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In a new picture released Wednesday—the 25th anniversary of the rediscovery of the R.M.S. Titanic—rust "icicles" plague bow railings and anchor equipment on the 2.4-mile-deep (3.8-kilometer-deep) shipwreck.

 (See pictures of Titanic's 1985 rediscovery.)

This and other images of Titanic in late August are among the first results of the ongoing Expedition Titanic. Its goals: to use acoustic imaging, sonar, and 3-D video to virtually preserve Titanic in its current state and to help determine just how far gone the shipwreck is and how long it might last. (Read "Titanic Is Falling Apart.")

Due to recent hurricane activity, the expedition crew is currently docked in St. John's, Newfoundland (map), some 350 miles (560 kilometers) from Titanic's North Atlantic resting place—but the team is eager to get back to work.

"What we have witnessed, so far, has been nothing but extraordinary," Chris Davino, CEO of Premier Exhibitions, Inc., said in a press statement. "We are anxious to return to the site and continue this groundbreaking expedition," added Davino, whose company's RMS Titanic, Inc., division organized the expedition with Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

—With reporting by Brian Handwerk

Titanic Bows to Nature
In a new picture released Wednesday—the 25th anniversary of the rediscovery of the R.M.S. Titanic—rust "icicles" plague bow railings and anchor equipment on the 2.4-mile-deep (3.8-kilometer-deep) shipwreck.
(See pictures of Titanic's 1985 rediscovery.)
This and other images of Titanic in late August are among the first results of the ongoing Expedition Titanic. Its goals: to use acoustic imaging, sonar, and 3-D video to virtually preserve Titanic in its current state and to help determine just how far gone the shipwreck is and how long it might last. (Read "Titanic Is Falling Apart.")
Due to recent hurricane activity, the expedition crew is currently docked in St. John's, Newfoundland (map), some 350 miles (560 kilometers) from Titanic's North Atlantic resting place—but the team is eager to get back to work.
"What we have witnessed, so far, has been nothing but extraordinary," Chris Davino, CEO of Premier Exhibitions, Inc., said in a press statement. "We are anxious to return to the site and continue this groundbreaking expedition," added Davino, whose company's RMS Titanic, Inc., division organized the expedition with Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.
—With reporting by Brian Handwerk
Photograph courtesy Premier Exhibitions, Inc. and Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
New Titanic Pictures Mark 25th Anniversary of Discovery
On the 25th anniversary of Titanic's rediscovery, high-resolution images from a new expedition are shedding light on the shipwreck.


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Written by Eric Kallen• April 10, 2020• 8:11 am• 2020, Books, Featured, Hunting, Sporting
Proven Techniques and an Upland Tradition
Ronnie Smith and Susanna Love have dedicated their lives to training bird dogs and refining a system that enables dogs and their owners to work together in pursuit of upland birds.
Photos by Brian Grossenbacher
Smith and Love were raised by families with deep ties to the dog-training community. Love is a fifth-generation West Texas rancher who grew up training dogs and horses with her mother. Smith hails from one of the most well-established bird-dog training families in the country.
Smith's late father Ronnie Sr. and his uncle Delmar—once dubbed "the World's Coolest Man" by Field and Stream magazine—laid the foundations for generations of bird-dog trainers with their "Silent Command System" (SCS). It is also known as the "Smith Training Method."
The men introduced SCS in the 1950s. Since then it has been used successfully to train thousands of dogs over the decades. The Smith family still uses SCS; Delmar's son Rick is also a professional dog trainer, and the family maintains an active training schedule with workshops across the country for dogs and their handlers. Their approach is collaborative and competitive.
"As a family, we all watched each other carefully, experimenting and sharing the results of our work with one another," writes Ronnie Smith. "All the while, we competed against each other both officially and in the familiar way that brothers, fathers, sons and cousins do."
Smith grew up watching his father, uncle and cousins train and trial the best pointing dogs in the world. He quickly realized he wanted to follow in their footsteps. When Smith and Love married in 2006, they refined a training program for dogs and made certain it could be shared with other dog owners and trainers.
The expert duo teamed with sportsman and author Reid Bryant on "Training Bird Dogs with Ronnie Smith Kennels: Proven Techniques and an Upland Tradition" (Universe, October 2019, hardcover). The 256-page book is well suited for your coffee table and field bag. It's not just a how-to book for dog trainers; the work is more of a training guide than an instructional manual with stunning photography by Brian Grossenbacher. The photographer captures dogs in all development stages—in training and in the field.
"Training Bird Dogs" focuses on the Smith Training Method's ability to accomplish three points: nurture a dog's natural ability, teach cues to modify behavior and show handlers how to leverage training to maintain proficiency. Early on, the Smith family learned training the owner is equally important as training the dogs.
In the book, Smith recalls how his dad and uncle observed a fundamental challenge: "…the training they'd put into a dog had a tendency to become muddied due to a broken line of communication between owner and dog." To compensate for this, the Smith Training Method is designed to institute a more democratic process, one in which dog and trainer work together to achieve a mutually beneficial goal.
A dog with a trained mind is well-rounded and will have more opportunities to experience hunting environments than an untrained dog.
The book is organized into three parts: "Development," "Formal Training" and "Becoming a Bird Dog." These comprehensive sections cover the gamut, including helpful tips on selecting a puppy, training initiation and transitioning to wild birds. "Formal Training" reviews the techniques, tools, and philosophy required to begin and progress a dog through the Smith Training Method. Plus, Grossenbacher's photos and select illustrations help the reader visualize advanced training concepts.
"Training Bird Dogs" is written for a wide audience—for serious dog trainers looking to glean more insight into their craft, or occasional bird hunters and dog owners who want to enjoy a well-written, beautifully produced book that will also make a fantastic coffee-table decoration.
I have a young bird dog and plan to display my copy on the coffee table after it shows a little wear and tear from use in my field bag.
Eric Kallen is an avid sportsman who spends his time between homes in Charlottesville, Virginia, the mountains of western North Carolina and the shores of Mobile Bay, Alabama.
Sporting Clays Methodology

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LATimes: Republicans still firmly against raising debt ceiling without big cuts
By Peter Nicholas, Washington Bureau
Reporting from Washington — Two top Republicans said Sunday they opposed raising the nation's debt ceiling without major moves to slash the federal deficit, a stance that suggests the GOP may be heading toward a high-stakes showdown with Democrats as the deadline for congressional action nears.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said on NBC's "Meet the Press" that he was prepared to keep the ceiling in place "unless we do something really significant about debt and deficit."
Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, a Republican candidate for president, also challenged the Obama administration's contention that failure to lift the debt limit would trigger an unprecedented default.
The U.S. has until Aug. 2 to raise the $14.3-trillion debt ceiling, said Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner. Failing to act would invite "catastrophic" consequences, Geithner has said: Military service members would not get paid, retirement investments would drop in value, and people would face higher payments on mortgages and car loans.
President Obama has said he expects Congress to increase the ceiling. In an interview last month with the Associated Press, the president said: "We will raise the debt limit. We always have. We will do it again."
The alternative, Obama said, is to "plunge the world economy back into a recession."
Posturing is always a part of congressional negotiations, but Republicans are under enormous pressure from "tea party" conservatives to curtail spending. The debt ceiling debate presents some congressional Republicans with an unhappy choice: A vote to raise the ceiling might expose them to primary challenges in the 2012 election, while a vote against it risks a default on U.S. debt obligations that could jeopardize the fragile economic recovery.
Pawlenty, in an interview with ABC's "This Week," said the consequences of failing to raise the cap might not be as stark as the White House contends.
Asked whether the result would prove calamitous for the U.S. economy, Pawlenty said: "Well, there are some serious voices challenging that very premise. And the answer is nobody really knows, because we've not been at this point before."
If opponents hold their ground and keep the ceiling intact, the U.S. could still manage by prioritizing payments, using the remaining cash to pay outside creditors first, Pawlenty said.
The Obama administration has dismissed that approach as "unworkable." In a blog post this year, Deputy Treasury Secretary Neal Wolin wrote that giving certain creditors privileged status was "default by another name."
Filed under: Budget, Democrats, Economy, Finance, In the News, Politics, Republicans, U.S. Government, U.S. House of Representatives, U.S. Senate


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Bogojevo (Богојево), pronunțat în limba română Bogoievo este un sat situat în partea de nord-vest a Serbiei, în Voivodina. Aparține administrativ de comuna Odžaci. La recensământul din 2002 localitatea avea 2120 locuitori.

Note

Sate din Serbia

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31 Days of British Horror
31 Days of Hammer
31 Days of American Horror
Ceej Says
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Marvel Madness
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January 13, 2021 in Marvel Reviews // Review – Iron Man #5 (Marvel)
January 11, 2021 in IDW Reviews // Review – Star Trek: Year Five #18 (IDW Publishing)
January 11, 2021 in Small Press Reviews // Review – Gl'urk & Bo #1 (BG Comics)
January 8, 2021 in Preview // First Look at Bennett and Sauvage's DC Future State: Kara Zor-El, Superwoman #1 [PREVIEW]
January 7, 2021 in Other Reviews // Advance Review – She: At the Tower of all That is Known HC (Comixtribe)
January 6, 2021 in Aftershock Reviews // Review – Scout's Honor #1 (AfterShock Comics)
January 6, 2021 in Other Reviews // Review – The Wrong Earth: Night & Day #1 (Ahoy Comics)
January 5, 2021 in Aftershock Reviews // Advance Review – I Breathed A Body #1 (AfterShock Comics)
January 5, 2021 in Preview // AfterShock's Project Patron asks "What if the Death of the World's Greatest Hero was a Cover-up?" [PREVIEW]
Home » Reviews » DC Reviews » Advance Review – Six Days: The Incredible Story of D-Day's Lost Chapter (DC Vertigo)
Advance Review – Six Days: The Incredible Story of D-Day's Lost Chapter (DC Vertigo)
Posted on May 8, 2019 in DC Reviews
Publisher: DC Vertigo
Writer(s): Kevin Maurer, Robert Venditti
Artwork: Andrea Mutti
Colours: Lee Loughridge
Lettering: Clayton Cowles
Release Date: 14th May 2019
As we approach the 75th anniversary of the D-Day landings, DC Vertigo are getting set to release a graphic novel which takes a closer look at one of the more overlooked battles in the historic campaign.
Back in June of 1944, 182 members of the U.S. 82nd Airborne found themselves mistakenly parachuting into the heart of enemy territory, a full 18 miles from their intended target. Forced to seek refuge in the small village of Graignes, the paratroopers and French citizens found themselves coming together in solidarity as a German militia drew closer and the reality of an all-out battle became more and more inevitable.
The execution is solid throughout, with writers Kevin Maurer and Robert Venditti providing an impressive feeling of authenticity to the proceedings. With a historical account, there's always the risk of veering into sensationalism in order to 'spice things up', but the compelling true story of the Battle of Graignes basically tells itself here, leaving the writers to focus on the personal details that really help to underscore both the hope and horror of the situation. And they really don't come more personal than this story, with Venditti's uncle Tommy, a man who actually fought in the Battle of Graignes, appearing as a key character in the book.
The early chapters are relatively restrained, showing the American soldiers gradually integrating themselves into the surprisingly welcoming village. And while there are a few villagers who are a little wary, perhaps the most powerful part of this story is how wholeheartedly they accept the American paratroopers into their midst, knowing full well the consequences should their alliance be discovered by the encroaching German forces. Strong bonds are forged in spite of the language barrier, and there's a real sense of unity that quickly develops as both nations find themselves united against a common foe. That said, there's also a disquieting sense of apprehension during these scenes, with the looming spectre of the Nazi war machine offering an outcome that could only realistically go one way.
Andrea Mutti is definitely a safe pair of hands when it comes to gritty, realistic artwork, as anyone already familiar with his stellar body of work will readily attest to. Everything is well rendered here, with expressive characters and a grounded approach that never sensationalises the violence or the drama. Colourist Lee Loughridge breathes some extra life into Mutti's aesthetic, switching from the murky French countryside to the bright, airy feel of the village seamlessly
Unfortunately, as anyone familiar with the history of the battle will know, this isn't a story which has what you would necessarily describe as a happy ending. But in the tragedy, there's a moving snapshot of the heroism, determination and acceptance that would ultimately lead to Germany's unconditional surrender less than a year later. It's powerful stuff, and the humanity on display in these quiet, personal moments is exactly the stuff that great stories – whether they be real or fictional – are made of.
A powerful and oft-overlooked chapter in one of the most historic campaigns in modern warfare. By turns uplifting, heroic and tragic, the story of The Battle of Graignes is one that deserves to be told, and in the hands of these respectful and passionate creators, DC Vertigo have done a truly impressive job of bringing it to life here.
Rating: 4/5.
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The writer of this piece was: Craig Neilson-Adams (aka Ceej)
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Constructing Excellence in Wales :: Climate Change Commission for Wales: How does climate change affect your organisation?
Home > Latest News > Climate Change Commission for Wales: How does climate change affect your organisation?
Climate Change Commission for Wales: How does climate change affect your organisation?
Climate Change Commission for Wales survey - deadline extended to 31 July!
COP21 is the 21st United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change conference. It will see 50,000 participants from around the world, from all sectors, gather in Paris to discuss how to reach a universal, legally binding agreement enabling us all to combat climate change.
This agreement will ask countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, in order to limit global warming to below two degrees. The forthcoming Environment (Wales) Bill commits Wales to this aim by targeting an 80 per cent reduction in emissions against 1990 levels by 2050. Ahead of the event, which takes place from 30 November to 11 December, the Climate Change Commission for Wales is asking the sector how climate change affects them, and what they'd like COP21 to deliver for the country.
This short survey should only take around five minutes to complete, but will really help inform the work of the CCCW ahead of the conference. They're keen to hear from all sort of sector organisations on this – not only those working directly in climate change, but those involved in social care, housing, education, heritage, sport, equalities, animal welfare and so on. Whatever area you work in, your views are needed.
The deadline for the survey is 31 July 2015. Prior to COP21, a series of climate change events will take place across Wales, include a Cynnal Cymru 'Spoken World' event in July, Size of Wales' Go Green Day and Climate Week in October and the CCCW's manifesto launch in November.
For more information on these, or on COP21 itself, please contact email or call 029 2019 2021.


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Shuai Wang, Ralf Toumi
It is challenging to identify metrics that best capture hurricane destructive potential and costs. Although it has been found that the sea surface temperature and vertical wind shear can both make considerable changes to the hurricane destructive potential metrics, it is still unknown which plays a more important role. Here we present a new method to reconstruct the historical wind structure of hurricanes that allows us, for the first time, to calculate the correlation of damage with integrated power dissipation and integrated kinetic energy of all hurricanes at landfall since 1988. We find that those metrics, which include the horizontal wind structure, rather than just maximum intensity, are much better correlated with the hurricane cost. The vertical wind shear over the main development region of hurricanes plays a more dominant role than the sea surface temperature in controlling these metrics and therefore also ultimately the cost of hurricanes. © 2016 IOP Publishing Ltd.
hurricane cost hurricane destructive potential sea surface temperature vertical wind shear wind profile reconstruction


Wilkommen, Bienvenue, Welcome…to 1931 in Berlin in the Weirmar Republic era and the Kit Kat Klub, a seedy cabaret and place of decadent celebration! The host is a cheeky and flamboyant Emcee who, accompanied by his beautiful girls and boys, introduces high-spirited British singer Sally Bowles to keep the audience entertained. Freedom of expression is safe within the walls of the Klub but tensions rise outside as political unrest is brewing and the Nazi Party is growing stronger. Money Makes the World Go Around, as do secrets it seems. Join us for this Perfectly Marvellous, socially conscious classic, but whatever you do, Don't Tell Mama what you know!
Wed 22 May at 7:30pm 7:30pm Book Now!
Thu 23 May at 7:30pm 7:30pm Book Now!
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Q: The GCD of a Univariate Integer-Valued Polynomial over a Set Let $\mathcal{I}[X]$ denote the subring of $\mathbb{Q}[X]$ consisting of all integer-valued polynomials (i.e., $f(X)\in \mathbb{Q}[X]$ such that $f(k)\in\mathbb{Z}$ for all $k\in\mathbb{Z}$).  For $f(X)\in\mathcal{I}[X]$ and a nonempty subset $S$ of $\mathbb{Z}$, write $\gamma_S(f)$ for the gcd of all $f(k)$ for $k\in S$.  It is well known that each $f(X)\in\mathcal{I}[X]$ takes the form $f(X)=\sum_{i=0}^n\,A_i\,\binom{X}{i}$ for some $n\in\mathbb{N}_0$ and $A_0,A_1,\ldots,A_n\in\mathbb{Z}$ (that is, $\mathcal{I}[X]$ is a free abelian group with a $\mathbb{Z}$-basis consisting of $\binom{X}{i}$ for $i=0,1,2,\ldots$), so we set the modified content $\tilde{C}(f)$  of $f(X)$ to be $\gcd\left(A_0,A_1,\ldots,A_n\right)$.
Here are some examples (also stated in the link below) with $S=\mathbb{Z}$.  For the polynomial $X^2+X=0\binom{X}{0}+2\binom{X}{1}+2\binom{X}{2}$, the modified content is $\gcd(0,2,2)=2$, which equals the gcd of all $k^2+k$ with $k\in\mathbb{Z}$.  For the second one, $X^3-X=0\binom{X}{0}+0\binom{X}{1}+6\binom{x}{2}+6\binom{X}{3}$ so that the modified content is $\gcd(0,0,6,6)=6$, which is also the gcd of all $k^3-k$ with $k\in\mathbb{Z}$.

The question is: what are all nonempty subsets $S$ of $\mathbb{Z}$ such that $\gamma_S(f)=\tilde{C}(f)$ for all $f(X)\in\mathcal{I}[X]$?  I know that $S$ must satisfy this condition: for every prime $p\in\mathbb{N}$, integer $r>0$, and $j\in\left\{0,1,2,\ldots,p^r-1\right\}$, there exists $s\in S$ such that $s\equiv j\pmod{p^r}$.  Do we have anything similar if we replace $\mathbb{Z}$ by a GCD domain $D$ and $\mathbb{Q}$ by the field of fractions $F$ of $D$ (whence $\mathcal{I}[X]$ by the subring $\mathcal{I}_D[X]$ of $F[X]$ of D-valued polynomials, namely, $f(X)\in F[X]$ such that $f(k)\in D$ for all $k\in D$)?  What if we increase the number of variables, that is, asking the same question about the gcd of a $D$-valued polynomial in $F\left[X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_l\right]$ over a subset $S\subseteq D^l$ and its modified content (if it is possible to define the modified content over $D$), where $l>1$ is an integer?  See also here.

For example, we take $D:=\mathbb{R}[T]$ (so that $F=\mathbb{R}(T)$).  Then, $\mathcal{I}_D[X]$ is precisely $D[X]=\mathbb{R}[T,X]$.  For $f(X)\in D[X]$, we have $f(X)=\sum_{i=0}^n\,A_i(T)\,X^i$ for some $n\in\mathbb{N}_0$ and $A_i(T)\in \mathbb{R}[T]$, with $i=0,1,2,\ldots,n$, from which we define $\tilde{C}(f)$ to be $\gcd\left(A_i(T)\right)_{i=0}^n$.  Already when $S$ is an infinite subset of $\mathbb{R}\subseteq \mathbb{R}[T]=D$ do we have $\gamma_S=\tilde{C}$.
When $D:=\mathbb{Z}$ and $f(X)\in\mathcal{I}[X]$, then write $f(X)=\sum_{i=0}^n\,A_i\,\binom{X}{i}$ with $A_0,A_1,\ldots,A_n\in\mathbb{Z}$.  Then, it can be easily seen that $\gamma_S(f)=\tilde{C}(f)$ for $S:=\big\{i\in\{0,1,2,\ldots,n\}\,|\,A_i\neq 0\big\}$.
P.S.
(1)  In fact, we can also define $\gamma_\emptyset(f)$ to be $0$ for all $f(X)\in\mathcal{I}[X]$ (or for a $D$-valued polynomial $f(X)\in \mathcal{I}_D[X]\subseteq F[X]$).  For the zero polynomial $0$, we can set $\gamma_S(0)=0$ and $\tilde{C}(0)=0$.
(2)  I may also need to assume that $D$ is a unique factorization domain, or even a principal ideal domain.  I'm not sure if an infinite subset of a GCD domain necessarily has a gcd.

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Absolutely Gorgeous and Fantastically Attractive HEART Bracelet. It is made from Green JADE Gemstone. It also holds CRYSTAL QUARTZ gemstone bead symmetrically even to Green Jade HEART Charm. CRYSTAL QUARTZ Bead is surrounded by Two SWAROVSKI Crystals Rings, which gives this Bracelet a SPECIAL QUALITY and OUTLOOK. This Bracelet is Called Good Luck TALISMAN, as it is made from Green Jade and this is what this Gemstone stands for. As Well, when used together with Crystal Quartz, it attains more of Natural Powers. It comes on Stretchable cord, and will fit most size wrists. Goes Perfectly with any Style Outfit.
MONEY and WEALTH: Jade is the Stone of Wealth. Know as a good luck and prosperity charm for centuries. It was widely used as a talisman to attract good fortune and also known to bring good luck and prosperity. Provides wisdom when evaluating issues or problems; and brings needed energy, which is so important in managing the Business or Just making Money in general.
LOVE: Jade has been treasured in China since 2950 BC, where it was considered a Symbol of Love. Jade is a stone of the heart. So, of course, it can attract and enhance love. Jade increase a persons capacity for giving and receiving love. It manages passionate feelings. Jade is given by lovers as a statement of their love and devotion to each other. Jade is also a stone of fidelity.
EVIL EYE Protection: Unfortunately there are many people out there who does not get happy for you, when you are the winner. This makes them to have Evil Eye or even Evil Magic against you. Protect your Self for Good. Jade was considered to be the Stone of Magic to the ancient Mayans and Aztecs. Dispels negativity and thought to provide protection from one's enemies. Helps the wearer to sense the truth in all situations. Jade is said to bless the one, who touched it. It helps bring serenity to the mind by releasing negative thoughts. Jade will protect you and also will mirror back the Evil Eye.
KIDS: Jade of all kinds is a very protective stone and is particularly good protection for children. Jade is a Good Rock for Parents to carry as it helps to calm one down even when many kids running through the house. It also protects the child from illness, because many crystal healers associate Jade with the immune system.


Since the first time I have seen pictures of the In Bloom pillow by Johanna Lindal from Mijo Crochet, I knew that I had to make one for myself. And of course for someone who knows what my living room looks like, it should be really easy to find out which color scheme I was aiming for: Winter Rose. I did change it a little as I went for cream rather than using the harsher contrast of real white but I love the more subtle look. This pillow took much longer than expected – it's actually a really big square that's folded over and crocheted together in the back. It took me quite some time to figure out how this is done correctly – while trying to ignore the probably well-ment comments of my hubby such as "Are you sure that is right? It looks funny that way… ".
The second half of the week was dedicated to something totally different – a late-birthday cake for a good friend and dedicated running partner. She requested a Death by Chocolate so a Death by Chocolate she got. Rich chocolate cake with dark chocolate buttercream frosting and dark chocolate ganache topped with – of course – chocolate! It was 37 degrees outside and I was messing around with buttercream – not an easy feat for sure. But what really got me enoyed was, when my first patch of ganache desided to split. What a mess! No quick safe measure worked and I really got frustrated. It was already late on Saturday and I had to rush to the supermarket to grab some more chocolate before the market closed. The second patch worked fine though and I am happy with the result. The dripping could have been finer (will use a squeeze bottle next time) but overall it worked out as planned. And it was so moist and deliciously rich – I still try not to think of the amount of calories though …. But the party guest seemed to have loved it, so that I was able to redistribute those tiny little buggers to someone else's hips :P. And if you want to have a good laugh, check the funny results produced in our session of "Stille Post Extreme" at my friend's blog – my belly still hurts from laughing so much yesterday!


(POUGHKEEPSIE, NY)—A 288-unit apartment complex in Poughkeepsie, New York has just been sold for $19.2 million.
Mountain Brook Realty Holdings LLC secured a $19.2 million Fannie Mae loan through Hunt Mortgage Group to finance the acquisition.
The Mountain Brook Apartments are comprised of 17, two-story apartment buildings featuring a nice mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments.
Steven Cox, managing director at Hunt Mortgage Group, says Poughkeepsie has a strong demand for multifamily housing.
The complex offers residents a fitness center, clubroom, outdoor pool and playground.


Strategic dialogue and the exchange of cutting-edge knowledge, out-of-the-box thinking and good practice " New partnerships between decision makers, experts and practitioners " Commitments to fundamental rights " Support networks and knowledge hubs to tap into " Lasting impact as FRA will support the follow-up and aims to reconvene the Forum every two years. Themes The Forum will focus on how the three themes of inclusion, refugee protection, the digital age are connected, taking the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights, as the starting point. For example, those building an inclusive society need to involve those working to protect migrants and refugees. Similarly digital policies can have an impact on migration and inclusion policies, and vice versa. As a cross-cutting issue, internal security will be discussed under all three themes.


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In other news... (humorous news items)
CorruptUser
Joined: Fri Nov 06, 2009 10:12 pm UTC
Re: In other news... (humorous news items, etc)
Postby CorruptUser » Sun Oct 20, 2013 1:50 am UTC
Wait, how is hitting Ocean more dangerous than Land? The tsunamis might wreck the shores, but we'd have plenty of warning for most. A land strike would kick up enough to dust to effectively kill off all of the crops for the next few years (more? less?), and we'd be down to long pork in a matter of months.
Postby addams » Sun Oct 20, 2013 2:18 am UTC
CorruptUser wrote: Wait, how is hitting Ocean more dangerous than Land? The tsunamis might wreck the shores, but we'd have plenty of warning for most. A land strike would kick up enough to dust to effectively kill off all of the crops for the next few years (more? less?), and we'd be down to long pork in a matter of months.
Agreed. An Ocean landing is better for maintaining the Status Quo.
2400 mega ton? Into water is not that big a deal on a planetary scale.
It would suck for eye witnesses.
There is a place I go from time to time that has between 50 and 75 feet of ash that must have fallen within days or weeks. Nothing lived through hot ash falling for 75 feet. Nothing.
Down the road a bit it was, just, another nice day.
Postby elasto » Sun Oct 20, 2013 2:59 am UTC
Depends on the maths I guess.
I was imagining almost everyone being able to evacuate a land strike and there being no more dust thrown up than a large volcanic erruption. I didn't imagine this size of impact would throw up enough dust to affect global food production.
Evacuating a single city is much easier than evacuating every coastal city in the world; and the worldwide financial cost is much greater if hundreds of cities are ruined through flood damage than just one - and if tens/hundreds of millions are made homeless instead of just thousands/millions.
Postby PM 2Ring » Sun Oct 20, 2013 1:40 pm UTC
elasto wrote:
This size of impact wouldn't throw up enough dust to affect global food production. But it would still be scary to be in the vicinity, especially if it's a dense body.
See Purdue University's Earth Impact Effects calculator. Use 410m for the Projectile Diameter.
Here's an example of its output, for a dense rock of this size hitting Earth at a typical speed expected for an asteroid:
Your Inputs:
Distance from Impact: 10.00 km ( = 6.21 miles )
Projectile diameter: 410.00 meters ( = 1340.00 feet )
Projectile Density: 3000 kg/m3
Impact Velocity: 17.00 km per second ( = 10.60 miles per second )
Impact Angle: 45 degrees
Target Density: 2500 kg/m3
Target Type: Sedimentary Rock
Energy before atmospheric entry: 1.56 x 1019 Joules = 3.74 x 103 MegaTons TNT
The average interval between impacts of this size somewhere on Earth during the last 4 billion years is 1.1 x 105years
Major Global Changes:
The Earth is not strongly disturbed by the impact and loses negligible mass.
The impact does not make a noticeable change in the tilt of Earth's axis (< 5 hundreths of a degree).
The impact does not shift the Earth's orbit noticeably.
Atmospheric Entry:
The projectile begins to breakup at an altitude of 54000 meters = 177000 ft
The projectile reaches the ground in a broken condition. The mass of projectile strikes the surface at velocity 16.6 km/s = 10.3 miles/s
The impact energy is 1.48 x 1019 Joules = 3.54 x 103MegaTons.
The broken projectile fragments strike the ground in an ellipse of dimension 0.986 km by 0.698 km
Crater Dimensions:
Crater shape is normal in spite of atmospheric crushing; fragments are not significantly dispersed.
Transient Crater Diameter: 5.22 km ( = 3.24 miles )
Transient Crater Depth: 1.84 km ( = 1.15 miles )
Final Crater Diameter: 6.5 km ( = 4.04 miles )
Final Crater Depth: 520 meters ( = 1710 feet )
The crater formed is a complex crater.
The volume of the target melted or vaporized is 0.0934 km3 = 0.0224 miles3
Roughly half the melt remains in the crater, where its average thickness is 4.37 meters ( = 14.3 feet ).
Thermal Radiation:
Time for maximum radiation: 297 milliseconds after impact
Visible fireball radius: 4.91 km ( = 3.05 miles )
The fireball appears 112 times larger than the sun
Thermal Exposure: 7.07 x 107 Joules/m2
Duration of Irradiation: 1.06 minutes
Radiant flux (relative to the sun): 1110
Effects of Thermal Radiation:
Clothing ignites
Much of the body suffers third degree burns
Newspaper ignites
Plywood flames
Deciduous trees ignite
Grass ignites
Seismic Effects:
The major seismic shaking will arrive approximately 2 seconds after impact.
Richter Scale Magnitude: 7.0
Mercalli Scale Intensity at a distance of 10 km:
IX. General panic. Damage considerable in specially designed structures; well-designed frame structures thrown out of plumb. Damage great in substantial buildings, with partial collapse. Buildings shifted off foundations. Serious damage to reservoirs. Underground pipes broken. Conspicuous cracks in ground. In alluviated areas sand and mud ejected, earthquake fountains, sand craters.
X. Most masonry and frame structures destroyed with their foundations. Some well-built wooden structures and bridges destroyed. Serious damage to dams, dikes, embankments. Large landslides. Water thrown on banks of canals, rivers, lakes, etc. Sand and mud shifted horizontally on beaches and flat land. Rails bent slightly.
Ejecta:
The ejecta will arrive approximately 45.2 seconds after the impact.
At your position there is a fine dusting of ejecta with occasional larger fragments
Average Ejecta Thickness: 6.61 meters ( = 21.7 feet )
Mean Fragment Diameter: 18.1 meters ( = 59.4 feet )
Air Blast:
The air blast will arrive approximately 30.3 seconds after impact.
Peak Overpressure: 1.8e+06 Pa = 18 bars = 256 psi
Max wind velocity: 1050 m/s = 2340 mph
Sound Intensity: 125 dB (Dangerously Loud)
Damage Description:
Multistory wall-bearing buildings will collapse.
Wood frame buildings will almost completely collapse.
Multistory steel-framed office-type buildings will suffer extreme frame distortion, incipient collapse.
Highway truss bridges will collapse.
Highway girder bridges will collapse.
Glass windows will shatter.
Cars and trucks will be largely displaced and grossly distorted and will require rebuilding before use.
Up to 90 percent of trees blown down; remainder stripped of branches and leaves.
Postby elasto » Sun Oct 20, 2013 5:00 pm UTC
Ok. Looks like we both overestimated the effects. It wouldn't hurt global food production and it wouldn't produce much of a tsunami either:
If I ask that page what would happen if it hit water, it says it'd produce a ~16ft high tsunami. That's not great - it could cause a lot of low-level flooding near shorelines - but probably wouldn't cost any lives. The 2004 Indonesian tsunami reached ~100ft for comparison.
So, yeah, for this size of object the preferences go 'uninhabited land > sea > inhabited land'. At some point though it switches over to 'uninhabited land > inhabited land > sea' ^^
Postby PolakoVoador » Mon Oct 21, 2013 1:27 pm UTC
What if it hits the Moon?
Postby CorruptUser » Mon Oct 21, 2013 1:46 pm UTC
Nothing of significance, really. You'd need something like a 100 mile wide asteroid to hit the moon for any measurable impact on orbit, and even then it wouldn't alter the orbit enough to have any, umm, significant impact on Earth.
I could be off by a few orders of magnitude though.
Postby eSOANEM » Mon Oct 21, 2013 2:04 pm UTC
I wonder how big an impactor would have to be for the lunar dust kicked up to form a visible smudge (assume the impact site is close to the light side/dark side (which is a complete and annoying misnomer) border)? That could be pretty cool.
Postby addams » Mon Oct 21, 2013 4:50 pm UTC
Are you old enough to remember the Icelandic Volcano?
That one was interesting.
Are you old enough to remember Mt. Saint Helens?
Ejecta. We have had some ejecta.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K5pidzTZslo
The asteroid in Russia is a good example of what an asteroid can do.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiXpp-i442s
Russia gets hit. Russians will have a heads up. Right?
The living trees at the epicenter is like the person that lights the match is often the only survivor.
What is funny about this?
In twenty years we might get hit by a Rock? So?
Every twenty years we might get hit by a Rock or have a new Crater Lake blow.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3E_OBsicWQQ
Oh! Oh! It could be Aliens!
The boring kind. From Syria or China or Russia or California or SomeWhere.
Again; How is this funny?
We live with uncertainty?
We know how fast we are going but not where we are?
We know where we are and how fast we are going?
Is someone or something 'Gunning' for us?
Do we have a Persecution Complex?
Are we, just, curious? We want to see it?
We have seen so much interesting shit.
What?? Do we, as a species, have an insatiable desire for entertainment?
Volcano? Yeah! Do it again, God!
To The Russians, as usual?
Belgium pigeon racing rocked by doping scandal. Yes, pigeon racing.
Postby addams » Fri Oct 25, 2013 3:11 pm UTC
PolakoVoador wrote: Belgium pigeon racing rocked by doping scandal. Yes, pigeon racing.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_pigeon
pigeons. Weird and funny.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamasoidosis
pigeons have coodies.
Some are bread to be pretty and they can not fly very well.
Others are bread to be fast. Racing pigeons?
That is funny. Racing pigeons has got to be a lot like Racing Sea Gulls.
"My Sea Gull is faster than your Sea Gull."
People tamed the pigeon. Sea Gulls tame the humans.
Sea Gulls will not come to you. They are like cats.
Flying noisy cats.
Humans! It is mostly men that do that weird shit.
It is an extension of their egos. Back in The Day it was simi-accetable to discuss those things as Phallic Extensions.
When looked at through that lens, it is funny.
The animal extends the ego. To what lengths will people go to prove themselves worthy.
To the extent that the human kills the object. I kid you not. It is called, "Killed with Kindness."
The stupid bird is coddldele and has a wonderful time. Then it dies of being a peigon.
http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index ... 425AAG0qIw
Those animals live 10-15 years?
Chickens live 10 years or so.
Most chickens don't live that long.
God has instilled a drool gene generater in chickens.
Nearly all the omnivores like chicken.
All other food is compared to chicken.
The snake 'tastes like chicken'.
Jewish people can't eat snake.
The rest of us can. I prefer chicken.
They race pigeons. ok. That can't be any weirder than betting on human bicycle racing.
The funny part is someone is worried about doping? That is funny.
No problem for a person to cut the head off of a bird and eat it.
Yet; These people are worried about getting the birds all pumped up.
(so funny) They might have a point. But; I don't think so.
If the animal is healthy enough to fly and find its way home,
Where The Fuck Is The Problem?
What if the Hawk learns that those fancy pigeons the men bring in the fall taste good and give ya' a little buzz?
Red Hal
Magically Delicious
Postby Red Hal » Fri Oct 25, 2013 3:19 pm UTC
[url=http://forums.xkcd.com/viewtopic.php?p=3480711#p3480711]PhoenixEnigma[/url] wrote: Not that it will ever make it into a headline, but the chance of an impact is estimated at 1 in 63 000, which is better than winning the lottery but I'm still not overly concerned by.
Now one in 11,000 chance of impact. How're those dams and dykes looking now, Diadem?
Lost Greatest Silent Baby X Y Z. "There is no one who loves pain itself, who seeks after it and wants to have it, simply because it is pain..."
Wnderer
Postby Wnderer » Fri Oct 25, 2013 4:24 pm UTC
Some visitors in the neighborhood this fall.
http://spaceweather.com/
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid Date(UT) Miss Distance Size
2013 UG1 Oct 17 4.5 LD 152 m
2013 UB Oct 19 1.6 LD 20 m
2013 UR1 Oct 21 0.7 LD 13 m
2013 UE1 Nov 7 7.4 LD 62 m
2000 DK79 Nov 10 49.1 LD 3.0 km
2011 JY1 Nov 13 8.2 LD 57 m
2001 AV43 Nov 18 3 LD 52 m
2010 CL19 Nov 25 37.6 LD 1.3 km
2013 NJ Nov 26 2.5 LD 190 m
2011 YD29 Dec 28 6.1 LD 24 m
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance."
1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon.
1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
SlyReaper
Joined: Mon Dec 31, 2007 11:09 pm UTC
Location: Bristol, Old Blighty
Postby SlyReaper » Sat Oct 26, 2013 8:34 am UTC
Red Hal wrote:
The chance almost always goes up initially because they've narrowed the error ellipse, so the Earth takes up more of the ellipse. It usually drops to pretty much zero when they reduce the error ellipse some more and the Earth falls outside it.
What would Baron Harkonnen do?
flownt
Joined: Sat Feb 09, 2013 5:24 pm UTC
Postby flownt » Sat Oct 26, 2013 4:15 pm UTC
living less than 10 miles from the coast below sealevel i feel fine. The chances of a major storm flooding my neighbourhood are probably larger than that. for good measure, dykes are kept at such a level to make major floods happen less than once every 10000 years.
Postby Diadem » Mon Oct 28, 2013 10:13 am UTC
Red Hal wrote: Now one in 11,000 chance of impact. How're those dams and dykes looking now, Diadem?
Well, meteor strikes are one of the few things things that dams and dykes do very little against. I suppose though that in addition to my delta norm rule I should also formulate a second rule: Chances you can't do anything about are not worth worrying about. In a few years we'll be certain if the thing is going to hit us or not, and we'll have plenty of time to worry then. Interesting question: If you have nearly 20 years to prepare, is it possible to evacuate half a continent?
SlyReaper wrote: The chance almost always goes up initially because they've narrowed the error ellipse, so the Earth takes up more of the ellipse. It usually drops to pretty much zero when they reduce the error ellipse some more and the Earth falls outside it.
Well of course. Right now there's a 10999 out of 11000 chance that the chance of impact will eventually drop to zero, and only a 1 in 11000 chance that it will eventually go up to 1.
Postby Red Hal » Mon Oct 28, 2013 10:35 am UTC
2007 VK184 worries me more than this one.
curtis95112
Postby curtis95112 » Mon Oct 28, 2013 11:32 am UTC
Diadem wrote: Well, meteor strikes are one of the few things things that dams and dykes do very little against. I suppose though that in addition to my delta norm rule I should also formulate a second rule: Chances you can't do anything about are not worth worrying about. In a few years we'll be certain if the thing is going to hit us or not, and we'll have plenty of time to worry then. Interesting question: If you have nearly 20 years to prepare, is it possible to evacuate half a continent?
It would depend on which continent. Australia shouldn't be too difficult to evacuate since it's small, and North America because it's well-developed and has highly functioning governments. On the other hand, it would be impossible to evacuate the half of Asia containing India and China. Getting 3 billion people out is difficult but potentially doable, finding somewhere to put them is even more difficult. The ensuing chaos might be worse than the meteorite strike.
Mighty Jalapeno wrote:
Роберт wrote: Sure, but at least they hit the intended target that time.
Well, if you shoot enough people, you're bound to get the right one eventually.
Thats the best description of the USA ever.
curtis95112 wrote:
So if it became known that in 2032 China is going to be hit by a meteorite destroying most of the country, what do you think the Chinese government is going to do? What they won't do is say "Oh well, sucks to be us". The world will either have to find a way to evacuate 1.3 billion Chinese people (plus several hundred million from neighboring countries) peacefully, or we'll quickly be fighting world war 3.
Come to think of it, that would make a good plot for a book or movie. I'd probably set it in Europe or the US though, because I'm more familiar with those cultures.
Postby curtis95112 » Mon Oct 28, 2013 12:16 pm UTC
Hmm.. would underground shelters be more feasible than evacuating a continent? Seems they should be safe unless they're right beneath the impact zone.
How bad are aftereffects expected to be? With twenty years advance warning, I expect we could stockpile enough resources to last quite some time.
Postby eran_rathan » Mon Oct 28, 2013 12:31 pm UTC
Diadem wrote:
No, because 20 years is a long time - China would immediately say 'Fuck it' to the world, and begin building infrastructure and capability to go and either destroy it or deflect it. It would not surprise me if they ended up building nuclear rockets to both launch their missions and to push said asteroid out of the way.
Postby Diadem » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:02 pm UTC
eran_rathan wrote: No, because 20 years is a long time - China would immediately say 'Fuck it' to the world, and begin building infrastructure and capability to go and either destroy it or deflect it. It would not surprise me if they ended up building nuclear rockets to both launch their missions and to push said asteroid out of the way.
With 20 years warning, that may be feasible. But deflecting asteroids has only been done on paper. It already stretches the limits of our technological capabilities, not counting unforeseen difficulties.
Certainly there's enough material for a good novel here. Make the detection not 20 years, but 10 years in advance. Still enough time to push it away, but now there is considerable time pressure. Funding for the mission is a huge international effort, causing tension between nations over who foots most of the bill. Governments will definitely start with contingency plans. Meanwhile Japan is worried that the Chinese won't manage to push the asteroid far enough, causing it to crash into the pacific ocean. And an earlier Chinese plan to blow the object to pieces with well aimed nukes is vetoed flat out by the US, because they worry some of the debris may still reach earth, and even hit the US. Relations between the two countries further deteriorate. The first mission is a spectacular failure, and ends with the Chinese blaming the Americans for delivering fault parts, and the Americans blaming the Chinese for installing them improperly. Governments now openly start making contingency plans. Meanwhile China is hemorrhaging rich and upper middle class citizens, who are emigrating to anywhere that is not China by the millions. Panicked, the Chinese government attempts to crack down on this, leading to massive riots. To appease the rioters, China makes ever increasing demands on the rest of the world. Tensions mount further. World wide defense spending has tripled in just a few years, and continues to skyrocket. In the midst of all this chaos, scientists launch a second mission, a second attempt to deflect the asteroid. If this one fails, there might still be time for a third attempt, but the window is rapidly starting to close. Four billion people are glued to the television, watching the launch...
I can definitely see this working as a novel.
Postby eran_rathan » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:34 pm UTC
So, like a slightly more realistic Deep Impact?
Space is huge. We just need to launch a cannon into space, even single use, and just hit the asteroid with a hundred kilogram bullet. Even at several million metric tons, that should be enough to deflect the asteroid by just the minuscule degree necessary to put it off course.
Postby Red Hal » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:47 pm UTC
A fair way would be 1% of GDP for every country. That still works out as US$718bn per year. You could do a lot of development with that.
CorruptUser wrote: Space is huge. We just need to launch a cannon into space, even single use, and just hit the asteroid with a hundred kilogram bullet. Even at several million metric tons, that should be enough to deflect the asteroid by just the minuscule degree necessary to put it off course.
Earth moves at 30 km/s, and has a radius of about 6000 km. So the asteroid has to be slowed down by 200 seconds to miss earth. Let's say it's traveling at 20 km/s and has a mass of 10^11 kg. If it's 10 years away, it needs to be slowed down by a factor of 200 / 315,576,000 = 6.4e-7. A stationary object hitting it would have to weigh 64K kilograms to transfer enough momentum. An object sent from earth won't be stationary, but its additional velocity will probably be quit small compared to the 20 km/s the asteroid already has. So let's make it 50 tons.
That's possible. But not easy.
It quickly gets more difficult if the asteroid is heavier though. If the object is, say, 10 km across, you'd need to hit it with a billion kilograms to transfer enough momentum. At that point you will have to look into alternative measures.
It's not easy, but the second time is a lot easier than the first. Doing it multiple times with a smaller mass is much more credible.
Oh and with an object 10Km across, you'd want it to miss the moon too.
But it doesn't need to be slowed, just deflected. Instead of hitting it head on, what if it's hit in the side?
Postby JBJ » Mon Oct 28, 2013 2:49 pm UTC
If you hit it in the side, you're just going to make it angry.
If you hit it in the side you're going to need a very different orbital path, and that may not be practical.
Postby Wnderer » Mon Oct 28, 2013 3:21 pm UTC
Vicarious AI beats Captcha.
http://www.eetimes.com/document.asp?doc_id=1319914&
PORTLAND, Ore. — The world's first artificial intelligence (AI) to pass the Completely Automated Public Turing test to tell Computers and Humans Apart -- Captcha -- debuts today from Vicarious FPC Inc. in San Francisco.
"Our algorithms have passed their first Turning Test -- Captcha -- the world's most widely used test of a computer's ability to act human," said D. Scott Phoenix, co-founder of Vicarious, in an interview with EE Times. "Captcha is considered broken if a computer is able to solve it at least 1 percent of the time, and our algorithms achieve success rates of over 90 percent on the Captcha used by Google, Paypal, Yahoo, and many others."
Now what non-evil use does this have?
CorruptUser wrote: But it doesn't need to be slowed, just deflected. Instead of hitting it head on, what if it's hit in the side?
The angle under which you hit it doesn't matter. You could even hit it from behind to speed it up, so it will pass in front of the earth. Whatever direction you hit it in causes the same change in speed, and thus the same magnitude of change of its location compared to its original path by the time it arrives at the earth. The direction in which its location changes doesn't matter - any direction causes it to miss earth.
Well I suppose that's only true if it was going to hit the earth dead centre, if it was going to hit at an angle you will have to push it less in one direction than in another. But every direction still works if you push it enough, and the difference ain't that big, once you've included a generous safety margin.
So pick the most convenient angle that orbital mechanics gives you, and stick with that.
I'm not convinced hitting it is the best approach though. It's not a very efficient way of transferring energy, and if you accidentally break the thing up you could be in deep trouble. The easiest solution is probably to paint one side white and let the sun do the rest.
Wnderer wrote: 90 percent on the Captcha used by Google, Paypal, Yahoo, and many others."
That's pretty impressive, given that my own success rate is probably like 10% of so. I generally have to refresh a couple of times before I can even begin to guess what word they want, and even then I still sometimes fail.
KrytenKoro
Postby KrytenKoro » Mon Oct 28, 2013 3:49 pm UTC
In other news, "Tokyo Sex-Whale" great name for a band (or Tumblr).
Apparently, the US still has South African ministers on their terrorist watchlists. Anyone know if this is purely red tape, or due to some sort of friction between the two nations?
From the elegant yelling of this compelling dispute comes the ghastly suspicion my opposition's a fruit.
Joined: Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:07 am UTC
Contact Coyne
Postby Coyne » Mon Oct 28, 2013 5:06 pm UTC
Red Hal wrote: 2007 VK184 worries me more than this one.
It's more likely this one will hit us (about 1 in 1800 in year 2048). They haven't looked at its orbit since 2008, though.
But VK184 is teensy compared to TV135: Less than 1/3 the diameter and with an estimated 150 megaton blast. Still not something you'd want to be under, but much less dangerious than TV135. Given some of the costs mentioned above, it might be cheaper to just let VK184 hit us.
(That is an option, for smaller objects: Just evacuate and rebuild afterward.)
Also, 2013 TV135 is back up to about 1 in 28500 chance of impact.
In all fairness...
krogoth
Postby krogoth » Tue Oct 29, 2013 3:53 am UTC
KrytenKoro wrote: In other news, "Tokyo Sex-Whale" great name for a band (or Tumblr).
Sexwale, no H, no hypen. Unless it was just a name inspired by the other.
R3sistance - I don't care at all for the ignorance spreading done by many and to the best of my abilities I try to correct this as much as I can, but I know and understand that even I can not be completely honest, truthful and factual all of the time.
emceng
Location: State of Hockey
Contact emceng
Postby emceng » Tue Oct 29, 2013 1:13 pm UTC
Lawyers seriously took this case?
I mean wow, this is all kinds of stupid.
When I became a man I put away childish things, including the fear of childishness and the desire to be very grown up. - CS Lewis
Postby pkcommando » Tue Oct 29, 2013 1:44 pm UTC
emceng wrote: Lawyers seriously took this case?
Somewhat less than surprised given the mentality shown in some of the reviews.
When reviewers are willing to mark down restaurants because the servers had the audacity to wait on other tables, this kind of lawsuit is inevitable.
Postby CorruptUser » Tue Oct 29, 2013 2:01 pm UTC
When a lawyer doesn't have a client, hez time is worth nothing. And right now, we have far more attorneys than demand. So many will take any case, no matter how idiotic, as long as they could somehow make any argument that the case is indeed not 100% frivolous, because they aren't doing anything else.
Postby LaserGuy » Tue Oct 29, 2013 6:22 pm UTC
To be fair, the quality of service that you receive at a restaurant is inversely proportional to the number of tables your server has to manage. It's probably a more reliable predictor of poor service than anything else you're likely to come across. If a restaurant is clearly putting too few servers on the floor for the numbers of tables (and most do, IMHO, though some are much worse than others), I'd definitely mark them down for that.
Djehutynakht
Postby Djehutynakht » Thu Oct 31, 2013 4:40 am UTC
Red Sox won the World Series!
I take it we're not a very sports-oriented peoples and I'm not a sports oriented person, but I'm a Bostonian (and Randall is from the area) so...
Warranted. World Series!
That's all.


text:
Smoke (Non-Impact): Starduster SA-100, N1356W; accident occurred September 15, 2017 in Southfields, Orange County, New York
The National Transportation Safety Board did not travel to the scene of this accident.
Federal Aviation Administration / Flight Standards District Office; Saddle Brook, New Jersey
http://registry.faa.gov/N1356W
Location: Southfields, NY
Accident Number: ERA17LA338
Registration: N1356W
Aircraft: PARKS RICHARD A STARDUSTER SA 100
Defining Event: Fire/smoke (non-impact)
Injuries:1 None
On September 15, 2017, about 1311 eastern daylight time, an experimental amateur-built Starduster SA100, N1356W, was substantially damaged during a precautionary landing near Southfields, New York. The private pilot was not injured. Visual meteorological conditions prevailed and no flight plan was filed for the personal flight that departed Chester Airport (SNC), Chester, Connecticut, and was destined for Warwick Municipal Airport (N72), Warwick, New York. The airplane was operated under the provisions of 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91.
According to the pilot, he was flying on a short cross-country flight to N72, when during cruise flight at 2,500 ft mean sea level, he noticed smoke coming from the engine cowling. He was 7 miles from his destination, but decided to land immediately due to a possible fire. He saw an open field that he could land the airplane in; however, during touchdown he noticed the grass was about 5 ft tall. The airplane immediately cartwheeled upon touchdown and came to rest at a 45° nose-down attitude. Once he removed the airplane from the field and back to his residence, he noticed a loose oil line fitting at the oil cooler and oil dripping on the exhaust system. He stated there were no mechanical issues with the airplane other than the oil leak.
Examination of the wreckage by a Federal Aviation Administration inspector revealed that the airplane had sustained damage to the landing gear, right upper wing, rudder and vertical stabilizer. He also noticed an oil line that was loose, and observed a large amount of oil in the engine compartment and that oil had been leaking on the exhaust.
Review of the maintenance records revealed that the airplane's most recent conditional inspection was completed on February 14, 2017 and it had accumulated 586 total hours of service at that time.
Certificate: Private
Age:57, Male
Airplane Rating(s): Single-engine Land
Seat Occupied: Single
Other Aircraft Rating(s):None
Instrument Rating(s): None
Medical Certification: Sport Pilot
Last FAA Medical Exam:
Flight Time: (Estimated) 870 hours (Total, all aircraft), 21 hours (Total, this make and model), 810 hours (Pilot In Command, all aircraft), 8 hours (Last 90 days, all aircraft), 8 hours (Last 30 days, all aircraft), 1 hours (Last 24 hours, all aircraft)
Aircraft Make: PARKS RICHARD A
Model/Series: STARDUSTER SA 100 NO SERIES
Amateur Built: Yes
Airworthiness Certificate: Experimental
Serial Number: RAP-02
Landing Gear Type: Tailwheel
Date/Type of Last Inspection: 02/14/2017, Condition
Time Since Last Inspection: 20 Hours
Airframe Total Time: 610 Hours at time of accident
Engine Manufacturer: LYCOMING
ELT: Not installed
Engine Model/Series: O-290 SERIES
Observation Facility, Elevation: KSWF, 491 ft msl
Direction from Accident Site: 9°
Lowest Ceiling: None
Wind Speed/Gusts: Calm /
Turbulence Type Forecast/Actual:
Turbulence Severity Forecast/Actual:
Precipitation and Obscuration:
Departure Point: CHESTER, CT (SNC)
Destination: WARWICK, NY (N72)
Type of Clearance: None
Type of Airspace: Class E
NTSB Identification: ERA17LA338
Accident occurred Friday, September 15, 2017 in Southfields, NY
Aircraft: PARKS RICHARD A STARDUSTER SA 100, registration: N1356W
This is preliminary information, subject to change, and may contain errors. Any errors in this report will be corrected when the final report has been completed. NTSB investigators may not have traveled in support of this investigation and used data provided by various sources to prepare this aircraft accident report.
On September 15, 2017, about 1310 eastern daylight time, an experimental, amateur-built Starduster SA-100, N1356W, was substantially damaged during a precautionary landing near Southfields, New York. The private pilot was not injured. Visual meteorological conditions prevailed and no flight plan was filed for the personal flight that departed Chester Airport (SNC), Chester, Connecticut, and was destined for Warwick Municipal Airport (N72), Warwick, New York. The airplane was operated under the provisions of 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91.
According to the pilot, he was flying on a short cross-country flight to N72, when during cruise flight at 2,500 ft mean sea level, he noticed smoke coming from the engine cowling. He was 7 miles from his destination, but decided to land immediately due to a possible fire. He saw an open field that the airplane could land in; however, during touchdown he noticed the grass was about 5 ft tall. The airplane immediately cartwheeled upon touchdown and came to rest at a 45° nose-down attitude.
Examination of the wreckage by a Federal Aviation Administration inspector revealed that the airplane had sustained damage to the landing gear, right upper wing, rudder and vertical stabilizer.
The airplane was retained for further examination.
Major Pierce V. Gallagher
Troop F Commander
At aprox 1:20 pm this afternoon, DANA M HAGUE age 57 from Clinton, CT was flying his bi-plane from CT to Warwick, NY when he observed smoke coming from the nose of the place. Hague attempted to make an emergency landing in a field located off of St-17 in the area of Arden Rd in the Town of Tuxedo. The landing resulted in damage to the bi-plane but Hague was uninjured. A witness in the area observed the event and believed the plane suffered some form of mechanical failure. Uniform Troopers and Bureau of Criminal Investigation (BCI) are on scene. FAA to be notified.
TUXEDO, NY — A plane made an emergency landing Friday in Town of Tuxedo.
State Police said, at approximately 1:20 p.m., Dana M. Hague, 57, of Clinton, CT was flying his Starduster SA-100 plane from Connecticut to Warwick when he saw smoke coming from the nose of the plane.
Police said the landing resulted in damage to the plane, but Hague was not injured.
A witness in the area observed the event and believed the plane suffered some form of mechanical failure.
Uniformed Troopers and Bureau of Criminal Investigation were on the scene.
The Federal Aviation Administration will be notified.
Story and video ➤ https://patch.com
NEW YORK (CBSNewYork) – A biplane made an emergency landing in a field in Tuxedo Friday afternoon.
The plane went down at around 1:20 p.m. in a field off Route 17 near Arden Road.
Authorities say the pilot, identified as 57-year-old Dana Hague, was flying from Connecticut to Warwick, New York, when he spotted smoke coming from the nose of the plane.
The landing resulted in some damage to the plane, but there were no injuries.
Story and video ➤ http://newyork.cbslocal.com
TUXEDO - A pilot has survived a small plane crash in Orange County this afternoon.
Federal Aviation Administration officials say a Starduster SA-100 amateur-built aircraft went down in a marsh near Route 17A and the New York State Thruway in Tuxedo around 1 p.m. today.
Emergency responders say the pilot was shaken up, but was not injured. He was the only person aboard the plane.
Original article can be found here ➤ http://www.news12.com
TUXEDO – New York State Police report that a plane made an emergency landing in the area of Arden Rd. in the Town of Tuxedo on Friday afternoon.
Police said about 1:20 p.m., Dana M. Hague, age 57 from Clinton, Connecticut was flying his Starduster SA-100 plane from Connecticut to Warwick, New York when he observed smoke coming from the nose of the aircraft.
Hague attempted to make an emergency landing in a field located off of St-17 in the area of Arden Rd., added police.
The landing resulted in damage to the bi-plane but Hague was uninjured.
A witness in the area observed the event and believed the plane suffered some from mechanical failure.
Uniform Troopers and Bureau of Criminal Investigation (BCI) are on scene.
Original article ➤ http://hudsonvalleynewsnetwork.com
TUXEDO - A pilot flying a small plane from Connecticut to Warwick landed roughly in a field beside the Thruway in Orange County on Friday after having possible engine trouble.
State police say Dana Hague, 57, of Clinton, Connecticut, tried to make an emergency landing just north of Arden Road in the Town of Tuxedo at about 1:20 p.m. after seeing smoke coming from the nose of the aircraft.
He was uninjured. No other passengers were aboard.
Original article can be found here ➤ http://www.recordonline.com
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Conquering the Graviteam Berlin: We Run Bln.
That Nike and I have been under the guns of the sport, should have noticed the one or other readers. Diligently, we put almost every day after the other one leg on the floor and try to make the whole rhythmic run properly. Yes folks, there are only 6 kilometres in one piece (so much for the running level on my part) for me, but probably also still no one came from zero to one hundred, or? The Nike laughs Graviteam is based on my performance probably in their sleeves, because the motley crew has been running since October 2010 weekly at the 10 km over Berlin's most beautiful miles. But now, they put on you!
10 km: the Nike Stadium until the Badeschiff Treptow – with you! On June 26 the crew GRAVITEAM wants to take you by the hand and under the motto "WE RUN BLN" conquer the Berlin streets, bridges and parks and Berlin to the " city of running " let live up.
Those who wish you to run in the team and different way to experience the urban running trails in Berlin, should register be sure here. Small gifts also beckon for the athletic master runner, amateur joggers or Nulpen such as Nike and me – the running Kit is ' s together with the limited shirt on June 22 between 16-20 hours.
Your course should be rewarded but of course also solemnly: the Graviteam throw an after run hour with pool party, DJ craft, Andhim and Bodi Bill. If this should be time no incentive? So people get up your Keister and do. We and the Graviteam forward!


text:
\section{Introduction}
At high energy densities, hadrons are transformed into quark gluon plasma (QGP), a new state of matter in which quarks and gluons are
deconfined and move like freely. The hot QGP medium is expected to be produced in high energy heavy nucleus-nucleus
collisions. The formation and properties of the QGP can be studied with heavy flavor production. Heavy flavors are
produced via hard interactions at the early stage of the nucleus-nucleus collision,
so they will interact with the QGP when they traverse the medium later on. In nucleus-nucleus
collisions, the heavy flavor production is also affected by cold nuclear matter effects (CNM), which are present
regardless of the formation of QGP. To disentangle the CNM effects from the QGP effects, heavy flavor production in
proton-nucleus collisions could be studied.
In this report, we present the heavy-ion physics programs at LHCb and summarize the results on heavy flavor production studies in proton-lead data
collected by the LHCb detector.

\section{LHCb detector and data taking}
The LHCb detector is a single-arm forward spectrometer covering the pseudorapidity
range $2<\eta<5$.
The LHCb experiment is designed for precision measurements in the $b$ and $c$ quark sectors, but it is becoming a general
purpose detector in the forward rapidity range.
The LHCb detector consisting of the tracking systems, the hadron particle identification, calorimeters and the muon system,
is fully instrumented in the fiducial region.
This feature makes it possible to study the heavy flavors in a unique
kinematic region, namely low transverse momentum $p_\mathrm{T}$, large rapidity $y$, very large or small Feynman $x_F$,
complementary to other LHC experiments.  The details of the design and performances of the LHCb detector could be found in the references~\cite{LHCb1,LHCb2}.

So far the LHCb experiment has collected data of proton-proton ($pp$), proton-lead ($p$Pb) and lead-lead (PbPb) collisions, and also proton- or
lead-gas fixed target collisions thanks to the System for Measuring the Overlap with Gas (SMOG)~\cite{SMOG} at LHCb.
The fixed target data will be discussed in
detail later. These data are collected at different discrete nucleon-nucleon center-of-mass energies, $\sqrt{s_\mathrm{NN}}$, from 54 GeV to 13
TeV. The analyses presented in this report are based on the $p$Pb data taken at $\sqrt{s_\mathrm{NN}}=5$ TeV in 2013. Since the
LHCb detector covers only one direction of the full acceptance, there are two distinctive beam configurations at LHCb for
the $p$Pb collisions. In the forward (backward) configuration, the proton (lead) beam enters LHCb detector from the
interaction point.
The proton beam and the lead beam have different energies per nucleon in the laboratory frame, so the nucleon-nucleon center-of-mass frame is boosted in
the proton direction with a rapidity shift $\Delta y=0.46$. The LHCb acceptance for forward (backward) collision is
$1.5<y^*<4$ ($-5<y^*<-2.5$),\footnote{The rapidity $y^*$ is defined in the nucleon-nucleon rest frame with the momentum direction of proton as positive $z$-axis} and the
corresponding integrated luminosity is about $1.1$ nb$^{-1}$ ($0.5$ nb$^{-1}$) for the forward (backward) collisions.

\section{Prompt $D^0$ production}
At LHCb, the $D^0$ candidate is fully reconstructed in the $D^0\to K^-\pi^+$ decay mode, and selections are applied
exploring the large impact parameter and particle identification of the $K^-\pi^+$ tracks, and vertex displacement
of the $D^0$ candidate~\cite{LHCbD0}.  The signal and background events are discriminated by fitting the invariant mass
distribution, and the prompt $D^0$ and $D^0$ from $b$ hadron decays ($D^0$-from-$b$) are separated by fitting the impact
parameter significance ($\chi^2_\mathrm{IP}$) of the $D^0$ candidate.  The $\chi^2_\mathrm{IP}$ and invariant mass distribution for the forward
sample, integrating over all kinematic bins, are given in Fig.~\ref{fig:MassIPForward}. LHCb is the unique experiment
that could separate the $D^0$-from-$b$ component down to zero $p_\mathrm{T}$ region. For the cross-section measurements,
the reconstruction efficiency and particle identification efficiency are calibrated using data, and the distribution of
the number of tracks in simulation is corrected to match that in data.

\begin{figure}
\centering
\begin{minipage}{0.8\linewidth}
\centerline{\includegraphics[width=1.0\linewidth]{PAMassIPAll.pdf}}
\end{minipage}
\caption[]{The distributions of (left) $\log(\chi^2_\mathrm{IP})$ and (right) invariant mass of the $D^0$ candidate in the
    forward sample. }
\label{fig:MassIPForward}
\end{figure}

The double differential cross-section as a function of $p_\mathrm{T}$ and $y^*$ is measured in the range
$0< p_\mathrm{T}< 8$ GeV, and $1.5< y^*<4$ ($-5< y^*<-2.5$) for the forward (backward) sample.
The nuclear modification factor, $R_{p\mathrm{Pb}}$, is determined to be the cross-section in $p$Pb collisions over that in $pp$
collisions at the same center-of-mass colliding energy, normalized by the number of binary colliding pairs $A$ ($A=208$ for $p$Pb collisions), as
$R_{p\mathrm{Pb}} (y^*,p_\mathrm{T}) = \frac{1}{A}\times \frac{\sigma_{p\mathrm{Pb}}(y^*,p_\mathrm{T},\sqrt{s_\mathrm{NN}})}{\sigma_{pp}(y^*,p_\mathrm{T},\sqrt{s_\mathrm{NN}})}$.
The reference cross-section in $pp$ collisions at 5 TeV is determined by extrapolation from results at 7 and 13
TeV~\cite{D0At7TeV,D0At13TeV} with
the method described in reference~\cite{JpsiInPA}.
The reference cross-section measurements in $pp$ collisions at 5 TeV is underway.
In Fig.~\ref{fig:RpPbPT}, the $R_{p\mathrm{Pb}}$ as a function of $p_\mathrm{T}$ integrated over the rapidity
range $2.5<|y^*|< 4$ are given for the backward (left) and forward (right) data.
The large uncertainties are dominated by the extrapolated reference cross-section. Generally speaking, the nuclear
modification factor in the forward sample is smaller than that in the backward sample. Good agreements are
found between LHCb measurements and the MNR calculations~\cite{MNR} with CTEQ6M~\cite{CTEQ6M} and EPS09NLO~\cite{EPS09}
parton distribution functions.

The forward-backward ratio, $R_\mathrm{FB}$, is defined as
$R_\mathrm{FB}(|y^*|,p_\mathrm{T})=\frac{\sigma_{p\mathrm{Pb}}(+|y^*|,p_\mathrm{T})}{\sigma_{p\mathrm{Pb}}(-|y^*|,p_\mathrm{T})}$,
and systematic uncertainties largely cancel in the ratio. The $R_\mathrm{FB}$ as a function of $p_\mathrm{T}$ and $y^*$ is
given in Fig.~\ref{fig:RFB}, and the results suggest significant production asymmetry
between the forward and backward acceptance, indicating strong nuclear matter effects. The measurements are in
reasonable agreement with MNR calculations.

\section{Quarkonium productions}
LHCb also studied the CNM effects in $p$Pb data using the productions of quarkonia, including $J/\psi$, $\psi(2S)$ and
$\Upsilon$ mesons~\cite{JpsiInPA,PsiInPA,UpsilonInPA}. The prompt $J/\psi$ and $\psi(2S)$
mesons are separated from those from $b$-hadron decays, allowing
to study the CNM effects for both components. The results of $R_{p\mathrm{Pb}}$ for the quarkonium states are given in
Fig.~\ref{fig:RpPbQuarkonia}. It can be seen that in the forward sample, $J/\psi$ production in $p$Pb is strongly
suppressed compared to that in $pp$, the suppression for $\psi(2S)$ is even stronger, while that for $\Upsilon(1S)$ is
modest. In the backward data sample, $R_{p\mathrm{Pb}}$ is compatible with unity for $J/\psi$ and $\Upsilon$ mesons, but
intriguing strong suppression is seen for $\psi(2S)$, suggesting that the mechanism for $\psi(2S)$ production in $p$Pb
collisions is not the same as that for $J/\psi$, which is to be understood.
In the forward sample,  $R_{p\mathrm{Pb}}$ for $\psi$-from-$b$ is closer to unity than for prompt $\psi$ mesons, which
indicates that the open bottom hadrons in $p$Pb are less suppressed compared to prompt charmonium. The measurements of $R_{p\mathrm{Pb}}$ for $J/\psi$
and $\Upsilon$ are in good agreements with various theoretical calculations referred to in the corresponding paper.

\begin{figure}
\centering
\begin{minipage}{0.45\linewidth}
\centerline{\includegraphics[width=1.0\linewidth]{RpPb_PT_Bwd.pdf}}
\end{minipage}
\hfill
\begin{minipage}{0.45\linewidth}
\centerline{\includegraphics[width=1.0\linewidth]{RpPb_PT_Fwd.pdf}}
\end{minipage}
\caption[]{The nuclear modification factor $R_{p\mathrm{Pb}}$ as a function of $p_\mathrm{T}$ integrated over
    rapidity range $2.5<|y^*|< 4$ for (left) the backward sample and (right) the forward sample.}
\label{fig:RpPbPT}
\end{figure}

\begin{figure}
\centering
\begin{minipage}{0.45\linewidth}
\centerline{\includegraphics[width=1.0\linewidth]{RFBPT.pdf}}
\end{minipage}
\hfill
\begin{minipage}{0.45\linewidth}
\centerline{\includegraphics[width=1.0\linewidth]{RFBY.pdf}}
\end{minipage}
\caption[]{The forward-backward production ratio $R_\mathrm{FB}$ as a function of (left) $p_\mathrm{T}$ and (right)
    $y^*$. The integrated kinematic range is indicated also in the respective plots.}
\label{fig:RFB}
\end{figure}

\begin{figure}
\centering
\begin{minipage}{0.32\linewidth}
\centerline{\includegraphics[width=1.0\linewidth]{PsiPromptCNM.pdf}}
\end{minipage}
\hfill
\begin{minipage}{0.32\linewidth}
\centerline{\includegraphics[width=1.0\linewidth]{PsiFromBCNM.pdf}}
\end{minipage}
\hfill
\begin{minipage}{0.32\linewidth}
\centerline{\includegraphics[width=1.0\linewidth]{UpsilonCNM.pdf}}
\end{minipage}
\caption[]{The nuclear modification factor $R_{p\mathrm{Pb}}$ in bins of $y$
    integrated over $p_\mathrm{T}$ for (left) prompt $J/\psi$ and $\psi(2S)$, (middle) $J/\psi$-, $\psi(2S)$-from-$b$ and (right) $\Upsilon(1S)$. }
\label{fig:RpPbQuarkonia}
\end{figure}

\section{Prospects of LHCb heavy ion studies}
At LHCb, the fixed target program benefits from the SMOG device.
When noble gas is injected in SMOG, the proton and lead beams can collide with the gas similar to fixed target collisions.
With different choices of noble gases, we are able to explore different sizes of colliding systems.
In the past, LHCb has already collected short runs of SMOG collisions, including
$p$Ne at $\sqrt{s_\mathrm{NN}}=110$ GeV, and PbNe at $\sqrt{s_\mathrm{NN}}=54$ GeV, and clear $J/\psi$ signals are
observed in these samples. LHCb also collected PbPb collisions in 2015, and more will be available in the coming years.

\section{Summary}
In conclusion, heavy flavors are good tools to study the physics in heavy ion collisions, and LHCb has demonstrated its
capabilities to contribute significantly to heavy ion studies.
LHCb has studied cold nuclear matter effects using quarkonia and open charm productions with the $p$Pb data at
$\sqrt{s_\mathrm{NN}}=5$ TeV.
LHCb also collected PbPb collisions, allowing to study rich physics programs covering heavy flavours, electroweak, soft
QCD and QGP physics. LHCb is also unique to do fixed target physics,
exploiting  colliding systems of different sizes at low energies using the SMOG system.

\section*{Acknowledgments}
The corresponding author acknowledges support from the
European Research Council (ERC) through the project EXPLORINGMATTER,
funded by the ERC through a ERC-Consolidator-Grant.

\section*{References}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaArXiv


Global World Hunger Day is Sunday, October 13, 2017, and we encourage you to promote the need through your church. Great materials, videos, bulletin inserts and posters are available. Please urge your church to give to the World Hunger Fund through the Georgia Baptist Convention.
It is important for Georgia Baptist churches to know that when they give to World Hunger through their church, a portion of that offering goes to relieve hunger needs in Georgia. In the past years, we have seen a great increase in the need in our state. Churches and associations are providing assistance to needy Georgia people through food banks and other means.
100% of every dollar goes directly to World Hunger – Help Us Give!
Twenty cents of every dollar is used to support hunger projects in the United States. Eighty cents of every dollar is used for international hunger ministry as well as water well drilling, agricultural education, water purification and more.
Visit worldhungerfund.com for more information on Global Hunger Relief efforts.


text:
Court: Don't Spend Billions on Outdated Travel Forecasts
By Joe Cortright
Cross-posted from City Observatory.
Last week, the Washington Post reported that the U.S. District Court in Washington, D.C., has ordered new ridership projections for the proposed Purple Line light rail line, which will connect a series of Maryland suburbs. Like any multi-billion dollar project that serves a densely settled metropolitan area—and this one connects some of its wealthiest suburbs—there's bound to be controversy. But today, we'll ignore the substantive debate over the merits of the proposed alternative and focus instead on the technical issue of projecting future ridership on which this case turned.
The court's decision was based on the fact that the state, and the FTA, have failed to update ridership projections since 2009. The plaintiffs argued that rail ridership on the Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority's Metro system has declined every year since then, and that the system's recent safety, budget, and operational woes are threatening to push ridership even lower.
The state of Maryland and the Federal Transit Administration, the Purple Line's project sponsors, argued in response to the plaintiffs that because WMATA is a separate transit system, its ridership is not germane to assessing the environmental impacts of the Purple Line, which will be operated by the Maryland Transit Administration. The court rejected these claims, noting that more than a quarter of the expected riders of the Purple Line are also expected to use the WMATA Metro system.
U.S. District Court Judge Richard J. Leon determined that the failure to update the ridership forecasts in light of WMATA's troubles was "arbitrary and capricious." In his opinion, the two agencies were "cavalier" and failed to update ridership forecasts in the face of changed circumstances, which "raises serious concerns about their competence as stewards of nearly a billion dollars of federal taxpayer's funds."
The case is Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail v. FTA, Civil Case #14-01471. The decision was handed down on August 3. A copy of Judge Leon's memorandum of opinion from August 3 is available here.
Maryland officials have said they'll appeal the District Court's ruling, so it's not yet certain that this case will be the law of the land. But in our view, if this ruling stands, it has an important implication for transportation planning—especially the construction of highway expansion projects. The underlying principle here is that big investments ought to be based on forecasts—whether of future traffic or ridership—that fully reflect all the information we have at hand on how travel patterns are changing, and are likely to change in the future. The track record for highway traffic forecasts has, if anything, been far worse than the problems flagged for WMATA's Metro.
Around the nation, state departments of transportation have routinely overestimated the growth of automobile traffic and used these exaggerated projections to justify billions of dollars of new roads. The State Smart Transportation Institute analyzed an aggregation of state traffic forecasts prepared annually by the USDOT. SSTI's analysis showed that 20-year projections overestimated future traffic volumes in every single year states' reports could be compared against data on actual miles driven by Americans.
Traffic projections from state and regional transportation authorities have been wildly off. Source: State Smart Transportation Institute
As we and others have noted, there's been a sea-change in American travel habits, influenced by changing gasoline prices and a generational change it attitudes toward travel and urban living. Yet many state forecasting models are still grounded in unexamined extrapolations of trends dating back to the 1990s. In Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail v. FTA, Judge Leon cited press reports on the impact of Metro safety problems on ridership. If courts take judicial notice of the contemporaneous developments that are materially changing travel patterns, we hope that they will cast a similar light on the abundant evidence about changing travel behavior —and insist that highway projects also fully consider these changing circumstances. There's a precedent: As we reported last year, a federal court in Wisconsin struck down the approval of a highway project there based on flawed and outdated traffic projections.
A overwhelming amount of assumptions, inertia, and potential bias are buried in traffic projections. At a time of rapid shifts in travel behavior, markets, and technology, and especially in response to climate change, we should be especially wary of projects based on models that are opaque extrapolations of outdated trends. It's a good thing that the National Environmental Policy Act requires project sponsors to take note of changing circumstances. Hopefully, as Judge Leon observed in his opinion, this ought to be simply a matter of common sense.
Filed Under: Transit, VMT
2 thoughts on Court: Don't Spend Billions on Outdated Travel Forecasts
war_on_hugs says:
The underlying principle here is that big investments ought to be based on forecasts—whether of future traffic or ridership—that fully reflect all the information we have at hand on how travel patterns are changing, and are likely to change in the future.
Unfortunately, this is an overly optimistic interpretation of the ruling, in my view. I'm all for more realistic forecasting methods, but there's little evidence in this case that MTA or FTA should have done anything differently.
While it's true that DC Metro transfers are predicted to account for about a quarter of the Purple Line's ridership, let's game this out: assuming current trends continue, Metro ridership will be about 10% lower than its 2009 level by the time the Purple Line opens in 2022.
So: 25% x 10% = 2.5% difference from the current forecast. Significant, sure, and something to plan for, but hardly an earth-shattering difference.
And that's a very generous assumption for the plaintiffs. For one thing, it's quite possible that Metro's woes would actually increase Purple Line usage, since a new light rail line is likely to be a far more reliable option.
And, as mentioned, the Purple Line's projected opening is six years in the future. (And keeps getting delayed by lawsuits like this.) It's highly unlikely that Metro will still be in such bad shape by then.
It's a very different situation than relying on clearly outdated traffic models, where courts have shown every deference to state DOTs, even in the Wisconsin case mentioned (which was a very narrow ruling).
For context, Friends of the Capital Crescent Trail is a NIMBY group based in a wealthy suburb, Chevy Chase, that has opposed the Purple Line since its inception for reasons that have nothing to do with ridership forecasts.
For years, they've thrown every legal argument at the wall hoping something would stick — declaiming the effect of the project on their namesake trail, mainly, even saying that danger to a rare arthropod should scrap the whole project.
What this ruling really says is that they've found a judge who finally bought one of their capricious arguments. A judge who happens to live in Chevy Chase and is a member of a country club that is vehemently opposed to the Purple Line, for that matter.
neroden says:
Judge should be forced to recuse. If he doesn't, however, the precedent can be used to attack a *lot* of highway projects.
After Five-Month Delay, Federal Judge Calls for Yet More Study of Maryland's Purple Line
By Stephen Miller	| May 23, 2017
Facing pressure from elected officials, an appeals court, and the public to issue a long-delayed decision on Maryland's Purple Line light rail, a federal judge has determined -- five months after he was given the additional analysis that he requested -- that the project needs even more environmental studies.
The Secrets of Successful Transit Projects — Revealed!
By Payton Chung	| Jul 10, 2014
All across America, cities are investing in new transit lines. Which of these routes will make the biggest impact by attracting large numbers of new riders? A landmark report from a team of researchers with the University of California at Berkeley identifies the factors that set successful transit investments apart from the rest. The secret sauce is fairly […]
High Speed Rail: Which Corridors Have the Best Chance for Success?
By Tanya Snyder	| Jan 12, 2011
Perhaps it goes without saying, but when you're advocating for something, it's not enough to make it happen – it has to succeed. If you get what you want and it's a miserable failure, you've made matters far worse for your cause. That's the quandary some high speed rail advocates find themselves in now. Some […]
Highway Boondoggles: California's 710 Tunnel
By Jeff Inglis and John Olivieri	| Jan 22, 2016
A proposal to drill a pair of highway tunnels is the most expensive, most polluting, least effective option for solving the San Gabriel Valley's transportation problems. A highway linking I-710 from Alhambra to I-210/ SR-710 in Pasadena was first proposed in the late 1950s. Ever since, efforts to build the highway have run into obstacles including […]
Before You Get Too Excited About Seattle's Big Transit Expansion…
By Ben Fried	| Mar 25, 2016
Read Doug Trumm's post at the Urbanist about Sound Transit's $50 billion, 25-year expansion plan, known as ST3, which the agency revealed yesterday. It's ambitious in scope, but will the new lines meet the region's most pressing transit needs? Piecing together the project list has been an exercise in regional politics, since voters will decide this November whether […]
Houston Has a Rail Solution to Traffic
By Aaron Short	| Jun 5, 2019
Houston, we have a solution: Rail.


text:
Anata niwa Watasanai
Country: Japanese
Genre: Family, melodrama
Kamishima Michiko has been married for 20 years. Her husband Shunpei is the son and chef of a distinguished family which runs a traditional Japanese restaurant and they have two children. She leads a peaceful life as a full-time housewife. But one day, Yahagi Tae, a woman who identifies herself as Shunpei's lover, appears in front of Michiko all of a sudden and tells her, "I've come to get your husband". Tae says they have been in a relationship since six years ago. She presents divorce papers that Shunpei has signed to Michiko and reveals that Michiko's late mother-in-law had welcomed their relationship. Furthermore, Michiko discovers that her husband's restaurant is heavily in debt and on the brink of bankruptcy. Confronted with a series of unexpected truths, Michiko has Tae buy out her marriage papers with Shunpei for 60 million yen and decides that she will become the proprietress of the restaurant and put it back on track.
Ep 7 | RAW


text:
Review: Kick-Ass (2010)
Kick-Ass (2010)
Directed by: Matthew Vaughn
Premise: An average high school student (Aaron Johnson) who likes comic books decides to assume the identity of a superhero and spends his nights in costume, fighting crime. At the same time, a father and daughter (Nicolas Cage and Chloe Moertz) take on a local crime lord.
What Works: Kick-Ass is a lot of fun to watch. The film is funny and irreverent, deflating the sense of self-importance that often hurts a lot of these films. Kick-Ass is split into two narrative plot lines, which eventually merge together pretty smoothly. The primary storyline of high school student Dave Lizewski and his superhero identity as Kick-Ass is done with a fair amount of credibility as it follows the character's trials and failures. Although it plays up the ridiculousness of it and falls prey to some romantic clichés, there is also some underlying themes of living a life of significance and meaning that are well intended and cut a little deeper than expected. Similarly, the subplot of crime lord Frank D'Amico (Mark Strong) and his son (Christopher Mintz-Plasse), although indulging a lot of gangster posturing, has some thematic weight to it as the son begins to incorporate himself into the family business. The other major plot line of Kick-Ass occurs between a father and daughter who also fight crime as vigilantes but are dead serious in their approach and professional in their execution. Nicolas Cage gives one of his (intentionally) funniest performances in years in this movie and his character's relationship with his daughter, played by Chloe Moertz, also gives this film some emotional reality. Kick-Ass is extremely violent and bloody but the violence of the father and daughter is often offset by humor and ironic music choices, giving the action scenes the same sense of ridiculousness as a Road Runner cartoon.
What Doesn't: Kick-Ass is hurt by a lack of commitment to some of the themes of its story and style. The film begins as some kind of metatext about comic books and superheroes but it does not go all the way with it and never completes its point about heroism or vigilantism. The film also goes awry at moments when it suspends the more realistic approach for a more traditional shoot 'em up action style.
Bottom Line: Although Kick-Ass does not reach the heights of The Dark Knight or Iron Man, it is better than a great deal of other, more high profile comic book films including Superman Returns and Watchmen and it's worth a look by action and superhero aficionados.
Episode: #285 (April 25, 2010)


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text:
I-pad technology decodes how brain decides on food
Last Updated: Mon, Aug 04, 2014 18:00 hrs
London, Aug 4 (IANS) A 'flypad' touchscreen technology similar to what is seen in i-pads has provided crucial insights into how our brain decides what and how much to eat.
The findings revealed surprising similarities between the way mammals and flies eat.
"What and how we eat is a crucial determinant of health and wellbeing. In lab experiments, we found that each time the fly touched the food, we were able to detect it, allowing us to follow the details of feeding in high resolution and real time," said Carlos Ribeiro from the Champalimaud Neuroscience Programme in Portugal.
They found that flies ate by rhythmically extending their proboscis (eating organ) in a highly stereotyped fashion.
When they are hungry they do not change the rhythm of feeding but instead alter how long they wait to take the next bite.
"This means that flies change different aspects of their behaviour depending on how hungry they are. Furthermore, the way flies adapt to starvation is similar to how mammals do it," Ribeiro added.
To complement the 'flypad' technology, researchers also developed another method that allows them to detect when the food reaches the nervous system.
They took a protein from the firefly, the one that makes the firefly shine at night, and expressed it in the brain of the fruit flies.
"We then fed them with a substance that activates that protein. This way, we could make sure that the amount and the timing of flashes from the brain are related to food intake and nutrient absorption," said Pavel Itskov, from the behaviour and metabolism lab at Champalimaud Neuroscience Programme.
The results were striking.
"It showed us that the food reaches the nervous system extremely fast, in as little as 20 seconds," Itskov noted.
The paper appeared in the scientific journal Nature Communications.
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