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Coronavirus Pandemic Reveals the Science of Risk That Shapes Our Lives
By Akshat Rathi | March 31, 2020
Hours after the results of a risk model reached the public, U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson and U.S. President Donald Trump asked nearly 400 million people to upend their lives.
A group of epidemiologists at Imperial College London published the findings of their model on March 16, and the forecasts were grim. Letting the new coronavirus run unchecked through the population could result in 500,000 deaths in the U.K. and 2.2 million deaths in the U.S. The estimates, based on data showing how quickly the virus was spreading among people, made headlines around the world.
That same day, Johnson urged all citizens to stay at home and Trump laid out voluntary social distancing measures. Both leaders made U-turns, after previously downplaying the need for severe restrictions to control the spread of the virus.
Even if you don't live in the U.K. or the U.S., risk models like the one used by the Imperial team are now governing your life. More than 2.5 billion people are in countries that are on lockdown or face severe restrictions on social gatherings—with the number growing. In many countries with only a handful of Covid-19 cases, officials are using modeling exercises to decide their next steps.
Every person infected with the new coronavirus is estimated to infect nearly three others, who will go on to infect nine, who will infect 27 and so on.
Risk models are mathematical representations of complex systems that help show what can happen under specific conditions, and it didn't take a pandemic to introduce them into our lives. Some widely used models have low uncertainties, such as those determining the price of your auto insurance premiums based on demographic data produced from millions of insured drivers. Models projecting how the economy will perform if inflation suddenly rises carry far more uncertainty.
No model always gets it right. "Even I find it tough to judge how much I should believe what comes out of a modeling exercise," said David Spiegelhalter, professor of public understanding of risk at the University of Cambridge.
Public awareness of big problems often starts with modeling. Climate change first entered public consciousness with the help of models that used well-known physics and, initially, little observational data. Scientists are still refining models that have been in use for four decades, with a remarkable record of accuracy. This can give sudden shifts to models an ominous prospect. Recent updates to these climate models shows that the world might warm much more than previously thought, and scientists remain puzzled why that might be the case. In the case of Arctic sea ice, on the other hand, models failed to predict the steep decline observed in the last two decades.
Models are only as good as the assumptions they are based on. Climate scientists are still not sure how much of a role clouds, which can trap or reflect sun's heat based on their type and their altitude, play in affecting the planet's warming. And more than three months after Covid-19 emerged in China, scientists still don't know how many people can infect others without suffering from symptoms themselves. Because of the uncertainties, in both cases, current models produce large differences between the lower and upper bounds of forecasts.
Scores of scientists each spend thousands of hours working on honing the models used to understand infectious diseases and climate change, and the process of improvement won't be able to iron out all uncertainties. Even when things are not moving as quickly as in a pandemic, the number of variables involved in a model increases the degree of uncertainty. Which is not to suggest models are just figments of computer simulation. They are informed and greatly enhanced by observations and empirical data. It's just that there will always be uncertainties attached to any model trying to predict the future—no matter how much computing power or human brains you put to the task.
"That uncertainty does not mean we don't know what to do," said Spiegelhalter. "It actually is a guide to being more cautious."
That's why drastic steps are sometimes taken after reading risk models. In the case of Covid-19, billions of people remain on lockdown until the growth in the number of infections comes under control. For climate change, where policy responses have never been anywhere near as draconian, models have been used to make the case for painful measures such adopting high carbon taxes now rather than gradually increasing taxes as things get worse.
Blindness to Uncertainty
The highest use of models is to save us from our own habitual blindness to uncertainty and risks, especially when confronted with events that don't always make intuitive sense. "Modeling plays an essential role," said Baruch Fischoff, professor at Carnegie Mellon University and an expert on risk. That's because both pandemics and climate change are "non-linear" events, which human beings can't really wrap their heads around.
The non-linear math of the Covid-19 pandemic works like this: Every person infected with the new coronavirus is estimated to infect nearly three others, who will go on to infect nine, who will infect 27 and so on. With climate change, non-linear math means every one-tenth degree Celsius of warming will have a more severe impact on the climate than the previous tenth degree.
After the pandemic is brought under control, there's hope that the experience might lead to more "risk thinking" among leaders in governments and businesses, said Nigel Brook, a partner at the law firm Clyde & Co. who runs their practice on climate risk. Having experienced such an event, Brook believes it is likely more leaders will consider "tail risks," events that had a low chance of occurring. This is especially true if the impact of such an event could be large, and few problems carry greater tail risks than climate change.
There are clear moments in the past when the experience of unlikely tail risks prompted bold action. Back in 1953, for instance, the Netherlands experienced severe flooding when a combination of a storm, high tide and low pressure caused water levels to rise as much as 18 feet (5.5 meters) above sea level. The natural disaster destroyed thousands of homes and killed nearly 2,000 people. Within a few years, the Dutch government launched Delta Works, which became one of the world's largest infrastructure projects. The series of dams, sluices, locks, levees, dykes, and storm-surge barriers took 40 years to complete and now protects two-thirds of the country's land that faces the risk of flooding.
Global Not Local
Global risks like pandemics and warming temperatures are qualitatively different from localized catastrophes, such as small epidemics, wars between two countries, or natural disasters. They can't be solved by one country and necessarily need global solutions.
"[Global problems] change the basis on which we can trust in science and trust in institutions, which are charged with managing these risks," said Jamie Wardman, professor of risk management at the University of Nottingham. That's why "risk has become central to our understanding of how the world has been transforming in the past century."
Will Covid-19 make people more aware of global risks? While each country is mostly dealing with the new coronavirus on its own, institutions like the World Health Organization have proven to be crucial in providing actionable advice on how to manage the spread of the disease and sharing key data between countries. It's this data that ends up fueling the risk models and the grim forecasts.
With climate change, the data is already shared. So are the models. That's why the aftermath of the pandemic will create a clear test for global institutions to turn a new awareness of risk into real action.
–With assistance from Eric Roston.
Read our latest COVID-19 coverage.
About Akshat Rathi
Akshat Rathi is London-based reporter for Bloomberg News. He has a PhD in organic chemistry from the University of Oxford, and a BTech in chemical engineering from the Institute of Chemical Technology in Mumbai. Previously, Akshat was a senior reporter at Quartz and a science editor at The Conversation. He has also worked for The Economist and the Royal Society of Chemistry. His writings have also been published in Nature, The Hindu, The Guardian, Ars Technica, and Chemistry World, among others.
Covid-19 Vaccine Distribution Risks and Insurance: Q&A With Allianz Specialists
Ethics and Insurance Fraud
Courts Allow COVID-19 Claims by Insureds With Policy Endorsements for Diseases
Categories: National NewsTopics: Coronavirus, covid-19, pandemic risk, predictive modeling, Research and Trends, risk models, science of risk


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Madeleine Berthod, švicarska alpska smučarka, * 1. februar 1931, Château-d'Œx.

Svoj največji uspeh kariere je dosegla na  Olimpijskih igrah 1956, ko je postala olimpijska prvakinja v smuku, tekma je štela tudi za svetovno prvenstvo, in svetovna prvakinja v tedaj neolimpijski kombinaciji. Na Svetovnem prvenstvu 1954 je osvojila srebrni medalji v veleslalomu in kombinaciji. Leta 1956 je bila izbrana za švicarsko športnico leta.

Zunanje povezave

Švicarski alpski smučarji
Olimpijski tekmovalci za Švico
Prejemniki zlatih olimpijskih medalj za Švico
Alpski smučarji Zimskih olimpijskih iger 1952
Alpski smučarji Zimskih olimpijskih iger 1956
Alpski smučarji Zimskih olimpijskih iger 1960

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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Maynard Sundman Lecture Series
The 1st Maynard Sundman Lecture
Guido Craveri: The 1847's America's First Stamps
About Guido Craveri
At the age of eighteen Guido Craveri became the youngest collector to win a FIP gold medal. Today he is Chairman Emeritus of the National Postal Museum's Council of Philatelists. He has initiated meaningful change to the National Postal Museum's philatelic vision. In the mid-1990s he encouraged the creation of the Museum's Council of Philatelists and served as its first chair, and was a member from 1997 to 2004. His ideas led to an exhibit space for great philatelic collections and the establishment of the Smithsonian Philatelic Achievement Awards. His experience, expertise, and passion as a collector, mentor, dealer, auctioneer, and philanthropist have set new standards in philately.
Forensic Laboratory
Maynard Sundman
The 18th Maynard Sundman Lecture
Symposia and Lectures
Finding Guides
External Research Links
Appointments to Research Objects
The National Postal Museum Awards for Scholarship in Postal History
Contact the Blount Research Chair
Tools of the Hobby
Conversations About Philately
Apple Maps Guides
Hands-On Activities

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


These synopses were written for an ongoing project at St. Matthew's Episcopal Church in Enid, Okla. to recall the Biblical messages and symbolism behind the church's stained glass and art work. These are works of art, but the messages behind the glass are far more precious than any worldly collection. These panels are special to this parish, but more importantly they are at the heart of the Christian story for all Christians.
In three panels these windows call our attention to three key events that outline our faith in Christ: the Incarnation, God becoming human to share life with and redeem us; the Baptism of Jesus Christ, recalling the presence of the Holy Spirit in our rebirth through Christ; and the Transfiguration, Christ's appearance in divinity with Elijah and Moses, bridging the Old Testament to the New Covenant.
The next three panels, to be posted shortly, detail the Crucifixion, Resurrection and Ascension of Christ.
At the bottom right of the panel is pictured a lily, used in Christian symbology to represent both St. Joseph and the Blessed Virgin Mary. The lily represents both the purity of Mary in the Immaculate Conception, and the chastity and purity of heart in Joseph's acceptance of and celibate marriage to Mary.
This beautiful panel depicts the beginning of Jesus' ministry with his baptism in the Jordan River. St. John the Baptist is portrayed baptizing Jesus by affusion, pouring the waters of the Jordan over Jesus' head (See Matthew 3:13-17 and Luke 3:21-22).
Immediately following this episode, in Matthew 4, Jesus is tempted in the wilderness, begins his ministry in Galilee, and calls the first disciples. Taken together, this panel reminds us not only of the Baptism of Christ, but also of our own baptism, in which God adopts us, making us members of the church and inheritors of the Kingdom of God (BCP, pp. 298, 858).
This panel depicts the transfiguration of Christ on the holy mount, a foreshadowing of his glory that was to come. The Transfiguration is related in strikingly similar detail in all three Synoptic Gospels – Matthew, Mark and Luke.
Moses and Elijah appeared also, speaking with Jesus. Moses is depicted at the left of the window, holding the tablets of the Ten Commandments, representing the Law. Elijah stands at the right side of the window, holding a scroll, symbolizing the prophecies of Israel, all of which were fulfilled in Jesus Christ.
These windows must be incredible in person. I love the Transfiguration–how Moses and Elijah are also bright white.
They are beautiful works of art. Each of the windows is packed with symbolism, including the artists' use of light to bring attention and meaning to the subjects. I think having them bathed in light with Christ recalls Matthew 5:17: "Do not think that I have come to abolish the Law or the Prophets; I have not come to abolish them but to fulfill them." It's a continuation, not a replacement of our relationship with the Divine. But, then, part of the beauty is the art speaks a different story to each person. Thanks for your comment!


Career counseling may not be the most exciting topic for many counseling graduate students; however, as counselor educators it is our job to show them the importance of each piece of the counseling process. Career counseling is an important part of the counseling curriculum because many of the issues faced by clients often relate back to career concerns. For example, the client who is having marital or relationship issues could be connected to job dissatisfaction, recently being fired, etc. While this issue may not be the only concern, it is important for counseling professionals to be aware of these career related issues that can lead someone to seek out counseling.
compare their collage with classmates and make connections between their career paths.
The collage activity is generally completed during the first class session as part of the introductory procedures and fits well with a course overview. The activity requires about an hour and half for a class of 20 students, and the only materials needed are a computer for each student (preferably a computer lab) with a program such as Microsoft PowerPoint and Internet access. It is helpful if the classroom has a projector and screen for the students to share their collage with the class.
To begin the activity, instruct students that each of them will create an online collage as an introductory activity that will help them to get to know their classmates, and reflect on their career paths that led them to aspire to be a professional counselor. Before the students begin to search for images, encourage the group to take a few minutes of self-reflection to focus on the information they want to share through the collage medium. Next, ask each student to open up a single PowerPoint slide on their computer screen and to open https://images.google.com/ or a similar website to locate images to include as part of their collage. Each collage should contain the student's first name (or nickname, if appropriate) and a minimum of five images that show the student's career development and experiences that led them to pursue a counseling degree. These are the only instructions needed so that each student can use his or her own creativity in putting together the assignment. Give students approximately 30 minutes to reflect, complete the collage assignment, and submit to the instructor or course website, such as Blackboard. It is helpful if the faculty member has already created a collage in order to answer any questions and to help any students having difficulties. It is recommended that the faculty member share his or her collage first as an example to the students of the presentation expectations. Once all the students have submitted their collage, the instructor should create a random order for students to share their collage with the class. Each presentation takes about 3-5 minutes depending on the student's experiences and number of images included (some students include more than five images). It is helpful for the instructor to share any comments or connections when the students present each collage, and to also encourage other students to share comments as they make connections with their classmates. In a 100% online class, this assignment would be modified by students posting the assignment during the first couple days of class and encouraging the students to post reflections and comments to their classmates during the first week of class to help promote a sense of community.
In order to help the students to make the connection between this assignment and career counseling, the instructor should also share how this activity can be used in a counseling session with clients. The counselor can use this activity to help the client reflect on his/her own career development, similar to a career lifeline but in picture format. This activity will help the client to think about his/her various careers, past and present, and make identify similarities and differences, as well as likes and dislikes that relate to their various career paths. This collage assessment could be conducted as part of the counseling session, or given as a homework assignment and brought in the following week to help the client reflect and begin to think about the potential for new/different career paths.
Overall, students have found this assignment to be very helpful as they begin to think about career counseling and the important role career development plays in our lives. While clients bring in many different presenting problems to the counselor, many of these initial concerns tie back to career development and planning. Students are able to reflect on their own career path and are able to comprehend how this information can help them in their future counseling sessions with clients.
Oberman, A. (2011). My career journey. In M. Pope, C. Minor, & T. Lara, Experiential Activities for Teaching Career Counseling and for Facilitating Career Groups (Volume III), 271-272. Available in the NCDA Career Resource Store.
Aaron H. Oberman, Ph.D., NCC is an associate professor and program coordinator for the counselor education programs at The Citadel. He has prior experience as a career counselor, and has worked as a counselor educator and supervisor for 10 years. His research interests include school counselor supervision, job satisfaction, and best practices in teaching. Dr. Oberman may be contacted through e-mail at aaron.oberman@citadel.edu.


The Howard de Walden Estate owns, manages and leases much of the real estate within Marylebone. Stretching from Marylebone High Street all the way to Portland Place and from Wigmore Street up to Marylebone Road, the area totals over 90 acres. In fact, Bentinck Street takes its name from Lucy Joan Bentinck, widow of the 6th Baron Howard de Walden. Having been in the family since 1879, the Estate is in excellent hands and under their watchful eye continues to be cared for and improved upon.


Please join Club Pilates Kitsilano to celebrate the festive season! Pilates is their Happy Hour & it's so much merrier at Christmas! Pop in to check out their new beautiful studio & brand new state of the art equipment whilst you enjoy a glass of vino after their Friday PM block of classes. Their staff and instructors will be available to discuss all things Pilates! Register to secure your glass, Cheers & Happy Holidays!
Community Mural Paint Night with Paintillio & Will Stroet of Will's Jams!
Join the West Kitsilano Residents Association for a discussion about the proposed Broadway transit extension to UBC, on March 5th at St. James at 7pm. Click here for the meeting notice.
Come join us in our beautiful new branch for an evening of wine and olive oil tasting with some good conversation mixed in!
We're happy to to be a part of this vibrant community and would love to get to know you.
Draw for a wine themed gift basket + lots of giveaways and prizes!
28th Year Blind Tasting Birthday Bash!
Please join us on Sunday September 28th, 2-5pm. Come raise a glass with us and celebrate our 28th year. Our little boutique wine shop, a dream that turned into a reality, would have never been possible without the love and support of everyone!
Tasting & Coin Draw at Broadway Wine Shop This Sunday!
HOWL-O-WEEN Kids & Pets Trick or Treat!


Wilsons of Bovingdon have let six properties on our behalf, both in Bovingdon and Hemel Hempstead. We have found them to be most helpful and courteous. They have thoroughly vetted all prospective tenants, and we have had no problems whatsoever with our rental properties. Would thoroughly recommend them. Would particularly like to thank Mark and Sharon for their hard work on our behalf.


Awesome blog you have here but I was wondering if you knew of any user discussion forums that cover the same topics talked about in this article? I'd really like to be a part of group where I can get opinions from other knowledgeable people that share the same interest. If you have any suggestions, please let me know. Thanks a lot!
Have you ever thought about publishing an e-book or guest authoring on other blogs? I have a blog centered on the same topics you discuss and would really like to have you share some stories/information. I know my subscribers would appreciate your work. If you are even remotely interested, feel free to send me an email.
Howdy! I could have sworn I've been to this blog before but after reading through some of the post I realized it's new to me. Anyways, I'm definitely delighted I found it and I'll be book-marking and checking back frequently!
January 1 marks the start of the phased-in implementation of FDA's tracking and family regulations in support of medications, with the primary major requirements instead of pharmacies current into impression in July.
Starting in January, antidepressant manufacturers and distributors are required to provide to pharmacies unequivocal bargain proceedings communication—including a transaction information and communication—that identifies work shipments to the plight level. This tidings was required as a happen of the Drug Supply Series Surety Pretence of 2013.
A arrangement is defined in the regulations as the transfer of a artefact between entities that results in a difference of ownership. Transactions do not file transfers of products within an plan or its affiliates, including sickbay systems.
[url=http://www.medicationreviews.info/2014/12/01/fda-approval-of-depakote.html]Fda approval of depakote[/url] BETHESDA, MD 12 Nov 2014—The federal direction is targeting forbiddance efforts at adverse treatment events (ADEs), with a unorthodox focus on problems interdependent to the use of anticoagulants, antidiabetic agents, and opioids.
Significant ADEs associated with these agents are common, measurable, and preventable and cause big harm to patients, according to the 190-page National Strength Map for Adverse Stimulant Circumstance Prevention.
The demeanour plan cites delve into indicating that ADEs account for a third of all adverse events that occur in hospitalized patients, affecting 2 million health centre stays annually. In outpatient settings, ADEs avid more than 4.5 million section or emergency room visits and precede to 125,000 hospital admissions each year.
Just hit the screen of your iphone and commence to strive for the huge stakes of multiplayer mode in this carom billiards game. Anyhow it is simply the cue, the holes, the 9 billiards balls and yourself.
Thine pool dexterity in billiards shall be tried in those infinite challenges given to you by this awesome development studio. Become the cue ace either like a champion or in the casual game type presented here. Your adventure through divergent types of billiards will be awesome and dangerous. As you will strive to knock the 10 ball into the one hole you'll have to use the opportunity of viewpoint, as you can move your display in every target you prefer. 2D graphics give authority to this aplication over its contestants. The arduous amount of game styles will bring you to your knees. This pool game gives you the top table test in many snooker lobbies around the world. Simply you and the straight rails when you con the fate with your dexterity.
Fortunately it has a training gamemode so you will work on your skills for how long you will feel the need to start being the top snooker gamer in the world. Play 8 ball, snooker or crokinole, whatever you prefer. Whether you come from the UK or Russia, there will be some national variety of this awesome cue game.
Snooker or straight rail, this thing has everything. As 8 ball billiards this is a great mobile app.
The best billiards on android market entertaiment ever! Sim of one of the greatest games of skill at any point. Personalization of the table is now in recreation industry so refined that other 10 pro billiards can go and try carrom with their moms.
I am really enjoying the theme/design of your blog. Do you ever run into any internet browser compatibility issues? A handful of my blog readers have complained about my blog not operating correctly in Explorer but looks great in Firefox. Do you have any tips to help fix this issue?


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Für Bürger

        Großartig, dass Sie zu uns gefunden haben! Es gibt heute nur noch wenige, die bereit sind, Institutionen zivilgesellschaftlich zu tragen – die meisten verlassen sich auf Staat und Lobbies und "engagieren" sich allenfalls als Zuwendungsempfänger.

        Das scholarium wird ausschließlich privat von Bürgern wie Ihnen finanziert. Wir lehnen jede Subvention aus Prinzip ab, weil wir niemals mehr Werte aufbrauchen als schöpfen wollen, Zwang verabscheuen und Unabhängigkeit für einen hohen Wert halten. Wir sind ein gemeinnütziges Unternehmen, das heißt, alle Erträge fließen direkt in die Förderung unserer Zwecke, ohne Abzug von Dividenden, Zinsen oder Steuern.

        Wir sind aber auch stolz darauf, ein Unternehmen zu sein, und eben keine Behörde, kein Komitee, keine Partei, kein Hobbyverein, keine ideologische Bewegung. Professionalität, Effizienz, reale Wertschöpfung und ökonomische Nüchternheit sind zentral für uns. Wir bieten Ihnen daher realen Gegenwert und nicht bloß allgemeine Versprechen.

        Auch wenn Ihre finanziellen Mittel beschränkt sind, können Sie schon mit einem kleinen Beitrag an unseren Erkenntnissen und Werten teilhaben, Teil eines außergewöhnlichen Netzwerkes werden und eine gewichtige Lücke füllen.

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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
JayGary.com
Helping Leaders Reframe the Future
Let's Talk 2000
The Star of 2000
The Millennium: Are You Ready For It?
John Ohliger, the author of The Millennium Survival Kit, asks, Are we Ready for 2000?
Ah, the millennium! just a few years till the year 2000, only the second millennium in history. Many Christians believe that millennium means the thousand year period when Jesus will rule the earth in a time of joy, serenity, prosperity, and justice for the saved. Fundamentalists warn that the year 2000 could contain the day of judgment for us all.
The current Pope in his first encyclical promised at the very least "a year of great jubilee" in observance of the 2,000th anniversary of Christ's birth. "The National Catholic Reporter commented: "Given the propensities of our consumer economy, the mind boggles at the commercial activities that will surround an official year-long celebration of Christmas."
As 2000 draws closer other religious and political groups, government agencies, futurists, and planning technologists are zeroing in on the year as the moment of transition to a global New Age, as the opportunity to introduce special interest reforms, or as the time to market the latest mass-produced miracle of the electronic computerized post-industrial information revolution. Well over 15,000 articles and far more than 2,000 books have appeared since mid-century with prophecies and predictions about the first year of the 21st century.
Give Time to Time
It's become a cliche in the twilight of the 20th century to bemoan the unseemly heedless pell-mell rush we are all enmeshed in these days. Recently "Time" magazine even devoted a cover story to it: "How America Has Run Out of Time." Our frenzied feelings will certainly increase as the years march on to the 21st century. But Nick Giammetti, the late baseball commissioner and Yale president, offers a path out of the frenzy: "Give Time to Time."
To make it easier for you to "give time to time," Basic Choices has put together the handy dandy "Millennium Survival Kit," a 110 page fully indexed, publication filled with over 350 ideas, references, quotations, names and addresses you can use in your programs, brochures, and many other places to help others and yourself relax and have fun with time.
Have Fun With Time
Step out of the maelstrom of time for a moment and ask, What is it all about? Why all this hysteria about time? First, ask yourself, "What is time?" A flip answer is: Time is just nature's way of keeping everything from happening at once. But as far as actually understanding time, St. Augustine wrote, "I know what time is, but ifI try to explain it, I no longer know." So if you're confused, you're in good company. The Kit will help.
There are many ways to get beyond that confusion and the horrible. The Kit presents you with many classic and popular examples from fiction, drama, movies, painting, poetry and other forms of imaginative expression. It shows you where to find more and how to create them.
The Current Obsession With Time
The current obsession with time helps to explain why a book called "A Brief History of Time" hovered around the number one position on the best-seller list for over 80 weeks. Also why well over 5,000 articles and more than 600 books have appeared with prophecies and predictions about the 21st century.
Just think of all that dynamic energy aimed at the one moment when the clock ticks past 11:59 p.m., December the 31st, 1999. It provides an opportunity for us to band together in a common positive movement. We can work cooperatively to counteract some of the wild frenzy that will accompany the advent of the 21st century. So besides having fun with time, if you "give time to time" you can help improve your community, the nation, and the world.
Copyright 1990 by John Ohliger (johliger@facstaff.wisc.edu). Adapted from two articles appearing in the "Adult & Continuing Education Today."
Obtain The Millennium Survival Kit, study the many ideas presented there, and work out your own ways to cooperate with others in your own community or interest group. To order send fifteen dollars in U.S. Funds payable through a U.S. bank or institution to Basic Choices, P.O. Box 9598, Madison, WI 53715, (608) 833-4269.
This article is posted with permission to the Talk 2000.
This entry was posted in Millennium and tagged 2000, adult education, John Ohliger, kit, millennium, time, year on August 1, 1989 by admin.
← WAYSEE 2000–Fact File Shaping the Great Millennium →
Foresight Training: From Design to Evaluation
FuturePod: Hindsight, Foresight and Insight
What if we 'Led From The Future'?
Professional Futurists Appoint New Chair
Toward a Foresight Competency Model
foresight education
futures studies
Talk 2000


Dining in the Comfort of Your Own Home.
Enjoy the fine dining experience without the hassles of traveling into the CBD.
We will work with you to develop a personalised menu based on local seasonal produce from the Mornington Peninsula . We will tailor the menu to suit your tastes, likes and dislikes.
You can sit back relax. We will take care of everything for you.......even the dishes .
Per head price starts at approx $120 per head. Ring us for a quote today.
Cooking is one of the most satisfying arts anyone can master. It is one of the few skills we all need. After all we all eat at least 3 times a day.
Quiet often people will become convinced "they can't cook". Our experience is that anyone with passion for good eating can learn to cook well.
Chef Andrew has almost a decade of experience teaching cookery at some of the most prestigous award winning cookery schools in Australia. Most recently he was Head Culinary Trainer for Crown Casino in Melbourne. This is your chance to take advantage of his infectious passion and expertise in cooking.
If there is a culinary hole in your food repetoire let Chef Andrew help you to fill in the blanks. It could be a particular technique or a dessert that you have fond memories of as a child, or you have simply always wanted to learn first hand how to make fresh pasta. We can help you achieve Culinary greatness in your own kitchen.
All Masterclasses include a meal for all participants prepared by Chef Andrew utilising the wonderful products produced during the Masterclass.
Alternatively you can pick one of our amazing Masterclass options opposite.
If you are playing with the idea of purchasing a wood fired oven this is the perfect masterclass for you. We can bring our portable wood fired oven to you and teach you how to use it. This class can still be conducted using your conventional home oven.
Start the morning with fresh baked croissants, danishes pastries & coffee.
Learn how to light a wood fired oven.
We provide you with a sample of our 19 yr old Sour dough starter and teach you how to use and maintain it.
Basic bread production - we will make Sour dough Baguette, Croissants & Danish pastries.
Chef Andrew will make Sour dough Pizza for lunch.
When you book a dinner party with us why no tie in a masterclass. Chef Andrew will entertain you and your guests with a cooking demonstration of the dishes being served. You can get hands on experience taking part in the cooking or simply sit back, watch and learn a few tips and tricks that you might like to use at your next event.
As with all of our Private chef dinners, the menu is designed to suit your specific requirments.
The skills needed to produce outstanding French pastries seem elusive to many home cooks. Let Chef Andrew show you how truely satisfying it is to make some of the products below useing traditional French Pastry techniques.
And any others that you want to learn.
On the Mornington Peninsula we are lucky to have some amazing goat farms. For years i have been making my own fresh cheeses and would love to share this artisan skill with you. Once you have made your own goats milk feta and lactic curd you will never look back.
Fresh Pasta is a staple in our home. Let us show you the basics of making a wide range of pasta's ranging from Fettucini to Canneloni and Ravioli.
Chef Andrew will also show you how to make some amazing pasta sauces base on products that are in season at the time of your masterclass.
This is not a Masterclass for the faint of heart!.
Using a whole side of organic rare breed pork we will demonstrate some traditional butchery skills and break the pork down into its various cuts.
Chef Andrew will also produce a wonderful roast pork Lunch for all participants.


Company has explored its Oral Care segment with Keva Mouth Wash Company has come up with Keva Mouth Wash in Oral Care category which is produced under Ayurvedic Proprietary Medicine in pleasantly flavored base. Dr. Karan Goel - CEO Keva Industries addressed consumers at the product launch, " In context of exploring Oral Health category the company has come up with Keva Mouth Wash. Being incorporated with herbs this product can give refreshing feel after every use. May give well gum protection, Pyorrhea, Tooth Ache, Prophylaxis against Dental Caries and inflamed gums with Hemorrhages and foul smell conditions." The mouthwash can protect from bactericidal activity helping to protect against recolonization of dental surfaces. Keva Mouth Wash is available in 100 ml attractive in monobox.


Section 9A. The court administrator, subject to the superintendence power of the supreme judicial court as provided in section 3 of chapter 211 and in consultation with the chief justice of the trial court, shall have general superintendence of the administration of the trial court, including, without limitation, the improvement of the administration of such courts and the securing of their proper and efficient administration.
The court administrator shall be the administrative head of the trial court of the commonwealth. The court administrator, in consultation with the chief justice of the trial court, shall periodically prepare and submit to the chief justice of the supreme judicial court an estimate, in detail, for the ordinary maintenance of the entire trial court, and all revenue therefrom, as provided in clause (5) of the first paragraph of section 3 of chapter 29. Said estimate shall include judicial salaries and the salaries of all officers and employees within the trial court and shall include estimates of all sums which the commonwealth is obligated to pay under the provisions of chapter 29A.
(xiii)(a) notwithstanding any general or special law to the contrary, the court administrator may, for the period July 1 through April 30 of any fiscal year, transfer funds from any item of appropriation of any trial court department to any other item of appropriation within the same trial court department; provided, however, that said transfers shall be made in accordance with schedules submitted to the house and senate committees on ways and means; provided, further, that no such transfer shall occur until said schedules have been approved by said committees; and provided, further, that said schedules shall include the reasons for the necessity of such transfers with reference to actual and projected expenditures throughout the trial court for the fiscal year.
(xxi) the court administrator may delegate his responsibilities and powers hereunder and as otherwise provided by law to a deputy court administrator, court officer, clerk, or any employee of his department, for such period of time and with such limitations as he may impose, whenever in his opinion such delegation of authority will expedite the judicial business of the trial court.
(xxiv) the authority, subject to the approval of the chief justice of the trial court, to apply for and accept on behalf of the commonwealth any funds, including grants, bequests, gifts or contributions, from any person which shall be deposited in a separate account and may be expended by the court administrator, without further appropriation, in accordance with chapter 29 and any rules or regulations promulgated thereunder.


Company History | Pumps & Pressure Inc.
1984 - Founded on April 23rd in Red Deer, Alberta by Jack & Sandy Tremain and Sandy's father Jack Roth. The company then operated under the name Pressure Washer Pump Service.
1999 - May 31st, corporate name changed to Pumps & Pressure Inc.
1999 - Acquires Quality Pump Repair July 1st, creating our Edmonton branch.
2000 - Acquires Hotsy Sales & Service Calgary, opening our Calgary branch on June 1st.
2001 - Expands into Manitoba, opening our Brandon branch on January 1st.
2001 - Acquires Badger Hydraulics October 26th, Red Deer facility now offers mobile hydraulic sales & service.
2002 - Acquires D&T Inspections October 1st, Red Deer facility now offers tanker inspection services.
2002 - Acquires High Pressure Washer Service October 15th, opening our Grande Prairie branch.
2004 - Acquires Kern Tech Inc. May 30th, expanding Edmonton location.
2005 - Acquires JDA Machine Works on April 13th, Red Deer facility now offers machine shop services.
2008 - Expands into Leduc & Nisku area February 1st.
2008 - Acquires Toolsmith Agencies, becoming a Samson lubrication dealer & tank fabrication facility.
2014 - Acquires Panther Wash Systems March 15th, expanding into Saskatchewan & opening our Saskatoon branch.
2014 - Acquires Under Pressure Washers May 1st, expanding into British Columbia & opening our Burnaby branch.
2016 - Acquires Bridge Pressure Washers July 5th, opening our Lethbridge branch.
2017 - Acquires All Seasons Manufacturing March 3rd, expanding Red Deer location.


ORION has always been in the front line in terms of innovation and of care taken over outfitting its ambulances. For this reason it could never remain behind in terms of certification and quality systems. Orion has been working with dedication since 1997 to obtain the most important acknowledgements available, including type approval from the Infrastructure and Transport Ministry for large scale production of the ambulances.
In 2011 ORION obtained environmental Certification ISO14001, which testifies the company's close attention to the working and production environment. ORION also has OFFICIAL certification of the conformity of its products to the European Standard EN1789. In 2011 the company also obtained ethical certification of the SA8000 standards, achieving another important goal on its way to maximum possible quality.
The next step was that of creating an ORION environment policy, which embraces the workplace, product quality, corporate liability, health and safety of all the men and women who work in ORION. This is because remaining in the front line also means maintaining high levels of excellence of the products sold, because they are the mirror of what is going on inside the company.
This is why ORION has established a quality pact that is summarised in the Orion Corporate Policy.


In the last post of this series, we saw how to write a simple binding and we finished to build and install it manually. This is of course not a good way to manage the building/installation procedure.
In Python we can use a library called distutils that let us to automatize the building and installing process. I'll use the foo source code to create the package, so it will be easier to understand.
then we create an entry for each module we have (in this case just one, "foomodule"). We then call the setup() method passing it all the parameters and our setup.py is complete.


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Public Enemies Blu-Ray Review
December 3, 2009 March 1, 2011 Cidtalk
As much as I appreciate that Depp face, I do not like the cover featuring his face. There is the matter of a gun, some boring design choices, and over all it's bland and unappealing. The 30's have such potential for graphic design and Dillinger was quite the character. They could have done so much more. As for the menus, well, be prepared to see scenes from the movie, always a bad choice.
Larger Than Life: Adversaries – The war on crime was a new concept in the 30's in America with Herbert Hoover leading the way. The combination of organized crime, cheap thugs, and punk criminals like Dillinger sparked a change in law enforcement that lives on even in this new century.
Michael Mann Making Public Enemies – Michael Mann likes to talk about his actors, his story, his movies, so this is a good talking head kind of extra. It's good, it's got bulk and a fair amount about the making of the movie. It just seems a little bit packaged.
Last Of The Legendary Outlaws – Who was John Dillinger and why did a convicted criminal who stole money from banks during the great depression raise such public support?
On Dillinger's Trail: The Real Locations – Everything that happened in the movie isn't necessarily what happened in real life, but Michael Mann does like his locations. This means that all the places in the movie are the real places where some events did take place.
Criminal Technology – Make a better gun and the criminals will be one step ahead. That's the idea for this extra. As history rolls on, so does our need to keep up with the crimes that some humans are compelled to commit. This extra shows us the guns and other technology used in the 30's to capture criminals, and even start the FBI.
Feature Commentary With Michael Mann – He likes to talk, so let him. It's a good reason to rewatch the film and hopefully find more good stuff the second time around.
U-Control (PIP/Timeline) – There are a lot of picture-in-picture making-of segments for several chapters along with historical time lines to follow along with the fiction. THe problem is that most of the sound from the small picture isn't loud enough to drown out the movie that's always playing. If you can hear the content it's some very good information about the truths behind the movie tales of Dillinger and his wild days./li>
Pocket Blu – Turn your iPhone into a remote control..yea yea move along.
Digital Copy – A copy for your laptop.
OH my good grief it's hard to write about this movie. Why? Well, let me tell you. Public Enemies has so much goodness in it's pocket I keep thinking about moments here and there and it's very enjoyable. Then again, it's got problems that are equally as bad as the good parts are good.
First the bad news. The sound is awful. The mixing guy cannot tell me with a straight face that this movie sounds good. Not one scene has a well balanced, comfortable quality or volume level for all the different elements that are happening. An actor might speak and it's muffled like he's in a closet, while the guy next to him sounds like he's got his mouth rubbing on a microphone. The gunfire is so obtuse it's jarring and I don't think that's a good kind of realism. The picture is fair, but the camera tricks and attempts at style are lost completely on what is a fantastic backdrop, the 1930's in America. There's so much technically that's distracting about this movie it was seriously difficult at times to focus on the rest, and the rest is really good.
The cast is awesome, everyone does their thing and I felt like they all fit their parts, the era, the circumstance. It got a bit overly artsy at times with Depp and his leading lady with the glances and the melodramatic moments, but overall I enjoyed every scene in terms of performances. The writing got a bit utilitarian at times, dialogue a bit on the obvious side of things, but that's fine too. It was a different time, maybe they were reflecting that kind of attitude from films of that decade.
The story is very intriguing. Dillinger was a two-bit bank thief but somehow got tangled up in the middle of an evolving organized crime system, and the development of American's first war on crime with the then infant FBI. Dynamic times call for drastic characters, and Dillinger sure seems to have fit that bill. Fast cars, big guns, ahead of the law, sexy women, and a streak of ruthlessness mixed with natural charm that endeared him to the public and even swooned some law enforcers. It's the stuff Hollywood movies are made of…oh, wait…right.
So, I am thoroughly disappointed in the technical flaws and visual choices of the movie. They were distracting and made me want to bail out on the film more than once. However, the people, the history behind the story, the characters, and the quality that came with each of those elements made it a reluctantly enjoyable, entertaining, and memorable. The memory, in fact, is better than the experience of watching the movie. I can weave together a whole other movie as I replay it in my head. It will have better sound, better editing, better cinematography, and let the best part shine through it all.
I'm so confused. I need a flower with lots of pedals, "I love it." "I love it not." "I love it." "I love it not……???"
Michael Mann filmed Public Enemies on a variety of different cameras and it shows throughout the movie. Sometimes the clarity and definition is simply breathtaking with fine lines on skin and lots of detail and depth. Occasionally though, the image becomes murky and two dimensional. Public Enemies is presented in 1080P 2.40:1 wide screen using the VC1 codec.
I think the director put an intern in charge of audio mixing duties on Public Enemies. The resulting mix is that bad. It's not a problem with the Blu-Ray transfer, it sounded the same theatrically. The mix is just totally off. Dialog comes across low and muffled and music and atmospheric effects are really loud. You struggle to hear what the characters are saying most of the time. The first 15 minutes are the worst. It does get a little better after that, but never in my days of watching movies have I heard such an inconsistent mix in a high budget Hollywood movie. There are a few instances of the voice levels changing volume in the same sentence. One example sounds like Christian Bale actually moved closer to the ADR microphone in post. It's all very strange and I wonder, why was this not noticed before the films release?
Overall I enjoyed the film but the technical distractions made me drop a few points off the audio/video quality score.
This is a hard movie to recommend for all the reasons I have mentioned. It's a great story, good cast, etc. The thing is it's just not a satisfying movie watching experience. I wouldn't buy it and I'm not sure I would rent as a new release. It's definitely a budget evening kind of romp, sadly, even with the extras tagged on for good measure. I would say it's like laundry liquid, you get what you pay for, and these days I'm all about value for money. I'm more than willing to pay extra for my clothes to get clean and smell good:) I'm not willing to pay big bucks for a movie that is falling apart at the seams.
blu-ray universal
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3 thoughts on "Public Enemies Blu-Ray Review"
Yes, I watched it last night and was flabbergasted by the sound, which made me wonder if someone had revered all my surround connections. From barely audible and uneven sound to MASSIVE gunshots, back to distance sounds then to COLOSSAL sounds back to two way dialogue with one voice twice the volume of the other. The color temperatures were all over the place and very grainy in places, flat as a pancake in others, inconsistent blacks.
Thank you for noticing the audio too! I thought something was wrong with my sound system. The audio mix is awful in this movie.
The sound on the Blu-Ray is totally unacceptable, I had to turn on subtitles. Like you said some of the audio changed mid sentence?


Jeremie and Claire Batard-Langelier are third generation winemakers working with Jeremie's parents with the desire to elevate their appellation. Located just southeast of Nantes, in the commune of Maisdon sur Sevre, in Muscadet Sevre et Maine between Vertou and Clisson, the vineyards cover approximately 24 hectares are planted upon various soils: sandy loam, gabbros, gneiss and biotite granite. About 95% of their vines (averaging 40 years) are Melon de Bourgogne with the rest made up of Merlot and Cabernet Franc, all trained in "guyot Nantais", a local style of vine training.
The estate was created in 1910 by Denis Batard and then in 1982 his son Pascal took over seeking to express the essence of Muscadet. Pascal continued the Nantaise tradition he learned from his father Denis and aware of the growing fragility of the biodiversity turned to lutte raisonee and abandoned chemical fertilizers in 1995. In 2009 Jeremie, after traveling the world, returned to the vineyards with a newfound source of passion. Along with this wife Claire Langelier, who is not from the region, they work the entire estate from vineyard to trade. Claire contributes a unique outsiders perspective, helping to pull Muscadet out of it's box and to express it's unique terroir. In 2014 the estate was in their first year of conversion to organic farming.
The wine making is traditional: light pressing, debourbages and fermentations in underground cement vats typical of the region. The wines are aged on the lees over long periods of time, adapted to each parcel in order to obtain an optimal expression of the different parcels.
Hand-harvested from a variety of parcels planted in metamorphic rocks. The grapes were lightly pressed and then allowed to settle, followed by fermentation with temperature control. The wine is then racked on fine lees with battonage and aged on lees for 7 months.
From vines planted on fine soils with gabbro subsoils, this wine is an assembly of various plots. The wine is lightly pressed and allowed to ferment in cement vats under temperature control, followed by racking on fine lees with battonage and finally aged for 20 months on lees. Jeremie and Claire chose not to use the designated "Muscadet Sèvre-et-Maine sur lie" appellation because they only allow up to 2 years and at times he has left it even longer on the lees.
From vines aged around 40 years old, planted to gabbro, gneiss and micaschiste soils. Hand-harvested and spontaneously fermented in underground cement tanks, followed by aging on the fine lees for 7 months.


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3 potential trade packages for Josh Hader
With the Milwaukee Brewers looking to be cutting salary this offseason, their roster only has 10 returning players on it from its 25-man roster that they ended the 2019 season with. On top of that, President of Baseball Operations David Stearns has doubled down on that sentiment, all while wanting to keep the franchise competitive and in the hunt for a playoff berth.
Cutting money while remaining competitive is quite a tough ask for any team, but especially for a small-market franchise like the Brewers, who rely on offseasons like the last one that occurred where below-market values dominant the going rates, which bring players like Mike Moustakas and Yasmani Grandal to the team. With both players having signed elsewhere, the Moose signed on for four years with their National League Central rival Cincinnati Reds and Grandal went south and signed with the Chicago White Sox, the Brewers now need to look elsewhere for big-time offensive and defensive contributions for 2020.
This offseason has also been in a state of flux due to the willingness of the Brewers to include any player – but Most Valuable Player Christian Yelich – in trade talks, with center fielder Lorenzo Cain, star second baseman Keston Hiura, and All-Star closer Josh Hader. While any sort of movement made on a deal involving Hiura looks to be null, and with Cain's large contract for a player coming off of an injury-riddled season looking harder to move by the day, Hader is the most likely option to be traded.
While one team involved in trade discussions with the Brewers about Hader described the likelihood of him leaving as pretty much zero and that they expect him to be on the roster for the 2020 season, it is a smart way to measure his going rate by throwing him out there to now to see if a godfather offer would come along by a team looking to make it big and hit a home run in the trade market.
With that outlook in mind, here are three potential trade packages that could be of enough interest to the Brewers to actually pull the trigger and send Hader out of town before he gets a big-time pay raise through arbitration eligibility.
Mets receive: LHP Josh Hader
Brewers receive: 2B Jeff McNeil, 1B Dominic Smith, 3B Mark Vientos (#6 prospect), Will Toffey (#24)
Starting with the team that was mentioned in pretty much all reports of having already opened up a dialogue with the team, the New York Mets would stand to vastly upgrade their bullpen, especially after their big move of last offseason, acquiring All-Star closer Edwin Diaz, did not pan out as well as they had wanted to, so far.
While they engaged in a deal with the Seattle Mariners that saw them give up a few great minor-league pieces, including big-name Jarred Kelenic, the team looks to be willing to engage in big deals yet again even if they have been burned in the past. And if they were to seriously want to bring Hader to the Big Apple, then they would need to give up a few big pieces to do it.
Headlined by second baseman Jeff McNeil, the Brewers would want some sort of immediate contributors back in any deal that they would make, and McNeil would be a great first step for that to happen. The Flying Squirrel, as he is so affectionately known, is coming off a very solid rookie campaign and would become a great option in the team's infield moving forward.
Outside of McNeil, first baseman Dominic Smith, who was displaced from first base due to Pete Alonso's emergence, has tried out some playing time in the outfield, with limited production. He would immediately become the best – and only, at this moment – first baseman on the team, and that would be a great everyday role for Smith to take on to help him break out.
Mark Vientos would represent the first of two dips into the Mets' farm system, and Vientos is on track to make a difference at the big-league level at some point in 2020. With the opening at the hot corner readily available, Vientos could eventually become the everyday starter for the team, as soon as after the All-Star break.
While this deal would be a 50/50 split in terms of current major-league/minor-league talent coming back in this deal, there are some pieces that would help this team still compete in 2020, while also helping plan for the future.
Twins receive: LHP Josh Hader
Brewers receive: OF Alex Kirilloff (#2), OF/1B Brent Rooker (#8), RHP Zack Littell
While there are only three pieces involved in this deal going back to the Brewers in the return for Hader, the Minnesota Twins offer a ton of high-upside minor-league pieces that could turn into key competitors as soon as sometime later this year.
Starting with outfielder Alex Kirilloff, the second-best prospect in the Twins' system and one of the highest regarded outfielders in all of the MiLB, the Brewers would need to ask for one of Minnesota's best prospects, and shortstop Royce Lewis is pretty much an automatic no chance.
Kirilloff could jump to the big-league level when ready, take on the role that recently-traded outfielder Trent Grisham had, and become a toolsy fourth outfielder for this team that offers a great offensive and defensive option off of the bench.
For outfielder and first baseman Brent Rooker, the Twins' eighth-best prospect could slide into a backup outfield role while having an inside track to being the team's starting first baseman sooner rather than later.
While a bit unproven still, Rooker could become one of Stearns' projects, betting high on his upside while understanding the realistic contributions that would come with him.
The final player in the return package, right-hander Zack Littell, would be a really interesting player to throw into the mix at the back-end of the bullpen. With a big of closing experience for the Twins in 2019, Littell has the arm to become a seventh-inning specialist for this team – think of Jacob Faria, but a higher upside and more proven potential.
Rays receive: LHP Josh Hader
Brewers receive: 2B/SS Vidal Brujan (#3), RHP JJ Goss (#10), LHP Ben Brecht (#28), UTL Joey Wendle
In the final proposed deal in this piece, it actually involves two small-market franchises swapping players. For the Tampa Bay Rays, they have sat on their hands for long enough, and while they did make the American League postseason last year, they are far from content with a Wild Card exit.
With the type of farm system that the Rays have built up over the years, no better time than now to actually cash it in and make good on the development of some of their players. While left-hander and two-way player Brendan McKay would be an absolute pipedream return for Hader, the likelihood of the Rays engaging in serious talks involving McKay seems hard to fathom.
With that being the case, the Brewers can move onto the team's third-best prospect, second baseman and shortstop Vidal Brujan. Brujan, who could pair with Hiura at second base and recently-acquired Luis Urias at third base, to form one of the league's youngest and highest-upside infields.
Outside of Brujan, the Rays' tenth-best prospect in JJ Goss would be a logical addition to any deal, as he has the potential to become a middle of the rotation pitcher when he arrives at the big leagues. Having just been drafted in the Competitive Balance A round of the 2019 draft with the 36th selection out of Texas A&M, Goss has a ton of time to make it to the big leagues, which would represent a down-the-road addition that the Brewers would be interested in.
To help alleviate losing their best left-handed option out of their bullpen, lefty Ben Brecht could be a likely third piece in this five-person deal between the two teams, even though Brecht would not be expected to arrive at the big-league level for a few seasons. Profiling as a back-end starter who could transition to the bullpen due to his solid control and 6-foot-7 frame, Brecht is an interesting piece situated towards the bottom of the top 30 for the Rays' system.
For the final piece in this proposed deal, the Rays would have to be really lenient on giving up on Joey Wendle already, as they waited for him to progress their minor league system and arrive at the big leagues. Wendle would be a great utility option for the Brewers, helping fill in for the type of production that incumbent Hernan Perez provided for the past few seasons.
Regardless of what type of deal the Brewers take and if they decide to move Hader at all, they would be smart to at least evaluate the type of market for the All-Star reliever. Looked at as the best left-handed reliever available through a trade this offseason, this topic will be monitored throughout the winter until a resolution is discussed.
JUST IN: Why are the Cubs so anxious to make a trade?
Related TopicsJosh HaderMilwaukee BrewersMinnesota TwinsNew York MetsTampa Bay Rays


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Berlin: Hop-on Hop-off Bus Tour with Live Commentary
Discover Berlin on a convenient hop-on hop-off sightseeing bus tour with live commentary, visiting the most famous and beautiful sights of the city…
Kaiser Wilhelm Memorial Church: Tours & Tickets
Berlin: 2-Hour Sightseeing Tour in classic VW Bus
Enjoy an exceptional and exclusive sightseeing tour in the legendary VW T1 Samba bus. Discover the history of almost 50 sights of Berlin in two hours…
Best of Berlin: Hop-on Hop-off Bus Tour Ticket
Valid: 1 day - 72 hours
Jam-pack your time in Berlin and see all the attractions with a hop-on hop-off bus tour. Simply choose between the two lines, and begin exploring for…
Berlin: A Third Reich Walking Tour
Explore the rise and fall of Nazi Germany in Berlin and learn about the events that catapulted Hitler to power. Discover the stories of the Nazi,…
Berlin: Magical Christmas Tour
Don't let the cold weather put you off enjoying the festive beauty of Berlin on a guided tour of the city's most iconic locations and best Christmas…
Berlin: Helicopter Ride over the Rooftops of the City
Experience a helicopter flight over Berlin and admire the impressive city skyline. Take a look at the famous sights of the city and enjoy the…
Berlin Combo Package: City Tour & Spree Boat Tour
Duration: 24 hours - 2 days
Discover the highlights of Berlin with this 2-in-1 combo ticket: Enjoy a tour of the German capital with a 24 or 48-hour ticket for a hop-on hop-off…
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Immerse yourself in the history of Berlin and discover the most famous sights of the city from an eco-friendly Velotaxi. Experience the colorful…
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Berlin: Full-Day Private Minivan Tour in English with Lunch
Discover the city of Berlin on a private full-day tour. Enjoy the comfort of your private minivan and chauffeur, and find out more about the city…
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See all tours & things to do in Kaiser Wilhelm Memorial Church
Top sights in Berlin
Madame Tussauds Berlin
What people are saying about Kaiser Wilhelm Memorial Church
The only way to experience the entire city of Berlin!
We can not recommend this guided tour enough! It was an incredible experience and without a shadow of a doubt, the best way to soak up all of the sights within this beautiful city. Our tour guide Karsten was so knowledgable and knew Berlin inside out & backwards. He took us across the whole city from the East to the West and down back streets that we would never have found on our own and gave us a fascinating history lesson. Thank you Karsten for making our trip to Berlin so memorable
Berlin: 2-Hour Sightseeing Tour in classic VW Bus Reviewed by Zoey, 30/12/2018
Small group / almost private tour in classic old timer
Ok, you might have not always the open views if you choose to take a tour on a modern double decker bus, but then you will miss the charme of cruising Berlin in a vintage car (people on the streets will actually take photo's of you), Also worthwhile to mention is the proud owner of the car and very enthousiastic and knowledgeable guide/driver. Can't be beaten by an audio guide. If you like a very personal approach and love vintage cars, this tour is a must.
Berlin: 2-Hour Sightseeing Tour in classic VW Bus Reviewed by Anoniem, 03/05/2019
The VW was a treat and the guide was knowledgeable and honest.
I would recommend this tour if you are having a short break in Berlin. The tour was informative and we were shown all the main tourist spots in two hours. We only stopped twice because there was so much to see. This tour will give you a good introduction before you go ahead and choose which sites to re-visit in depth. Thank you so much Petra, Rajko and Carsten. When we come back again we will book a different tour.
Berlin: 2-Hour Sightseeing Tour in classic VW Bus Reviewed by GILL, 30/07/2019
Highlight of our short visit. Many interesting facts throughout Berlin
We rode on two buses. The first had recorded descriptions and a headset with language selection and volume. No trouble hearing or understanding the narrative. The second had live guide with English and German descriptions. The guide seemed very knowledgeable, provided more information than the recording and it was more interactive.
Berlin: Hop-on Hop-off Bus Tour with Live Commentary Reviewed by Francis, 16/08/2019
All the highlights of Berlin in a convenient one day tour.
The bus was clean, the drivers and tour guides were very courteous, the tour guides did a good job covering English and German for all those on the buses. We got to see the important sites and not have to do all the walking and/or driving on one of the hottest days on records in Berlin.
Berlin: Hop-on Hop-off Bus Tour with Live Commentary Reviewed by Maria, 15/07/2019
Things to do near Kaiser Wilhelm Memorial Church
Cover photo: Jorge Brazil, CC BY 2.0
Maui Cruises & Boat Tours


Hart, P. (2016). Te Aroha in the 1890s. (Te Aroha Mining District Working papers, No. 115). Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, Historical Research Unit.
During the 1890s the town slowly increased in size and became economically stronger despite mining, for most of this decade, no longer flourishing. Other occupations became more important, with farming and tending to the needs of tourists being pre-eminent. Residents continued to grumble over the need for improvements, the cost of housing, high rents, and a poor system of tenure, but the establishment of a borough meant that some more improvements could be provided. As the town developed the poor-quality buildings hastily erected in its early days were seen as disfiguring it, and gradually the streets and footpaths were improved.
As previously, storms and fires were notable experiences, the latter revealing the need for a water supply and fire fighting equipment. And also as previously, there were many ways to enliven small town life in mostly respectable ways, notably the library, clubs, sports, horse racing, the Volunteers, and entertainments of all kinds, details of which illustrate the texture of social life. Despite disparaging remarks by outsiders, living at Te Aroha need not be as dull as was claimed.


I'm liveblogging from today's Strategic Research Institute conference, "Beyond Blogs and Social Networks: How Consumer Generated Media and the Virtual Handshake will Make or Break Your Business".
You can download the notes from my initial keynote here: Introduction to Social Software.
Jonathan Carson, President & CEO, Buzzmetrics; Co-Founder, Word of Mouth Marketing Association (WOMMA) is the next speaker.
230 members in WOMMA. Definition of "word of mouth"=one consumer passing marketing –relevant information to other consumers.
Yankelovich says: best source for advice on a new product: 35% say Consumer Reports, 67% say another consumer.
NOP says: best source for new ideas about products. In 1977, 67% said word of mouth, but in 2005, 92% said word of mouth.
1)	Channel large and growing.
8% of online adults blog; 27% of online adults read blogs.
Their reach is greater, and consumers seeking help can find them more easily.
3) Consumer content dominates Internet content.
Consumers trust other consumers more than advertising, spokespeople, unbiased "expert" third parties, or traditional media.
New technology tools make it much easier to find and share insights.
Ex: study buzz on nutrition as predictive tool. Consumer buzz about "Atkins" and "low-carb" started dropping in Q32003, precisely the time when all the big food companies started releasing low-carb food. Meanwhile, over the last year, steadily increasing discussion of "portion control", which the big food companies are unprepared to service.
Ex: research done jointly with Pew on blog storms during 2004 election.
Analyzing buzz is like stormwatching. Bloggers used buzz to keep Rathergate alive.
Heard anecdotal reports of evangelism.
Amazing finding: 48% of the machine's most aggressive advocates were men. Very unlike this company's traditional market, women.
What do owners talk about (in this order): provide usage reports, misc. duet banter, promote/swap, complementary products, provide usage tips, seek/provide product info, seek tech support, request features, give tech support, seek usage tips, FL/TL debate.
People particularly reported testing the machine with little league uniforms, which are an acid test for these machines.
I asked, is Buzzmetrics' sample of communicators skewed from the overall market?
Carson answered: it's definitely skewed; they're much more passionate than the norm. However, targeting the mass market is old school marketing. New school, WOMMA-style approach: target the enthusiast influencers, and let their message trickle out to the mass market.
Influencer marketing has been the norm for B2B for years; now we're seeing the same phenomenon in consumer marketing.
It was always feasible to target developers for a new software product. Now it's feasible to do the same thing for consumer marketing.
Case study: How strongly are consumers linking GM (Pontiac G6) to the Oprah event?
Among general population, 84% talked about Oprah car giveaway, but didn't discuss the G6.
Initially, this was perceived as a success. But then GMInsidernews.com commented this will be considered a chick's car not a guy's car. And then it turned out all the recipients owed a $7,000 tax bill. This became a very problematic promotion from GM's point of view..but turned out well from Oprah's point of view!


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Sadly, I will be out of town this weekend. I miss you guys! The next weekend I'm free is June the 8th. (We're also free the weekend of June 1st, but Rowan has a girl scout thing on Friday night and the earliest we could be there is 9:30 pm, which is pretty late).
I am open for some gaming tonight, let me know when you want to show up.
I won't be able to make it tonight. My parents are in town visiting.
I have other plans. Sorry.
Bummer. Well guess nothing this week. How about next week? I can be there around 9pm.
I can make next week (now this week). 9pm you say?


Supply septip tank for single story terrace house at Besut.
Supply Lafarge Quick Render 387 for NSR KJ Enterprise's project!
Which Color Inspires You Most?
We Are A One BIG Family At Work!
"A Gift to Our Boss on His Special Day"


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text:
Kerala Destinations
Beyond Kerala
Celebrity Travel
Travelling with the people you love is the best way to travel: Shaju Sreedharan
Ponnu Tomi
Published: May 14, 2021 07:55 AM IST
Topic | Celebrity Travel
"I love travelling. It's not the place that's important but the company. One of the first things I do is pick the people I love to travel with," says actor Shaju Sreedharan, a self-confessed travel junkie.
The magical Athirapally waterfalls
Last year we hadn't ventured out much because of the pandemic. We only travelled briefly for work. But when they lifted the lockdown, I took my family to Athirapally. The journey was so peaceful, with empty roads everywhere. Even the hotel we shared was vacant, except for us.
Our hotel was located parallel to the waterfalls and we could see the scenery from our rooms, and it was such a charming sight. Athirapally was unforgettable.
Actress Veena Nair's travel escapades with her mother-in-law
From Prithviraj to Sara Ali Khan, Indian celebs are taking a break from COVID days in the Maldives
A palace in the middle of a forest
Our trip to Idukki was memorable. It was a royal trip as we were staying at Thiruvananthapuram Royal Family's decadent tourist Bungalow. It was standing right in the middle of a dense forest which added to its beauty.
Another memorable trip was our visit to Idukki's Lake Palace. Kalabhavan Shajon, Kottayam Nazir and their families also came with us. We took a boat to reach the tiny island. It was like entering Heaven. There was a huge gate and fence that helped in keeping the animals away. You are met with an extensive green lawn, rows of white pebbles and a granite-based Tulsi plant. And then you enter the Palace sit out and from there you can watch wild animals taking a sip from the river outside. We can even catch fish and cook it and it's fun. Apparently, most of the animals drink water from the river opposite the Lake Palace. In India, you can't find such Forest Lodges, so the Royal Lake Palace which falls under that category is a rarity.
Travels that soothe your mind
There are plenty of things one can gain from exploring different places. You gain new friends, new experiences, and new stories. When you start exploring new places, you get a better understanding of the people living there, including their culture, history, and background. Travel calms my mind to such an extent that even a long drive makes me happier. Be it solo travels or with family, there is an indescribable joy in that. Travel has truly helped me understand myself and our world better. It has made me more compassionate, empathetic, and less afraid of differences. The life lessons learned from travelling can never be learnt from a book.
I am not very picky about the destination as long as I have the right company.
Another memorable trip was with my film- mimicry friends after the pandemic. There was Nadirshah, Kalabhavan Shajon, Jaffer Idukki, Kottayam Nazir and Nobi and we spend some quality time at Kuttikanam, gazing at the misty mountains and enjoying the cool breeze. Recently I went to Kappad beach in Kozhikode to sample delicacies from this newly opened restaurant called Shappu and it was a delicious experience.
Our land is the best
I have been fortunate to travel to a lot of countries—Europe, America, Middle East, Singapore and Malaysia. Since they are mostly related to work, we don't have much time to see a lot of places. But we do try to cover maximum days when he gets some free time. But I really think none of the places I visited abroad could raise a candle to our country, especially Kerala's pristine beauty.
I live in Palakkad and it's one of the most scenic places in the state, with a lot of little-known gems to explore. Take Malampuzha for instance, easily one of the most popular tourist spots in Kerala. Just to drive around Malampuzha itself is a joyful experience. Though the drive is through the forests since it sits well-maintained the drive is usually hassle-free. I usually go there soon after monsoons and it's lovely to stop over for a cup of tea and relish the backdrop.
My favourite destinations
Ooty and Kodaikanal feature right on top of my favourite holiday spots. I frequent there as it's a mere 3-hour drive from Palakkad. I am not a fan of solo travel and prefer to travel with friends or family.
My family is fed up with my obsession with Ootty and would rather go somewhere else. We don't usually visit the popular tourist's spots in Ootty and usually explore quieter places. I suggest taking the Manjoor route when you go there next as you can savour nature in its full glory while driving down to Ooty.
Siruvani Dam and waterfalls are hugely popular tourist spot. I will never forget our stay at the government guest house near the dam. There was a special beauty in sitting in front of the house during the full moon night. And no one missed using mobile phones there. We would dip in the ice-cold river in the evening and get rewarded by getting a good night sleep. I would recommend this place to anyone who wishes for some peace and quiet.
On top of Nelliyampathi hills
If you stand at the top of Nelliyampathi hills, you can get a panoramic view of Palakkad town. It's one of the most beautiful sights in the world and you shouldn't miss it for the world. Especially at night. From Mambara also get a full view of the district. Then of course I don't need to give you more reasons to visit Nelliyampathi, blessed with lush dense rainforests filled with wildlife, sprawling tea gardens, coffee, cardamom and orange plantations.
The Seethargundu Viewpoint, Nemmara village, Kesavanpara, Pothundi dam and reservoir, Palghat Gap, Parambikulam Wildlife Sanctuary, Nelliyampathi caves are only some of the top tourist attractions in Nelliyampathi. The Pothundi dam & Reservoir add to the charm of Nelliyampathi. The perfect backdrop of Nelliyampathi hills is just picturesque and pristine, which makes the dam surroundings an excellent place for picnics. Pothundi dam is a must-visit place in Nelliyampathi. A visit to the Parambikulam Tiger Reserve is a great way to spend your holiday in Nelliyampathi as you can get glimpses of rare flora and fauna. Nemmara, a village near Nelliyampathi, is famous for 'Nemmara Vela' festival during April when many folk arts will be on display.
I want to travel more and every time my hunger grows.
Saniya Iyappan unwinds in Thailand's Krabi with family
Actress and model Raai Laxmi in a zone of serenity in Rishikesh
Ahaana savours a slice of paradise in Goa
Pranav Mohanlal basks under the Spanish sun; pictures go viral
Actress Anarkali Marikar relishes the quietude of Ramakkalmedu in Idukki
Here is why Himachal Pradesh has Lijomol's heart
Football star Saurez lazes away in Maldives after heartbreaking exit from FIFA World Cup
Not just another guy! Pranav Mohanlal's pic from his European trip leaves audience guessing
Nimisha Sajayan gets an experience of history at the rock temples of Mahabalipuram
https-www-onmanorama-com-travel-celebrity-travel 1cdldqi1lcp4skm5n8msa2656b onmanorama-topic-general-topics-14-entertainment https-www-onmanorama-com-acp onmanorama-topic-general-topics-8-celebrity-travel https-www-onmanorama-com-travel


text:
Civil Suit 16 of 2001[1]
ELEONORA COZZI v ALI HUSSEIN MOTORS [2002] eKLR
ELEONORA COZZI v ALI HUSSEIN MOTORS
High Court at Malindi
David Anasi Onyancha
Ouma – for Ole Kina -for the Applicant/Plaintiff Gekonde - for Khamala -for the Respondent/Defendant
Both Parties Represented
AT MALINDI
ELEONORA COZZI…………………………………………….PLAINTIFF
=V E R S U S=
ALI HUSSEIN MOTORS…………………………………….DEFENDANT
The applicant brought this application under Order 39 Rules 1, 2 & 3 of the Civil Procedure Rules and S.3A of the Civil Procedure Act seeking for both Mandatory and Prohibitory injunctions against the Defendants.
Mandatory injunction to order the Defendant to forthwith release the Plaintiff's Log Book relating to motor vehicle registration number KAM 100D, a Mitsubishi Pajero Intercooler and an Ownership Transfer Form duly signed by the Defendants in favour of the Plaintiff to enable her register ownership of the said motor vehicle in her name or to her order. Prohibitory Injunction to restrain the Respondent from repossessing, collecting or in any other way interfering with Applicant's direct possession of the said motor vehicle until the suit is heard and determined. The supporting affidavit was sworn by the Plaintiff/Applicant while the Replying Affidavit was sworn by the 2nd Defendant.
The facts as I understand them are that the Plaintiff who wanted to purchase the abovementioned motor vehicle at the price of Kshs.1,750,000/- from the defendants agreed with them to sell to them or to their company, Al Hussein Motor Ltd., the 2nd Defendant, the Plaintiff's motor vehicle KAM 585M, a Toyota Turf, Pick-Up. It is not clear at what price the latter was to be valued at, and there is some kind of dispute between the parties over this.
The Plaintiff's version is that the agreed price was Kshs.1,250,000/- while the defendants position is that the price was either Kshs.1,000,000/- or 900,000/-. Whichever of the two was the correct one, one fact is not really in dispute; that the deposit towards the purchase price if the Mitsubishi Pajero would come from the proceeds of sale of the Plaintiff's said Toyota Pick-Up Registration Number KAM 585M. The Plaintiff alleged that the two parties in the said sale and purchase of the vehicles, entered into written agreements of sale in respect of either vehicle, exhibited as EC(a) and EC(b). She also claimed that an oral agreement was entered in addition.
She further argued that the effect of the agreements of sale aforesaid was that she would be entitled to a refund of Kshs.250,000/- after the purchasers of his vehicle who also would be her sale agents in respect of the vehicle KAM 585M will have kept Kshs.100,000/- possibly as sale commission. On the other hand the Defendants argued that they received a sum of Kshs.900,000/- from the Plaintiff as deposit and a further total sum of Kshs.750,000/- by four cash installments, three of Kshs.200,000/- and 50,000/- as the fourth installment. Thus, they claimed, they received a total sum of Kshs.1,650,000/- which is less by Kshs.100,000/- of the agreed purchase price of Kshs.1,750,000/- aforementioned. Hence the reason why they refused to part with the Log Book and Ownership Transfer Forms herein demanded by the Plaintiff.
I am conscious of the fact that the material before me from both sides is merely contained in affidavits. It has not been tested in cross-examination which will be done during the full hearing of the case. I have examined the contents of the said affidavits from both sides. I accept on a prima facie basis that the Plaintiff released his vehicle Registration Number KAM 585M to the Defendants on the ground that the latter would sell it and account the proceeds to the Plaintiff. It is probable from the material or the record that the price agreed between them would be Kshs.1,250,000/- out of which 100,000/- would be kept by them as the sale commission. The balance would be turned over to the Plaintiff, less the sum required as deposit for the purchase of the vehicle they were selling to the Plaintiff, i.e. KAM 100D, Pajero. Under the said circumstances, the Defendants would refund to the Plaintiff, a sum of Kshs.250,000/-. It is interesting to note that throughout the arguments before me, the defendants did not want to admit that the sale of the two motor vehicles mentioned hereinabove was in a single transaction. Indeed, they insisted that the two were different transactions involving two sets of different parties. They were not even prepared to admit that the deposit in relation to the purchase price of KAM 100D by the Plaintiff came from the sale or valuation of KAM 585M. And even assuming that the sum of Kshs.1,000,000/- received by the Defendants from the Plaintiff as confirmed in the sale agreement Exhibit "EC(b)", was not related to the sale of motor vehicle KAM 585M and that there was no other agreement, oral or otherwise as the Defendants wanted me to believe, the final result would still be that the Defendants had by the time they received a demand to release the Log Book and the Ownership Transfer Form, have received a total sum of Kshs.1,750,000/- which was the full purchase price of the motor vehicle Registration Number KAM 100D, Mitsubishi Pajero.
Having therefore accepted this position, and subject to the facts being proved or disproved during the full hearing of this case, I make the finding that the Defendant had received the full purchase price of the motor vehicle in question. They therefore had no lawful excuse to detain the Log Book and the Ownership Transfer Forms. It is in evidence that the Plaintiff in writing by herself and through her lawyers demanded for the said documents to no avail. Instead the Defendants used the Police in Malindi to harass and threaten her to release the motor vehicle in question to the Defendants. The threats as admitted by the Defendants during their arguments before this court, have never been withdrawn. The Plaintiff without the Log Book in question cannot lawfully obtain a road license or an insurance cover since the authorities who issue them demand that the original log book must accompany the applications for them. A person is guilty of conversion if he deals with goods in a manner inconsistent with the rights of the true owner intending to negative the rights of the true owner or to assert a right inconsistent with that right. Whether the act arises out of negligence or is intentional does not matter. On a prima facie basis, therefore, I find that Defendants' conduct amounted to conversion. Their refusal to release the ownership documents when they knew that the property in them had in law and equity passed to the Plaintiff and their harassment of the Plaintiff by involving the Police in a purely civil matter as well as using unlawful threats against her which remain in place to date amount to a conduct in total disregard of the law. I agree that the detention of the Log Book and the Ownership Transfer Form effectively amount to detention of the motor vehicle in question. This is so because a motor vehicle without insurance and road license is of no use to the Plaintiff.
The final question now to answer is whether the Plaintiff is or is not entitled to the two kinds of injunctions prayed for considering the facts as I see them. There is now no doubt that under Order 39 rules 1, 2 and 3 an Applicant who fulfils the relevant necessary requirements will be entitled to obtain the Prohibitive injunction. I also appreciate that there are no exactly similar cases and that at the end of the day decisions will be made separately in accordance with the circumstances of each case. The discretion of this court is clearly wide. It is however now settled that an Applicant has to satisfy this court that she has a prima facie case with a probability of success; that she is likely to suffer an irreparable damage or loss or harm that cannot be easily compensated in damages; and that if the court is in doubt, it may decide the matter in favour of the side to where the balance of convenience tilts. Considering the facts of this case I hold that the Plaintiff has satisfied me that she has a prima facie case. I also find and hold that she will and has in fact been suffering irreparable harm due to the conduct of the Defendants. She cannot use her motor vehicle without a licence which he cannot obtain due to the wrongful conduct of the Defendants. Indeed in respect of this remedy, the learned counsel for the Defendants admitted during his submissions before me that the Plaintiff is entitled to the prohibitive injunction restraining the defendants from continuing to harass the Plaintiff in the manner they have done before.
The issue of the mandatory injunction is a little different. It is now accepted that it cannot be issued under Order 39 of the Civil Procedure Rules because it is not provided for thereunder. It has however been granted in many cases to deal with cases under which the Respondent has flagrantly disobeyed the law of the land and the court decides that it must set matters right forthwith. In the case of Belle Maison Limited –vs- Yaya Towers Ltd., Nairobi HCCC. NO.2225 OF 1992 Bosire, J., as he then was, granted it.
Therein he thoroughly examined the circumstances under which the court has and will grant the remedy. I concur and adopt his reasoning therein. As I understand it, the jurisdiction must be exercised only in special circumstances which obviously will depend on the circumstances of each case. It is available not under Order 39 of Civil Procedure Rules or under any Order of the same but under the inherent power of this court to make orders as may be necessary for the ends of justice or to prevent abuse of the process of this court as provided under S.3A of the Civil Procedure Act.
Applying the principle to the facts of this case, I find that the Defendants unlawfully converted the Log Book and Ownership Transfer Forms to their use against the rights of the Plaintiff who had fully paid the purchase price of the motor vehicle KAM 100D Mitsubishi Pajero. They took the law into their own hands when they began threatening the Plaintiff not only by themselves but through the Police who had nothing to do with a matter purely of a civil nature. They have never, up-to-date withdrawn the threats to have the Plaintiff arrested by the Police in order to force her to release the motor vehicle in question to the Defendants despite the fact that the motor vehicle rightly belongs to her. I find this a suitable case to invoke a Mandatory injunction to aid the law and aid the Plaintiff under the law to obtain what rightly belongs to her but what is wrongfully being withheld by the Defendants.
The Applicant/Plaintiff had obeyed this court's interim order to deposit in this court the sum of Kshs.100,000/-. The same shall remain in court until the court hears and finally determines this case on tested evidence. The Applicant/Plaintiff's application must therefore succeed and the following are the final orders.
1. That a Mandatory Injunction shall forthwith issue against the Defendants and their agents as prayed.
2. That a Prohibitive injunction shall forthwith issue against the Defendants and their agents as prayed.
3. Costs of this application shall be to the Applicant/Plaintiff.
Dated and delivered at Mombasa this 21st day of March, .2002.
D. A. ONYANCHA
J U D G E
Delivered in the presence of:-
Mr.Ouma – for Ole Kina -for the Applicant/Plaintiff
Mr. Gekonde - for Khamala -for the Respondent/Defendant


text:
Q: Azure Redis Cache : No connection is available to service this operation; An existing connection was forcibly closed by the remote host i am implementing Azure Redis Cache to solve session issue for my Azure hosted application below is the code i written.
enter image description here
do we need to do any confiuration changes for Redis in Azure portal.
please help.

A: I did some test on my side and this is my test console app code :
using System;
using StackExchange.Redis;

namespace redistest
{
    class Program
    {
        static void Main(string[] args)
        {

            SetString("id","abcd");

        }

        private static Lazy<ConnectionMultiplexer> lazyRedisConnection = new Lazy<ConnectionMultiplexer>(() =>
        {
            return ConnectionMultiplexer.Connect("<connection string>");
        });

        public static void SetString(string key ,string value)
        {
            var con = lazyRedisConnection.Value;
            IDatabase db = con.GetDatabase();
            db.StringSet(key,value);

            Console.WriteLine(db.StringGet("id"));
            Console.ReadKey();
        }
    }
}

Result :

Seems everything works as excepted. I got the same error in the beginning:

No connection is available to service this operation

It is due to Azure Redis service has not been created yet. it will take several minutes to finish this process. You can check its status here :

When its status is Running, you can try to connect to it.
In the whole process, I have no additional configs for my Redis service,all I have done is: create Redis=>wait it be created => find the connection string => connect to it by code.
Actually I configed nothing on my Redis. Everything works for me. I am not sure if it is related to the version of StackExchange.Redis, some people get this error when using 2.xx version and when they get back to 1.2.6, this issue is no longer appears . You can have a try. Hope it helps.

A: the same error i got, and the status of redis is running, added images for reference

i have added my IP also in the Redis Firewall.
did i need to do any thing more Gong.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
Q: Class to class access, from ref class to gui class how I can access controls of Form class from another simple class
Lets say
I have create new clr (c++ .net 2008)  windows application, & add a lable1 on it, (Form1.cpp & Form1.h created by default  having namaspace tmp_beginInvoke_c)
then I create a new b.h file & add a simple reference class b. like code below,

#include "Form1.h"

namespace tmp_beginInvoke_c_B {

 //using namespace tmp_beginInvoke_c;  //{error C2871: 'tmp_beginInvoke_c' : a namespace with this name does not exist,} namespace of Form1 in my project
 using namespace System;
 using namespace System::ComponentModel;

 public ref class b
 {
 public:
  b(void)
  {

  }

  b(Form1^% guiForm)
  {
   //guiForm->ChangeLabel();
   //this->frm = gcnew Form1();
   this->frm = guiForm;
   this->frm->ChangeLabel();

  }

  int i;
  Form1 ^frm;

 };

}

I also add following in Form1.h

*

*#include "b.h"

*using namespace tmp_beginInvoke_c_B;

*b^ obj = gcnew b();   // this line in constructure.

raising build error :-(
My target:-
       I want to pass reference of Form1 created instance to all b class object,
       b class object will call a function of Form1 class randomly on event base.
if I say ore accuretely b class object will call beginInvoke of control on Form1.
something like
Thread^ t = gcnew Thread(gcnew ThreadStart((frm,&tmp_beginInvoke_c::Form1::ChangeLabel)); //which will call beginInvike of control

A: As probably everybody before I do not understand the question.
But I would advise to separate declaration from implementation. Both classes reference each other so you probably need to use forward declaration for one of them, e.g. ref class b; in Form1.h. But you cannot access any member of this class including constructor before the real declaration is known.