Premier League clubs are filtering back into pre-season training this week as they ramp up preparations for the 2015-16 campaign.
Friendlies and summer tours are often a great way for young prospects to get themselves noticed, and it's a rare chance to perform alongside the established seniors and in front of the manager.
With that in mind, we checked in on every Premier League club's brightest young talent—the 20 individuals, up and down the table, who possess the the biggest potential and have the best chance of becoming world-class stars (one per club).
A note about our definition of "bright young talent": Rather than make it a straight 21 or under policy, we've selected the best young players who aren't yet household names. If you're a Premier League aficionado you'll have heard of some, but we've strayed away from including the likes of Raheem Sterling—it's not like you need reminding of who that is!
With thanks to: Tom Buckley, Bobby Gardiner, Rob Pollard, Chris Miller, Oliver Inwards, Matt Cheetham, Paul Ansorge, Ben Dewison and James Whittaker for helping collate the details.
Ryan Fraser, a 21-year-old forward/winger, is perhaps Bournemouth's crown jewel, but he's made over 60 appearances for the first team and has now gone out on loan. So we turn to the next in line.
Baily Cargill was given a Capital One Cup run by Eddie Howe last season, featuring against the likes of Liverpool, and has impressed the staff and coaches at the club. At just 19 years of age, he has room to grow as a multi-position player, but looks likely to find a home at centre-back at senior level thanks to his power, height and decisiveness in the challenge.
Unlike Fraser, Cargill will be kept in the squad this season; Howe told The Bournemouth Echo he has "Premier League potential" and intends to hone in. Calm on the ball and aerially excellent, he'll fit right in.
Dan Crowley is quite the talent-in-waiting; a formidable midfield general even at his tender age.
He possesses the much-sought ability to control the tempo and pace of a game, takes the lead in the centre of the park and possesses a wand of a right foot. He's the playmaker, the mediator and the set-piece specialist wrapped in one.
He's not elusive enough to play as a No. 10, so he'll settle deeper, and that raises concerns over his projection to the first team: Arsenal are stacked in his position.
Aston Villa have traditionally had plenty of youth options ready to emerge, but the well has dried up just a little of late. That means Jack Grealish is our featured man despite the fact he's already exploded into our collective conscious in more ways than one.
Despite the fact he's now a household name, either for his wizardry on the ball or his infamy in Tenerife, he's made just 13 Premier League starts and has not yet reached the age of 20.
A typical, languid No. 10, he's Adam Lallana all over, possessing the ability to play on the half-turn and pick the lock, but he lacks the top-end pace to play as a true winger.
Just picking one name here was hard enough; Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Jeremie Boga, Jay Dasilva, Andreas Christensen, Dominic Solanke...the list of superb Chelsea youth prospects just rolls on and on.
But we've plumped for Charly Musonda, who stands as their most exciting and intriguing young player. He's a treat to watch, combining the subtle skill and technicality of a No. 10, but also provides game-winning drive from the centre, and played in a deep midfield role when Chelsea beat Manchester City in the FA Youth Cup this season.
He played a key role further forward in the UEFA Youth League, swapping inside and out with Boga to wreak havoc upon Roma and Shakhtar Donetsk's defence.
Our selection here would have been Mandela Egbo, but he signed for Borussia Monchengladbach at the back end of June, relieving Crystal Palace of their finest prospect.
Jerome Binnom-Williams, Hiram Boateng and Sulley Kaikai will all be harbouring first-team hopes this season should they not be sent on loan to gain experience, but the biggest remaining talent is Kian Flanagan.
Per the Daily Mail, Chelsea and Arsenal are both making eyes at him across the dance floor after the 15-year-old excelled for Palace's U-18 team in the hole behind the forwards.
Brendan Galloway proposes an intriguing dilemma for Roberto Martinez: Should Everton buy a left-sided centre-back to replace Sylvain Distin, or trust this youngster with serious first-team duty?
Galloway even managed to edge Luke Garbutt—the supposed favoured son to eventually replace Leighton Baines—out of the XI at left-back at times last season despite being a naturalised, tall, strong central player.
He clearly has the manager's trust, but he's yet to make a proper impact for the seniors. Is it a pivotal year for the young defender?
According to Sky Sports, Europe's elite are circling around Hamza Choudhury, who has been excelling for Leicester City in the youth sector.
At just 16 years of age, he's playing a vital, energetic role in the centre of the park for the Foxes' U-18 side, matching those two years his senior in the most important area of the pitch.
Oh, and his hair is unbelievable.
Harry Wilson is another fantastically agile, smooth No. 10 who should progress to become a world-class player if the dominoes fall in his favour.
The UEFA Youth League provided plenty of tape for us to peruse when it came to assessing him, and his wand of a left foot—be it from free-kicks or just outside the box—is as destructive as they come.
He weaves past outstretched legs and ducks challenges with precision and boasts that wonderful ability to slide the perfectly weighted pass into the box to pick out a striker.
Jordon Ibe is another one to watch very seriously.
Andreas Pereira's name was unfortunately tarnished by Manchester United's comical collapse at MK Dons early last season, but don't draw any sweeping conclusions about him based on that game.
If anything, judge him by his remarkable performances at the recent U-20 World Cup, in which he was Brazil's most impressive offensive player, hitting opposing defences like a graceful wrecking ball.
He's two-footed, capable on the flank, great at slipping into space inside, takes set pieces and scores great goals. A wonderfully exciting prospect.
According to the Manchester Evening News, Kelechi Iheanacho is to be given his first-team shot in 2015-16; Manuel Pellegrini believes him to be ready.
The Nigerian is a typical No. 9 and has been ripping defences to shreds in the youth leagues, giving City's EDS side a lethal edge inside the penalty box.
He busies centre-backs, uses his strength well and unsettles defenders with his movement. He's got a finish, too, be it headed or with his feet.
Rolando Aarons is the perfect embodiment of the phrase "raw talent"; he's a bundle of energy and slick skill just waiting to be cracked open and harnessed for good.
Newcastle United fans saw promising glimpses of him last season only for a recurring hamstring injury to wreck his season. He's already bagged his first Premier League goal and assist despite making just four appearances.
He projects as a dynamic, exciting young winger with the ability to make a difference. His top-end pace makes him a threat in every area of the pitch.
Josh Murphy has begun making a sporadic impact upon Norwich City's first XI as their season in the Championship allowed him some game time, and now, if Alex Neil chooses to trust him, he could break out as a Premier League player.
A tricky, quick winger, Murphy is a player the Canaries can turn to if too much of a burden is placed upon Nathan Redmond's shoulders this coming campaign. He may yet go out on loan back to the Championship, as he's quite raw, needing refinement in the passing and crossing game.
Like most in his position, he's incredibly tough to project at this stage, but he has all the raw tools required.
Like with Chelsea, it was tough to pick between the reams of talent Southampton's academy can boast. We're big fans of Harrison Reed and Ryan Seager, but Jake Hesketh is the selection here.
The diminutive midfielder was promoted to Ronald Koeman's senior squad this season due to a raft of injuries sustained by first-teamers, and he even bagged a start of his own, but unfortunately he had to withdraw just 32 minutes into it himself.
He picks a pass like few others, weighting his deliveries perfectly to find runners even if the gap to fit it through is minuscule. He thrives between the lines as a No. 10 and looks a more penetrative, decisive player than James Ward-Prowse.
Stoke City fended off legitimate interest from some of the Premier League's big clubs to sign Julien N'Goy in 2013, and he's now about ready to challenge for a first-team position.
His academy director back in Belgium, Nkandu Ntondo, a man who has worked with Romelu Lukaku, has labelled him "one of the best I have ever seen," per David Woods of the Daily Star, and he's progressing quickly to become an all-round striker.
He's quick, lean, just over six foot tall and technically capable. If The Potters find themselves shy of goals this season, he may just get the call.
Duncan Watmore is a player who stood out at the 2015 Toulon tournament this summer, impressing the various scouts and journalists with his direct, positive tendencies and ability to fashion goalscoring chances.
Once thought of as a centre-forward, Watmore has found a nice spot in the supporting forward/winger role, identifying space to hit and pushing forward with the ball at his feet after being found well.
Like Julien N'Goy at Stoke City, Watmore will be a name Black Cats fans bay for if their team struggle for goals again this year.
Swansea City have done a good job producing homegrown talent of late, but Matt Grimes perhaps doesn't fall into that category—he was signed from Exeter City at the start of this year.
The 19-year-old still managed to land in the League Two Team of the Season (despite playing half a campaign), as his talent in central midfield is obvious to anyone who watches.
In the mould of Leon Britton, or perhaps a more penetrative, effective Tom Carroll, Grimes will be sniffing out first-team chances this coming season after training with the seniors and making a sporadic debut on the left in 2014-15. He's an England youth regular and has captained his age group too.
Marcus Edwards is a live-wire with the ball at his feet and has a knack for making the decisive difference in games.
Those who weren't aware of his heroics for Tottenham Hotspur's academy games learnt of his brilliance at the European Under-17 Championship, in which he was parachuted in as a substitute against Italy in the opener to score the winner and set up a strong tournament run.
Spurs have plenty of young talent to parade—Milos Veljkovic and Ismail Azzaoui are two of many players—but we spoke to youth expert Chris Miller privately, and he assured that if Edwards keeps his mind on track, he's the brightest prospect the club has.
If Danny De Silva doesn't work out, Australian football fans will next pin their hopes on Watford's Xane Zaineddine. After his family relocated from down under to London, he joined the Hornets' academy—despite receiving offers from Barcelona and Milan et al.
Zaineddine plays anywhere across the advanced midfield three and stands an incredibly tricky player. Nike already sponsors him—as sure of an affirmation of early talent you can possibly get.
Watford have several irons in the fire—Michael Folivi scored a bucket-load for the academy last season and Ogo Obi is a genuine talent—but Zaineddine is the pick.
West Bromwich Albion have pumped through quite a few strong prospects in recent years, but rarely are they able to keep them from being poached by bigger teams at an early age.
But Tyler Roberts has stuck around, and the 16-year-old is receiving praise from every direction—be it from West Brom and Tony Pulis or the Welsh national setup.
His one-on-one dribbling ability, speed, technical prowess and willingness to drive forward make him an intriguing watch, and he's already trained with the Wales first team so Chris Coleman can get a better look at him close up.
Reece Oxford is a bright young hope for England and West Ham at centre-back. He was one of the best players at the recent European Under-17 Championship, landing a spot in Wyscout's Team of the Tournament in defence.
The young Hammer is a technically proficient player, shows excellent timing in challenges and boasts the perfect set of physical tools. He's tall, can pack muscle onto his frame and possesses superb recovery pace.
There have been a few false dawns when it comes to new defensive West Ham heroes; fans will hope Oxford bucks the trend.


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Baidu Cleaner
By Baidu | April 29, 2015
Baidu Cleaner promises to improve computer performance in a unique new way. Baidu Cleaner builds a "junk file" database in the cloud, identifying unused files that are clogging a computer based on its user's behavior, and then integrates data from multiple users to continually improve its junk detection effectiveness. This Cloud-cleaning system is what makes Baidu Cleaner better than junks files cleaning comparing with other optimizing software in the market. Cleaning feature of Baidu Cleaner is not just powerful, the simple and user-friendly interface makes it a easy-to-use feature too. After opening the Baidu Cleaner, clicking the "Full Scan" is the only move you have to do to get a clean PC. Being clean and fresh is just a single click away from you! Baidu Cleaner is also about finding a smarter way to maintain your computer in real-time. Baidu Cleaner is approaching the perennial problem of a sluggish computer from a 21st-century mindset. There's a lot of potential in harnessing the power of big data and the cloud for PC optimizing, but so far it's been under-utilized. Baidu Cleaner wants to change that. By analyzing a huge amount of junk files, Baidu Cleaner can learn to more rapidly -- and accurately -- identify what's slowing down your PC. Over time, it will be able to easily see the nearly invisible patterns of stubborn computer trash, like specific folder names, filename extensions, and even read-write frequency of program. In order to enrich your PC experience, there are also prepared several handy tools for you, like, Large File Cleaner, a System Repair tool, a personal WiFi Hotspot tool and more. Baidu Cleaner is currently available for Windows 8/7/Vista/XP, and has built-in language support for English, Thai and Portuguese.
Windows 8 Windows Vista Windows Windows 7 Windows XP

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Veterans working at Principal power drive to help shelter
Updated: 2:23 PM CDT Apr 17, 2014
Tad Andersen
A veterans group at Principal Financial Group collected thousands of clothing, kitchen and toiletries items to help the Central Iowa Shelter & Services.More than 5,000 clothing and kitchen items as well as 250 pounds of toiletries are being delivered to the shelter Thursday afternoon."The Principal has a longstanding tradition of community involvement through our employee resource groups and our vast volunteer network," said Doug Fick, VP & CIO, US Insurance Solutions and executive sponsor of the Veterans Employee Resource Group. "We're especially proud of the VERG leadership and their ability to tap into our generous employee base to provide basic clothing and materials to homeless veterans."Over the last two weeks, the Veterans Employee Resource Group collected the items.Principal officials said that when the group learned about the growing number of homeless veterans, they wanted to focus their efforts to help reducing the numbers.
DES MOINES, Iowa —
A veterans group at Principal Financial Group collected thousands of clothing, kitchen and toiletries items to help the Central Iowa Shelter & Services.
More than 5,000 clothing and kitchen items as well as 250 pounds of toiletries are being delivered to the shelter Thursday afternoon.
"The Principal has a longstanding tradition of community involvement through our employee resource groups and our vast volunteer network," said Doug Fick, VP & CIO, US Insurance Solutions and executive sponsor of the Veterans Employee Resource Group. "We're especially proud of the VERG leadership and their ability to tap into our generous employee base to provide basic clothing and materials to homeless veterans."
Over the last two weeks, the Veterans Employee Resource Group collected the items.
Principal officials said that when the group learned about the growing number of homeless veterans, they wanted to focus their efforts to help reducing the numbers.


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Austin Board Gamer
6 Player Gloria Mundi
Key Decisions
Labor Day Return
Juegos de la tapa 10 de los Miguels de 2005
Black Bones of Trick
Yet another Tower Game?
Women are from Venus, Faidutti is from Mars
Conquest of the Empire (HBO Style)
Island Fever
It's a hard knock life.
Tricks, Trump, Crash and Burn!
Ok, so as most people who know me know, I am not always the biggest fan of Trick taking games. But I will always try it at least once to see if it will strike a chord. Todays menu was a new trike-taking game from Phalanx called Trump, Tricks, Game.
The game is pretty standard. It has four colors/suites of cards numbered from 1-13 and four trump cards. The game is played in four rounds, where each color is trump once in the game. The four trump colors are shuffled and lay ed out to determine the trump color order. The tricks are played pretty standard, where you play the opening color if you can, and the high trump, or opening color wins the tricks. However each player is only allowed to take exactly three trick for the first three rounds. All cards a player plays after the three won tricks become throwoff. The cards in the mid range have "paw" symbols on them, ranging from 1-3 on cards 6-7-8. To score in each of the first three rounds, you count the number of paws you have and multiply them by the number of different colors you have. The last round is special. The paws mean nothing, and each color card is weighted, ie. each red card is 4pts., green are 3pts., yellow are 2pts. and blue are 1pt.
On my first playing Somehow on the first round I got all but one red card, which was trump in the next round. THIS IS WAY BAD. As I will most certainly win the first three tricks, that people could throw off no paws! So I ended up with 6 points, while other players were averaging 20-30 points.
It seemed that it is a good idea, to hold off gaining tricks till the last rounds as you will get a more varied selection of colors and paws. It also seemed like a good idea to get as many final round trump cards as possible so that you can control the last round. This didn't seem to be what happened as both Ed and I got majorly hosed in a specific round.
This game seems REALLY fragile, and I'm not sure if it's striking a positive chord with me. I think I will stick to control nut as my trick-taking game of the year.
August 19, 2005 in Game News and Reviews | Permalink


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"I Will Dare" is a song by American alternative rock band The Replacements, written by Paul Westerberg. The song's pop stylings were a departure from the band's punk origins and its lyrics reflected the band's willingness to "dare to do anything." The track also features guitar performed by Peter Buck of R.E.M.

The song was released as a single on independent record label Twin/Tone Records in July 1984, shortly before the release of the band's album Let It Be that October, on which the song served as the opening track. The song has since seen critical acclaim and has been named by music writers as one of the band's best songs.

Background
"I Will Dare" was written by Replacements frontman Paul Westerberg shortly after the band completed their Hootenanny album. According to producer Peter Jesperson, Westerberg attempted to get the song onto Hootenanny: "I got a call from Paul saying, 'I've just finished the best song I've ever written. We need to record it now.' But the record was already done, so we couldn't do it."

Westerberg has called the song as an answer to U2's "I Will Follow" and has also described the track as "a kind of love song." He further noted that the song's title was an apt motto for the band, and said, "We'll dare to flop [. . .] We'll dare to do anything."

The song is based on a shuffle rhythm and features Paul Westerberg playing a mandolin. Peter Buck of R.E.M. plays guitar on the song, including the solo after lead guitarist Bob Stinson couldn't come up with an adequate solo himself. Buck recalled, "I was just sitting there, and Bob said something like, 'I can't play a solo on this fucking thing.' Those weren't his chords. And Paul goes, 'Hey, Peter, you do it.

Release
"I Will Dare" was released as the opening track and debut single from the band's 1984 album Let It Be. Though it did not reach any national charts, the song was a college radio hit, reaching number one on 55 college radio stations and saw play on local stations in Chicago and Long Island.

For the single release, "I Will Dare" was backed by cover recordings of T.Rex's "20th Century Boy" and Hank Williams' "Hey Good Lookin'." The cover  of "Hey Good Lookin'" was recorded at a club performance in Madison, Wisconsin. Although Replacements guitarist Bob Stinson claimed his guitar solo on the recording was deliberately off-key, Stinson tried to grab the tape of the recording from his bandmates as they replayed it endlessly and laughed at the solo after the show.

A 1986 live recording of the song is found on the 2017 album For Sale: Live at Maxwell's 1986.

Critical reception
AllMusic writes that the song "stands as perhaps the band's most beloved song and is a touchstone for their mid-'80s heyday, not to mention its status in the jangle and college rock canons."

The song has been ranked by many music writers as one of the best Replacements songs. Ultimate Classic Rock ranked the song as the best Replacements song, calling it "As bouncy, jangly and infectious as an early Beatles hit." PopMatters named it their second best song, dubbing it "without a doubt the band's most consumable and forthright pop song" and calling it the best opening track on any Replacements album. Diffuser.fm ranked it the band's ninth best song.

The song has been included in The Rock and Roll Hall of Fame's 500 Songs that Shaped Rock and Roll.

Track listing
 "I Will Dare" (Westerberg)  – 3:18
 "20th Century Boy" (Bolan)
 "Hey Good Lookin'" (Williams)

Notes and references

1984 singles
The Replacements (band) songs
1984 songs
Songs written by Paul Westerberg

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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Philippi's Covered Bridge
If a bridge could talk this one would speak volumes!
The Covered Bridge of Philippi is the oldest and longest one of its kind in the state of West Virginia and is one of the few surviving "double barreled" (two lane) bridges in the United States. It measures 285 feet in length, and dates back to 1852 – just nine years prior to the start of the American Civil War. The bridge served as a vital connection between the towns of Beverly and Fairmont by allowing the Beverly-Fairmont Turnpike to cross the Tygart River.
The Battle of Philippi was the first land battle of the Civil War. It lasted only twenty minutes and had no casualties, but the real prize was the nearby town of Grafton where two railroads linked and allowed East-to-West supplies to move forward. The Union troops took possession of the Philippi Covered Bridge and used it for a barracks of sorts. When the Confederate army raided the B&O Railroad in nearby Cumberland, Maryland, in 1863, Union troops attempted to burn the bridge, but southern sympathizers in the area were able to save it. The attempted destruction was the first of seven times that the historic landmark would sustain severe damage.
Lemuel Chenoweth, the bridge's original architect, convinced the Public Board of Works to award him the contract for building the bridge by demonstrating the strength of its Burr Arch Bracing system with a model made of hickory wood. He rested the model on the top of the backs of two opposing chairs and jumped up on top of it. The historic landmark, like its prototype, has been a survivor and is still in use to this day.


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Discover free woodworking plans and projects for patterns puzzle game. Start your next project for patterns puzzle game with one of our many woodworking plans. Woodworking project plans available for immediate PDF download.
This Game Is Amazing! - Let's Play Patterns P1 - Genesis/indev, 600th Video!


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Robert Kraft's Attorneys Attempt To Turn the Tables, Hit Florida Police with Serious Accusations
Published April 4, 2019 at 12:17pm
The maneuvers of New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft's legal team in his solicitation of prostitution case continued this week with Kraft's attorneys now going after the police in Jupiter, Florida.
Kraft's attorneys claim in a 92-page court filing that Jupiter police violated the U.S. and Florida constitutions and misrepresented evidence to obtain a search warrant that allowed them to install cameras as the Orchids of Asia Day Spa, ESPN reported.
They contend that the tactics used to nail Kraft and others are normally reserved for serious crimes rather than the misdemeanor offenses he is facing.
Kraft's attorneys also claim Jupiter police officers used a fake bomb threat to clear out the spa so they could install the cameras, USA Today reported.
In a motion to suppress the video footage from Kraft's visit to the spa, one of Kraft's attorneys said, the Jupiter Police Department "caused a phony 'suspicious package' warning to be issued for the Spa in order to force an evacuation so the JPD could install hidden cameras inside several of its private massage rooms, as well as in the Spa's lobby."
The cameras were installed Jan. 18, according to the latest filing by Kraft's attorneys.
The Patriots owner visited the spa Jan. 19 and Jan. 20, with the second visit being just hours before the Patriots played Kansas City in the AFC championship game.
While he was leaving after his second visit, Kraft's vehicle was stopped as part of an alleged traffic violation, but his attorneys contend the stop wasn't warranted.
The filing says the traffic stop had the "sole purpose of identifying Mr. Kraft — a passenger in the car — in the absence of any traffic violation or reasonable suspicion of one by the driver."
Do you think Robert Kraft will be penalized for his actions?
"This ruse concealed the execution of the Warrant from the Spa, its employees, and its customers, none of whom received notice of the issuance of the Warrant or the placement of hidden video cameras on Spa premises," Kraft attorney Jack Goldberger wrote, according to USA Today.
Additionally, under Florida law, police can only make secret recordings when investigating certain serious felonies, the filing says.
Kraft is facing two misdemeanor charges of solicitation. He has denied engaging in any illegal activity at the spa.
"In sum, the worst offenses that jump out from this record are not those committed by one or another masseuse or patron whose massage allegedly included (a) consensual sexual act," Goldberger wrote.
"Far more worrisome than any alleged misdemeanor are the astonishing lengths to which law enforcement went in order to orchestrate a calculated, systematic campaign to blow past established constitutional limits," he wrote.
RELATED: Clemson Superstar Travis Etienne Uses Bible Verse To Announce He's Forgoing NFL Draft, Returning for Senior Year
Michael Rubin, a co-owner of the Philadelphia 76ers and New Jersey Devils, defended Kraft during a news conference Wednesday.
"The whole thing was made up by law enforcement," Rubin said, according to NJ Advance Media. "There was no sex trafficking. It's a lie. No one was charged. There was no sex trafficking. Law enforcement made it up. He was illegally videoed, illegally pulled over."
Tags: crime, Florida, National Football League NFL, New England Patriots, NFL


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Dorslandtrekker (wörtlich: "Durstlandzieher") nannte man die 1874 und in den Folgejahren aus der Südafrikanischen Republik (heute Teil von Südafrika) vor den Briten fliehenden Gruppen von burischen Farmerfamilien.

Geschichte

Nachdem das Vereinigte Königreich im ausgehenden 18. Jahrhundert die Herrschaft über die Kapprovinz übernommen hatte, kam es immer öfter zu Spannungen zwischen den burischen Kolonisten und britischen Machthabern, in deren Folge die Buren Anfang des 19. Jahrhunderts im großen Treck nach Norden und Osten in das Landesinnere Südafrikas auswichen, um dort ein ihren Vorstellungen entsprechendes, sehr stark religiös bestimmtes Gemeinwesen zu gründen. So entstanden die beiden unabhängigen Burenrepubliken Oranje-Freistaat und Transvaal.

Aber auch hierher rückten die Briten nach, zumal die ersten Goldfunde in Transvaal schnell ein wirtschaftliches Interesse zur Folge hatten. Viele Buren fürchteten in der Folge erneut um ihre staatliche Unabhängigkeit und begaben sich am 20. Mai 1874 unter Führung des Farmers Gert Alberts in einer ersten Welle erneut auf Wanderschaft. Weitere Trecks folgten unter du Plessis, Jan Greyling, Gert Mair und van Rensburg. Der entbehrungsreiche und abenteuerliche Treck führte die Buren zunächst ins Betschuanaland (das heutige Botswana), durch die trockene Kalahari, das "Durstland" – daher der afrikaanse Name "Dorsland-Trekker" – bis an die Ostgrenze Südwestafrikas bei Rietfontein (östlich von Gobabis – nicht zu verwechseln mit "Riedfontein" östlich von Keetmanshoop).

In Betschuanaland und Angola

Im Betschuanaland stießen die Dorslandtrekker jedoch gleichermaßen auf Herero, Mbanderu, San und Nama, die alle die Gebietsherrschaft über diese Region beanspruchten. Ansiedlungsverträge mit einem der Stämme mussten zwangsläufig zu Spannungen mit allen anderen Stämmen führen. Außerdem hatten die Neuankömmlinge keinen guten Ruf bei den einheimischen Stämmen, da manche ihrer Stammesmitglieder bereits Erfahrungen mit Buren vom Kap gemacht und diese als herrisch, stur und selbstgefällig kennengelernt hatten. So blieb den Dorslandtrekkern nicht anderes übrig, als im Osten des Landes weiter nach Norden ins Gebiet der  Etosha-Pfanne zu ziehen. Neuer Stützpunkt wurde 1878 wieder Rietfontein – diesmal der Name einer Quelle südlich der Salzpfanne. Hier lebten die Dorslandtrekker vor allem von der Jagd – und schossen innerhalb kurzer Zeit den gesamten Elefantenbestand ab und reduzierten auch den sonstigen Wildbestand drastisch. Die Buren beraubten sich damit selbst ihrer Lebensgrundlage und mussten, um nicht mit den Ovambo zu kollidieren, ins Kaokoveld weiterziehen. Dieses Gebiet war jedoch durch Vertrag zwischen Palgrave und Maharero von 1876 den Briten als "Regierungsreserve" zuerkannt worden, so dass den Buren erneut die britische Vorherrschaft drohte. So zogen die Dorslandtrekker Ende 1880 über den Kunene nach Angola, wo sie den dort als Kolonialmacht herrschenden Portugiesen durchaus willkommen waren, um im Süden des Landes eine stärkere europäische Präsenz zu bilden. 1880 gründeten sie dort Humpata.

Ein eigenständiges Gemeinwesen jedoch konnten die Buren auch hier nicht gründen, und so bemühte sich ein Teil von ihnen in Abstimmung mit den Ovambo um eine Ansiedlung in dem fruchtbaren "Maisdreieck" der späteren Orte Tsumeb, Grootfontein und  Otavi. Hier gründeten sie 1885 die burische Republik Upingtonia und planten Grootfontein zu deren Hauptstadt auszubauen. Die meisten blieben jedoch in Humpata, während einige Familien sich weiter nördlich auf dem Zentralhochland Angolas ansiedelten. Insgesamt blieben sie eine in sich geschlossene Gruppe, die – ein wenig wie die Amische – sowohl Integration als auch Erneuerungen jeglicher Art ablehnten. Sie verarmten im Laufe der Jahrzehnte und wanderten in Wellen zurück, vor allem in das heutige Namibia, wo einige von ihnen nach dem Ersten Weltkrieg Farmen übernahmen, die von deutschen Vorbesitzern verlassen worden waren. Als "Angolaburen" bildeten sie zunächst eine abgesonderte Gruppe, die sich aber nach und nach integrierte. Die letzten in Angola verbliebenen Buren wanderten 1975 zurück, als Angola inmitten eines Bürgerkriegs unabhängig wurde.

Republik Upingtonia

Der Führer der Dorslandtrekker, William Worthington Jordan, ein Jäger, Händler und Abenteurer, hatte 1885 von Ondonga-König Kambonde kaMpingana das erwähnte Gebiet erworben und den Buren angeboten, dort zu siedeln. Schon 1884 hatte er Rehoboth von den Swartboois, die die Gegend verlassen hatten, erworben, um dort 22 burische Basterfamilien anzusiedeln. Die Baster zogen in jenes Gebiet, schlossen jedoch im Juni 1886 mit dem Deutschen Reich einen Schutzvertrag.

Stattdessen machte Jordan einen erneuten Versuch und erbat vom Premierminister am Kap der Guten Hoffnung, Sir Thomas Upington, Schutz für das von ihm genannte Gebiet, das er, um seinem Gesuch Gewicht zu verleihen, Upingtonia nannte und als Burenrepublik einrichtete. Sir Upington verweigerte seine Zustimmung zur Namensgebung und konnte auch keinen Schutz erteilen, da es in den Machtbereich des Deutschen Reiches fiel. Außerdem machten die Herero unter Einfluss ihres Beraters, des Händlers Robert Lewis, den Erwerb streitig.

So konnte diese "Staatsgründung" keinen langen Bestand haben, nachdem 1884 auch die Deutschen in Südwestafrika Fuß zu fassen begannen und in Upingtonia nicht nur gutes Farmland, sondern in den Otavibergen auch reiche Erzvorkommen fanden (letztere waren allerdings schon lange vorher bei den Ovambo und Damara bekannt). Als Jordan im Juni 1886 im Ovamboland ermordet wurde, gestaltete sich die Lage immer schwieriger. So blieb die Republik Upingtonia ein Mythos und der Distrikt Upingtonia, wie man das Gebiet vorübergehend nannte, wurde 1887 in die deutsche Kolonie eingegliedert.

Weitere Entwicklung
Der Schweizer Botaniker Dr. Hans Schinz bereiste Südwestafrika in den Jahren 1885–1887 und beschrieb in seinem Buch Deutsch-Südwestafrika als erster seinen Aufenthalt in Upingtonia und die dortigen Verhältnisse. Das Gebiet wurde 1892 schließlich als Damaraland-Konzession der Deutsch-Britischen South West Africa Company mit allen Mineral- und Eisenbahnrechten zur Entwicklung und Ausbeutung übertragen (siehe auch OMEG).

Dennoch blieb das Verhältnis zwischen Buren und der deutschen Kolonialverwaltung durchaus gut, da die Buren in Ermangelung einer effizienten deutschen Kolonialverwaltung große Freiheiten genossen und auch die Schutztruppe durch die geordnete Anwesenheit der Buren im Norden der Kolonie keine Aufstände von Einheimischen zu befürchten hatte. So konnte es nicht verwundern, dass die Dorslandtrekker nach Ausbruch des Ersten Weltkriegs in Südwestafrika auf Seiten der Deutschen einen Freiwilligenverband aufstellten und zusammen mit den aus Südafrika übergelaufenen burischen Verbänden gegen die Briten kämpften.

Das Verhältnis zu den deutschen Siedlern verschlechterte sich erst nach der Übernahme der Mandatsverwaltung durch Südafrika (1920) und der gezielten Ansiedlung von aus Angola zurückkehrenden Dorslandtrekkern auf ehemals deutschen Farmen (1928). Die letzten noch in Angola siedelnden Dorslandtrecker kehrten erst nach dem Ausbruch des Bürgerkriegs in Angola nach Südwestafrika zurück und integrierten sich in den dortigen burischen Bevölkerungsteil.

Siehe auch
 Voortrekker

Literatur
 Roger Webster: The Dorsland Trekkers. In: Roger Webster: The Illustrated At The Fireside. True Southern African Stories. Global, London 2004, ISBN 978-0-86486-558-8, S. 17–22 ().
 Martti Eirola: "Janomaan vaeltajat" ja Upingtonian buuritasavalta 1885-1887. Universität Oulu, Oulu 1991, ISBN 978-951-42-3273-2.
 J. G. Prinsloo, J. G. Gauché, Stephanus P. Engelbrecht: In die woeste weste. Die lydensgeskiedenis van die Dorslandtrekker. Opgeteken uit die mond van 'n Dorslandtrekker (= De Bussy se historiese leesboeke. Band 9). De Bussy, Pretoria 1933.

Weblinks
 Karte der Burentreks (englisch)

Einzelnachweise

Deutsche Kolonialgeschichte (Afrika)
Otjozondjupa
Grootfontein
Soziale Gruppe
Personenbezeichnung (Politik)


text:
C. Diff Infections Becoming More Common, Severe
NOTE: UPDATED EMBARBO TIME OF 8AM ET
ROCHESTER, Minn. — October 17, 2012. Clostridium difficile infections are becoming more common and more severe in hospitalized children and the elderly, in large part due to greater use of antibiotics, Mayo Clinic researchers report in studies being presented at the American College of Gastroenterology annual meeting. The bacterium, also known as C. difficile or C. diff, can cause an infection with symptoms ranging from diarrhea to life-threatening inflammation of the colon. It is the most common cause of diarrhea in hospitals and is linked to 14,000 U.S. deaths each year.
MULTIMEDIA ALERT: A video interview with Dr. Khanna is available for journalists to download on the Mayo Clinic News Network.
The Mayo study analyzed five years of data from the National Hospital Discharge Survey and found that of an estimated 13.7 million hospitalized children, the 46,176 with C. diff infections had significantly longer hospital stays, more instances of colectomy (partial or total removal of the colon), increased admission to long or short-term care facilities, and higher risk of death.
"Despite increased awareness of C. difficile in children, and advancements in management and prevention, this remains a major problem in hospitalized children," says Sahil Khanna, M.B.B.S., a Mayo Clinic gastroenterologist.
Elderly patients also have a greater risk of complications from C. difficile and dying from the infection. In a separate study of 1.3 million adult patients hospitalized with C. diff, patients over 65 were in the hospital longer, sent to nursing homes more frequently and had a greater risk of death. That suggests being over age 65 is an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes associated with the infection.
Researchers say increased use of antibiotics is a main reason for the increasing infection rates. When a person takes antibiotics, good bacteria or flora that protect against infection are destroyed. When these bacteria are destroyed, patients are vulnerable to C. difficile picked up from contaminated surfaces or spread from a health care provider's hands.
Treatments depend on the severity and number of times a patient has had a C. diff infection. Typically, physicians will treat it with the antibiotic metronidazole or oral vancomycin. For severe cases and patients with recurrent C. diff, fecal transplants are an option. Stool transplant restores healthy intestinal bacteria by placing donor stool in the colon.
Recurrent C. difficile is a major problem with the risk of recurrence being 20 percent after a first infection and as much as 60 percent after multiple infections. People who have had C. difficile are twice as likely to get it again. Other known risk factors include proton-pump inhibitors for gastric reflux, immunosuppression, and long hospital stays.
It costs at least $1 billion annually to treat C. difficile infections.
Prevention measures include:
Washing hands frequently with soap and warm water in the event of a C. difficile outbreak; alcohol-based hand sanitizers may not destroy C. diff spores.
Patients hospitalized with C. difficile should have a private room or share a room with someone else who has it. Hospital staff and visitors should wear disposable gloves and gowns while in the room.
Thoroughly cleaning surfaces with a product that contains chlorine bleach.
Avoid unnecessary use of antibiotics.
When on antibiotics, take probiotics to help restore balance to the intestinal tract.
Other study authors include Mallika Gupta, M.B.B.S., Larry Baddour, M.D., and Darrell Pardi, M.D.
About Mayo Clinic:
Recognizing 150 years of serving humanity in 2014, Mayo Clinic is a nonprofit worldwide leader in medical care, research and education for people from all walks of life. For more information, visit 150years.mayoclinic.org, www.mayoclinic.org and newsnetwork.mayoclinic.org.
Media Contact: Brian Kilen, 507-284-5005 (days), newsbureau@mayo.edu
Mayo Clinic researchers identify women with twice the risk of cancer in both breasts
ROCHESTER, Minn. — Women with cancer in one breast may be at higher risk of developing cancer in the opposite breast if they are carriers ...
By Kelley Luckstein • January 19, 2023
Mayo Clinic researchers link ovarian cancer to bacteria colonization in microbiome
ROCHESTER, Minn. — A specific colonization of microbes in the reproductive tract is commonly found in women with ovarian cancer, according to a new study ...
By Susan Murphy • January 16, 2023
Texas health system Shannon joins Mayo Clinic Care Network
ROCHESTER, Minn. — Shannon and Mayo Clinic announced Wednesday, Dec. 14, that the Texas health system has joined the Mayo Clinic Care Network. Members of ...
By Kevin Punsky • December 14, 2022
C. diff Severe in Hospitalized Children
Mayo Clinic Introduces New Book, Bringing the Social Media Revolution to Health Care


At the core of Quantum Legacy is a Persistent World, Massive Multiplayer, Real Time Strategy game. Those who choose to enter its world will fight for control of one planet split in three time periods.
The world of Quantum Legacy is both persistent and complex. It never sleeps, and the action never stops. Even if the players are not logged in, their units and buildings will stand ground and defend their territory.
The world can also be changed by the user to give strategic advantages, or simply to create catastrophic events. Lakes and bodies of water may be drained, polar ice caps can be melted to flood the enemy, and land can be eradicated with radiation to prevent all but the most resilient units from mining the resources. These are only a few of the possible actions that may be taken by the players.
More can be read on the site. This is a browser based game. There is nothing to download here b/c the game is browser based.


Congratulations to our auction winners! From trips, to jewels to one of a kind experiences, we had a great selection of auction packages!
THE PEARL OF THE MODERN WOMAN Sea Princess, Jewelmer's Brand Manager Marion Branellec, Alexa Andanar, Derrick Monasterio, and Tim Yap.


From *the Department of Radiology, The Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital Trust, Middlesex, and †the Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, University College London Hospitals, London, United Kingdom.
Study Design.Sequential study of magnetic resonance images of the lumbar spine.Objectives.To determine the variation in position of the conus medullaris in a living adult population without spinal deformity.Summary of Background Data.Cadaveric studies have shown that the position of the conus medullaris in the adult most commonly is located at L1-L2. There have been several studies documenting the changing level of the conus throughout infancy and childhood, but there is no detailed study that documents the range of conus positions in a living adult population without spinal deformity.Methods.The T1-weighted, midline, sagittal, spin-echo magnetic resonance imaging studies of 504 patients were assessed to identify the tip of the conus medullaris. This location was recorded in relation to the upper, middle, or lower third of the adjacent vertebral body or the adjacent intervertebral disc.Results.The study group consisted of 231 men and 273 women with a mean age 46 years (range, 16-85 years). Most patients were being examined for low back pain. Patients with spinal deformity were excluded. The mean conus position was the lower third of L1 (range, middle third of T12 to upper third of L3). The variation in conus positions followed a normal distribution. No significant difference in conus position was seen between male and female patients or with increasing age.Conclusions.The distribution of conus location in a large adult population was shown to range from the middle third of T12 to the upper third of L3.


North Carolina requires every company, whether it is a limited liability company (LLC) or a corporation, designate an in-state registered agent to receive service of process. Service of Process is when a party receives notice that a case is being filed against them so they may then take action.
At National Registered Agents, Inc. (NRAI), we can provide you with a large range of services, in addition to serving a your professional registered agent. We have already served thousands of companies throughout the United States and are eager to help your new business be successful. Find out more information about NRAI services by calling (855) 267-2898 or by completing our Request Services form. And, if you already have a registered agent in the State of North Carolina, switching to NRAI is easy.


Here are the websites that this dietitian can't get enough of!
Of course I try to base my blogs on the latest scientific evidence and pepper in my own point of view, but it's also fun to read my dietitian colleagues' blogs to get their take on all things nutrition related. Here are some of the blogs that are worth reading.
This website is run by registered dietitians Liz Weiss and Janice Newell Bissex. They provide practical solutions for busy parents on how to improve everyday meals. You'll find simple substitutions and ideas for can-do recipes that the entire family will love. These ladies also do a weekly podcast full of recipes, mealtime tips, and good humor.
Registered dietitian Estela Schnelle's site is based on this motto: "Eat when you're hungry...and eat REAL food." If we all could do this, we wouldn't have an obesity epidemic and we'd live longer, healthier lives. Look out for her tasty recipes—she helps "veganize" chocolate chip cookies—and sound nutritional advice.
Written by Chris Mohr, PhD, and Kara Mohr, PhD, this site provides a lot of useful nutrition and fitness information, and it also covers controversial topics. As parents of a baby daughter, Chris and Kara provide advice that most busy parents and professionals can relate to. Look at this nugget of wisdom: "New Year's resolutions are merely excuses for what you don't want to start today." You'll love their matter-of-fact tone and helpful tips.
Charles Stuart Platkin, PhD, provides a tough-love approach that shows how many calories we mindlessly eat and how much exercise it would take to burn them off. Did you know you'd have to shop for more than three hours to burn off a Starbuck's Venti Peppermint Mocha? You'll also find meal plans, menus, and step-by-step guides for long-lasting weight loss.


Professional soldiers have their own vocabulary, and it is frequently inscrutable to outsiders. "Winchester" means out of ammunition, or almost out of ammunition. The term comes from the single-shot lever action of a Winchester firearm. When down to the last rounds of ammo, soldiers may fire single shots to conserve what little they have.
Have you had a struggle when you thought you were winchester? With your endurance flagging and with nothing left to contribute to the fight, have you felt like you were out of options?
One Marine illustrates this point particularly well. Major General Ray "E-Tool" Smith, USMC (retired) is a decorated combat veteran. Smith earned his unusual nickname in Vietnam: an "e-tool" is a small, foldable shovel, or "entrenching tool." At one point, joined in close combat with enemy forces, when his firearm was no longer up to the task, he resorted to his e-tool as a weapon to dispatch an enemy soldier. To paraphrase MGen Smith, "Unlike a rifle, a shovel doesn't jam." Physically, Smith was Winchester. Mentally, he was not.
If you have decided that the fight cannot be won, it cannot. But Smith, whose courage in the face of likely far worse odds than you or I will ever face, found a way to keep fighting. Perhaps you are done and have no fight left.
Or perhaps there is an e-tool nearby that will do just fine.


text:
internal static class NameSpaces
{
    public const string Mc = "http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/markup-compatibility/2006";
    public const string Design = "http://schemas.microsoft.com/netfx/2009/xaml/activities/presentation";
    public const string Design2010 = "http://schemas.microsoft.com/netfx/2010/xaml/activities/presentation";
    public const string Toolbox = "http://schemas.microsoft.com/netfx/2010/xaml/activities/presentation/toolbox";
    public const string Activities = "http://schemas.microsoft.com/netfx/2009/xaml/activities";
    public const string DebugSymbol = "http://schemas.microsoft.com/netfx/2010/xaml/activities/debugger";
    public const string DesignPrefix = "sap";
    public const string Design2010Prefix = "sap2010";
    public const string McPrefix = "mc";
    public const string DebugSymbolPrefix = "sads";

    public static bool ShouldIgnore(string ns)
    {
        return ns == Design2010 || ns == DebugSymbol || ns == Design;
    }
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
Evaluation of Opt-Out HIV Screening in Family Planning Sites
by Colantonio, Sophia, M.P.H., Yale University, 2012, 26; 1548082
Background: In September 2006, the Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended changing to opt-out screening of HIV for all patients in all health-care settings and for all pregnant women as part of the routine panel of prenatal screening. In opt-out HIV testing, a health care provider verbally informs the patient that the test will be performed and consent is assumed unless they refuse. Earlier opt-in HIV testing guidelines required informed written consent and was targeted at high-risk populations. The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of opt-out HIV screening in family planning centres.
Methods: In 2011, data were collected in a pre-post survey design study conducted at 6 Planned Parenthood of Southern New England (PPSNE) clinical centres in Connecticut. The pre-test period used opt-in HIV screening and the post-test period used opt-out HIV screening. Differences in participant characteristics and HIV testing rates, satisfaction, and perceptions of HIV testing were compared between the pre (n=250) and post periods (n=250). Patient characteristics examined were gender, age, race, language, income, family size, insurance status, previous HIV and STD testing at Planned Parenthood.
Results: The mean age of patients offered HIV screening was 26 years old, 58% were white, 26% were black, 12% were Hispanic, and 3.2% were other races. Three-quarters of participants were female. Characteristics of patients receiving opt-in and opt-out screening did not significantly differ for all variables except income (p>0.05 for all except income). HIV testing rates (74% and 75%, respectively) and satisfaction with HIV testing (75% and 77%) were similar between both opt-in and opt-out groups (p>0.05 for both). However, patients receiving opt-in versus opt-out screening differed significantly with respect to their opinions of HIV opt-out screening (93% vs. 98% agreed that HIV screening should be routine for the general population). Patients accepting versus refusing opt-out HIV testing in the post-period differed significantly based on gender, testing centre, and reason for visit (p<0.05 for all). Those accepting opt-out testing were more likely to be male, tested in Hartford North, and seeking care for an asymptomatic STD test. At an alpha level of 0.05, both the full and reduced multivariate logistic regression models revealed that individuals who were tested in Danielson were less likely to accept opt-out HIV testing (as compared to reference categories). Hispanics and individuals seeking care for asymptomatic STD visits were more likely to accept opt-out HIV testing (as compared to reference categories).
Conclusion: In family planning centres, opt-in and opt-out HIV screening have similar outcomes in patients' characteristics, HIV testing rates and satisfaction. Testing rates were high in the pre-test period, which may have resulted in a ceiling effect on the HIV testing rates in the post-test period. Opt-out testing was less effective for some groups and further studies should be conducted to understand this phenomenon.
Advisor: Niccolai, Linda M.
Commitee: Pettigrew, Melinda M.
School: Yale University
Department: Public Health
School Location: United States -- Connecticut
Subjects: Public health, Epidemiology
Keywords: Family planning, HIV, HIV screening, Microbial diseases


It occurred to me today that, although I have set an intention with my work, maybe I could elaborate on that intention.
On my business cards and somewhere on my website I state, "promoting present moment awareness through yoga, meditation, holistic products, energywork, orgaization and nature" but my personal intention is to do these things and use these products with my True Self (spirit/higher self etc) in charge. The 'thing' that is present any time I am meditating or being mindful or taking a walk in a forest.
My intention is that everyone that makes use of my business feel that peace or that 'heaven on earth' feeling, if only for part of a yoga class or while organizing and de-cluttering your home or even just standing back and looking at the finished product of the organizing.
Do you want more joy and peace in your life? You need to go after it, not wait for it. Maybe make a list of what makes you feel joyful or more peaceful. DO THOSE THINGS. That is the nature of my business. These things I do and sell bring ME joy and peace. Do I want MORE joy and peace? Of course! What do I need to do..? MORE yoga, meditation, blogging, organizing, use natural products and .... SHARE all those things with YOU!
Be blessed. Because it's a choice.


text:
The "Mess Around" is a song written by Ahmet Ertegun, co-founder and then-president of Atlantic Records, under the pseudonym of A. Nugetre, or "Nuggy". It was performed by Ray Charles, and was one of Charles's first hits.

Origins and composition
Ertegun claimed his inspiration for writing the "Mess Around" was stride pianist Pete Johnson. Earlier versions of the tune's New Orleans boogie piano riff can be heard in songs from the early 1930s and 1940s, with perhaps the earliest example being Charles "Cow Cow" Davenport's "Cow Cow Blues" from 1928. Dr. John also spoke about the origin of this tune on his Dr John Teaches New Orleans Piano series of DVDs.

The song's lyrics urge listeners to dance ("everybody do the Mess Around"), along with a few other key phrases, notably "see that girl with the red dress on", harkening back to "Pinetop's Boogie Woogie", Pinetop Smith's early boogie-woogie classic.

Release
"Mess Around" became a big R&B charted hit when released as a single in early 1953. It was later included on Charles's 1957 compilation album Ray Charles.

Cover versions
 It was covered by the Animals in 1965 on the albums The Animals on Tour and Animal Tracks.
 Dr. John included it in his 1972 collection of New Orleans classics Dr. John's Gumbo.
 Professor Longhair covered the song on several of his albums, including Rock 'n' Roll Gumbo (1974).
 It was covered by the UK new wave band Squeeze and featured on their 1980 album Argybargy deluxe edition as a live version. Jools Holland said Ray Charles was so impressed that Squeeze were doing a version, Ray sent the band his suit.

In popular culture
 The song was featured in the 1987 American comedy film Planes, Trains and Automobiles, during a scene in which Del Griffith (John Candy) tries to dance to the song on the radio while driving a car at night on the freeway, and while his passenger Neal Page (Steve Martin) sleeps beside him.
 It was featured in the 2004 biographical film Ray of Ray Charles.
 The song was played on the piano in the series Lucifer, season one, episode nine, by Lucifer Morningstar and Father Frank.

References

1953 singles
Ray Charles songs
The Animals songs
Atlantic Records singles
Songs written by Ahmet Ertegun
Dr. John songs
1953 songs


text:
Q: How to get predicted values from cross validation? This question is regarding cross validation and prediction with regularized logistic regression, so by parameters here I mean the beta-coefficients for each predictor variable, for output I get predicted probabilities of belonging to a group, and for performance measure I use AUC. I am using glmnet on matlab.
For my training set I have group A (normal group) and group B (patient group), and for my validation set I have group C (high-risk group that later converts to patient group) and group D (high-risk group that later does not convert).  I want to take parameters that best differentiate group A and B to predict conversion to patient group among people in group C and D.
To this end, I have done 10-fold cross validation on group A and B to find the best lambda (lambda_1se to be exact), and I am taking the parameters at that lambda value and applying them to Group C and D to get predicted probability values (via cvglmnet and cvglmnetPredict).
Here, it seems that:

*

*The best lambda is the only thing that will be searched for from the CV, much like hyperparameter optimization that would happen in an inner loop of a nested cross validation.

*After finding the best lambda value from CV, my whole training dataset (Group A,B) is retrained to get parameters for that specific lambda value, and those parameters are used to predict outcome in my validation dataset.
Is my understanding correct?
What I would like to do is make a boxplot of predicted probabilities of groups A~D so that I can see the trend of predicted values across those groups (ideally the values would be gradiently descending from patient-> highrisk-later convert -> high risk-not convert -> normal).
Here is my main question:
I have already gotten the predicted probability values from groups C and D, but how do I get the predicted probability values from group A and B (the training set on which I did CV on)?
I first thought of taking the predicted probabilities calculated from the left-out test set in each of the 10 folds.  However, my current understanding is that if I were to do that, each of the test sets' predicted probabilities would be based on different lambda values, since each training set in each fold would have had different optimal lambda values.

A: I do not know about MATLAB, but in scikit-learn you can get the probabilities by doing a manual nested cross-validation.
The code would be roughly,
# Dividing data set for outer cv
cv_outer = StratifiedKFold(n_splits = 10, shuffle = True, random_state = 43)

# Outer cv beginning
for (train, test) in cv_outer.split(X, y):
    # parameters for grid search
    pipe_logis = Pipeline([('logis', LogisticRegression(random_state = 1))])
    param_range = [0.0001, 0.001, 0.01, 0.1, 1.0, 10.0, 100.0, 1000.0]
    param_grid = [{'logis__C': param_range, 'logis__penalty': ['l1']},
             {'logis__C': param_range, 'logis__penalty': ['l2']}]

    #Dividing data set for inner cv
    cv_inner = StratifiedKFold(n_splits = 5, shuffle = True, random_state = 42)

    # Inner cv done by these 2 lines
    gs = GridSearchCV(estimator=pipe_logis, param_grid=param_grid, scoring='f1',
         cv= cv_inner)
    gs.fit(X[train], y[train]) #we are using only the training fold for
                                hyper-parameter tuning

    # get best parameters
    print gs.best_params_

    # predict with best parameters
    scores = gs.best_estimator_.predict(X[test])

    # These are your probabilities. Here I am getting it for the test fold,
    but you can get probabilities for your training fold.
    probas_ = gs.best_estimator_.predict_proba(X[test])

Also, a nested cross-validation is only for an unbiased performance measurement. After getting a sense of performance measurement for various algorithms, you choose the algorithm with the best performance. Then you do a k-fold cross-validation with the whole dataset to finally choose your best set of hyper-parameters for that algorithm. You do not want to use the performance measurement from this later k-fold cross-validation.
Of course, all of this is for small datasets. If you have a large dataset, you can just divide it between training set, validation set and test set. Then you use the validation set for hyper-parameter tuning.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
High-tech firms at science parks not affected by quake
June 26, 2002 – Taipei, Taiwan – Major semiconductor companies and other high-tech firms at the two science-based industrial parks in Taiwan were not affected by the strong earthquake yesterday.
Companies operating at Hsinchu Science-based Industrial Park in north Taiwan, including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and United Microelectronics Corp., said its power supply was not disrupted by the quake, according to the Financial Times.
Other unnamed semiconductor companies reported that some of their high-precision instruments moved slighted due to the quake, and those companies had to briefly stop manufacturing operations for adjustments.
Companies at the Tainan Science-based Industrial Park said their production will not be affected since the impact of the quake was rather minor, and in southern part of the island.


Based on the results of four surveys carried out in 2008-2009, this report describes the state of policing in Dallas, Texas. These surveys collected data on the opinions of randomly selected Dallas residents, people who had a recent contact with an officer of the Dallas Police Department (DPD), DPD officers, and retail business owners in Dallas. This first wave of survey data will act as a benchmark against which to assess DPD in the future.


Dionne was born in 1973 in Perth, Scotland and graduated from Duncan of Jordanstone, Dundee in 1997 with BDes. (Hons.) Degree in Illustration and Printmaking.
Since graduating and with determination and a love of colour and texture, she has worked in a wide range of disciplines, including surface pattern design for textiles, architectural rendering and illustration for greeting cards, gift wrap, books and calendars.
For a short period in 1997 Dionne worked in Italy as a textile designer for the fashion house Missoni, during this time an opportunity arose to work as a designer for a major greeting card publisher, based in the south west. In 2001, she fulfilled her dream and chose to paint full time. Dionne's inspiration comes from her travels, the natural landscape and vistas, and from everyday objects.
Using watercolour and pencil sketches obtained from field trips as reference, Dionne returns to her garden studio where she uses a mixture of media to create paintings that capture the mood and seasonal flavours of the environment. Memory and imagination play a major part in the creative process, in which composition, texture, light and tone are key factors. It's about playing with the shapes, patterns and forms until the composition is just right. Layers of paint are then applied, rubbed and scratched away, creating textural qualities associated with the landscape.


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Shark Tank's Daymond John explains how he made a $20 million mistake
Graham Winfrey,
Even sharks have been known to bite off more than they can chew from time to time.
Before Daymond John earned a reputation as a big fish investor on ABC's Shark Tank, the fashion mogul struggled with making smart financial decisions, even after achieving massive success with Fubu, the clothing company that's amassed more than $4 billion in total revenue since its founding.
During a recent small-business marketing and mentoring event in New York hosted by Capital One, John told the story of how he once burned through $20 million in profits that he later admitted he should have saved for future business expenses.
"It wasn't lavish spending, but I was pulling money out when I shouldn't have," he said. "I said, 'Wait a minute. Where did that $20 million go?' Thank God I had really great partners and mentors, and I had another bite at the apple to keep growing my business."
In an interview with Inc., John talked about some of the business lessons he's learned from the mentors. While marketing tactics and best practices are constantly changing, the core principles of business are always going to be the same, according to John. Here are his five most important tips:
1. The customer always comes first. Even before you take your first paycheck from your company, make sure you're taking care of your customer. If you're not putting their needs first, you're shirking your responsibility as an entrepreneur.
"Customer appreciation used to be sending a coupon to a select amount of people based on how much they bought," John says. "Today, we'll send an email saying 'Happy Birthday' without trying to sell them anything, because making people feel special is always going to be the most important thing in business."
2. Be able to explain your product in two to five words. If you can't explain your product or service quickly and concisely, you're going to have trouble pitching and selling. Help consumers understand what you're offering by keeping things simple.
3. Anything worth doing is worth over-doing. Closing a sale isn't the end result--it's the beginning of what should be a long-term customer relationship. "When I started with Fubu, after I sold you a shirt, I would find you the next day and sell you another shirt," John says. "That's where my edge was."
4. Deliver a product that is king. If you don't believe your product is the best in its category, then it needs work. Don't stop improving your product just because it's selling.
5. Understand your customers better than they understand themselves. The ability to predict which products will attract specific consumers has been key for dog meal bar company TurboPup, one of John's Shark Tank investments.
"Marketing technology has gotten to the point where you can target women aged 30 to 40 living in Detroit, who like dogs," John says. "Once you have that proof of concept, you can create another strategy for the best way to scale, and it can happen at light speed."
Read the original article on Inc. Copyright 2019. Follow Inc on Twitter.
SEE ALSO: Bond Street, a 2-year-old startup that just raised $110 million, is making Wall Street sweat
NOW WATCH: 'Shark Tank' investor Daymond John reveals the one thing in business more important than money
More: Shark Tank Daymond John Startup Mistakes


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34th International Dance
The International Dance Music Awards
The International Dance Music Awards (IDMA) have always been at the forefront of electronic music while offering an inclusive look into the global scene. An electronic music institution spanning 33 consecutive years, the IDMAs will continue into 2020 with both an industry and consumer voting and nomination process. Nominations will begin in December '19, with voting opening up in mid January.
The IDMA Advisory Board
The IDMAs have undergone a complete update to its governing body, categories, and voting processes. Electronic music now has its very own advisory board that helps to define what the IDMA's become and brings a new credibility to the awards like never before. The IDMA Advisory Board is composed of major players within the electronic music community, including notable artists, managers, agents, publicists, and promoters, among others.
Part of the IDMAs is powered by Viberate – the world's biggest crowdsourced platform for listing and mapping the live music industry. Using their metrics-based platform, the Viberate team helps to populate the IDMA artist categories and present a set of nominees based on true artist popularity and free from industry favoritism and politics. Nominees for the remaining IDMA categories are selected by the IDMA Advisory Board, with the winners of all categories being determined by a public vote.
View 2019 IDMA Nominees & Winners


My review of Justice Sonia Sotomayor's autobiography, My Beloved World , is now online at the Lincoln Journal-Star. The print version from Sunday's paper looked fantastic, too, so if you still read newspapers in print, check it out.
Gliding On Through Waverly and Lincoln, Nebraska?


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Q: daterangepicker is not working I am referring this fiddle. http://jsfiddle.net/lotusgodkk/GCu2D/2213/ I want like this daterangepicker but unable to do so... please have a look anyone....

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You also need to import jQuery as the above comment mentioned


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Home » Asia » Is China's economy turning Japanese?
Is China's economy turning Japanese?
Posted by Michael in Asia, China, Economics, Economics, Global, Japan
It is more than 30 years since Tokyo began inflating a property and stock market bubble, as fears grow that Beijing faces a similar fate.
Leo Lewis Tom Mitchell and Yuan Yang report: There are few things studied as closely by the Chinese Communist party as how to avoid the fate of its Soviet counterpart. In an internal meeting after he assumed power in 2012, President Xi Jinping said no one in the Soviet Union had been "man enough" to stand up to Mikhail Gorbachev and glasnost.
But for Mr Xi another historical event from the same era may warrant more immediate attention. It is just over 30 years since Japan began inflating a property and stock market bubble whose implosion ravaged public confidence, cowed corporations and scarred an economy for decades. China's priority today is to avoid that fate.
It is not a new concern for Beijing. In 2010, as China's overall indebtedness was approaching 200 per cent of gross domestic product, Mr Xi, then the country's vice-president, asked scholars at the Central Party School to research the subject, according to two Chinese academics familiar with his request. A subsequent paper outlined some of the lessons of the Japanese bubble, including the need for Beijing to raise awareness of financial risks, safeguard "economic sovereignty" and not give in to pressure to change its currency policy.
Seven years on, China's total debt is 250 per cent of GDP and climbing, officials are trying to rein in sky-high real estate prices and the government is still grappling with the aftermath of a stock market bubble that burst in 2015. Mr Xi last month warned the country's leaders of the need to "safeguard financial security".
But how great is the risk of China turning Japanese? Does China, the world's second-biggest economy in 2017, run the risk of repeating the fate of what was the world's second-biggest economy in 1989 — Japanese-style "lost decades?". If Japan's fate were to befall its giant neighbour, the consequences would be devastating for the global economy. China provides 40 per cent of its annual growth. China also buys just over 20 per cent of US exports, the same percentage as Japan in the mid-1980s.
[Read the full text here, at FT.com]
Goldman Sachs' Naohiko Baba and other analysts suggest that there are lessons for Beijing to learn from Japan's bubble experience, when laid out against spookily similar reference points ranging from corporate debt levels to average white-collar commuting times in China. Yet others, including Andy Rothman, an investment strategist at Matthews Asia, insist that there are far more differences than similarities. He says the only real value of the comparisons "is to calm people down".
A short answer — and one often favoured by both foreign investors with billions of dollars at stake and the Chinese state with 1.4bn people — is that there is more to be gained from taking the bubble risk seriously than from assuming that this time it is different. China has already hit various milestones that recall Japan in its late 1980s pomp. Some, such as the non-financial corporate debt-to-GDP ratio reaching similar levels of about 155 per cent, are technical. Others are more frivolous: Yasuda Kasai, the Japanese insurance company, paying $40m for Van Gogh's "Sunflowers" in 1987; and Chinese billionaire Liu Yiqian's 2015 purchase of a Modigliani painting for $170m.
Similar patterns
To many observers, comparisons of bubble-like economic behaviour have always seemed within easy reach. Both countries have shown themselves capable of spasms of asset inflation with similarly boom-and-bust shaped price charts. And both have paid handsomely for overseas assets — Mitsubishi Estate paid $900m for 51 per cent of New York's Rockefeller Center in 1989 and CC Land shelled out a record £1.15bn for London's Cheesegrater building earlier this year, just one of the deals that has featured in record overseas spending by Chinese groups.
Japan 1980s v China now
1. Most prominent overseas corporate purchase
Japan Sony paid $3.4bn for Columbia Pictures in 1989
China ChemChina's pending purchase of Syngenta for $43bn
Analysts are particularly intrigued by the similarities between "zaitech", the financial engineering techniques used to boost non-operating profits that fuelled Japanese non-financial corporations' speculative financial investment, and the Chinese equivalents that include wealth management products and trusts.
And if the mark of a real bubble is that it spills into unusual assets, look no further than the spring crop price of Old Banzhang — generally regarded as the finest of Pu'er teas. It has soared almost 90 per cent over the past year to Rmb15,000 ($2,174) a kilo, making it four times more expensive, by weight, than silver. In 1987, a similar cocktail of ostentation and speculative money propelled the membership fee of Japan's Koganei Country Club golf course to $3.5m.
The comparisons have felt more compelling as the warnings of a China bubble — or a concoction of inter-related bubbles — have intensified over the past four years. "China has halved its growth rate and doubled its debt over the past eight years," says Fraser Howie, an expert on the country's financial system. "It's not a great correlation."
Yet there are some very specific points where the comparisons fail. Economic historians date the start of Japan's bubble economy to September 1985 and the Plaza Accord agreement in New York that gave a green light to the depreciation of the dollar, paving the way for the market to take control. The yen strengthened from ¥240 against the dollar to ¥120 three years later. China, in contrast, carefully manages its currency and regularly cracks down on speculative behaviour. As it demonstrated in July 2015 when it controversially stepped in to arrest declines on the stock market, the Chinese state has a formidable arsenal of weaponry. That is unlikely to change … (read more)
via FT.com
Bubble economy
economic sovereignty
Liu Yiqian
Lost decade
The Pearl Diving Mermaids of Japan


We feature locally sourced and sustainable ingredients wherever possible.
pickle & dill dipping sauce.
We are happy to offer our Brunch Menu on Saturdays and Sundays as well as selected Holiday long weekends. Please give us a call for more information.
*Please note: Prices and Vintages are subject to change from time to time.
Available every day – join us in the Bar or the Lounge daily from 3pm to 6pm & every evening from 10pm to close.
*Items offered are subject to availability. Please check our 'Appy Hour chalkboard for current features or ask your server.


Book Festival 2011 - Fringe Exhibition!
Beka Smith and John Eveleigh present their forthcoming exhibition as part of the 2011 Folkestone Book Festival. Entitled 'Stories; A Visual Celebration of the Literary World', the exhibition will showcase the portrait work of both artists with their subjects being strongly linked to the world of literature.
'Stories', A Visual Celebration of the Literary World' is at The Cube, Folkestone, Kent, CT20 1JR from 4th November - 30th November 2011.
Open Monday - Friday. 9 am - 7 pm. Free Admission.
Private View November 3rd, 6.00pm - 8.30 pm.


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"Dear friends, I visited child health clinic "OKHMATDET" the other day. Comparing this child health clinic and Mezhgorje I realized that there were rulers for the people and the rulers for personal power. And, if the main child health clinic of the country is worse than the apartments of the ruler, than this is a clear sign, that the ruler doesn't think of own nation" - says Isaak Pintosevich, an expert in system development of personality and business.
We want to do our bit in making this world better and starting charitable fundraising act for child health clinic "OKHMATDET". Children often cry and feel nervous in the admissions offices. But there is one hundred per cent means to help them calm down and distract themselves from their worries. This means is cartoons! We are going to direct the funds, collected with your help, on a purchasing of TV-sets (monitors) and USB drives with cartoonsand hand all this over to "OKHMATDET".
"I give 100% guarantee that all raised funds will be directed to "OKHMATDET", because I am 100% sure of my partners!", - says Isaak Pintosevich.
The charitable fundraising act will be held for 21 days.
Let's make our world better!