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How Russia can deal with the supply of Western weapons to the Armed Forces of Ukraine
The collective West began to forcefully rearm Ukraine to fight Russia. Recently, there have been many messages on the Web about fixing the appearance or use of various samples of this "help" in the combat zone.
In this regard, the question of what to do with enemy logistics has become relevant for the RF Armed Forces. The answer is known - it is necessary to stop its existence or reduce it to the maximum possible level. However, this in turn raises a number of other related questions. But they come down to just two possible solutions.
The first, which seems to be the simplest for the inhabitants, but at the same time the most unpredictable in its consequences, is that if Moscow is not interested in Right-Bank Ukraine, then Russian troops need to destroy the 21 remaining uncontrolled bridges across the Dnieper River. This means: 9 road bridges (2 of which are also used as a metro bridge), 6 passing over the hydroelectric power station (some of them have railway tracks), 4 railway bridges, 7 combined (road and rail). The pedestrian bridge in Kyiv should not be destroyed, as it technique can not pass, but for humanitarian reasons, it is simply necessary.
Destroying only part of the bridges is pointless. However, the destruction of bridges over the hydroelectric power station must be carried out very carefully, because the higher this structure is located along the Dnieper, the more filigree the work should be done. And you can't make a mistake, since dams that collapse under the pressure of water according to the domino principle are extremely dangerous. They will not only wash away the cities of Ukraine with a multi-million population into the Black Sea, but also the grouping of the RF Armed Forces in the Kherson region.
Therefore, another option is preferable, especially if Moscow has views of the Right Bank, or at least part of it. It is enough to look at the map of Ukraine to understand that the main headache lies in the sections of the Polish-Ukrainian and Slovak-Ukrainian borders. These are the entry points for "help" and there are far fewer of them than the bridges on the Dnieper. It is from here that weapons spread like a fan across Ukraine. But you can "iron" the area here without stint. Further, along the border of Ukraine, there is only sane Hungary, the dense Carpathian Mountains and the Danube River and its tributary Prut (Romania is not eager to become a weapons hub).
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Offline cheburator
cheburator (Cheburator) April 24 2022 21: 01
So work brothers! Procrastination is like death!
Offline Observer2014
Observer2014 April 24 2022 21: 08
Calmly. Communications. Ukraine needs? Well, if you don't need it, then there will be no railway, auto, transportation.
Offline Bakht
Bakht (Bakhtiyar) April 24 2022 21: 39
Declare martial law in the country. Temporarily, due to martial law, introduce a ban on the sale of ANY goods abroad. Primarily oil, gas, coal. Until the end of the war in Ukraine. Lower the Iron Curtain. This will require the mobilization of society. As long as the Government has a vote of confidence from 80% of society, this must be done.
The war (we must call a spade a spade) has been going on for two months (the third one has begun). The resources of the collective West and Russia are incomparable. This is a dragon war. The West will grow new heads for the Ukrainian dragon.
Offline EMMM
EMMM April 25 2022 23: 22
Bakhtiyar, it's not that simple. So far, there is no war for our citizens, and we must understand this.
A ban on the export of coal, oil / oil products and gas, I will add from myself and forests - 100% for! And in a couple of months we will look at the reaction of our partners ...
The fact that officially there is no war is the problem. But in reality there is a war.
Russia will lose the war if it maintains relations with "partners".
It's all very simple. There is no complex politics here.
Offline ZmikeV
ZmikeV (Michael) April 27 2022 19: 23
Quote: Bakht
No complicated politics here
there's a complicated economy here
Oh sure. Therefore, the military must do their duty on the battlefield. And the political leadership to transfer the war to the economic front.
This morning the gas price was $1350.
A 17% drop in oil production in Russia is predicted. This is a minus of almost 2 million barrels per day. It's time to stop shipping oil to India.
Falling production only as a result of falling demand. Do not stop shipping, but look for new consumers.
New customers are good. But who needs extra oil?
Let's say India is the largest oil importer. Over the past two months, India has doubled its purchase of Russian oil. And she became ... an exporter of oil.
The scheme is simple. India buys Russian oil at a 20% discount. Approximately $80 per barrel. And sells it to the UK. Which officially refused Russian oil. Or "Latvian oil" appeared, which comes to Rotterdam from Shell. By the way, Shell also refused Russian oil. But from somewhere I found "Latvian oil".
That is, in fact, Russia continues to supply Europe with oil, but on the cheap.
Offline Oleg_5
Oleg_5 (Oleg) April 24 2022 22: 00
It would be nice to deal with the supply of fuel.
If it doesn't happen, nothing will work...
Reports appeared in the information field that Russian oil and oil products are coming to Ukraine. They are transported by tankers from Novorossiysk to the Moldavian port of Giurgiurlesti on the Danube, bordering Ukraine. In particular, the passage along this route of the petrochemical tanker Heather IMO 9514456 with a cargo of diesel and oil products was documented, which finished loading in Novorossiysk on April 17, and arrived at the Moldovan port on April 21.
Around the Kremlin, it is reported that Putin's meetings with Tokarev, the head of Transneft, and an hour and a half conversation with Alekperov, president of PJSC Lukoil, after which the latter announced his sudden resignation, may be connected with these circumstances.
Offline Hayer31
Hayer31 (Kashchei) April 24 2022 22: 03
I do not understand ?? newspapers or TV should remind where to beat??
The Europeans said that they would hand over heavy equipment, the next day the rockets were supposed to fly to bridges and along the railway. Well, we don't have generals, huh???? G.
Offline Alexey Davydov
Alexey Davydov (Alexey) April 24 2022 22: 50
With deliveries, all options result in continued depletion of precision-guided weapons, which is unacceptable given the West's willingness to wear us down to exhaustion.
They broke their paths - they fixed it and again you need to break it.
Now we are breaking up in places of concentration in warehouses - so the return on the use of high-precision weapons is greater. However, it is still wasteful to spend it on "scrap".
This whole operation of the West to exhaust us is vicious.
I admit that we could not dodge it, but we must understand that it does not give us anything with the States.
The key to solving the situation is in the States and it is necessary to act directly on them. And there is only one instrument of influence - the threat and nuclear war
The comment was deleted.
Offline Smilodon terribilis nimis
Smilodon terribilis nimis April 25 2022 00: 24
This works both ways. The West is also dwindling. In addition, tactical nuclear weapons are not involved. Namely, it will be applied in the event of a confrontation with the West.
This works both ways. The West is also dwindling.
It disposes of its Soviet-made weapons in Ukraine. He re-equips his armies with modern ones - at our expense (stolen assets), loading his military-industrial complex with orders. Is that what you want to say?
For the West, now is the moment of truth in the thousand-year war with the Slavic civilization, even if sacrifices are needed on their part, they will not stop.
In addition, tactical nuclear weapons are not involved. Namely, it will be applied in the event of a confrontation with the West.
And here you are wrong. Tactical nuclear weapons means war in Europe. Such a scenario interests the States, but not us - to weaken Europe and make even more money on weapons.
Our only option is the threat of nuclear war and destruction of the United States itself - the author and source of all our problems
Such a scenario assumes the disappearance of the States from the European arena. Do you think they agree to this? Unlikely. Indeed, in this case, their strongest ally, the Britons, will collapse. And about the modern - where is the money, Zin? Eating here would be fine. Not for weapons.
[/ quote] [quote] Such a scenario assumes the disappearance of the States from the European arena. Do you think they agree to this?
I think that the States have already made their choice of the theater of a possible big war in favor of the territory of Europe. In any case, they want to keep their territory.
As for the UK, it also does not consider itself to be in Europe and thinks to sit out across the English Channel like the States behind their puddle. Its own nuclear weapons will help it to fence itself off from these European problems.
And about the modern - where is the money, Zin? Eating here would be fine. Not for weapons.
I already answered earlier. Nothing needs to be printed - there are our stolen assets
How can she sit out if she is closer than the State and she has an insignificant arsenal? Naglia is one of the first to go for meat. I'm not sure that the States want and understand about a big war. Remember when the Cornmaker wanted to launch a hedgehog in Florida, they quickly found an opportunity to curtail the impending apocalypse.
I do not think that the States are so stupid and do not understand the consequences of such a disaster for themselves. This is rather a game "weakly".
Our assets are a one-time antibiotic. Given the approaching catastrophe, including with food, they will not cover even 30%.
Offline Ivan IV Vasilievich
Ivan IV Vasilievich (Ivan IV Vasilyevich) April 25 2022 01: 47
Quote: Alexey Davydov
Broke their way - they fixed it
How long does it take to restore a capital railway bridge? At least two months. But something can still fly there in the process of "reconstruction", this music can generally be eternal). It will be impossible to carry anything across this bridge for at least two months!
The key to solving the situation is in the States
sure it's not there. In London. The USA does not show such zeal as England. Yes, you can see for yourself if you carefully read the news and analyze the information.
If approached abstractly.
Specifically, it all depends on the number of damaged load-bearing structures at the facility that require replacement or reinforcement. Larger destruction requires spending more high-precision weapons. As for time, there is a war going on not only for us.
Speaking of the States, I meant the center of power of the collective West. I assume the UK is included. Basically, it doesn't change anything.
I will add to the question of England.
I envision it like this:
Spear point (consumable) - Ukraine
Shaft - Poland
Hand holding a spear in armor English Channel - England
Enemy in the armor of the Atlantic - States
Since the hand is working, the enemy may not indicate all his actions
Offline Manufacturing Department
Manufacturing Department (Production Department) April 25 2022 06: 56
As far as I understand, we pass all weapons into the meat grinder of war, where we calmly grind everything in a hurry to minimize the humanitarian catastrophe in Ukraine.
Except that we are neutralizing one of the enemy's most dangerous bridgeheads for ourselves. Other than that, unfortunately
Offline viktor goblin
viktor goblin (viktor goblin) April 25 2022 00: 38
Declare war! With all the consequences for the "partners". How much snot can you chew? Got everyone! BE-ME-no cook-river. Calibers will run out - and ... Put things in order in your Country - then climb with the "Russian World"! Where is ONE success? Basmachi betrayed! CSTO at the expense of its ..... DB .. cubed! GDP is not "real".
Offline GIS
GIS (Ildus) April 25 2022 08: 57
did not understand many of the words. can be more?
Offline Roust
Roust (Rouslan) April 25 2022 07: 45
Bomb all railway junctions and main highways in the west of the ruins.
In fairness, I must say that the railway track and bridge structures are the most difficult target for precision weapons. Its cross section for a direct hit is extremely small, and resistance to shock waves and other factors, on the contrary, is very high. This is a pure structural element. What is the rail, what is the beam of the bridge. Therefore, the consumption of precision-guided munitions, which have a much higher CEP, is probably very high. And the result? A repair train has arrived - 6 hours of work and you can send a new aviation outfit. I think that it is more economical to hollow out in places of concentration in warehouses, although some of the weapons are stored there.
The real decision was - at the very beginning to present an ultimatum to Poland about the hub that was just appearing there, with the threat of fire impact.
We got scared. But in vain
Offline alexey alexeyev_2
alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) April 25 2022 12: 01
Well, if you conduct a full-scale "rail war" as in 43g. Then they will not have enough repair trains. And for the protection of railway tracks and bridges, it is necessary to allocate at least 10 percent of the APU.
It remains to find Zaslonov together with a detachment in western Ukraine
Well, you know .. our MTR forces are also not made with a finger. Yes, and the Wagner guys are dashing. And send them to western Ukraine like two fingers on the asphalt
I admit that some of us, simple sinners, honestly working in our fields, far from politics and military issues, could not see the consequences of such cowardice.
But the professionals sitting in government and headquarters were OBLIGED to understand the further course of events.
There is nothing unusual in it, requiring "brilliant foresight". It turns out - they deliberately went to such consequences, and (or) turned out to be incompetent
bring down at least one span of the bridge - and it is incapacitated. Here, no one is talking about breaking the paths themselves (which can be restored in a few hours). I would look at those Stakhanovites who will put the span of the reinforced concrete bridge in place at least in a week. A bridge is not a target that can be missed with high-precision. The Americans in Yugoslavia superimposed very precisely, and this was more than 20 years ago
To be honest, some "patriotic experts" surprise me. In some cases, their "Caliber" or KAB fly right "through the window", in others they cannot get into the bridge. You already somehow decide for yourself, and be objective
I would look at those Stakhanovites who will put the span of the reinforced concrete bridge in place at least in a week.
Railway bridges are usually metal truss and beam structures. Small single-span - well amenable to repair and restoration. Whether there are multi-span bridges there - I don't know, I won't lie.
bring down at least one span of the bridge - and it is incapacitated. Here, no one is talking about breaking the paths themselves (which can be restored in a few hours).
The bridge is a difficult target, the pilots will tell you that. And getting into it and destroying it is much more difficult than a warehouse. It is a fact. This time.
Bridges on supply routes for the enemy are strategic objects, there are few of them, and, unlike rails, they can be well protected by air defense systems. This is two.
So you and I get: a complex target that requires more consumption of high-precision weapons, exposure time and a longer stay in the air defense zone, and the object air defense itself, many times strengthened.
In the face of the alternative - the destruction of weapons in places of concentration in warehouses, if we are forced to save precision-guided munitions - our choice is clear.
But the situation itself is fucking
The bridge is a difficult target, the pilots will tell you that. And get into it
free-falling bombs - no doubt. This has been proven by history. But not by KABs or guided missiles. You seem to hear no one but yourself. Or you justify those who, for some reason, do not want to deprive the enemy of supplies from abroad.
A difficult goal is the ineffectiveness of remote weapons and our losses of aircraft and pilots
When they want, all problems can be solved (and you sit and suck it out of your finger)
Today in Odessa, a missile attack was carried out on the critical railway bridge in Zatoka. This bridge clogs the entire southern Bessarabia.
Previously, strikes were made on railway bridges in the region of Dnepropetrovsk
Only it was necessary to do this from the very beginning, and strike not separately, but in one gulp. There are not so many critically important bridges, just over 20. Tales about a missile not hitting a bridge can be told elsewhere. As well as the fact that 500 kg is not enough to destroy the span.
Offline Vdars
Vdars (Victor) April 26 2022 16: 03
Here everything rests on the "boring matter of probability theory"!
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MoboReader
MoboReader > Fantasy > Splintered: The Society Book 3
Splintered: The Society Book 3
Author:Valerie Gaumont
First Published:2019-06-12
Genres:Fantasy
Reads:479
Words:87278
Score: 5.0 (0)
Contents ( 30 )
Chapter 10 10
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Money Darling Mouse
Sealed With Love Gu Xiaoshi
Truly Insanely Deeply Jiuye Fenglin
Time Travelling: My Love from the Royal Family Sha Manyao
The Journey Adeyemi mariam
Seventh Deadly Sin Julie Summer
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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Within sub-Nordid range i. m. h. o., with Nordid strongly predominating. Enough to consider her Central Nordish. Opinions?
she looks scandinavian for me.
Do I need glasses or is it not the same girl as in that other thread with the Nordish Swede and her child.
No, it's not her. Not a trick question either.
And, she'll get a similar classification from me: Nordid + either Alpine or Borreby which yields a shorter faced, smoother and rounder countenance which some call a Subnordic.
I had a similar looking girl in my class in Vienna, she was just no as nice looking as she does.
She is Nordid with minor Alpine admixture.
I'm not sure I understand the Nordish concept too well. I thought, genotype aside, any non-Nordish element discernible in the phenotype causes the subject to be classified as Periferal Nordish, although on McCulloch's Nordish Scale, the most distinct Periferal Nordish is ranked higher than some Central Nordish individuals.
Do especially desirable traits, such as this young woman's blondeness, trump that rule?
Last edited by Louky; Friday, February 13th, 2004 at 07:40 PM.
i would say she is german. You can find many girls of this type in the south western part of Germany. Gracile features in combination with blond hair.


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Revision as of 14:28, 10 November 2019 by TheAlmightyGuru (talk | contribs)
Like most Americans, I did not have access to this game when it came out or even know of its existence. However, many years after its release, I found a translated ROM hack and began playing it. I played the game about half way through and enjoyed it, but the job system was very difficult for the completionist in me to take, and I became bored constantly trying to level up all my characters. At some point, I lost my save game file and gave up on it. After several more years, I restarted the game with the Final Fantasy Anthology version for PlayStation and beat the game.
I do not own this game, but I beat the Anthology version on 2019-11-10.
The fade out of slain bosses is really cool looking.
Games I've Beaten


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February 20, 2017 by camtechview
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Those are pretty standard features for a securtiy camera, but where D-Link's Omna shines is HomeKit integration. The camera can play an integral role in your iOS Home scenes, like turning on the lights in your home when the Omna detects movement. You can also control the camera using Siri, though it's hard to imagine a situation where that would be useful. You can also watch a feed of outdoor activity on the Home app for Apple TV, which is another feature we can't really imagine using that much.
One really neat feature that does sound useful is a rich notification on your iPhone lock screen when the camera detects movement. That notification will show you a live feed from the camera, which is an example of the ease that exemplifies Apple's ecosystem. This is how they lock you in.
HomeKit could use more products, but the market is growing. D-Link's security camera is a solid addition. Stay tuned for a full review of the camera.
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Albemarle County property assessment values decline on average
Chiara Canzi
1/31/11 at 12:00 AM
Reassessments will be mailed this week to county and city residents. In Albemarle, overall assessed values declined 1.24 percent, excluding new construction.
A slightly smaller decline, .98 percent, was reported in commercial property values and multifamily properties. On average, the value of residential properties declined 1.72 percent—meaning that a house assessed at $200,000 in 2010 dropped to $196,560 if it followed the average trend. To check assessments on individual properties, click here.
Changes to assessments show the Rio District with a 1.1 percent decline, Jack Jouett with a .75 percent decline, Rivanna with the smallest decline at .08 percent, Samuel Miller with a 1.53 percent decline, Scottsville with a 3.4 percent decline, While Hall with a .86 percent decline, and the Town of Scottsville with a 1.53 percent decline.
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Birthday Bowie: In the mid-'80s, a Jim Henson and George Lucas film collaboration was guaranteed to generate big buzz—tack on the casting of rock star/actor David Bowie, and the anticipation was palpable. The musical fantasy Labyrinth follows the journey of a teenage girl through a maze to
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Band of brothers: With a sound beyond their years, you'd never guess that the Heetderks brothers are all under age 17. Picking out traditional bluegrass and gospel as The Earlysville Bluegrass Boys, David (banjo, dobro), John (mandolin, fiddle), and Daniel (guitar, bass) have made a name for
PICK: Wildrock's Winter Wonderland Trail
Get out together: Some of the best aspects of the season are on display during a tour of Wildrock's Winter Wonderland Trail. Track animals and learn their survival habits, get an up-close look at snowflake patterns, and play a woodland game to match gnome mittens. Small groups can make a
Looking up: Laura Wooten's 'View from the Ridge' offers 99 visions of hope
By Sarah	Sargent	| LEAVE A COMMENT
She paints the same view day after day, recording the subtle and great changes of hour, season, and weather. Her subject is both profoundly familiar to her and constantly changing. Laura Wooten's "View from the Ridge" at Second Street Gallery features 90 small paintings (8 inches x 8 inches)


The ultimate compendium of a half century of the best music, now revised and updated. 1001 Albums You Must Hear Before You Die is a highly readable list of the best, the most important, and the most influential pop albums from 1955 through today. Carefully selected by a team of international critics and some of the best-known music reviewers and commentators, each album is a groundbreaking work seminal to the understanding and appreciation of music from the 1950s to the present. Included with each entry are production details and credits as well as reproductions of original album cover art. Perhaps most important of all, each album featured comes with an authoritative description of its importance and influence.
Robert Dimery is a writer and editor who has worked for numerous magazines, including Time Out and Vogue.
Michael Lydon was a founding editor of Rolling Stone. His books include Rock Folk, Boogie Lightning, and Ray Charles: Man and Music.
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Expat from US now living in Australia after 8 years in the UK (and a short stay in Hamburg, Germany). Stay-at-home mother. Three darling children–Alex 6, Sofia 8.5 years and baby Serafina. One busy husband, Tom. This is mainly my blog that was meant to be about being an expat and travelling, but morphed into being mostly about my kids and staying in touch with friends and family. I am trying to refocus on the expat and travel parts of it. We have been in Australia for six years now and we have finally started doing some travel after Alex turned two. We have visited Perth and other parts of Western Australia, Melbourne, Hobart, road trip from Adelaide to Melbourne, Brisbane, Canberra, up and down the coast a bit, New Zealand and a few South Pacific Islands: Fiji, Tahiti and Mo'orea, Cook Islands (Rarotonga and Aitutaki). Once a year we make our way back to the Motherland to see friends and family. Since our families live all over the US and we don't have a base there anymore, home is where we live in the present. We adjust to where we live and immerse ourselves in the local culture as best as we can.
Tom has started contributing to this blog during all of the work travels he does. So if you see some random photos from places like New Zealand, China, Singapore, Japan, etc then it is most likely Tom sharing some of his travels….for it is his job that has taken us around the world.


The UK plans to phase out petrol and diesel cars by 2040, while Volvo will stop producing petrol cars in 2019.
THE UK HAS announced plans to phase out the selling of new petrol and diesel cars by 2040, just a few weeks after France unveiled similar proposals.
The plans aim to reduce air pollution and carbon emissions, by switching to more environmentally-friendly modes of transport.
So, today we're asking you: Will your next car be an electric car?
Email "Poll: Will your next car be an electric car?".
Feedback on "Poll: Will your next car be an electric car?".


In Jesus' Sermon on the Mount in Matthew 7 he forcefully deals with a judgmental spirit which often gets in the way of resolving conflict. Often when we try to resolve conflict, it doesn't go well because we've not prepared our heart beforehand. I've found these 5 heart benchmarks crucial to prepare my heart before I attempt to resolve a relational conflict.
Benchmark 1… Attitude: I have a constructive one.
When Jesus tells us in Matthew 7.1 to not judge, he's not prohibiting what judges do in the court room nor saying we can't call sin sin. Neither is he saying that we should never confront another about their unhealthy or destructive behavior. Rather, He's speaking against what we'd call a judgmental, morally superior, or hypercritical spirit that He often saw in the scribes and Pharisees. Before we deal with a conflict, we must examine our attitude to make sure our goals for doing so are constructive and corrective rather than critical and condemning.
Sometimes a judgmental spirit shows up in a subtle way when we take delight in the misfortune of others. The Germans coined a word for this experience, schadenfreude (shod-en-trod-a). When we take delight in another's misfortune, our brain actually releases dopamine, one of the feel-good neurotransmitters, into our brain's pleasure center. So, the next time you take subtle delight in the misfortune of the person with whom you face conflict, you're probably doing what Jesus said we should avoid.
Benchmark 2… Fairness: I'm using a fair standard.
In verse 2 Jesus says, For in the same way you judge others, you will be judged, and with the measure you use, it will be measured to you. This is another way of explaining how the golden rule works. What goes around, comes around.
Before we attempt to resolve a conflict, we must check the standard of fairness we're applying that we hope the other person will apply with us.
Benchmark 3… Introspection: I've looked within.
Jesus used an exaggerated metaphor of a guy trying to take the speck out of another's eye when he himself had a log sticking out of his own eye. He was illustrating that as ludicrous as that image appears, it's just as ridiculous to be judgmental and picky toward somebody with whom we have a conflict when we have not faced up to our own sin and responsibility in the conflict. So, we must first look within. Otherwise, we can become so obsessed with the other person's issues that we miss the really big stuff in us.
The next benchmark is a close cousin to this one.
Benchmark 4… Responsibility: I've owned my part in the conflict.
In verse 5 Jesus says that we must first take the plank out of our own eye. In other words, before we can address another's contribution to the conflict, we must own what we've done that has contributed to the conflict.
Jesus even includes the concept in one of the beatitudes where he says, Matt. 5.4 Blessed are those who mourn, for they will be comforted. (Matt. 4.4) He looks with favor on genuine repentance.
Benchmark 5… Discernment: I've counted the cost.
The dogs and pigs He refers to are not cute puppies nor pet potbelly pigs. They represent mangy, wild dogs and pigs that would just as soon rip you apart as anything. Jesus uses an exaggerated picture of a man holding precious pearls trying to convince the dogs and pigs that his pearls are valuable. Doing so is fruitless because such animals only care about getting food and would rip you into pieces were you to get in their way. Pigs and dogs don't appreciate valuable things.
Here's His point. It may not be worth the price to attempt reconciliation. It may be better to yield your rights that you are morally and legally justified to receive. It may be the wisest choice not to confront. For by doing so, you may simply make things worse. Some people will reject you no matter how well-meaning you are, how concerned you are for them, or how well you prepared your heart. With such people, don't force the issue. Practice discernment and count the cost.
On the other hand, it may be costly as well to not attempt reconciliation. Bitterness and a further unraveling of the relationship could result if you don't attempt reconciliation. The longer you go without attempting to work through conflict, the more the issues can fester that can poison and destroy a relationship. Refusing to seek relational reconciliation may bring a lot of hidden costs. Again, practice discernment and count the cost.
Resolving conflict is never easy. But the chances of successful resolution increase when we appropriately prepare our heart.
How have you prepared your heart before attempting to resolve a conflict?
 MacArthur, J. F., Jr. (1985). Matthew (p. 434). Chicago: Moody Press.


text:
Transformational deals in trucking during 2022
Deal flow in the transportation and logistics space slowed notably in 2022 as the economy cooled. Investors have become more risk averse, minimizing exposure to companies with less-proven track records, as interest rates have soared and credit markets have tightened.
Through November, transaction values in the industry totaled $52 billion across 380 deals compared with 600 deals for $181 billion in total during 2021, according to a report from global investment bank Houlihan Lokey (NYSE: HLI).
Even with the slowdown, 2022 will come in ahead of full years 2018 and 2020 as many operators continue to use a sustained stretch of record earnings and cash flows to build out their transportation offerings through M&A.
Trucking saw some transformational deals in 2022. Here's a recap.
Heartland doubled in size this summer
Heartland Express (NASDAQ: HTLD) was on the M&A trail in a big way during 2022, acquiring two large truckload carriers in rapid succession.
In June, it announced the $170 million acquisition of Smith Transport, a dry van carrier primarily operating east of the Mississippi River. The transaction onboarded approximately 850 tractors and 2,000 dry van trailers.
Two months later, Heartland became the eighth-largest TL fleet in the nation when it acquired assets from Contract Freighters Inc. (CFI). The $525 million deal included CFI's TL unit, which primarily operates on the North-South corridor in the Midwest, and its logistics business in Mexico. With 2,100 tractors and 8,000 dry van and temperature-controlled trailers, the transaction was Heartland's largest on record.
The assets were purchased from Canadian transportation heavyweight TFI International (NYSE: TFII) and did not include CFI's dedicated fleet or its brokerage operations in the U.S.
Both deals were executed at roughly a 5x enterprise value-to-adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization multiple and were expected to be immediately accretive to Heartland's earnings. The acquired fleets performed at a low-90s operating ratio in the third quarter. Heartland expects the fleets to be running at a low-80s OR within three years as revenue and cost synergies take hold.
Post the transactions, Heartland's network includes 5,550 tractors and 17,800 trailers, which generate $1.3 billion in annual revenue.
Heartland acquires dry van truckload carrier Smith Transport
Heartland Express acquires CFI assets for $525 million
Heartland Express embarks on its biggest challenge yet
USA Truck now part of DB Schenker
Shareholders of TL carrier USA Truck cashed in during the best-ever trucking cycle. After years of being tethered to a high debt burden, which in part led to financial underperformance relative to peers, the fleet was sold to German 3PL DB Schenker in September.
The $435 million price tag represented a 118% premium to USA Truck's share price and roughly 5x trailing 12 months' adjusted EBITDA.
USA Truck was profitable on and off during its time as a public company. However, a recent turnaround plan to transform the carrier into a regional operation was boosted tremendously by a sustained trucking upcycle during the pandemic. Efforts to trim the fleet count to a level where it could avoid dependency on the spot market and reprice underwater contracts with shippers pushed the carrier solidly into the black.
During the 2022 first quarter, its last quarterly report as a public carrier, USA Truck's trimmed-down TL segment ran at an 87% adjusted OR.
DB Schenker said it will use the fleet to market directly to the Eastern half of the U.S. and it will roll up USA Truck's brokerage platform under its existing logistics offering.
German 3PL DB Schenker buying USA Truck for $435 million
Done deal: USA Truck now part of DB Schenker
XPO breakup nears completion, brokerage spun off
XPO (NYSE: XPO) moved forward with a plan to break up a decade's worth of acquisitions in 2022. The company spun off its brokerage unit, RXO (NYSE: RXO), in November, making the nation's fourth-largest TL broker a stand-alone company.
RXO's asset-light platform, which also includes managed transportation, freight forwarding and last-mile offerings, generates more than $5 billion in annual revenue. The company's brokerage unit connects shippers to a network of approximately 100,000 carriers and over 1.5 million trucks in North America.
XPO sold an intermodal business in March and spun off its contract logistics business, GXO (NYSE: GXO), last year.
The last piece of the strategy included the sale of a $3 billion European transportation business, making the remaining XPO a pure-play less-than-truckload carrier. However, that divestiture was pulled in early December due to the deterioration in European capital markets as macroeconomic uncertainties have slowed deal flow.
XPO's management still believes capacity, tech and service investments in the LTL segment will allow the company to hit previously provided long-term financial targets.
XPO breakup advances, intermodal unit sold to STG Logistics
XPO, RXO financial targets imply no letup through 2027
Done deal: XPO completes spinoff of brokerage unit RXO
Truckload broker RXO ready to take on market alone
XPO pulls divestiture of European transportation unit
XPO sees multiple paths to grow LTL earnings
STG becomes top port drayage provider
STG Logistics vertically integrated its containerized logistics portfolio by acquiring XPO's intermodal unit. The $1.3 billion March deal onboarded a considerable amount of equipment helping to minimize STG's reliance on third-party providers of drayage and intermodal capacity.
The transaction included 48 locations, 11,000 containers, 2,200 tractors (owner-operators) and 5,200 chassis. The unit generated $1.2 billion in revenue during 2021 performing mostly intermodal drayage and rail brokerage services. Now STG boasts a port-to-door logistics offering for containerized goods.
STG is now the top port drayage provider with transload capabilities in every major port in the U.S., and the fourth-largest asset-based intermodal marketing company. It has more than 2,700 trucks and 15,000 containers in the network, generating more than $2 billion in revenue and $250 million in EBITDA.
As part of the deal, STG was recapitalized by Wind Point Partners, which acquired it 2016, and funds from Oaktree Capital Management. The two private equity firms are now equal partners in STG.
XPO netted cash proceeds of approximately $710 million.
After XPO deal, STG CEO sees 'perfect storm' of opportunity
Werner keeps making deals
Werner Enterprises (WERN: NASDAQ) stayed on the M&A hunt in 2022. Acquisitions were not part of the carrier's capital deployment strategy in its first 66 years of existence. However, under new leadership it has executed two deals in each of the past two years.
The company added 200 trucks and 980 trailers to its one-way operation in October by acquiring Baylor Trucking. Baylor operates out of two terminals in the eastern and southern parts of the central U.S. Financial terms of the transaction were not disclosed, but the carrier was generating annual revenue of $81.5 million at the time, which is not overly impactful to Werner's $2.4 billion TL platform.
However, less than a month later, Werner made a big addition to its logistics platform by acquiring ReedTMS Logistics for $112 million.
ReedTMS is a midsize TL and freight broker boasting a platform of 70,000 carriers, generating $372 million in revenue. The deal also included a temperature-controlled asset-based fleet with 130 trucks and 775 trailers, which accounts for only 10% of total revenue.
The addition of ReedTMS to Werner's logistics unit pushes the division's revenue to more than $1.1 billion.
Both of Werner's 2022 deals are expected to be accretive to earnings in year one.
Werner acquires Baylor Trucking in latest deal
Werner acquires ReedTMS Logistics in $112M deal
Large refrigerated fleets combine
One of the biggest temperature-controlled fleets in the nation was formed when Hirschbach announced in February it was buying John Christner Trucking (JCT). Financial terms of the transaction were not disclosed, but the combined entity includes more than 3,000 trucks, 5,000 trailers and $1 billion in revenue.
JCT's fleet of 800 tractors runs primarily on the West Coast and from coast to coast in the South, which fits nicely with Hirschbach's mostly east of the Rocky Mountains operations. JCT's $350 million in annual revenue also included a $150 million brokerage operation.
The deal gave Hirschbach a logistics platform, and JCT has been able to access Hirschbach's dedicated offering and large trailer pools.
Temperature-controlled carrier Hirschbach acquires John Christner Trucking
Maersk adds final-mile platform in $1.8B deal
A.P. Moller – Maersk (MAERB.C.EB) continued to gobble up U.S. assets, acquiring Pilot Freight Services, the second-largest residential big and bulky delivery company in the U.S.
Pilot provides first-, middle- and final-mile transportation out of 87 facilities throughout North America using an asset-light network of third-party TL and LTL providers. The company also provides managed transportation services for expedited freight.
The $1.8 billion deal valued Pilot at roughly 13 times forward EBITDA. Pilot was generating $1.5 billion in revenue at the time of the February deal announcement.
The transaction was one of several that have allowed Maersk to transform from its roots as a shipping line into a global logistics provider with U.S. domestic land-based offerings. Prior deals included the acquisitions of warehousing and distribution company Performance Team and e-commerce fulfillment provider Visible SCM. Maersk now has more than 150 facilities in the U.S.
Maersk adds US final-mile network in $1.8B deal
More FreightWaves articles by Todd Maiden
EFW, project44 launch rating API giving LTL shippers expedited options
Lazer Logistics adds yard management assets in latest deal
The post Transformational deals in trucking during 2022 appeared first on FreightWaves.


text:
Imprint: Michael Joseph
Translated works
The Deal Of A Lifetime
The Nile Mighty Ape Fishpond Whitcoulls The Warehouse Paper Plus
Find local retailers
It is Christmas Eve and a father and son are meeting for the first time in years.
The father has a story he needs to share before it's too late. As he tells his son about a courageous little girl lying in a hospital bed a few miles away, he reveals even more about himself; his past regrets, his hopes for the future.
Now, on Christmas Eve, he has been given the chance to do something remarkable that could change the destiny of the little girl he hardly knows. But before he can make the deal of a lifetime, he must find out what his own life has actually been worth, and only his son can reveal the answer.
With humour and compassion, Fredrik Backman's The Deal of a Lifetime reminds us that life is a fleeting gift, and our legacies rest in how we share that gift with those we love.
Fredrik Backman is a Swedish blogger, columnist and author. He is the Number One New York Times bestselling author of A Man Called Ove, and top ten bestsellers My Grandmother Sends Her Regards and Apologises and Britt-Marie Was Here, as well as a novella, And Every Morning the Way Home Gets Longer and Longer. His books are published in more than thirty-five countries and he has sold over seven million copies. The Scandal - published as Beartown in the US - is being adapted for TV by the team behind The Bridge. Fredrik lives in Stockholm, Sweden, with his wife and two children.
Also by Fredrik Backman
Anxious People
The Inseparables
The Morning Star
Karl Ove Knausgaard
The Master and Margarita (Vintage Classic Russians Series)
The Thursday Murder Club
Daisy Jones and The Six
The Spy's Wife
Fiona McIntosh
A Slow Fire Burning
The Jealousy Man
Damon Galgut
You and Me on Vacation
We Were Never Here
Judy Nunn


text:
Why it is a good thing to question the materialistic anti-ID position
The following sums up the materialistic anti-ID position:
If the solar system was brought about by an accidental collision, then the appearance of organic life on this planet was also an accident, and the whole evolution of Man was an accident too. If so, then all our present thoughts are mere accidents - the accidental by-product of the movement of atoms. And this holds for the thoughts of the materialists and astronomers as well as for anyone else's. But if their thoughts - i.e., of Materialism and Astronomy - are merely accidental by-products, why should we believe them to be true?
I see no reason for believing that one accident should be able to give me a correct account of all the other accidents.
It's like expecting that the accidental shape taken by the splash when you upset a milk-jug should give you a correct account of how the jug was made and why it was upset.--CS Lewis
added via edit:
Over on the ARN Discussion Board Bertvan has linked to this site. A few anti-IDists have responded with babbling nonsense so I will clarify (again)-
The materialistic anti-ID position is nothing more than "sheer-dumb-luck" and that includes the laws that govern our physical realm. The Earth/ Moon system? The "scientific" explanation is that an accidental collision between the proto-Earth and a giant imapctor- sheer-dumb-luck. Also if another accidental collision didn't occur we wouldn't be here! That is because that other impact wiped out the dinosaurs which allowed mammals to further evolve. Sheer-dumb-luck at its finest.
Mutations? Genetic accidents- no goals or plans involved. Natural selection? Blind and without a purpose.
The conclusion Don Provan should draw is that his materialistic anti-ID position is a science-stopper. Relying on sheer dumb luck is un-scientific as it cannot be objectively tested. Saying something evolved without knowing whether or not any mechanism can account for the evolution is also a science stopper and also untestable.
How is CS Lewis using the word "accident"?
anything that happens by chance without an apparent cause
The ONLY Possible Connection between ID and the Bible
If the Bible were somehow totally confirmed IDists would just say:
OK that explains what we have been observing. We should have followed Newton's lead- that is science is a way of understanding the handiwork of the Creator.
And if the Bible were somehow totally refuted IDists will then say:
Ya see- we told you not to put all your apples on that collection of books. Now would you like to get back under the tent?
Is there a theory of Intelligent Design? ("I love it so!")
Many people ask if there is a theory of Intelligent Design. To which I respond, "Is there a theory of Archaeology?"
Intelligent Design, also called the design inference, is just that, a reasoned inference from the data.
IOW ID is an observation, which can be used as an underlying assumption from which to start the research. And as we all (should) know, it does make a difference to an investigation whether or not the object(s) in question arose via an intelligent cause or via nature, operating freely.
"Thus, Behe concludes on the basis of our knowledge of present cause-and-effect relationships (in accord with the standard uniformitarian method employed in the historical sciences) that the molecular machines and complex systems we observe in cells can be best explained as the result of an intelligent cause.
In brief, molecular motors appear designed because they were designed" Pg. 72 of "Dawinism, Design and Public Education"
We already have processes in place that we use to detect design:
Del Ratzsch in his book Nature, Design and Science discusses "counterflow as referring to things running contrary to what, in the relevant sense, would (or might) have resulted or occurred had nature operated freely."
Anthropologists use this type of process when detecting artifacts. Markings (marking does not pertain to the sound made by dogs with a harelip) on a rock that are contrary to what scientists deem nature acting alone could/ would not do, as compared to what we know intelligent agencies have done and can do is what determines the categorization of an object- artifact or just another rock.
Archaeologists checking for inscriptions would employ similar methodology- as Del puts it "an artifact is anything embodying counterflow."
(Paraphrasing Del)If you come upon a group of trees in exact rows, each row the same distance from the next and each tree in the row the same distance from the next tree in the row, although nature acting alone could have produced such a pattern, our minds would instinctively infer the pattern was the result of intentional design.
Sometimes design is mind correlative. That is when what we observe fits some identifiable/ recognizable pattern- Nasca, Peru. (Or in organisms, the presence of the insulin protein in bacteria.)
Using William Dembski's Design Explanatory Filter is also a good tool for a starting inference. (We know science is not about proof. The DEF is not about proving design. The DEF is about the design inference. As with any inference the design inference can be falsified. Pulsars were once thought to be signals from ETs. Further research falsified that inference. The properly applied DEF would have not allowed design to be the initial inference.) The DEF can give initial false negatives. IOW something that is designed can fall into the categories of chance and/ or law. That is why design theorists don't say just give up once design is or isn't the initial inference. And with all inferences future research can either confirm it or refute it.
The ONE alleged false positive I have read was from Del's aforementioned book pertaining to a tumbleweed getting blown across the road directly through a hole in a fence. Wind currents explain that phenomenon. IOW the DEF was not properly applied.
So the question is what is it that prevents tried-n-true design detection techniques from being applied to biological organisms?
posted by Joe G @ 8:25 AM 54 comments
More Evidence for ID in Biology: Cells with "Zip Codes"
Anatomic Demarcation by Positional Variation in Fibroblast Gene Expression Programs
A major question in developmental biology is, How do cells know where they are in the body? For example, skin cells on the scalp know to produce hair, and the skin cells on the palms of the hand know not to make hair. Overall, there are thousands of different cell types and each has a unique job that is important to overall organ function. It is critical that, as we grow and develop, each of these different cells passes on the proper function from generation to generation to maintain organ function. In this study, the authors present a model that explains how cells know where they are in the body. By comparing cells from 43 unique positions that finely map the entire human body, the authors discovered that cells utilize a ZIP-code system to identify the cell's position in the human body. The ZIP code for Stanford is 94305, and each digit hones in on the location of a place in the United States; similarly, cells know their location by using a code of genes. For example, a cell on the hand expresses a set of genes that locate the cell on the top half of the body (anterior) and another set of genes that locates the cell as being far away from the body or distal and a third set of genes that identifies the cell on the outside of the body (not internal). Thus, each set of genes narrows in on the cell's location, just like a ZIP code. These findings have important implications for the etiology of many diseases, wound healing, and tissue engineering.
Research pertaining to cellular differentiation just got a little bit more exciting.
How long before one of the CSI shows adopts this? "Look Grissom we have skin cells from his butt."
Of Paternal Family Trees, Nested Hierarchy, and a Y Chromosome Cladogram
In the OP of another thread I posted the following challenge:
I challenge anyone to search for "paternal family tree and nested hierarchy" to see if Zachriel's bogus example comes up and is used by anyone except Zachriel- someone with expertise in the subject would be nice. Good luck.
Zachriel actually posted the following link in an attempt to meet that challenge:
Out of Africa and back again: nested cladistic analysis of human Y chromosome variation
Unlike Zachriel, I read what my opponents reference. Perhaps Zachriel didn't understand the challenge. The other option would be a combination of stupidity, ignorance and dishonesty.
I specifically asked for an example of a "paternal family tree and nested hierarchy".
If we had the DNA of the males from say 10 generations, could we, by looking at the Y chromosome alone, then properly place the DNA in the correct sequence of descent- that is starting with the one and properly filling in each subsequent level? Absolutely not. A son's Y chromosome could be an exact copy of his father's. One son could get a point mutation that is reverted in his son. And the list goes on.
So the challenge remains:
Please keep in mind a summary of the principles of hierarchy theory
A Note to the San Diego Chargers (dee-dee-dee)
It does not matter how much physical talent you collect if you place stupid players in key positions.
A muffed punt- Rule 1) SECURE the football THAT is your only objective at that point.
After a great defensive play- Rule 1) Do NOT get all uppity about doing your job.
Your opponent has a 4th and 5 situation- Rule 1) KNOCK the ball to the ground- do NOT attempt an interception.
And LT, if you don't want the opposition dancing on your team's logo, all you have to do is to win the game. Because if your teammates are going to run their mouths, that logo will be danced on if they do not back it up.
Smart players- that is what gave the Patriots 3 Super Bowl victories. Players reflect coaching...
Cupcake Special
This is a special post for all of those evo-cupcakes out there who think they are special.
Congrats, you are!
Zachriel needs to get a life
Zachriel is relegated to quote-mining for out-of-context soundbites:
Look what Joe G said
It is true- that I will not listen to blipey. The reasoning is sound- time and again blipey has demonstrated that he is dishonest. Not only that but the best he can do is to pick on non-existent mistakes in my posts.
(It bothers me that many people use the words "where" and "at" together, but that must drive the blipmeister up a wall)
If wishes could come true
Over on the Antievolution discussion board, "Rev Dr" Lenny Flank states the following:
ID/creationism is a political fight. Politics is a business full of knives. This isn't a badminton match -- it's a boxing match. Punches will be thrown, teeth will be knocked out, and blood will spatter the walls. One side will win and walk away, one side won't.
This is funny because "Rev Dr" Lenny Flank is a pencil-neck geek who would get throttled in any physical altercation.
However Lenny and I am on the same page- ya see I want a fight. And if Lenny feels up to it I will start with him and work my way through the evolutionitwits like a hot knife through butter.
What say thee, Lenny?
posted by Joe G @ 10:29 AM 69 comments
The design inference- in peer-review (HT Evolution News & Views)
Often it is claimed by anti-IDists that ID does not appear in peer-reviewed journals.
IDists counter with articles in peer-review that support the design inference. Articles such as the following:
Extreme functional sensitivity to conservative amino acid changes on enzyme exteriors
Estimating the Prevalence of Protein Sequences Adopting Functional Enzyme Folds
Anti-IDists tried to counter that claim by saying the scientist involved does not share the same inference as IDists do. However that counterclaim now stands refuted:
I have in fact confirmed that these papers add to the evidence for ID. I concluded in the 2000 JMB paper that enzymatic catalysis entails "severe sequence constraints". The more severe these constraints are, the less likely it is that they can be met by chance. So, yes, that finding is very relevant to the question of the adequacy of chance, which is very relevant to the case for design. In the 2004 paper I reported experimental data used to put a number on the rarity of sequences expected to form working enzymes. The reported figure is less than one in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion. Again, yes, this finding does seem to call into question the adequacy of chance, and that certainly adds to the case for intelligent design.--Douglas Axe
(for the original Evolution News and Views article go HERE)
How difficult is it to understand?
Reality demonstrates the ONLY way to make ANY determination about the designer or the specific design processes involved, in the absence of direct observation or designer input, is by studying the design in question.
Intelligent Design is the study of patterns in nature that are best explained as the result of intelligence. — William A. Dembski
And yes the design inference does force us to ask other questions. ID is not preventing anyone from looking into them. However that also demonstrates that ID is NOT a scientific dead-end plus gives us the impetus to drive the research.
posted by Joe G @ 3:10 PM 19 comments
Preventive Maintenance & Global Warming: Reversing the trend
6H2O + 6CO2 ----------> C6H12O6 + 6O2
That's right- photosynthesis. We make artificial plants- that is massive structures (as space allows) run by solar power that suck in the air via man-made stomata, mix it with water and mimic the reaction that is photosynthesis. Then have the O2 exit other man-made stomata.
Place these facilities near factories, cities, yada, yada, yada
Then sell the sugar...
Why Nested Hierarchy is NOT evidence for the ToE nor Common Descent
The main reason why nested hierarchy is not evidence for the theory of evolution nor Common Descent is that neither would be phased if it wasn't observed. That is obvious because nested hierarchy is not observed throughout the diversity of living organisms on this planet.
Denton page 129:
Cladism takes no account at all of any evolutionary claim regarding the genealogy or derivation of any particular species or group. Cladists aim only to discover the pattern of nature as it actually is.
page 131:
"Yet, direct evidence for evolution only resides in the existence of unambiguous sequential arrangements, and these are never present in ordered hierarchic schemes."
IOW If life descended (along uncrossed lines) from a common ancestor, it would form an unambiguous sequential arrangement, which are never present in ordered hierarchic schemes.
But that point is moot because we know that lines can be crossed, that is that traits can be gained and lost only to reappear later.
In fact, a nested hierarchy is the almost inevitable result of descent with modification, if no transfer of traits between branches of descent is possible.
With the ToE and Common Descent a transfer of traits is possible between branches. I will also note that any such nested hierarchy referred by EvoWiki would not conform to the rules of hierarchy.
And seeing that Nested Hierarchy was and still is used as evidence for a Common Design since before Charles Darwin, one would think that evolutionitwits would get their own evidence as opposed from just co-opting their opposition's evidence and scheme and re-labeling it.
And finally the only way that nested hierarchy could be used as evidence for either the ToE or Common Descent is if and only if, it was observed in the diversity of living organisms and there alone. However we know that is not true.
Zachriel provided the following:
The nested hierarchy is a pattern. Like all patterns, it can be defined mathematically and exists outside of biology. A nested hierarchy is an ordered set such that each subset is strictly contained within its superset.
Now I am sure that bit will be lost on Alan, Zachriel and their ilk. But that is to be expected. It is a prediction that follows from their condition. And what may that condition be?
Note to Alan Fox- your comment was lost
Alan I just tried to publish your last comment but I received a blogger error and now your comment is gone.
Could you please re-post it?
(I had to laugh at your projection on the ARN discussion board. For the record I will debate you on any topic pertaining to the ID vs ToE debate. Perhaps my fingers are in my ears, but that is to protect my brain from the assaults by evolutionary imbeciles, like yourself.)
When the shit flows it flows freely
OK ok I got curious and visted Alan's blog. Nothing new. Just more of the same strokers doing what they do best.
Alan's less than cordial invitation
I said my piece over on Alan's blog and I feel contaminated somehow. My 4 year old understands science better than that ilk.
Zachriel:
And yet, not a single one of Joe's arguments address the syllogism. "If life descended (along uncrossed lines) from a common ancestor, it would form a nested hierarchy pattern (of descendent relationships)" is a mathematical truism.*
Ummm, I have more than dealt with that bit of nonsense. Ya see with the theory of evolution nothing prevents lines from being crossed, uncrossed and recrossed. Traits can be gained and traits can be lost- only to be regained.
And coming out of the single-celled bush there isn't any way one would expect order- because as I said the theory doesn't predict metazoans in the first place.
Yes the theory can live with NH but that was never the point.
The rest of his argument concerns the detection of such a nested hierarchy and the implications if such a pattern is found. I would be happy to engage this argument if Joe wishes, but it makes no sense to discuss the empirical evidence for this pattern if he doesn't even understand how to recognize it.
My offer to debate Zachriel on this is still open.
He submits his opening and I will then submit mine.
And this little bit is total BS:
Joe: "Nested Hierarchy is [not] a prediction of the theory of evolution- pro & con- that would include ALL living organisms"
I said:
"Nested Hierarchy is a prediction of the theory of evolution- pro & con- that would include ALL living organisms"
is duly noted.
I take the con, Zachriel takes the pro. Or at least Zachriel should put his position in writing so we all know what it is. My position hasn't changed since before I started blogging- The theory of evolution does not predict nested hierarchy.
Zachriel continues with his bluff with:
These two statements are not equivalent.
Joe: "Zachriel concedes the point- the theory of evolution does NOT predict a nested hierarchy."
With that I should get the right to punch Zachriel in the head. MY words were:
Nested Hierarchy is a prediction of the theory of evolution- pro & con- that would include ALL living organisms.
The nested hierarchy of morphology and genomics is an observation AND a prediction.
Nested hierarchy was never predicted but it is observed. It isn't observed for single-celled organisms, does that mean it wasn't predicted for them?
We observe a pattern, then predict it will continue to apply, perhaps in somewhat different circumstances.
And if we didn't observe the pattern of nested hierarchy the theory of evolution would not miss a beat. Accomodating observations should NEVER be conflated with predicting what we will observe.
Yes Zachriel, your job is done. And I thank you for demonstrating you have absolutely no clue...
*I have dealt with this bit of dishonesty before but I will do it again here. Zachriel just twisted the following:
Nested Hierarchy
Not quite what Zachriel stated, is it?
And although that same site also claims:
The most obvious explanation for the observed nested hierarchy of taxonomic categories is evolution.
That doesn't make sense in light of the fact we don't observe nested hierarchy throughout the kingdoms. It also doesn't make sense because we know traits can be lost and gained and convergent evolution is real.
And just to remind everyone:
A Summary of the Principles of Hierarchy Theory
What I think about the "Kitzmiller vs. Dover" decision
After reading the transcripts of the trial and the judge's decision it is obvious to me that the decision would have been very different if:
A) The Dover school board had not been religiously motivated
B) They actually understood Intelligent Design (it was pretty obvious they knew very little about ID)
It's time I start looking into what it takes to get on a local school board...
Evidence? for Common Descent (revisited)
The last time I posted this Zachriel responded with the following:
If life descended from a common ancestor, it would form a nested hierarchy pattern.
However we now know that is incorrect. So here it is again.
"Some defenders of Darwinism embrace standards of evidence for evolution that as scientists they would never accept in other circumstances." Henry Schaeffer, director of the Center for Computational Quantum Chemistry at the University of Georgia
"Circumstantial evidence is a very tricky thing; it may seem to point very straight to one thing, but if you shift your own point of view a little, you may find it pointing in an equally uncompromising manner to something entirely different." Sherlock Holmes
"Change the way you look at things and the things you look at change." Unknown
Common descent, that being that all of life's diversity owing its collective common ancestry to some unknown last universal common ancestor via descent with modification, is based on indirect, i.e. circumstantial, evidence. It cannot be objectively tested. It cannot be repeated. It cannot be verified. The concept isn't even of any practical use. Yet it endures as a scientific concept. And people wonder what has happened to science education.
"The validity of the evolutionary interpretation of homology would have been greatly strengthened if embryological and genetic research could have shown that homologous structures were specified by homologous genes. Such homology would indeed be strongly suggestive of "true relationship; of inheritance from a common ancestor". But it has become clear that the principle cannot be extended in this way. Homologous structures are often specified by non-homologous genetic systems and the concept of homology can seldom be extended back into embryology. The failure to find a genetic and embryological basis for homology was discussed by Sir Gavin de Beer, British embryologist and past Director of the British Museum of Natural History, in a succinct monograph Homology, a Unresolved Problem." Michael Denton
"The concept of homology is absolutely fundamental to what we are talking about when we speak of evolution- yet in truth we cannot explain it at all in terms of present day biological theory." Sir Alistor Hardy
Fossil record:
How was the fossil record formed?
Was it formed by one or a series of catstrophies? Was it formed by slow and gradual sedimentray deposition? Or was it a combination? For any combination scenario how can we tell which sediments were laid down via some catastrophy and which were deposited via some gradual process?
Exposing the Evolutionist's Sleight-of-Hand With the Fossil Record
Fossils can't tell us anything about a mechanism.
Fossils can't tell the difference between phenotypic plasticity and a mutation which causes a phenotypic change.
Fossils can't tell the difference between divergent and convergent evolution.
Fossils can't tell us anything about how the species originated. Just that it existed.
Not every organism that has lived gets fossilized. IOW absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.
Fossilization requires a rapid burial of the organism to protect it from scavengers and weathering.
Fossilization does not require millions of years.
Theobald, Douglas L. "29+ Evidences for Macroevolution: The Scientific Case for Common Descent." The Talk.Origins Archive. Vers. 2.87 2006
The first issue I have with that article is the definitions of micro and macro evolution:
In evolutionary biology today, macroevolution is used to refer to any evolutionary change at or above the level of species. It means the splitting of a species into two (speciation, or cladogenesis, from the Greek meaning "the origin of a branch") or the change of a species over time into another (anagenesis, not nowadays generally used). Any changes that occur at higher levels, such as the evolution of new families, phyla or genera, is also therefore macroevolution, but the term is not restricted to the origin of those higher taxa.
Microevolution refers to any evolutionary change below the level of species, and refers to changes in the frequency within a population or a species of its alleles (alternative genes) and their effects on the form, or phenotype, of organisms that make up that population or species.
Another way to state the difference is that macroevolution is between-species evolution of genes and microevolution is within-species evolution of genes.
The issues are:
1) Species is a vague/ ambiguous concept at best
2) Creationists have accepted that the "Created Kinds" were most likely close to today's classification of Genus. Meaning with the above definitions even YECs are macroevolutionists. IOW there isn't any distinction.
The following offers a better insight into the debate:
evolution, biological n.
1) "microevolution"—the name used by many evolutionists to describe genetic variation, the empirically observed phenomenon in which exisiting potential variations within the gene pool of a population of organisms are manifested or suppressed among members of that population over a series of generations. Often simplistically (and erroneously) invoked as "proof" of "macro evolution"; 2) macroevolution—the theory/belief that biological population changes take (and have taken) place (typically via mutations and natural selection) on a large enough scale to produce entirely new structural features and organs, resulting in entirely new species, genera, families, orders, classes, and phyla within the biological world, by generating the requisite (new) genetic information. Many evolutionists have used "macro-evolution" and "Neo-Darwinism" as synonymous for the past 150 years.
A Critique of Douglas Theobald's "29 Evidences for Macroevolution"
The ERV argument for CD is especially weak. We are expected to believe that an ERV will hang around at the same chromosomal position and in intact enough to be recognizable as an ERV for millions of generations, all the while other genetic changes are occurring that will bring about the morphological differences in the diverging species. Now why would a useless piece of genetic material be afforded that type of preservation? Why would it be kept at all?
Do evolutionists understand the process of meiosis? The ERV argument tells me they do not.
To finish there isn't any data that demonstrates a population of bacteria can evolve into anything but bacteria.
There isn't any data that demonstrates a population of single-celled organisms can evolve into something other than single-celled organisms.
And there isn't any data that demonstrates any mutation/ selection process can account for the physiological and anatomical differences observed between chimps and humans.
IOW the theory of evolution just requires faith- faith in Father Time, Mother Nature and the blind watchmaker.
Zachriel concedes the point- the theory of evolution does NOT predict a nested hierarchy
Thank you Zachriel. That was a great way to end 2006 and start 2007!
joe g: "Nested Hierarchy a prediction of the theory of evolution- pro & con- that would include ALL living organisms"
Zachriel said:
Well, I'll take the con side, then.
And that has been my side since the beginning...
Testing and (potential) falsification: ID vs. evolutionism
Over on Uncommon Descent, GilDodgen presents the following: In the DVD Case For A Creator, in the Q&A section, Michael Behe was asked, How would you respond to the claim that intelligent design theory is not falsifiable? Behe responded:
The National Academy of Sciences has objected that intelligent design is not falsifiable, and I think that's just the opposite of the truth. Intelligent design is very open to falsification. I claim, for example, that the bacterial flagellum could not be produced by natural selection; it needed to be deliberately intelligently designed. Well, all a scientist has to do to prove me wrong is to take a bacterium without a flagellum, or knock out the genes for the flagellum in a bacterium, go into his lab and grow that bug for a long time and see if it produces anything resembling a flagellum. If that happened, intelligent design, as I understand it, would be knocked out of the water. I certainly don't expect it to happen, but it's easily falsified by a series of such experiments. Now let's turn that around and ask, How do we falsify the contention that natural selection produced the bacterial flagellum? If that same scientist went into the lab and knocked out the bacterial flagellum genes, grew the bacterium for a long time, and nothing much happened, well, he'd say maybe we didn't start with the right bacterium, maybe we didn't wait long enough, maybe we need a bigger population, and it would be very much more difficult to falsify the Darwinian hypothesis. I think the very opposite is true. I think intelligent design is easily testable, easily falsifiable, although it has not been falsified, and Darwinism is very resistant to being falsified. They can always claim something was not right.
Zachriel's original position on nested hierarchy and the theory of evolution
Seeing that Zachriel is choosing to try to change the past:
And just so that everyone is clear, the following was Zachriel's position before reality smacked him upside his head:
Then once reality smacked him upside his head he switched to (in the same thread):
The nested hierarchy doesn't necessarily apply to the evolution of eukaryotes, hence common descent may not be the appropriate model, but perhaps endosymbiosis .
However if NH doesn't apply to the evolution of eukaryotes- basically all life excluding prokaryotes and viruses (if you consider viruses as life)- then what does it apply to? Or did Zachriel not understand what a eukaryote refers to?
And he thinks he can lecture me? LoL!!!


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text:
Venue sought for Hastings and Bexhill breast screening service
St Leonards school partially closes due to Covid
A school has partially closed today (Monday, November 29) due to Covid.
By Richard Gladstone
Monday, 29th November 2021, 12:11 pm
In a letter to parents, which was sent to the Observer, The St Leonards Academy said there had been 'a number of Covid-19 cases' within the school community, with others awaiting confirmation.
The letter said: "Due to the current safety procedures in place, this has resulted in significant numbers of staff having to isolate.
"Unfortunately, we have now reached a point we we can no longer operate onsite provision safely due to the numbers of teaching and support staff who are absent.
St Leonards Academy. SUS-190618-171502001
"Following discussions with relevant authorities, it is with regret that the Trust has decided to partially close The St Leonards Academy to students in years 9 and 10 - not including the children of critical workers and identified students on Monday, November 29.
"Students in years 9 and 10 will be required to stay at home and access learning remotely on chass charts."
ObserverStudents
Spain pushes EU to downgrade Covid to 'flu-like' status as fatality rate drops
The firms cutting Covid sick pay for staff who are unvaccinated
More than 80 per cent of Hastings and St Leonards residents have had their booster vaccine


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Broadway Show TicketsNYC 101City WalksAttraction TicketsNYC ToursEntertainmentNew York City PassesCruisesHoliday SpecialDay ExpeditionsFood and Drinks
NYC 101
New YorkMuseumsIntrepid Museum
Skip the Line Access to Intrepid Museum & Hop On Hop Off Combo
Skip the line and save time
Explore the Big Apple with unlimited access across multiple routes, giving you the freedom to hop on and off at your leisure. With this combo, you can also explore the prowess of American military history at the Intrepid Museum.
Its impressive collection of exhibits, including submarines, aircraft carriers, gunships, and space shuttle, makes it the best place to take you on a journey from the World War II, to the space race to the developing technologies now.
The USS Intrepid is a monumental asset to the United States Navy as it participated in the battle of Leyte Gulf and in the Vietnam war.
One of the most eye catching exhibits is the NASA space shuttle, Enterprise. After having served its missions, it is now docked in the Hudson for us to explore. The Deck also contains most of the museum's collection of restored aircraft.
Other notable attractions include attractions include Bell AH-1J Sea Cobra gunship, the submarine USS Growler, a Lockheed A-12 supersonic reconnaissance plane, Aurora 7 Mercury capsule replica; along with various exhibits from around the world like an Israeli Kfir and a Polish Mikoyan Gurevich MiG-17.
This Hop on Hop off our is valid for 24 hours and you can hop on and hop off on any designated stop as you please, giving you all the time to explore each area and embrace your inner New Yorker.
With picturesque landmarks like Times Square, the Brooklyn Bridge, Central Park, the Guggenheim Museum, and more, you're sure to fall in love with this magnificent city, at the comfort of a Double Decker bus.
You get to choose from two ticket options which offer you maximum flexibility. You may select the Downtown experience which offers unlimited Hop-on Hop-off through the downtown area or pick the 24 hour pass which allows unlimited access across multiple routes.
Why You Shouldn't Miss This
The large collection of exhibits, including submarines, aircraft carriers, gunships, and space shuttle, makes it the best place to explore the prowess of American military history. What makes this place really special is its well preserved exhibits like the USS Intrepid, the NASA space shuttle Enterprise, Bell AH-1J Sea Cobra gunship, the submarine USS Growler, a Lockheed A-12 supersonic reconnaissance plane and Aurora 7 Mercury capsule replica, to name a few. It also features various exhibits from around the world like an Israeli Kfir and a Polish Mikoyan Gurevich MiG-17.
Hop on and Hop off Tour
Embrace the city that never sleeps on this 24 hour tour that is bound to give you an experience worth bragging about. With an audio guide and stops like Times Square, the Brooklyn Bridge, Central Park, the Guggenheim Museum, and more, exploring the city has never been this easy. Depending on your preferences, you can select the Downtown experience which offers unlimited Hop-on Hop-off through the downtown area or pick the 24 hour pass which allows unlimited access across multiple routes
As you prepare yourself to take in the prowess of American military history, start at the Hangar Deck, and see the Intrepid's technology on the left side, and discover the life of those that worked on the ship on the right. You will learn how the USS Intrepid fared in the Pacific Theater of the war as it was bombarded by 5 Kamikaze attacks and 1 torpedo strike. Like the legend that it is, the ship survived and played a crucial role in the war. Here, you can also engage with exhibits that show the Intrepid's career in the Navy 1943 onward. You can also discover how daily life looked like for enlisted sailors aboard the Intrepid, and head on to the Gallery Deck to see the Ready Room, where pilots got instructions before take off, and the Combat Information Center. Next, prepare to take in the world's oldest existing nuclear-capable submarine. This tour is your best chance at coming close, exploring and learning the inner workings of a nuclear-powered submarine. You can explore certain sections that are open to the public, and learn about life aboard a submarine. Finally, move to the Flight Deck, where your admission pass will cover access to the NASA space shuttle, Enterprise. The shuttle was the first prototype that was developed by NASA, and having served its missions, it is now docked in the Hudson for us to explore and marvel at. The Deck also contains most of the museum's collection of restored aircraft.
Once you receive the Headout voucher for this tour, be sure to redeem at any of the visitor center locations listed on the voucher. At the visitor center, simply show your voucher on your mobile phone or bring a printed copy. After redeeming your voucher, you may use your ticket(s) to board a bus and start your tour at any of the hop-on, hop-off stops. Get off and on at your convenience for the next 24 hours from the time you board.
Access to Intrepid Aircraft Carrier, Space Shuttle Pavilion, 28 Restored Aircraft, Growler Submarine
2 free films ("The Story of Intrepid" and "Kamikaze: Day of Darkness, Day of Light")
Access to the 86th Floor Observation Deck
Art Deco Lobby
Dare to Dream Exhibit
Sustainability Exhibit
Hop-on Hop-off Downtown Tour (Optional)
24 Hour Hop-on Hop-Off Pass (Optional)
Exhibit Closures for Exploreum, 4D Experience & G-Force Simulator
Thursday, April 19: Closed after 2:00pm (The Museum closes at 4:00pm).
Wednesday, April 25: Closed 4:00pm–5:00pm
Thursday, April 26: Closed 3:00pm–5:00pm
November 1 - March 31
Open daily from 10 AM - 5 PM
April 1 - October 31
Monday to Friday: 10 AM - 5 PM
Saturday, Sunday, and holidays: 10 AM - 6 PM
Please note that final entry is one hour prior to closing time.
Subway: Take the A, C, E, N, Q, R, S, 1, 2, 3, 7 train to 42nd Street, then walk or take the M42 West Bus to Hudson River (12th Avenue). Walk North to the Intrepid Museum at 46th Street. Take the 7 train to the 34th Street – Hudson Yards station. Exit near 11th Avenue, and then walk west to 12th Avenue and North to the Intrepid Museum at 46th Street.
Bus: M34 (34th Sts), M42 (42nd St.) or M-50 (49th St.) to 12th Ave. and Hudson River. The Museum is a short walk North from the M34 and M42. The M50 can drop you off directly in front of the Intrepid.
The buses on tour run from the stops every 20-30 minutes between 8 AM - 6 PM.
Please download a copy of the Hop-on Hop-off tour map to help you plan out your visit and navigate through the city.
Strict Cancellation Policy
This experience cannot be cancelled, amended or rescheduled.
For Intrepid Museum
You will receive an email with your voucher. There's no need to print the pass. All you have to do is show it on your phone at the entrance!
For Hop-on Hop-off Tickets
You will receive an email with your voucher. There's no need to print the pass. However, you must redeem it at one of the following Visitor Center locations listed below:
Gray Line New York, 777 8th Avenue. (btw. 47th & 48th St.) between 7 AM and 8 PM
Empire State Building Visitor Center, 350 5th Avenue, (btw. 34th and 33rd Street) between 7 AM and 12 AM
Pier 78, 38th Street & 12th Avenue between 10AM and 4PM
Port Authority Bus Terminal,42nd St. (btw. 8th & 9th Ave.) between 7AM and 6PM
Ripley's Believe It or Not! New York, 234 West 42nd Street between 8AM and 8PM
Visitor Center at "NYC Gifts and Luggage",381 5th Avenue (btw. 35th and 36th Street) between 9AM and 2PM
Visitor Center at Planet Hollywood,1540 Broadway (at 45th Street) between 9AM and 6PM
Visitor Center at NY Loves Us Gifts & Souvenirs, 30 Vesey St. Corner of Church St., between 9AM and 4PM.
Other experiences similar to Skip the Line Access to Intrepid Museum & Hop On Hop Off Combo
The Sightseeing Pass
FreeStyle Attraction Pass with Hop-On Hop-Off Cruise
NYC Explorer Pass
New York Explorer Pass - 3 Attractions
Big Bus Hop-On Hop-Off Tour
Big Bus 3 Day Hop-On Hop-Off Tour