompson scored an unanticipated double nod thanks to this one as this 2022 hard to figure out Supporting Actress derby stayed that way. Like the Globes, no Jessie Buckley or Claire Foy from Women Talking.
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Tom Hanks, Elvis
Woody Harrelson, Triangle of Sadness
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brad Pitt, Babylon
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
Albrecht Schuch, All Quiet on the Western Front
Micheal Ward, Empire of Light
Ben Whishaw, Women Talking
Whishaw being the only acting nominee for Women Talking kinda came out of nowhere. So did familiar faces like Hanks and Harrelson over either of the Fabelmans contenders – Paul Dano and Judd Hirsch. Pitt at last lands Babylon an above the line nom.
Dare I say there's no real surprises in this race.
This could've been where White Noise got a lone nod, but nope. Considering the so-so performance of Women Talking, I wouldn't automatically think it wins. But… what does?
***For the rest of these races, I'm listing just the shortlisted pics. Forecasted nominees are coming soon enough! I will say The Fabelmans is MIA in places where it was expected to be (especially Cinematography and Score).
Keep an eye out for BAFTA final predictions from these shortlists and the same for the Golden Globes and Critics Choice!
Author toddmthatcherPosted on January 7, 2023 Categories BAFTA, Oscar PredictionsTags A Bunch of Amateurs, academy awards, Aftersun, Aimee Lou Wood, Albrecht Schuch, Alice Diop, All Quiet on the Western Front, All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Ana de Armas, Angela Bassett, Argentina 1985, Athena, Austin Butler, Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, BAFTA, BAFTA Awards, Bardo, Barry Keoghan, Baz Luhrmann, Bill Nighy, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blonde, Blue Jean, brad pitt, Brendan Fraser, Brendan Gleeson, Brian and Charles, Carey Mulligan, Cate Blanchett, Charlotte Wells, Chinonye Chukwu, Claire Foy, Close, Colin Farrell, Colm Bairéad, Corsage, Dan Kwan, Daniel Kaluuya, Daniel Scheinert, Danielle Deadwyler, Daniels, Daryl McCormack, Decision to Leave, Descendant, Diego Calva, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Dolly De Leon, Donna, Eddie Redmayne, Edward Berger, Electric Malady, Elvis, Emancipation, Emily, Emma Thompson, Empire of Light, EO, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, Fire of Love, Florence Pugh, Gina Prince-Bythewood, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Golden Globes, Good Luck to You Leo Grande, Good Night Oppy, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen a Journey a Song, Harris Dickinson, Holy Spider, Hong Chau, Hugh Jackman, Jamie Lee Curtis, Janelle Monae, Jeremy Pope, Jessica Chastain, Jessie Buckley, Joseph Kosinski, Judd Hirsch, Jurassic World: Dominion, Ke Huy Quan, Kerry Condon, Lady Chatterley's Lover, Lashana Lynch, Lesley Manville, Lightyear, Living, Louis Armstrong's Black and Blues, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Margot Robbie, Maria Schrader, Marie Kreutzer, Martin McDonagh, Matilda the Musical, McEnroe, Micheal Ward, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, Minions: The Rise of Gru, Moonage Daydream, movies, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Naomi Ackie, Navalny, Nope, Nothing Compares, Olivia Colman, Oscar Predictions, oscars, Park Chan-wook, Paul Dano, Paul Mescal, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Ralph Fiennes, Rebellion, Roald Dahl's Matilda the Musical, RRR, Saint Omer, Sara Dosa, Sarah Polley, See How They Run, She Said, Stephanie Hsu, steven spielberg, TAR, The Amazing Maurice, The Bad Guys, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Batman, The Fabelmans, The Father, The Ghost of Richard Harris, The Good Nurse, The Inspection, The Lost Daughter, The Lost King, The Menu, The Quiet Girl, The Son, The Swimmers, The Whale, The Woman King, The Wonder, Thirteen Lives, Till, Todd Field, tom cruise, tom hanks, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, Turning Red, Vicky Krieps, Viola Davis, Wayfinder, Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody, Women Talking, Woody HarrelsonLeave a comment on All Quiet Makes Noise at the BAFTA Shortlists
2022 Oscar Predictions: January 2nd Edition
My first Oscar predictions for this new year (coming 22 days prior to nomination morning) comes with a change in Best Picture and other major races.
While I still believe that Babylon could make the BP ten despite mixed reviews and poor word-of-mouth, I have dropped it in favor of Triangle of Sadness.
In Best Director, James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water) is in the five to the detriment of Women Talking's Sarah Polley.
While Best Actress remains intact, Brendan Fraser is back at #1 for The Whale over Austin Butler as Elvis. This is really semantics. I believe Fraser, Butler, and Colin Farrell are basically 1a, 1b, and 1c at this juncture. It may take upcoming precursors to make it clearer. There's another shift as Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick) gets the five spot over Hugh Jackman for The Son. I almost went with Aftersun's Paul Mescal.
In Supporting Actress, Claire Foy returns over her Women Talking costar Jessie Buckley. This category is still the trickiest acting derby to peg.
We also have 4 new number ones elsewhere. In Documentary Feature, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed vaults again to first. Elvis shimmies to the top in Costume Design while dropping to second in Makeup and Hairstyling with The Whale back at 1. The Fabelmans tops Original Score.
You can read all the movement below!
5. Tár (PR: 7) (+2)
9. Triangle of Sadness (PR: 13) (+4)
11. Babylon (PR: 10) (-1)
12. The Whale (PR: 11) (-1)
14. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 12) (-2)
15. The Woman King (PR: 15) (E)
5. James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 6) (+1)
6. Sarah Polley, Women Talking (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: 7) (E)
8. Ruben Ostlund, Triangle of Sadness (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Baz Luhrmann, Elvis (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Joseph Kosinski, Top Gun: Maverick (PR: Not Ranked)
Damien Chazelle, Babylon
S.S. Rajamouli, RRR
5. Margot Robbie, Babylon (PR: 5) (E)
6. Viola Davis, The Woman King (PR: 6) (E)
9. Jennifer Lawrence, Causeway (PR: 9) (E)
10. Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande (PR: Not Ranked)
1. Brendan Fraser, The Whale (PR: 2) (+1)
2. Austin Butler, Elvis (PR: 1) (-1)
5. Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 6) (+1)
6. Paul Mescal, Aftersun (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Hugh Jackman, The Son (PR: 5) (-2)
8. Tom Hanks, A Man Called Otto (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Gabriel LaBelle, The Fabelmans (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Jeremy Pope, The Inspection (PR: 8) (-2)
Diego Calva, Babylon
1. Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 1) (E)
2. Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 2) (E)
3. Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness (PR: 5) (+2)
4. Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: 3) (-1)
5. Claire Foy, Women Talking (PR: 9) (+4)
7. Janelle Monae, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 6) (-2)
9. Hong Chau, The Whale (PR: 7) (-2)
6. Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway (PR: 6) (E)
7. Ben Whishaw, Women Talking (PR: 7) (E)
9. Tom Hanks, Elvis (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse (PR: 8) (-2)
7. The Menu (PR: 9) (+2)
9. Decision to Leave (PR: 7) (-2)
10. Bardo (PR: 10) (E)
2. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 3) (+1)
4. She Said (PR: 2) (-2)
6. White Noise (PR: 6) (E)
7. Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 8) (+1)
8. All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: 7) (-1)
4. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (PR: 5) (+1)
6. The Bad Guys (PR: 6 (E)
7. Wendell and Wild (PR: 7) (E)
9. Inu-Oh (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Lightyear (PR: 9) (-1)
3. Saint Omer (PR: 4) (+1)
4. Argentina, 1985 (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Bardo (PR: 6) (+1)
6. Close (PR: 3) (-3)
7. EO (PR: 7) (E)
8. Holy Spider (PR: 10) (+2)
9. Joyland (PR: 8) (-1)
10. The Quiet Girl (PR: 9) (-1)
1. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (PR: 3) (+2)
3. All That Breathes (PR: 2) (-1)
4. Fire of Love (PR: 4) (E)
5. The Territory (PR: 6) (+1)
6. Descendant (PR: 5) (-1)
8. Bad Axe (PR: 10) (+2)
9. The Janes (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Retrograde (PR: 9) (-1)
6. Empire of Light (PR: 6) (E)
8. Bardo (PR: 8) (E)
10. Tár (PR: 10) (E)
5. The Fabelmans (PR: 7) (+2)
7. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (PR: 6) (-1)
10. The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: Not Ranked)
6. Women Talking (PR: 7) (+1)
10. Tár (PR: Not Ranked)
7. Emancipation (PR: 7) (E)
8. Amsterdam (PR: 8) (E)
9. Blonde (PR: 9) (E)
5. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (PR: 4) (-1)
8. The Woman King (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: 8) (-2)
1. "Hold My Hand" from Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 1) (E)
2. "Naatu Naatu" from RRR (PR: 2) (E)
5. "This Is a Life" from Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: 9) (+4)
6. "Applause" from Tell It Like a Woman (PR: 5) (-1)
7. "Carolina" from Where the Crawdads Sing (PR: 6) (-1)
9. "Stand Up" from Till (PR: 7) (-2)
10. "Nothing is Lost (You Give My Strength)" from Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 10) (E)
10. The Batman (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Moonage Daydream (PR: 10) (E)
5. Nope (PR: 7) (+2)
6. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: 5) (-1)
That equates to these films achieving these numbers in terms of nominations:
Avatar: The Way of Water, Elvis, Top Gun: Maverick
All Quiet on the Western Front, Tár, Women Talking
The Batman, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Triangle of Sadness, The Whale
All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Argentina, 1985, Bardo, Decision to Leave, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Fire of Love, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, My Father's Dragon, Navalny, Nope, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, RRR, Saint Omer, She Said, The Territory, Till, Turning Red, The Woman King
Author toddmthatcherPosted on January 2, 2023 Categories Oscar PredictionsTags A Man Called Otto, academy awards, Aftersun, All Quiet on the Western Front, All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Ana de Armas, Angela Bassett, Argentina 1985, Austin Butler, Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Bad Axe, Bardo, Barry Keoghan, Baz Luhrmann, Ben Whishaw, Bill Nighy, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blonde, Bones and All, brad pitt, Brendan Fraser, Brendan Gleeson, Brian Tyree Henry, Carey Mulligan, Cate Blanchett, Causeway, Claire Foy, Close, Colin Farrell, Corsage, Crimes of the Future, Damien Chazelle, Dan Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Danielle Deadwyler, Daniels, Decision to Leave, Descendant, Diego Calva, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Dolly De Leon, Eddie Redmayne, Edward Berger, Elvis, Emancipation, Emma Thompson, Empire of Light, EO, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, Fire of Love, Gabriel LaBelle, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Good Luck to You Leo Grande, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Holy Spider, Hong Chau, Hugh Jackman, Inu-Oh, James Cameron, Jamie Lee Curtis, Janelle Monae, jennifer lawrence, Jeremy Pope, Jessie Buckley, Joseph Kosinski, Joyland, Judd Hirsch, Jurassic World: Dominion, Ke Huy Quan, Kerry Condon, Lightyear, Living, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Margot Robbie, Martin McDonagh, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, Moonage Daydream, movies, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, My Father's Dragon, Naomi Ackie, Navalny, Nope, Olivia Colman, Oscar Predictions, oscars, Paul Dano, Paul Mescal, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Retrograde, RRR, Ruben Ostlund, S.S. Rajamouli, Saint Omer, Sarah Polley, She Said, Stephanie Hsu, steven spielberg, Strange World, TAR, Tell It Like a Woman, The Bad Guys, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Batman, The Fabelmans, The Good Nurse, The Inspection, The Janes, The Menu, The Quiet Girl, The Son, The Territory, The Whale, The Woman King, Thirteen Lives, Till, Todd Field, tom cruise, tom hanks, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, Turning Red, Viola Davis, Wendell and Wild, Where the Crawdads Sing, White Noise, Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody, Women TalkingLeave a comment on 2022 Oscar Predictions: January 2nd Edition
2022 Oscar Predictions: December 26th Edition
My last Oscar Predictions for this calendar year comes with no changes in Director, Actress, Actor, Supporting Actor, or the screenplay competitions. Yet not all is quiet. I'm finally giving Netflix a BP entrant, but it's not Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (though I considered it). All Quiet on the Western Front is in the 10 and that knocks out Triangle of Sadness.
Let's talk Babylon. I came very close to dropping it from my BP list after its dismal box office performance and a C+ Cinemascore grade. It's clinging to the race in 10th. I almost replaced it with The Whale (which has also received plenty of mixed reaction). I have a gut feeling that one of them still makes the cut and I'm leaning toward the former at the moment.
In Supporting Actress, Claire Foy's work in Women Talking is out in favor of costar Jessie Buckley. That would mark her second nomination in as many years.
There's new #1s in International Feature Film with All Quiet displacing Decision to Leave and Documentary Feature with Navalny leaping over All That Breathes.
And, of course, the shortlists released Wednesday are reflected in various categories below. I'll have my first estimates in calendar year 2023 up next weekend as we inch closer to nomination morning!
6. Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 8) (+2)
7. Tár (PR: 5) (-2)
9. All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Babylon (PR: 9) (-1)
11. The Whale (PR: 13) (+2)
13. Triangle of Sadness (PR: 10) (-3)
14. RRR (PR: 11) (-3)
5. Sarah Polley, Women Talking (PR: 5) (E)
6. James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 6) (E)
7. Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: Not Ranked)
8. Baz Luhrmann, Elvis (PR: 10) (+2)
9. Damien Chazelle, Babylon (PR: ) (-2)
10. S.S. Rajamouli, RRR (PR: 8) (-2)
Ruben Ostlund, Triangle of Sadness
7. Olivia Colman, Empire of Light (PR: 7) (E)
8. Ana de Armas, Blonde (PR: 10) (+2)
9. Jennifer Lawrence, Causeway (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Naomi Ackie, Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody (PR: 9) (-1)
1. Austin Butler, Elvis (PR: 1) (E)
3. Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin (PR: 2) (-1)
7. Paul Mescal, Aftersun (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Jeremy Pope, The Inspection (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Tom Hanks, A Man Called Otto (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Diego Calva, Babylon (PR: 8) (-2)
4. Jessie Buckley, Women Talking (PR: 6) (+2)
7. Hong Chau, The Whale (PR: 10) (+3)
8. Janelle Monae, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 8) (E)
10. Carey Mulligan, She Said (PR: 9) (-1)
8. Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Brad Pitt, Babylon (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Tom Hanks, Elvis (PR: 10) (E)
9. The Menu (PR: 9) (E)
10. Bardo (PR: Not Ranked)
3. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 3) (E)
4. The Whale (PR: 4) (E)
8. Top Gun: Maverick (PR: 7) (-1)
10. Bones and All (PR: Not Ranked)
2. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (PR: 3) (+1)
3. Turning Red (PR: 2) (-1)
4. My Father's Dragon (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (PR: 4) (-1)
6. The Bad Guys (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Wendell and Wild (PR: 6) (-1)
9. Lightyear (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Inu-Oh (PR: Not Ranked)
The Sea Beast
1 . All Quiet on the Western Front (PR: 2) (+1)
3. Close (PR: 3) (E)
4. Saint Omer (PR: 4) (E)
8. Joyland (PR: 9) (+1)
9. The Quiet Girl (PR: Not Ranked)
1. Navalny (PR: 2) (+1)
4. Fire of Love (PR: 3) (-1)
7. Moonage Daydream (PR: 9) (+2)
8. The Janes (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Bad Axe (PR: Not Ranked)
6. Empire of Light (PR: 5) (-1)
5. Living (PR: 9) (+4)
6. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (PR: 6) (E)
9. Corsage (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Women Talking (PR: Not Ranked)
3. The Batman (PR: 5) (+2)
7. Emancipation (PR: Not Ranked)
8. Amsterdam (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Blonde (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Crimes of the Future (PR: Not Ranked)
7. Everything Everywhere All at Once (PR: Not Ranked)
8. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (PR: Not Ranked)
10. She Said (PR: Not Ranked)
5. "Applause" from Tell It Like a Woman (PR: 5) (E)
7. "Stand Up" from Till (PR: Not Ranked)
8. "New Body Rhumba" from White Noise (PR: 7) (-1)
10. "Nothing Is Lost (You Give Me Strength)" from Avatar: The Way of Water (PR: 10) (E)
"Nobody Like U" from Turning Red
5. The Batman (PR: 4) (-1)
9. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Moonage Daydream (PR: Not Ranked)
4. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (PR: 5) (+1)
7. Nope (PR: 10) (+3)
8. Thirteen Lives (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Jurassic World: Dominion (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (PR: Not Ranked)
That equates to these movies garnering these numbers of nods:
Babylon, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Avatar: The Way of Water, Top Gun: Maverick
All Quiet on the Western Front, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Women Talking
The Batman, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Living, The Whale
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Triangle of Sadness
All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Argentina, 1985, Close, Decision to Leave, Descendant, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Fire of Love, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Navalny, She Said, My Father's Dragon, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, RRR, Saint Omer, The Son, Tell It Like a Woman, Till, Turning Red, The Woman King
Author toddmthatcherPosted on December 26, 2022 Categories Oscar PredictionsTags A Man Called Otto, academy awards, Aftersun, All Quiet on the Western Front, All That Breathes, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Amsterdam, Ana de Armas, Angela Bassett, Argentina 1985, Austin Butler, Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Bad Axe, Bardo, Barry Keoghan, Baz Luhrmann, Ben Whishaw, Bill Nighy, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Blonde, Bones and All, brad pitt, Brendan Fraser, Brendan Gleeson, Brian Tyree Henry, Carey Mulligan, Cate Blanchett, Causeway, Claire Foy, Close, Colin Farrell, Corsage, Crimes of the Future, Damien Chazelle, Dan Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Danielle Deadwyler, Daniels, Decision to Leave, Descendant, Diego Calva, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Dolly De Leon, Eddie Redmayne, Edward Berger, Elvis, Emancipation, Empire of Light, EO, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore, Fire of Love, Gabriel LaBelle, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Good Night Oppy, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, Holy Spider, Hong Chau, Hugh Jackman, Inu-Oh, James Cameron, Jamie Lee Curtis, Janelle Monae, jennifer lawrence, Jeremy Pope, Jessie Buckley, Joyland, Judd Hirsch, Jurassic World: Dominion, Ke Huy Quan, Kerry Condon, Klondike, Lightyear, Living, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Margot Robbie, Martin McDonagh, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, Moonage Daydream, movies, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, My Father's Dragon, Naomi Ackie, Navalny, Netflix, Nope, Olivia Colman, Oscar Predictions, oscars, Paul Dano, Paul Mescal, Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Retrograde, RRR, Ruben Ostlund, S.S. Rajamouli, Saint Omer, Sarah Polley, She Said, Sr., Stephanie Hsu, steven spielberg, Strange World, TAR, Tell It Like a Woman, The Bad Guys, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Batman, The Fabelmans, The Good Nurse, The Inspection, The Janes, The Menu, The Quiet Girl, The Sea Beast, The Son, The Territory, The Whale, The Woman King, Thirteen Lives, Till, Todd Field, tom cruise, tom hanks, Top Gun: Maverick, Triangle of Sadness, Turning Red, Viola Davis, Wendell and Wild, Where the Crawdads Sing, White Noise, Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody, Women Talking, XLeave a comment on 2022 Oscar Predictions: December 26th Edition
Oscar Predictions – Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody
On the eve of its premiere, the embargo for Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody finally lifted. For those not familiar, waiting until December 21st for critics to weigh in is not a good sign for awards possibilities. The biopic comes from Kasi Lemmons, who last directed Cynthia Erivo to a Best Actress nod for 2019's Harriet. Then there's the screenwriter Anthony McCarten. He's a bit of an awards whisperer. His screenplays for 2014's The Theory of Everything, 2017's Darkest Hour, and 2018's Bohemian Rhapsody resulted in Best Actor victories for (respectively) Eddie Redmayne, Gary Oldman, and Rami Malek.
That's why I was a tad surprised that Somebody was MIA at film festivals and that there were no early reviews to generate buzz. Now it makes more sense. The Rotten Tomatoes score is a mere 41%. That said, some write-ups are singing the praises of Naomi Ackie as the iconic and troubled legend. I don't think it would've been impossible for Ackie to make the five in Best Actress. At this juncture, only Cate Blanchett (Tár) and Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once) have guaranteed spots in my opinion. Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans and Danielle Deadwyler for Till are probably in as well. The fifth slot could be Margot Robbie (Babylon), Viola Davis (The Woman King), Olivia Colman (Empire of Light), or a surprise.
It is probably too late for Ackie to be a factor. The Critics Choice and Globes skipped her and the Academy is unlikely to make her queen of the night. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…
Author toddmthatcherPosted on December 21, 2022 Categories Oscar PredictionsTags academy awards, Anthony McCarten, Ashton Sanders, Babylon, Bohemian Rhapsody, Cate Blanchett, Clarke Peters, Critics Choice Awards, Cynthia Erivo, Danielle Deadwyler, Darkest Hour, Eddie Redmayne, Empire of Light, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Gary Oldman, Golden Globes, Harriet, I Wanna Dance with Somebody, Kasi Lemmons, Margot Robbie, Michelle Williams, Michelle Yeoh, movies, Nafessa Williams, Naomi Ackie, Olivia Colman, Oscar Predictions, oscars, Rami Malek, Stanley Tucci, Tamara Tunie, Tár, The Fabelmans, The Theory of Everything, The Woman King, Till, Viola Davis, Whitney Houston, Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with SomebodyLeave a comment on Oscar Predictions – Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody
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text:
Q: Icon in Quasar Button Component does not change size The size Quasar Button component can be adjusted and from docs it seems the icon in a button should change size accordingly. See this picture for example from the docs:

When I try the icon stays same size (button changes). My code:
    <q-btn
      v-if="$route.name === 'resetpassword'"
      class="absolute-top-right"
      flat
      round
      wait-for-ripple
      dense
      size="15px"
      color="primary"
      icon="mdi-window-close"
      @click.native="goToSignIn"
    />

What's wrong?

A: 1. The Problem
I ran into the same problem today. But if you change the button size to an extreme number (e.g. 200px), you'll see that the icon DID change size with the button.
The problem is that the default padding area between the icon and the button is too big, which makes the icon look small comparing to the button itself.
2. The Solution
Here's how I solve it using Deep Selectors. You make a custom button component around your button code. Then give it following style:
<style scoped>
.q-btn>>>.q-icon {
  font-size: 40px;
}
</style>

And also give the size attribute in your template the same size, so size="40px". Then all aspects of the button have same size.
When using Vue with 3rd party UI Frameworks/Components, Deep Selector makes it really easy to make quick changes to component styles. And the changes can also be scoped (only change style locally) if you put the scoped keyword.

A: A good solution is to use q-icon inside q-btn for changing the size of the icon.
<q-btn size="xs" color="primary" dense>
    <q-icon name="add" size="15px"></q-icon>
</q-btn>

A: I used Quasar v2.0.4. With Quasar v2.0.4, you can change the icon(or button) size with size attribute.
For example:
<q-btn size="xl" icon="close" />

<q-btn size="100px" icon="close" />

But if you use size attribute with fab or fab-mini attribute , size attribute doesn't work, then, only fab or fab-mini attribute works instead of size attribute.
For example:
<q-btn size="xl" fab icon="close" />

<q-btn size="100px" fab-mini icon="close" />

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


Does the official version of Motion support Raspberry PI yet or do I still need to follow the manual installation by downloading code and moving directories etc.?
Also, I see that Motion for Rapsberry Pi installs it's own version of FFMPEG. Is it possible to add x.264 encoding to this version? If not, can I install another copy of FFMPEG that supports x.264 that won't conflict with Motion's FFMPEG?


Also happening next week: Let's Go Cycling! Bratislava with a screening of Mama Agatha on April 14.
The Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in Bratislava in cooperation with the National Cycling Coordinator and the Slovak Cycling Coalition invite all cycling fans to join us for the Cycling Festival Europe – "Bratislava: Let's go Cycling!".
Get on a bicycle and join us for the bicycle ride which will start at the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands (Frana Krala 5) to the Slovak Radio building (Mytna) where the new orange bicycle stand will be officially handed-over to the Mayor of Bratislava Ivo Nesrovnal.
← Current cycling weather in Lanzarote? Marvellous!


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Food security is a global issue and a growing concern in Larimer County. The Growing Project addresses this important issue by making fresh, nourishing, regional food more accessible to all through urban agriculture and education. The Growing Project accomplishes this through co-creating community gardens that increase the supply of fresh local produce; educational programs that provide knowledge and skills in community-building, nutrition, sustainable agriculture, permaculture, and self-sufficiency; and advocacy efforts that promote community access to food grown locally. Food justice for all!
Want to get involved in Community Gardening, Food Justice and Urban Agriculture? Volunteering is easy - contact info@thegrowingproject.org! Sign up for our regular newsletter to hear about events and volunteer opportunities or donate a little seed money with your PayPal account.
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text:
Rebecca Curtis
National Hunt Racing is a difficult business at the best of times and without putting too fine a point on it, even more so for the women in the industry. Successful women in horse racing can almost be counted on one hand – Jenny Pitman, Henrietta Knight, Lucinda Russell, Sue Smith and Venetia Williams are just a few of the more well known pioneering women who have broken the glass ceiling of horse training in recent years.
Thankfully, Rebecca Curtis has joined the ranks and as an up and coming race horse trainer is definitely one to watch, especially as her stable star Teaforthree made it all the way to both the 2013 and 2014 Grand National's.
[blockquote cite="Rebecca Curtis On Her Yard" type="center"]Here we have a very relaxed atmosphere which I don't mind because jobs do get done properly. People aren't under the same pressure as in bigger yards.
Curtis is an established horse rider, having show-jumped at international level for the Welsh junior team and managed to get her first job in racing with Peter Bowen. She then went to America where she worked for Richard Mandela and Dan Hendricks.
She trained her first winner in 2008 with Mango Catcher and went on to train eight winners in her first season in 2008/09 and followed it up with 25 winners the following season. The 2012-13 was her most successful to date with 49 winners and her success has attracted the patronage of one of the big names in jump racing, J P McManus and with that comes the services of Tony McCoy, who is often on the Curtis horses not owned by his principal employer.
With fantastic facilities, including a private beach at her disposal, Curtis is training horses in a very relaxed environment which seems to be doing the trick and her rise as a trainer in such a short space of time is testament to her hard work, dedication and natural ability.
Teaforthree is the Grand National runner currently in training with Rebecca and having finished third in the race in 2013, went into the 2014 renewal as a joint favourite with punters based on his solid performances throughout the season.
Unfortunately he couldn't improve upon his 2013 performance and managed to unseat his rider, Nick Scholfield, at the 15th fence in 2014.
May 20, 2014 /by Simone Wright
Tags: 2013 Grand National, Rebecca Curtis, Teaforthree, Trainer
http://www.grand-national.me.uk/wp-content/uploads/RebeccaCurtis-HR.jpg 450 800 Simone Wright http://www.grand-national.me.uk/wp-content/uploads/gn-logo2016green.png Simone Wright2014-05-20 07:52:542016-01-25 16:31:53Rebecca Curtis
Katenko Out Of the 2013 Grand National
David O'Meara
Henderson Looks For First National Win
20 Declared for Coral Welsh National 2013
Teaforthree
Henrietta Knight Retires
Vesper Bell The Package

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Finally we have proof that a David Williamson play can still provide the foundation for a great Australian film and that a new great Australian film, Face to Face, is indeed upon us, writes Luke Buckmaster.
Based in America in 2010, The Company Men is a GFC set drama about three men who face the boot at work. Comparisons with Jason Reitman's Up in the Air and its dark-side-of-corporate-life are inevitable, writes Luke Buckmaster.
Presenting the so-called feel good film of the year: a story about a mountain climber who cuts off his own arm. Director Danny Boyle's 127 Hours should inspire, but it doesn't, argues Luke Buckmaster.
Director Roger Michell's feel good comedy Morning Glory, set in the sleep deprived world of early morning TV broadcasting, demonstrates that Rachel McAdams can carry a movie and that Harrison Ford's career is very much in the doldrums, writes Luke Buckmaster.


Much has been written this past week on Breaking the Silence, one of NIF's many grantees. The crux of what they do has been obscured however in the fog of debate about this or that modus operandi or whether a particular press story was sufficiently contextualised.
BtS is trying to sensitise Israelis to the ways in which the occupation is having an impact on Israel's values, how it is growing like a cancer within Israel, affecting the way Israelis view Palestinians and Israel's Arab citizens, and the way they treat them. That's the heart of what BtS is about.
It's controversial. It shines a light on some Israeli practices that make us feel uncomfortable. But in the end I think it's very important to do that, to shine the light on these things...Something needs to be done about it. It's not going to get addressed unless there is some light shone on the problem. So what do we do in this situation? Do we ignore it because Israel has so many enemies and why should we give its critics more ammunition? Or do we say: Israel is a strong country and its real weakness will come from failing to confront these problems. I think the latter is the way we should address these things. That's a far more effective way of helping Israel than to attack the messenger and say how dare they do something to weaken Israel.
The New Israel Fund is not an organisation for everybody because it's inevitably going to be involved in edgy stuff. It can't achieve social progress otherwise. So there are going to be people who will feel more comfortable supporting more establishment organisations. And that's as it should be. We are all working for the same basic objective -- Israel's well-being. But there are others who care about social issues, who care about the strength of Israel's democracy, who care about equality in Israel. And for those people NIF is the best possible way to help Israel.
Viewed from Australia, what Breaking the Silence does may be confronting for some. But BtS is recognised as a legitimate NGO by the Israeli Government and we support, and acknowledge the courage of, these soldiers and former soldiers. They are all Israeli citizens and they serve their country in many ways, including by drawing attention to the corrosive effects of the occupation on all involved.
NIF and NIF Australia will continue to support Israelis working in hundreds of civil society organisations, including BtS, to uphold the democratic principles in Israel's Declaration of Independence.


Forge recently updated the JPC Cleaning website. Although the original website was smart and professional, it was cold, unwelcoming and impersonal. JPC wanted to show current and potential clients that they are more than just the average cleaning company - they are a family business who care for their staff, clients and community.
We used flash animations and a number of bright, bold images to draw people into the site and differentiate JPC from other cleaning companies. The site included the necessary information about JPC and their services, but we also emphasised their good work in the community to demonstrate their caring side. The copy was written with a familiar and friendly tone, in-keeping with the JPC principles.


Legacies on The CW at 9:00pm ET. Series premiere. This is a spin-off of The Vampire Diaries and The Originals, so literally nothing about the description will make any sense to me.
Tiny House, Big Living on DIY at 9:00pm ET. These are dark times and there's a lot of things to be worried about. But one thing we can always enjoy without worry is merciless mocking of Tiny House people.
Heathers on Paramount at 10:00pm ET. Two-hour series premiere. You think they managed to edit out all the really "yikes!" bits? I don't.
Welcome to Waverly on Bravo at 10:00pm ET. First season finale. You know how I know that Bravo didn't get the kind of drama it wanted out of this concept? Because they could only get four episodes out of six weeks of footage and ran them on consecutive days.
← 'A Million Little Things', Episode 5: We Know Who Is Pregnant, But Who Is the Father?


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text:
In Group C, Argentina bested Poland, 2-0, but both advanced to the knockout rounds. Poland was vaguely favored by the ZGWC, and–clearly–this vague endorsement paid off for the Poles. In the other match, Mexico ended Saudi Arabia's World Cup appearance, 2-1. Unfortunately, Mexico's tournament also ended at the same time. The Mexican federation promptly fired their manager, Tata Martino. Perhaps the Mexican people will also take the cue and fire their current president, the would-be autocrat AMLO.
In Group D, the favored Socceroos of Australia defeated Denmark, 1-nil, and thereby eliminated the Danes from the World Cup. This was a huge surprise, as many expected the Danes to win the group. Tunisia scored a historic victory over France, 1-0. It turned out to be a pyrrhic victory, though, as Tunisia finished in third place in the group. So long, Lions of Carthage.
Day 12 features the last day of competition in Groups E and F. In the Group of the Former Axis Powers, Costa Rica is heavily favored (at least by the ZGWC) over the Germans. A loss by the Germans would end their World Cup. At the same time, Japan will be taking on the Spaniards. The Blue Samurai are heavily favored here (again, probably only by the forlorn ZGWC).
In Group F, Canada is very slightly favored over Morocco. That being said, a Moroccan victory would be an acceptable result, as well. In the other game, the Blazers of Croatia will be seeking to defeat the much-reviled Belgians and send them crashing out of the World Cup. Let's see what tomorrow holds.
QOSHE - Zionist's Guide to the World Cup–Day 12 - Doug Klein
Zionist's Guide to the World Cup–Day 12
Doug Klein
The Times of Israel (Blogs)
Another day of white knuckles at the World Cup, but still good for the Zionist's Guide to the World Cup (ZGWC).
In Group C, Argentina bested Poland, 2-0, but both advanced to the knockout rounds. Poland was vaguely favored by the ZGWC, and–clearly–this vague endorsement paid off for the Poles. In the other match, Mexico ended Saudi Arabia's World Cup appearance, 2-1. Unfortunately, Mexico's tournament........
© The Times of Israel (Blogs)