text:
#include "internal.h"

#if DISPATCH_USE_INTERNAL_WORKQUEUE

#if defined(_WIN32)
#include <wct.h>
#endif

/*
 * dispatch_workq monitors the thread pool that is
 * executing the work enqueued on libdispatch's pthread
 * root queues and dynamically adjusts its size.
 *
 * The dynamic monitoring could be implemented using either
 *   (a) low-frequency user-level approximation of the number of runnable
 *       worker threads via reading the /proc file system
 *   (b) a Linux kernel extension that hooks the process change handler
 *       to accurately track the number of runnable normal worker threads
 * This file provides an implementation of option (a).
 *
 * Using either form of monitoring, if (i) there appears to be
 * work available in the monitored pthread root queue, (ii) the
 * number of runnable workers is below the target size for the pool,
 * and (iii) the total number of worker threads is below an upper limit,
 * then an additional worker thread will be added to the pool.
 */

#pragma mark static data for monitoring subsystem

/*
 * State for the user-level monitoring of a workqueue.
 */
typedef struct dispatch_workq_monitor_s {
	/* The dispatch_queue we are monitoring */
	dispatch_queue_global_t dq;

	/* The observed number of runnable worker threads */
	int32_t num_runnable;

	/* The desired number of runnable worker threads */
	int32_t target_runnable;

	/*
	 * Tracking of registered workers; all accesses must hold lock.
	 * Invariant: registered_tids[0]...registered_tids[num_registered_tids-1]
	 *   contain the dispatch_tids of the worker threads we are monitoring.
	 */
	dispatch_unfair_lock_s registered_tid_lock;
	dispatch_tid *registered_tids;
	int num_registered_tids;
} dispatch_workq_monitor_s, *dispatch_workq_monitor_t;

#if HAVE_DISPATCH_WORKQ_MONITORING
static dispatch_workq_monitor_s _dispatch_workq_monitors[DISPATCH_QOS_NBUCKETS];
#endif

#pragma mark Implementation of the monitoring subsystem.

#define WORKQ_MAX_TRACKED_TIDS DISPATCH_WORKQ_MAX_PTHREAD_COUNT
#define WORKQ_OVERSUBSCRIBE_FACTOR 2

static void _dispatch_workq_init_once(void *context DISPATCH_UNUSED);
static dispatch_once_t _dispatch_workq_init_once_pred;

void
_dispatch_workq_worker_register(dispatch_queue_global_t root_q)
{
	dispatch_once_f(&_dispatch_workq_init_once_pred, NULL, &_dispatch_workq_init_once);

#if HAVE_DISPATCH_WORKQ_MONITORING
	dispatch_qos_t qos = _dispatch_priority_qos(root_q->dq_priority);
	if (qos == 0) qos = DISPATCH_QOS_DEFAULT;
	int bucket = DISPATCH_QOS_BUCKET(qos);
	dispatch_workq_monitor_t mon = &_dispatch_workq_monitors[bucket];
	dispatch_assert(mon->dq == root_q);
	dispatch_tid tid = _dispatch_tid_self();
	_dispatch_unfair_lock_lock(&mon->registered_tid_lock);
	dispatch_assert(mon->num_registered_tids < WORKQ_MAX_TRACKED_TIDS-1);
	int worker_id = mon->num_registered_tids++;
	mon->registered_tids[worker_id] = tid;
	_dispatch_unfair_lock_unlock(&mon->registered_tid_lock);
#else
	(void)root_q;
#endif // HAVE_DISPATCH_WORKQ_MONITORING
}

void
_dispatch_workq_worker_unregister(dispatch_queue_global_t root_q)
{
#if HAVE_DISPATCH_WORKQ_MONITORING
	dispatch_qos_t qos = _dispatch_priority_qos(root_q->dq_priority);
	if (qos == 0) qos = DISPATCH_QOS_DEFAULT;
	int bucket = DISPATCH_QOS_BUCKET(qos);
	dispatch_workq_monitor_t mon = &_dispatch_workq_monitors[bucket];
	dispatch_assert(mon->dq == root_q);
	dispatch_tid tid = _dispatch_tid_self();
	_dispatch_unfair_lock_lock(&mon->registered_tid_lock);
	for (int i = 0; i < mon->num_registered_tids; i++) {
		if (mon->registered_tids[i] == tid) {
			int last = mon->num_registered_tids - 1;
			mon->registered_tids[i] = mon->registered_tids[last];
			mon->registered_tids[last] = 0;
			mon->num_registered_tids--;
			break;
		}
	}
	_dispatch_unfair_lock_unlock(&mon->registered_tid_lock);
#else
	(void)root_q;
#endif // HAVE_DISPATCH_WORKQ_MONITORING
}

#if HAVE_DISPATCH_WORKQ_MONITORING
#if defined(__linux__)
/*
 * For each pid that is a registered worker, read /proc/[pid]/stat
 * to get a count of the number of them that are actually runnable.
 * See the proc(5) man page for the format of the contents of /proc/[pid]/stat
 */
static void
_dispatch_workq_count_runnable_workers(dispatch_workq_monitor_t mon)
{
	char path[128];
	char buf[4096];
	int running_count = 0;

	_dispatch_unfair_lock_lock(&mon->registered_tid_lock);

	for (int i = 0; i < mon->num_registered_tids; i++) {
		dispatch_tid tid = mon->registered_tids[i];
		int fd;
		ssize_t bytes_read = -1;

		int r = snprintf(path, sizeof(path), "/proc/%d/stat", tid);
		dispatch_assert(r > 0 && r < (int)sizeof(path));

		fd = open(path, O_RDONLY | O_NONBLOCK);
		if (unlikely(fd == -1)) {
			DISPATCH_CLIENT_CRASH(tid,
					"workq: registered worker exited prematurely");
		} else {
			bytes_read = read(fd, buf, sizeof(buf)-1);
			(void)close(fd);
		}

		if (bytes_read > 0) {
			buf[bytes_read] = '\0';
			char state;
			if (sscanf(buf, "%*d %*s %c", &state) == 1) {
				// _dispatch_debug("workq: Worker %d, state %c\n", tid, state);
				if (state == 'R') {
					running_count++;
				}
			} else {
				_dispatch_debug("workq: sscanf of state failed for %d", tid);
			}
		} else {
			_dispatch_debug("workq: Failed to read %s", path);
		}
	}

	mon->num_runnable = running_count;

	_dispatch_unfair_lock_unlock(&mon->registered_tid_lock);
}
#elif defined(_WIN32)
static void
_dispatch_workq_init_wct(void *hWCTSession)
{
	// TODO(compnerd) this should have an associated CloseThreadWaitChainSession
	*(HWCT **)hWCTSession = OpenThreadWaitChainSession(0, NULL);
}

static void
_dispatch_workq_count_runnable_workers(dispatch_workq_monitor_t mon)
{
	static dispatch_once_t _wct_init_pred;
	static HWCT hWCTSession;
	static WAITCHAIN_NODE_INFO wait_chain[WCT_MAX_NODE_COUNT];

	dispatch_once_f(&_wct_init_pred, &hWCTSession, &_dispatch_workq_init_wct);

	int running_count = 0;

	_dispatch_unfair_lock_lock(&mon->registered_tid_lock);

	for (int i = 0; i < mon->num_registered_tids; ++i) {
		/* See _dispatch_tid_self() */
		dispatch_tid tid = mon->registered_tids[i] >> 2;

		DWORD count = WCT_MAX_NODE_COUNT;
		BOOL cycle = FALSE;
		if (GetThreadWaitChain(hWCTSession, 0, 0, tid, &count, wait_chain, &cycle)) {
			// Check the deepest entry to see what the thread is waiting on.
			DWORD index = MIN(count, WCT_MAX_NODE_COUNT) - 1;
			if (wait_chain[index].ObjectType == WctThreadType) {
				if (wait_chain[index].ObjectStatus != WctStatusRunning) {
					continue;
				}
			}
		}

		// Ensure that the thread is not waiting on IO
		// XXX(compnerd) is this needed? The wait chain reports SMB
		// and Socket IO, but it is unclear if that includes normal IO.
		HANDLE hThread = OpenThread(THREAD_QUERY_INFORMATION, FALSE, tid);
		if (hThread == NULL) {
			_dispatch_debug("workq: unable to open thread %lu: %lu", tid, GetLastError());
			continue;
		}

		BOOL IOPending = TRUE;
		if (GetThreadIOPendingFlag(hThread, &IOPending))
			if (!IOPending)
				++running_count;

		CloseHandle(hThread);
	}

	mon->num_runnable = running_count;

	_dispatch_unfair_lock_unlock(&mon->registered_tid_lock);
}
#else
#error must define _dispatch_workq_count_runnable_workers
#endif

#define foreach_qos_bucket_reverse(name) \
		for (name = DISPATCH_QOS_BUCKET(DISPATCH_QOS_MAX); \
				name >= DISPATCH_QOS_BUCKET(DISPATCH_QOS_MAINTENANCE); name--)

static void
_dispatch_workq_monitor_pools(void *context DISPATCH_UNUSED)
{
	int global_soft_max = WORKQ_OVERSUBSCRIBE_FACTOR * (int)dispatch_hw_config(active_cpus);
	int global_runnable = 0, i;
	foreach_qos_bucket_reverse(i) {
		dispatch_workq_monitor_t mon = &_dispatch_workq_monitors[i];
		dispatch_queue_global_t dq = mon->dq;

		if (!_dispatch_queue_class_probe(dq)) {
			_dispatch_debug("workq: %s is empty.", dq->dq_label);
			continue;
		}

		_dispatch_workq_count_runnable_workers(mon);
		_dispatch_debug("workq: %s has %d runnable wokers (target is %d)",
				dq->dq_label, mon->num_runnable, mon->target_runnable);

		global_runnable += mon->num_runnable;

		if (mon->num_runnable == 0) {
			// We have work, but no worker is runnable.
			// It is likely the program is stalled. Therefore treat
			// this as if dq were an overcommit queue and call poke
			// with the limit being the maximum number of workers for dq.
			int32_t floor = mon->target_runnable - WORKQ_MAX_TRACKED_TIDS;
			_dispatch_debug("workq: %s has no runnable workers; poking with floor %d",
					dq->dq_label, floor);
			_dispatch_root_queue_poke(dq, 1, floor);
			global_runnable += 1; // account for poke in global estimate
		} else if (mon->num_runnable < mon->target_runnable &&
				   global_runnable < global_soft_max) {
			// We are below target, but some workers are still runnable.
			// We want to oversubscribe to hit the desired load target.
			// However, this under-utilization may be transitory so set the
			// floor as a small multiple of threads per core.
			int32_t floor = (1 - WORKQ_OVERSUBSCRIBE_FACTOR) * mon->target_runnable;
			int32_t floor2 = mon->target_runnable - WORKQ_MAX_TRACKED_TIDS;
			floor = MAX(floor, floor2);
			_dispatch_debug("workq: %s under utilization target; poking with floor %d",
					dq->dq_label, floor);
			_dispatch_root_queue_poke(dq, 1, floor);
			global_runnable += 1; // account for poke in global estimate
		}
	}
}
#endif // HAVE_DISPATCH_WORKQ_MONITORING

static void
_dispatch_workq_init_once(void *context DISPATCH_UNUSED)
{
#if HAVE_DISPATCH_WORKQ_MONITORING
	int i, target_runnable = (int)dispatch_hw_config(active_cpus);
	foreach_qos_bucket_reverse(i) {
		dispatch_workq_monitor_t mon = &_dispatch_workq_monitors[i];
		mon->dq = _dispatch_get_root_queue(DISPATCH_QOS_FOR_BUCKET(i), false);
		void *buf = _dispatch_calloc(WORKQ_MAX_TRACKED_TIDS, sizeof(dispatch_tid));
		mon->registered_tids = buf;
		mon->target_runnable = target_runnable;
	}

	// Create monitoring timer that will periodically run on dispatch_mgr_q
	dispatch_source_t ds = dispatch_source_create(DISPATCH_SOURCE_TYPE_TIMER,
			0, 0, _dispatch_mgr_q._as_dq);
	dispatch_source_set_timer(ds, dispatch_time(DISPATCH_TIME_NOW, 0),
			NSEC_PER_SEC, 0);
	dispatch_source_set_event_handler_f(ds, _dispatch_workq_monitor_pools);
	dispatch_set_context(ds, ds); // avoid appearing as leaked
	dispatch_activate(ds);
#endif // HAVE_DISPATCH_WORKQ_MONITORING
}

#endif // DISPATCH_USE_INTERNAL_WORKQUEUE

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


The general criteria for accreditation of Veterinary Laboratories are contained within ISO/IEC 17025:2005.
Specific criteria are used to augment the general criteria applicable to a certain field of testing, testing technology, or specific test. The specific criteria for accreditation of veterinary laboratories are stated in the OIE Quality Standard and Guidelines for Veterinary: Laboratories: Infectious Diseases, 2008.
Additional requirements supplement ISO/IEC 17025:2005 to evaluate diagnostic and clinical veterinary laboratories that conduct commercial, government, academic, and international veterinary testing in the following areas: infectious disease diagnostics, disease surveillance, virology, pathology, microbiology, immunology, screening for growth promoters and drug/chemical residue that includes antibiotics, antihelmethetics, pesticides, metals, organics, DNA/RNA, and GMO.


Look at the development models available in SharePoint and Office 365 development and learn why one would choose one model versus another.
When SharePoint first came out in 2001, development for the platform wasn't easy. It was ASP—not ASP.NET, which was the first development approach for SharePoint. In 2003, the platform was migrated to .NET, but it wasn't until 2007 that it had a proper customization strategy in the form of features and solutions. The world has changed since then, and SharePoint has had several development models come—and one has both come and gone. In this article, we'll look at the development models available in SharePoint and Office 365 development and explain why one would choose one model versus another.
Server-Side Object Model (a.k.a. Server Solutions): Introduced in 2007 and available today for on-premises deployment, this model has the richest support and the greatest longevity, but puts a great deal of onus on the developer to write good code, because the code runs directly inside the SharePoint processes.
Sandboxed Solutions (a.k.a. User Code Host, Partially Trusted Callers): Introduced in 2010, these solutions allowed end users to write to a subset of the SharePoint API. These solutions had severe limitations but were designed to reduce platform instability with poorly-behaved developer code. It's no longer available on Office 365/SharePoint Online and is not planned for further investments.
Azure AD Apps: Though technically not a SharePoint development option directly, Azure AD Apps are applications registered with Azure Active Directory that can have their own security assigned in SharePoint and can leverage SharePoint for storage. They're available only for SharePoint Online implementations due to the Azure AD requirement.
Framework: A new programming model designed to plug into the redesigned user interface. Currently available online but "coming soon" to on-premises deployments.
In addition to the basic approaches to development, there are two different APIs to consider—for the apps that run online.
When working off the server, there's always the question of which API to choose. The basic SharePoint API offers several options, including SOAP- and RESTful Web-services as well as a client object model. Fundamentally, these all approach the SharePoint API directly and are therefore scoped to operations that only involve SharePoint. Most of the time, this makes sense and isn't a practical limitation.
However, in an online world where SharePoint isn't the only thing that you want to access, there's another Microsoft API, the Microsoft Graph API, which can be used to access many online resources including SharePoint, Exchange, Azure Active Directory, and more. The Graph API is a common authentication against all these resources.
The challenge is that Microsoft Graph is only available online, so if you're developing for on-premises, you'll be using one of the SharePoint APIs.
Though we've been focused on coding options, it's important to note that the best SharePoint solutions are solutions that don't require code. SharePoint has a substantial amount of customization possible from the Web user interface and from SharePoint Designer. When designing solutions, our first choice of a development option should be no development.
If you're only ever going to develop for on-premises deployments, the tried and true Sever-Side Object Model isn't a bad option. There are plenty of resources on how to do this kind of development. It's relatively straightforward for any developer who has been building Web sites for a few years in C#. Of course, you can still do sandboxed solutions on-premises, but this isn't typical.
Conversely, the Azure AD Apps and the Framework options are only available online. You can't choose these options for on-premises deployments.
In the middle category—which can be used both online and on-premises is the Add-In model. When apps are written for the Add-In model using the SharePoint API, they can be used both on-premises and online.
Figure 1 shows a flow chart depicting the two "how" features—online only or on-premises only.
A final consideration for choosing which option to pick is whether you intend to integrate to the SharePoint user interface, or whether you intend to have your own interface and are using SharePoint for storage of information. Framework integrates into the UI, as can the Server-Side Object Model and Add-Ins, but Azure AD Apps do not. Sometimes, the desire to create a single dashboard view of everything means picking a development solution that is designed to change the SharePoint user interface.
Perhaps the greatest complaint about all the options—after needing to learn them all—is that each model has its own quirks and limitations. You often can get down the road in one approach to find that a critical API or need isn't exposed, and you'll have to regroup to a different approach. Even though that's frustrating, it's nice to know that there are other options available.


I just wanted to take a moment to say thank you for the exceptional service your firm has conveyed over the past few months.
In our business of serving the moving and storage industry, we don't always have advanced notice of when we need disposal services. In the past few months we have had to utilize your services several times, mostly on short or immediate notice. Your staff has exceeded our expectations with our deadlines, all with courtesy and professionalism.
Kudos to you and your staff! Keep up the good work!
Economy Movers and Storage, Inc.
As a thriving small residential roofing business, we at Roof Doctor, Inc. depend on our business partners to be as professional and efficient as possible. M&M Disposal has been a dedicated waste removal partner for us from the beginning. Frank and Paul Macera and their crew has always delivered when and where we needed them and has always treated our roofing customers with respect. M&M Disposal earns our business on every drop and retrieval and we are very happy with the service we receive week in and week out.
This letter provides me the opportunity to recommend M & M Disposal and its Owner Frank Macera to you.
Celtic Management Group has had the pleasure of doing business with Frank and his company for over 10 years now. He is always there for you when needed and his pricing structure is very competitive.
We just finished a $19 million dollar mixed-use development in Westerly, RI with M & M disposal meeting all our waste removal needs. Their services were used on just this one project for 2.5 years. Never once did we ever have an issue with M &M�s service or reliability. Currently, we are using M &M on four of our projects and look forward to a long lasting relationship with them in the future.
I whole heartly recommend M & M to you for all your waste hauling needs.


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Gun safety is an assortment of guidelines and recommendations that can be applied when possessing, storing, or handling firearms. The purpose of gun safety is to eradicate or diminish the risks of unintentional death, harm or damage triggered by improper possession, storage, or treatment of firearms. Gun education for children should start at home, but not all parents are equally knowledgeable about gun safety rules and regulations. All children K-12 should have an equal chance to learn about gun safety and the laws incorporated with firearms; therefore optional firearm education and training courses should be offered by schools.
Firearm education and training courses should be an optional course offered in the same manner that sexual education courses are made accessible by schools. Gun education and training courses for students should be available for every student, but be discretionary to only the students who have written parental consent. These courses should also be designed around different age groups, offering different course material that is suitable for the mentality and maturity of the children. The courses should be broken into three different levels, kindergarten through fourth grade, fifth through eighth grade, and ninth through twelve grade.
The first stage of gun education in schools will be designated for children ranging from kindergarten to fourth grade. These programs will not be designed to instill whether guns are good or bad, they will be intended to promote the protection and safety of children. There will be no firearms used in the program, and the lessons will not condone promoting firearm ownership or use. It will also get students to release guns and take action in the same manner that they would have any other harmful American household item like chemicals, electrical shock, and medicines. This program should be perceived as an avoidance type of program helping to prevent the intentional carrying and use of guns. The main message children should learn is if they see a gun, stop, do not touch, leave the area and tell an adult.
Though you may have a dream job in mind, it may not be the perfect one for you. Before you fall for one or the other jobs you have in mind, it is best to make a self assessment. Self assessment will be able to tell you whether to pursue your dream job or choose something else for which you are made. Self assessment is the process of gathering information about you in a scientific manner and applying it in the career planning process.
Once you have completed your self assessment, you will have a clear idea of goals you want to attain, the industry that will best suit your mind and whether you are undecided and confused. This will save you from switching jobs or career too often. It will also help you lay a solid foundation for future pursuit of a career. Self assessment can be done any time – as someone fresh out of college looking for the first job or as an experienced individual planning a career change.
Here is what a typical a self assessment will be like – Taking stock of your values and interests, your personality and traits and your aptitude for a particular profession.
There are many tools available in the internet to do a self-assessment. They are mostly objective-type questions you need to answer honestly. At the end of a test you will receive a score. Some tools will even suggest the best industry you fit in. If you want a professional appraisal to be made, you should meet a career counselor. They will conduct a test and come out with a result showing what is best for you. They will also be able to tell whether you are fit for taking up a job or taking up self-employment.


text:
Trailers! Badhai Do and Gehraiyaan!
Finally got around to watching trailers! And I discovered the biggest difference between the two movies, I can spell "Badhai Do" without thinking, I can't spell "Gehraiyaan" for the life of me. Have to search for "new Deepika movie" instead.
Badhai Do
Interesting construction on the trailer. Everything is linked together to seemingly tell the story of a man who is very in love with a woman and willing to marry her, knowing she is in a relationship with another woman, just to have a chance. They get married, he fights with the girlfriend, the family pressures them to have kids, etc. etc. And then in the last 5 seconds, the trailer reveals that the man is gay as well. So, now what is the plot? Or rather, what is the conflict? If they both get married for the same reason, then where's the conflict between the two characters? Is it going to be one of them wants to stay in the closet and one wants to come out? If so, which? Will Rajkummar get a boyfriend ever? Also, should I be sighing about the girlfriend being central Asian in appearance, or do you think that is just a coincidence and not some sort of Orientalist thingy?
Gehraiyaan
It's too many vowels! All the vowels shoved together, plus also Y. No one can spell this! It's a stupid title and I hate it and it makes me feel stupid.
In other news, I may also hate the plot. Well, not hate, have issues. I can't tell if it is supposed to be a movie where we don't sympathize with anyone involved (which is always hard to watch, because why would you watch people you don't like?), or a movie where we are supposed to sympathize and I can't. I would very much enjoy it if the movie itself turns around and we realize that we aren't supposed to sympathize with Dips and Hot Dude. That this is a story of an ambitious terrible man who ruined lives to succeed, and a bored woman who fell into a fantasy without caring who she hurt, and their victims are a sweet sheltered young woman who thought she found love and a husband who was just being a husband.
Along those same lines, I also think the big focus on Sex is (hopefully) meaningful. This isn't like KANK where the affair started through time together, talking together, really SEEING each other, and then progressed to sex. This seems to be just attractive people making out on a beach because they can't resist each other and nothing else.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized and tagged Badhai Do, Gehraiyaan by mredlich21. Bookmark the permalink.
37 thoughts on "Trailers! Badhai Do and Gehraiyaan!"
Nish on January 25, 2022 at 8:40 am said:
I actually have hopes for Gehraayiaan. It seems to be shot really well, and I like Deepika when she's doing contemporary stuff. Plus, heard rumors it is based off Match Point, and done by Shakun Batra, so it sounds like it should be good. Let's see.
mredlich21 on January 25, 2022 at 8:50 am said:
Ooo! I didn't spoil myself, but I just googled Match Point and it is labeled as a "thriller". That's kind of where I was hoping this would go, the affair felt toxic and dangerous to me so if it ends up in a form of violence, that would work with the tone.
On Tue, Jan 25, 2022 at 8:40 AM dontcallitbollywood wrote:
Another hunch I have – based on the amount of waves they show in the trailer, I think someone is going to drown.
Oooooo, that would be good!
Pingback: Trailers! Badhai Do and Gehraiyaan! - dailyhant
Kirre Ranin on January 25, 2022 at 9:10 am said:
I have the same suspicions as Nisha that someone is going to drown in Gehraiyaan, the music is too thriller-like and there are SO MANY waves. If someone doesn't drown then I will sue. Also, at least now it is certain that this movie will pull the heartstrings when it comes to Ananya. I just want to give her a hug.
I both have hope that Badhai Do is good, but will keep my reservations until I've seen it. The twist at the end really changed the whole story. Such a good trailer!
I'm voting on the husband drowning, just because he is the least famous actor.
Yep, he is my guess too. And the trailer did not show him as much as the other three.
Or it could be Ananaya! There was a sort of semi-drowning looking scene in the trailer and I saw a pink shirt. So maybe it could be her.
But she has so many trailer scenes! Could they all be flashbacks?
This film is either going to very simple, but internally complicated or very complicated, but internally simple.
Also, there is the word Gehraiyaan in 'Dil Gira Dafatan' in Delhi 6. So, easy to remember with the song rhythym. That's how I do it.
I forgot! This official song video was released, the same that was in the trailer.
CC for English lyrics.
Kainaat on January 25, 2022 at 11:43 am said:
Well it's literally called drowning, so you may get your wish to see someone drown!
Angie on January 25, 2022 at 9:47 am said:
I watched Gehraiyaan trailer only now and must confess I don't know if I liked it. On one hand I have a big girl crush on Deepika so seeing her in a sexy role with a sexy actor is nice. But on the other hand there is also Anaya, and the plot , apart of sexy scenes, looks boring.
mredlich21 on January 25, 2022 at 12:26 pm said:
Thank you! Also looks boring to me. An affair is fine, but where do you go from there?
Ha I was just thinking whether you had talked about Gehraiyaan here! I'm quite excited for this just because after Kapoor & Sons, I'm willing to trust Shakun Batra to tell interesting stories. Even the trailer for that gave the impression of a love triangle with two brothers. This has hints of family secrets and tension scattered as well. And Naseer showing up was unexpected! I also love the themes and motifs related to sea. I don't know if anyone's going to drown, but I'm hoping it means there's much more going on beneath the surface than we think.
In Badhai Do, I'm hoping that by making Bhoomi's girlfriend from the north-east, they want to address the prejudice against people from that region. But I may be giving them too much credit.
Naseer shows up, and also there is a comment about Siddhant killing his mother? So maybe the older generation has some interesting twists to it?
On Tue, Jan 25, 2022 at 11:41 AM dontcallitbollywood wrote:
Kainaat on January 25, 2022 at 6:14 pm said:
Going by Kapoor & Sons, I'm sure the older generation has some dark secrets.
filmikudhi on January 25, 2022 at 12:56 pm said:
I can't wait to watch Gehraaiyaan. Also, not sure if this helps but it means depth. I too trust Shakun Batra. I really enjoyed Kapoor and Sons and Ek Main Aur Ek Tu. I think just like those movies, it'll be a film with complex, messy characters, that are very much human and make mistakes. I am hoping there is some mystery in it.
I like Ananya and Deepika and I think this is such a great role for both of them. Ananya gets to rely on her youth, naïveté, and fragility. Deepika gets to rely on her maturity and complexity and she can be somehow likable (or at least someone the audience can empathize with) even in a messy, potentially unlikable role. I cannot wait to watch this! I feel like there will be so much to talk about.
I'm curious about Badhai Do. I didn't have many feelings about that one.
mredlich21 on January 25, 2022 at 1:00 pm said:
I was sure you wouldn't like this one! Aren't you one of the "I just can't handle infidelity" people? Or am I mixing you up with another reader?
On Tue, Jan 25, 2022 at 12:56 PM dontcallitbollywood wrote:
filmikudhi on January 25, 2022 at 1:28 pm said:
I can see why you might think that because I hate KANK and the infidelity in it. SRK and Rani deserve each other in KANK, in that they can continue to make each other miserable for the rest of their lives. I am also not a fan of Silsila and hate it's "happy" ending. Same with Rishi in Doosra Aadmi. Maybe I am comfortable with how Shakun Batra would portray infidelity vs Yash Chopra and Karan Johar? I don't know if I'll like anyone in Gehraiyaan but I'm going into it expecting it to be a messy, emotionally complex film. I think with Silsila and KANK, it's all glossy and shiny on the outside with a messy subject and a forced happy ending.
Oh yeah, this looks messy. And I'm also hoping for murrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrder at some point.
On Tue, Jan 25, 2022 at 1:28 PM dontcallitbollywood wrote:
Emily on January 25, 2022 at 10:06 pm said:
That would be me. Infidelity is my kryptonite, I get mad and hate them all. That said, I'm glad Siddhant Chaturvedi is getting juicy roles and I missed Deepika. I'll just need you to tell me if I can watch without wanting to toss them all overboard into deep water.
Badhai Do looks fun. Could start out cute and wind up being terrible but I'd give it a go to find out.
If the infidelity people are Bad People according to the film, are you able to watch it? Like, if you can boo and hiss them? Because my hope for this is that they turn out to be awful folks who we can enjoy being destroyed.
eva-e on January 26, 2022 at 11:13 am said:
My guess for the conflict in Baha'i Do is something about his family wanting grandkids. Maybe the girlfriend doesn't want him as a donor.
And I won't spoil Match Point, but I guess if you don't want to give too much away, a trailer for that could have been stuck with just "an affair happens", too.
mariagil on January 26, 2022 at 1:32 pm said:
I'm too old! I'm too old! What happened to all the movies where the kids fall in love, the parents disapprove, a hundred songs, a thousand dances, a million costume changes, then everybody is happy at the end? All this cutting-edge, woke-angst material driving the plot. I miss pointless, violence, horror, hot guys and virginal women, directors with no message to bless us with. I crave sillyness and romance and good old stories that have nothing to do with my real life.
I'll watch Badhai Do and Gehraaiyyaaaan anyway. They have to be better than Marvel's The Eternals.
Yeah, I think maybe only telugu industry still makes this kind of movies (also Bhojpuri, but their movies are never subtitiled and from I have seen all look like poorer copies of 90′ Hindi films).
I'm now watching Akhanda (telugu). Have you seen it? If not, I recommend it. I have seen only first 15 minutes so far, but it already had :
bad guy vs army shooting in the jungle
a murder
a birth of twins
a Hindu priest taking away one of the twins
and super cool entry of the protagonist (with two awesome bulls)
All that in only 15 minutes!
Anonymous on January 27, 2022 at 6:56 am said:
Thank you, bellissima Angie . Akhanda is on my list for the big snow storm expected here Saturday. I'll even make popcorn.
mariagil on January 27, 2022 at 8:29 am said:
But I have to add I'm not a fan of Balakrishna. He was okay in his younger days, and like Rajinikanth, he can still command the screen. But it's time to retire the superhero roles. He's bulked up (not on a good way) his dance moves are stiff, and why, oh why, is his female costar young enough to be his granddaughter?
It's my first Balakrishna movie and I'm just enjoying the craziness without asking questions. I saw another 10 minutes of the movie before lunch and there is a beautifully choreographed fight just after Balakrishna's entry. I usually don't care about fights but this one was cool.
Niki on January 27, 2022 at 11:02 am said:
I'm more excited about Gehraiyaan than Badhai Do but I think it's just because I'm interested in what Shakun Batra will come up with after Kapoor & Sons. Also even if the movie sucks, the visuals look pretty enough to make it through. I missed seeing Deepika in a present day role!
Plus in general, I'm tired of the Ayushmann/Rajkummar small town message movies. I feel like Hindi cinema has become just those type of movies and biopics.
monika584 on January 28, 2022 at 1:19 pm said:
Frankly the plot of badhai ho seems so forced……unlike badhai ho, where everything was so organic…moreover how can you justifying a gay and a lesbian marrying each other even as a shadow marriage…..it's not even a plot. If you want to show case them eventually coming out of closet , that could have been done without marriage too. They could have masqueraded as lovers, but marriage? Even if we sideline its social aspects like setting a wrong precedent, the marriage doesn't make sense except when you want to force it on us. If you eventually want them to fight with society for their respective love, then just fight it out, do it, why to get married, then eventually fight with society n then get divorced and then be with their respective partners?
Regarding gehraiyaan, the trailer was underwhelming , but I think we are in for shakun…so let's see. But I somehow never been able to like siddhant except MC sher…..and KANK was better.
Don't you think the girl being Central Asian in appearance can lead to even more discrimination in the mind of viewers against north east people in general?
Courtney on February 6, 2022 at 5:09 pm said:
A lavender marriage really is the perfect jumping off point for an Indian movie, so I'm really excited for Badhaai Do. I would imagine it's going to be hijinks and sneaking around, ending with a big coming out/acceptance moment, definitely for Bhumi, maybe for Rajkumar too. Surprise appearance by Ayushmann as a boyfriend? That would be fun.
I'll watch Gehraiyaan eventually too, but not as excited. I am rooting for Ananya though, and I hope she's really honed her craft with this one.
mredlich21 on February 6, 2022 at 5:40 pm said:
I'm mostly excited to find out how Gehraiyaan ends. I suspect I will be frustrated by the characters but also curious what happens to them.
On Sun, Feb 6, 2022 at 5:09 PM dontcallitbollywood wrote:

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


EXPLODING CIGARETTE LOADS..... This is our all time classic prank. Place one our two of these little loads into an unsuspecting victims cigarette and wait for the fun to begin. As they light and smoke their cigarette it's only a matter of time... BANG! www.theonestopfunshop.com... Why You Should Care About Exploding E-Cigarettes. Core expert Dr. Jennifer Caudle explains how lithium batteries in e-cigarettes can explode. Then, Dr. Oz and Dr. Caudle present graphic photos of e-cigarette explosion victims and analyze the severity of their burns and injuries.
Reporter: This is a typical e-cigarette and experts say that you have to be sure to use the charger that comes with the e-cigarette and not your cell phone charger. Also you got to treat it like... Exploding E-Cigarette Lawsuit. If you or a loved one were injured by an e-cigarette, you may want to file an exploding e-cigarette lawsuit. Woods & Woods defective product lawyers can help.
Some e-cigarettes blew up in their users' faces and made them look like some of the cigarette cancer victims. That's all I "claimed". If you want me to provide links to make you understand the joke, I'm sorry but I have better things to do.
Why You Should Care About Exploding E-Cigarettes. Core expert Dr. Jennifer Caudle explains how lithium batteries in e-cigarettes can explode. Then, Dr. Oz and Dr. Caudle present graphic photos of e-cigarette explosion victims and analyze the severity of their burns and injuries.
An exploding cigar is a variety of cigar that explodes shortly after being lit. Such cigars are normally packed with a minute chemical explosive charge near the lighting end or with a non-chemical device that ruptures the cigar when exposed to heat.


text:
Q: PHP/SQL - Display Rows Created After a Certain Date I created classes Rankings and DateFilter.
Each rankings class has a DateFilter class that should produce the cutoff date. I am trying to be able to create a filter so that everything created after that date will be displayed in a table.
However, the comparison does not work. Can you see a problem?
Here is my DateFilter class:
<?php

include ("Filter.php");

class DateFilter extends Filter
{
    //@param daysOld: how many days can be passed to be included in filter
    //Ex. If daysOld = 7, everything that is less than a week old is included
    private $interval;

    public function DateFilter($daysOld)
    {
        $this->interval = new DateInterval('P'.$daysOld.'D');
    }

    //@Return: Returns a DateTime that is the earliest possible date to be included in the filter
    function createLimitDate()
    {
        $now = new DateTime();
        return $now->sub($this->interval);
    }

    //generates SQL code for checking date
    //Ex. WHERE limitDate > created... if > means before
    function genSQL()
    {
        $limitDate = $this->createLimitDate();

        return $limitDate->format('Y-m-d') . " < 'created'";
    }
}
?>

And my Rankings Class:
<?php

class Rankings
{
    private $filter;

    //@params: $filty is the filter given to these rankings
    public function Rankings($filty)
    {
        $this->filter = $filty;
    }

    //@return: returns the html code for the rankings
    public function display()
    {
        echo '
'.
                    '

                        #	NAME	Date

                    ';

            //hardcoding DB
            $where = $this->filter->genSQL();

            $qry = mysql_query("SELECT * FROM  `pix`
                                WHERE $where
                                ");
                if (!$qry)
                    die("FAIL: " . mysql_error());

            $i = 1;
            while($row = mysql_fetch_array($qry))
            {
                $name = $row['uniquename'];
                $created = $row['created'];
                echo '

                            '. $i . '	'.
                            '' . $name . '	'.
                            ''. $created . '	'.
                        '
';

                $i += 1;
            }

            echo '
';
            echo $where;
    }
}
?>

I'm calling it like this:
$test = new DateFilter(100);

$rankings = new Rankings($test);
$rankings->display();

In that example, nothing is displayed, even though I'm sure everything in my datebase was uploaded less than 100 days ago.

A: Throw in some quotes around the date you're passing to MySQL, and drop the quotes around your column name:
return "'" . $limitDate->format('Y-m-d') . "' < created";

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
Oldschool Sunday: AXIS
November 25, 2018 Pat 'Riot' Whitaker
During the middle to late Seventies, one brother from the drum playing Appice Bros., Vinny Appice (his sibling Carmine is the older of the two), was well on his way to building his very own rock 'n roll legacy.
Still in the earliest stages of that construction in 1977, Vinny had already played and / or recorded with John Lennon earlier in the decade. He was coming off a stint as the drummer for Rick Derringer, having recorded on the albums 'Derringer' (1976), 'Sweet Evil' (1977), and 'Derringer Live' (1977). Now he, and Derringer guitarist / vocalist Danny Johnson, were forming a new band, AXIS.
The pair rounded out the line up for AXIS with bassist / vocalist Jay Davis – the original bass player for Foreigner – and went to work recording an album. AXIS were a working example of the term "power trio", a three-piece band that possessed phenomenal musical abilities, especially in this particular case.
Working with famed producer Andy Johns (Cream, Led Zeppelin, Jimi Hendrix, etc.), AXIS would eventually record and release their full-length, début album the same year of their formation, with 1978's 'It's A Circus World'. The album, issued through RCA Records (streaming below), contains 11 tracks of superb, heavy-styled, hard rock structured around impressive guitar work and dynamic rhythms. Both Johnson and Davis contribute vocals at different times, adding a whole other dynamic to the record's already fantastic songs.
Unfortunately, 'It's A Circus World' would be the sole album released from the short-lived AXIS, a true "one album wonder", if you will. That is a little saddening, because the trio had immense potential and talent, all of which is displayed fully on their studio offering.
An interesting insight into some documented Rock History: After Ronnie James Dio had officially joined Black Sabbath and they had released 'Heaven And Hell' in 1980, the band would eventually need a new drummer. Tony Iommi played Ronnie the AXIS album, 'It's A Circus World', to pitch the idea of their trying to recruit Vinny Appice into the band… which happened eventually, resulting in Appice's presence on several albums, beginning with 1981's 'Mob Rules'.
Vinny would go on to build that rock legacy mentioned earlier, playing in such bands as DIO, Heaven & Hell, World War III, War & Peace, Hollywood Monsters, Last In Line, Kill Devil Hill, Stonehand, and several others. Guitarist Danny Johnson has gone on to release several solo recordings while recording, producing, and touring with such acts as Alcatrazz, Alice Cooper, Graham Bonnet Band, and Steppenwolf, among others. Another cool tidbit? Johnson wrote and played on five songs from the multi-platinum selling "Wayne's World" soundtrack, and has songs in such films as "Gremlins" and "Gremlins II", just to name a few.
Bassist Jay Davis went on to work with Private Life, Rod Stewart, Mick Ronson, The Rockinghams, B.B. King, and countless other acts and artists.
I want to thank my pal "Iron" Will Mullins for his invaluable, insightful assistance with helping to stitch together the AXIS story for today's Oldschool Sunday!
2018, Album Art, Audio Stream, Axis, Classic Rock, Oldschool Sunday, RCA Records, Rock, Spotify, Streaming, Vinny Appice
CORNERS OF SANCTUARY Crank Holiday Spirit With 'Counting The Days… A Merry Metal Xmas V' EP; Lyric Video
NIGHTGHOUL 'Dungeon Metal Ripper' Album Review & Stream


WWE Money in the Bank Matches: most likely one among the foremost expected WWE pay-per-view offerings of the whole year is once USA with the twelve-monthly cash within the investor. currently thought to be among the business's 5 biggest shows of the whole year, MITB is outlined to occur on Weekend, Gregorian calendar month seventeen within the Allstate Market in Chicago. The operate can start eight p.m. ET with the foremost common kickoff show leading USA in at seven p.m.
Each time the operate is command, lovers want to understand that superstars can leave with the specified case that entitles these to a world tournament match anytime with their selecting among one twelve months. Last year, the women were finally contained within the festivities, and 2 suits have once more been discharged for 2018.
WWE Money in the Bank is one of the much awaited professional wrestling events in the WWE history. This event was first the part of the WrestleMania event. But later on, this became the event itself in 2010. Money in the Bank Ladder Match, the winner of which earns the right to cash in a guaranteed title opportunity against a World Champion. Last year, the event proved even more monumental, as it featured the first-ever Women's Money in the Bank Ladder Match.
So this year Money inthe Bank event is already set to scheduled in the month of June. You can check out the date and timing of Money in the Bank 2018 event in your own country by clicking here. We also provide some of the facts about Money in the Bank ladder match that you might not know. If you want to know the facts then you can click here.
This year MITB event is all set to be organized in one of the historic city. You can check out the place for this pay-per-view event here. Now it's the time to grab the WWE MITB 2018 tickets. If you are looking to Buy Money in the Bank 2018 tickets online then you are on the best platform.
Do you know that now all the PPV events of WWE are included in the WWE Network subscription pack? This means that know you can watch any of the PPV events live from your home without being to the place where the actual action is taking place.


ICCE 2014 – Seoul, Korea – Matthew V. Bilskie, Ph.D.
M.V. Bilskie, S.C. Hagen, P. Bacopoulos, A. Thomas, P. Hovenga, (2014) "Sea level rise and tidal hydrodynamics in the Indian River Lagoon, Florida." 34th International Conference on Coastal Engineering, Seoul, Korea, June 15-20, 2014.
Introduction: The 156 mile Indian River Lagoon (IRL), located on the Atlantic coast, is a collection of three individual lagoons: Mosquito Lagoon, Banana River, and the Indian River, including Cape Canaveral. The lagoon consists of five narrow-width inlets (from north to south): Ponce de León, Sebastian, Fort Pierce, Saint Lucie, and Jupiter. The system also contains a chain of causeways and tens of thousands of acres of dense submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) that combine to constrict and dampen tidal flow and flushing of the lagoon. The offshore tide range is on the order of one meter, while the lagoon is micro-tidal, with peak tide range in some areas as low as a few centimetres as found in Haulover Canal (70 m width) that connects Mosquito Lagoon to the Indian River. The IRL system is an important resource to the region, generating an economic value of about $3.7 billion and 15,000 jobs and offers recreational activities to more than 11 million people per year (St. Johns River Water Management District, 2013).
Methodology: To understand the complex physical processes of the lagoon system and to define what causes the major tidal damping, an unstructured, two-dimensional, triangular finite element hydrodynamic model is constructed and validated for astronomic tides. Model resolution varies from several kilometers in the deep Atlantic Ocean to as low as 10 m within the lagoon. Bathymetry within the lagoon is incorporated into the model from most-recent high resolution bathymetric surveys and soundings provided by the Kennedy Space Center Ecological Services group. Bottom friction in terms of Manning's n is parameterized based on offshore sediment types and land use land cover (LULC) maps. Several sources of LULC maps are jointed to provide an accurate map of bottom soil types, SAV, and mangroves. The model is forced with eight tidal constituents (O1, K1, P1, Q1, M2, S2, N2, K2) along the open ocean boundary derived from Oregon State University's TPXO7.2 global ocean model (Egbert et al., 1994; Egbert and Erofeeva, 2002).
The model is used to examine and determine the major contributing factors that cause the low tide range within the IRL system. We hypothesize that the limited and narrow inlets, shallow depths, and numerous causeways (i.e., geometry of the system), not the dense SAV, cause the low tide range. We performed several experiments to prove or disprove our hypothesis; firstly, we carefully construct the model to describe all inlets and inter-connections with high resolution representation to examine the geometric influences. Additionally, we alter bottom roughness to reflect conditions of minimal SAV and high seagrass coverage. Finally, the model is modified by removing the causeways, returning the lagoon to its natural shoreline configuration.
Furthermore, we also explore how sea level rise (SLR) may alter the tidal hydrodynamics of the system. Additional experiments are performed using regional projections of SLR. The model experiments are compared to each other and to the control (validation) simulation. Tidal harmonics are decomposed from the full tide signal and analysed as well as the dominated overtides of the M2 harmonic, M4 and M6, which are generated from shallow water continuity and local accelerative advection, and bottom friction, respectively (Parker, 1991).
Discussion and Conclusions: Comparing modeled to measured astronomic tides via harmonic analysis reveals high model skill, with the average root mean square error (RMSE) of 4.1 cm and standard deviation of 3.2 cm across the 24 tide gage stations. Results show that the shoreline configuration and system geometry are the dominating factors that dampen the tide range. Bottom friction plays a secondary role in the phase (i.e., timing) of the tide, and proves important in reproducing tide signals when tide range is less than 5 cm. Under SLR scenarios, the tide range offshore is increased, but the IRL system introduced many non-linearity's; the tide range does not increase by the amount of SLR. Additionally, we conclude that to appropriately simulate future conditions of the IRL, we must include overland regions in the model to capture the possible formation of new inlets and overtopping of barrier islands due to SLR.
Parker (1991): The Relative Importance of the Various Nonlinear Mechanisms in a Wide Range of Tidal Interactions (Review). New York, New York, John Wiley and Sons.


428 FE Engine In A Cobra?
Place To Find Mustangs With No Rust But Cheap?
I have a 56 ford fairlane with a Boss 302 and need advice on front suspension?
why wont the power steering on my mustang work at idle?
what fairly affordable aftermarket wheels will properly fit my 1969 ford mustang?
What is the factory wheel backspace on a 1969 ford mustang coupe?
what is the measerment- from a short box to a long box for a 1956 gmc stepside?
How much is a 1957 Plymouth Belvedere 2 door hardtop needing complete restoration worth?
How do I estimate the value of an old car?
Does any one know where to buy cloth covered wire in rolls for resto work?
whats the best way to raise the backend of my72 nova.
can you buy oldride t-shirts.
I need dates of parts sale.


Clin Infect Dis. 2011 Oct;53(7):e91-8. doi: 10.1093/cid/cir521.
Sinha PK1, van Griensven J, Pandey K, Kumar N, Verma N, Mahajan R, Kumar P, Kumar R, Das P, Mitra G, Flevaud L, Ferreyra C, Remartinez D, Pece M, Palma PP.
Rajendra Memorial Research Institute of Medical Science, Patna, Bihar.
Reports on treatment outcomes of visceral leishmaniasis (VL)-human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) coinfection in India are lacking. To our knowledge, none have studied the efficacy of liposomal amphotericin B in VL-HIV coinfection. We report the 2-year treatment outcomes of VL-HIV-coinfected patients treated with liposomal amphotericin B followed by combination antiretroviral treatment (cART) in Bihar, India.
The study included all patients with newly diagnosed VL-HIV coinfection and initiating treatment with liposomal amphotericin B (20-25 mg/kg in 4-15 days) between July 2007 and September 2010. Kaplan-Meier estimates of the cumulative incidence of death/treatment failure were calculated.
Fifty-five patients were included (83.6% male; median age, 35 years; 62% migrant laborers; median follow-up, 1 year). The median CD4 cell count at VL diagnosis was 66 cells/μL (interquartile range, 38-112). Twenty-seven patients (49.1%) presented with VL relapse of VL. The overall tolerance of liposomal amphotericin B was excellent, with no interrupted treatment. Survival by 1 and 2 years after VL treatment was estimated at 85.5%. No patients had initial treatment failure. The probabilities of VL relapse were 0%, 8.1%, and 26.5% at 0.5, 1, and 2 years after VL treatment, respectively; relapse rates were similar for primary VL and VL relapse. CD4 counts <200 cells/μL at 6 months after cART initiation were predictive of subsequent relapse. The mean CD4 cell counts at 6 and 24 months after cART initiation were 187 and 261 cells/μL, respectively. The rate for retention in HIV care was 83.6%.
Good long-term survival and retention rates were obtained for VL-HIV-coinfected patients treated with liposomal amphotericin B and cART. Although the initial VL treatment response was excellent, VL relapse within 2 years remained frequent.


Make your very own stylish candelabra chandelier with this easy-to-use kit. Perfect for bedrooms, playrooms, party décor and more, this sturdy paper chandelier features faceted rhinestone details and a modern design.
Recollections™ Make It™ Paper Chandelier Kit is rated 5.0 out of 5 by 2.
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Rated 5 out of 5 by Elizabeth19 from wow this was a great project for me and my 2 sisters. my youngest sister, jane, loved it and asked me to buy another one! I would definitely recommend this to a friend! thanks michaels!


text:
A collection of the week's news from Israel
A service of the Bet El Twinning Committee of Beth Avraham Yoseph of Toronto
5 Sivan 5760
Issue number 276
Events...
Wednesday June 14, 8:00pm
Rabbi Shlomo Riskin will speak on "Religious Zionism in Crisis?" at Yeshivat Or Chaim, 159 Almore.
Final Deal Won't Resolve Jerusalem Issue
Even if a framework for a final status accord is reached with the Palestinians in the near future, the question of Jerusalem will be left unresolved, Minister Haim Ramon, responsible for Jerusalem affairs, acknowledged last week. Ramon, interviewed on Channel 1, said that "if there is an agreement, it will not include the issue of Jerusalem, because I do not believe it is possible to resolve this delicate matter at this point. Both sides have to understand that the other side cannot and will not give up its position, and we have to agree to disagree. We want to postpone any decision on Jerusalem for a number of years. [The Palestinians] want division of the city. We have not bridged this gap at all." (Jerusalem Post Jun 1)
Polls Show Barak and Netanyahu Tied
The following are the results of a survey of a representative sample of 590 adult Israeli (both Jews and Arabs) carried out by Gallup on May 31, 2000. Sampling error +/- 4.5 percentage points:
If elections were held today: Barak 41% Netanyahu 41% (IMRA/Maariv Jun 2)
Knesset Members for the Land of Israel
MK Tzvi Hendel (National Union-Yisrael Beiteinu) has established a new Knesset lobby called Hamal - the United Front for the Preservation of the Land of Israel. The lobby's first meeting was held Monday, with the participation of right-wing Knesset Members and extra-parliamentary groups such as Women in Green, Gamla Shall Not Fall Again, and others. Hendel explained to Arutz-7 that the lobby is different than the previous Knesset's Land of Israel forum, in that "we are not working with individual MKs, but with parties - each party will send one representative. In addition, it's not only a Knesset body, but one that incorporates extra-parliamentary groups as well... Our goal is not necessarily to topple the government, but to stop its defeatist policies [of giving away the Land of Israel]. I think that if we unite all the Eretz Yisrael forces together, under one umbrella, then where there is unity, we can win." (arutzsheva.org June 5)
Mosque in the Jewish Quarter
Residents of the Jewish Quarter of Jerusalem's Old City are up in arms at what they feel is the latest attempt by Arab interests to gain yet another foothold in the neighborhood. Several weeks ago, in the heart of the Jewish Quarter - frequented by tens of thousands of Jewish worshipers, yeshiva and seminary students, school children, residents, and tourists every day - Arab workers began renovation work on an old mosque near the famous Ramban synagogue. PLO official Faisal Husseini claims that the purpose is only to provide Moslems who wish to pray access to the facility. Residents fear, however, that the hidden goal is to saturate the Jewish neighborhood with Arab provocateurs who will instigate riots and terrorist activity. (arutzsheva.org June 5)
The Hasmonean Palaces
A new exhibition at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem entitled "The Hasmonean Palaces in Jericho - Discoveries from the Excavations," has been mounted by the university's Institute of Archaeology on the Mount Scopus campus. Visitors to the free display can see relics such as coins, oil lamps, and other objects excavated from the winter palaces of the kings of the Hasmonean dynasty in Jericho. The Hasmoneans ruled briefly over the Land of Israel over 2,000 years ago in what was the last era of Jewish independence until the establishment of the State of Israel. The exhibition also consists of a large model and a painted conception of the palace gardens and pools. (arutzsheva.org June 5)
Ha'aretz: Barak Promised Abu Dis Weeks Before Cabinet Decision, Dividing Fence Requires 4 Years
Few ministers know that their vote approving of the transfer of three villages in the Jerusalem area to the Palestinian Authority was nothing more than for show. Barak finalized this matter in a face to face meeting with Yasser Arafat that took place at Ben Gurion Airport weeks before it was brought up to the cabinet for approval.
If the passages between the Palestinian state and the outside world are under exclusive Palestinian control, Israel will have to erect a fence separating between it and its new neighbor. Otherwise it will not be possible to supervise the passage of people and goods into Israel through the Palestinian state. The erection of such a fence would take four years. September 13, the target date for an agreement or the unilateral declaration of a Palestinian state, is 105 days from now. (IMRA/Ha'aretz Jun 1)
Hillary Clinton's Ties
Hillary Clinton has raised tens of thousands of dollars from associates of Yasser Arafat at private fund-raisers for her Senate race in New York. So reports the Jewish Forward, whose reporter Eli Lake writes that Mrs. Clinton attended a private fund-raising reception on May 12 at the Washington mansion of Hani Masri, a close confidante of Arafat. The event, which reportedly raised more than $50,000, was closed to the press. Yigal Carmon, President of the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI), said that his organization has done extensive research on the Masri family's control of the Palestinian Development Investment Co. and its ties to Arafat. This is far from the first time Hillary Clinton has had connections with militant Arab and Palestinian organizations. During the 1980's she served on the board of the New World Foundation, funneling money to the PLO, which at the time was recognized as a terrorist organization. In February 1996, Hillary hosted a reception at the White House for leaders of Hamas-supporting groups such as the American Muslim Council and the Council on American-Islamic Relations. In January 1998, Hillary hosted a White House reception organized by Muslim leaders who defended militant Islamic fundamentalism and supported radical Islamic groups. (arutzsheva.org Jun 2)
Special Evening for Israeli MIA's
The International Coalition for Missing Israeli Soldiers held a special "Evening of Conscience" in Jerusalem Sunday night with the participation of approximately 700 people. Minister Natan Sharansky, U.S. Congressman Robert Wexler (D-Florida), Esther Wachsman and Rabbi Baruch Taub of BAYT were among the speakers at the event on behalf of missing IDF soldiers Ron Arad, Zachary Baumel, Tzvi Feldman and Yehuda Katz. Mrs. Wachsman, whose son Nachson was kidnapped and murdered by Hamas terrorists in 1994, bemoaned the fact that another year has passed "and I'm hearing the same words being said over and over - we're still in this same dreadful situation. Ringing in my eyes are Justice Minister Yossi Beilin's comments [in response] to Batya Arad [the mother of Ron Arad]... Beilin stated: 'Batya Arad and the other mothers are doing their job as mothers to get their sons back, and I am doing my job as a minister of Israel to further peace.' Does justice contradict peace?... Are these families meant to sacrifice their children on the altar of peace?"Interior Minister Natan Sharansky spoke appreciatively of all that had been done to keep his plight as a Prisoner of Zion at the top of the agenda for so many years, and admitted to the crowd, "it is not easy to stand here representing the government..." The event was broadcast live on Arutz-7. (arutzsheva.org June 6)".">
Largest Sale of Israeli Company
The American communications giant Lucent Technologies Inc., an arm of Bell Laboratories, agreed yesterday to buy the Israeli company Chromatis Networks for some $4.5 billion worth of stock. Chromatis, whose 130 employees will share $672 million, has developed a system allowing voice, data, and video to travel quickly on optical wavelengths across optical city networks. The purchase price is more than three times the previous highest price ever paid for an Israeli company. (arutzsheva.org June 1)
Quotes for the Week...
When you hear people like [Knesset Speaker One Israel MK] Avraham Burg warn of threats to kill the Prime Minister - know that [the government] is about to do something bad to the people of Israel." - Journalist Amnon Lord of Makor Rishon (Arutz 7 June 4)
"Thus far, the Palestinian and Israeli teams in Sweden have agreed that the framework agreement will include Israeli recognition of a Palestinian state and a Palestinian declaration that the conflict between the two peoples has ended."
- Israeline, quoting Ha'aretz, June 1.
"Hey, Jew, we're going to kill you. We've liberated Lebanon and now it's our turn to liberate Palestine.'', "My boy will slit your throat once he grows up. You're never going to be safe until your country is destroyed.''
- Some of the jeers at Israeli soldiers from residents on the Lebanese side of the fence by the border. (Reuters May 26)
"I believe it will be very hard for him to be a non-political president - it's practically impossible for him. He's basically a very political person." - Leah Rabin speaking to Army Radio about the Peres campaign for the presidency. Nonetheless, she still supports Peres. (Jerusalem Post 5/30)
"First of all, I represent the government of Israel, not a Zionist state. I am part of the Labor party, the Prime Minister is the head of the Labor party, and he was elected by 95% of the Arab vote, so there is no problem representing his government...The Oslo Accords, for instance, were approved by a majority of 61 to 59, seven of the votes in favor came from Arab Knesset members. In the same way, there is no chance that a peace treaty with the Palestinians, Syria, or Lebanon will pass by a majority without the Arab vote." - Deputy Foreign Minister, Knesset Member Nawaf Masalha, in an interview that appeared in News of Arabs in Israel - May 2000 published by Nazareth Arab Institute.
"The Palestinian people are accumulating an extensive ability to fight, and we hope that will not have to be reflected in a blow-up." - Palestinian negotiator, Hassan Asfour, commenting on the status of the negotiations. (Ha'aretz May 30)
Commentary...
Too Eager to Close the Deal By Natan Sharansky
As a nonpolitical observer in 1993, when the Oslo accords ushered in a new era in relations between the Israelis and the Palestinians, I thought that many Israelis had made up their minds about the accords based not on a careful review of their contents, but on assumptions. On the left were those who seemed to support any agreement so long as the process moved forward. On the right, many opposed any territorial compromise with the Palestinians, regardless of the where, when and how.
But while I counted myself among those who were prepared to compromise with the Palestinians, I was gravely concerned that the assumptions underlying the Oslo process were fundamentally flawed and would not yield the historic reconciliation for which its proponents hoped.
One problematic assumption concerned compliance. With no direct mechanism to hold the Palestinians accountable, the results were predictable. While Israel was transferring real land and releasing real prisoners, the Palestinians were strenuously avoiding their obligations, from extraditing terrorists to disarming militants. Unfortunately, the terrorism and violence that ensued did not cause the Rabin-Peres administration to consider how a flawed accord might be improved, but only convinced it of the need to move more quickly toward a final agreement. Instead of holding the Palestinians to their promises and establishing mutual trust, it looked only at the goal of peace.
In negotiating the Wye Accord in 1998, the Benjamin Netanyahu government put reciprocity back on the agenda. It was agreed that each side would fulfill its commitments before the process went to the next stage. While I was hoping for other improvements, such as the linking of territorial concessions to the liberalization of the Palestinian regime, at least one gaping hole in Oslo had been filled.
When Ehud Barak came to power, determined to breathe new life into the peace process, he quickly abandoned the principle of reciprocity. Now all Palestinian commitments have been forgotten and the days of good will gestures to the Palestinians for the sake of an improved climate of negotiation have returned.
The wrongheadedness of this approach was proved last month; on the same day the prime minister was marshaling a vote in the Knesset to transfer areas on the outskirts of Jerusalem's Old City to the Palestinians, violence engulfed the territories. It is encouraging that Mr. Barak, a man I believe is firmly committed to Israel's security, has now decided to postpone this transfer and that even members of Israel's far left are voicing concerns over the bloated Palestinian police force and the stockpiling of illegal weapons.
But I fear that as quiet returns, the allure of peace will again affect the otherwise sound judgment of much of the current government. Israel must return to the principle of reciprocity.
In making painful compromises, we must demand the same in return. Giving the Palestinians Abu Dis, an area only a few meters from Jerusalem's old city, on a silver platter will not help us achieve that goal. If Mr. Barak really intends to reach a final agreement resolving the thorniest issues, then why is he willing to transfer Abu Dis without demanding a concession in return? If, as he has stated, he is giving it as a down payment, one wonders how the full bill can be paid while preserving the undivided capital of which he has so repeatedly spoken.
Moreover, if the Palestinian Authority can get a toehold into the eastern part of Jerusalem without extraditing a terrorist or changing a textbook, why should it ever agree to the painful compromises that are the only way to bring real reconciliation?
The Palestinians will not easily embrace compromise; nor is more violence unlikely. But if the Jewish people are not prepared to hold their ground in the city that for 2,000 years kept the dream of Jewish sovereignty alive, I shudder to think of where we are willing to draw the line. (New York Times June 6)
Natan Sharansky is the interior minister of Israel.
Land vs Settlements Jerusalem Post Editorial
On Friday, Prime Minister Ehud Barak let one cat out of the bag. In a speech at a meeting of the Labor Party, Barak stated that, "If 80 percent of the settlers remain under Israeli sovereignty it will be an historic achievement." The attaching of a number to what had been a vague commitment simultaneously threw the gauntlet to the Palestinians on one side, and to the settler community on the other.
Since his election campaign, Barak has included among the pillars of a prospective final-status agreement that "most" Israelis living in Judea and Samaria would be included within Israel's future permanent borders. By committing to including "settlement blocs," the clear implication was that at least some of the more isolated settlements would be left outside of Israel.
Despite this implication, it has been hard for the public as a whole, let alone those Israelis who live in Judea, Samaria, the Gaza Strip (and the Golan) to fully grasp that an enterprise that has been painstakingly built over the last 33 years will not be preserved in its entirety.
Looking back, it is possible to argue that another million Israelis could have made the settlement enterprise much more successful. There is little doubt, however, that the roughly 180,000 Israelis who have made their homes in Judea, Samaria, and Gaza have succeeded in shaping a future agreement in a manner that should win the gratitude of all Israelis. The settlement enterprise has, more than any government statement or action, embodied the legal, historic, and religious claims of the Jewish people to live in the biblical Land of Israel.
At the same time, however, over the last 33 years, no Israeli government has attempted to assert that the permanent border would be the Jordan River, and that all residents of the West Bank would become Israeli citizens. Well before Oslo, and before a Palestinian state became essentially inevitable, the prospect that some territorial compromise would be made on the West Bank was a certainty as well.
It is not really material now to what extent the goal of the settlement movement was to shape a territorial compromise, or to prevent the possibility of such a compromise altogether. The main ally of settlers against any compromise would be Palestinians who are also unwilling to yield at all, who may yet prevent the reaching of an agreement (just as Syrian President Hafez Assad's intransigence has preserved Israel's presence on the Golan).
At some point, however, the settlement movement itself has to decide whether attempting to preserve every settlement, no matter how surrounded by what will be Palestinian territory, is in the national interest - even if that interest is narrowly defined as maximizing Israeli territory under an agreement.
From the point of view of maximizing Israel's area for the purpose of future settlement, the greatest reservoir of territory uninhabited by Palestinians is in the Jordan Valley and the Judean Desert. In a final-status negotiation, Israel will attempt to avoid having to choose between keeping every settlement and retaining large areas between Jordan and the populated mountain ridge. If, however, that choice is unavoidable, the question must be asked which is more important: empty territory with the potential for settlement, or existing settlements embedded in Palestinian populated areas?
Just weeks before his election, Barak told Jordan Valley residents that he regards retaining that area as an imperative not only from a security perspective, but as part of the settlement enterprise. Yitzhak Rabin, in the Knesset speech on final-status principles that he made in presenting the Oslo 2 agreement, spoke of retaining the Jordan valley "according to its broadest definition." Despite such declarations, suspicions abound that Israel is considering defining its security interests very narrowly in the Jordan Valley, and abandoning its future settlement potential entirely. This would be the effect of an arrangement along the lines of the unofficial Beilin-Abu Mazen agreement, which provided only for temporary Israeli security control of a strip along the Jordanian border.
If an agreement that would cede parts of Eretz Yisrael is in the works, the greatest imperative of the settler leaders should not be to preserve every existing settlement at any price, but to retain large areas for potential settlement. Such an approach would be strengthened by the fact that the areas in question would, in general, not reduce the contiguity of the Palestinian area nor adjoin Palestinian towns or villages. Unless the settler leaders are completely confident of their ability to prevent Barak from closing a deal along the lines that seem to be emerging, they would do well to engage in dialogue with the government. In this way, they may enhance their ability to influence the ultimate shape of the final-status arrangements.
In addition, it would seem that most settler leaders understand that threats of violence and other forms of incitement only hurt their cause. Besides being dangerous, attempts to brand Barak a "war criminal" or "traitor" isolate the extremists who do so more than the government, and reduce the government's need to take settler concerns seriously. (Jerusalem Post June 5)
Loving Dictatorships By Daniel Doron
The very same open-minded liberals who treat Jewish nationalism as utterly contemptible, irredeemably irrational, tribal and ethnocentric, devote their utmost energies to the creation of a rabid, jingoistic Palestinian state.
It has always been a great puzzle why many self-styled liberals have such a strong attraction to dictatorships.
Take "peace now" advocates. The very same open-minded liberals who treat Jewish nationalism as utterly contemptible, irredeemably irrational, tribal and ethnocentric, devote their utmost energies to the creation of a rabid, jingoistic Palestinian state. They promote it even when it is explicitly racist, encouraging the dissemination of The Protocols of The Elders of Zion as authentic evidence of how dangerous and despicable Jews are; even when the Authority's "educators" incite kindergarten children to murder Jews, and when the life of any Jew who mistakenly wanders into a Palestinian town or village (except for car thieves or buyers in borderline markets) is threatened, sometimes by the same Arabs who visit or work safely in Israeli cities.
Worse still, "liberals" who promote "civil rights" as the utmost value, who vehemently protest against their slightest infraction by Israel, are eager to subject Palestinian Arabs, for whose welfare they seem so solicitous, to an oppressive, cruel and corrupt regime that routinely violates civil rights, ruling by gangland methods, extortion, kidnapping and torture. Self-determination (unless it is Jewish), they seem to believe, transcends even the value of human life, and certainly an individual's rights to freedom and the pursuit of happiness. Under Arafat's rule, it is not wrong if "self determination" actually makes Arab lives far more miserable, less free and more impoverished, robbed of even the few rudimentary rights they did enjoy under a justly resented Israeli occupation. Nor do "liberals" ascribe any value to the Arabs' own choice, as when most of them (the more responsible wage-earners, not the incited adolescents and their hotheaded "intellectual" leaders) send a clear message by choosing, when they are not terrorized or frightened, to stay under Israeli rule (as they did in East Jerusalem), however discriminating and onerous it may be.
Or, consider the paradox that the very same people who would deny legitimacy to an ethnocentric and democratically imperfect Jewish state eagerly assist the establishment of a dictatorial state that does not tolerate any pluralism and oppresses ethnic or religious minorities, women and children, as if they do not deserve to be treated as born in God's image, as our liberals insist even terrorists must be treated.
Enter Amnon Lord, tracing in his The Israeli Left: From Socialism to Nihilism the stages by which this "liberal" moral blindness has evolved; why the Left was traditionally so taken by dictatorships, and leading segments of "progressive" Israel fell fatally in love with communism in its worst Stalinist manifestation (some even prepared to welcome the Red Army during the Korean conflict). Lord's is a powerful analysis because it is rooted in a personal odyssey. He grew up in a kibbutz and was, until Oslo, a Leftist intellectual.
Zionism, few realize, was taken over in the early 20s by Bolshevik revolutionaries who bent its enterprise to their purpose. Lord traces a later evolution - after the Yom Kippur War shattered the Sabras' complacent chauvinism - of the then-bankrupt collectivist Left into a trendy New Left. It continued to promote the old communist shibboleths of equality, social justice and peace (to be enforced, naturally, by the coercive state and self-chosen elites).
But it replaced self-denial, hard work and patriotism with an anti-patriotic individualism, and an alienated counter-culture of rock, sex and drugs. Lord reveals the direct line leading from its worship of Sartre, Fanon, Ho-Chi-Min, Che Guavera and Pink Floyd, to its embrace of a Palestinian nationalism defined by terrorists like Arafat, Habash and Hawatmeh.
Lord also exposes the powerful undercurrent of anti-Jewishness that unites the warring factions of the counter-culture, how it has merged with nativist and "Cana'anite" mysticism (especially in the work of S. Yizhar and Uri Avneri) to shape the Palmach-style adolescent camaraderie, the new collectivism practiced by our ruling elites.
Moral perversion seems to afflict all utopian messianic movements (as Ari Shavit so accurately observed about the peace camp) from Shabtaism onward. Consequently, even when the innate falsehoods of communism and its murderous record were revealed, none of the true believers repented. Until Lord's courageous expose (it cost him his career as a leading film critic), not one Israeli intellectual or leader of the Left wrote his version of "the God that failed," or apologized for misleading so many and so fatally.
Do not expect our peace camp advocates (who failed to protest the shabby betrayal of our South Lebanese allies), to become contrite when time more fully reveals the murderous nature of the regime they have promoted, and the human costs involved. (Jerusalem Post June 5)
The writer is director of the Israel Center for Social Economic Progress
Absence of Shtarkers By William Safire
When Prime Minister Ehud Barak of Israel meets President Clinton in Lisbon today, he will report his expectation of a deal with Yasir Arafat that can be signed on the White House lawn in time to affect the U.S. elections. It is a great political gift and a greater security gamble.
Key to the establishment of a Palestinian state in almost the entire West Bank is Barak's startling decision that the Jordan Valley is no longer needed for Israel's defense.
Even in Labor's dovish "Allon plan" of generations ago, that buffer behind the West Bank of the Jordan River was considered essential to slow an Arab attack. But Barak, along with another former army chief of staff, just made a military decision that changed today's negotiating equation.
In the new military thinking, it would be unwise to continue to station Israeli forces in the valley between the Kingdom of Jordan and the new state of Palestine. If those two states were in alliance, goes the convenient analysis, Israeli troops would be in a crossfire. If those two states came into conflict, then Israel would be in the middle, unwillingly involved.
Nobody likes to admit this, but Israel's abandonment of the historic valley presages the end of minority Hashemite rule in Jordan. The new king is pleading with Barak to retain at least a sliver of territory along the river to shield his regime from Palestinians bent on avenging their bloody defeat in "Black September" of 1970; they still want a trans-Jordanian "Greater Palestine." "With a common border," says Ariel Sharon, leader of Israel's opposition, "the end of the existence of the Hashemite Kingdom is only a matter of time."
Barak's military reassessment clears the way for the kind of pre-emptive territorial concession Arafat cannot refuse. For years, realistic deal makers have been talking about a final settlement that would give the Palestinians two-thirds of the West Bank, with Israeli settlements not close to Jerusalem or Tel Aviv in security zones. The addition of the Jordan Valley means that some 93 percent would go to the new Palestinian state.
However, casualty-weary Israel's badly organized retreat from its buffer zone in Lebanon, betraying longtime local allies, has whetted Palestinian appetites: if Hezbollah can force the Jews out of "every inch," why can't we?
"I hear that Arab neighborhoods in Jerusalem," says the Likud's Sharon, "will get a Zone B status, with municipal administration by the new Palestinian entity. That means the division of Jerusalem." He calls the overlapping jurisdiction and befuzzing of sovereignty -- a sure source of future friction -- "foolish and irresponsible."
Barak and Arafat will call it peace. In his farewell October surprise, with his wife campaigning at his side, Clinton will confidently give America's promise to underwrite the cost.
Barak has also promised Israelis a referendum on both this deal and his giveback of the Golan Heights to Syria. He will argue that such a Lesser Israel is not necessarily weaker; on the contrary, that a time of peace in the region will let Israel strengthen its alliances with the U.S., the Europeans (already offering inducements in the U.N.) and the technology-hungry Chinese.
The political presumption is that if he can set the rules for a referendum to require only a majority of those voting, Barak's sweeping concessions are likely to prevail. Diplomatic cheering, economic incentives and global media enthusiasm provide momentum; the despair of Israel's battle-fatigued and the hopefulness of its forgetful add to the campaign against caution.
Is acceding to a Lesser Israel a dangerous gamble? Yes. Are these leaks about the extent of Israel's concessions intended to shock so they can be reduced? Probably. Should Israel seek evidence of Arab trustworthiness before rolling its security dice? Definitely.
People with views like mine call themselves shtarkers. That's based on the German word for "strong," with a self-mocking Yiddish connotation of "hard-line, insufferably resolute." Israel started out as the land of shtarkers. Maybe that's changed. (The New York Times June 1)
The Lebanon Debacle By Charles Krauthammer
Does Israel's retreat mark the beginning or the end of its demoralization?
All that was missing from the scene were the helicopters lifting people off the embassy roof. Otherwise, Israel's panicked evacuation from Lebanon last week looked eerily like America's last hours in Vietnam.
Lebanon was, in fact, Israel's Vietnam. The analogy is almost perfect: a guerrilla war that the conventional army was winning in military terms, but whose losses the home front could not sustain. The difference, of course, is that having withdrawn from Vietnam, the United States still had a buffer zone between it and the enemy: the Pacific Ocean. Israel has a fence.
Has there ever been a more defensive occupation? Israel occupied a small patch of Lebanon only because it had been used by various enemies to launch attacks against Israel's civilian settlements in the Galilee. This was territory that Israel never claimed, never developed, never exploited. (Given Israel's chronic water shortage, it could have greatly benefited from the waters of the Litani river. It never diverted a drop.) Israel sought only a buffer for its northern border.
Nonetheless, the U.N. Security Council passed one uncompromising resolution after another demanding Israel's withdrawal from Lebanon. Syria, with no such defensive requirements, has 35,000 troops in Lebanon. The "world community" has made no effort whatsoever to get their removal.
The response of the world to Israel's withdrawal is not encouraging. Israel earned no credit, just gloating about its humiliation. The Lebanese government has openly, contemptuously refused to police the border and guarantee security. The Hezbollah guerrillas who defeated Israel refuse to take yes for an answer, promising to keep fighting until Israel meets an escalating list of demands, ranging from the release of prisoners to the evacuation of a piece of the Golan Heights that Israel captured from Syria (!) in 1967 and that the Hezbollah now claims is really Lebanese territory.
The net effect of the withdrawal is that Israel now has a border with Iran. The Shiite guerrillas are not just ideologically committed to and militarily supplied by Iran, but they share the same radical Islamist anti-Zionism. Their pretext was liberation of sacred Lebanese territory. That pretext is now gone. We'll see whether they intend to carry out the fight, as they like to say, "until Jerusalem is liberated."
We will see also how the world reacts if they do. Land for peace: That has been the universal demand on Israel. Well, Israel has given up every inch of Lebanese territory. Under the land for peace formula, and under the U.N. resolutions ordering Israel out of Lebanon, both Lebanon and the United Nations should now deploy troops on the Israeli-Lebanese border to ensure tranquility.
In fact, neither of these feckless and somewhat fictional entities will do anything serious to stabilize the border. That is a job once again left to Israel itself. The problem is that Israel's deterrent capacity has now been seriously damaged.
For Israel, the retreat from Lebanon is a grave geostrategic setback. For the first time in 22 years, it faces an active, hostile, well-armed enemy right on its border. This is important. The Sinai desert is Israel's buffer with Egypt; the largely uninhabited Golan Heights are the buffer with Syria; the Jordan Valley and Negev--with the Dead Sea in between--are the buffer with Jordan. On its northern frontier, however, Israel today finds Hezbollah guerrillas just meters away, waving rifles, positioning tanks, and aiming Katyusha rockets at Israel's border villages and collective farms.
Hezbollah has the capacity to make northern Israel uninhabitable. The decision whether to do so, however, lies with Syria's President Assad. Assad wants to pressure Israel into a withdrawal from the Golan as complete and, possibly, as humiliating as the one that just occurred in Lebanon--one in which he could actually revise the internationally recognized border and take a piece of the Sea of Galilee.
Barak was quite willing to give him every inch of the Golan, until Assad upped the ante a few months ago by demanding control of the northeast part of the Sea of Galilee, which is entirely on Israel's side of the internationally recognized border. Talks broke down over this breathtakingly bold demand for Israeli territory. Now, however, Assad has a useful tool to pursue this objective.
The conventional wisdom is that, because Syria could turn Hezbollah on and off like a tap and thus control the flow of Israeli blood in the guerrilla war, Syria lost a bargaining chip when Israel withdrew from Lebanon. The conventional wisdom is wrong. Syria retains the bargaining chip because the guerrilla war option is not dead. It is indeed far more explosive. A sustained guerrilla war along the Israeli-Lebanese border would cause not just a few military casualties. It would kill many civilians. It could easily demoralize and quickly depopulate northern Israel. That is an extremely potent tool.
Assad would have to use it with great delicacy and precision. But use it he could. Hezbollah could start with small arms fire or a few Katyushas fired over the border to provoke an incident. Israel then would be in a terrible dilemma. If it retaliates in kind, it is simply inviting guerrilla war on its border and allowing the enemy to dictate the level of violence. Tit for tat might not even work. Hezbollah has rockets that can threaten large swaths of Israel. When Israel still had its security zone, Hezbollah's Katyushas could send only 300,000 Israelis into bomb shelters. Now that they are nine miles closer, they can put 800,000 Israelis--almost one in seven--into bomb shelters. A cross-border war of this sort would be intolerable for Israel.
The alternative--the only rational response--is for Israel to retaliate massively. The dilemma, of course, is that this risks a major war. Hitting Beirut is mandatory, but Lebanon does not make its own decisions. The point would be to bring Lebanese pressure on Assad to call off his dogs in the south. Assad, however, cares little for Lebanon. He is unlikely to bend. Barak would then be forced to carry out the threat he has already made to attack Syrian troops in the Bekka Valley. That could very easily trigger a new Arab-Israeli war.
The assumption that it would be an easy victory for Israel is false. Such a war could trigger a generalized Palestinian uprising, which would create a new front and make Israel's mobilization at home difficult. And Egypt, which has spent billions of American aid on very modern American weapons, has already begun speaking of joining the Arabs in a war provoked by Israel.
Israel's Lebanon problems do not start and end with geostrategy, however. The psychological effect of the Lebanon debacle might prove even more important in the long run. The picture of Israelis and their allies fleeing before triumphant guerrillas is one not often seen in the Arab world. It is already having its effect among West Bank Palestinians. Why should they agree to give the Jews anything in return for the West Bank and Jerusalem? Did not Hezbollah get Israel out of Lebanon for free?
And how did they do it? Constant guerrilla war, until the Israelis tired and gave up. The Palestinians had their own version of guerrilla war before the Oslo accords, the intifada. They recently staged a reprise, the "days of rage" rioting on the anniversary of Israel's independence on May 15. The temptation to produce a full-scale reenactment has only been strengthened by Hezbollah's success in Lebanon.
What's more, the fate of the South Lebanon Army, the local militia that sided with Israel against Hezbollah, is a lesson to all those Arabs in the Middle East who might be thinking of throwing their fate in with the Jews. The SLA was supposed to carry on like the South Vietnamese after the American withdrawal. Well, the South Vietnamese held out for two and a half years. SLA did not hold out for two and a half days. The sight of Israel's only Lebanese allies fleeing for their lives will give pause to any Palestinian or Jordanian or even Egyptian who thinks that acting friendly toward, making deals with, or relying on the Israelis is a good idea.
There is only one possible salutary aspect to this disastrous situation. Israel's decline has mostly been psychological. It is because of war weariness and exhaustion that it has been conceding territory unilaterally--both in Lebanon and on the West Bank--in the hope of depriving its enemies of a reason to want to fight on. But the appeasement hasn't worked. Israel is as vilified as ever in the region and even more threatened physically, both in the north and in the heartland, than it has been for decades.
The reality of their enemies coming ever closer to their gates, unmollified and indeed energized, might shock Israelis back into some renewed perception of reality. For the first time in two decades they have an active front on one of their borders. Under the old dispensation, with buffer zones all around, Israelis could go about their day-to-day lives under the illusion that they were living in some kind of European-like protectorate with vague enemies far away.
The enemies are not vague, and they are no longer far away. They will be there every night on Israeli television, as they were just a few nights ago, dancing at the Israeli border fence, chanting "I will kill you" to the Israelis on the other side.
That change in perception might be accompanied by a renewal of will. It has happened before. America was deeply demoralized and in general retreat after the Vietnam War. It took a series of setbacks in that annus mirabilis 1979--the invasion of Afghanistan, the communization of Nicaragua, and most important, the fall of the shah and the seizure of American hostages in Teheran--to shock America out of its geopolitical lethargy. There's nothing like an acute humiliation to wake up a sleeping giant.
Israelis are exhausted. But they are also tough. At some point, their neighbors may push a little too far. It won't take a Pearl Harbor. Israelis wanted to get out of Lebanon, but they did not like the way they were expelled. Israel's adversaries certainly have the upper hand today. But they would be wise not to push their luck too far tomorrow. (Weekly Standard June 5)
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The reason the old Calories in/Calories out or Eat Less, Move More models of weight loss don't work is because they are based upon a flawed view of body fat. The popular view of body fat says that all calories are equal and if you want to lose weight, you just need to eat fewer calories than you use and presto! Magic fat loss will happen. The truth is a bit tricky though.
What we now know is that eating less and exercising more works great….for a while. You don't need to look any farther for proof of this than the hit show The Biggest Loser. Those trainers put these poor people through a extreme exercise program while cutting their calories down to nothing and it works! These people lose a ton of weight, until the cameras cut off and then slowly but surely, all the weight comes back on and most contestants end up fatter than when they began. Ever wonder why there isn't a reunion show?
What exactly is happening here? To better explain this, here is an analogy.
Let's say you are in charge of a coal electric plant and to make the necessary electricity you have to burn 2000 lbs of coal a day and you get that 2000 lbs delivered to you daily. You have a little coal in reserve to cover any shortfalls but mostly you just burn what comes in. Then, all of a sudden your daily shipments get cut back to 1500 lbs a day. What do you do? Well you might pull from your reserves for a few days to see if things go back to normal but after a few days, if you are smart plant manager, you are going to cut your output to 1500 lbs a day and just try to make due with what you have coming in but at the same time you are going to be on the phone screaming at your suppliers to get you back on the regular shipment amounts. In fact, if you are a REALLY good manager, you are going to call for MORE than your 2000 lbs so you use the extras to bump up your reserves and make sure you are prepared for the next time your shipments are interrupted.
Your body is essentially this coal plant. Once you cut back your caloric intake, your body will try to go along as normal, pulling from your fat and glucose reserves for energy. This is why the first week or so on a new diet you see some impressive results. But then, your body starts to realize you aren't feeding it enough and begins to take steps to preserve those reserves by cutting down your energy output. You will generally begin to feel more lethargic as the body reduces the amount of energy available for movement. You will also begin to feel more muddle-headed as the body reduces the amount of energy for cognition and colder as the body reduces the amount of energy available to heat the body, especially the extremities. This is why the effects of a new diet that relies on caloric restriction begins to taper off until you "plateau" and sit forever at the same weight. But as soon as you start listening to that screaming voice in your head telling you that you are hungry and need more food, not only do you quickly gain all the weight you lost back but usually a few more pounds as well as the body tries to protect itself for the next time you decide to starve it. This is what we call yo-yo dieting.
Now let's go the other way. The coal plant is used to operating at 2000 lbs a day of coal to meet demand but for whatever reason demand has increased to require 2500 lbs a day. What does the plant manager do? He pulls from his reserves for a while to cover the overage but he also gets on the phone to the suppliers and tells them to increase his daily shipments to 2500 lbs.
Your body is no different. When you increase your physical activity by starting an exercise program, your body responds by making you hungrier and you will generally eat more food to cover the caloric imbalance keeping your weight roughly the same.
So if you can't lose weight by eating less and you can't lose weight by moving more, what else is there?
Tomorrow we will look at a different way to think about weight loss.