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In 2010, the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) selected five pilot teams from across the country to test a climate change vulnerability assessment model. This conceptual model guided transportation agencies through the process of collecting and integrating climate and asset data in order to identify critical vulnerabilities. During this year-long pilot program, the pilot teams formed a community of practice, exchanged ideas, presented draft results, and participated in a series of webinars and peer exchanges. FHWA used the feedback and lessons learned from the pilot projects to revise the draft conceptual model into the Climate Change & Extreme Weather Vulnerability Assessment Framework. The framework is available on the FHWA website.
The Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) believes that understanding future conditions is essential to its mission of keeping people and business moving. In keeping with this spirit, one of the agency's strategic goals is to "identify WSDOT facilities vulnerable to the effects of climate change and to evaluate and identify possible strategies to reduce risk." As part of the FHWA pilot program, WSDOT developed a structured, stakeholder-based approach to qualitatively assess facility risk. The project team held 14 workshops in all regions of the state in which WSDOT staff rated all state-owned highways and other transportation assets for climate vulnerability. This focus on a simple, inexpensive, and replicable assessment process is one of the reasons why WSDOT's approach is an attractive model for other state Departments of Transportation.
All WSDOT-owned and -managed assets across all six WSDOT regions in Washington state, including:
Rock scaling and slope stabilization on US 12 White Pass vicinity to reduce the potential for future rockslides. Photo courtesy of WSDOT.
Box culvert in place replaced a small culvert on SR 542, improving drainage and fish passage. Photo courtesy of WSDOT.
Drilled shafts support new bridge at Gold Creek on I-90, improving resistance to high-velocity flooding. Photo courtesy of WSDOT.
WSDOT conducted the vulnerability assessment using a qualitative, climate scenario planning approach. The project team facilitated workshops across the state, during which participants used asset maps, climate scenarios, and their local knowledge to assess vulnerability.
Compile asset inventory. To help workshop participants identify assets that may be exposed to climate change, WSDOT compiled an asset inventory and mapped asset locations. During this process, the project team collected data from multiple data sources that varied widely in level of detail and completeness. Integrating data from disparate sources (such as asset and maintenance management systems) proved to be an unexpected challenge for the project team.
Collect climate data. A series of state laws passed since 2007 encourages state agencies to develop integrated climate response strategies that rely on climate data produced by the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group (CIG).In addition, CIG made technical expertise and data available to WSDOT for use in the pilot. This close partnership allowed the agency to draw heavily on in-state expertise and existing data sources. The project team included a presentation from CIG staff in the workshop orientation video to provide a consistent summary of the climate projections.
The Department also used CIG data to produce impact maps illustrating sea level rise, temperature change, precipitation, wind, and fire threats to WSDOT infrastructure. These maps effectively communicated historical trends and projections to workshop participants.
WSDOT identified climate scenarios that considered 2-, 4-, and 6-foot sea level rise; shifts in the timing and type of precipitation; temperature extremes; increased severe storms; and wildfires.
University of Washington's Climate Impacts Group (CIG)
WSDOT's State Highway Log
WSDOT's Bridge Engineering Information System
Organize vulnerability assessment workshops. WSDOT's qualitative vulnerability assessment relied on fourteen structured workshops that collected and mapped institutional knowledge about vulnerability. The total number of workshop participants exceeded 200, including maintenance staff; regional office staff; and state ferry, aviation, and rail system managers.
At the start of each workshop, the project team presented a video about climate impacts on infrastructure, the CIG climate change scenarios, and impact maps. A GIS Specialist was on hand to overlay detailed asset inventories with climate impact data. Workshop participants then used a qualitative scoring system to assess roadway segments (or other assets) for criticality and to rate the effect that projected changes in climate would have on WSDOT infrastructure.
WSDOT's workshop approach was highly successful at building relationships within the agency and eliciting institutional knowledge on climate vulnerabilities. One of WSDOT's best practices was asking participants, "what keeps you up at night?" This question helped participants quickly identify major existing concerns or issues, and led to the next question: "what happens if the climate-related conditions get worse?"
WSDOT synthesized the results from each workshop by producing a series of maps for each region showing the vulnerability ratings for road segments, airports, ferries, and rail lines.
Capturing Local Knowledge and Insights
The workshop process enabled WSDOT to capture the expertise of people who had the best local knowledge about how each asset is used and what climate-related issues currently exist. The workshops brought together:
Figure 1: Impact-Asset Criticality Matrix or "Heat Sheet"
Establish vulnerability assessment methodology. WSDOT's vulnerability assessment considered two factors: asset criticality and the potential impacts of the CIG climate change scenarios. The project team used a 1 to 10 rating scale to articulate the relative criticality and impact for each asset. Workshop participants scored criticality based on the asset's character, its general function, and use. Similarly, participants defined climate impacts based on the anticipated impact of a given climate scenario on a specific asset. The impact-asset criticality matrix in Figure 1 is a visual representation of the relationship between these two factors.
Areas of resilience. The vulnerability assessment found that most WSDOT assets are resilient to climate change impacts. Many "no-regrets" improvements made for other reasons have bolstered infrastructure resilience to extreme weather events. For example, seismic retrofits may boost a bridge's ability to withstand strong winds, and fish passage improvements widen or replace culverts and may reduce exposure to flooding.
Areas of vulnerability. The assessment found that climate change will exacerbate existing conditions such as unstable slopes, flooding, and coastal erosion. Furthermore, areas where climate-related impacts are anticipated are already experiencing problems.
The vulnerability ratings gathered from the workshops were mapped for all modes across the state. In WSDOT's vulnerability map (Figure 2), red denotes roads where one or two areas along that segment are vulnerable to catastrophic failure as a result of climate change impacts; yellow denotes roads that that are vulnerable to temporary operational failures at one or more locations; and green indicates roads that may experience reduced capacity somewhere along the segment. Generally, areas rated with high impact to climate change effects are:
Figure 2: Statewide Climate Vulnerabilities
Utilize existing resources and information. Effective use of resources can leverage limited project funds.
Integrate institutional knowledge. The workshop format was an appropriate method for assessing regional vulnerability, particularly because the analysis was qualitative rather than quantitative.
WSDOT actions and recommendations. WSDOT is integrating the results of its vulnerability assessment into many areas of transportation decision making, including planning, environmental review, design, and asset management. For example:
Contribution to statewide adaptation efforts. The findings from the pilot project informed a series of statewide and sector-wide recommendations for identifying vulnerable infrastructure in the Washington State Integrated Climate Change Response Strategy, published in May 2012.
Carol Lee Roalkvam, Manager, Policy Branch
Environmental Services Management Team
Washington State Department of Transportation
Sustainable Transport and Climate Change Team
Federal Highway Administration
Rebecca.Lupes@dot.gov, (202) 366-7808