 black swann siddhaamtaanni yavaru abhivruddhi chesar ?
 black hansa siddhaantam ledha black hansa sanghatanala siddhaantam anede ascharyam kaliginchae sanghatananu vivarimchae ooka rupakam ,  idi ooka pradhaana prabhavanni kaligi umtumdi mariyu vasthavanni anusarinchi prayojanamtho tarachugaa asambaddhamgaa hetubaddham cheyabaduthundhi .  yea padm nalla hamsalu unikilo laevani bhavinchee puraathana saametapai aadhaarapadindi  -  aastreeliyaaloo avi kanugonabadina tarwata veroka paataanni bodhinchadaniki yea sametha punarnirvachinchabadinda .

 yea siddhaamtaanni nassim nicolaus taleb  2001  nundi vivarinchadaaniki abhivruddhi chesar :

1.  charithra ,  science ,  finances mariyu technologylo sadarana anchanala paridhiki minchina unnanatha - profile ,  oohinchadam kastham mariyu arudaina sanghatanala yokka asamana patra .
2.  shaastreeya paddhatulanu upayoginchi paryavasanamga arudaina sanghatanala sambhaavyata yokka naane - computability  ( chinna sambhaavyata yokka swabhavam kaaranamgaa ).
3.  vyaktigatamgaa mariyu samishtigaa ,  anischitiki mariyu chaarithraka vyavahaaraalalo arudaina sanghatanala gananiyamaina paathraku andhudini chese manasika pakshapaataalu .

 taleb yokka  " black hansa siddhaantam "  anede oohinchani sanghatanalu mariyu parinaamaalu mariyu charithraloo vaari aadhipathya paathranu Bara suchisthundi .  ituvante sanghatanalu ,  vipareethamaina avut ‌ liayar ‌ luga pariganhinchabadataayi ,  sadarana sanghatanala kante samishtigaa chaaala peddha paatralanu pooshistaai .  marinta saanketikamgaa ,  scientiphic monograph  " silent risky " loo ,  taleb ganitasaastraparamgaa black hansa samasyanu  " ksheeninchina metaprabability upyogam nundi udbhavinchindi "  ani nirvahinchadu .
 black swann thearini nassim nicolaus taleb  2001 loo abhivruddhi chesar .