Semantic Traps: Money, Income, and Wealth Income is what you earn from working plus what you receive in interest and dividends, a flowper unit of time. Saving is that part of after-tax income that is not spent. It is also a flow. [S = Y – T – C] Savingsis sometimes used as a synonym for wealth Financial wealth, or simply wealth, is the value of all your financial assets minus all your financial liabilities. Financial wealth is a stock variable. Your money holdings are part of your financial wealth. Investment is a term reserved for the purchase of new capital goods, from machines to plants to office buildings. The purchase of shares or other financial assets is financial investment.
The Demand for Money • Money, which you can use for transactions, pays no interest. There are two types of money: currency(coins and bills) and checkable deposits, the bank deposits on which you can write checks. • Bonds pay a positive interest rate, i, and other financial assets earn a return…but they cannot be used for transactions. The proportions of money and bonds you wish to hold depend mainly on two variables: Your level of transactions and The interest rate on bonds. Money market funds pool together the funds of many people. The funds are then used to buy bonds—typically short-term government bonds and commercial paper. The demand for money, M d , is equal to nominal income, $Y, times a function of the interest rate, i, with the function denoted by L(i ). The demand for money: • increases in proportion to nominal income ($Y) • depends negatively on the interest rate, i
Who Holds U.S. Currency? According to household surveys, in 2006, the average U.S. household held $1,600 in currency. If multiplied by the number of households in the U.S. the total would come to around $170 billion. However, the Federal Reserve Board knows the amount of currency in circulation was much higher, $750 billion. Clearly some currency was held by firms rather than by households. And some was held by those involved in the underground economy or in illegal activities. However, this leaves 66% of the total unaccounted for. The balance of which is abroad and held by foreigners. The fact that foreigners hold such a high proportion of the dollar bills in circulation has two main macroeconomic implications. First, the rest of the world, by being willing to hold U.S. currency, is making in effect an interest-free loan to the United States of $500 billion exorbitant privilege Second, while we shall think of money demand as being determined by the interest rate and the level of transactions in the country, it is clear that U.S. money demand also depends on other factors.
Deriving the Demand for Money The Demand for Money For a given level of nominal income, a lower interest rate increases the demand for money. At a given interest rate, an increase in nominal income shifts the demand for money to the right.
Money Demand, Money Supply, and the Equilibrium Interest Rate Equilibrium in financial markets requires that money supply be equal to money demand, or that Ms = Md. Then using this equation, the equilibrium condition is: Money Supply = Money demand This equilibrium relation is called the LM relation.
The Determination of the Interest Rate Money Demand, Money Supply, and the Equilibrium Interest Rate The interest rate must be such that the supply of money (which is independent of the interest rate) is equal to the demand for money (which does depend on the interest rate).
4-2 The Determination of the Interest Rate, i Figure 4 - 3 The Effects of an Increase in Nominal Income on the Interest Rate Money Demand, Money Supply, and the Equilibrium Interest Rate An increase in nominal income leads to an increase in the interest rate.
Money Demand, Money Supply, and the Equilibrium Interest Rate The Effects of an Increase in the Money Supply on the Interest Rate An increase in the supply of money leads to a decrease in the interest rate.
Monetary Policy and Open Market Operations Open market operations • Open-market operations, which take place in the “open market” for bonds, are the standard method central banks use to change the money stock in modern economies. • If the central bank buys bonds from a dealer, this operation is an expansionary open market operation because the central bank increases (expands) the supply of money. • The dealer deposits the CB’s in its bank, increasing its demand deposits …increasing the amount of money in the economy • This also increases the amount of reserves that banks hold allowing a multiple creation of credit and money • When banks lend out their excess reserves, even more money is created. • If the central bank sells bonds to a dealer, this operation is a contractionary open market operation because the central bank decreases (contracts) the supply of money. Buy Ease Sell Tighten When the CB buys bonds, the price of bonds risesthe interest rate on bonds falls i = ($100 – Pb)/Pb
Monetary Policy and Open Market Operations Open market operations The Balance Sheet of the Central Bank and the Effects of an Expansionary Open Market Operation The assets of the central bank are the bonds it holds. The liabilities are the stock of money in the economy. An open market operation in which the central bank buys bonds and issues money increases both assets and liabilities by the same amount. A decision by the central bank to lower the interest rate from i toi ’ is equivalent to increasing the money supply.
The assets of the central bank are the bonds it holds. The liabilities of the central bank are the money it has issued, central bank money. The new feature is that not all of central bank money is held as currency by the public. Some of it is held as reserves by banks. The Balance Sheet of Banks and the Balance Sheet of the Central Bank, Revisited
The Supply and the Demand for Central Bank Money = Currency + Bank Reserves = Currency + Vault Cash + Bank Deposits @ Central Bank • ■ The demand for central bank money is equal to the demand for currency by people plus the demand for reserves by banks. • ■The supply of central bank money is under the direct control of the central bank. • ■ The equilibrium interest rate is such that the demand and the supply for central bank money are equal.
The Supply and the Demand for Central Bank Money Overall money demand is given by The Demand for Money People must decide how much money to hold and they must decide how much of this money to hold in currency and how much to hold in checkable deposits. The demands for currency and checkable deposits are given by: The larger the amount of checkable deposits, the larger the amount of reserves the banks must hold, for both precautionary and regulatory reasons. The demand for central bank money (Hd) is equal to the demand for currency (CUd) plus the demand for reserves (Rd): Hd =c Md + θ(1 – c)Md
The Supply and the Demand for Central Bank Money The Determination of the Interest Rate Equilibrium in the Market for Central Bank Money and the Determination of the Interest Rate The equilibrium interest rate is such that the supply of central bank money is equal to the demand for central bank money.
Alternative Ways of Looking at the Equilibrium 1. The Federal Funds Market and the Federal Funds Rate • The equilibrium condition that the supply and the demand for bank reserves be equal is given by: The federal funds market is a market for bank reserves. In equilibrium, demand (Rd) must equal supply (H-CUd). The interest rate determined in the market is called the federal funds rate. 2. The Supply of Money, the Demand for Money, and the Money Multiplier ■ The overall supply of money is equal to central bank money times the moneymultiplier: Then Supply of money = Demand for money
Key Terms • Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) • income • flow • saving • savings • financial wealth, wealth • stock • investment • financial investment • money • currency • checkable deposits • bonds • money market funds • LM relation • open market operation • expansionary, and contractionary, open market operation • Treasury bill, (T-bill) • financial intermediaries • (bank) reserves • reserve ratio • bank run • federal deposit insurance • narrow banking • central bank money • federal funds market • federal funds rate • money multiplier • high-powered money • monetary base