thank you , mr . jackson , ladies and gentlemen , colleagues , friends . the subject of my talk is international relations in a morgen world . i plan to say a few words about the current situation in the middle east and how it affects world economy . i'd like to give you an overview of the way that the economies of seemingly unrelated countries are intertwined . i've divided my talk into three parts , first an overview of international relations , second a discussion of current political situations , and lastly trends for the future . my presentation will take about two hours , but there will be a twenty-minute break in the middle . we'll stop for lunch at 12 .