It’s getting colder, not warmer..Scotland has coldest winter in 100 years
Although many scientists are warning of human-promoted climate change, PeterFoster believes otherwise.
Over the past few months, theOtago Daily Times has published many articles from Gwynne Dyer and others warning of mass extinctions, ice shelf break-ups and, of course, the iconic polar bears who are going to snuff it in the near future. All because we naughty humans have filled the air with carbon dioxide that will warm the planet and destroy the ice floes etc etc.
The truth for the polar bears is that they have survived much warmer times than now and their numbers have increased five-fold since shooting them became illegal.
The doom and gloom espoused by Mr Dyer, the World Wildlife Fund, Greens and others stem from two sources. The first is the hockey-stick graphs used by the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) and the second is from computer modelling of climate.
The hockey-stick graphs are those showing 1000 years of slightly cooling temperatures followed by a sharp upswing in the past 150 years. These graphs have now been thoroughly discredited despite the authors’ attempts to hide their data. It was a story of appalling statistical methodology, cherry-picked data and deliberate falsification. The aim of the scientists involved was to make out that the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and Little Ice Age were local North European events. It was impossible for them to blame the 1976-97 warming on CO2 if the MWP was warmer than now and global. Data collected from around the world, including excellent ice-core data from the Antarctic, show that these climatic events were indeed global.
A major problem with the climate debate is the failure to look at historic values of temperature and CO2. For example, warmists will say, “Look, CO2 is the highest for 20 million years”, which is true, but in the past 600 million years, during which higher life forms evolved, it has been above the present level of 400ppm for some 84% of the time and above 1000ppm for nearly 75% of that time. In fact, the only other time CO2 reached levels as low as the preindustrial levels was about 300 million years ago and that episode ended with the Permian mass extinction.
With respect to temperature, the normal state is about 5degC warmer than now with no polar ice caps. Ice ages occur every 148 million years and last 16 to 50 million years. The four ice ages in total have existed less than 17% of the past 600 million years.
Interglacials are warm periods that occur every 100,000 years within the ice ages and last for 12,000 to 20,000 years.
We are near the end of an interglacial whose temperatures are about halfway between ice age and normal.
The GISP ice-core data from Greenland shows that every warm period over the past 3500 years has been cooler than the preceding warm period and the Little Ice Age 300 years ago was the coldest for more than 8000 years. Clearly, we are heading back into ice age conditions.
SCOTLAND has failed to meet its greenhouse gas emissions target for 2010 as a result of the country facing it’s coldest winter in almost a century.
Scottish Government statistics show a 1.9% increase in emissions in 2010 on the previous year, which has been blamed on the extreme winter weather.
The figure means the statutory target set out under the Climate Change (Scotland) Act to reduce emissions year-on-year has not been achieved.
The Government said the long-term trend still showed a reduction in emissions, down 24.3% since 1990, while provisional figures from the UK Department for Energy and Climate Change indicate that emissions fell 7% in 2011.
Environment minister Stewart Stevenson said: “The Scottish Government remains fully committed to delivering ambitious and world-leading climate change targets.
“We always knew it would be a challenging path to follow when these were set and that year-to-year fluctuations were inevitable.
“It is therefore no surprise that domestic heating emissions rose as a result of the extreme weather.
“Scotland faced its coldest winter temperatures in almost a century – and quite rightly people across Scotland needed to heat their homes to keep warm and safe.
“The longer-term trend reveals Scottish greenhouse gas emissions have fallen by around a quarter since 1990, signalling we are still on track to achieve the 2020 target.
“While the 2010 weather was exceptional, this early experience highlights the need to not just plan to meet the targets, but to build in some contingency as well.
“We remain fully committed to delivering our climate change targets and I am confident that the underlying trend remains downward.”
for every link i get sent telling me the drought in the usa confirms warming i have one to show you its getting colder..nil all draw..