text:
7-night Adriatic Wonders Voyage
Departing from Athens (Piraeus) on June 3, 2023, prices starting at $1,462.
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Stateroom Preference
I'm not sure, I need some assistanceClub World Owner's Suite (Category CW)Club Veranda Plus Stateroom (Category P1)Club Oceanview Stateroom (Category 04)Club Oceanview Stateroom - Obstructed View (Category 08)Club Interior Stateroom (Category 09)Club Ocean Suite (Category CO)Club Veranda Plus Stateroom (Category P2)Club Oceanview Stateroom (Category 05)Club Interior Stateroom (Category 10)Club Spa Suite (Category SP)Club Veranda Plus Stateroom (Category P3)Club Oceanview Stateroom (Category 06)Club Interior Stateroom (Category 11)Club Continent Suite (Category N1)Club Veranda Stateroom (Category V1)Club Interior Stateroom (Category 12)Club Continent Suite (Category N2)Club Veranda Stateroom (Category V2)Club Veranda Stateroom (Category V3)
Departure Airport City
I do not need airfareAlbany, New York, United States (ALB)Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States (ABQ)Atlanta, Georgia, United States (ATL)Baltimore, Maryland, United States (BWI)Billings, Montana, United States (BIL)Birmingham, Alabama, United States (BHM)Boise, Idaho, United States (BOI)Boston, Massachusetts, United States (BOS)Buffalo, New York, United States (BUF)Calgary, Alberta, Canada (YYC)Charleston, South Carolina, United States (CHS)Charlotte, North Carolina, United States (CLT)Chicago, Illinois, United States (MDW)Chicago, Illinois, United States (ORD)Cincinnati, Ohio, United States (CVG)Cleveland, Ohio, United States (CLE)Columbus, Ohio, United States (CMH)Dallas/Fort Worth, Texas, United States (DFW)Dayton, Ohio, United States (DAY)Denver, Colorado, United States (DEN)Des Moines, Iowa, United States (DSM)Detroit, Michigan, United States (DTW)Edmonton, Alberta, Canada (YEG)Fargo, North Dakota, United States (FAR)Fort Lauderdale, Florida, United States (FLL)Fort Myers, Florida, United States (RSW)Fresno, California, United States (FAT)Grand Rapids, Michigan, United States (GRR)Hartford, Connecticut, United States (BDL)Honolulu, Hawaii, United States (HNL)Houston, Texas, United States (IAH)Huntsville/Decatur, Alabama, United States (HSV)Indianapolis, Indiana, United States (IND)Jackson, Mississippi, United States (JAN)Jacksonville, Florida, United States (JAX)Kansas City, Missouri, United States (MCI)Knoxville, Tennessee, United States (TYS)Las Vegas, Nevada, United States (LAS)Little Rock, Arkansas, United States (LIT)Los Angeles, California, United States (LAX)Louisville, Kentucky, United States (SDF)Lubbock, Texas, United States (LBB)Madison, Wisconsin, United States (MSN)Memphis, Tennessee, United States (MEM)Miami, Florida, United States (MIA)Milwaukee, Wisconsin, United States (MKE)Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States (MSP)Montreal, Quebec, Canada (YUL)Nashville, Tennessee, United States (BNA)New Orleans, Louisiana, United States (MSY)New York, New York, United States (JFK)New York, New York, United States (LGA)Newark, New Jersey, United States (EWR)Norfolk, Virginia, United States (ORF)Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, United States (OKC)Omaha, Nebraska, United States (OMA)Orlando, Florida, United States (MCO)Ottawa, Ontario, Canada (YOW)Palm Beach, Florida, United States (PBI)Palm Springs, California, United States (PSP)Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States (PHL)Phoenix, Arizona, United States (PHX)Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States (PIT)Portland, Oregon, United States (PDX)Quebec, Quebec, Canada (YQB)Raleigh/Durham, North Carolina, United States (RDU)Richmond, Virginia, United States (RIC)Rochester, New York, United States (ROC)Sacramento, California, United States (SMF)Saint Louis, Missouri, United States (STL)Salt Lake City, Utah, United States (SLC)San Antonio, Texas, United States (SAT)San Diego, California, United States (SAN)San Francisco, California, United States (SFO)Savannah, Georgia, United States (SAV)Seattle, Washington, United States (SEA)Spokane, Washington, United States (GEG)Syracuse, New York, United States (SYR)Tahoe/Reno, Nevada, United States (RNO)Tampa, Florida, United States (TPA)Toronto, Ontario, Canada (YYZ)Tucson, Arizona, United States (TUS)Tulsa, Oklahoma, United States (TUL)Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (YVR)Victoria, British Columbia, Canada (YYJ)Washington, District of Columbia, United States (DCA)Washington, District of Columbia, United States (IAD)Wichita, Kansas, United States (ICT)Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada (YWG)
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Jun 03, 2023 to Jun 10, 2023 · Athens (Piraeus) to Venice (Fusina) · Azamara · Azamara Onward
Cruise Line Azamara
Cruise Ship Azamara Onward
Departure Date Jun 03, 2023
Departure Port Athens (Piraeus)
Starting Price $1,462
Arrival Time Arrival
Departure Time Departure
Athens (Piraeus)
Venice (Fusina)
The Azamara experience doesn't pause when you depart a destination, it continues onboard with our top-tier crew, premiere service and fleet of boutique ships.
Azamara ships are not too big, and they're not too small, so you won't run out of new things to do and new people to meet. Plus, with the newest addition to our fleet—the Azamara Onward? — you have even more choices in immersive itineraries that call on the world's most unparalleled destinations.
Passenger Decks
Total Crew
(Category N2)
Pricing not available online.
Club Veranda Plus Stateroom
(Category P3)
Club Veranda Stateroom
(Category V1)
Club Spa Suite
(Category SP)
Club World Owner's Suite
(Category CW)
(Category 11)
(Category CO)
$1,462 /person
Club Oceanview Stateroom - Obstructed View
Package Inclusions
INCLUSIVE AMENITIES FOR ALL GUESTS:
Self-service laundry
PLUS ADDITIONAL INCLUSIVES FOR SUITE GUESTS:
English butler service
235 complimentary internet minutes, per guest
Complimentary seating in the specialty restaurants
One free bag of laundry service per suite, each seven days
Afternoon tea service in-suite
$300 Onboard Credit per person
(Club World Owners, Club Ocean & Spa Suite categories only)
Cabin Legend
Club World Owner's Suite (CW)
Club Ocean Suite (CO)
Club Spa Suite (SP)
Club Continent Suite (N1)
Club Veranda Plus Stateroom (P1)
Club Veranda Stateroom (V1)
Club Oceanview Stateroom (04)
Club Oceanview Stateroom - Obstructed View (08)
Club Interior Stateroom (09)
Fares/rates are per person, based on double occupancy for select sail and travel dates; are capacity controlled and subject to availability at time booking and may be pulled without notice. We reserve the right to correct errors. Information and pricing is subject to change without notice. While we do our very best to ensure that information and pricing appearing in this website is complete and accurate, we cannot be responsible for incomplete and inaccurate representations, which may or may not be under our control. In the event of a pricing error, misrepresentation or omission, we reserve the right to adjust the pricing or make any other corrections.
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High Performance Mindset | Learn from World-Class Leaders, Consultants, Athletes & Coaches about Mindset
195: The Power of Positive with Jim Thompson, Founder & Chief Executive Officer, Positive Coaching Alliance
Jim Thompson, founder and CEO of Positive Coaching Alliance, started PCA in 1998 to transform the culture of youth sports into a Development Zone™ with the goal to develop Better Athletes, Better People. PCA's vision of youth sports as a Development Zone has attracted the support and involvement of many elite coaches, athletes, academics and business leaders in this country.
Jim received an MBA from Stanford where he was Director of the Public Management Program, named during his tenure as the nation's top non-profit business management program. He has written nine books on youth sports including: Positive Coaching, The Double-Goal Coach, Shooting in the Dark, Elevating Your Game and Developing Better Athletes, Better People.
Jim is on Stanford's Continuing Studies Program faculty where he teaches courses in coaching, leadership, and sport & spiritually.
In this interview, Jim and Cindra talk about:
Why he started Positive Coaching Alliance in 1998 and how they built a movement How we can fill our emotional tank and the tanks of others His ELM Tree of Mastery The magic ratio of positive comments The best way to respond to ensure our people know we have their backs Why psychological safety is important to develop as a leader
You can find a full description of the Podcast at cindrakamphoff.com/jimthompson

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


[Base Erosion and Profit Shifting article] - On 19 July 2013, OECD presented a 15 point plan to the G20 on BEPS. This article summarizes its key messages.
[Facts About GCP Engine presentation] - Reveals some difficulties the majority of the international companies face at the fields of group costing, supply chain, value chain and material ledger. The solution recommended by IM&C is the unique Group Costing and Profitability (GCP) Engine.
From the beginning of the project "SAP service parts management", IM&C is involved in business-related specifications and technical designs.
[GCP product flyer] - Illustrates clearly the range of application and benefits of the GCP engine for global creation of value. It covers the areas corporate profit margin costin in an international production network, forecast accuracy with GCP, and cross company cost allocation.
[GCP product whitepaper / presentation] - Illustrates the tension between supply- and value chain and elaborates the difference between local and global cost component splitting.
In conclusion the presentation shows that the components of GCP engine solve the problem and explains planning integration with GCP in SAP-world.
This presentation shows the usage of GCP Engine for corporate transfer pricing. Legal basics as well as business benefits are summarized resulting from the usage of GCP Engine.
[GCP whitepaper / presentation of reporting] - This presentation includes some of the GCP reporting functions. The advanced reporting is available with the component GCP Analytics. Make yourself a picture about the uniqueness of this solution.


I was wondering when there would be a review of the DVD set of The Magician with Bill Bixby?
12 years between posts; welcome back!
Here is the DVD cover.
View Next Unread Remember that loud MGM DVD logo from 1998?


Technology - Do You Really Need An Upgrade?
Now I'll be the first to admit that I'm a technology hungry stereo typical gadget man who's always looking at the latest shiny bit of kit on the high street!
Its safe to say that over the last 20 years the advances in technology have been moving so fast that its almost impossible to buy something without it going out of date within a few months!
Two years ago I purchased a mobile phone that was at the cutting edge of technology, boasting to be able to do anything I could possibly need it to do in my every day life bar make the dinner!
The question I often ask myself is, "Will my life really see the benefits from an upgrade"?
Being a photographer I thought it was quite important to have a nice display and have the ability to be able to look at and share my latest work with friends, family and potential clients. But do we really need those extra pixels per inch that the new phones are offering? Is it that important for the photograph I'm showing my family or friends to load up 2 seconds faster than the previous models did?
When I think of it in those terms it's not exactly ground breaking stuff that comes with an average upgrade these days.
A number of years back when the likes of Nokia flooded the market with their rock solid brick like devices, we were able to send an SMS (text message) which was amazing! That felt like a massive step forward. Then a few years later they added email! This was great for business giving us the ability to attach and send documents etc on the go!...Fantastic! Now — we have the ability to access and actively surf the internet at our leisure, as well as completely organize our lives within them! What more can they cram into such a small hand held device?
Its even got to a point now where some people don't see the need anymore to splash out on a laptop computer, as their mobile phone / iPad can easily carry out the daily tasks that they would have used it for at any time, and at almost any location!!
It seems now that the only way to lure you into parting with your hard earned cash is to try to convince you that these new devices simply do all of the above faster and better.
With the new IPhone 5 just about to be rolled out, their competitors are now trying to convince us why we should buy their phones instead.
A handset, called the Oppo Find 5, features an impressive 5in HD 1080p 1920x1080p resolution touchscreen display with a pixel density of 441ppi (pixels per inch). In comparison, the IPhone 5 features a 4in 1136x640 resolution touchscreen with 326ppi.
It's not just the Iphone 5 that Oppo's Find 5 smartphone makes a mockery of, as it also puts the Samsung Galaxy S3 (306ppi), the HTC One X (312ppi) and the Nokia Lumia 920 (332ppi) to shame.
All well and good, but why would someone use these comparisons as a deal breaker when the human eye can only perceive around 320dpi anyway!
Apple says you can't perceive flaws in their retina display. If you think you can tell the difference between 300 dpi and 2400 dpi, a) you can't, and b) you may just be seeing the increased color depth that comes from laying 8 times as many sprays of ink in an area (but not resolution--i.e. it won't look less jaggedy.) So cheap printers brag about being 2400 dpi or even 4800 dpi, but in the professional world the million dollar machines are generally only designed with 300 or 600 dpi in mind.
So if you have an IPhone 4 (for example) do you honestly really need that upgrade? Yes, the IPhone 5 will run faster and have some quirky add ons you may probably use once in a while, but is that so important?
I say this to myself as well as well as everyone else who is reading this.
Its important before you even consider upgrading your technology to ask this question: What problem are we going to be solving by upgrading to the latest bit of technology? Too many people forget what business they're in, walking around with the latest cutting edge devices and installing fancy new systems that don't address any specific needs. Sometimes they're talked into it by vendors or persistent sales people; sometimes it's the brainchild of a computer-savvy manager or staff member. Far too often the result is a lot of money spent on new technological systems and no increase in productivity. If you don't have a goal, you'll never reach it. There's a great saying I like, "If you don't know where you're going, pull over and stop 'cause you're already there." This is rarely more true than in technology where you are constantly bombarded with possible routes in the form of cool toys like phones, tablets, cameras & computers - but unless you have a destination it makes no sense to even start the car!
Personally, having invested in the apple brand over the last few years, it makes sense for my business to have an Apple phone to sync to my home computers calendar, contacts and documents, thus making everyday tasks readily available on each of the devices through the iCloud. But unless there's a damn good reason to shell out for that expensive upgrade, it may be worth stopping to think before you do - do I really need it?
Photography Under the Sun - Not the Best Idea!
Whilst the weather has been pretty good up here in the North east of late I thought i'd have a run out with local model 'Charlotte' from Redcar to a nearby location that i visited not so long ago with Kate Ashley.
With the sun belting down and the temperature well above 20oC, we could have easily been on a spanish coast!
Now you may think this must be great to take a camera out for a model shoot, with the sun on your back, warm wind through your hair and amongst nice surroundings etc but without an assistant holding a reflector this can cause a few problems to the resulting shots.
The first thing a photographer needs to do on a beautiful sunny day is to get rid of the 'top light'.
This is the light shining straight down onto the models head during the mid-day hours. If you don't do this you end up with a 'panda eyes' effect. This is where the bright mid-day sun shining down from directly above casts shadows over them creating a dark pocket look.
You may have noticed that the photographer at the last wedding you attended (if the sun was shining that is) took the bride and groom under a tree, or maybe made them pose just under the church doorway? This is simply to eliminate the "top light" effect. Even if you do happen to have an assistant who can hold a reflector for you to reflect a little light back into the face, this can often cause the bride/model to squint making the shot just as bad!
The shot above suffers a little from this effect but thought that this was probably one of my better shots of the day. Approximately 50-60% of the others from the shoot suffered pretty badly from it!
As it happens this wasn't a paid shoot and we both knew having discussed this on the way that it wasn't the ideal time of day with the weather being so sunny to be shooting out in the open. But as we were out to experiment with a few ideas we didn't mind and it didn't stop us having a ! If this was a paid shoot for a client i would have approached it totally differently. I would definitely not have have shot it mid-day! I would have instead waited until the end of the day when the sun was low, or maybe arranged it for first thing on a morning where the sun would have been skimming across the landscape giving a nice glow to Charlottes face and body.
For the shoot i took with me my 19inch McGillicuddy beauty dish to try to splash a bit of light back at charlottes face, but it still wasn't really enough to make the eyes light up like one would like.
Ive added a shot below that suffered really badly from 'top light' as an example as well as a few close up shots that just managed to avoid it.
Until the next time, thanks for reading!
Dark panda eyes effect brought on by the mid-day sun!
A perfect example of why NOT to shoot under the mid-day sun!
Top light in this shot has given Charlotte 2 black eyes as well as a slight squint from the bright sun..Not nice!
Charlottes eyes are a little clearer in this shot.
I managed to just about get away with this shot with it being a little closer in. A very slight frown brought on by the bright sun is still evident though.
I love the wheaty tones in this shot. Eyes stiil a little dark but just get away with it here i think!
This just about escaped the top light effect with the eyes being nice and clear.
One of the last shots of the day utilising an underpass nearby.
A couple of flashguns and a blue gell to light the underpass up used in this shot. Taken just before a local police officer walked past THREE TIMES!! before asking us to stop shooting!!


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/ Transportation
Cramer: Why GM's Flat Earnings Expectations Are a Win
And why the airlines could do better than expected in the longer term.
By JIM CRAMER Sep 20, 2016 | 07:12 AM EDT
Stocks quotes in this article: GM, F, UAL, DAL, AAL
If General Motors (GM) reports flat earnings for a couple of years, it's a win. That was the thesis yesterday behind the upgrade of the auto company that had been hated by Morgan Stanley for so long. I admitted to being dazed when I saw it. The analyst had been negative for ages on the stock, so it was a begrudging upgrade, for certain. Then when the Street estimates for GM at earnings of $5.85 a share this year, $5.75 next year and $5.57 in 2018, I said, holy cow, that would be a big deal to be flat for the next two years.
No wonder it caused the stock to be one of the biggest gainers.
With the average stock selling at about 18x earnings, it's no wonder that this one sells at 6x, given that it is expected to have two down years in a row. GM's stock has the same problem that Ford (F) has, as well as the issues of three airlines, United Continental (UAL) , American (AAL) and Delta (DAL) : a belief by analysts that the present is going to be much better than the future. F is a holding in the Dividend Stock Advisor portfolio.
That's a pretty darned exclusive club, and it's a real statement for both the autos and the airlines, because there's no particular reason why both industries have to have down years.
The companies are all concerned about the near term, but they are very bullish about the out-years.
The analysts, obviously, not so much.
Who will be right?
I find it hard to believe that both groups will have two down years.
First, I think that a lot of the problems for the airlines have to do with the addition of capacity to take advantage of higher fares. Even after all of the consolidation, the airlines returned to their old coloration this past year -- and have engaged in fare wars all over the place. They simply couldn't resist.
At the same time, foreign travel has become increasingly difficult. First, there's the strong dollar, which has put a real crimp on tourism coming here. Then there's fear of terrorism, which has cut traffic to Europe. Then there's the decline in the economies in Latin America, which has hurt traffic for all of these airlines. Finally there's the unchronicled Zika dropoff. That's a lot of headwinds that are expected to stay headwinds, and I just don't think that this parade of horribles has two years left to it.
All that has to happen for the airlines to turn it around is to pull their most competitive routes, so that margins can expand and revenue per seat mile goes higher. Then they can take all of their cash and buy back stock aggressively, assuring that the additional profit drops to an expanded bottom line. I think that's very doable.
The autos? Tougher. They face real headwinds longer term: driverless cars, Uber as a way of life, younger people no longer getting cars or licenses as soon as possible. These seem to be worldwide concerns.
Short term, though, I think there's some reason for optimism, too. The United States is strong -- and could stay strong with these levels of unemployment and low gasoline prices. Unlike so many of my colleagues, I think that Europe, with 770 million people, isn't going to put up negative numbers this year with these incredibly low interest rates and a central bank that will not stop until some economic activity picks up. Plus the euro is at a 15-year low and immigration explosion could cause even the tight-fisted Germans to spend money. I think betting against Europe out two years seems just ill-advised.
Latin America's tough. But Brazil could be going the way of Argentina, and Venezuela's chaos is unsustainable. Mexico is strong. I think the peso is troughing.
Finally there's China -- and this is where my optimism explodes. GM's doing very well in China. Last year, it sold 3 million cars in the United States. But it sold 3.6 million in China. This will be an even better year, with sales up 8.1% over 2015 so far -- and August was up 18% over the previous year.
GM, like the airlines, needs to take that cash and buy as many shares as it can, and then there will not be a down year ahead.
Now, will this kind of financial engineering "count?" Look at the gains in the packaged goods group -- with no organic growth but lots of bought growth through share shrinkage.
No one cares how you get to higher estimates. They will pay more for them. That's why I think Morgan Stanley will be right, and most of the airlines are buys not sells. I know they are all awful, I just want don't want to rule out that the future must be dimmer than the past.
Action Alerts PLUS, which Cramer co-manages as a charitable trust, has no positions in the stocks mentioned.
TAGS: Investing | U.S. Equity | Transportation | Earnings | Gaming | Markets | Analyst Actions | Stocks
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This ETF Might Float Your Boat If You're Looking to Capitalize on Shipping
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Supply chain issues would indicate that investing in the shipping space might produce a payoff; here are a few ways to do it, though I favor one in particular.


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All articles filed in News
Tiny Moving Parts sign to Hopeless Records and release new single
By: High Fives & Stage Dives June 30, 2019
NewsNewsLeave a Comment on Tiny Moving Parts sign to Hopeless Records and release new single
Listen to Medicine off of the band's forthcoming record breathe now. Hopeless Records is excited to announce the signing of Tiny Moving Parts. Today, they've shared Medicine the first single from the band's forthcoming album breathe, out 13 September 2019. Speaking of the track, Dylan Mattheisen said, "Medicine is about everything around you falling apart. When people come and go in…
Listen to Dashboard Confessional's 'Now Is Then Is Now'
NewsNewsLeave a Comment on Listen to Dashboard Confessional's 'Now Is Then Is Now'
The release is a Special Surprise Re-Imagination And Re-Recording of his classic records. As punk rock proliferated radio airwaves, Dashboard Confessional cemented their role at the vanguard of an entire music scene. Facing familiar aches with tenderness and precision, singer-songwriter Chris Carrabba rocketed the band into mainstream focus, solidifying their place as one of the…
WhoHurtYou release debut single 'Wish We Never Met'
NewsNewsLeave a Comment on WhoHurtYou release debut single 'Wish We Never Met'
The band have signed to Parlophone (UK) and Fueled By Ramen (ROW) with their debut EP set for release later this year. All Time Low guitarist Jack Barakat and singer/songwriter Kevin Fisher aka Sweet Talker have announced their new project WhoHurtYou. The duo have signed to Parlophone (UK) and Fueled By Ramen (ROW) and shared…
Goo Goo Dolls drop new single 'Miracle Pill'
NewsNewsLeave a Comment on Goo Goo Dolls drop new single 'Miracle Pill'
The band's brand new record is due for release later this year. Multi-platinum, four-time GRAMMY-nominated rock band Goo Goo Dolls have unveiled their new single Miracle Pill via Warner Records. The track will be featured on the band's brand new album of the same name set to be released this fall. Underscored by a memorable piano…
High Fives with … Dave Hause
Interviews, NewsInterview, Interviews, NewsLeave a Comment on High Fives with … Dave Hause
We caught up with Dave Hause about his new record, life with twins and touring. Dave Hause's new album Kick that will be released on 12 April through Rise Records and kicking was the very first thing he saw his recentlynewborn twins do, it's also something he has been much throughout his life and career.…
SUM 41 release emotional new ballad and music video for 'Never There'
NewsNewsLeave a Comment on SUM 41 release emotional new ballad and music video for 'Never There'
The band's new album Order In Decline out 19 July on Hopeless Records. Sum 41 have released an emotionally charged ballad with Never There. Dedicated to single parents everywhere, the song is a personal letter from lead singer Deryck Whibley. The track is one of the band's heaviest songs to date, but in an entirely different…
Pretty Vicious announce debut album 'Beauty Of Youth'
NewsNewsLeave a Comment on Pretty Vicious announce debut album 'Beauty Of Youth'
The record is set for release on 12 July – so mark your calendar! Pretty Vicious today reveal details of their anticipated debut album Beauty Of Youth due for release on 12 July on Big Machine / John Varvatos Records / Virgin EMI. The album's twelve tracks of youthfully exuberant, feedback soaked anthems sees the light…
Sleeping With Sirens announce new record and drop new single
NewsNewsLeave a Comment on Sleeping With Sirens announce new record and drop new single
How It Feels To Be Lost is set for release on 6 September via Sumerian Records. Gold-certified quintet, Sleeping WIth Sirens have today announced that their fifth full-length album, How It Feels To Be Lost, will be released via Sumerian Records in September. The band have also released the first track from the album – Leave…
Decay open up about alcoholism and family rifts on new single 'Lullaby'
NewsNewsLeave a Comment on Decay open up about alcoholism and family rifts on new single 'Lullaby'
Liverpool Emo newcomers to release debut EP Modern Conversation on 5 July 2019 via Fox Records. The closing track to the record, Lullaby succinctly draws a line under the main theme of the EP and adds plenty of context, as vocalist Danny Reposar explains: "This song mainly tells the story of when I gave up trying…
The Dirty Nil release brand new song 'Astro Ever After'
NewsNewsLeave a Comment on The Dirty Nil release brand new song 'Astro Ever After'
The band are playing London's Black Heart tomorrow night. Hamilton, ON trio, The Dirty Nil, have released a brand new song, in the form of Astro Ever After'. The track is a favourite from the Master Volume sessions, and something the band held onto because "it deserves its own moment to f***ing shine." "Astro Ever…


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package com.ibm.bi.dml.utils;

import java.lang.management.CompilationMXBean;
import java.lang.management.GarbageCollectorMXBean;
import java.lang.management.ManagementFactory;
import java.util.Arrays;
import java.util.Comparator;
import java.util.HashMap;
import java.util.List;
import java.util.Map.Entry;
import java.util.Set;
import java.util.concurrent.atomic.AtomicLong;

import com.ibm.bi.dml.api.DMLScript;
import com.ibm.bi.dml.hops.OptimizerUtils;
import com.ibm.bi.dml.runtime.controlprogram.caching.CacheStatistics;
import com.ibm.bi.dml.runtime.controlprogram.context.SparkExecutionContext;
import com.ibm.bi.dml.runtime.instructions.Instruction;
import com.ibm.bi.dml.runtime.instructions.InstructionUtils;
import com.ibm.bi.dml.runtime.instructions.MRJobInstruction;
import com.ibm.bi.dml.runtime.instructions.cp.FunctionCallCPInstruction;
import com.ibm.bi.dml.runtime.instructions.spark.SPInstruction;

/**
 * This class captures all statistics.
 */
public class Statistics
{

	private static long lStartTime = 0;
	private static long lEndTime = 0;
	public static long execTime=0;

	// number of compiled/executed MR jobs
	private static int iNoOfExecutedMRJobs = 0;
	private static int iNoOfCompiledMRJobs = 0;

	// number of compiled/executed SP instructions
	private static int iNoOfExecutedSPInst = 0;
	private static int iNoOfCompiledSPInst = 0;

	//JVM stats
	private static long jitCompileTime = 0; //in milli sec
	private static long jvmGCTime = 0; //in milli sec
	private static long jvmGCCount = 0; //count

	//HOP DAG recompile stats (potentially high update frequency)
	private static AtomicLong hopRecompileTime = new AtomicLong(0); //in nano sec
	private static AtomicLong hopRecompilePred = new AtomicLong(0); //count
	private static AtomicLong hopRecompileSB = new AtomicLong(0);   //count

	//Spark-specific stats
	private static long sparkCtxCreateTime = 0;

	//PARFOR optimization stats
	private static long parforOptTime = 0; //in milli sec
	private static long parforOptCount = 0; //count
	private static long parforInitTime = 0; //in milli sec
	private static long parforMergeTime = 0; //in milli sec

	//heavy hitter counts and times
	private static HashMap<String,Long> _cpInstTime   =  new HashMap<String, Long>();
	private static HashMap<String,Long> _cpInstCounts =  new HashMap<String, Long>();

	public static synchronized void setNoOfExecutedMRJobs(int iNoOfExecutedMRJobs) {
		Statistics.iNoOfExecutedMRJobs = iNoOfExecutedMRJobs;
	}

	public static synchronized int getNoOfExecutedMRJobs() {
		return iNoOfExecutedMRJobs;
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementNoOfExecutedMRJobs() {
		iNoOfExecutedMRJobs ++;
	}

	public static synchronized void decrementNoOfExecutedMRJobs() {
		iNoOfExecutedMRJobs --;
	}

	public static synchronized void setNoOfCompiledMRJobs(int numJobs) {
		iNoOfCompiledMRJobs = numJobs;
	}

	public static synchronized int getNoOfCompiledMRJobs() {
		return iNoOfCompiledMRJobs;
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementNoOfCompiledMRJobs() {
		iNoOfCompiledMRJobs ++;
	}

	public static synchronized void setNoOfExecutedSPInst(int numJobs) {
		iNoOfExecutedSPInst = numJobs;
	}

	public static synchronized int getNoOfExecutedSPInst() {
		return iNoOfExecutedSPInst;
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementNoOfExecutedSPInst() {
		iNoOfExecutedSPInst ++;
	}

	public static synchronized void setNoOfCompiledSPInst(int numJobs) {
		iNoOfCompiledSPInst = numJobs;
	}

	public static synchronized int getNoOfCompiledSPInst() {
		return iNoOfCompiledSPInst;
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementNoOfCompiledSPInst() {
		iNoOfCompiledSPInst ++;
	}

	/**
	 *
	 * @param count
	 */
	public static void resetNoOfCompiledJobs( int count )
	{
		//reset both mr/sp for multiple tests within one jvm

		if(OptimizerUtils.isSparkExecutionMode()) {
			setNoOfCompiledSPInst(count);
			setNoOfCompiledMRJobs(0);
		}
		else{
			setNoOfCompiledMRJobs(count);
			setNoOfCompiledSPInst(0);
		}
	}

	/**
	 *
	 * @param count
	 */
	public static void resetNoOfExecutedJobs( int count )
	{
		//reset both mr/sp for multiple tests within one jvm

		if(OptimizerUtils.isSparkExecutionMode()) {
			setNoOfExecutedSPInst(count);
			setNoOfExecutedMRJobs(0);
		}
		else {
			setNoOfExecutedMRJobs(count);
			setNoOfExecutedSPInst(0);
		}
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementJITCompileTime( long time ) {
		jitCompileTime += time;
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementJVMgcTime( long time ) {
		jvmGCTime += time;
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementJVMgcCount( long delta ) {
		jvmGCCount += delta;
	}

	public static void incrementHOPRecompileTime( long delta ) {
		//note: not synchronized due to use of atomics
		hopRecompileTime.addAndGet(delta);
	}

	public static void incrementHOPRecompilePred() {
		//note: not synchronized due to use of atomics
		hopRecompilePred.incrementAndGet();
	}

	public static void incrementHOPRecompilePred(long delta) {
		//note: not synchronized due to use of atomics
		hopRecompilePred.addAndGet(delta);
	}

	public static void incrementHOPRecompileSB() {
		//note: not synchronized due to use of atomics
		hopRecompileSB.incrementAndGet();
	}

	public static void incrementHOPRecompileSB(long delta) {
		//note: not synchronized due to use of atomics
		hopRecompileSB.addAndGet(delta);
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementParForOptimCount(){
		parforOptCount ++;
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementParForOptimTime( long time ) {
		parforOptTime += time;
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementParForInitTime( long time ) {
		parforInitTime += time;
	}

	public static synchronized void incrementParForMergeTime( long time ) {
		parforMergeTime += time;
	}

	/**
	 * Starts the timer, should be invoked immediately before invoking
	 * Program.execute()
	 */
	public static void startRunTimer() {
		lStartTime = System.nanoTime();
	}

	/**
	 * Stops the timer, should be invoked immediately after invoking
	 * Program.execute()
	 */
	public static void stopRunTimer() {
		lEndTime = System.nanoTime();
	}

	/**
	 * Returns the total time of run in nanoseconds.
	 *
	 * @return
	 */
	public static long getRunTime() {
		return lEndTime - lStartTime;
	}

	public static void reset()
	{
		hopRecompileTime.set(0);
		hopRecompilePred.set(0);
		hopRecompileSB.set(0);

		parforOptCount = 0;
		parforOptTime = 0;
		parforInitTime = 0;
		parforMergeTime = 0;

		resetJITCompileTime();
		resetJVMgcTime();
		resetJVMgcCount();
		resetCPHeavyHitters();
	}

	/**
	 *
	 */
	public static void resetJITCompileTime(){
		jitCompileTime = -1 * getJITCompileTime();
	}

	public static void resetJVMgcTime(){
		jvmGCTime = -1 * getJVMgcTime();
	}

	public static void resetJVMgcCount(){
		jvmGCTime = -1 * getJVMgcCount();
	}

	/**
	 *
	 */
	public static void resetCPHeavyHitters(){
		_cpInstTime.clear();
		_cpInstCounts.clear();
	}

	/**
	 *
	 * @param ns
	 */
	public static void setSparkCtxCreateTime(long ns) {
		sparkCtxCreateTime = ns;
	}

	public static String getCPHeavyHitterCode( Instruction inst )
	{
		String opcode = null;

		if( inst instanceof MRJobInstruction )
		{
			MRJobInstruction mrinst = (MRJobInstruction) inst;
			opcode = "MR-Job_"+mrinst.getJobType();
		}
		else if( inst instanceof SPInstruction )
		{
			opcode = "SP_"+InstructionUtils.getOpCode(inst.toString());
			if( inst instanceof FunctionCallCPInstruction ) {
				FunctionCallCPInstruction extfunct = (FunctionCallCPInstruction)inst;
				opcode = extfunct.getFunctionName();
				//opcode = extfunct.getNamespace()+Program.KEY_DELIM+extfunct.getFunctionName();
			}
		}
		else //CPInstructions
		{
			opcode = InstructionUtils.getOpCode(inst.toString());
			if( inst instanceof FunctionCallCPInstruction ) {
				FunctionCallCPInstruction extfunct = (FunctionCallCPInstruction)inst;
				opcode = extfunct.getFunctionName();
				//opcode = extfunct.getNamespace()+Program.KEY_DELIM+extfunct.getFunctionName();
			}
		}

		return opcode;
	}

	public synchronized static void maintainCPHeavyHitters( String key, long timeNanos )
	{
		Long oldVal = _cpInstTime.get(key);
		Long newVal = timeNanos + ((oldVal!=null) ? oldVal : 0);
		_cpInstTime.put(key, newVal);

		Long oldCnt = _cpInstCounts.get(key);
		Long newCnt = 1 + ((oldCnt!=null) ? oldCnt : 0);
		_cpInstCounts.put(key, newCnt);
	}

	public static Set<String> getCPHeavyHitterOpCodes()
	{
		return _cpInstTime.keySet();
	}

	/**
	 *
	 * @param num
	 * @return
	 */
	@SuppressWarnings("unchecked")
	public static String getHeavyHitters( int num )
	{
		int len = _cpInstTime.size();
		if( num <= 0 || len <= 0 )
			return "-";

		//get top k via sort
		Entry<String,Long>[] tmp = _cpInstTime.entrySet().toArray(new Entry[len]);
		Arrays.sort(tmp, new Comparator<Entry<String, Long>>() {
		    public int compare(Entry<String, Long> e1, Entry<String, Long> e2) {
		        return e1.getValue().compareTo(e2.getValue());
		    }
		});

		//prepare output string
		StringBuilder sb = new StringBuilder();
		for( int i=0; i<Math.min(num, len); i++ ){
			String key = tmp[len-1-i].getKey();
			sb.append("-- "+(i+1)+") \t");
			sb.append(key);
			sb.append(" \t");
			sb.append(String.format("%.3f", ((double)tmp[len-1-i].getValue())/1000000000));
			sb.append(" sec \t");
			sb.append(_cpInstCounts.get(key));
			sb.append("\n");
		}

		return sb.toString();
	}

	/**
	 * Returns the total time of asynchronous JIT compilation in milliseconds.
	 *
	 * @return
	 */
	public static long getJITCompileTime(){
		long ret = -1; //unsupported
		CompilationMXBean cmx = ManagementFactory.getCompilationMXBean();
		if( cmx.isCompilationTimeMonitoringSupported() )
		{
			ret = cmx.getTotalCompilationTime();
			ret += jitCompileTime; //add from remote processes
		}
		return ret;
	}

	public static long getJVMgcTime(){
		long ret = 0;

		List<GarbageCollectorMXBean> gcxs = ManagementFactory.getGarbageCollectorMXBeans();

		for( GarbageCollectorMXBean gcx : gcxs )
			ret += gcx.getCollectionTime();
		if( ret>0 )
			ret += jvmGCTime;

		return ret;
	}

	public static long getJVMgcCount(){
		long ret = 0;

		List<GarbageCollectorMXBean> gcxs = ManagementFactory.getGarbageCollectorMXBeans();

		for( GarbageCollectorMXBean gcx : gcxs )
			ret += gcx.getCollectionCount();
		if( ret>0 )
			ret += jvmGCCount;

		return ret;
	}

	public static long getHopRecompileTime(){
		return hopRecompileTime.get();
	}

	public static long getHopRecompiledPredDAGs(){
		return hopRecompilePred.get();
	}

	public static long getHopRecompiledSBDAGs(){
		return hopRecompileSB.get();
	}

	public static long getParforOptCount(){
		return parforOptCount;
	}

	public static long getParforOptTime(){
		return parforOptTime;
	}

	public static long getParforInitTime(){
		return parforInitTime;
	}

	public static long getParforMergeTime(){
		return parforMergeTime;
	}

	/**
	 * Prints statistics.
	 *
	 * @return
	 */
	public static String display()
	{
		StringBuilder sb = new StringBuilder();

		sb.append("SystemML Statistics:\n");
		double totalT = getRunTime()*1e-9; // nanoSec --> sec
		sb.append("Total execution time:\t\t" + String.format("%.3f", totalT) + " sec.\n");
		if( OptimizerUtils.isSparkExecutionMode() ) {
			if( DMLScript.STATISTICS ) //moved into stats on Shiv's request
				sb.append("Number of compiled Spark inst:\t" + getNoOfCompiledSPInst() + ".\n");
			sb.append("Number of executed Spark inst:\t" + getNoOfExecutedSPInst() + ".\n");
		}
		else {
			if( DMLScript.STATISTICS ) //moved into stats on Shiv's request
				sb.append("Number of compiled MR Jobs:\t" + getNoOfCompiledMRJobs() + ".\n");
			sb.append("Number of executed MR Jobs:\t" + getNoOfExecutedMRJobs() + ".\n");
		}

		//show extended caching/compilation statistics
		if( DMLScript.STATISTICS )
		{
			sb.append("Cache hits (Mem, WB, FS, HDFS):\t" + CacheStatistics.displayHits() + ".\n");
			sb.append("Cache writes (WB, FS, HDFS):\t" + CacheStatistics.displayWrites() + ".\n");
			sb.append("Cache times (ACQr/m, RLS, EXP):\t" + CacheStatistics.displayTime() + " sec.\n");
			sb.append("HOP DAGs recompiled (PRED, SB):\t" + getHopRecompiledPredDAGs() + "/" + getHopRecompiledSBDAGs() + ".\n");
			sb.append("HOP DAGs recompile time:\t" + String.format("%.3f", ((double)getHopRecompileTime())/1000000000) + " sec.\n");
			if( OptimizerUtils.isSparkExecutionMode() ){
				String lazy = SparkExecutionContext.isLazySparkContextCreation() ? "(lazy)" : "(eager)";
				sb.append("Spark ctx create time "+lazy+":\t"+
						String.format("%.3f", ((double)sparkCtxCreateTime)*1e-9)  + " sec.\n" ); // nanoSec --> sec
			}
			if( parforOptCount>0 ){
				sb.append("ParFor loops optimized:\t\t" + getParforOptCount() + ".\n");
				sb.append("ParFor optimize time:\t\t" + String.format("%.3f", ((double)getParforOptTime())/1000) + " sec.\n");
				sb.append("ParFor initialize time:\t\t" + String.format("%.3f", ((double)getParforInitTime())/1000) + " sec.\n");
				sb.append("ParFor result merge time:\t" + String.format("%.3f", ((double)getParforMergeTime())/1000) + " sec.\n");
			}
			sb.append("Total JIT compile time:\t\t" + ((double)getJITCompileTime())/1000 + " sec.\n");
			sb.append("Total JVM GC count:\t\t" + getJVMgcCount() + ".\n");
			sb.append("Total JVM GC time:\t\t" + ((double)getJVMgcTime())/1000 + " sec.\n");
			sb.append("Heavy hitter instructions (name, time, count):\n" + getHeavyHitters(10));
		}

		return sb.toString();
	}
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
Ethical Issue Concerning Immunizations essay
IMMUNIZATION ETHICS	1
EthicalIssue Concerning Immunizations
UniversityAffiliation
Ethical Issue essay
An International Relationship Issue essay
The issue of individuality essay
Negotiation in six party talks regarding the issue of North Korea's Nuclear Program essay
of the Issue
Immunization has been considered one of the greatest achievements inpublic health. Many common and harmful diseases have been preventedusing vaccination programs. The global coverage of immunization "hasincreased from 75% in 1990 to 83% today" (Goldberg, 2013). Severalsuccess stories can be cited in support of the effectiveness ofvaccination. For example, smallpox has been successfully eradicated.Also, the potency of congenital rubella syndrome has been severelyhampered. Fewer children have been affected by poliovirus infections.Furthermore, vaccination has reduced the incidence of varicella. Inrecent years, new vaccines have been developed to target the humanpapilloma virus in ladies below 25 years of age (El Amin, Parra,Kim-Farley, &amp Fielding, 2012).
However, the rates of vaccine refusal have increased in many regions.For example, the number of kindergarten children that prefer not touse vaccines has grown by 67% within the last decade. Also, 15 stateshave substandard coverage of the MMR vaccine (El Amin et al., 2012).Recent figures indicate that over 22 million children remainunvaccinated and hence at risk of preventable diseases such astetanus and measles (Goldberg, 2013). In the 1880s, the RoyalCommission in England linked the smallpox vaccine to diseases such assyphilis. A similar stand-off occurred in England in 1905. In thisregard, the mandatory smallpox vaccination law was challenged (ElAmin et al., 2012). It was alleged that the government had knowinglywithheld information about the vaccine`s side effects.
In 1998, a magazine article linked measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR)vaccine to increased incidence of autism. Although the findings werelater invalidated due to fraudulent research, the general perceptionhad already been changed. In fact, the rejection rates of the MMRvaccine increased over 15 years after the article was published.Consequently, the UK experienced new cases of mumps and endemicmeasles. Since the late 1990s, over 10 studies have categoricallydisproved any connection between autism and the MMR vaccine (El Aminet al., 2012).
EthicalDimension of the Issue
The ethical dilemma of vaccination lies in the balance betweenprotecting the public and respecting personal choice and autonomy.The government has the mandate to ensure the well-being of bothindividuals and communities. Public health programs have to bedeveloped and implemented for the sake of civilian populations (ElAmin et al., 2012). Endemics and pandemics lead to catastrophic lossof life and property. The government also incurs plenty of costs inbuilding, staffing, and equipping hospitals. Significant amounts arealso spent in providing health insurance while sustaining pensionschemes. The taxman also loses substantial revenues when a highnumber of the population succumbs to preventable diseases. Therefore,the ruling authorities are compelled to seek disease preventionrather than deal with the aftermath.
On the other hand, physicians are under pressure to acquiesce to theparent's right to refuse immunization for their child. Over "20%of parents have concerns about the safety of childhood vaccination"(Glanz, Kraus, &amp Daley, 2015). Besides, 20 states have allowedexemptions to the requirements of school vaccination on the basis ofpersonal beliefs. Other parents have chosen to delay immunization fortheir children. Physicians have also had to deal with parents thatdictate the timing and spacing of their children's vaccines (Glanz,Kraus, &amp Daley, 2015). Consequently, health care professionalshave to negotiate with and persuade parents to lessen theirobjections to vaccines.
Relevanceof Issue to Health Professions
Vaccinations play a significant role in stemming the incidence ofpreventable illnesses. Some diseases such as smallpox have beeneradicated owing to the effectiveness of vaccines. Therefore, healthcare practitioners are deeply concerned about the impact of parentsrestraining their children from undergoing immunizations. In fact,the recent measles epidemic in the U.S. has been blamed on thedeliberate denial of vaccination for young children (Glanz, Kraus, &ampDaley, 2015). Consequently, the community's health is placed injeopardy.
Maintaining high rates of immunization helps to reduce the spread ofpreventable diseases. For example, 95% of the general population hasto be vaccinated so as to prevent the outbreak of measles (Glanz,Kraus, &amp Daley, 2015). Furthermore, high rates of immunizationprotect vulnerable members of the community from contractingdiseases. For example, some portions of the population are hinderedfrom receiving vaccinations due to medical reasons. Other individualsface the threat of vaccine failure due to weak immune systems. Someinfants are also considered too young to bear the impact ofimmunization (Glanz, Kraus, &amp Daley, 2015). The protection ofsuch culpable populations has been of primary importance to healthcare professionals.
Therefore, health professions are particularly adamant on thenecessity of immunizations. In this regard, they have supported theenactment of compulsory laws and guidelines concerning vaccination.In particular, immunization laws have been enforced in variousschools nationwide (Glanz, Kraus, &amp Daley, 2015). Such measuresaim to control and eradicate diseases that cause plenty of hospitaladmissions and deaths.
Pointsof Consensus &amp Difference Concerning Issue
The proponents and opponents of child immunization have variouspoints of difference and consensus. Both groups of individuals areprimarily concerned with the safety of their children. Supporters ofimmunization are customarily moved by a desire to protect the futurewell-being of the children. On the other hand, opposers view therisks of immunization as too substantial to overlook. Moreover, bothviewpoints value the need for transparency. Information pertaining toa particular vaccine must be disclosed before approval for use isgranted. Members of the public have the right to be informed of theside effects associated with different vaccines (El Amin et al.,2012). Honest and accurate information will enable each parent tomake a decision as to whether to allow their children to undergoimmunization.
Furthermore, both clusters favor the application of procedural anddistributive justice. In this respect, all civilians shouldexperience equal benefits from the deployment of public healthmeasures. Vaccines should be made accessible to people from variousbackgrounds. Immunization and other measures of safeguarding publichealth should be applied in both marginalized and affluent areas.Members of the public should be free to seek legal redress if avaccine resulted in unexpected side effects (El Amin et al., 2012).The personal choices and actions made with regards to refusing oraccepting immunization must be respected.
Parents and guardians have provided several reasons so as to explaintheir aversion for vaccines. Firstly, they have been concerned aboutan infant's immunology. Some parents have doubted whether theirchild's immune system could withstand vaccination (Fernbach, 2011).Nevertheless, supporters have highlighted the lack of researchsubstantiating such claims. The immediate immunosuppression due tovaccination does not increase the risk of infection (Fernbach, 2011).Some parents have also been discouraged by the relatively high costsassociated with immunizations. The insufficiency of public healthprograms has rendered vaccinations as unaffordable for some children(Fernbach, 2011). Additionally, many forms of private insurance donot cover the cost of immunizations.
Some parents have developed skepticism towards vaccination due to amisrepresentation of facts in the media (Fernbach, 2011). The sideeffects of vaccines have been exaggerated while the potentialbenefits have been understated. As mentioned, the MMR vaccine waserroneously linked to autism. Preventable diseases occur lessfrequently with the increase in vaccination rates. Subsequently, itis expected that the incidence of side effects will also increase.Sensational media reports are more likely to publish such informationas opposed to the benefits (Fernbach, 2011). Consequently, someparents have concluded that vaccines would harm their children whilegovernments and health care professionals have emphasized thebenefits of immunization.
RelevantEthical Analysis
Healthcare practitioners are guided by several ethical principlessuch as beneficence, nonmaleficence, and autonomy. The standard ofhealthcare practice requires physicians to make treatment decisionsin harmony with ethical principles. The parent's viewpoints must befairly considered before proposing a way forward. Althoughvaccinations have prevented morbidity and mortality, they have alsocaused severe side effects in rare cases (Fernbach, 2011). Ethicalprinciples may be less applicable to children due to their limitedunderstanding.
The principle of autonomy upholds the personal right to choosebetween various courses of action. Infants lack the mental competencerequired to make logical decisions. Therefore, parents have the legalauthority to decide what is best and proper for their children.Parental authority also includes the mandate to make judgments onwhether to accept or refuse immunization. The principle ofbeneficence enforces the physician's moral obligation to "benefitand help others" (Fernbach, 2011). On the other hand, the principleof nonmaleficence prioritizes the avoidance of harmful actions.
The healthcare provider has to examine the potential harm and benefitof immunizing the child vis-à-vis the effects on the community. Inthe first instance, the benefits of immunization the child mustsupersede the potential side effects. The second scenario evaluatesways in which the community will benefit at the expense of theindividual (Fernbach, 2011).
Immunization has beneficial effects on both the individual and thesociety. Failing to perform vaccinations could lead to the spread ofcontagious, deadly diseases. Each person would be at a great risk ofcontracting infections. Immunization does not alter the function,appearance, and structure of body parts. Therefore, an individualshould not be spared of vaccination. Besides, the pain experiencedduring immunization can be alleviated using painkillers and mildanesthetics (Fernbach, 2011). Therefore, a physician would be guidedby such ethical principles to make a consensual decision.
PersonalNursing Professional Response to Issue
Vaccination is an essential factor in reducing morbidity andmortality. The gaps in immunization rates can be addressed by usingsocial media to increase awareness. They can also be used to buildtrust in vaccines while allaying the fears of concerned parents.Parental refusal to immunization has been enhanced by theproliferation of misleading information over the Internet. Therefore,it is crucial to counter the false claims by making reference tofactual information.
Besides, providing detailed and truthful information concerningvaccinations may not suffice to increase immunization rates. In thisregard, it would be proper to use influential members of the societyto add a sense of cultural appeal. Vaccination campaigns mustidentify the most recognizable members of the community and use themto spread the positive message. It may also suffice to learn howsocial cues are enforced in a particular community.
The acceptance or refusal of a vaccine has been determined by thepublic's awareness of the risk and seriousness of contractingdiseases. For example, pertussis was previously prevented using thewhole cell pertussis vaccine. However, several reports were presentedso as to inform the public of the adverse side effects such asfebrile seizures and hypotonic episodes (El Amin et al., 2012).Consequently, the refusal rates increased despite the vaccine'shigh levels of effectiveness. Therefore, the media plays a criticalrole in the perception of vaccines and public health. Physicians andother stakeholders can take advantage of social media and otherInternet platforms so as to increase the rates of immunization.
El Amin, A. N., Parra, M. T., Kim-Farley, R., &amp Fielding, J. E.(2012). Ethical Issues Concerning Vaccination Requirements. PublicHealth Reviews, 34(1), 1-20.
Fernbach, A. (2011). Parental rights and decision making regardingvaccinations: Ethical dilemmas for the primary care provider. Journalof the American Academy of Nurse Practitioners, 23, 336–345.doi: 10.1111/j.1745-7599.2011.00627.x
Glanz, J.M., Kraus, C.R., &amp Daley, M. F. (2015). AddressingParental Vaccine Concerns: Engagement, Balance, and Timing. PLoSBiol 13(8): e1002227. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1002227
Goldberg, A. B. (2013). Leveraging Social Networks to Immunize EveryLast Child. Journal of Health Communication, 18, 1399–1401.


If you're familiar with Football Outsiders, you know that every year we use our KUBIAK projections (available here for a mere $20!) to forecast the upcoming fantasy football season. It's an invaluable tool for fantasy football players, who get not just a list of players ranked by total point production, but a fully customizable spreadsheet that can be designed to sort players by almost any scoring system your league might use. The spreadsheet also lists where players have been taken in drafts on other web sites, so you can see where KUBIAK rankings differ from conventional wisdom. That knowledge can prove even more valuable than the rankings themselves, suggesting not only which players could be most valuable, but also when you're likely to find a steal in later rounds.
Today we'll look at the overrated players, those going higher in drafts than KUBIAK thinks they should. We'll look at underrated players in a separate article next week. Each player is listed with his KUBIAK rank as of August 10, along with his rank in Average Draft Position (ADP), which is where he has actually been going in fantasy drafts. These numbers will show where each player ranks at their position, not overall. Players at different positions can change in overall value greatly depending on league settings and waiver wire rules, but their rankings within their positions shouldn't change much. Obviously, which players are underrated or overrated by ADP may change if your league has non-standard rules.
You can also go back and see who we thought was overrated in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017.
In his five starts last year, Garoppolo threw for 1,542 yards and a half-dozen touchdowns. He produced 82 fantasy points in that stretch, among the top ten quarterbacks over the last five games of the year. Other quarterbacks who produced at least 80 fantasy points over a five-game span included Trevor Siemian (Games 1-5), Jacoby Brissett (Games 3-7), and the man Garoppolo replaced in San Francisco, C.J. Beathard (Games 6-10). Josh McCown, of all people, produced 104 points from Games 8-12. The point is, virtually any quarterback who can win a starting job in the NFL is capable of going on a hot streak over one-third of a season. Garoppolo will probably wind up better than the Siemians and Brissetts of the world, but let's allow him to finish a full season before we rely on him as a fantasy starter.
This, obviously, is all about risk. Luck threw nine passes in an exhibition game against Seattle last week. That brings his total in regular or preseason games since January 2, 2017, to … nine. Luck has been a top-ten fantasy quarterback four times in the past six years, and a top-four player three times, so we understand the temptation. It's just hard to put much faith in a shoulder that has basically kept an entire franchise in limbo for the last 20 months.
This, obviously, is all about age. Brady will be 41 this season. Only once in NFL history has a quarterback that old thrown for more than 20 touchdowns: Warren Moon, who threw for 25 scores with the Seahawks in 1997. Only three others that age (Moon in Seattle in 1998, Vinny Testaverde with Dallas in 2004, and Brett Favre with Minnesota in 2010) have even broken double-digits. Tom Brady has been doing things no quarterback has ever done before for a while now, but he is a human being and he does age, and when his time as a top-end passer comes to an end it is likely to happen swiftly and without mercy. Brady will probably be a good fantasy quarterback this year, but if not, then he may be very bad.
The Chicago Bears ran the ball 46 percent of the time in the first half last year, the highest rate in the league. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball 32 percent of the time in the first half, the lowest rate in the league. Matt Nagy, the coordinator for that pass-wacky offense in Arrowhead Stadium, will be calling the plays this year at Soldier Field. That should mean a lot more throws for Mitchell Trubisky and a lot fewer runs for Jordan Howard.
OK, we're stumped by this one. Mixon was 32nd in fantasy scoring last year, and though he's clearly the top runner in Cincinnati now, Giovani Bernard is still on the roster. So are Andy Dalton, A.J. Green, Tyler Eifert, and last year's first-round draft pick, a now-healthy John Ross. The Bengals have loads of options in the rushing and passing games, and it's not likely that Mixon will get enough touches to be anything more than a low-end RB2.
It appears that a lot of fantasy players were so excited about what a first-round running back could do in a Pete Carroll/Brian Schottenheimer offense that they didn't bother to check whether that running back would actually start. Chris Carson remains atop the depth chart in Seattle, and that's not likely to change -- and even if it does, this still figures to be a committee approach. Someone in your league will probably get stuck with Penny as a starting running back this year, but they're going to be outscored at that position more often than not.
In each of the last three seasons, Jeffery has caught between 52 and 57 passes, for between 789 and 821 yards. Our KUBIAK projection: 56 catches for 794 yards. There's no reason to expect Jeffery to get much more than that at age 28, on a roster that also has Nelson Agholor and Mike Wallace at wide receiver and Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert at tight end.
The riskiest player in all of fantasy football. Gordon has averaged 77.2 receiving yards per game in his career, seventh-most in league history. That's partly due to playing in such a pass-friendly era, but it's still more than contemporary fantasy mainstays such as Mike Evans and DeAndre Hopkins. Among active receivers, only Julio Jones and Antonio Brown have ever gained more receiving yards in a single season than the 1,646 Gordon had in 2013. Either Tyrod Taylor or Baker Mayfield will likely be the best quarterback with whom Gordon has ever played. But since his first year at Baylor in 2009, Gordon has just one thousand-yard season in either college or the pros. He has just 638 yards in 10 games in the last four NFL seasons. The words "suspension" and "suspended" appear 20 times on his Wikipedia page. On July 23 Gordon announced he was leaving the team to tend to his "overall health and treatment plan," and as of August 9 there was still no timetable for Gordon's return. Draft Gordon at your own peril.
The weird thing here is that we're actually projecting a career-high 956 yards for Diggs, along with a half-dozen touchdowns, which is more than he had in two of his first three years. But fantasy players apparently think he will blow all those numbers away. Will the arrival of Kirk Cousins make that much of a difference? Probably not -- Minnesota's last two quarterbacks set an all-time record for completion percentage (since broken) and led the league in passing DVOA, so it's not as if Diggs has been hamstrung by lousy passers. Since Mike Zimmer arrived in Minnesota, the Vikings rank 25th in total passes, so it's not like they're going to be throwing the ball all over the place despite their $84 million man. There's not much reason here to expect Diggs to be more than what he has been.
You'll note that subhead reads "tight end" and not "tight ends," because there's really only one player at the position going too high in drafts -- but that one player is going WAY too high. The Bears guaranteed Burton $18 million over for years and Matt Nagy told the Chicago Sun-Times that the tight end will be playing Travis Kelce's role in his offense, so apparently everyone assumes he'll be putting up 800-plus yards and a half-dozen scores a season. Of course, that same Sun-Times article noted that second-round draft pick Adam Shaheen would still play a big part in the offense, and that Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel, and Tarik Cohen would be catching plenty of passes too. Burton only had 629 yards in four seasons in Philadelphia, so it's not like he has a history of making big plays all over the field. And he's not going to score one touchdown every 4.6 catches like he did last season, either.
For the sake of completeness, I will note that KUBIAK has Jimmy Graham seventh, while his average draft position is fourth, but that's really nitpicking at this position. If you need a tight end late in the draft and Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, and Zach Ertz are off the boards, nobody will blame you for drafting the most obvious goal-line weapon in Aaron Rodgers' arsenal.
Butker led the league with 42 field goal attempts last year even though he only played 13 games. That's 3.2 field goal attempts per game, the most by any kicker since San Francisco's David Akers had 52 in 16 games in 2011. The common thread between those two teams: Alex Smith, the ultimate play-it-safe, take-what-the-defense-gives-you quarterback whose offenses have usually fared well between the 20s but struggled to punch the ball into the end zone. We're lukewarm on what Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will do this year, but there's likely to be an increase in both touchdowns and turnovers in Kansas City, which will mean fewer scoring opportunities for Butker.
In 2016, the Texans had 31 sacks and 11 interceptions; they had 32 and 11 in 2017. We're projecting a mild boost to 39 and 14, but that's still well, well short of what a lot of fantasy players are expecting. It would help if the stars in the front seven were all healthy for once (the trio of J.J. Watt, Whitney Mercilus, and Jadeveon Clowney have only played in 25 games together the last four years) but at this point "healthy" might be a relative term anyway. Can the addition of Tyrann Mathieu make a difference for Houston? Probably not -- he had only 11 interceptions and 4.0 sacks in his 66 games in Arizona. And then there's the "ST" in "D/ST." Houston ranked 26th in special teams DVOA last season. That's very bad, but it was still their best ranking since 2011. Houston has now ranked in the bottom seven in this category six years in a row, including two last-place finishes.
Some of these yardage numbers are misleading because of missed games.
Jeffery has had about 800 yards in each of the past 3 seasons, but in one of those seasons he played only 9 games and put up an astounding 89.7 yards per game. He has averaged 1045 yards per 16 games over the past 3 regular seasons (and 1054 if you include the playoff games), though this number has declined each season.
If Diggs gets 956 receiving yards in 16 games, that would be his lowest yards per game since 2015. He has averaged 1038 yards per 16 games over the past 2 regular seasons (1081 if you include playoffs, and 1094 if you also include rushing yards).
You're not wrong about the pro-rated statistics, but a good fantasy projection system needs to account for guys like Jeffery and Diggs, who consistently miss a few games each year.
That's true, but there's a huge difference between a player who puts up 800 yards in 9 games and one who does it in 16, which is that you get to start someone else for the other 7 games.
Plus, you may want to draft them more highly than Kubiak suggests as a gamble that they'll play 16 games (e.g. Keenan Allen last season).
I agree that most of these guys are overrated, although generally I'd put them somewhere in between their ADP and where KUBIAK has them.
I'd also take Garoppolo and Penny relatively close to their ADP, again based on upside.
This can't be the complete list of the overrated, can it? Even with reasonable selection criteria?
What criteria did you use to select the ones you list? Were the criteria different by position? Did it depend on the difference between ADP and KUBIAK ranking or on something else?
Greatest difference between ADP and KUBIAK rank, among players who were starters by ADP, by position.
This is the way we've done it every year -- three QBs, three RBs, three WRs, three TE, one K, one D/ST. Only difference this year is that we only looked close at one TE, because there's only one TE whose ADP ranking is way out of rank with ours.
If Brady really is the third most overrated starting QB with a difference of just two in the rankings, then ADP is tracking KUBIAK pretty well. There's not much room for a big showing in the underrated list. We shall see.
The correlation between KUBIAK rank and ADP rank for QBs is 0.845. So yeah, most players are being drafted more or less where they should be.
I haven't played fantasy for eight or nine years, and I still look forward to these columns every preseason.
do these kubiak rankings get updated closer to regular season or is it just one and done and i will need to account for changes?
A new version is released every week or so leading up to the season. If you've already bought it, you can re-download from the "My FO Downloads" page. The filename will be different to indicate a different dated version. There is an extra point (LINK) that lists the changes.


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Radioing he had "a ring-side view of the heavens" Air Force officer David G. Simons made history in 1957 aboard his Manhigh II balloon. He rose 101,500 feet above Earth, writing later he could barely comprehend the beauty of the sky. He was celebrated by The New York Times as "The First Space Man."


Readings: (1)Ezekiel 37:12-14, (2)Psalm 130, (3)Romans 8:8-121 and John 11:1-45.
**Jesus was teaching the Good News of the Kingdom and healing many and three years later in Jerusalem, He had Many encounters: the woman at the well to whom He declared: "I am the living water" (John 4:5), the feeding of the 5000 to whom He said: "I am the bread of life" (mark 6:3). Some religious leaders would have been quite angry with Jesus' prominent miracle of the raising of Lazarus from the dead: I am the resurrection and the life" John 11:25.
**In his encounter with Martha and Mary, Lazarus' sisters, Jesus is among good friends once again and appears very human He was always welcome at their home in Bethany, and there are several occasions such as Martha's busy food preparations contrasted with Mary's need for important conversation with Jesus. We can see that Jesus was quite at home with them.
**Ezekiel tells us in the first reading that the Lord "will put his Spirit within you, you shall live…you shall know that I, the Lord have spoken and will act". Ezekiel 37:14 Even from the grave and death experience, Ezekiel writes that they will be brought back.In Romans, Paul insists on the presence and strength of the Spirit of God which raised Jesus to dwell in them and give them life.
**Jesus sees Mary and her friends weeping, becomes disturbed and He himself weeps—a clear sign of his humanity with the death of Lazarus and the family's grief. At the tomb side, Lazarus appears, drops the cloth bindings and comes out.. Jesus tells Martha that hose who believe in Him will never die.
*What has happened here is very profound and we are asked to believe in a transforming resurrection and a life far beyond death. By raising Lazarus from death, Jesus begins events that will lead to his own death.
**The raising of Lazarus from a physical death is a sign for us of a deep awakening to eternal life that comes with Christian faith.
**Let us pray to God,who raised Jesus from the dead as the resurrection and life of all of us who believe.
**And now as a people of resurrection, …we give our attention to those of a different resurrection who live and labour in unjust conditions.
**Development and Peace was founded 50 years ago when Canadian Bishops expressed a desire to raise awareness so that Canadians would better understand the issues of developing countries, mostly in the Global South. The idea of the "Share Lent campaign" was begun. This year's theme "Women at the Heart of Change", highlights the important role in every aspect development and invites us to learn, support and advocate for an equal and inclusive society, where women can participate hand=-in-hand and in fairness with men in building better communities.
**We are part of 164 country members of the world-wide Catholic CARITAS organization which is the second largest humanitarian network in the world.
**We live in a global economy that leaves billions of people in poverty! (repeat) So many fellow human beings are not making it in the world economy as it now functions. And yet we have so much privilege here in Canada as a fully developed country.
** Our actions, partners and projects are firmly guided by teachings of our Catholic faith, the Gospel, a collection known as"Catholic Social Teachings" and many of the encyclicals such as Pope Francis' "Laudato Si, Our Care for our Common Home. This year's theme "Women at the Heart of Change" draws our attention to the sufferings, injustices and obstacles faced by millions of women. It is an act of solidarity on our part to accompany these women and men in their difficult circumstances and to enable them to build better lives.
**The generosity of faithful Canadian Catholics has meant that $600 million dollars have been invested in over 100 countries since the beginning in 1967. Development and Peace currently operates in 46 countries, with 194 projects and 173 different partners.
Berta Cáceres of Honduras was an indigenous Lenca leader, mother and environmental activist who was assassinated in March 2016. She was well-known because of an environmental award and also as a friend of Development and Peace.She was trying to stop the construction of 49 hydro dams and deforestation in her home area.
Rigoberta Menchu from Guatemala and another friend of Development and Peace who continues to work with indigenous Maya who were victimized in a military conflict which killed 200,000 in the 1970's. She won the Nobel Peace Prize for her work. In her younger life, her father was burned and her mother and several siblings were killed.
Ismène Garçonnet of Haïti and a mother of three was involved in Development and Peace`s partner ITECA'S plan to build 800 reinforced houses after the 2010 earthquake in Haiti. Only one among the 800 houses was damaged with Hurricane Matthew at 200/km./hr. back in October 2016.
Rand Sukhaiti of Syria manages traumatized Syrian refugee centres in Turkey which give psychosocial, vocational, computer, literacy and sewing help.
Federal funding for Development and Peace's overseas projects has dropped to an abysmal low in recent years. The new federal budget did not increase overseas aid at all—Canada is at 0.26% of Gross National Product which is a very small amount given that we are a developed and wealthy country.
And now the good news…This month $28.5 million dollars have been entrusted to Development and Peace by the Canadian federal government for longer-term projects over the next three years in Middle Eastern countries affected by the refugee crisis.
What does it mean to put the lives of women at the heart of the action. We have to support and recognize their dignity as equal partners alongside men. This process assures freedom and equality. Thank you for your consideration and generosity for the projects focused on women's needs—all in the direction of love, compassion and life.