text:
It's time for Ankara to accept the realities of the Syrian war before it's too late (UPDATED!)
18994 Views February 28, 2020 50 Comments Guest Analyses amarynth
By Aram Mirzaei for the Saker blog
The two months long Syrian Army offensive in the Idlib and Aleppo provinces culminated in Aleppo's complete liberation from the jihadist terrorists of Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS) and their friends. In a matter of weeks, the Syrian Army, backed by the Russian Air Force managed to liberate hundreds of towns and cities across the two provinces, including the important cities or Saraqib and Maarat Al-Numan, while also fully securing the imperative M5 highway stretching from Damascus to Aleppo. These are areas that were considered untouchable only a year ago, but now they have all fallen like bricks, proving that the jihadist resolve is dwindling.
Naturally, tensions with Ankara, a key backer of the jihadist forces, have risen. The Russian-Turkish understanding has deteriorated over the past weeks as both sides accuse eachother of breaking their agreement. The Sochi agreement of 2018 stipulated that a demilitarized zone was to be created in Idlib and Ankara was tasked with separating the "moderate" rebels from HTS militants. After almost 18 months of stalling by the Turkish side and repeated attacks and violations of the agreement by the Jihadist forces, Moscow's and Damascus' patience finally ran out.
I have for long been a critic of these ceasefire deals in Idlib as I consider it a waste of time to negotiate with Jihadists since these are people that consider peace with the kuffars (Russians) and murtadeens (Shias, Alawites) to be a sin. Besides, what would be the purpose of a long term ceasefire with them? The Syrian jihadists will never participate in a political settlement, while the foreign jihadists have no right to be in Syria in the first place.
The jihadists have for long declared that they will not rest until the Syrian government is overthrown anyways. When two sides have such fundamental differences that can never be reconciled, there is no point in even trying. The reality is that the Syrian Army and the jihadists are locked in a battle of annihilation, no side can live comfortably as long as the other side still exists. Yes, the ceasefire deals were beneficial for a while in 2017 when the Syrian Army had the opportunity to shift focus from Idlib to central and eastern Syria in their campaign against the so called "Islamic State". With Daesh defeated, the jihadists in Idlib were not just weakened but also isolated since the Syrian Army no longer had to fight on two fronts in the Aleppo and Hama provinces. While the Russian entry into the war in 2015, spelled disaster for the jihadists, the fall of Daesh as a territorial entity made it even more clear that the jihadist defeat was inevitable.
Still Ankara has thrown all its weight behind the jihadists, even going as far as threatening to launch an offensive to push back the Syrian Army gains. So far, Ankara has sent massive convoys to Idlib and set up new "observation posts" across the region and helped the jihadists to launch counter offensives on Saraqib- there are pictures and videos showing HTS militants using Turkish military vehicles, while Moscow also caught Turkish forces providing artillery cover to the jihadists. Moscow has responded by reassuring their commitment to stand by the Syrian Army and joined the Syrian Air Force in bombing the jihadists, striking Turkish forces embedded with them as well. Tensions rose to alarming levels when several Turkish soldiers were killed in Moscow's bombings, naturally Ankara blamed Damascus rather than admitting that Moscow punished Ankara for crossing the line. Yet Erdogan continues to threaten Syria by demanding the Syrian Army withdraws from all liberated areas by the end of February.
It remains to be seen whether Ankara will make good on its promise of launching an offensive on Idlib, but history teaches us that making strategic moves out of desperation is never a good idea. Ankara is desperate to have the jihadists remaining in Idlib, because Erdogan knows what the other option means – 30 000 terrorists with nowhere else to go, flocking into Turkey and wreaking havoc inside the country. It's a dangerous game that Ankara is playing here. Fighting the Kurdish led militias who have no airpower and capabilities to bring down Turkish warplanes is one thing, but fighting a Syrian Arab Army, with 9 years of battle experience, and two major players such as Iran and Russia backing them militarily and logistically, is a whole other thing.
One would think that it would be in Turkey's best interest to see these terrorists eliminated. Logically, nobody would want terrorists as their neighbours, which makes me question whether or not Ankara is actually calling the shots here. There is another player in this war that has a history of using terrorism to achieve their goals – enter Washington. My gut feeling tells me that Washington is behind these tensions as it is Washington that benefits from a collapse in Russian-Turkish collaboration. I believe that Washington is fuming over the rapid advance of the Syrian Army, and seeing how Washington has lost influence over an ever more rebellious Ankara over the past few years, Washington sees a great opportunity to get Ankara back into the fold.
It is no coincidence that Secretary Pompeo immediately after the announcement of two slain Turkish soldiers took to Twitter express "solidarity with the killed Turkish soldiers" and declare Washington's commitment to "stand by our NATO ally Turkey". A few days ago, reports alleged that Turkey had asked Washington for support through the deployment of Patriot missile systems to counter Russian warplanes – this was supposedly in response to Moscow's decision to impose a no-fly zone in north-western Syria. As mentioned, Washington is the player that benefits the most from a Turkish-Russian deterioration of relations, as Washington thrives in the chaos that would follow if Moscow and Ankara cannot find a solution and are forced to confront one another.
Erdogan is recognized as a mentally unstable player by many observers while others consider him a mastermind who has been playing both sides in this war and who is now trying to bluff his way into stopping the Syrian Army advance. Whether he is crazy or just bluffing I'll leave for every person to decide for himself, but if he is crazy and wants to confront Damascus and Moscow on this matter, then we are about to enter yet another bloody chapter of this almost 9 years long great tragedy. By the end of this month, we will know if Erdogan is bluffing for not.
Update: Since writing this article, the situation has further escalated as last night at least 33 Turkish troops were killed by Syrian Army shelling. The Turkish military responded by reportedly striking Syrian Army positions all over the Idlib countryside, causing catastrophic damage to the Syrian military's capabilities in northwestern Syria.
Aram Mirzaei
Alabama on February 28, 2020 · at 8:01 pm EST/EDT
The U.S. military has a long history of playing two sides too get one military advantage. Any weakness of either side is instantly filled with military instillations or overt allies working along side the military. Its the only way to stay relevant in a winner take all battle.
But I have a feeling that next month the military will take a blow both from the virus, and an even bigger one from an adversary. They are actually stretched very thin in both quality of equipment and quantity of fighters. Like the virus, one misstep and the whole house of cards is exposed like the tide having gone out and wearing no cloths.
Tom Welsh on February 29, 2020 · at 5:17 am EST/EDT
"The U.S. military has a long history of playing two sides too get one military advantage".
There's even a schoolyard saying:
"Let's you and him fight!"
Alabama on February 29, 2020 · at 7:41 am EST/EDT
Here's another school yard saying, for adults.
People who cant resolve their problems with words, often turn to fighting.
Sayer on February 28, 2020 · at 8:26 pm EST/EDT
Given the recent developments, the following facts are clear: Erdogan is not bluffing; he means it. He may not want a direct confrontation with Russia, but he's not shying away from direct confrontation with Syria.
It's all up to Russia now. As much as Russia wants to resolve this diplomatically, they must've realized by now that that's not an option anymore.
Zrro on February 28, 2020 · at 8:59 pm EST/EDT
Crazy as it seems, Russia is still waiting. To me it seems like they want to share the labour as long as possible. The Russians intensify bombing the djihadists, opening up capacaties for SAA, Syrian militias, Iran inspired militias to take on TAF. Maybe Iran directly throws in some drones, cruise missiles or ballistic missiles. That could actually work at least for some time. It would save Russia from fighting a direct war with a NATO country.
If the fighting drags on, I can imagine Algeria, Egypt and UAE starting and increasing support for Syria, following the universal law of strengthening the enemy of their enemy.
I will have to update my previous comment.
Erdogan said it: He's willing to fight against Russia now.
Link: https://www.rt.com/news/481908-erdogan-adviser-war-russia/
Russia needs to make a hard decision and fast.
Jerry on February 28, 2020 · at 10:16 pm EST/EDT
That wasn't Erdogan. That was one of his "advisers", known for making outlandish statements.
Steve on February 29, 2020 · at 3:47 am EST/EDT
The Russians are very wary about getting drawn into a Vietnam(or Afghnistan). Nothing bankrupts and breaks a nation faster than protracted , full scale war. America defaulted on the gold standard in 1971 because they could not pay their gold bills because of Vietnam. It seems the crazy Turk wants a Calphate and is willing to risk everything, Russia cannot be drawn in without a very,very good plan(not least an exit plan). Maybe that plan has yet to emerge ? This is high stakes.
Taras 77 on February 28, 2020 · at 8:59 pm EST/EDT
Article from former senior govt official with experience and contacts in the ME: FWIW.
I have not noted that his accounts are hyperbolic but this one seems fairly serious, social media shut down, erdo seems bent on escalation.
https://turcopolier.typepad.com/sic_semper_tyrannis/2020/02/idlib-dawn-update-send-lawyers-guns-and-money-ttg.html
Graham's demand for no fly zone would qualify as one of nitenyaahoo's gambits for further chaos and terrorist support.
Larchmonter445 on February 28, 2020 · at 9:34 pm EST/EDT
Why would Erdogan bluff?
He's bloviating, not bluffing.
He and his military will not be fighting a war in Syria. They couldn't even sustain a war against the Kurds.
Against the Syrians, they face Russian air dominance. Their armor and artillery will be decimated.
Syrian can 'afford' to lose a few hundred men. Turkey's society will not abide such losses.
The fact of life in Turkey is Erdogan has an economy on tenderhooks. His regime is fragile. His military is no longer the feared machine of the region. Particularly, his air force is reduced to the use of drones.
If he actually lost his mind and attacked Russian troops or if Russian aircraft are downed by his MANPADs, he will be counterattacked ten-fold.
So far, he knows he has to do as Putin indicates. Next week they will meet in Moscow. That tells you all you need to know.
Russia has given him 18 months to clear out al Nusra from Idlib. Along the way, he has received the same words since Sochi agreement with Russia. Nothing changed. He has wasted all this time. Now Russia and Syria will finish the job.
He's already fighting a war in Syria.
https://southfront.org/turkish-drone-strikes-inflict-catastrophic-losses-on-syrian-army-videos/
https://southfront.org/in-video-turkish-military-launches-heavy-rockets-at-syrian-army-positions/
The level of strikes and deployment suggests more to come.
vot tak on February 28, 2020 · at 9:50 pm EST/EDT
Looks like southfront just "went south" big time.
Larchmonter445 on February 28, 2020 · at 10:43 pm EST/EDT
Some people are falling for it right here.
I think things changed at SouthFront long ago.
vot tak on February 28, 2020 · at 11:05 pm EST/EDT
I'm surprised at Mirzaei buying that propaganda in the update (I assume he was referencing the southfront material posted in the comments here). Southfront seems to be schizophrenic. They post both decent reports and ones that are based upon western propaganda.
Aram Mirzaei on February 29, 2020 · at 6:19 am EST/EDT
Dear vot tak, I am indeed aware that Turkey exaggerates alot on the number of casualties inflicted upon their enemies, however the Syrian Army has admitted to being struck by the Turkish side and not only Syrian troops were killed, as reports have emerged suggesting that Hezbollah and even Iranian personnel were killed. There are videos of Syrian armor and missile defence batteries being struck by Turkish missiles as well.
Brockland on February 29, 2020 · at 7:24 am EST/EDT
@ Larchmonter445
Agreed. Erdogan has just ordered his border guards to stand down and let migrants flood into Europe.
Turkey won't be fighting in Syria; at least not the SAA and the Russians. Its not even clear if he would fight in Libya, except, he needs someplace to send his Syrian mercs.
Erdogan will squirm hard to stay good with his electorate and base, Trump and Putin, though.
Most leaders are hard-pressed when split two ways; not three or more….
con spirito on February 29, 2020 · at 12:35 pm EST/EDT
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, 'bloviating, not bluffing…'
Let's wait for the pudding, the proof will lie there,.
Joshua on February 28, 2020 · at 9:37 pm EST/EDT
If the reports that I have read are correct, then Turkey has openly entered the war on behalf of these terrorist organizations.
Turkey hasn't entered any war. They always sponsored, trained, supplied and paid the terrorists.
Where have you been since 2011?
Joshua on February 28, 2020 · at 11:11 pm EST/EDT
Openly. Before allies, enemies, the United Nations, openly. Regular active duty military, under direct orders no less, fighting in the very ranks of these terrorist organizations. Against the lawful government and people of a sovereign land. Targeting not only them, but their neighbors, and friends and allies, militarily, as well. Holding civilians as hostages. Blocking peaceful evacuations. Using humanitarian convoys to resupply the armed terrorist formations. The entire time. Smuggling humans, drugs, oil, anything they could unbolt and carry off.
Now, they openly use their regular military directly against the Syrian Arab Republic? On behalf of, and within the ranks of Al-Nusra?
Just exactly like the US armed forces for decades past.
Monkey see, monkey do.
"The Turkish military responded by reportedly striking Syrian Army positions all over the Idlib countryside, causing catastrophic damage to the Syrian military's capabilities in northwestern Syria."
According to Turkish media….
Live Updates: Turkish Defence Ministry Claims One Soldier Killed, Two Injured in Syrian Attack
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/202002281078433935-turkish-defence-ministry-claims-one-troop-killed-in-syrian-attack/
Terrorists in Syria Equipped With Latest Version of Western Equipment – Nebenzia
Russian Permanent Representative at the United Nations Vassily Nebenzia said Friday that the Syrian government has the legitimate right to respond to the threat posed by terrorists operating on Arab republic's soil.
He went on to say that Idlib terrorists have the military equipment of Western origin that they use against the Syrian and Russian forces as well as local civilians.
"There are video clips and photos; it's clear that the fighters are armed with the absolute latest version of Western military products – drones, armored vehicles,… missiles, anti-tank and anti-aircraft equipment," he stressed."
The article is constantly updated as new developments occur.
Ritter on Erdogan's dilemma.
Even NATO is unwilling to touch Turkey's Idlib mess with a ten-foot pole
https://www.rt.com/op-ed/481944-nato-turkey-idlib-syria/
"The result has been a disaster for Turkey, which has lost more than 50 soldiers and had scores more wounded due to Syrian air attacks. For its part, Russia has refrained from directly engaging Turkish forces, instead turning its attention to countering Turkish-backed militants. Faced with mounting casualties, Turkey turned to NATO for assistance, invoking Article 4 of the NATO charter, which allows members to request consultations whenever, in their opinion, their territorial integrity, political independence or security is threatened.
The wars that NATO has engaged in militarily, whether in Kosovo, Afghanistan, Libya or Iraq, have all been conducted under Article 4, when NATO made a collective decision to provide assistance in a situation that did not involve a direct military attack on one of its member states.
With that in mind, Turkey's decision to turn to Article 4 was a serious undertaking. For additional leverage, Ankara linked the NATO talks with a separate decision to open its borders to refugees seeking asylum in Europe, abrogating an agreement that had been reached with the European Union to prevent uncontrolled migration into Europe through Turkish-controlled territory and waters. Through this humanitarian blackmail, Turkey sought to use the shared economic and political costs arising from the Syrian situation as a bargaining chip for NATO support.
A failed gamble
The best Turkey could get from its Article 4 consultation, however, was a lukewarm statement by Jens Stoltenberg, the NATO secretary general, condemning Syria and Russia while encouraging a diplomatic resolution to the fighting in Syria that focused on alleviating the unfolding humanitarian crisis regarding refugees. This is a far cry from the kind of concrete military support, such as the provision of Patriot air defense systems or NATO enforcement of a no-fly zone over Idlib, Turkey was hoping for.
Having failed in its effort to get NATO support in Syria, Turkey is now left with the Hobson's choice of retreating or doubling down."
As Erdogan is going to Moscow next week, alone, it appears he is looking for a compromise to save face. The Russians will work something out and Syria will regain some lost territory.
JJ on February 29, 2020 · at 9:46 am EST/EDT
Not sure Erdo is looking for a compromise ….
Sputniknews
"Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said that he asked Russian President Vladimir Putin to leave Ankara "face to face" with Syrian authorities in the conflict over Idlib during Friday's talks.
"I asked Mr. Putin: 'What's your business there? If you establish a base, do so but get out of our way and leave us face to face with the regime," Erdogan said, speaking to reporters in Istanbul, his comments cited by AFP.
Erdogan also warned that the "Syrian regime" would "pay the price" for the deaths of Turkish troops in Idlib, and said that if Russia left Damascus one-on-one with Turkey, "we will do what is necessary."
Remember report last week…Russian supply planes not allowed to fly over Turkey to Syria….and Erdogan maybe more than willing to listen to his supporters and political allies to take even more action in Syria than listen to commonsense….his role seems to be taking on even more posturising and positioning to suit his agrandisement rather than in harmony with the 3 country agreement.
And Shoygu seems to have a much more down to earth attitude relying on mitary strategy and hardware than endless political meetings phonecalls and wishful thinking ….maybe rembering that for years Lavrov went along with Kerry thinking about (but not) separating out so called moderate rebels.
I wonder would Syria be encouraged to stand firm with more morale if much more Russian presence on the ground….am I correct that some months ago Russian military police were stationed to prevent action by exterior state actors….reports of Turkish missiles rockets direct my attacking SAA… nothing public heard from Iran- would Syria think more from Iran would be advantageous….does Syria still overwhelmingly believe that Russian military action so far is sufficient..but also political action beween the tripartate Turkish Russia Iran agreement…..is this still solid or ready for breakup…..
The massive Turkish attack by drone destroying so many tanks etc…that all costs so much money plus time to train up new conscripts….is there a finite budget for supplies from Russia plus sufficient degence budget from Syria?
Robert M. Peters on February 28, 2020 · at 10:12 pm EST/EDT
President Assad and President Putin along with Iranian forces have accomplished so much with so little over the past few years, with Syrian territory and Syrian people being liberated from the terrorists, and that includes the regimes which support them.
Now, however, it appears that Turkey has launched a real invasion of Syria with the Turkish Army and its proxies, well armed, as well as an invasion of Europe with the "refugees," which, ironically, fits into the plans of the globalist elites. It does not appear, however, that NATO will come to the aid of Turkey in Syria. It is also evident that Russia could not and would not stretch itself to deploy the troops necessary to defeat the Turks in Syria. What Russia could, however, do is destroy the Turks with massive missile strikes from it forces in the Mediterranean Sea and in the Caspian Sea without "violating" Turkish sovereignty. I wonder it that could be a viable option.
If Syria was invaded by Turkey, as some bozos are commenting and bad news sources are disseminating, do you think SANA, the official news agency of Syria would have articles like this tonight?
28 February، 2020
Army restores control over a number of towns , villages, farms, and hills in Idleb countryside
Damascus, SANA- A military source affirmed on Friday that Syrian Arab Army's units are continuing to respond firmly to repeated attacks by Turkish-backed terrorist organizations on direction of Saraqeb in Idleb.
The source said that in order to cover failure to achieve what Erdogan boasted in Idleb after the army's recent victories over terrorist organizations, focus is placed on exaggeration , intimidation and doubling size of losses of the army when responding the double attacks by terrorists and Turkey , as well as ignoring the heavy losses which have been inflicted upon the attackers in personnel and arms during battles with Syrian Arab Army that is determined to carry out its national duties in defending the security of homeland and citizens, and clearing all the Syrian territory from terrorism in all its forms and names.
Shaza
In other words, no big deal.
Also, visit Iran's news outlet, Presstv.com. Search for anything about Turkey invading or launching a war against Iran's #1 ally in the ME.
If Syria and Iran don't see the Turkish Army, don't report on "the big war", why the hell do you think Turkey is doing much at all. It just got its ass kicked, lost 33-67 men, depending on who is reporting it. Probably, 100 with wounded.
Then Erdogan is on the phone with everyone who will take his call. Check your answering machine. Erdogan may have called you, too.
What do you think the Russians told him? You'll get a meeting with Putin next week. If you "f" up and do something stupid, Putin will not see you, but you will be photographed waiting outside while his dogs bark at you as the whole world video streams you outside the Kremlin begging to get in.
The Turks don't want any more coffins coming home. Erdogan has coffins coming from Syria and Libya this weekend. Things are going very badly in both regions. All he has left is letting refugees loose on EU. That will lose him kind words from Germany and France, two phone calls he made today.
He's a joke. He's playing against Putin and that is a losing game.
Sayer on February 28, 2020 · at 11:24 pm EST/EDT
Well, it really depends on your definition of invasion then, doesn't it?
Turkish troops, tanks, and drones are already operating within Syria's borders. Is that not an invasion?
My reaction exactly, Sayer. Invasion is invasion, whether big or little. Your tanks drive 30 miles into the next door country, that is an invasion.
Try doing that to Russia and stand well back.
Larchmonter445 on February 29, 2020 · at 7:25 am EST/EDT
The zone in which this is taking place was lost to Syria eight years ago.
They are recapturing Aleppo and Idlib provinces last year and this.
Thus, Turks have been operating in this zone for all that time. That is why Russia worked out the DEZs with Turkey at Sochi in 2018. The Turks dominated this region.
Adding some more tanks and artillery doesn't mean an invasion.
Is the US invading when it brings hundreds of trucks from Iraq with logistical supplies for the Kurds?
What Turkey is doing is like North Wind and Voentorg by Russia in Donbass.
blue pilgrim on February 29, 2020 · at 12:10 pm EST/EDT
Putin and Erdogan at Sochi: Not 'Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra', but 'Beria and Kavlov at Leningrad'
Nussiminen on February 29, 2020 · at 2:55 am EST/EDT
"The jihadists have for long declared that they will not rest until the Syrian government is overthrown anyways."
The liver-eating slobs (and, of course, His Majesty Sultan Erdogan too) reading from the same script as our honourable MSM presstitutes. Assad, the Syrian people, and Syria's allies all connecting the dots effortlessly.
The only thing that serves as a boost to Erdogan's vanity not based in his deranged world of delusions is his authority over the EU cretins. Well, it's really not about Erdogan's force of personality, but EU's ruling corporatocracy which correctly understands what a golden opportunity the refugee torrents provide to dispose of the West's labour aristocracies and middle classes. Erdogan — also very correctly — understands the significance of getting rid of the refugees peacefully.
As Erdogan ages and the problems he has gotten himself and Turkey into keep mounting, he starts resembling the late Adolf Hitler; hysteric emotionalism and rejection of plain material reality gaining the upper hand. Good riddance to bad rubbish. By contrast, Assad isn't going anywhere.
Laika von old Monkshusen on February 29, 2020 · at 10:18 am EST/EDT
He rather resembles Stalin. Besides, Adolf Hitman was controlled opposition (NWO), and his job was to establish Israel, and destroy both Russia and Germany.
[In 1931 – see J.T.A. archive – the genuine nationalist General Ludendorff denounced Hitler as "a dangerous betrayer of the German people and an associate of the Freemasons."]
Then, due to his bad image and as a reward, the charlatan was evacuated to South America (at least according to Stalin).
Turkey is a strong country and its position, and opposition to Israel's NWO is very consistent. See https://www.yenisafak.com/en/columns (e.g. Ibrahim Karagül)
Nevertheless, I find Aram Mirzaei's article quite agreeable
Nussiminen on February 29, 2020 · at 12:33 pm EST/EDT
"He rather resembles Stalin"
Wrong. Erdogan is not devouring infants for breakfast. Moreover, he is an honourable member of the Zionazi-gay international community. Acts in self-defence, just like Adolf Hitler.
amarynth on February 29, 2020 · at 8:07 am EST/EDT
I see this from PressTV – looks to be around 4 hours ago, but cannot find anything else as to confirmation, or any details yet.
@PressTV
#Russia, #Turkey hold talks on #Syria, make agreement to reduce tensions
https://twitter.com/PressTV/status/1233669793678548997
amarynth on February 29, 2020 · at 1:01 pm EST/EDT
Talks are continuing – from Tass
https://tass.com/politics/1125125
"Russia, Turkey confirm goal to reduce tension in Syria's Idlib
The sides continued discussing specific steps for achieving durable stabilization of the situation in the Idlib de-escalation zone"
May the deconfliction work!
Anonymous on February 29, 2020 · at 8:58 am EST/EDT
The Russians have dispatched two Kalibr-carrying frigates to the Med via the Bosporus. If Turkey crosses the line a lot of Turkish troops will be splatted. There are also about a dozen Turkish outposts now in the SAA-held areas of Idlib. Erdogan is going to look pretty foolish if (when?) these are paraded through the streets of Aleppo.
Turkey is also losing badly in Libya. The LNA eliminated 4 Turkish drones within an hour late yesterday.
Nussiminen on February 29, 2020 · at 10:09 am EST/EDT
One almost has to pity the Turks. Beaten and slain in ever larger numbers but no sob story accompanied by raw power like the Zionazis' anti-Semitism trademark at their disposal.
Taras 77 on February 29, 2020 · at 9:53 am EST/EDT
A fairly reasonable summary of situation in Syria by Moon:
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/02/syria-deadly-bombstrike-warns-turkey-to-end-its-escapades.html#more
Anonymous on February 29, 2020 · at 10:46 am EST/EDT
Why did Russia not allow its forces to down the Turkish drones that killed so many SAA Ceasefire or not, shooting down an invading unmanned drone seems fair.
JJ on February 29, 2020 · at 11:19 am EST/EDT
More behind the story maybe that can be made sense of?
Elijahjmagnier twitter
"It took the Russian General in #Syria serious effort & time to convince his superiors that a ceasefire from the Russian side only was not appropriate to the allies and that an air coverage should resume.
#Turkey took advantage of the few hours window to carry its revenge attack."
I wouldn't say it is a betrayal. It is the 'Russian way' to avoid bigger conflicts. Russia allowed Erdogan to 'compensate'. The biggest mistake was the Russian general who did not coordinate w/ the allies to take their own measures to protect themselves & halted the air coverage+"
Russia Air Force bombed the Turkish convoy. Erdogan announced it was #Syria because he doesn't have the means to stand up to Russia. Erdogan wants to show he can avenge his soldiers by killing the allies of Russia. Comfortable but a sign of weakness rather than strength."
"Russia Air Force bombed the Turkish convoy."
Magnier is not a reliable source.
Live Updates: Russian Air Forces Did Not Carry Out Strikes in Area Where Turkish Servicemen Were Hit
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/202002271078422764-nine-turkish-troops-killed-under-fire-in-syrias-idlib-governor-of-hatay-province-claims/
Russian Air Forces Did Not Carry Out Strikes in Area Where Turkish Servicemen Were Hit – Moscow
"Russian Aerospace Forces have not used aviation in the area of Behun", the official statement said."
Elijah Magnier is not a reliable military source. One, he's been based in Lebanon. He gets his info third hand.
I consider him a "military menopause" reporter. Hot Flashes.
Sometimes he has an interesting opinion on developments. But as for his facts, I have never seen them to be reliable.
Boris Rozhin, working from Sevastopol, is more reliable.
On the ground, traveling with the Syrians, is ANNA reporters and cameramen. You might want to check them out.
Be especially careful if "stories" don't have documented photos and/or videos that are not faked. Who "said" it and who "wrote" it is important.
So far in this war, the Russian Military has been very reliable for precise information, acknowledged actions or rejection of fake news.
JJ on March 01, 2020 · at 6:15 am EST/EDT
Anna news itself has been a contentious issue in the saker………
Johny on February 29, 2020 · at 3:17 pm EST/EDT
Just deep FAKE from the Turkish MoD. Such fake coming from the Turkish MoD speaks volume about the mentality of those in charge there.
RATM on February 29, 2020 · at 4:01 pm EST/EDT
Fake.
Erdogan claimed also he destroyed Syria's chemical weapons and factories.
And we know they are already destroyed long ago.
This is all just fake.
Also, the big number of dead Turkish soldiers is fishy to me. Big numbers thrown around, just to pressure Erdogan into responding. Yet everyone just parrots these claims. Like recently, with no casualties in the Iranian retaliation everybody was parroting for days! Yet after a week or two the number of 'head injuries' grew to a 100. And that might not even be the final score.
Btw, as vot tak said, magnier and most of the guys who write articles on geopolitics aren't reliable sources. I mean, who are those guys anyways, are they sitting next to Shoigu or Erdogan to know the real facts? Of course not.
Brockland on February 29, 2020 · at 7:16 pm EST/EDT
Meh. Erdogan is probably going to try and deal; his way in Libya for Putin's way in Syria.
Turkey has the right to intervene on the behalf of the GNC, and wants to extend regional power and essentially snatch Libya from EU orbit. All those terroristsin Syria need a new job, and many probably came from or via Libya anyway.
Its not a bad geo play, except for the lack of any real leverage in Syria except for being a minor obstruction.
Are ther background checks for terrorists in syria? If not our military would gladly accept their applications, they're always looking for experienced terrorists.
A Turkish F-16 just entered Syria and shot down two Syrian jets.
Mikael H on March 01, 2020 · at 10:25 am EST/EDT
Does Russia have a plan or are they just letting IS in Chief Erdogan to take back Idlib while inflicting heavy losses to the SAA while they, The Russians, on the first stand just watching?


Absalom conspires against his father, and uses various methods to seduce the people from their allegiance to their king, 2 Samuel 15:1 -4. Under pretense of paying a vow at Hebron, he obtains leave from David to go thither; and, by emissaries sent through the land, prepares the people for revolt, 2 Samuel 15:7 -11. He gains over Ahithophel, David's counsellor, 2 Samuel 15:12 . David is informed of the general defection of the people; on which he, and his life-guards and friends, leave the city, and go towards the wilderness, 2 Samuel 15:13 -18. The steadfast friendship of Ittai, the Gittite, 2 Samuel 15:19 -22. David's affecting departure from the city, 2 Samuel 15:23 . He sends Zadok and Abiathar with the ark back to Jerusalem, 2 Samuel 15:24 -29. He goes up Mount Olivet; prays that the counsel of Ahithophel may be turned into foolishness, 2 Samuel 15:30 -31. He desires Hushai to return to Jerusalem, and to send him word of all that occurs, 2 Samuel 15:32 -37.
Absalom prepared him chariots and horses - After all that has been said to prove that horses here mean horsemen, I think it most likely that the writer would have us to understand chariots drawn by horses; not by mules or such like cattle.Fifty men to run before him - Affecting in every respect the regal state by this establishment. Of this man Calmet collects the following character: "He was a bold, violent, revengeful, haughty, enterprising, magnificent, eloquent, and popular prince; he was also rich, ambitious, and vain of his personal accomplishments: after the death of Amnon, and his reconciliation to his father, he saw no hindrance in his way to the throne. He despised Solomon because of the meanness of his birth, and his tender years. He was himself of the blood royal, not only by his father David, but also by his mother Maacah, daughter to Talmai, king of Geshur: and, doubtless, in his own apprehension, of sufficient age, authority, and wisdom, to sustain the weight of government. There was properly now no competitor in his way: Amnon, David's first-born, was dead. Of Chileab, his second son by Abigail, we hear nothing; and Absalom was the third: see 2 Samuel 3:2 -5. He, therefore, seemed to stand nearest to the throne; but his sin was, that he sought it during his father's life, and endeavored to dethrone him in order to sit in his stead.
So Absalom stole the hearts - His manner of doing this is circumstantially related above. He was thoroughly versed in the arts of the demagogue; and the common people, the vile mass, heard him gladly. He used the patriot's arguments, and was every thing of the kind, as far as promise could go. He found fault with men in power; and he only wanted their place, like all other pretended patriots, that he might act as they did, or worse.
After forty years - There is no doubt that this reading is corrupt, though supported by the commonly printed Vulgate, the Septuagint, and the Chaldee. But the Syriac has arba shanin, Four years; the Arabic the same arba shinin, Four years; and Josephus has the same; so also the Sixtine edition of the Vulgate, and several MSS. of the same version. Theodoret also reads four, not forty; and most learned men are of opinion that ארבעים arbaim, Forty, is an error for אברע arba, Four; yet this reading is not supported by any Hebrew MS. yet discovered. But two of those collated by Dr. Kennicott have יום yom instead of שנה shanah, i.e., forty Days, instead of forty Years; and this is a reading more likely to be true than that in the commonly received text. We know that Absalom did stay Three years with his grandfather at Geshur, 2 Samuel 13:38 ; and this probably was a year after his return: the era, therefore, may be the time of his slaying his brother Amnon; and the four years include the time from his flight till the conspiracy mentioned here.
While I abode at Geshur in Syria - Geshur, the country of Talmai, was certainly not in Syria, but lay on the south of Canaan, in or near Edom, as is evident from Judges 1:10 ; 1 Samuel 27:8 ; 2 Samuel 13:37 . Hence it is probable that ארם Aram, Syria, is a mistake for אדם Edom; ד daleth and ר resh being easily interchangeable. Edom is the reading both of the Syriac and Arabic.I will serve the Lord - Here he pretended to be a strict follower of Jehovah, even while he was in a heathen country; and now he desires liberty to go and perform a vow at Hebron, which he pretends to have made while he was resident at Geshur. And all this was the more perfectly to organize his system of rebellion against his venerable father.
Absalom sent spies - These persons were to go into every tribe; and the trumpet was to be blown as a signal for all to arise, and proclaim Absalom in every place. The trumpet was probably used as a kind of telegraph by the spies: trumpet exciting trumpet from place to place; so that, in a few minutes all Israel would hear the proclamation.
Went two hundred men - These were probably soldiers, whom he supposed would be of considerable consequence to him. They had been seduced by his specious conduct, but knew nothing of his present design.
Sent for Ahithophel - When Absalom got him, he in effect got the prime minister of the kingdom to join him.
The hearts of the men of Israel are after Absalom - It is very difficult to account for this general defection of the people. Several reasons are given:1. David was old or afflicted, and could not well attend to the administration of justice in the land.2. It does appear that the king did not attend to the affairs of state, and that there were no properly appointed judges in the land; see 2 Samuel 15:3 .3. Joab's power was overgrown; he was wicked and insolent, oppressive to the people, and David was afraid to execute the laws against him.4. There were still some partisans of the house of Saul, who thought the crown not fairly obtained by David.5. David was under the displeasure of the Almighty, for his adultery with Bath-sheba, and his murder of Uriah; and God let his enemies loose against him.6. There are always troublesome and disaffected men in every state, and under every government; who can never rest, and are ever hoping for something from a change.7. Absalom appeared to be the real and was the undisputed heir to the throne; David could not, in the course of nature, live very long; and most people are more disposed to hail the beams of the rising, than exult in those of the setting, sun.No doubt some of these causes operated, and perhaps most of them exerted less or more influence in this most scandalous business.
David said - Arise - let us flee - This, I believe, was the first time that David turned his back to his enemies. And why did he now flee? Jerusalem, far from not being in a state to sustain a siege, was so strong that even the blind and the lame were supposed to be a sufficient defense for the walls, see 2 Samuel 5:6 . And he had still with him his faithful Cherethites and Pelethites; besides six hundred faithful Gittites, who were perfectly willing to follow his fortunes. There does not appear any reason why such a person, in such circumstances, should not act on the defensive; at least till he should be fully satisfied of the real complexion of affairs. But he appears to take all as coming from the hand of God; therefore he humbles himself, weeps, goes barefoot, and covers his head! He does not even hasten his departure, for the habit of mourners is not the habit of those who are flying before the face of their enemies. He sees the storm, and he yields to what he conceives to be the tempest of the Almighty.
And tarried in a place - He probably waited till he saw all his friends safely out of the city.
Thou art a stranger, and also an exile - Some suppose that Ittai was the son of Achish, king of Gath, who was very much attached to David, and banished from his father's court on that account. He and his six hundred men are generally supposed to have been proselytes to the Jewish religion.
Mercy and truth be with thee - May God ever show thee mercy, as thou showest it to me, and his truth ever preserve thee from error and delusion!
The brook Kidron - This was an inconsiderable brook, and only furnished with water in winter, and in the rains. See John 18:1 .
Bearing the ark - The priests knew that God had given the kingdom to David; they had no evidence that he had deposed him: they therefore chose to accompany him, and take the ark, the object of their charge, with them.
Carry back the ark - David shows here great confidence in God, and great humility. The ark was too precious to be exposed to the dangers of his migrations; he knew that God would restore him if he delighted in him, and he was not willing to carry off from the city of God that without which the public worship could not be carried on. He felt, therefore, more for this public worship and the honor of God, than he did for his own personal safety.
Art not thou a seer? return into the city in peace - That is, As thou art the only organ of the public worship, that worship cannot be carried on without thee; and as thou art the priest of God, thou hast no cause to fear for thy personal safety: the nation has not abandoned their God, though they have abandoned their king. It appears also, that he wished these priests, by means of their sons, Ahimaaz the son of Zadok, and Jonathan the son of Abiathar, to send him frequent intelligence of the motions and operations of the enemy.
Had his head covered - This was not only the attitude of a mourner, but even of a culprit; they usually had their heads covered when condemned. See the case of Haman. When the king had pronounced his condemnation, they immediately covered his face, and led him out to punishment; Esther 7:8 (note. See also Quintus Curtius, De Philota, cap. vi.: I, Lictor; caput obnubito.
Turn the counsel of Ahithophel into foolishness - Ahithophel was a wise man, and well versed in state affairs; and God alone could confound his devices.
Where he worshipped God - Though in danger of his life, he stops on the top of Mount Olivet for prayer! How true is the adage, Prayer and provender never hinder any man's journey! Reader, dost thou do likewise?Hushai the Archite - He was the particular friend of David, and was now greatly affected by his calamity.
Then thou shalt be a burden unto me - It appears that Hushai was not a warrior, but was a wise, prudent, and discreet man, who could well serve David by gaining him intelligence of Absalom's conspiracy; and he directs him to form a strict confederacy with the priests Zadok and Abiathar, and to make use of their sons as couriers between Jerusalem and David's place of retreat.
Absalom came into Jerusalem - It is very probable that he and his partisans were not far from the city when David left it, and this was one reason which caused him to hurry his departure.Reader, behold in the case of David a sad vicissitude of human affairs, and a fearful proof of their instability. Behold a king, the greatest that ever lived, a profound politician, an able general, a brave soldier, a poet of the most sublime genius and character, a prophet of the Most High God, and the deliverer of his country, driven from his dominions by his own son, abandoned by his fickle people, and for a time even by his God! See in his desolate state that there is none so exalted that God cannot abase, and none so abased that God cannot exalt. He was forsaken for a time, and his enemies triumphed; God returned, and his enemies were confounded. His crime, it is true, was great and God had declared by Nathan what had now come to pass. God is just, and in numberless instances sees right to show his displeasure even at those sins which his mercy has forgiven. In all cases it is a fearful and bitter thing to sin against the Lord.


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Happy Halloween to you. It will be a quiet one for us. There's no age restriction for trick or treating in our neighborhood, and we just aren't comfortable with just ANYONE being able to wear a mask and come to your door. So, we'll be in early with no outside lights on.
I understand where you're coming from. For the past few years, we have opted out of Halloween. We never got more than a couple of trick-or-treaters. Our town has a lot of activities through organizations and churches. However over the past year, there's been several new families move into our neighborhood and we felt that we needed to Welcome trick-or-treaters for a couple hours this year.


text:
Culture and Nationhood in the World of Herodotus: An Evolutionary Analysis, Part 4
July 11, 2017 /16 Comments/in Featured Articles, Western Civilization, Western Culture /by Guillaume Durocher
Maladaptive Culture: Herodotus on Luxury, Effeminacy, and Decadence
The ancients considered the maintaining of martial virtue and hardiness to be a supreme imperative—not surprising given that if any frailty led to defeat, one's people could not only lose their self-government, but their very existence. Like Homer and Plato, Herodotus has much to say on the perils of luxury, effeminacy, and decadence. Herodotus is acutely aware of the fragility of nations and civilizations. He says at the beginning of the Histories:
I will cover minor and major human settlements equally, because most of those which were important in the past have diminished in significance by now, and those which were great in my own time were small in times past. I will mention both equally because I know that human happiness never remains long in the same place. (1.5)
Herodotus suggests a cycle of rise and fall of civilizations: as one becomes wealthy and powerful, one tends to lose over the generations the manly virtue which made this possible, becoming at once effeminate and arrogant. This cycle of decadence, which was later famously analyzed by the Andalusian historian Ibn Khaldun, is a common feature of human history. Moderns are apt to forget that until quite recently primitive and nomadic virile barbarians periodically conquered more culturally advanced but decadent sedentary civilizations. One need only mention the ancient Germans, Huns, Vikings, Arabs, Turks, and Mongols.
Herodotus' characters repeatedly comment on the debilitating effects of luxury and effeminacy, in a word, of being over-civilized. The Persians' rise to power in the century prior to Herodotus' writing is explained by their initial Spartan-like ruggedness and simplicity, while their decline is due to their indulgence in comfort and wealth since the passing of Cyrus the Great in 530 BC. Overly rich and arrogant empires seeking ever-more land repeatedly come to grief by attacking impoverished but still-manly free peoples.[1]
The Greeks are famously said to be a free people though "poverty" is always with them, overcoming their enemies through courage, intelligence, and adherence to law (7.102). The Spartans, who had an extremely simple diet whose staple was a black broth, are said to have laughed upon being shown a magnificent Persian meal. The Spartan king Pausanias is supposed to have said: "how stupid the Persian king is. Look at the way he lives and then consider that he invaded our country to rob us of our meager portions!" (9.82). For the Greeks, freedom was synonymous with the manly virtue necessary to ensure secure against hostile powers. Conversely, the Ionian Greeks under Persian rule are repeatedly shamed for their supposed effeminacy, making them fit to be slaves rather than free men.
Interestingly, Herodotus explicitly mentions a case of a hostile ruling elite consciously promoting maladaptive, feminizing culture among their subjects in order to reduce their power of resistance. Fearing that Cyrus would completely destroy his rebellious Lydian subjects, their former king, Croesus, advised the following:
You can be lenient towards the Lydians and still issue them a directive to ensure that they never rebel and are no threat to you. Send a message that they are forbidden to own weapons of war, that they are to wear tunics under their coats and slippers on their feet, to raise their sons to be retailers. Before long, my lord, you will see them become women instead of men, and so there will be no danger of them rising up against you. (1.155)
Cyrus agreed to these measures. Thus, the conqueror might not necessarily exterminate the conquered biologically, but ruin them culturally.
Significantly, Herodotus concludes his Histories with a flashback warning from Cyrus the Great. The King was advised to move away from his current rugged territory to one of the more gentle regions of the Persian Empire. Herodotus says:
Cyrus was not impressed with the proposal. He told them to go ahead—but he also advised them to be prepared, in that case, to become subjects instead of rulers, on the grounds that soft lands tend to breed soft men. It is impossible, he said, for one and the same country to produce remarkable crops and good fighting men. . . . they chose to live in a harsh land and rule rather than to cultivate fertile plains and be others' slaves. (9.122)
The message could not be clearer: a prosperous and civilized people is precisely the most vulnerable to creeping weakness—a message that resonates today as the West is suffering population replacement by Africans, Muslims, and Mestizos as a result of the treason of our hostile elites. Herodotus says elsewhere, though admittedly in a context referring to oracles and religious omens: "There are invariably warning signs given when disaster is going to overwhelm a community or a race" (6.27).
Conclusion: King Nomos' Children
The Histories deliver a bounty of information on the ancient world eminently compatible with an evolutionary perspective. We comfortable moderns can never be reminded enough of the violence and desperation of the struggle for existence in past times. A man's livelihood was his land, and stability and law were often nowhere to be found. In this brutal environment, one lost battle against foreign invaders could make the difference between freedom and slavery, life and extermination. If one were not exterminated, being conquered meant, at the least, the end of a people's self-determination, their ability to decide their own way of life.[2] In this context of constant struggle, one would expect peoples with maladaptive cultures—cultures which do not promote the survival and reproduction of the individual and the group—to be gradually replaced by peoples with adaptive cultures.
What, however, are the traits of an adaptive culture? I propose that an adaptive culture must:
Hold a powerful sway over the society;
Be able to maintain itself in the face of both time and foreign influence;
Put a supreme value on kinship, both familial and ethnic, as reflecting relative genetic similarity;
Create a solidary in-group (with eventual assimilation of genetically-close, reciprocating, and compatible out-groups);
Promote reproduction;
Promote martial prowess and manliness.
By this definition, many of the traits of traditional cultures can be identified as evolutionarily adaptive. Reverence for ancestral tradition, cultural chauvinism, in-group loyalty, familial and ethnic solidarity, a religious duty of reproduction, and the shaming of effeminacy in males are extremely common among traditional cultures across the world, not least in the cultures described by Herodotus. Much of what liberals and Marxists condemn as purely arbitrary and oppressive is revealed to have an evolutionary logic in that much in these cultures clearly promoted the survival and flourishing of the peoples who bore them.
With Herodotus, we see that circumstances change but certain fundamental laws remain. Tribalism and love of kin are as old as humanity itself. The history of the human species is that of the rise and fall of nations and civilizations—more prosaically, the spread and recession of genetic and cultural memes. At the very beginnings of recorded history, Herodotus himself is acutely conscious that values and habits of weakness can lead to the fall of one's people. The struggle within a people's soul between manly virtue and luxurious decadence goes back at least to the dawn of civilization.
[1] Examples include:
The kingdom of Lydia was quite wealthy and decided to attack the virtuous Persia of Cyrus's early reign, whose food consisted "of what they can get, not what they might want, because of the ruggedness of their land" (1.155).
The Persian attack on the Massagetae, a Scythian people who would defeat and behead Cyrus: "a Persian-style good life and anything approach real luxury is, I hear, something with which the Massagetae have no acquaintance or familiarity" (2.207).
During Cambyses' failed invasion of Ethiopia, the Ethiopian king gave the Persian king a longbow saying: "When the Persians can draw bows of this size as easily as I do now, then he can march against the long-lived Ethiopians" (3.21).
[2] The Jews and the Gypsies are of course spectacular exceptions in this respect, having proven capable of maintaining their identity, culture, and in-group loyalty as minorities in other societies. Most human populations, however, evidently require sovereignty over their own territory to maintain their way of life and identity.
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.png 0 0 Guillaume Durocher https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.png Guillaume Durocher2017-07-11 07:18:102017-07-16 08:16:29Culture and Nationhood in the World of Herodotus: An Evolutionary Analysis, Part 4

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Let's face it...a barre is necessary for ballet. Barre exercises are performed at the beginning of any ballet class to prepare the body for the work ahead as well as to improve technique. If you think having a ballet barre at home is a luxury for a lucky few, read on. Hanging a ballet barre is actually quite simple. Here's how to do it.
Head to your local home improvement store and purchase a wooden dowel with a 2-inch diameter. If your space allows, have the dowel cut to three feet. (Three feet is optimal, but a two-foot barre is better than nothing if it is all you have room for.) Prepare the barre by sanding each end to remove any sharp edges.
While you are at the home improvement store, pick up two or three metal closet bar brackets, depending on the length of your wooden dowel. (A three-foot barre will probably require three brackets.) Make sure the brackets include the proper screws. If there is no stud in the wall where you wish to hang the barre, purchase a few wall anchors for stability.
Using a level, make absolutely sure that the marks for the brackets are level. Hold each bracket on the wall where it will be placed and lightly mark the spots where the screws will be placed.
Attach the wall brackets to the wall using the proper screws. Make sure the brackets are attached tightly and securely.
Lay the barre across the wall brackets, securing with screws. Make sure each screw is tight and the barre is secure and stable.
Hanging a ballet barre in your home (or your child's room) will encourage practice at home.
Find the perfect spot to hang your barre. Make sure there is enough room to raise your straight leg to the front and to the back.
Hang a large mirror on a wall opposite if the barre. A mirror is great for checking technique.


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text:
Middle School Academics
In middle school, the focus of every class is to both challenge and support every student. With the guidance of a caring and dedicated faculty, and through this intentional balance, our students strengthen their self-esteem and confidence, develop classroom skills, and become well equipped to tackle the challenges of upper school and beyond.
Judi O'Brien
Director of the Middle School
The Daugh W. Smith Middle School at Harpeth Hall is a place where girls take center stage. Girls occupy every leadership role, fill every position on the math and robotics teams, run the student council, lead classroom discussions, and excel on athletic teams.
The middle school curriculum is challenging, relevant, and exploratory. It encompasses every aspect of a girl's educational program: academics, arts, physical education, life balance, leadership, sports, and community service. In addition to content and skills in the individual disciplines, the curriculum engages students in interdisciplinary study and reflection on their learning process. Students learn study skills and strategies and gain confidence by developing the tools needed for academic success at every level.
Every aspect of the middle school student experience is designed with the needs of adolescent girls in mind. Our teachers know the best way to capture their students' attention is to give them a challenging and thoughtful program of study where they can explore both the why and the how of things. Through varied teaching methods and ongoing assessments that advance and measure learning, teachers empower students to engage deeply in the learning process, advocate for themselves, and explore new possibilities for growth. Our teachers inspire a sense of wonder and guide students to also see the practicality of what they are learning by making connections to the wider society.
Adolescent girls achieve their highest academic potential in a nurturing, diverse, and inclusive environment that supports their intellectual, emotional, social, and physical needs. The middle school program is designed to ensure that each girl is seen and known well by her teachers and classmates. We believe a sense of belonging and meaningful relationships with teachers and supportive peers are essential in cultivating an optimal learning environment for young women. To that end, every student works closely with a faculty advisor and meets regularly with a small advisory group to foster authentic relationships and community building. In addition, students have access to their classroom teachers every morning prior to the start of the school day to ask questions or receive extra support.
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Middle school students create a literary magazine
Intersections.
All students participate in Public Purpose and Leadership programs.
Every student joins one of four spirit clubs.
All students participate in STEM education.
Each middle school student attends visual arts classes.
All students receive performing arts education.
The Harpeth Hall motto — Let us lift up the mind and spirit — reflects a vital aspect of our community; a place where the voices of girls and women are ever-present and valued.
explore the full Middle School Curriculum Guide
Interdisciplinary Learning
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Theologising Migration
Otherness and LIminality in East Asia
By Paul Woods
Category: Missions
The Asian church has begun to respond and reach out to migrants. However, this concern for the other is patchy and lacks robust theological foundations. This work uses otherness and liminality as lenses to examine the scripture in order to understand God's heart for migrants and the responsibility of His people towards them. It ends with some pointers towards concrete action by the church.
This book weaves a rich tapestry of historical, sociological, anthropological, biblical and philosophical portraits of migration focusing on East Asia, with a robust theological and missiological response and accompanied by an extensive literature review. Of excellent scholarship, the book is infused with a persuasive exhortation to God's community as a missional entity to fulfil its obligation to obey the "alien mandate" - to love the Lord our God and to love the migrant as ourselves. Dr Woods' book is particularly relevant in today's context of an unprecedented global migration phenomenon which provides many open doors for God's community to share the good news of Jesus. As this is faithfully done, migrants may come to believe and belong as they are delivered from spiritual and physical bondage. This is a book that will deeply challenge both our minds and our hearts and should spur us into action.
Rev Dr Patrick Fung, General Director, OMF International
Sociology and theology meet in a highly productive synthesis as the author tackles one of today's unignorable global challenges - migration. The focus may be East Asia but the lessons to be learned from this outstanding piece of research are relevant for anyone who cares about God's mission in the world today. I found the two chapters of Biblical reflection particularly useful. They provide a centrepiece that adds great value to the analysis and practical recommendations that begin and end the study.
Dr Jonathan Ingleby, Formerly Head of Mission Studies, Redcliffe College
Paul Woods is a reflective practitioner who has previously ministered among Chinese migrants in the UK. He has moved from engineering, through linguistics, and into theology. His theology PhD is from AGST Alliance in Singapore. He previously taught at Singapore Bible College and is now on the faculty of the Oxford Centre for Mission Studies.


I'm linking up with this month's Surf & Turf challenge at Emerald Creek, Simon Says: Stencil It challenge, and The Mixed Media Monthly Challenge!
Very pretty and so rich. Lovely travel details and great colors. Thank you for Stenciling with Simon Says Stamp Monday Challenge!


As expected, The Game Awards 2018 gave viewers a first look at gameplay for Ancestors: The Humankind Odyssey, developed by Panache Games and led by the creator of the Assassin's Creed series.
Described as "a single-player, open world, exploration survival game", players will control a variety of humankind's ancestors in Africa through their struggle for survival, as they evolve from prehistoric great apes into more advanced creatures.
The game will be available on PC, PlayStation 4, and Xbox One, and a further twenty minutes of gameplay footage released shortly after The Game Awards can be found here.


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NOTE: Housing rates for buildings requiring meal plans do not include the meal plan cost.


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You could win a DeWalt 20V MAX cordless jigsaw!
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Something else. Your suggested solution can be one of the above ideas, a combination, or your own idea entirely. Please explain your reasoning in up to 300 words of text.
The winner will be announced on our website Dec. 28.
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In case anyone is interested (research purposes/random interest) I have self published my memoir on Amazon. The title is THE NAMELESS by NATALIE SAURET. I am not looking to start a big debate on the COG/TFI as I have well and truly moved on but if anyone has questions I will try to respond.
And before all the "haters" (i.e. few remaining members) come on here shouting about it all being made up...please, don't bother. I really do wish I had made it all up but unfortunately, that is not the case.


text:
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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


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your websites "Links Page" must be linked to your home page.
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text:
India's Advanced Air Defense Interceptor
India has successfully test fired its indigenously designed and built Advanced Air Defense (AAD)/ Ashvin Advanced Defense interceptor missile on Abdul Kalam Island, home to the Indian military's principal missile test facility, the Integrated Test Range, off the coast of Odisha in the Bay of Bengal on December 28, according to local media reports.
This was the third supersonic interceptor test carried out in 2017. Other tests were conducted on March 1 and February 11. The last successful AAD interception test took place in May 2016.
According to sources within the Defence Research Development Organisation (DRDO), the Indian Ministry of Defense's (MoD) research and development wing which oversaw the December 28 test, the AAD interceptor destroyed an incoming Prithvi ballistic missile within 30 kilometres of the earth atmosphere.
The single stage solid rocket-propelled AAD/Ashin interceptor missile is part of India's planned two-layered ballistic missile defence (BMD) system and is designed to shoot down incoming enemy missiles in the endo-atmosphere at altitudes of 20-40 kilometres. AAD missiles are terminal phase interceptors capable of intercepting missiles after they re-enter the earth's atmosphere.
Both PAD and PDV are designed for a mid-course interception. The AAD missile interceptor features an inertial navigation system with mid-course radar updates and active radar homing in the terminal phase. It can reach top speeds of up to Mach 4.5.
India's homegrown BMD system can purportedly intercept medium-range ballistic missiles travelling at speeds of Mach 3 to 8. Israel, Russia, and the United States are the only three countries to have successfully developed and built an indigenous ballistic missile defence system.
Author Kevin SavioPosted on December 31, 2017 Categories 2017
Previous Previous post: Regional Project to Tackle Stubble Burning
Next Next post: $40 Million World Bank loan for UP tourism
http://bcompetitive.in/indias-advanced-air-defense-interceptor">


Father Z has an excellent post concerning the arrest and prosecution of the 88 protesters who were arrested at Notre Dame last year when they protested the university's honoring of President Obama. Father Jenkins, Notre Dame's president, has issued a statement on the ongoing prosecution/persecution of the defendants and his refusal to drop the charges.
Go to Father Z's blog for the entire commentary. It's well worth it.


text:
Q: "An attempt to attach an auto-named database" error I am making a desktop application in C#, Visual Studio 2010 on Windows XP SP2 Professional.
If I run that application directly from the published folder without running setup OR run it from debug folder OR simply debug the application, it does not give this error. But if I run setup from published folder and then run it from start menu, it gives this error:

An attempt to attach an auto-named database for file C:\Documents and Settings\Desi\Local Settings\Apps\2.0\Data\K9KMBYK5.881\EKOOHKP2.0Y1\smas..tion_ddac366ea7cca062_0001.0000_c8a0800c5798ef15\Data\SmasDb.mdf failed. A database with the same name exists, or specified file cannot be opened, or it is located on UNC share.

I am publishing application to a folder in 'my documents'.

C:\Documents and Settings\Desi\Local Settings\Apps\2.0\Data\K9KMBYK5.881\EKOOHKP2.0Y1\smas..tion_ddac366ea7cca062_0001.0000_c8a0800c5798ef15\Data\1.0.0.0 (this Data directory has only the user.config file.)
C:\Documents and Settings\Desi\Local Settings\Apps\2.0\LWGCKB30.QZJ\E81QYJON.ZX9\manifests (contains smas..tion_ddac366ea7cca062_0001.0000_none_a42d8ca7a940cae4.cdf-ms smas..tion_ddac366ea7cca062_0001.0000_none_a42d8ca7a940cae4.manifest smas.exe_ddac366ea7cca062_0001.0000_none_3d144d2ce016963b.cdf-ms smas.exe_ddac366ea7cca062_0001.0000_none_3d144d2ce016963b.manifest)
C:\Documents and Settings\Desi\Local Settings\Apps\2.0\LWGCKB30.QZJ\E81QYJON.ZX9\smas.exe_ddac366ea7cca062_0001.0000_none_3d144d2ce016963b (contains
  SMAS.exe.config, SmasDb.mdf, SmasDb_log.ldf)
C:\Documents and Settings\Desi\Local Settings\Apps\2.0\LWGCKB30.QZJ\E81QYJON.ZX9\smas..tion_ddac366ea7cca062_0001.0000_c8a0800c5798ef15 (this directory has all files including all dlls, SmasDb.mdf and SmasDb_log.ldf, SMAS.exe.config, some .cdf-ms and .manifest files NOT same as above .cdf-ms and .manifest)

A: You are using ClickOnce and using a SQL CE database?
Did you include the database in the Published application?

A: Did you verify that the long path (C:\Documents and Settings\USER\Local Settings\Apps\2.0\Data\MP63M1NA.ZG5\BCOVJJWN.C53\smas..tion_ddac366ea7cca062_0001.0000_9c79a710d42895b6\Data\SmasDb.mdf) to see if there actually is a database there?
From the three options in the error message, I would go for: or specified file cannot be opened
You'll have to think about where you want the database to be (on a non-developer computer), and make sure it is copied there.
See the post Working with Databases in Visual Web Developer 2005 Express Edition about the |DataDirectory| syntax.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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text:
Psychotria sintenisii är en måreväxtart som beskrevs av Ignatz Urban. Psychotria sintenisii ingår i släktet Psychotria och familjen måreväxter. Inga underarter finns listade i Catalogue of Life.

Källor

Måreväxter
sintenisii

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Simple yet exotic spiral wood Tapper! These Tapers are carved by hand only using organic materials. These rare wood spirals are surprisingly light weight with a fine polished finish. Earthy tone brown Sono Wood is a perfect material for this beauty.
Because these are natural wood - shades, texture or colors may vary.


text:
2020 Political Science Part-time Jobs in San Francisco, CA
Part-time jobs in San Francisco have been a staple for as long as the city has existed. As a hub for entrepreneurship and cultural experimentation, new opportunities arise each day. Along with the well-documented tech industry, you can find work in everything from food service and tourism to finance and medicine. Known as the "Wall Street of the West," San Francisco's Financial District is an economy unto itself with a wealth of opportunity for students and recent grads looking for part-time financial work. Conventions play a significant role in the city's economy and, due to their temporary but monumental nature, employ a vast number of part-time employees. It comes as no surprise that hotels are constantly hiring to accommodate the thousands of visitors each month. And with the highest density of restaurants per capita, food service jobs can be found in every corner of the City by the Bay. The diverse neighborhoods in San Francisco are well supported by the city government, which is one of the top employers in the area along with its hospitals. Here you can gain valuable civic or healthcare experience. Whether you're interested in culture, food, finance, medicine, or any number of unique vocations, you can find a part-time job in San Francisco from our 2020 listings.
Explore Part-time Jobs in San Francisco, CA
Remote Political Science Part-time Jobs
Type : Part-time Jobs
Category : Political Science
Location : San Francisco, CA
Research Advisor for Youth
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City & County of San Francisco
Political Science Analyst (part-time, PoliSci degree required)
The Factual
Deputy Public Guardian / Conservator / Investigator I
County of Marin, CA
Field Researcher
PartTime Or OnCall Skin Instrumentation Technician
Biometrix Inc.
Coroner's Investigator
Public Service Aide - Occupational Health and Safety Intern
Colleges and Universities in San Francisco, CA
California Culinary Academy
Cinta Aveda Institute
San Francisco Conservatory of Music
More Related 2020 Part-time Jobs
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text:
Q: Calculating the perpendicular plane to a triangle in 3D space I have a triangle in 3D space defined by its 3 vertices, p0, p1, and p2.
I wish to calculate a plane in this 3D space which lies along both p0 and p1 and faces a third point, p2.
This plane is to be defined by a position and normalised direction/
In addition to lying along p0 and p1, and facing p2, the plane should also be perpendicular to the plane created by p0, p1, and p2
I've struggled with this for quite a while and any help anyone can offer is greatly appreciated.

A: Your question is ill-posed. For any plane that lies on p0 and p1 there will be some point on that plane that "faces" point p2. So all that's left to compute is some plane along p0 and p1.
normal = normalize(cross(p1-p0, pX-p0))  //pX is anything except p1
planePoint = p0

EDIT:  see comments
here is an example of my comment explanation
octave:14> p0
p0 =
0   0   0
octave:15> p1
p1 =
0   0   5
octave:16> p2
p2 =
5   0   0
octave:17> cross(p1-p0, cross(p1-p0,p2-p0))
ans =
-125     0     0
You'll notice that the sign is wrong, play with the order of parameters in the cross product to get it facing  the right way. Also don't forget to normalize...but it wont affect the direction. Also check to make sure the norm after each cross product isn't near 0, otherwise there is no unique answer.. (triangle forms a line)

A: Unless I'm misunderstanding what you're asking, a vector from the line to p2 will be the normal to the plane you're trying to define. Basically, you construct a line at right angles to the line p0-p1, running through p2.


Are you interested in creating fine pearl jewelry for a loved one (or yourself!)? Well, this class is for you! This is our newest, design your own pearl class! Last year we learned that friends wanted to come together and really have a hand in deciding what they create. This class will be taught by Abby, the head of jewelry production here at The Pearl Girls®. She will teach you how to knot pearls so you can craft your own fine jewelry. You will learn how to create your own pearl bracelet and you can use this skill to create many more pieces! Maybe you have your grandmother's pearls that need to be reknotted and you have a passion to do it on your own. Maybe you want to give your daughter a strand of pearls and you want to create a piece just for her. OR Maybe you are crafty and want to learn how to make a pair of earrings. Do your girlfriends want to come create matching single pearl necklaces? Hey brides! How about an event for your bridal party! From girls night outs to parties and more, we are excited to custom create a class just for you!
For all of these reasons and more, Abby is thrilled to teach you how to create pearl jewelry! This is typically a two hour class from 5:00 PM to 7:00 PM an evening of your choice. But we can be flexible! The important thing is to reach out to us and plan ahead! Call or email us for more info!
For pearl knotting classes, Abby will jump right in to learning how to knot pearls. She will teach you everything! Supplies will be provided. We will start working with imitation pearls and silk thread. You will be able to take the imitation pearls and thread home with you to continue practicing and perfecting your pearl knotting. We will provide supply kits that you are welcome to purchase from the class but we anticipate you will have many supplies that you can use on your own (we use tweezers, pliers and clippers!) Participants also receive a coupon to purchase The Pearl Girls pearls and supplies for 25% off in case you want to knot a genuine cultured pearl necklace or bracelet for someone yourself or someone you love.
The same is true if you prefer to work with metal wire and pearls. Abby will teach you everything and supplies will be included!
The minimum number of participants is 4 and you get the discounted price of $39 per person! The max is 6 to allow for lots of one-on-one time although, again, we can be flexible. We will provide everything you need to work while in the class and you will receive your own imitation pearls and thread to work on in class and at home.
*Please note* speciality classes may cost more if you and your group decide to use different pearls, 14K gold findings or more! It all depends on supply costs!
As a participant of our class, you are eligible to purchase unknotted pearls at 25% OFF up to 1 month after your class!! Are you a bride wanting to string pearls for your bridal party, mother or special friend or relative. How amazing to create high quality pearl jewelry for these amazing women in your life!! Holidays, here we come. You are going to be the best gift giver ever!!
You will learn to knot amazing cultured pearl jewelry! This can enhance your own jewelry business!
If you have any questions, please let us know! Email us at info@thepearlgirls.com or call us at 706-850-5296.
Once you register, please mark your calendar! Class registration is not refundable.


Mark Willen was born, raised, and educated in New England, where he developed a special appreciation for the values, humor, and strength of its people, as well as the sense of community that characterizes so many of its small towns.
As a journalist, he has been a reporter, columnist, blogger, producer, and editor at The Voice of America, National Public Radio, Congressional Quarterly, Bloomberg News, and Kiplinger. Though based primarily in Washington, he has reported from datelines as varied as New York, Moscow, Cairo, Beijing, Buenos Aires, and Johannesburg. He has taught journalism ethics and creative writing.
Mark is on the board of the Maryland Writers' Association, serving as treasurer and coordinating the group's Teen Writing Club program, which provides free workshops throughout Maryland for teens who want to develop their creative writing skills. He has a Masters of Arts in writing from Johns Hopkins University (2010) and a Bachelor of Arts in government from Dartmouth College.
Hawke's Discovery is the third novel in Mark's Jonas Hawke series, all of which have been published by Pen-L. His short stories have appeared in The Rusty Nail, Corner Club Press, and The Boiler Review.
Mark lives in Silver Spring, Maryland, with his wife, Janet. He can be reached at www.markwillen.com.