“Everything has no patterns” (or “there are no laws”) creates a paradox.
If “there are 100% no first order laws”, then it is itself a second order law (the law of no first-order laws), allowing you to use probability theory.
In this sense, probability theory is a second order law: the law of “there are 100% no first order laws”.
In this sense, probability theory is not for a single event, but statistical, for a meta-event: a collection of events.
Using meta-event patterns to predict the next single event, that is induction.
Induction is a kind of risk minimization.
— Me@2012-11-05 12:23:24 PM
2018.12.28 Friday (c) All rights reserved by ACHK