The analysis conducted provides an accurate prediction of winter wheat yield under future climate constraints. The equation uses temperature and precipitation as the two main factors of crop yield. This equation predicted an average annual winter wheat yield of 1,989,994 tones for the time period of 2040-2069. This is within 1% of current production totals. As a result of the similarity in yield, the future economic impact is predicted to remain within 1% of the current total output of $427,785,000. The result of only 1% change is thought to be from the increase in tempature from past to future and a decrease in precipitation.
The economic analysis will inform decision makers of the agriculture sector about the future economic impacts of climate change on Ontario crop exports. The crop yield analysis will inform the Ontario agriculture sector about the impacts of temperature and precipitation variation on crop yields in specific locations. Future improvements will consist of the incorporation of a wider range of climate change impacts other than solely temperature and precipitation as well as applying the model to a wider range of crop types.