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Economic Overview Feature Articles
COP27: Successes & Failures
While 45k attended COP27 in Egypt, the summit was largely overshadowed by the energy crisis, higher inflation, and geopolitical tensions.
Takeaways from COP27
Loss and damage fund
Despite that, COP27 ended with a landmark agreement to create a fund to compensate the developing world for 'loss and damage' caused by climate change. At the same time, the needle barely moved on emissions pledges. That's surprising because the opposite usually occurs—a host of new (if insufficient) emissions pledges, coupled with a lack of climate finance.
However, the deal comes with big question marks. No sums of money were committed, and the details were left to be worked out at next year's COP28 in the UAE. Nevertheless, it marked a major shift in the attitudes of wealthy nations, who have dodged calls for climate reparations for decades.
Indeed, in the run-up to the Egyptian summit, the US climate envoy, John Kerry, had dismissed the idea as unrealistic. Mr Kerry later said Washington was "pleased" to support the deal after it became clear there would be no legal liability.
Adaptation finance for developing countries reached US$29bn in 2020, an increase of 4% from the previous year, according to OECD data. But they would need between US$160-340bn a year by 2030, according to the UN Environmental Programme (UNEP).
Separately, at the G20 summit in Bali, wealthy countries led by the US and Japan agreed to a US$20bn finance deal to Indonesia to help speed up its transition to renewable power. It includes $10bn in public funding and a further $10bn from the private sector.
For its power sector, Indonesia has pledged to cap carbon dioxide emissions at 290Mt by 2030 and reach net zero by 2050. Indonesia will also aim to generate 34% of its electricity from renewables by 2030, up from around 11%. The country generates 60% of its electricity from coal and was the world's ninth-biggest carbon emitter in 2021.
Last year, the US and European countries pledged US$8.5bn to help South Africa retire coal plants and shift to renewable energy. Similar talks are also underway with Vietnam, Senegal, and India.
The 1.5C goal still hanging on for dear life
While progress was made on climate justice, the same cannot be said for decarbonisation. Indeed, in the final text, references to the more ambitious goal of limiting warming to 1.5C were reduced almost to the point of non-existence.
Furthermore, despite apparent support from the US, and the EU, calls to phase down the use of all fossil fuels (not just coal) was scuttled by petrostates like Saudi Arabia and Russia. Annalena Baerbock, the German foreign minister, expressed frustration at "being stonewalled by a number of large emitters and oil producers." That suggests a shift in climate geopolitics from between rich and poor countries, to between fossil fuel exporters and importers.
The world is on track to warm by 2.4-2.6C by 2100, based on the implementation of current emissions pledges by 194 countries that account for more than 90% of all greenhouse gas emissions, according to the UNEP. We expect warming of 2-3-2.5C by the end of the century.
The updated targets announced by countries this year would shave less than 1% off projected 2030 emissions. That's a major shortfall from the 45% reduction required to limit global warming to 1.5C.
The world has already warmed by at least 1.1C from pre-industrial times, scientists have concluded. Every fraction of a degree of additional warming is expected to make extreme weather events more common and intense.
Has Inflation Peaked?
This year's white-hot inflation has likely peaked with headline price growth expected to ease in the coming months. Factory gate prices, shipping rates, and commodity prices have all begun to cool off from record highs.
Global shipping rates have returned largely to pre-pandemic levels. A 20-foot container from China to Northern Europe now costs around US$1.5k, down from US$8k at the start of the year.
The UN FAO food price index slowed to an annual rise of 2% in October, down from its apex of 40% in May 2021. Meanwhile, AME's European composite gas price averaged US$34.52/MMBtu in October, down 32% on-month, on full reservoirs, mild weather, and efficiency measures.
US consumer price inflation has been easing for several months after surging to a 41-year high in June. The country's inflation growth slowed to a 7.7% gain in October, down from 8.2% in September. US employers posted 10.3m job vacancies in October, down from 10.7m in September, in a sign of a cooling labour market.
The EU is finally catching up. The bloc's inflation fell for the first time in 17 months in November, to an annual increase of 10%, down from a record 10.6% in October. Energy price growth moderated to 34.9%, down from 41.5% in October. The fall will ease the pressure on the central bank. We expect the ECB to raise interest rates by 0.5% this month, down from 0.75% at its last two meetings.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has laid the groundwork for a slowdown in monetary tightening as soon as this month. As a result, we continue to expect a 0.5% interest rate hike at the December meeting, down from 0.75% at each of the last four meetings.
Europe's energy crunch will mean the region's inflation will take longer to fall than in the US. While prices are expected to come down in 2023, we expect Eurozone inflation of 6.2%, compared to 3.4% in the US.
But while the gas squeeze has eased, we expect the respite to prove temporary on dwindling Russian supplies. We expect the European composite gas price to average US$46.75/MMBtu in 2023 and US$41.39/MMBtu in 2022. This is compared to the pre-pandemic average (2015-2019) of US$6/MMBtu.
G20 headline inflation is expected to come in at 8.2% in 2022, soaring from 3.8% in 2021. A moderation to 6.6% is expected in 2023, as demand eases from higher interest rates while supply bottlenecks ease.
Economic Expectations
In 2022, global economic growth will come in at 3%, weighed down by tightening monetary conditions to rein in soaring inflation, Europe's energy crisis and China's slowdown.
In 2023, global growth will slow to 2.2% as financial tightening, lower real incomes, weak consumer confidence and high energy prices weighs on consumption and investment.
AME expects US economic output to come in at 1.5% in 2022, on reduced household purchasing power and monetary tightening. In 2023, we expect growth of 0.5%.
We forecast China to grow 3.2% in 2022, as snap Covid-19 lockdowns and property sector woes hit growth. In 2023, we expect growth of 4%, driven by policy measures worth up to 2% of GDP to strengthen infrastructure investment and a rebound from Covid restrictions.
The Eurozone will grow 3.1% in 2022, as high energy and food prices curbs consumer spending and industrial output. In 2023, the region's growth will slow down to just 0.3%, as supply shocks worsen. The German economy will be hit particularly hard given its reliance on Russian gas, contracting by 0.7% in 2023.
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/*	$NecBSD: tmc18c30_pisa.c,v 1.22 1998/11/26 01:59:21 honda Exp $	*/
/*	$NetBSD$	*/

/*-
 * [Ported for FreeBSD]
 *  Copyright (c) 2000
 *      Noriaki Mitsunaga, Mitsuru Iwasaki and Takanori Watanabe.
 *      All rights reserved.
 * [NetBSD for NEC PC-98 series]
 *  Copyright (c) 1996, 1997, 1998
 *	NetBSD/pc98 porting staff. All rights reserved.
 *  Copyright (c) 1996, 1997, 1998
 *	Naofumi HONDA. All rights reserved.
 *  Copyright (c) 1996, 1997, 1998
 *	Kouichi Matsuda. All rights reserved.
 *
 *  Redistribution and use in source and binary forms, with or without
 *  modification, are permitted provided that the following conditions
 *  are met:
 *  1. Redistributions of source code must retain the above copyright
 *     notice, this list of conditions and the following disclaimer.
 *  2. Redistributions in binary form must reproduce the above copyright
 *     notice, this list of conditions and the following disclaimer in the
 *     documentation and/or other materials provided with the distribution.
 *  3. The name of the author may not be used to endorse or promote products
 *     derived from this software without specific prior written permission.
 *
 * THIS SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED BY THE AUTHOR ``AS IS'' AND ANY EXPRESS OR
 * IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, THE IMPLIED
 * WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE ARE
 * DISCLAIMED.  IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHOR BE LIABLE FOR ANY DIRECT,
 * INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL, EXEMPLARY, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES
 * (INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, PROCUREMENT OF SUBSTITUTE GOODS OR
 * SERVICES; LOSS OF USE, DATA, OR PROFITS; OR BUSINESS INTERRUPTION)
 * HOWEVER CAUSED AND ON ANY THEORY OF LIABILITY, WHETHER IN CONTRACT,
 * STRICT LIABILITY, OR TORT (INCLUDING NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN
 * ANY WAY OUT OF THE USE OF THIS SOFTWARE, EVEN IF ADVISED OF THE
 * POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGE.
 */

#include <sys/cdefs.h>
__FBSDID("$FreeBSD: soc2013/dpl/head/sys/dev/stg/tmc18c30_pccard.c 241494 2012-09-10 18:49:49Z jhb $");

#include <sys/param.h>
#include <sys/errno.h>
#include <sys/kernel.h>
#include <sys/malloc.h>
#include <sys/module.h>
#include <sys/systm.h>

#include <machine/bus.h>

#include <sys/bus.h>

#include <dev/pccard/pccardvar.h>

#include <cam/scsi/scsi_low.h>

#include <dev/stg/tmc18c30reg.h>
#include <dev/stg/tmc18c30var.h>
#include <dev/stg/tmc18c30.h>

#include "pccarddevs.h"

static const struct pccard_product stg_products[] = {
	PCMCIA_CARD(FUTUREDOMAIN, SCSI2GO),
	PCMCIA_CARD(IBM, SCSICARD),
	PCMCIA_CARD(RATOC, REX5536),
	PCMCIA_CARD(RATOC, REX5536AM),
	PCMCIA_CARD(RATOC, REX5536M),
	{ NULL }
};

/*
 * Additional code for FreeBSD new-bus PC Card frontend
 */
static int
stg_pccard_probe(device_t dev)
{
  	const struct pccard_product *pp;

	if ((pp = pccard_product_lookup(dev, stg_products,
	    sizeof(stg_products[0]), NULL)) != NULL) {
		if (pp->pp_name != NULL)
			device_set_desc(dev, pp->pp_name);
		return(0);
	}
	return(EIO);
}

static int
stg_pccard_attach(device_t dev)
{
	struct stg_softc	*sc = device_get_softc(dev);
	int			error;

	sc->port_rid = 0;
	sc->irq_rid = 0;
	error = stg_alloc_resource(dev);
	if (error) {
		return(error);
	}

	if (stg_probe(dev) == 0) {
		stg_release_resource(dev);
		return(ENXIO);
	}
	error = bus_setup_intr(dev, sc->irq_res, INTR_TYPE_CAM | INTR_ENTROPY,
			       NULL, stg_intr, (void *)sc, &sc->stg_intrhand);
	if (error) {
		stg_release_resource(dev);
		return(error);
	}

	if (stg_attach(dev) == 0) {
		stg_release_resource(dev);
		return(ENXIO);
	}

	return(0);
}

static device_method_t stg_pccard_methods[] = {
	/* Device interface */
	DEVMETHOD(device_probe,		stg_pccard_probe),
	DEVMETHOD(device_attach,	stg_pccard_attach),
	DEVMETHOD(device_detach,	stg_detach),
	{ 0, 0 }
};

static driver_t stg_pccard_driver = {
	"stg",
	stg_pccard_methods,
	sizeof(struct stg_softc),
};

DRIVER_MODULE(stg, pccard, stg_pccard_driver, stg_devclass, 0, 0);
MODULE_DEPEND(stg, scsi_low, 1, 1, 1);

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


Welcome to the new website of TRC Data Recovery Ltd, we have been working hard to deliver a site that is both much faster and informative. We have spent a lot of time thinking about how to structure and deliver the right content to our clients new and old, we now think that we have achieved exactly what we set out to.
We would welcome any views or comments that you might have about the site or its content, please use our contact form to get in touch and let us know what you think.
The website is the first stage of our transition to a new customer interface that will stretch from intial contact, through the data recovery process to the successful conclusion that our customers have come to expect from us.
TRC Data Recovery Ltd look forward to helping those who have been unfortunate enough to experience data loss for many years to come, the same levels of skill and expertise that our many business and private clients have come to expect will be maintained and improved upon in the weeks and months to come, so stay tuned for news on our developments.
7 Years, 3 Months, 1 Week, 1 Day, 21 Hours, 14 Minutes ago.


text:
Home » Apps with tag 'The Ensign'
Hidden Gem of the Week: A Dark Room / The Ensign
Feature By Christian Valentin, 4 years, 9 months ago
At a glance, you might expect A Dark Room to be another text adventure, and it certainly seems like one at the start. But don't be fooled by its mysteriously minimalist beginngin. A Dark Room is a gradually unfolding piece of game design, blending elements of interactive fiction, management, RPGs, and roguelikes in a unique experience. Starting with nothing but a campfire to keep aflame, A Dark Room soon introduces you to a stranger in the forest and from there, it begins to unfurl into something much grander. Your simple camfire grows into a village, and your simple UI morphs with additional choices to order newcomers to gather resources, go hunting, and so on. Soon your grow…
Read Feature Android iOS The Ensign A Dark Room
Hands-on with The Ensign, the basic, brutal, and a bit brilliant rogue-like
The Ensign is the prequel to A Dark Room, and it shares its sense of style and difficulty. Screenshots on the App Store can't really do a game like The Ensign justice, because so much of its appeal is hidden behind crude ASCII characters, black text on a white background, and relentless difficulty. Look beyond that though, and you'll find a mysterious world to explore, and a rich narrative to weave together. Here's my hands-on with the game.…
Read Feature The Ensign A Dark Room

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Ranveer Singh is an Indian actor working in Hindi films. After completing a bachelor's degree from Indiana University, Bloomington, Singh returned to India to pursue a career in film. In 2010, he successfully auditioned for a leading role in Yash Raj Films romantic comedy Band Baaja Baaraat. The film emerged as a critical and commercial success, earning Singh a Filmfare Award in the Best Male Debut category.
Singh played a disguised robber in the period film Lootera (2013), a Gujarati boy in the tragic romance Goliyon Ki Raasleela Ram-Leela (2013), which became his biggest commercial success and earned him a Filmfare Award for Best Actor nomination, and a Bengali criminal in the action-drama Gunday (2014). He went on to appear in the comedy-drama Dil Dhadakne Do (2015), as the younger sibling of a dysfunctional Punjabi family, and later that year, in the epic historical romance Bajirao Mastani (2015), as the Maratha Peshwa Bajirao I.
At the launch of Dil Dhadakne Do!


text:
Arts & Culture / EntertainmentBusinessBusiness
3RD Official Clothing Pushes For Nationwide Exposure
Fashion entrepreneur Khyre Drayer embarks on cross-country trip
by Charles Brown
View ProfileFacebookTwitterInstagramRSS Feed
Khyre Drayer, founder of the 3RD Clothing Line
Khyre Drayer, founder of 3RD Official Clothing, has been hitting the streets of Erie with his line of clothing for almost a decade now. After expanding his brand with new logo designs and colors to widen the collection, the Erieite decided to hit the road this past summer to do something that most people with a product would be afraid to do — give it out to strangers for absolutely free.
From Aug. 25 to Sept. 19, Drayer embarked on a lengthy road trip from Pennsylvania to Arizona to bring more awareness to the 3RD Official brand. Stopping in nine different states in between, Drayer's adventurous vision of spreading his clothing line came to fruition. "I just wanted to give out free clothing and have people understand my brand in other places and get some feedback," says Drayer.
And the feedback was nothing short of amazing, as people from all over were photographed rocking the 3RD Official logo — an elephant with the warrior tusks. There was no road map for Drayer's trip, nor was there even a list of locations; instead he decided to keep things spontaneous with an obvious desire for the best. "I mean, I didn't have a clue. I was just stopping and giving in random spots and it worked out for me in the long run," says Drayer. "I got new clients all over and at the end of the day, a lot of people are wearing and know about 3RD Official Clothing."
The leap of faith led the fashion entrepreneur to places such as Missouri, Oklahoma, Colorado Springs, and Phoenix, encountering unfamiliar faces but with similar reactions — all smiles and satisfaction. And though this act of charity may have been done before by other thread ambassadors, it still comes across as a rare occasion. "The response was dope actually," Drayer says. "They never really met a person giving out free clothing so it was all love and (they) treated me great."
Drayer even found himself at the breathtaking Grand Canyon passing out hoodies for no charge, surely a special moment. But when I had asked what the best moment on his escapade was, he had this to say: "The best moments were just riding and stopping in random places that I've never been and going out passing out business cards; mingling in all the great food spots. The experience helped me greatly. I met a lot of good people and got my following going in different states. That's all I wanted out of it."
If you find yourself traveling at all in the latter part of this year, or decide to go on a cross-country car ride, and you stumble upon a few people wearing a 3RD Official hoodie, don't be taken by surprise. The creator himself of the Erie threads was already there.
Charles Brown can be found on Facebook and Twitter @CEEBrown814, and online at ceebrown.com
ClothingClothing BusinessLocal BusinessClothing LineFashion
Feeling '22
by Matt Swanseger12/28/2021, 10:30 AM
A New Year's Eve events roundup
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by Nick Warren12/17/2021, 11:00 AM
Some of the best scripted episodics to stream on the small screen
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The best bits of cinema from all over the world
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by Erin Phillips12/14/2021, 5:00 PM
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text:
Business Trends Around the Globe
Qin Shi Huang's Tomb
Category: mike-williams
Taming the Wolf – Domesticating the Dog
The first evidence for domesticated dogs has just got earlier with the recent dating of a dogs skull and teeth from Kesslerloch Cave in Switzerland. That puts the transition from wolf to dog to over 14,000 years ago. Previously, the earliest date was from a single jawbone that was found in a human grave at Oberkassel, in Germany, dating to about 13,000 years-ago. (There are earlier dates claimed for the first definite identification of dogs but these are usually discounted by experts).
The finds from Switzerland were uncovered in 1873 but it was only last year that archaeologists at Tubingen University in Germany recognised that the remains came from a dog rather than a wolf. The dating carried out on a tooth has revealed the animal died between 14,000 and 14,600 BP (before present).
These early dates are curious, as hunting strategies at that time would not necessarily require the assistance of dogs. Studies from northern France show that hunting was ambush based with animals speared as they passed through natural bottlenecks in the landscape, such as the Ahrensburg Valley. Here, the use of a spear-thrower increased the effectiveness of the weapon and the migrating reindeer died in great numbers. Interestingly, some people engraved their spear-throwers with scenes of the hunt but none shows the appearance of dogs. Indeed, in such a massacre, it is difficult to see how dogs would fit in at all and, yet, the remains from Switzerland suggest that they existed by this time.
It is likely that animals that chose to live with humans bred with other animals that adopted a similar lifestyle, replicating the traits that made the animal tolerant of humans. Slowly, the camp-wolves became the camp-dogs. In effect, the dog domesticated itself.
Stalking, the hunting method where a dog might have proved invaluable, came later. The warming climate at the end of the Ice Age caused large game animals to either die-out or move north and it was red deer and wild boar that took advantage of the advancing tree cover to expand their range. The people of the time changed their hunting strategy accordingly and the bow and arrow now became the weapon of choice. Dogs would have proved invaluable for stalking, flushing, and tracking dying animals. This is the time that we might expect people to have actively sought to domesticate the dog but, from the evidence at Switzerland, it had already happened, presumably without any human intervention. The change from wolf to dog requires a different explanation.
It is likely that wolves had always been aware of humans in the landscape. Scavenging human kill sites would have been a sure way of obtaining food and it is likely that this became the main survival strategy for a few packs. Over time, they may have ventured closer to human camps and even started to forage leftovers or eat any excrement that lay nearby. The people at the camp may have welcomed this cleaning service and tolerated the presence of the wolves. They may have even kept other, more dangerous predators at a safe distance.
Over time, it is likely that animals that chose to live with humans bred with other animals that adopted a similar lifestyle, replicating the traits that made the animal tolerant of humans. Slowly, the camp-wolves became the camp-dogs. In effect, the dog domesticated itself.
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It is likely that the dogs did not remain in packs for long but divided themselves between the family groups of the hunters. Evidence from modern hunter-gather villages where semi-tame dogs roam, shows that these animals do not necessarily form packs but tend to organise themselves into groups of no more than three, which then adopt a particular dwelling (and its occupants) as their own. In the past, perhaps this was the reason that people began to interact with dogs on an individual basis and the first relationships, with which we are now so familiar, began.
A burial from Israel dating to around 11,000 BP contained an elderly woman with her hand resting on the flank of a puppy. This may be the first sign of the affection we still hold for dogs but it was not until much later, during the Mesolithic, that the esteem in which people held them becomes apparent.
In the earliest cemetery at Skateholm in southern Sweden, dating to around 5,000 BC, dogs were sometimes buried in the same graves as people. These were likely animals that were sacrificed to accompany their masters into the afterlife. Clearly, the dog was considered indispensable by some.
Other dogs were afforded their own grave and people gave them items such as tools and weapons that would usually be the preserve of a hunter. But then, perhaps this is exactly what these dogs were considered to be: hunters and, accordingly, they were buried as such.
At this time, grave wealth usually accumulated to the young and fit, likely reflecting their ability to provide food for the others. The dogs were no different: they provided food from the hunt and they were honoured in the same way. Moreover, this was a time before any other animal had been domesticated and the cognitive boundary between humans and animals was still fluid enough to be breached: sometimes human into animal and, on this occasion, animal into human. It was a very different way of seeing the world and is almost diametrically opposed to everything we think about animals.
It was not to last. Perhaps familiarity bred contempt, but in a later cemetery at Skateholm (and possibly dating to only a few hundred years after the first cemetery), dogs were afforded a separate area for their burials, before being excluded altogether. Dogs had moved from being equal to humans in the hunt to being subservient to their masters. Perhaps, as their usefulness increased, their worth actually diminished. We still retain something of this contradiction in our own relationship with dogs. They can be our closest companions but are also the source of our cruellest insults. A bitch can be both our best friend or our worst enemy.
There is even evidence that the minds of dogs have evolved since they have been interacting with humans. Observing and identifying the attention state of others was thought to be the sole preserve of humans and yet it appears to be something dogs can also accomplish. Anyone who has had their dog watch their every move when they walk towards the dog lead will know how this appears.
Our relationship with dogs has come a long way since the first wolves started to follow the camps of our Palaeolithic forebears. We may never know for sure what made these wild animals befriend us and change to become an altogether different species but I am sure that I am not alone in being extremely grateful that they did.
Inside the Shaman's Mind
Shamanism a practice by which a person communicates with the spirits can be found throughout the ancient worlds. Although shamanism takes many and varied forms around the world, what a shaman actually experiences whilst in trance is remarkably uniform. Almost all report leaving their bodies to journey to an otherworld where they meet and interact with spirits. The reason for such similarity lies within the mind itself and the shared neurobiology of every human. In fact, any one of us could have the same experience as a shaman if we put ourselves in trance.
Shamans have varied ways of entering trance but all attempt to slow brain waves from a beta state, the usual rhythm, through an alpha state (which corresponds to light meditation or engrossment in an activity), to a theta state or trance. Whereas some shamans might stay very still and concentrate on breathing or praying, others move about in frenetic dances or whirl like Dervishes. Both types of activity, paradoxically, lead to trance.
Hallucinations start and one of the most common entities to appear is an animal. Scientists call this zoopsia, whereas shamans call them spirits.
The reason for this paradox relates to the way our brains regulate our bodies. The sympathetic system of brain activity reacts to external stimuli. It creates arousal in the body through pleasure or pain. The parasympathetic system manages automatic processes such as breathing, sleeping, and digesting. It tends towards quiescence, that is, complete still and calm. The two work in opposition and keep our bodies in balance. Is it possible, however, to push either system to extreme. If we undertake physical activities that lead to hyper-arousal, we load the sympathetic system and the activity completely takes over so that we begin to lose ourselves in a state of flow. Similarly, if we undertake activities that lead to hyper-quiescence, we load the parasympathetic system and the mind begins to empty and turn inward.
Beyond hyper-arousal or hyper-quiescence lies a further state, where one system, usually quite separate, overflows and begins to spill over into the other. With hyper-arousal, this happens when our strenuous activity brings waves of tranquillity and stillness, such as the sensation after vigorous sex. The sympathetic system has overflowed and feelings now arise from the parasympathetic system. Similarly, with hyper-quiescence, there can be a point where deep meditation brings a rush of energy that quite overwhelms us. The parasympathetic system has overflowed and feelings now arise from the sympathetic system. In both cases, when one system overflows into another and our feelings no longer correspond to our actions, we experience an out-of-body sensation that is at the heart of shamanic trance.
The Breakdown Of Self-Identity
Many shamans report that gravity no longer tethers their bodies to the earth and they can fly through the air with little effort. Since the active neurons in the brain at this stage of trance have a spiralling tendency, a tunnel opens up before them, formed entirely within the eye retina itself. Shamans recognise this as a portal to the otherworld and they leave their physical bodies behind to travel down it. Limbs might grow longer or detach from the body as the perception of being in a physical form diminishes. These are the first signs that self-identity is breaking down as the overflow of the sympathetic and parasympathetic systems of the brain excludes any outside stimulus. The mind turns entirely inward. This overflow also causes a leaking of imagery from the unconscious mind into the conscious and, as the shaman steps out of the tunnel and enters the otherworld, they find themselves in a startling new reality.
The disintegration of the self continues and some shamanic communities now speak of terrible violence inflicted upon the body. This self-generated fear response stems from the over stimulation of the amygdala, a bunch of neurons that are responsible for orientating the body in space. When a shaman drums and dances with frenzied intensity, the amygadala starts to malfunction and this causes waves of fear, heightening the expectation of violence. Alternatively, with less frenzied activity, it may provoke feelings of religious awe.
Hallucinations start and one of the most common entities to appear is an animal. Scientists call this zoopsia, whereas shamans call them spirits. Although hallucinations arise from the preconscious part of the brain, there appears to be a definite pattern to them. Jung calls these archetypes and the wise teacher seems a particularly prevalent example from many cultures.
Since the body is losing its self-awareness, it appears to someone in trance that knowledge comes from a point outside the mind. Coupled with zoopsia it is not surprising that many shamans speak of guardian or power animals being a rich source of otherworldly wisdom: the wise teacher. Since the unconscious mind is leaking into the conscious mind, much of this wisdom might also appear novel and new.
It is not always an animal that fulfils the wise teacher archetype but it could also be another human, either living, dead, or entirely mythical. Seeing the dead whilst in trance may reveal the origin of belief in an afterlife and the survival of the soul after death. Many shamans speak of contacting their deceased ancestors whilst in shamanic trance.
As the self breaks down, there is a corresponding sense of unity with the rest of existence; there is no longer any individual identity. This may mean a person merges with whatever appears in front of them, such as their animal guide. Shamans often describe turning into an animals form and they call this shapeshifting. Others feel that they are one with the universe, as if all existence connects at this higher level. Everything appears to pulsate with energy and contain its own life force, giving rise to animism, the shamanic belief that all things are alive.
Eventually, any lingering sense of the self disappears entirely and all thoughts and experience appear to emanate from outside the body. Some discern an ultimate authority at this point; a controlling influence that lies beyond human existence and possibly beyond the world itself. It is not difficult for them to put a name to this supreme being: God.
The neurobiology of the human mind explains the similarities that underpin shamanism (and possibly all religions) around the world. Shamans see what they do because of their minds. Whether the otherworld and its spirits are merely hallucinations or are actually real is less easy to determine. That, like most other aspects of religion, is entirely a matter of individual faith and belief.
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Some folks know me as the singer and primary songwriter for the band Worth Taking. We've been fortunate enough to travel North America and Asia multiple times, had songs featured in film and TV shows like Cougar Town, and even got a cover featured in You Made It Weird with Pete Holmes.
I love writing on my own and with other artists. I enjoy experiementing with genres, but I believe that a good song is a good song.
While I often work out of my home for mixing and mastering jobs, I work at a few different studios around Nashville, but have also worked in NY and LA.


text:
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Review – Captain Marvel #14 (Marvel Comics)
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Review – Supergirl #34
Hollie Cumberland
Writer: Tony Bedard
Penciller: Karl Moline
Inker: Jose Marzan Jr.
Colours: HI-FI
Letters: Rob Leigh
Release Date: August 20th 2014
After last month's conclusion to the Red Daughter of Krypton story line, comes an all-new 6 part adventure for our resident Argonian. Suffering from the deadly effects of Kryptonite in the Earth's atmosphere, a by-product of the Government's attempt to stop a temporarily evil Superman, Kara finds herself befriending a wheelchair bound boy, helping to clear a mess which began towns over, totally unprepared for the drama that is about to take hold.
In such a stark contrast to the previous arc, and understandably so, as Kara is no longer fuelled by the anger subjected upon her by the Red Lanterns, this arc begins in a much calmer way. Tony Bedard writes this issue perfectly, highlighting the fact that it is a separate story line from the previous issues, but effortlessly and effectively using flashbacks to show the demons Kara is now carrying with her, which are sure to influence Supergirl for many issues to come.
These influences are seen straight off the bat. Supergirl is portrayed, not just in the way she acts, but in the way she is expertly drawn by Karl Moline, to be more vulnerable, as if she has been affected by everything that has happened to her and around her. She somewhat resembles a small child, in the way that she is shown to be cautiously choosing her actions, and constantly seeking encouragement and reassurance from those around her. It's such a different Kara from what I'm used to, especially considering the way in which she first appeared on the scene; in an unforgiving blaze of glory.
The artwork, both by Karl Moline and Jose Marzan Jr, is of an astounding quality. While not giving anything away, the excerpt shown is just a snippet to highlight the attention to detail used throughout this issue. The use of colours further adds to the quality of the artwork presented. It's so refreshing to see Kara in something other than Red, as in the previous arc, and the Red Lantern issues Kara has graced with her presence.
Overall, this has proven to be an exceptional issue. Supergirl is experiencing more joys of humanity, which is refreshing to see, as the Red Daughter of Krypton story arc seemed to have temporarily stripped her of part of what made her Kara; her compassion. The artwork is instrumental in helping us to see the effect the previous events have had on the young Argonian, while the writing and the story line itself has reinforced why we fell in love with Kara in the first place.
This issue shows that there doesn't need to be a lot of action for Supergirl to truly shine, which is why this issue has become one of my favourites, and if it's anything to go by, the rest of this arc is going to be truly exceptional.
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Elisabet d'Aragó (?, 1245 - Cosenza, Calàbria, 1271) va ser reina de França del 1270 al 1271, gràcies al seu casament amb Felip III de França, i infanta d'Aragó.

Biografia
Elisabet era filla de Jaume I el Conqueridor, rei d'Aragó i comte de Barcelona, i la seua segona esposa Violant d'Hongria.

A Clarmont el 28 de maig de 1262, Elisabet es va casar amb el futur Felip III de França, fill de Lluís IX i Margarida de Provença. Es va convertir en reina arran de l'adveniment del seu marit el 1270.

Va acompanyar el seu marit a la Vuitena Croada contra Tunis. De camí a casa es van aturar a Cosenza, Calàbria. Estant embarassada amb el seu cinquè fill per sis mesos, l'11 de gener de 1271 durant una cacera, va patir una caiguda muntant a cavall. Després d'haver reprès el viatge de tornada a França, Elisabet va donar a llum un fill prematur nascut mort. Mai es va recuperar de les seues ferides i del part, i va traspassar dèsset dies després, el 28 de gener. La seua mort va ser un colp emocional molt dur per al seu marit, sobretot perquè feia res que havia estat embarassada. Felip III va agafar els cadàvers d'Elisabet i el seu fill mort, i quan finalment va tornar a França els va soterrar a la Basílica de Saint-Denis de París. La tomba d'Elisabet, com moltes altres, va ser profanada durant la Revolució Francesa el 1793.

Era neta per línia paterna de Pere el Catòlic i Maria de Montpeller, i per línia materna d'Andreu II d'Hongria i Violant de Courtenay. Fou germana petita dels també reis Pere el Gran i Jaume II de Mallorca.

Núpcies i descendents
El 28 de maig de 1262 es casà a Clarmont d'Alvèrnia amb el príncep i futur rei Felip III de França. D'aquesta unió nasqueren:
 el príncep Lluís de França (1267-1276)
 el príncep Felip IV de França (1268-1314), rei de França
 el príncep Robert de França (1269-1271)
 el príncep Carles I de Valois (1270-1325), comte de Valois i comte d'Anjou

Anotacions

Referències

Bibliografia

Prínceps d'Aragó
Reis de França
Persones de Cosenza
Morts a Calàbria
Persones de les croades

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


LSI's CRU/CRUS Surface Mount LED fixture is designed for illuminating open spaces, with mounting heights of 12' or greater. Applications such as auditoriums, showrooms, airports and warehouses are ideal. The fixture can be direct, suspended or mounted to slope surfaces. This attractive fixture is available in multiple lumen packages to meet most requirements. With its high performance LED optics, the CRU/CRUS delivers outstanding performance in both interior and exterior applications – new or retrofit applications.


"The first tuning equipment supplier".
Of all the tuning firms that were tuning minis to a high standard in the 60's one of the most respected and indeed venerable was V.W. Derrington Ltd.
Derrington proudly claimed to have been selling performance enhancing modifications since 1919, and pronounced themselves as the first tuning equipment supplier! A claim I can neither deny or confirm.
They were however, very well established by the 1960's and undoubtedly knew their stuff. Amongst other things Derrington were the official UK agent for Weber Carburetors, if you wanted a Weber in the 60's it came through Derrington.
Below, you will find a review of the company, first published in "Autocar" in their fantastic "That something extra series" as well as a couple of contemporary reviews and extracts form their catalogue.
Over the years I have managed to find a few articles manufactured for Derrington's and have always found them to be of the highest quality.
For lots more info on Derrington, I suggest you visit the VW Derrington facebook page.
Another episode of the excellent series "That something Extra" from Autosport 1964.
This superb series is one of the best reports on tuning companies from the 1960's.
This is a very early 4 page "Tuning Guide" referring specifically to the A series engine, although it pre dates many other similar guides its good to see that the basic ideas never change. Surprisingly comprehensive for a simple 4 page document it still makes an interesting read.
A very nice catalogue dating from the late 1950's, it has an emphasis on the exhaust manifolding offered by Derringtons but also includes many other interesting items including the "LANDAR" rocker cover and "Raydyot" racing mirrors, amongst many other interesting items.
Download a complete PDF copy of the Derrington brochure for A series engined cars. Packed with loads of interesting info as well as price lists & illustrations.
Another version of the flier produced exclusively for A series cars with an emphasis on the transverse models. The Cooper & S in particular. I suspect this version is from the mid 1960's.
This is a comprehensive catalogue from the mid 60's containing tuning kits, information & accessories including wheels, steering wheels, instruments etc.


text:
Same Story: Pitt Drops Another Close Contest to NC State
PITTSBURGH — In two games against NC State this season, Pitt came up just a few possessions short of a series sweep.
Instead, the Panthers lost their second game to the Wolfpack in 2019 on Saturday, dropping an 79-76 decision to NC State at Petersen Events Center on Saturday afternoon.
The first matchup between the teams resulted in an 86-80 loss at PNC Arena in Raleigh, North Carolina, a heartbreakingly close loss for the Panthers.
In the rematch in Pittsburgh, Pitt trailed by as many as 14 points early in the second half, but used an 18-2 run to close the gap and set up yet another close late-game scenario.
Pitt had a final look at a victory, but senior guard Sidy N'Dir's 3-point attempt at the buzzer missed off the iron, sealing another close loss to NC State.
CJ Bryce, who made three free-throws in the final 10 seconds to seal the game for the Wolfpack, finished with a game-high 21 points.
Point guard Xavier Johnson led the Panthers with 17 points. He shot just 5 of 12 from the floor, but hit 6 of 7 from the free-throw line.
Senior wing Jared Wilson-Frame came alive in the second half, hitting three from long range in that Pitt run to finish 6 of 7 from the floor for 16 points.
NC State sophomore Braxton Bevery was an outside-shooting menace, hitting 5 of 9 from long range as part of his 17 points.
N'Dir, who started his first game with Pitt, finished with 12 points, as did Terrell Brown. Trey McGowens had 11, as all five Pitt starters scored in double figures.
Redshirt junior wing Malik Ellison missed the game with an undisclosed injury.
Up next, Pitt will head to Boston College on Tuesday night. That game is scheduled for 7 p.m. on ESPNU.
Related Topics:featured, NC State, Pitt, Pitt basketball, Xavier Johnson
Gameday: Malik Ellison to Miss Pitt's Game Against NC State
Postgame Reaction from Pitt's Loss to NC State


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Business selected
'Reduce High Street business rates' Jump to media player Reduce business rates to help High Street stores deal with online competition, says fashion retailer Cecile Reinaud.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40124132/reduce-high-street-stores-business-rates
'Focus on UK workers not migrants' Jump to media player Firms should focus more on domestic workers instead of just relying on migrants, says property developer Richard Tice.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40124130/focus-on-uk-workers-not-migrants
'Tighten the rules on self-employment' Jump to media player Cleaning firm boss Jennifer O'Donnell wants tighter rules on employment and self-employment.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40124128/tighten-the-rules-on-self-employment
'Make more use of UK's science talent' Jump to media player Hedge fund boss Sir Paul Marshall says the UK should make more use of its scientific talent.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40124129/make-more-use-of-uk-s-science-talent
'More help for fledgling entrepreneurs' Jump to media player Leicester fashion designer Samantha Crutchlow wants to see more help for fledgling entrepreneurs.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40063180/more-help-for-fledgling-entrepreneurs
'More support for women start-ups' Jump to media player The government should give more support for women starting up businesses, says social network boss Lu Li.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40124134/more-support-for-women-start-ups
'Incentives for UK manufacturing' Jump to media player Sophie Kelly of ski wear clothing firm Snooks wants to see incentives to keep manufacturing in the UK.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40124133/incentives-for-uk-manufacturing
'Foreign students are not migrants' Jump to media player Language school director Val Hennessy wants foreign students taken out of the UK's migration figures.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40063181/foreign-students-are-not-migrants
'We need a review of business taxes' Jump to media player Mike Coupe, chief executive of supermarket chain Sainsbury's, says the UK needs to fundamentally review business taxes.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40121529/we-need-a-fundamental-review-of-business-taxes
'Reduce National Insurance payments' Jump to media player Firms' National Insurance payments should be reduced top encourage job creation, says social media boss Jodie Cook.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40108237/reduce-firms-national-insurance-payments
'Reform zero-hour contracts' Jump to media player Zero-hour contracts should be reformed to make them fairer for workers says Suffolk leisure centre boss Shaun Crowley.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40097874/reform-zero-hour-contracts
'No tariffs on EU raw food imports' Jump to media player Chef Bini Ludlow says she doesn't want to see tariffs placed on raw foodstuffs once the UK leaves the EU.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-40063183/i-don-t-want-to-see-tariffs-on-eu-raw-food-imports
'Reduce High Street stores' business rates'
We asked business leaders what they want from the next government. Cecile Reinaud, managing director of fashion retailer Seraphine wants lower business rates to help High Street stores
Video journalist: Jeremy Howell
Go to next video: 'Focus on UK workers not migrants'


Jordan looked after my cats for 10 days while I was on vacation. She was great - she sent daily updates and photos of how they were doing, which gave me peace of mind!
Jordan took wonderful care of our dog Suki during our time away. She sent us tonnes of photos and videos, and treated Suki as if she were her own. Suki is a rescue dog and is often wary of strangers, but Jordan was so great with her. It was a huge relief while we were away to know that Suki was being treated with such kindness and love.
I have an extensive background in animal behavior and care, and have experience dealing with a wide range of species from fish to herpetiles, birds, and of course household pets. I am able to handle multiple animals, animals with behavioural issues or special considerations, animals that need training, and the administration of medication as well. I am flexible and able to ensure a safe and meaningful visit for your pets! I believe in providing consistent and engaging encounters, so let me know how best to handle your furry friend and I will provide the best care possible.


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H.L. Mencken on the Negro
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The 11 Most Racist U.S. Presidents
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An intellectual and scholar regarded as one of the Caribbean's most brilliant minds, Walter Anthony Rodney, born to Edward and Pauline Rodney in Georgetown, Guyana...
Harvard Law School traces its origins to an Antiguan slave owner. Now the country wants reparations.
In an urgently worded letter recently sent to Harvard, Antigua and Barbuda Prime Minister Gaston Browne demanded that the university pay his country reparations ''for...
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Bessie Virginia Blount, pioneer physical therapist, inventor, and scientist, was born in Hickory (today Chesapeake), Virginia, on November 24, 1914. In the sixth grade, she had to discontinue...
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Mary Elizabeth Branch, one of the most prominent black women educators of the first half of the twentieth century, was born on May 29, 1881 in Farmwell, Virginia,...
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Artemisia Bowden, an educator and civic leader, one of few black women college presidents during the first half of the 20th century, was born on January 1, 1879 in Albany, Georgia,...
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text:
An Intentional Detour
By Daniel Gordis | August 27, 2012
The Nation-State
Ideas Do Matter
In my last few blogs, I wrote of my hope that
The Promise of Israel
can help foster a new kind of conversation about Israel, a conversation rooted in ideas and not focused on the conflict. Israel's importance to the world, I suggest throughout the book, is its central idea: the Jewish State is a reminder of the dangers of unfettered universalism, a call to arms urging us to celebrate our differences.
But during the course of writing the book, it became clear that I needed to make an intentional detour in the argument. For as I spoke about the manuscript in front of audiences, it became clear to me: there's a sense among many American Jews, particularly among the younger generation, that they really don't need Israel any longer. American Jews feel completely secure, entirely accepted. They love Israel, but, they argue, they don't really need Israel.
So I decided that I needed to include a chapter towards the end of The Promise of Israel to address this. I needed to remind them that Israel isn't just a homeland far away, but it's actually the generator that provides an enormous portion of the energy for the American Jewish community. Sans Israel, I decided to argue, American Jews would find themselves without perhaps the one issue that truly motivates and energizes their community. Without Israel, after all, what would remain to make Jewishness anything more than some anemic form of ethnic memory long-since eroded? About what else in Jewish life, besides Israel, do contemporary Jews feel shame, or anger, or exhilaration? What else in Jewish life evokes the same intensity of emotion? It's actually hard to think of examples.
When JCC's discuss whether or not they should be open on Shabbat, do people get exercised? Not really. When a Jewish home for the aging decides to cease offering kosher food, does the issue bring out the masses? In 2011, a proposed ban on circumcision in San Francisco that both saw Jews at the forefront and had clear anti-Semitic overtones; but did it provoke a stir anywhere near as powerful as what happened after an Israeli naval raid on a flotilla thousands of miles away the year before? Not at all!
When Israel's Chief Rabbinate or some Israeli political party threatens to declare all Reform and Conservative conversions invalid, American Jews become enraged, even though that policy will affect very, very few of them. Why, though? Sometimes, it seems that American Jews get much more worked up about what Israeli rabbis who are not of their denomination say than they do when their own local rabbis speak!
We should not ignore this peculiar phenomenon, because it speaks to something very deep inside us. When we think about it, we understand that on some level, we intuit that a People without a state is missing something critical. We can't articulate precisely why, but we know it's true. American Jews, secure and confident though they are, need Israel because whether we want to admit it or not, even in the Diaspora, Israel is key to making the Jewish experience whole.
That is why issues in issue electrify American Jews in ways that many "domestic" Jewish issues don't. This, too, is a conversation that I hope that The Promise of Israel will help to foster.
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Pronounced: KOH-sher, Origin: Hebrew, adhering to kashrut, the traditional Jewish dietary laws.
No Compulsion in Religion
As an American-Israeli it is painful to watch Israel's dirty laundry be aired out so publicly. I have been content ...
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I spent several years traveling the world, trying on different faiths, seeing which one fits. At the end of my ...


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A trademark is a sign that distinguishes your products or services from those of your competitors. Registering your trademark in the CaribIE register at BOIP gives you the exclusive right to use the trademark for certain goods (products) and services within the Caribbean Netherlands, for a(n) (extendable) period of 10 years.


text:
How Emerson's Stephanie Sirt Took Her Career Into Her Own Hands
Kat Boogaard
Growing up in Port-au-Prince, Haiti—where her parents were missionaries—you could say that Stephanie Sirt's life and career story are anything but typical.
Sirt, now working as a Senior Director of Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) Business for Emerson Automation Solutions in Houston, Texas, gave us the lowdown on her journey, her current role, and her very best career advice.
Finding Motivation Early
While Sirt's early life calls Port-au-Prince home, she moved back to Houston following high school. From there, she pursued an Associate of Applied Science degree in Engineering.
After completing her degree, she found herself at a crossroads. "I was a single mom at 20, just out of college with a two-year degree and determined not to be a statistic," Sirt explains.
It was that very inspiration that pushed her to continue her education—she now has a Bachelor of Science in Information Technology—and grab the reins to advance her own career in the oil and gas industry.
"I have worked in refineries, offshore, in chemical plants," she says, "I have been in oil and gas my entire career."
Advancing a Career
With her involvement in the oil and gas industry, Sirt's career tells a cohesive story. However, she's held numerous different positions throughout that time.
She has over 12 years of project experience, working as a Project Manager, Instrument and Electrical Designer, Business Development Manager, Contract Manager, Configuration and Graphics Programmer, and Field Designer in the chemical, offshore drilling, and upstream industries.
Most recently before joining Emerson, she worked as the Vice President of Main Automation Contractor (MAC) Programs for Maverick Technologies. When she found herself wanting to try something new in her career, Emerson felt like the perfect opportunity.
"I had been in projects my entire career. I wanted manufacturing exposure," she says, "I interviewed with John Gardner and really liked his vision. He wanted to build a group that would lead in integrating Emerson and solve customer problems. He was singing my tune."
So, Sirt joined Emerson in 2010 as the Strategic Account Director for Chevron—a position she held until 2016. In October of 2016, she moved into her current role as Senior Director of EPC business.
Her Current Role
"Currently, I manage the executive level relationships for about 14 of our strategic EPC accounts," Sirt explains, "I am an escalation point, so I manage a lot of challenging situations." She's also responsible for leading and coordinating the global teams assigned to the EPC accounts.
Because of her heavily involved role, Sirt needs to spend a solid chunk of her time in meetings and on the phone solving problems and strategizing with customer teams. And, she loves that her job challenges her to solve complex problems.
"Every day is a new adventure. It's impossible to get bored, and I have been fortunate to work for some fantastic leaders."
Stephanie Sirt
Life in a Male-Dominated Industry
For 95% of her career, Sirt mentions that she was the only or the first woman on a certain team.
She was the only woman in the detail engineering group offshore. Sirt was also the first female Global Strategic Account Executive reporting to John Gardner. Additionally, she was the First female EPC director at Emerson in North America. The list goes on.
"Most of the first 10 years of my career, I had to share the men's restroom," she says.
But, with a go-getter attitude and the support of numerous outstanding mentors, Sirt was still able to build a successful career in an industry that's notoriously patriarchal.
There's no doubt that Sirt will continue to make her mark on the oil and gas industry. And, she has some sage words of advice for anyone else who's looking to do the same.
"Charge the hill. It's evolved a lot in the last 25 years and the sky's the limit. Figure out what you love to do and the rest will fall into place. Treat everyone with respect, from the CEO to the janitor. Relationships and trust are the currency of the energy industry."
When it comes to the very best career advice she's ever received? Sirt concludes by providing some encouraging words for us all.
"You are either part of the problem or the solution. Be part of the solution."
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Women in The Workplace Study Kicks Off
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Colette Honorable built a life and a legacy on GRIT


text:
Jamie Charles "Jay" Bakker (born December 18, 1975) is an American pastor, author,
and speaker. He is the son of televangelists Jim Bakker and Tammy Faye Messner.

During his young adult years, Bakker became disillusioned with mainstream Christianity, becoming particularly critical of Christian fundamentalism and the Christian right. He later adopted a much more liberal form of Christianity and became a co-founder of Revolution Church, which was created in 1994 in Phoenix, Arizona. Bakker then preached at Revolution's Atlanta location before pastoring the New York City branch of Revolution Church, which held services at the bar and venue Pete's Candy Store, in the Williamsburg section of Brooklyn until Bakker relocated to Minneapolis in 2013 and began pastoring another iteration of Revolution Church there. Much of Bakker's story was retold in a documentary on Sundance Channel called One Punk Under God: The Prodigal Son of Jim and Tammy Faye. His story has also been chronicled in Time Magazine.

Early life
Bakker was born December 18, 1975 in Charlotte, North Carolina to Christian televangelist pastors Jim Bakker and Tammy Faye Bakker (née LaValley).

In 1988 when Bakker was 12 years old, his father Jim was indicted on eight counts of mail fraud, 15 counts of wire fraud and one count of conspiracy and spent six years in federal prison.

The trauma of his father's imprisonment, combined with the subsequent ostracism by others in the Church and religious community, led Bakker to engage in a period of substance abuse and partying during his young adult years.

Political and social views
Bakker has advocated for an open, inclusive Christianity that embraces those with alternative lifestyles and encourages doubt and uncertainty. He has also endorsed gay marriage and has been an advocate for the church's acceptance of the LGBTQ community. He has also questioned traditional interpretations of the atonement and salvation. When asked by Larry King if he was "part of the liberal sect of Christianity," he said that he was "more liberal than most". He also decries the influence of politics in religion, saying that it prevents civil discussion of topics such as homosexuality and abortion. Bakker's church used rainbow-colored communion bread to celebrate the legalization of gay marriage in Minnesota.

Appearances in media
In 2001, Bakker wrote the book Son of a Preacher Man: My Search for Grace in the Shadows which is an autobiography that details his youth, relationship with his parents, the PTL scandals, his anguish at his father's imprisonment, and the founding of Revolution Church.

In 2006, he was featured in the six-part documentary One Punk Under God on the Sundance Channel.

He has appeared on Larry King Live and The Joy Behar Show (August 23, 2011) and has been featured in Rolling Stone, The New York Times, Time, The Economist, FHM and New York Magazine.

In 2011, Bakker and co-author Martin Edlund wrote the book Fall to Grace:  A Revolution of God, Self, and Society.  The book explores the radical, transformative, and inclusive nature of grace, challenges Christians to reassess their understanding of salvation, and encourages non-believers to see Jesus with fresh eyes.

In an episode of American Scandals with Barbara Walters (aired on December 14, 2015, for Investigation Discovery), Bakker was interviewed by Walters about growing up amidst the  intense criticism that followed the fall of his famous father.

See also

 Heritage USA

References

External links

 Commentary about Christianity and politics for CNN
 Larry King Live on May 29, 2000
 Larry King Live on January 30, 2001
 Larry King Live on June 24, 2001
 Larry King Live on December 15, 2006

1975 births
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Tax Strategies for Property Investors & Not Let The Tax Man Accidentally Bankrupt You!
Tony Gimple has a varied and interesting background with experience gained in Loss Adjusting, the Military, Financial Services, Consulting, Insurance Broking and Law. He has worked for leading companies including Legal & General, American Express, Towergate, Chancery Law Group and Bowling & Co Solicitors (a Leading Legal 500 firm where he was Estate Planning Director). He has a wide range of cross-sector executive experience as well as being the subject of a Cranfield MBA thesis on entrepreneurship. An active networker with many high-level contacts, Tony is an accomplished public speaker and has written for professional publications and national newspapers, often being asked for comment as a thought leader. A natural leader, organiser and communicator, Tony is known for his creative and original freethinking and his ability to motivate and mobilise people to achieve their goals.
Landlords are the only business to be taxed on turnover and not profit!
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Beyond wealth
Treasury Sales
The field of behavioural finance provides some useful lessons for dealing with the volatility of foreign exchange markets and managing risks.
wealth-and-investment
It's hard to make forecasts, especially about the future, goes the old saying (attributed to Yogi Berra and Mark Twain, among others), and anyone in the foreign exchange market will understand the pitfalls of trying to predict exchange rates.
This has been particularly true of the rand over the years. Due to its relatively high liquidity levels, it's often used by foreign traders as a proxy for other emerging market currencies. This makes the rand susceptible not just to South African-specific issues, but also broader sentiment towards emerging markets.
So anyone trying to forecast moves in the rand has not only had to deal with a plethora of domestic drivers – changes in the leadership of the ANC, sovereign credit ratings among them – but also global issues like US monetary policy and trade wars, which have more to do with what's going on in Washington and Beijing than Pretoria.
As we've seen, sentiment around these drivers can change rapidly, rendering even the best econometric models futile at times. But understanding behavioural finance can help.
LISTEN TO PODCAST: Can behavioural finance make you a better investor?
Rand forecasters not only have to deal with a volatile local market, but also global issues like US monetary policy and trade wars, which have more to do with what's going on in Washington and Beijing than Pretoria.
What is behavioural finance?
Behavioural finance has gained traction in recent years in academia and the financial services industry. Drawing on behavioural psychology, it can be applied to all areas of economic life, from personal finance to risk management.
At the heart of behavioural finance is the idea that we all suffer from certain cognitive biases that prevent us from making rational decisions. Some are the result of how we have evolved as humans, while others come about through the way we were brought up or through our experiences. The trauma of a market crash can make one overly conservative. On the other hand, a benign market over many years can make one overconfident. We tend to carry these biases not just into our personal decision-making, but also into our business decisions.
Although we can't avoid these biases, we can recognise them when they arise, and have a strategy in place for working around them. In that way, we can make better (and hopefully profitable) decisions.
READ MORE: Investing? Don't just do something, stand there!
Let's look at some of the better known biases and see how they apply to foreign exchange risk management:
Loss aversion
This describes our unwillingness to realise a loss, even when it is the rational thing to do. Think of an investor hanging onto a loss-making share, in the hope that it will recover, or a company persisting with an expensive software programme that it's purchased, even after finding it to be inferior to a cheaper option.
Hindsight bias
This bias is the tendency to regard unlikely events as highly predictable in hindsight, like an upset in an election or sports match. It's easy to figure out why a currency moved sharply after the event, but things are not so clear-cut ahead of the time.
This is where we seek out arguments or evidence that support our own view, rather than give due weight to opposing arguments. We all have our own philosophies and ideas about how the world works but this can make us ignore or underestimate key information.
Overconfidence bias
This is about overestimating our skill and decision-making ability and underestimating the role of luck when things go well. A good example of this is surveys that show the vast majority of drivers believe themselves to be of above average competence when statistically this is impossible.
Bandwagon effect
We don't want to stand out from the crowd when we make a wrong decision, but we are happy to be wrong with the rest of the market, even though the economic result is the same.
The gambler's fallacy
Just because the coin has shown tails for five throws in a row, doesn't mean the sixth will be tails. Past events of this kind have no bearing on the immediate future. This is manifest in finance by attributing too much weight to recent market moves or performance.
The availability heuristic
This is a fancy term for using readily available information (like a personal anecdote or experience) instead of proper analysis to make decisions. Statistics show clearly that smoking increases the risks of heart disease and cancer, but that doesn't stop people mentioning their beloved great aunt who lived to 100 despite smoking two packs of cigarettes a day.
The behaviours described above will be familiar to any importer or exporter trying to manage their currency risk. Avoiding bias can be difficult though. For example, it's easy to think we're smart when a currency call goes right (overconfidence). Equally, it's easy to jump on the bandwagon when the currency moves sharply – to overhedge after a sharp fall, or to neglect to take cover after a sharp rise.
Furthermore, during times of domestic political turmoil, it's easy to overestimate the role of local affairs in setting the value of the rand, when it's really global market sentiment towards emerging markets that is determining the rand/US dollar exchange rate (availability heuristic).
Four ways to manage our biases
Understanding behavioural biases is all well and good, but how can we recognise when we are falling into the trap and – by avoiding the traps – make better, more profitable decisions?
One thing we can do is to develop a strategy for recognising biases when they occur and setting out a game plan for managing them. We would recommend that a behavioural strategy should be part of the corporate treasurer or CFO's toolkit. While the strategy should be designed around your business needs, they should entail the following:
Have a specific strategy in place for your foreign exchange risk management. Develop a decision-making matrix out of this that also takes into account "fat tail" events (low likelihood but high impact events).
Conduct regular critical and honest analyses of past hedging decisions, including (especially!) the ones that worked. This will help to discern luck from skill.
Try to assign clear probabilities and timeframes to forecasts. There is no such thing as a perfect hedging decision, but you can learn to distinguish the 60/40 situations from the 40/60 ones. Clear timeframes will also help avoid loss aversion.
Familiarise yourself with a list of cognitive biases and think of how these can affect your decision making.
READ MORE: Investing? Avoid these five cognitive biases
The information contained in this communication does not constitute an offer, advertisement or solicitation for investment, financial or banking services. It is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, and tax, legal or regulatory advice.
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Places → Places of Worship → Pinkas Synagogue
Pinkas Synagogue is another of Prague's Jewish Town sights and is the second oldest preserved synagogue in Prague. It stands in close proximity to the Old Jewish Cemetery, close to the Old Town Square. In 1535 it was built by one of the important members of the Jewish community in Prague – by Aharon Meshulam Horowitz, but was named after his grandson, Rabbi Pinkas Horowitz. It was originally closed to the public and served as the family's private oratory. Nevertheless, a ritual bath, called mikveh, was set up next to it. At present, in the Pinkas Synagogue, there is a memorial of almost 80,000 Czech and Moravian Jews who have been victims of the Holocaust. Its authors are painters Václav Boštík and Jiří John. The main walls of the synagogue and the adjoining areas are covered by hand-crafted names of the victims, sorted by their last residence before the deportation or arrest. In addition to the names of the victims, all the walls of the interior bear the date of birth and death. However, the actual date of death is unknown in most cases and is therefore replaced by the date of deportation to ghettos or extermination camps. After the Soviet invasion in 1968, the monument was closed for more than 20 years. It was fully renovated and opened only in 1995.
Address: Siroka 3, Prague 1
Staroměstská bus stop, tram stop, metro station (green line)
Pinkas Synagogue is part of two guided tours: Jewish Museum in Prague and Prague Jewish Town. Up-to-date information on admission and opening hours to Pinkas Synagogue is available on the official website www.jewishmuseum.cz. It is not possible to buy a ticket only to the Pinkas Synagogue.
Interesting facts about Pinkas Synagogue
The text for the memorial in the Pinkas Synagogue was compiled from a filing cabinet; it was written shortly after the war from preserved transport documents, registration lists and testimonies of the survivors. On the sides of the Torah box, there are the names of some ghettos and camps to which Czech and Moravian Jews were deported and where most of them were exterminated.


Warner singer-guitarist-songwriter Carl Beverly will headline the Andover Coffeehouse on Friday, April 19.
Because a family emergency is preventing the previously scheduled featured performers from appearing at the Friday, April 19, Andover Community Coffeehouse, Warner singer-guitarist-songwriter Carl Beverly will instead receive top billing for the evening. He will be joined onstage by his wife Carolyn.
Also appearing onstage will be up to a dozen open-microphone performers, whose contributions in previous months have ranged from the spoken word to show-business, jazz, folk, bluegrass, and country-and-western tunes.
Doors to the Grange Hall open at 6 PM for food purchases offered by the Andover Community Church, and for open-mic sign-ins on a first-come, first-serve basis.
The performance will begin at 7 PM in the Highland Lake Grange Hall, 7 Chase Hill Road in East Andover. Admission is free, although donations — which are shared with the performers and the Andover Community Church, owner of the Grange Hall — are gratefully accepted.
Sponsors for the April concert are two "Friends of the Andover Community Coffeehouse" who wish to remain anonymous. Sponsorship funds help support the ongoing renovation of the Grange Hall.


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Expose your kids to great music at a free film screening of "What is Sonata Form?" (originally aired on CBS in 1964).
All youth who attend will be entered into a drawing to win movie vouchers, Tucson Symphony Orchestra passes, gift certificates, and CD recordings.
All children under the age of 12 will receive a voucher for FREE ice cream!
NOTES: The screening will entertain kids ages 6 and up, but the whole family is welcome to come out.