text:
Custom «The Effects of Alcohol on the Human Body» Essay Paper
Custom «The Effects of Alcohol on the Human Body» Essay Paper essay
Alcohol was discovered many thousands of years ago and nowadays it is a common notion. People realize how harmful and destructive it is but accept it normal to drink small regular amounts of relief liquid for health and mood improvement. According to the U.S. National Institute of Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, "about 70 per cent of Americans always drink at low-risk levels or do not drink at all, when about 28 per cent of American adults drink at levels that put them at risk for alcohol dependence and alcohol-related problems" (''Alcohol Alert'').
To study this issue deeper, the paper will exactly describe the process that occurs at once after the small amount of alcohol comes to the human mouth. The second part of the work shortly illustrates the results of long alcohol consumption. To ensure that all details are correct, the third part of the research tells about alcohol influence on the unborn children, whose mothers used to drink while being pregnant. The conclusion summaries the investigated information of the three parts of the research.
General effects of alcohol
Buy The Effects of Alcohol on the Human Body essay paper online
In a few hours after drinking alcohol, a person feels the decrease in motor coordination and balance, slurs, sweats, loses in judgments, and blurred visions. These all are primary symptoms of being drunk. Higher dose of an alcohol leads even to an absolute loss of coordination and balance, and disability to judge distance and heights. These are visible and demonstrative influences of alcohol on the human body but not all of them.
Physical harm, which poison liquid causes on diverse systems of the human body, is far more impressive and sometimes unpredictable. Alcohol spirits avoid digestive process and travel right into bloodstream. American Association for the Advancement of Science indicates that ''20 per cent of the consumed alcohol is absorbed in the stomach, and about 80% is absorbed in the small intestine'' (''Alcohol and the Human Body''). Alcohol converts to toxic chemicals in the liver.
Through the blood stream, alcohol reaches every organ in the human body and percolates into each cell. Most substantially, alcohol damages organs that contain a lot of water and are in need of an ample blood supply (brain), but it affects the liver, the kidneys, the heart, the pancreas, and even the muscles hardly too.
Obvious evidence of alcohol impact on the brain is blackouts, which are frequent, when people consume seductive liquid quickly or on an empty stomach. The consequences of long alcohol abusing on brain work are more serious and lead to partial loss of memory and constant confusion. Thus, the slight effects are felt even after the occasional consummation. There are sleepiness, evidence of reduce of the brain activity, or insomnia, which is the outcome of the nervous system irritation. Drunk people show excessive gaiety or aggressiveness, which additionally proves direct alcohol impact on brain and nervous system.
The next organ, which terribly suffers, is liver. It metabolizes 90 per cent of an alcohol. The toxic substance for testosterone, which is essential for the right recovery and development of muscles and tissue, is produced there, while alcohol drinking. As the result, the ability of the body to heal itself decreases. It is caused also by means of dehydration. Thirst, paleness, headache, sleepiness, and tremors are its main signs. Dehydration is caused by the diuretic characteristic of alcohol, which makes kidneys direct fluids straight to the bladder and loss it from the organism. Besides the lack of water, the organism is weak because of oxygen deficiency; it is hard for the heart to pump blood throughout the body properly.
To overcome the feeling of lethargy, human body craves a carbohydrate boost, owning to which people often feel hungry when they have been drinking alcohol. In its turn, overeating often finishes with vomiting and retching. At the same time, the toxicity of alcohol irritates the stomach, which often causes gastritis. Because of the metabolism dysfunction, the number of hormones reduces, which considerably influences on puberty and tissue function.
In the book that is dedicated to alcohol effects on the human system, Thomas Watkins accents that people, who use alcohol even in intervals have "more pale blood discs that in usual perfect health'' (Watkins). Moreover, alcohol inhibits absorption of thiamin, vitamin B12, folic acid, and zinc.
Being absorbed by every cell, alcohol does not just arouse the feeling of freedom and unconcern; it subdues each minor part of the human body, ruthlessly damaging it. These effects will be felt somewhat later.
Consequences of alcohol abuse
It shocks how powerful alcohol is when it comes into human systems. Its power grows with its abusing. Alcohol dependence is the medical term for alcoholism and is characterized by the inability to limit drinking and constant increase of alcohol dose, nausea, sweating, irritability, tremors, hallucinations, and seizures symptoms when the drinking is ceased.
Alcoholics live short lives and suffer from inflammation of the liver and brain deficits. Liver and brain functions are tightly connected in the human body, but many people do not suspect that the damage of the organ that is responsible for alcohol breaking down and clearing the organism can influence brain so much and lead to its serious disorder. ''Hepatic encephalopathy can cause severe cognitive effects such as shortened attention span; and problems with coordination such as a flapping or shaking of the hands (called asterixis). In the most serious cases, patients may slip into a coma (i.e., hepatic coma), which can be fatal.'' (''Alcohol Alert'')
Wernicke-Korsakoff syndrome is common among alcoholics, 80% percent of whom have a deficiency in thiamine. Mental confusion, paralysis of the eyes' nerves, and difficulty with muscle coordination are the symptoms of Wernicke's encephalopathy. Thus, Korsakoff's psychosis is characterized by persistent problems with learning and memory. Patients are frustrated and forgetful. They hardly remember old information, and it is more difficult for them to keep in mind some new information. Such patients can discuss in detail particular event in their lives, but an hour later they might not remember ever having the conversation.
Searching for oblivion with the help of alcohol, a person risks being addicted and lose memory and health forever.
Alcohol's effects on future generation
When primary effects of alcohol are often considered being insignificant, since alcohol abuse results in years, its harmful impact on the future generation is visible in 9 month. Fetal alcohol syndrome (FAS) was identified and described in the United States in 1973. It demonstratively shows how children suffer if their mothers were drinking during pregnancy. Damage ranges from subtle to severe and causes behavioral problems, clumsiness, disfigurement, failure to gain weight, skull or brain malformation, small jaws, damage of brain cells, mental retardation, etc.
Luckily, not all fetuses are affected. Scientists explain that genetics factors play their role here, but stress that any alcohol puts baby at risk. Although it can not certainly lead to FAS, women who consume alcohol have a significantly higher risk of spontaneous abortion hat is known as miscarriage.
These facts once again underline and prove the destructive impact of alcohol on all human systems without any exception.
Alcohol, regardless of being hard cognac or ''safe'' beer or wine, comes throughout each cell of the body, mostly damaging liver and brain. Unlike other food and drinks, the digestive system of a human being does not digest it. It is directly absorbed into the blood. When a person drinks an alcohol, it simply mixes his/hers blood with it. Poison liquid is rather seductive. Its odor and taste are great; moreover it leads to great psychological relief. Drunk person is relaxed and powerful. Euphoria disappears in years; lapses of memory and cirrhosis of the liver come instead it. Those who do not care about themselves continue periling their unborn children too. In 9 months, mothers wonder why their sons and daughters have FAS syndrome, which is the last and the most obvious evidence of ruinous effects of alcohol on the human body.
Apropos of Anarchism
Pornographic Magazines and Films should be Banned
Dropping out of School and the links to Delinquency
Critique of a Criminal Justice Newspaper
The Pre-Modern Period
Agency Approaches to Social Issues
Diagnosing Performance and Reliability Issues

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
Q: Android, How to get searched keywords from Chrome browser (Search Uri)? I'm able to get searched keywords from default browser by following code.
List<SearchRecord> searchList = new LinkedList<SearchRecord>();

        ContentResolver resolver = this.getContentResolver();
        Cursor cursor = resolver.query(Browser.SEARCHES_URI, Browser.SEARCHES_PROJECTION, null, null, null);
        cursor.moveToFirst();
        if (cursor.moveToFirst() && cursor.getCount() > 0) {
            while (cursor.isAfterLast() == false) {
                SearchRecord record = new SearchRecord();

                record.setKeyword(cursor.getString(Browser.SEARCHES_PROJECTION_SEARCH_INDEX));
                record.setDate(cursor.getLong(Browser.SEARCHES_PROJECTION_DATE_INDEX));

                searchList.add(record);
                cursor.moveToNext();
            }
        }

Following code returns list of bookmarks
Uri uriCustom = Uri.parse("content://com.android.chrome.browser/bookmarks");

I'm looking for Uri of Chrome in order to get searched keywords. Do you have any idea what it is? Thanks

A: List<SearchRecord> searchList = new LinkedList<SearchRecord>();

ContentResolver resolver = this.getContentResolver();
Cursor cursor = resolver.query(Browser.SEARCHES_URI, Browser.SEARCHES_PROJECTION, ***Browser.BookmarkColumns.BOOKMARK+ " = 0"***, null, null);
cursor.moveToFirst();
if (cursor.moveToFirst() && cursor.getCount() > 0) {
    while (cursor.isAfterLast() == false) {
        SearchRecord record = new SearchRecord();
        record.setKeyword(cursor.getString(Browser.SEARCHES_PROJECTION_SEARCH_INDEX));
        record.setDate(cursor.getLong(Browser.SEARCHES_PROJECTION_DATE_INDEX));

        searchList.add(record);
        cursor.moveToNext();
    }
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
package org.jetbrains.idea.svn.branchConfig;

import com.intellij.openapi.diagnostic.Logger;
import com.intellij.openapi.project.Project;
import org.jetbrains.idea.svn.SvnConfiguration;
import org.jetbrains.idea.svn.integrate.SvnBranchItem;
import org.tmatesoft.svn.core.ISVNDirEntryHandler;
import org.tmatesoft.svn.core.SVNDirEntry;
import org.tmatesoft.svn.core.SVNException;
import org.tmatesoft.svn.core.SVNURL;
import org.tmatesoft.svn.core.auth.ISVNAuthenticationManager;
import org.tmatesoft.svn.core.wc.SVNLogClient;
import org.tmatesoft.svn.core.wc.SVNRevision;

import java.util.Collections;
import java.util.LinkedList;
import java.util.List;

public class BranchesLoader {
  private static final Logger LOG = Logger.getInstance("#org.jetbrains.idea.svn.branchConfig.BranchesLoader");

  private BranchesLoader() {
  }

  public static List<SvnBranchItem> loadBranches(final Project project, final String url) throws SVNException {
    final List<SvnBranchItem> result = new LinkedList<SvnBranchItem>();

    final SvnConfiguration configuration = SvnConfiguration.getInstance(project);
    final ISVNAuthenticationManager passiveManager = configuration.getPassiveAuthenticationManager();

    final SVNLogClient logClient = new SVNLogClient(passiveManager, configuration.getOptions(project));
    final SVNURL branchesUrl = SVNURL.parseURIEncoded(url);
    logClient.doList(branchesUrl, SVNRevision.UNDEFINED, SVNRevision.HEAD, false, false, new ISVNDirEntryHandler() {
      public void handleDirEntry(final SVNDirEntry dirEntry) throws SVNException {
        final SVNURL currentUrl = dirEntry.getURL();
        if (! branchesUrl.equals(currentUrl)) {
          final String url = currentUrl.toString();
          // if have permissions
          if (dirEntry.getDate() != null) {
            result.add(new SvnBranchItem(url, dirEntry.getDate(), dirEntry.getRevision()));
          }
        }
      }
    });
    Collections.sort(result);
    return result;
  }
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


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text:
What's the worst anime you've ever seen?
Page 8 of 10 [ 191 posts ] Go to page Previous 1 ... 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 Next
segasonic91
Post subject: Re: What's the worst anime you've ever seen?
segasonic91 wrote:
Although I don't need subs anymore,
Real envious of you. Despite university classes, a year studying in Japan and 5 years working there I still can only understand 20% of what's being said. Anyway last year I resolved to relearn it. After 6 months of restudying JLPT N4 daily I think some of it is sinking in, but it's so slow. I was never good at language and now I'm older it's even harder but I'll never give up.
What JLPT level do you think you have in vocab? Any study tips? Thanks.
Well, I think I have lost a lof in the past 5 years. I remember watching Maison Ikkoku on DVD from start to finish back then and understanding 99% of it. I think I would lose a bit now. Also, I am terrible with technical stuff. Something like Legend of the Galactic Heroes is reaaally difficult. I felt really overwhelmed watching it until an episode a few eps in where there was a return visit to a family home. THAT was the first episode I fully understood! War and political stuff is so over my head. Yakuza stuff is hard too, or "manly men speak". I have played the entire Ryu ga Gotoku series from PS2 through to the PS4 but always struggled at times.
I remember I bought the first game when I was at uni there in 2006 and one of my best friends was watching me play and even SHE had trouble understanding some stuff. She is Japanese so that says it all. She was the typical type of Japanese person that thinks anyone who likes anime and games is "weird otaku". I ended taking her to Akihabara and she loved it, lol. I was happy to educate her that "anime lover" does not mean weird and creepy as they are always potrayed in Japan. It is no different to her watching American crap. Densha Otoko had aired around that time and she said it changed a lot of people's attitude over there.
As for study tips, for "tangou", I always found that making up a way to remember words worked really well. Same with kanji. I also spoke keigou which is just like another damn language. Repetition is only good to a point, but if you have a way to remember words, I guarantee you will never forget them. Practise is really the only other way.
When I started, I already knew katakana as I had taught myself with my Saturn Fan books and also use to watch a kids school programme on SBS. Hiragana I also knew, but not as well as katakana. To get it into me head, instead of just writing things over and over, I used to use romanji lyrics of Hamasaki Ayumi songs and also some Utada Hikaru. That worked really well. They are also the songs to this day that I still remember off by heart as well! I know ALL Ayu's songs off by heart, but those songs I used to write out, I remember every word by heart to this day. She was my absolute favourite singer ever. Seeing her live in 2006 was amazing. Also got to see Hikki as well and was 10 rows from the stage. Wish I had seats like that for Ayu
forper
Thanks so much for your reply. Some good tips!
I remember watching Maison Ikkoku on DVD from start to finish back then and understanding 99% of it. I think I would lose a bit now. Also, I am terrible with technical stuff. Something like Legend of the Galactic Heroes is reaaally difficult. I felt really overwhelmed watching it until an episode a few eps in where there was a return visit to a family home. THAT was the first episode I fully understood! War and political stuff is so over my head. Yakuza stuff is hard too, or "manly men speak". I have played the entire Ryu ga Gotoku series from PS2 through to the PS4 but always struggled at times.
I feel the same. Young women are so much easier to understand. I also watched MI start to finish and well worth it. What a great show.
My problem is my real goal is to watch gritty SF war real robot stuff from the '80s which is full of crazy vocab, old men and tough guys! I'm trying to learn JLPT at the same time as a bunch of SF/political/war vocab. I'm building a separate list of that vocab myself using Quizlet as I watch shows and pick it up. But when the oyajis and yankees in the shows say it, it's slurred and inflected so much, often with different endings it's so hard to catch.
The next show I watch raw will either be Dirty Pair of Orguss (Just got the box set for this, been hunting it for years even though it's not rare every time I was ready to buy one had just sold, the box is so beautiful) , both should be less of a learning curve than say Votoms or Zeta Gundam.
Yeah I've been thinking of matching words with pictures instead of translations? Maybe an image in my head would work better.
When I started, I already knew katakana as I had taught myself with my Saturn Fan books and also use to watch a kids school programme on SBS. Hiragana I also knew, but not as well as katakana. To get it into me head, instead of just writing things over and over, I used to use romanji lyrics of Hamasaki Ayumi songs and also some Utada Hikaru. That worked really well. They are also the songs to this day that I still remember off by heart as well!
My hiragana and katakana is solid but writing out lyrics to get the sounds seems like a good idea! I might take that to a mecha anime scene, write down the dialogue then play back with subs, see how close I get.
I know ALL Ayu's songs off by heart, but those songs I used to write out, I remember every word by heart to this day. She was my absolute favourite singer ever. Seeing her live in 2006 was amazing. Also got to see Hikki as well and was 10 rows from the stage. Wish I had seats like that for Ayu
Pretty jealous, I never saw a Jpop show. From my DVDs Ayu shows seem pretty incredible,
In Utada's Bohmemian Summer 2000 DVD she seems like a really weak live performer. It could be the production though?
Who was better in real life?
Sony MDP-650//Sony MDP-355GX//DVDO VP-50//Sony KV-HR36M31
Ayu's shows are always amazing! The Miss(un)derstood tour was great. I am still pissed she didn't sing SURREAL on that tour, first tour she dropped it and it is my favourite song! The live version is always awesome!! I desperately wanted to go to the Countdown Live 2006 show but it waa impossible. The day for public ticket sales came and I was at the local convini first thing. 2 seconds, litterally, past 10am it said SOLD OUT.
You are right about Utada Hikaru. She is no Ayu when it comes to live performance. She just kind of stands there and doesn't do much. The crowd was boring as hell as well. Even for Japan! The 2006 DVD was my show in Saitama. Well, it is a mixture of my show and the second show in Saitama. It was her last tour before she "retired" though, so I am really glad I got to see her. Damn shame I wasn't in Tokyo so I could see L'arc en Ciel for their Tokyo Dome anniversary shows! Love them and HYDE's solo stuff.
Oh and Maison Ikkoku.... one of the best things I have ever seen in my life. Love that show so much. I had Dirty Pair to watch raw as I bought the Jp DVDs back in 2003. Still need to get the LD box and OVA discs. I am surprised BV has not released the movie on BD yet. Love that movie so much. First saw it in 1996 when I bought the Streamline VHS from cartoon gallery. OVAs as well. Surprised VAP didn't break out DP early for BD as well!
I have the individual double disc LDs for Orguss, but never got the box. The box art is typical, gorgeous Mikimoto art, but I was always annoyed by it not having proper covers which is why I chose the singles, or doubles I guess.
As for Japanese, apart from watching anime raw and playing MEGA DRIVE, PC Engine, SuFami and Saturn RPGs, I think the biggest moment for me was playing LUNAR: The Silver Star on my Wondermega in Japan and actually being able to read and understand everything. Eternal Blue came the next year. The "English" versions are crap and full of yank references. Was so nice to play the originals. I adore those games! Popful Mail on the MEGA-CD was another that working designs ruined for their "english" version.
Oh, actually GETTING a Wondermega in Japan was big for me too! I got a naked VICTOR model. There was a boxed, mint SEGA model in Akita for ¥39,800 that I really, really wish I had bought. They are impossible to get now and 3 times that price. I had to save money for the PS3 at the end of the year....gah.
tasuke
Location: OREGON, U.S.
well, MARTIAN SUCCESSOR NADESICO (1997) has certainly managed to find itself well within the top running.
finally got around to picking up the NOZOMI Blu-Ray complete collection after hearing good things about the series off-and-on
since first learning of it back in a late-90's/early-00's issue of ANIMERICA.
well, was it worth nearly a good twenty years of occasional hype? Not Really.
i mean, i still have the movie and OVA to sit through, but i just finished the T.V. series last night, and... NOTHING MADE ANY DAMNED SENSE.
the the storytelling was incoherent, and the general flow of damn near everything was the very definition of slapdash and scatterbrained.
the solid ideas were quite there, and fully ready to be exploited, even. the NADESICO T.V. series, however, hardly couldn't have managed to do a poorer job of it all.
my rear end is rather extra crispy at the moment, having being flambe'd recently by so many ostensible Anime "Classics" and all. Just Saying...
* PIONEER CLD-3030 Compatible LDP (1988) (( CLD-3030 Chassis-based LD players ))
I couldn't get into Nadesico way back when.
I'm not a massive Nadesico fan but I had very little trouble understanding it. I can pretty much recall the entire plot and I haven't seen it since it was a fan sub. The earth military can't fight the bad guys anymore so they hire a corporate battleship ship and crew. The enemies turn out to be space ota for an old anime that also inspired Earth's #1 ace to be a pilot. Then they go to Jupiter and finish things off.
I didn't watch the movie. I have the Gekiganger OVA because that was my favorite part of the show, like most people I think.
Tasuke: I think you watch anime wrong. You watch dubs and you complain about how you can't understand such and such as if that's some sort of issue. Anime isn't meant to be %100 understood at a glance. Ok, I take that back. The maid shows and other moe crap I guess isn't supposed to give the audience too much credit but almost all of the best anime leave the viewer with many questions. If you watch something and are left with no questions...what you just watched probably sucked.
As as for Nadesico being anywhere near "worst" or even "bad" I think again you just haven't seen that much anime. OVAs based on chick sims are not good anime. Maybe you'd just need to grow from that or something. If Nadesico confuses you than Akira or Angel's Egg must put you into a fitful coma.
Last edited by signofzeta on 25 Apr 2019, 18:07, edited 1 time in total.
The same goes for live action movies as well. Though I can definitely turn my brain off to watch and enjoy crap.
Anime is in Japanese though, and integral to that is super vague meaning quite often. If I left a James Cameron movie not getting something that probably would be a failure on his part. Titanic isn't a metaphor for anything whatsoever, its just the actual thing. Same with Terminator. They explain everything. Many many things from Japan though are massively more vague or referential. Shaka, when the walls fell. The thing you don't get might very well not be in the movie/TV/OVA. You didn't miss it, it's not the translation, it's literally unexplained. Sometimes there is a info sheet or a prior manga or something but that doesn't explain Royal Space Force or Birth or DYRL and nothing will EVER explain 999 but it's still amazingly good.
I feel the 6 volumes of Akira was more confusing to me than the film, but both are not just a quick watch and done.
Also I feel that some of the anime was just pumped out and is total crap, no matter how cool it is, it was and is a money making machine.
I don't remember verbatim but part of the commentary on Golgo 13 was spot on, he said there were some animation companies in Japan that WON'T many
any anime unless its sort of paid for by the US market first then they will make it.
Oh 999 is amazing on so many levels, and there are so many messages it gives you.
It might be because I've been watching loads of Japanese LA movies lately. Kurosawa, Mizoguchi, Osu. The MASTERS.
I remember when Nadesico came out and the hype. Yeah I wasn't into the character designs and saw a few fansubbed eps and left me cold. It was around the time of the end of anime anyway.
Zeta, can you explain to me the story of the Appleseed manga? Coz I've read the Studio Proteus translation over and over for 20 years and I still don't get it. Why does an appleseed have to shot into GAIA again? I love the art, the special forces fetishism, the girls, the characters and the world but the big picture story I never got.
takeshi666
Are we talking about Galaxy Express 999?
Oh and Maison Ikkoku.... one of the best things I have ever seen in my life.
yeah it's so good, the way mundane items in everyday Japan are depicted so well in backgrounds and apartments etc, it's so real to me. The station in the show is based on the station I used every day to get to my university back then too. I think the station got decomissioned recently. The "snacks" around the station are exactly like in the show. Just hole in the wall quaint little places with faux European styling..I'm sure the ryokan could have been based on so many around the area that looked just like that.
I had Dirty Pair to watch raw as I bought the Jp DVDs back in 2003. Still need to get the LD box and OVA discs. I am surprised BV has not released the movie on BD yet. Love that movie so much. First saw it in 1996 when I bought the Streamline VHS from cartoon gallery. OVAs as well. Surprised VAP didn't break out DP early for BD as well!
Yeah DP is one of those classic bubble era shows, episodic but packed with detail and otaku coolness.
Oh okay, fair enough.
Wondermega, nice. I think you actually became the Otaking I wanted to become back in the '90s
xtempo
tasuke wrote:
I hated it a first because that one guy was annoying and I stopped. Then I started it again and after he dies I thought it was better and more interesting. The whole time travel part was confusing. The movie is odd as it seems to be more serious among other things.
INSTAGRAM | Poetry Blog | youtube
As as for Nadesico being anywhere near "worst" or even "bad" I think again you just haven't seen that much anime.
OVAs based on chick sims are not good anime. Maybe you'd just need to grow from that or something.
If Nadesico confuses you than Akira or Angel's Egg must put you into a fitful coma.
i've seen, -and own and cherish- quite a few true classic Anime of yore, chief among them SDF MACROSS, DYRL, MACROSS II and MACROSS PLUS.
NADESICO, to me, is BAD. bad, because all the seeds of greatness are quite there. it is not hard at all to understand the general thrust of it, either.
what IS hard to understand is the fly-by-night, scattershot execution of it all. the series is just too scatterbrained and slapdash in it's pacing.
it gyrates far too suddenly and wildly in it's tonal shifts,
and generally makes what should be a pretty straightforward story feel like an absolute ADHD pain in the rear.
and, if you can believe it, the "Movie" is far, FAR worse still...
takeshi666 wrote:
Yes, NOT WORSE.........
Zeta was talking about it and I was just mentioning it too
I was referring to it's inscrutable genius.
Yes, I was commenting and agreeing with it.
I kind of have mixed feelings about 999. In one hand, it is THE anime of my childhood - when most anime distributed on VHS back then was the kind of bland slice of life stuff that was guaranteed to offend absolutely nobody, 999 was one of the few exceptions I had the chance to see - and when I finally saw the movie (without subtitles!) I absolutely loved it, and when I finally found the fansubs to the TV series, I couldn't wait to see it. Unfortunately I found the actual TV anime somewhat underwhelming, mostly thanks to it near complete lack of continuity.
This is ALMOST all anime, some are more ridiculous than others about it. Trigun is a BIG offender.


It's bureaucracy like this that has contributed to the continual decline of the reputation and reliability of the postal service.
It's a tradition that dates back to the death of President Abraham Lincoln that following the death of a president, either in office or after, a National Day of Mourning is observed.
That was the case Wednesday when a day of mourning was declared by President Trump for George H.W. Bush, the country's 41st president, who died on Friday, Nov. 30.
Notwithstanding that a federal holiday costs millions (a 2011 estimate by the National Taxpayers Union put it at $460 million—and certainly far more by now), probably one of the most notable closings affecting Americans is the U.S. Post Office.
It sure affected the delivery of our newspapers this week.
Among the postal services not disrupted were the delivery trucks that carry mail out of Imperial every afternoon Monday through Saturday.


text:
Think Your Ex Was Bad? Read These Terrible Dating Stories
Friends of FLARE rounded up their legit worst dating experiences—all for your enjoyment
by Laura Hensley
(Photo: Getty Images)
Dating can be the worst.
Between deadbeat dudes, f-ck boys, ghosting and straight-up terrible first impressions, getting to know someone romantically can leave you feeling… drained. Just watch any season of The Bachelor or The Hills if you need further proof. If you've ever felt like love is a battlefield loaded with shitty dudes waiting to stomp on your heart while making you pick up the cheque (or at the very least waste your precious time), have no fear—we've all been there.
In that spirit, some friends of FLARE generously agreed to share their most terrible dating stories. From not-so-discreet hook-up requests to poop-stained PJ pants, here are tragic things that have happened to us IRL. You're welcome, and no, we're not sorry for sharing.
Unforgivable first dates
(Source: Giphy)
The guy who valued "experiences" over "things"
The Starbucks date didn't start off terribly—he was about 5 inches shorter than he'd claimed to be, but was also WAY cuter than his profile photo, so I felt like it all balanced out. (And to be clear: his actual height is a non-issue; lying about it was the downside.) But when we actually started talking, I felt like all this dude wanted to do was prove how ~*intellectual*~ and different he was. Strike one: He said he preferred to spend his money on experiences rather than things. I agreed, and started talking about my love of travel—at which point, he interrupted me to say I probably "still owned Uggs though"… and then he LOOKED AT MY SHOES TO SEE IF HE WAS RIGHT. At that point, I realized I didn't need to wait for three strikes. I immediately came up with an exit plan: I needed to pick up a gift for my niece at Sephora. He followed me to the store, sharing his thoughts on makeup and opinions on girls who wear too much of it all the way. We did not go on a second date.—Stacy
Date rating: 4/10
The guy who was next-level creepy
My foray into online dating wasn't exactly what I expected. Prior to this particularly horrendous date, I'd only met someone from Tinder once (he was a bouncer at a club I frequented and we played Mario Kart for two dates before calling it quits). After hearing a few success stories, I decided to give it a shot again. I was 24 and living with my parents and figured new year, new me, right? WRONG. My Tinder date, first of all, showed up to our date spot—a Timothy's Cafe—unfashionably 30 minutes late. He then proceeded to tell me about his anti-sex Catholic upbringing, his desire for a homemaking wife and his penchant for feet. I am not one to judge people for their fetishes but, correct me if I'm wrong, this defs wasn't a first date talking point.
The date ended with a somewhat unwanted sloppy kiss beside my parents' van in the parking lot, and a strong desire to never see this human being again. Turns out, he had other plans. I'd let it slip where I worked, which was a fair distance from where I met him and where he lived. A week later, he appeared at my place of employment… for a—wait for it—interview. He reached a whole new level of creep. Once he got hired, I requested shift times that did not overlap with his. Eventually, he got fired for harassing a client, which I warned my boss about at the time. Hate to say I told you so, but… JK, I love it.—Meaghan
Date rating: 1/10 (the tea he bought me was good, so the "1" is for Timothy's)
The guy who wanted one thing…
When I was 17, this guy from the high school across town would not stop texting me. I wasn't super into him, but when you're 17, WTF do you know? (I'm 22 now, so I consider myself extremely wise without anything left to learn #JustKidding). Anyway, this dude kept asking me to hang out at his house—which I was not at all interested in—so I switched it up and asked him to meet me at the local coffee shop. I figured, this way, I could see if he was down to talk or if he just wanted to hookup. Unsurprisingly, it was the latter. He texted that something abruptly "came up" when I'd already been at the meeting spot for 30 minutes. The kicker? We went to the same party a few weeks later, and he a) acted like nothing had happened, and b) tried to make a move. Gross, huh? —Meghan
Date rating: 5/10, because even though it didn't happen, I'm sure it would've been weird
The guy who wanted to reinvent the dishwasher and hang with Obama
After online dating for a while, I was so over exchanging endless text messages before actually making plans for a first date. Instead, if a dude seemed to have decent spelling and a job, I was down to meet up and decide in-person if there was something there. I set up one such first date at the pub down the street from my house. In the hour leading up to the date, my phone would not. stop. buzzing. "I'm driving to the subway station," my date wrote. Fifteen minutes later: "I'm getting on the subway." Twenty minutes later: "I'm getting off the station." Two minutes later: "I'm walking up the street." Cool story bro, just get here.
And then he did—wearing grey sweatpants and a Bob Marley t-shirt. We sat down in a booth and he immediately starting talking about everything from his childhood to his job. I started ordering doubles. Clear that this wasn't going to be a two-way conversation, I went into interview mode. He mentioned that he was an inventor at heart, and that one day, he was going to be so successful that he would be in a photo with the then-U.S. president Barack Obama, pointing at his new bud and saying, "Yeahhh, this guy!"
OK, so what are some ideas you have for inventions? I asked. He proceeded to tell me about how he wanted to revolutionize the typical kitchen, constructing a wall with a variety of different sized slots in it. Each slot corresponds to a particular type of plate or bowl (Note: the related dishes had to be bought separately from the kitchen reno, but as he explained, that would be a "one-time purchase"). After eating on these dishes, the user would put it into the appropriate slot where it would go into the wall, get washed, dried and put away. And he called it the "T-Wash" because his name was Trevor. THIS IS A DISHWASHER BUT SO, SO MUCH WORSE.
When T-Wash, as he has now become known, got up to go to the bathroom, I texted my friends to tell them the date was a dud. They agreed to meet me at the subway station and when T came back, I informed him that I had to get going. "Well, this was fun, when can I see you again?" he said. "Um, thanks but never?" I responded, trying to catch our server's eye (I wasn't about to stick him with the bill for my drinks after a short AF date that ended with me bailing). For some reason, even though we were basically the only ones in the bar, the server took her sweet time coming over to us and as a result, I had to sit there and, at T's request, explain why I wasn't down for date numero dos. (Fun fact: It turns out that he changed from his work clothes into sweatpants because I "seemed like an easy-going chick.")
As soon as my debit payment went through, I waved goodbye and booked it out of the bar. It was only when I was recounting this story to my friends later that night that we realized, T was stoned the entire time.—Ishani
The guy who lived for a thrill
In the summer between my third and fourth year of university, I went on the worst date ever. After a night out, we were heading back to his (read: parents') place and stopped into a bagel shop for drunk food. After ordering, he said "watch this" and proceeded to steal a package of smoked salmon from the fridge and put it in his coat. I was too scared to do anything, so I quietly waited for my food and got out of there ASAP. The rest of the walk back was spent listening to him talk about how he and his friends always do that between shovelling pieces of smoked salmon in his mouth. I was SO ready for bed by the time we got to his house, but JK there was no bed for me and apparently not even a couch. Instead, he led me to a sleeping bag wedged between a treadmill and a toy box in a basement that looked like it was straight out of a horror movie. I obviously couldn't shut my eyes and I debated leaving to sleep in my car… but I was too afraid I'd wake his parents. —Erinn
Date rating: 3/10 because the bagel (which I paid for, BTW) was pretty damn good
Bad boyfriends
The guy who couldn't keep it out of his pants
I was in my early 20s when I dated a much-older dude who swept me off my feet despite countless red flags, like excessive drinking and the hydro he "borrowed" from his building's hallway via excessively long and obtrusive extension cords. We dated for a couple of months until I was unceremoniously ghosted. Keep in mind, the trauma of an early-aughts ghosting was far more severe than present-day ghosting because you couldn't keep tabs on an ex via social media: If you didn't bump into them IRL or sad gal-call them, they were legit gone.
I moved on and eventually my roommates and I moved to a new apartment where we decided to make some extra drinking money by holding an impromptu yard sale. We set up piles of stuff on our curb and I decided it was high time to pull out the "ex file," a.k.a., the box of his junk that I'd had moved from one apartment to the next in the tragic hope that he'd call someday for a do-over. A passerby giddily snapped up his Polo Ralph Lauren pyjama pants for a cool $2 before returning minutes later with a look of pure shock on her face. She handed me the pants and asked me to look inside. There it was, on one of the last artifacts of our crappy relationship: a shart stain. I wordlessly gave the woman her toonie back, threw the soiled jammies in a sewer and collapsed in laughter with my two best friends. And to think I always hoped he'd get his shit together.—Jenn
Date rating: 0/10 for literally being the shittiest boyfriend ever
The guy who was just an ass
We'd been dating for about a year and, admittedly, I had gained bit of weight. I went over to his house to hang out, as you do when you're 17 and have zero income, and after watching literally hours of him play Xbox, I was hungry (GOD FORBID). I went for a handful of cheese puffs to which he replied, "Exactly how much weight have you gained?" Mother f-cker. I WISH I had replied: "180 lbs of asshole." —Alanna
Date rating: –180/10
The guy who wouldn't take the fall
I went to university on the east coast in my mom's hometown, and she would occasionally drive out from Ottawa to visit me and the rest of her family. One spring, she made the trip in my dad's brand new, super shiny Cadillac, but didn't want to do the return trip. So, she flew back, and my then-boyfriend and I decided we would take on the 17-hour journey. Everything was going totally fine, until one particular pit stop. I went into a cheese shop in Quebec, solo, and came out to find him scratching at the hood of the car with the back of the keys. I asked him what the hell he was doing, and he said he was trying to get bird poop off of the hood. Like, fine, but with the back of the keys?! Needless to say, he left a pretty noticeable mark in the paint, and we spent the rest of the drive stressing about how we were going to fix it and what we were going to say to my dad who was waiting for us in Ottawa. Fun side note: my dad was about to meet this boyfriend for the first time. We ended up deciding that I would take the fall, because my dad had to love me, you know? When I told him, he asked me how I could be so stupid. "I honestly have no idea," was my response. Eight years later, and three years after the end of that relationship, I finally told my dad it wasn't me… but he said he knew all along.—Tara
Date rating: 3/10—only because it made for a good story
The guy who was a hot, drunk, poetry-loving mess
Let me preface this story by disclosing that this experience happened during a dark, dark period of my love life.
I was walking into a dive bar with a friend on a chilly Saturday night a few Decembers ago when she bumped into a co-worker outside. Her co-worker was with a group of his pals, and one of them was particularly intoxicated and tragic: he introduced himself to me by revealing he had just been dumped. I was trying to be polite and made small talk about how relationships are the worst la la la la. If that wasn't enough of an overshare, he then said he was really into poetry (?), and started reciting a monologue from the Leonardo DiCaprio version of Romeo and Juliet, in what I assume was an attempt to woo me. Please keep in mind NONE of this was prompted as I had legit just met this dude on the sidewalk.
I still cannot understand why on Earth I gave this man my number, but before we parted ways, I forked over my digits. In the second stupid move of this story, after he texted me, I agreed to go on a date with this weirdo. I invited him to meet me at a New Year's party a friend was hosting at a venue. Like the time we first met, he showed up drunk. Now realizing the mistake I had made, I excused myself to the washroom and left him at the bar. As I was leaving the washroom, I heard a huge scuffle and saw bodies jumping in to break up a fight. I ran to see what was going on and LO AND FREAKIN' BEHOLD my date was being dragged off another partygoer. Naturally, the party's bouncers kicked him out. I wish getting booted out of a bar was enough to turn me away, but like I said, it was a dark time in my life. We went on a few more dates until he ditched our dinner plans last minute because "he had a stain on his pants and needed to wash them."
I'm happy to say we no longer speak. —Laura
Date rating: 2/10 (I love Leo)
"Why I'm Giving Up Dating Men and Just Staying Home"
Three Types of Guys I've Met Dating Online as a Single Trans Woman
It's Tough Being Black on Tinder, But I'm Not Giving Up
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Atlas and the Anchor
3 Songs: On Repeat (Extended Edition)
David Byrne – "This Is That" (The art-pop icon returns after fourteen years with a new solo album, American Utopia, out today on Todomundo / Nonesuch Records. On this standout single, a collaboration with Oneohtrix Point Never, Byrne remains as creative as ever, blending Chinese folk instruments with Gospel over top an echoing electronic beat. Elsewhere, Byrne delivers big statements on current social issues as only he can, with interesting production assistance from with longtime collaborator Brian Eno as well as producers Doveman, Jack Peñate, Jam City and others for one of his best solo efforts.)
Stream: https://youtu.be/my2lboGXQ7I
Matthew Ryan – "Hustle Up Starlings (Unadorned)" (Hot on the heels of last year's Hustle Up Starlings - an album that seamlessly veered from beautifully melancholic piano-led balladry to shimmering, atmospheric guitar-rock and was produced by and featured Brian Fallon of The Gaslight Anthem - Matthew Ryan has just released Starlings Unadorned A Collection Of Acoustic Versions, Demos & Previously Unreleased Songs. The compilation features several stripped-down, "unadorned" versions of Starlings songs that reveal Ryan's greatest strengths: his gruff baritone voice and stellar songwriting. Also included are three previously unreleased songs in their demo form. Stream the beautiful and poignant unadorned version of the title track below.) https://matthewryan.bandcamp.com/album/starlings-unadorned-a-collection-of-acoustic-versions-demos-previously-unreleased-songs
Stream: https://matthewryan.bandcamp.com/track/hustle-up-starlings-unadorned
Dick Stusso – "Getting Loose" (Dick Stusso is the moniker of Oakland singer-songwriter Nic Russo. As Stusso, Russo opines about money and mortality as he effortlessly combines country-leaning, Roy Orbison-like rock and roll with T. Rex-esque glam-rock on his excellent sophomore album, In Heaven, out now on Hardly Art. The album was recorded and produced in an old church by psych-rock songwriter and producer Greg Ashley and the strutting standout single heard here is the perfect introduction to Dick Stusso's sound.) http://smarturl.it/dickstusso
Stream: https://soundcloud.com/hardlyartrecords/dick-stusso-getting-loose
Joey Dosik – "Game Winner" (The L.A. based singer/songwriter/multi-instrumentalist and producer with the golden voice recently released an expanded reissue of his debut EP, Game Winner, via Secretly Canadian. Previously, Dosik has collaborated with jazz-funk outfit Vulfpeck, Nikka Costa and others and originally recorded the EP in 2015 while holed up after a knee surgery and self-released the year after. On the EP he pays homage to both the game of basketball and classic 60's soul music. The deluxe edition adds on four more tracks to the 6-track EP including newly-issued bonus tracks and remixes.) https://joeydosik.bandcamp.com/album/game-winner
Stream: https://soundcloud.com/joeydosik/game-winner
Hibou – "Fall Into" (Seattle multi-instrumentalist Peter Michel recently released the second album with his experimental project on Barsuk Records, titled, Something Familiar. Stepping out of the bedroom and into the studio for the first time, the new album is highlighted by a bump in fidelity to better showcase the songs that have been perfectly crafted with a full sound that incorporate electronics and 80's-loving synth-pop, blissful dream-pop alongside danceable beats and memorable melodies. Check out the lite funk and shimmering synths of the standout track heard here.) https://www.barsuk.com/artists/hibou
Stream: https://soundcloud.com/hibouband/fall-into
Stay Inside – "Your Guardsmen Swarm Like Locusts" (The multi-cultural Brooklyn post-hardcore outfit recently released their new EP, The Sea Engulfs Us and the Light Goes Out, via Old Press Records. The emerging quartet combines heady, socially-conscious lyrics with intricate math-rock rhythms, emo-punk guitar riffs and fiery scream-along hooks that feel instantly familiar yet of their own.) http://music.oldpressrecords.com/album/the-sea-engulfs-us-and-the-light-goes-out
Stream: http://music.oldpressrecords.com/track/your-guardsmen-swarm-like-locusts
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Archers Review celebrated it's first birthday last month, while we officially launched on January 1st this year we took our first steps on to the web back on the 15th October last year. Over 250 reviews and articles, 10 magazine issues, 1058 images, a couple of hundred thousand visits and many miles later Steve, Geoff and I find ourselves with a site we are hugely proud of. Some of you may have noticed that the monthly magazine has changed so that it now refers to Issues rather than a specific month, we were finding that the pressure to release a magazine each and every month mean that some were longer than others and rather than release a huge one or a smaller one it would be better to release them once we had something to say.
Well this time we really do have something to say and the burden has fallen on Geoff as he was the one out and about. We were very pleased to give our support to the James Whale Kidney Foundation shoot which we cover in this months magazine. We were also contacted by Lars Pilø with news on the archery related finds on Jovfonna, and while we couldn't get out there ourselves Lars kindly filled in some background information for us.
Steve has a go at building his own bow and Geoff once again takes us back in time. Now we have gone to a new release schedule you might want to sign up for out magazine email service so that you are the first to know when the magazine is released, there are further details at the bottom if you are interested.
You know what golfers are like. From the first amateurish slash ( and miss ) to some sort of proficiency, they pursue perfection from that moment on with an almost religious zeal. I say this, because it staggers me to find that at the Grove golf club in South Wales (Porthcawl ) the committee agreed to give up members precious game time on a Sunday afternoon for a bunch of archers, in aid of charity, to wander around their course shooting arrows into their hallowed fairways. In all my years in archery I have never had the opportunity to shoot archery golf on an actual golf course, the obvious reasons being that the members would object to give up their play so that strangers with an even stranger game would shoot big holes in the sacred turf, or, heaven forbid, set fire to it.
Ah! but we reckoned without the redoubtable James Whale and his assistants, Welsh beauties, JoAnne and Claire Popham to come up trumps. They organised what they hope will be an annual event to aid the charity, James Whale Kidney Cancer Foundation, at the Grove.
What a super event it was too! Wonderfully organised.
JoAnne had e mailed the participants and asked us to arrive by 1pm, meet in the clubhouse (sumptuous) for pre match coffee, have a get together and listen to an explanation of the rules by James. This was duly done, with all the participants having arrived by 1.30. Shoot off was at 2pm. I, by the way, met two old friends from my Co of Sixty days, Mike Hobbs and John Petit, not seen them for years, so it was an excellent re-union and for me, happily set the whole tone for the day.
The weather, I am glad to say was behaving itself, the cloud having risen somewhat and leaving a grey blustery day with the sun, unsuccessfully, doing it's darndest to get through. Rendezvous was at the first tee, 19 of us had English longbows, ( James had a recurve) although the Welsh lads from Margam and Cymric archers would say theirs were Welsh, just to be awkward.
After lining up for a group photograph, James then gave a very moving speech on the Cancer foundation he has set up giving its aims and ambitions, the sterling help he gets from JoAnne and Claire. The raising of money and awareness concerning this type of cancer, with every kind of event one could think of, one of which was jumping from 12,000 feet ( parachute provided ). The next event, I believe is the Presidents dinner at the House of Lords and then in mid October, Britain's biggest curry party. Look it up, go, they are fun and in a brilliant cause.
Graham Anderson from Margam Archers gave the safety code talk and after a moving tribute to friends lately succumbed to cancer, accompanied by a minutes silence, we were off.
First flag at around the 130 yds mark ( roving marks ) and shooting into a very stiff breeze, judging flight was awkward. The standard was good, although James with his recurve was tending to overshoot somewhat, given its power, much to the amusement of everyone.
The second was 150yds ish, which was a general rule for the first 9 holes, which seemed to pass very quickly, we shot into a stiff wind that came off the sea, obviously changing direction as did the course, giving some very tricky shots, the shortest distance being around 100yds. James took the walk of shame for landing in the bunkers (twice ). His problem, if one could call it a problem, was that he had a rather special little bow. I had observed its exceptional beauty and speed as we progressed around the course. He told me that he had given Chris Boyton ( very well known bow maker ) a piece of yew and asked him to make him a flatbow from it. I have never seen anything so pretty, limbs heavily recurved at the tips and backed with bamboo, the yew riser fashioned ergonomically to fit his grip and finished beautifully to the very high standard we at Archers Review have come to expect from Boyton Archery. (My advice to James was, when he was next in Canterbury, take it down to Steve at Robin Hood Events, join him for a master class, tune the bow up, match the arrows and bring out the bow's full potential). To his credit he took the advice and banter, which was just about nonstop, in good part, the witticisms making the day funny and very enjoyable, stopped things from becoming too serious. On the sixth Nick Cox, Co of Sixty, shot the equivalent in golf of teeing off from the 9th and the ball landing on the 10th, 'wrong flag Nick' not a bad shot, but a serious walk of shame. The golf course itself was, as you would expect, broad and undulating, not too far from the coast and the Bristol channel, giving us plenty of opportunity to really stretch the bows on the long par 5's, seeing who could get the furthest with a couple of arrows. Usually James with his wicked little bow sending the shaft over 240yds, sportingly disqualifying himself because of the recurve. Then, down half way along the fairway and another couple at the target, varying it, keeping everything interesting. JoAnne was doing good work as the scorer and taking everything in her stride, never losing her sense of humour at the good natured teasing. Toward the end, both ladies, Claire and JoAnne decided that they wished to have a go at shooting the longbow. John Petit of Co of sixty, gave them instruction by virtue of the fact that he was pretty swift on his feet and got there first.
We thought that his instructing the ladies cheek to cheek, was unnecessary.
So after nearly three hours of really good shooting and the clubhouse not too far away, no one wanted JoAnne to read out the scores any more, as she had been doing throughout, just that little bit extra spice to see who would win in the end, the prizes to be won were not shabby. One of the last flags was in a small bunker and we had to drop the arrows into the sand to score, two archers managed it, which was pretty good shooting from 120yds. Judging what was in fact a shadowy dip in the ground with just the top of the flag showing was exceptionally difficult, full marks to Graham Anderson, the course layer for keeping things keen. It's 5 pm the last hole has been shot, for extra amusement, some more shooting into another bunker, just to round things off. It's always the same when you are having fun, you just do not want it to stop.
Back in the very comfortable surroundings of the clubhouse we headed for the bar, JoAnne, Claire and James went into a huddle to work out the scores, their work not yet done, we sat content sipping our ale. Outside the rain came down, because we had just missed it only added to our feeling of contentment of a day well spent.
The curry, a mild chicken, with rice and or chips was served in the dining area, very good it was too, just right for the end of a bracing day.
James stood to announce the winner, A Welshman, John Hopkins with 77 and presented him with a war arrow made by Richard Head ( a particularly good example ). 2nd was Nick Cox ( source of much of the witty banter ) £15 voucher and 3rd Graham Anderson of Margam archers £10 in vouchers. Good shooting lads, it was not easy. Your humble reporter won a bottle of Cabernet Sauvignon in the raffle, so he was happy.
Rounding off the evening James gave a speech thanking everyone for their participation and hoped that it would be repeated next year. Gave a little more information on the charity and what they hoped for its future, which I think is absolutely brilliant, especially as James himself is a survivor of kidney cancer and is doing everything he and his assistant JoAnne can do to ensure continued funding. It's people power!
JoAnne has Emailed me and has reported that the profit for the day going toward the fund was £300.
Archers Review is dedicated to carrying on the great tradition of sharing archery knowledge, in many ways we are still re-discovering the skills of our forefathers, unlike just about any other competitive sport, in archery the learning never stops, as we grow as archers the enjoyment increases, so we invite you to share with us all the skills, tips and hints that will help us all to be the best archer we can be.
If you have something to add feel free to mail in your articles, it can be on any aspect of archery from training to bow set up, a quick hunting tip or a specific archery question you would like to know the answer to, someone somewhere will have an answer for you.


It took almost 20 days, but the last state, Michigan, was finally called for Trump on Monday November 28th.
Clinton 232 Trump 306, a 74 electoral vote win for Trump.
This site's final update predicted that the result would be somewhere between a 210 electoral vote win for Clinton and a 66 electoral vote win for Trump, with the "expected" result being an 8 electoral vote win for Clinton.
Obviously I was wrong. Not just on the winner, but the result didn't even come in within the "range of the reasonably possible" that I listed. A range which had seemed overly broad before the election. A 66 electoral vote win for Trump (or a 210 electoral vote win for Clinton) seemed like a complete fantasy. Yet Trump exceeded that margin.
Having said that, the "expected result" was actually closer than almost all electoral vote trackers out there. So I actually did about as well as could have been done given the raw data that was available. So the raw output of my model on Election Graphs was pretty good. Perhaps I could have picked a bit wider window for the "swing" states than 5%, but 5% was generally reasonable. Although of course I wish I had gotten everything exactly right like I did in 2012, I am happy with how my model performed. I may make tweaks for 2020, but I will not dramatically change what I do with the model itself in 2020.
I do fault myself however for some of how I interpreted that data in my analysis posts, most critically I concentrated too much on the "Expected Case" and the "Tipping Point" metrics, and not enough on the full range of variation between the best cases. Like most electoral college trackers, this led me to minimize the chances of Trump's win because "he has never led the race and isn't ahead now" while essentially ignoring the fact that while that was true, he spent most of the last 100 days close enough that a systematic polling error or significant movement in the last few days could erase Clinton's lead. Both seem to have happened. My model was spitting out the "Trump Best Case" the whole time, but for the most part, I downplayed the best cases. That was a mistake.
Lets dig in and look at the details.
Warning in advance, the remainder of this post is likely only to be of interest to "data geek" type folks. If that isn't you, feel free to stop now… or just skip down to the "thank you" section at the end. If you are the data geek type, dive in with me to a lengthy discussion of the details and what lessons they may provide for 2020.
If you prefer listening to reading, or just want to hear about this in another way, I also discussed much of what I am now including in the post mortem in the November 11th episode of the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.
How did I do state by state?
So there were 4 places where I erred toward Clinton and 1 where I erred toward Trump.
Of these, four were in the "weak" category, with margins in my averages of 2.6% or less. They were in my too close to call categories, and while I would have liked to have gotten more right, my model did indeed say they could easily go either way.
The only big surprise here was Wisconsin. The polling average had Clinton up by 7.1%, but Trump won anyway. There is nothing to say there other than the polling was way off in Wisconsin. Way off. I'm sure much will be written about why that was the case.
A state that I hadn't even classified as a swing state going the opposite direction as expected is obviously how the final result was able to end up completely outside of the expected range. Wisconsin going for Trump was simply not contemplated. All the other states that went for Trump were within the range of options this site identified as plausible.
Of course, there were other states that I did not get wrong, but the margin was still off by more than expected. That is a different kind of analysis that I won't do today.
How did I do on the overall result?
First of all, I guess I am permitted to toot my own horn a bit. While I did not predict a Clinton victory, I came closer to the final result than all but one of the outlets above. That is something, right?
That over with, I was still quite a ways off.
I should also point out that the above is ONLY due to changes added with polls that came out on the day before election day. My very last update on election day itself had the 8 EV Clinton margin. But the update before that, on Sunday, had me at 108 electoral votes, right there with so many others. Indeed, because I had been in broad agreement with so many other outlets, and my final update caused me to deviate quite a bit, I included caveats in my last update basically saying I didn't believe it, there were probably outliers impacting the data, and my Sunday numbers were probably better.
Now, frankly, the swing on the last day may well have just been dumb luck. Random noise happening to go in the right direction. But it also could have been an indicator of the actual movement. Right or wrong, given I had been using a fixed methodology all election season, I should have stuck with it fully. After the election, if I was wrong, I could and should use that to learn for the next election cycle. But I started making excuses because I was not matching all the other election trackers. I should not have done this, I should have taken the results I was seeing seriously, and should have based my commentary on that.
Maine CD2, Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina, Florida, and Iowa are all within 2% at the moment. They could still go either way based on the current averages. That is enough to swing the election. Even more states are within 5%, and they could easily flip as well.
The tipping point is only 1.6% in Pennsylvania. Clinton's lead in Michigan is also only 2.6%. A small last minute surge too late to be caught in polls, or a small polling error, could easily flip either or both of these states, and thus the election.
Clinton is ahead, she is the expected winner, but since early October things have been trending toward Trump, with only a brief interruption after the third debate and before the Comey letter.
The race is now very close. While Clinton is still favored, the bottom line is there is a reasonable chance this could go either way.
But I did not say that. And the reason was primarily because in that final update, I looked like an outlier, and I therefore didn't believe what my own model said, specifically in terms of just how close it really was.
Which brings us to the next lesson.
Obviously 5% is an arbitrary number, which conveniently is a nice round number too, but between possible polling error, and possible last minute swings that happen to close to election day to be reflected in polls, 5% seems reasonable. A 5% last minute swing in response to news events is a bit large, but perfectly possible. Similarly a 5% polling error is a bit large, but possible. And my model only looks at the margin between the two major candidates, it does not explicitly account for the group of undecided voters, they could also possibly swing a result by that much in some cases. 5% seems as good a place to draw this line as any.
For almost all of the last 100 days of the race, we were in the "could go either way" zone. The exceptions were short periods in August, right around the Access Hollywood tape release, and right before the Comey letter. The rest of the time we had a close race.
Yes, Clinton was ahead the whole time. Yes, Trump had never actually led in my model. But we were within my own self-defined "this is close enough we can't trust this" margin. This was a close race. And yes, there was a "ceiling" for Trump, but that ceiling was within the margin of error for this kind of model.
I let myself think mostly about the center line of the model, and not as much about the "best cases". At least toward the end of the campaign cycle. I had convinced myself based on looking at other people's models that my best cases were probably too extreme. Perhaps useful 6 months out to reflect how much things could change over many months, but certainly too wide in the last couple of weeks or days.
But even if I'd set my thresholds at 2% instead of 5%, my last couple of updates would have shown it too close to call. At 3% it would have been my last three updates. This was close by my own definition of close, and my updates minimized that. They should not have.
On the Sunday before the election my post was titled "Trump Surge Sputtering Out?". While the next update did indicate Trump had made the race close again, that was the post full of caveats about how I didn't really believe the data.
The "looks like Trump has topped out" call was indeed premature. There was indeed mixed data. Clinton was improving on some metrics. But all within the realm that could have been noise. The overall trend was still toward Trump. There was no definitive reversal at that point, as the very next update showed, or would have if I had trusted my own data. If I had, I would have said that last update showed that the trend toward Trump had continued, and had made the race once again very close.
After the August shakeup, Trump maintained discipline and made it very close by late September (or possibly he was leading if the same polling errors that existed at the end of the race were present then too).
The first debate caused Trump to crater. Clinton's margin grew rapidly.
Trump started recovering almost exactly when the Access Hollywood tapes came out. Far from hurting him, the media pile on about how this was probably the end of Trump's campaign seems if anything to have rallied people to him.
After the third debate, there is evidence that people were starting to move away from Trump again, his "best case" was once again a loss. But this didn't last long.
After the Comey letter the movement toward Trump (or away from Clinton) resumed. This trend continued up until the last pre-election polls.
In between those there was a bunch of movement, and I pointed out some of them as trends. Many were noise. When you are looking at a jaggy signal full of noise, it is hard to determine where to start saying something is a real trend rather than random movement. Maybe even the trends I called out above are illusions. But it is clear I should have been more conservative in calling out trends before they were dramatic enough to know with a decent amount of certainty that they were not just noise.
There is no time left for a Trump comeback from behind win from these levels. It would take something massive that would completely reverse everything we know about this race so far. It would be an unprecedented reversal. Impossible? No. Incredibly unlikely? Yes.
A few weeks ago Trump had managed to make this race close. But it was short-lived. Starting with the debate he has been dropping steadily. We don't yet have signs that we have hit bottom either. There have been new negative stories about Trump almost every day. Further drops would not be surprising.
We're no longer really talking about who will win this election. Clinton will win this election. The only question is by how much.
Now, it WAS the biggest comeback in the history of American presidential races in terms of how different the outcome was compared to polling at that time given how little time was left. And I had caveats that it wasn't impossible. But still, that last paragraph completely dismissing the possibility of a Trump comeback was flat out wrong. It was clearly putting way too much stock in the trend at that moment, and not taking into consideration how little it would take to put Trump's best case back into the win column.
Indeed, at the time of the comment we'd just seen polls move just about 6% in Clinton's direction in just a couple of weeks, showing that rapid movement in the polls was very possible. There was plenty of volatility. Plenty of room for movement. A 6% move in the opposite direction in the 26 remaining days should not have been dismissed out of hand.
Save the "it is over" comments until it is actually over. Things can change a lot in just a small amount of time if the right things happen in the course of a campaign. And they did.
I think those were the main lessons, but there were a few others too that will also inform my choices going forward for 2020.
Third Parties: Although he faded in the last weeks, for awhile McMullin was getting lots of individual polls showing him in 2nd place, or even 1st place in Utah. Johnson came in 2nd in two other individual polls in some states earlier in the cycle as well. The way my site is currently structured, it does not deal properly with 3rd party candidates who are actually doing strongly enough to have a shot at 2nd place or better. I had a high level plan in my head (but nowhere else) for how to revamp my site to deal with this situation, but by the time McMullin surged it was too late to implement it. This may or may not end up mattering in 2020, but I should adjust the site so it can handle these situations from the beginning, so if it does arise, I don't end up scrambling to deal with it.
Concentration on the margin: Everything on Election Graphs presents things in terms of the Republican minus Democrat margin. Not only does this break down in the 3rd party case mentioned above, but it also fails to give any way to represent how big the undecided group is and how that might matter. It also can't differentiate between one candidate gaining, and the other losing ground. Both show up similarly in the margin, but the interpretation for what is happening in the race is different. I think the margin view is very useful, but there is a need to also see the lines for the individual candidates, so I should consider showing that as well.
Outliers: There were persistent outliers from some pollsters. The case that comes most easily to mind is Google Consumer Surveys persistently saying that Clinton had not just a lead but a big lead… in Kansas. This was ridiculous, and luckily most of the time there were enough other polls in Kansas to keep me from constantly saying Kansas was a possible Clinton pick up. I only said that a couple times, and each time I noted that I didn't believe it. But it always made Kansas look closer than it really was. Even without the Kansas case, outliers introduced volatility where there wasn't any in a variety of states, or pushed the average in one direction or another. I need a better way to minimize the impact of outliers. There are a variety of options. I should look into them.
Poll Selection: There were a number of cases over the course of the year where there were polls of dubious quality. There was also sometimes a question of "is this a poll, or is it a model?". Or if a pollster was releasing results selectively to favor one side or the other. This site's bias is to include as much as possible, so I included almost everything. Next time, I need to have clear written guidelines in advance of what gets included and what does not, and I need to stick to it.
Tracking Polls: Because I base my averages (usually) on "the last five polls" once certain outlets started releasing polls daily, they have the power to completely take over the averages, especially in lesser polled states. This time around I countered this by including only one poll per week from these tracking polls. This solution is not ideal though, as I am clearly ignoring data that might be useful. I need to come up with a solution that can properly deal with tracking polls, incorporating the data they provide, while not improperly weighting them vs the one off polls.
Odds: With a race that is close like this one, everybody started looking at the "% chance of winning" not just the expected electoral college results. This is understandable. My model provides absolutely nothing along those lines at the moment. The accurate interpretation of my model would have just been "Sorry, can't tell you who will win, too close to call!" for most of the last 100 days. To do odds right, I would have to do a real simulation of some sort, like many other people do. But many other people already do that, and do it well. What would I add? I could fake a "percentage chance" based on the model I do have. I could just give what percentage of the "bubble" between the two best cases had each candidate winning. In the case of my final data for this election, that would have shown a 76.1% chance of a Clinton win and a 23.9% chance of a Trump win. That would have put me in between the percentages FiveThirtyEight and ElectionBettingOdds were giving. Of course it would not actually be "odds" in the mathematical sense. It was not calculated in a way that should be called odds. But it is a percentage. And people would probably interpret it as odds. It would also be quite volatile. On the Sunday before the election I would actually have had Trump's "odds" even higher at 34.8%. A couple weeks earlier I would have had Trump at 0%. People seem to really like having a "% to win" number, I do too. But would putting a number like this just be completely misleading?
It would have been nice to get 56/56 again. But none of the election trackers that I follow did, and my final results were actually better than all but one of them. So on the whole, I think 2016 came off about as good as it could have given that everybody shared the same underlying data. From what I understand, even Trump's internal polling predicted he would lose, and his win was a surprise to his own team.
So I did pretty well, and I had fun. And really, I do it because it is fun for me. This site does not make me money, it costs me money. And time. Lots of time. So it is important that I have fun with it, and I did.
But also thank you to all the people out there who have been following me.
This site does not have the traffic of the "big guys" of course, but there were still a bunch of you out there.
Page views for the site (including both ElectionGraphs.com proper and abulsme.com where these blog posts live) peaked at 23,097 on November 8th (UTC). Unique visitors peaked on November 9th (UTC) at 11,268. And although a few have dropped off since the election, we peaked at 2,334 likes on the Facebook page, 215 followers of the low-volume summary only @ElectionGraphs twitter account, and 405 followers of the @ElecCollPolls twitter account that tweeted out every single new poll as I added them. There were even six people who donated money to the cause through my tip jar in the time since I added it a number of months ago.
A few of you have also made it over to the current events podcast Curmudgeon's Corner podcast which I do with my cohost Ivan. If you haven't, check it out. It is more of an opinionated discussion rather than the kind of straight "here are the facts" kind of analysis here, but we think it is fun and interesting too.
These numbers are big for me, but very small compared to the professionals who do this, or even some of the other amateurs.
None the less, while of course there have been trolls saying my analysis was bought and paid for by Clinton or that the numbers were made up, or whatever, there have also been quite a few people who have written in or left comments to say they really appreciate the site, or who have engaged with me in substantive discussion on the analysis or methods. I really appreciate this positive engagement.
I am so glad that the site was useful and interesting to you in this election season. It makes the time and effort I spent much more rewarding than if I was simply putting this out there and nobody was looking.
And of course thank you to my wife Brandy, daughter Amy, and son Alex for putting up with the many, many hours of my time that this has taken up over the last two years, and especially the last 9 months, that I probably should have been spending with them. I appreciate it so much.
One last time to everybody… Thank you!
There will probably be one last post in December after the electoral college meets to report on the actual official results, including faithless electors if there are any. And maybe a post looking at actual state margins vs the last polling averages in each state sometime before that.
But other than those, Election Graphs will now go dormant for awhile. We'll see you again for real once we start seeing polls for 2020!
1,436.7 days until polls close on Election day 2020. Stay tuned!


Watch The Muppet Movie online in HD quality and free on Tornado Movies!
Actors Of "The Muppet Movie"
Characters Of "The Muppet Movie"
Played by: Lawrence Gabriel Jr.
Creators of "The Muppet Movie"
Director of "The Muppet Movie"
Critics Of "The Muppet Movie"
August 13, 2013 With his Muppets, Henson found a balance between fuzzy post-hippie positivism and self-deprecating wit, and he added in the same quality that made many of the era's cultural phenomena so charming: simple problem-solving.
May 06, 2008 The transition from the yank-'em-off-if-they-bomb lunacy of the TV show to the coherent narration of the film is not a complete success.
June 01, 2015 With charm for the kids and in-jokes for their parents (when Kermit's bicycle gets mangled, he quips, "I thought I was gone with the Schwinn"), Muppet creator Jim Henson tries to give everybody a little something.
May 09, 2005 There's always room in movies for unbridled amiability when it's governed by intelligence and wit.
August 02, 2013 'The Muppet Movie' is one big road trip, and like 'The Blues Brothers' there's a payoff not just at the end, but around nearly every corner. Music only sweetens the deal.
May 06, 2008 Jim Henson, Muppet originator, and Frank Oz, creative consultant, have abandoned the successful format of their vidshow, and inserted their creations into a well-crafted combo of musical comedy and fantasy adventure.
June 01, 2015 Jolson sang, Barrymore spoke, Garbo laughed, and now Kermit the Frog rides a bicycle... If you can figure out how they were able to show Kermit pedaling across the screen, then you are less a romantic than I am: I prefer to believe he did it himself.
February 09, 2006 Slapstick chases and weak movie references look tired, while the attitude towards Miss Piggy and Camilla the Chicken is, well, less than progressive.
November 25, 2011 This isn't about one sock puppet's search to be all that he can be. It's about a community combining their talents to bring joy to the world.
Gallery Of "The Muppet Movie"


Catastropic Beach Erosion in Hopkins!
The beaches of Hopkins were some of the nicest on the mainland until a week ago. Everyone in Hopkins is used to the ebb and flow of our beaches, at least to some extent. But our beaches were always gorgeous; it was our major selling point!
But beginning a week ago, we began having erosion that was unprecedented in living memory; some areas have lost about twelve feet in the last few days!
Here at Coconut Row, we had a fence 8-10 feet from the water's edge. Half of that fence collapsed about six days ago, leaving the other half standing.
Along with some coconut trees and the rest of our beach..
In a panic, we (the Hopkins Chairman and I) called the Dept of the Environment, who said they stood ready to help us, but that the lead would have to be taken by the Dept of Lands. So we called the Dept of Lands, who told us to send a report. When we insisted that we had no time for that, they asked us to send pictures and they'd get back to us. But the erosion was worsening hourly, and most of our guests left early, or cancelled when they arrived and saw the beach. So we called the BTB (Belize Tourism Board) for assistance in getting someone out to survey the damage. I'm happy to say that the BTB was very helpful, and two people from the Dept. Of the Environment arrived Friday afternoon.
The position of the people from the Dept. Of Environment is that the major cause of the damage is a groyne built by Hopkins Bay. This groyne has been quite controversial already, as it is widely attributed as the reason properties on the north (such as Kismet Inn, North Beach Bar, etc) have lost so much beach over the last few months. But until now, it hadn't hit the main area of the village. So I went and took pictures of the groyn, and I was pretty astounded! Hopkins Bay's beach used to be at the treeline. Look at the ENORMOUS beach they've acquired as a result of the groyne (which is a long pile of small rocks sticking out into the water.) In pacing it, I calculate that they've extended their beach at least 50 feet out into the sea, along a very long area!
Now, here is the difficult part. The Dept. Of Environment says they will recommend immediately that the groyne be removed – but they can't enforce it! Only the Lands Department can order the groyne taken down. And they advised me that, because of politics, it might be difficult, and that without major political intervention, it will probably take long. Hopkins is being destroyed right now; we cannot wait!
We're filling sandbags and placing them in a line along the property about four feet offshore, hoping that, as the waves hit the shore, the material will be prevented from leaving by the sandbags. But we could really use some technical expertise, so if anyone knows how to engineer a beach recovery, please call us at 670-3000!


If you're looking for the next unicorn in Southeast Asia, Zilingo might just be it. The 3.5-year-old e-commerce company announced today that it has raised a Series D round worth $226 million to go after the opportunity to digitize Asia's fashion supply chain. The Series D is provided by existing investors Sequoia India, Singapore sovereign fund Temasek, Germany's Burda and Sofina, a European backer of Flipkart -owned fashion site Myntra.


TALLAHASSEE — Duke Energy Chief Executive Officer Jim Rogers will appear before the Florida Public Service Commission (PSC) at 1:00 p.m., Monday, August 13, to address how the Duke Energy (Duke) and Progress Energy Florida (PEF) merger will impact Florida customers. Rogers replaced former PEF Chief Executive Officer Bill Johnson to head the merged companies.
Discussions will include the Settlement Agreement (Agreement) approved by the PSC in February. The Agreement sets rate continuity for PEF's customers through 2016 and provides a process for ongoing consultation with the Office of Public Counsel (OPC), which represents customers, about the future of the Crystal River Nuclear Unit 3. Parties to the Agreement, now binding on Duke, include PEF, OPC, the Florida Industrial Power Users Group, the Florida Retail Federation, White Springs Agriculture Chemicals, Inc., and the Federal Executive Agencies.


Blackheads may occur anywhere on your body that has sebaceous glands, such as the face, back and chest. Sebaceous glands excrete an oil called sebum to lubricate the skin. Excess sebum and discarded skin cells can clog a pore near these glands, leading to the appearance of large pores and blackheads. A blocked pore or blackhead may become inflected by bacteria, causing a pimple or sebaceous cyst to form. You may use home remedies to clean dead skin and sebum from the face, clean pores and prevent the appearance of pimples.
Bring 3 cups of water to a boil and remove from heat. Combine 2 tsp. of sodium bicarbonate with the boiling water.
Drape a towel over your head and the pot creating a tent to capture the steam. Wait for approximately 10 minutes. The steam will help to loosen the sebum and dead skin cells trapped in your pores.
Wash your face with a gentle facial scrub. Any scrub with an exfoliant will help to remove the material that is clogging your pores.
Combine corn starch and vinegar in roughly equal parts and mix. The consistency should be a paste that will spread easily over your skin, but will also adhere without dripping off. Add more cornstarch if your mixture is too runny, or more vinegar if your mixture is too firm or dry.
Spread the cornstarch and vinegar mixture on your face or other affected areas. Let sit for 15 to 30 minutes. Wash the mixture off your face with warm water.
Combine three tablespoons of honey with one teaspoon of cinnamon to make a sticky paste. Spread thinly over your face or other affected areas before bedtime. Wash your face the following morning with warm water.
What Is the Most Effective Blackhead Remedy?


text:
Q: How can I close or dismiss from an AlertDialog? I have put a ListView into a AlertDialog and I want to close the AlertDialog when I click on the ListView items; how can I do it?
public void createSearchDialog(final String[] Memo){
    LayoutInflater factory = LayoutInflater.from(this);
    View searchView = factory.inflate(R.layout.seach_dialog, null);

    lv = (ListView) searchView.findViewById(R.id.search_list);
    lv.setAdapter(new MyPerformanceArrayAdapter(this, Memo, memo_PW));
    lv.setOnItemClickListener(new AdapterView.OnItemClickListener() {
        public void onItemClick(AdapterView<?> arg0, View view, int position,long arg3) {
            // TODO Auto-generated method stub

                     /// close dialog
        }
    });

    searchBuilder = new AlertDialog.Builder(this);
    searchBuilder.setTitle("Search")
           .setView(searchView)
           .setNegativeButton("Back", new DialogInterface.OnClickListener() {
            public void onClick(DialogInterface arg0, int arg1) {
                // TODO Auto-generated method stub

            }
        })
           .show();
}

A: And from using the app context you can dismiss is by calling dimiss on it.
Application.getProgressDialog().dismiss();

This has to handled in the list view's onItemClick()

A: just grab a pointer to your alertdialog like this
AlertDialog myDialog = searchBuilder.setTitle("Search")
           .setView(searchView)
           .setNegativeButton("Back", new DialogInterface.OnClickListener() {
            public void onClick(DialogInterface arg0, int arg1) {
                // TODO Auto-generated method stub

            }
        }).create();

then later on you can dismiss by calling
myDialog.dismiss()


Well done to the two U9 Girls teams who took part in the Sarsfields Blitz this morning. Both teams played 3 games each.
The girls played consistently across all six games with great performances in defence, attack and teamwork .
Well done to the two U9 Girls teams who played Carbury in the league this morning. Both teams put in great performances with plenty of passing, solos and some great scores.
Well done to the three Mini Moores girls teams who played Kilcullen this morning. The three teams covered girls from U7 to U9.
All teams put on a put on brilliant performances and had great fun. Well done girls!
Well done to the U9 girls team who began their league in Rathangan today. The girls put in a great display of teamwork, skills and kicked some wonderful scores.
Thank you to the parents for their great support.
Copyright © 2019 Ladies Football.


text:
Q: "The string to be decoded is not correctly encoded " error when trying to decode Base64 in JS which has been encoded in Java I have a problem when trying to pass some data from Java to JS.
The original data is of type byte[].
On the Java side I'm using:
byte[] data = some_data;
return Base64.getEncoder().withoutPadding().encodeToString(data)

On the JS side I'm trying to use:
atob(b64Data)
While I do that I'm experiencing the error from the topic:

DOMException: Failed to execute 'atob' on 'Window': The string to be
  decoded is not correctly encoded.

Note: removing .withoutPadding() yields the same result.
My question is, how to rework the code so that the error no longer appears?

A: It appears that the problem in question was with STOMP client over WebSocket/SockJS on Spring side rather than the encoded data itself.
Although the data is sent from the method with signature
 public String getDataForExcelFile
the resulting answer got via the WebSocket looks like this:
FrameImpl {command, headers, ack, binaryBody, body, (...) } so instead of
atob(b64Data) I needed to use atob(b64Data.body).