No amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me wrong. Albert Einstein
If a scientist came up with a new law that said this works 20% or 50% of the time, they’d never get away with it.
Or a mathematician that said this equation or constant is true occasionally or sometimes? Again, they’d never get away with it.
So why do psychologists, therapists, social scientists, weight loss experts get away with saying this explains behaviour for 5% or 20% or 30% of people?
Science and mathematics seems to operate within the world of cause : effect. Psychology seems to operate in the world of correlation. Like noticing deck chairs on a ship moving and coming up with all manner of theories to stop them moving around. Rather than notice that the ship is rolling over the waves.
Would you get on a plane where the pilot came over the intercom just before take-off and said ‘these wings have a 30% chance of us taking off by the time we hit the end of the runway’? Probably not.
Stop seeing correlations between behaviour and environment or circumstances as cause and effect. Look for the cause behind that that explains all of that effect. And if you can’t explain it 100% of the time, then it’s a correlation. For if it’s true, it’s true 100% of the time. Point yourself in a simpler direction and you’ll find the answer.