By comparing the all-cause mortality of 29 OECD countries from 2016 to 2020, an international research team led by Oxford University scientists determined that the COVID-19 pandemic last year caused 970,000 excess deaths. However, in New Zealand, the death toll was 2,500 fewer than expected.
As of today, Thursday, May 20, based on an interactive map developed by scientists at Johns Hopkins University Pandemic of Coronavirus disease It claimed the lives of more than 3.4 million people, of which 124,000 were killed in our country. This is the number of “official” victims closely related to the victims.infection give Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, But experts believe that this is an underestimation of the actual figure.For these death toll All indirect hazards caused by the pandemic must also be added, for example related to the destruction of infectious diseases.health care (Many have been postponed Diagnostic test Fundamentally) or the fear of infection in the hospital and delays in life-saving care. It can be said that the number of deaths from heart attacks has tripled, mainly because he waited too long to seek help.Therefore, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a real massacre and will continue to cause victims in the near future until Global vaccination campaign It cannot guarantee a breakthrough.Determine how many lives can actually be saved without proliferation Pandemic pathogen This is not a simple calculation, but an international research team has elaborated on it by analyzing data from 29 high-income countries. These countries areOECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development).
The survey was led by a British scientist from the Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Nuffield, who worked closely with colleagues from the Max Planck Institute for Demography (Germany) and Moscow State Research University (Russia). “Harvard University School of Public Health, Boston Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Department of Physiology, Pathology and Transplantation, University of Milan, and other research centers. To determine the impact of the pandemic, epidemiologist Nazrul Islam (Nazrul Islam) led researchers to compare mortality rate (For all reasons) 2016 with 2020 year Please note the following factors for the fluctuations observed since the pathogen began to spread: age E gender. It is estimated that the coronavirus has already occurred in 29 countries related to the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus. 970,000 deaths Exceeded the expectations of the statistical model.
“Except for New Zealand, Norway and Denmark, all countries will have too many deaths in 2020”,Learning summary.If the mortality rates in the two Nordic countries remain the same as in previous years, then for New Zealand A kind 2,500 units down Compared with the expected number. how can that be?According to experts, this is due to Quick close The situation in the island countries at the beginning of the pandemic Public health measures Introduction to prevent the risk of infection will reduce the incidence of other potentially fatal diseases (e.g.influenza with pneumonia). “New Zealand is the only country with lower than expected mortality rates for men and women of all ages and no gender differences in ultra-high mortality rates, which may be attributable to the strategy. The authors of the survey wrote.
Going back to countries with too many deaths, the countries that will pay the highest price by 2020 are United States, With 458,000 deaths, followed by Italy (89,100), England and Wales (85,400), Spain (84,100) and Poland (60,100).In general, they lost more lives people that female. For the former, Lithuania (285) has the highest excess death rate per 100,000 population, followed by Poland (191), Spain (179), Hungary (174) and Italy (168). As for women, Lithuania (210), Spain (180), Hungary (169), Slovenia (158) and Belgium (151) have the highest proportions. When the impact of indirect causes (such as those already mentioned) becomes clear, the actual cost of the COVID-19 pandemic in human life may only be known for a few years. Delayed diagnosis (For example, for tumor pathology), but also Locking rigidity,leads to Frustrated, Abuse of alcohol And a generally unhealthy lifestyle. The details of the study”Too many deaths related to the covid-19 pandemic in 2020: a time series analysis by age and sex in 29 high-income countries“Published in the “British Medical Journal”.