Reproduces with exact same assertion failure locally. Test failed 19 times in the last 7 days.

**Build scan:**
https://gradle-enterprise.elastic.co/s/ymg3tiwmh52e6/tests/:server:internalClusterTest/org.elasticsearch.cluster.routing.ShardRoutingRoleIT/testRefreshOfUnpromotableShards

**Reproduction line:**
```
./gradlew ':server:internalClusterTest' --tests "org.elasticsearch.cluster.routing.ShardRoutingRoleIT.testRefreshOfUnpromotableShards" -Dtests.seed=995A25045951017C -Dtests.locale=en-AU -Dtests.timezone=Poland -Druntime.java=17 -Dtests.fips.enabled=true
```

**Applicable branches:**
main

**Reproduces locally?:**
Yes

**Failure history:**
https://gradle-enterprise.elastic.co/scans/tests?tests.container=org.elasticsearch.cluster.routing.ShardRoutingRoleIT&tests.test=testRefreshOfUnpromotableShards

**Failure excerpt:**
```
java.lang.AssertionError: 
Expected: is <9>
     but: was <18>

  at __randomizedtesting.SeedInfo.seed([995A25045951017C:627315331DA21D07]:0)
  at org.hamcrest.MatcherAssert.assertThat(MatcherAssert.java:18)
  at org.junit.Assert.assertThat(Assert.java:956)
  at org.junit.Assert.assertThat(Assert.java:923)
  at org.elasticsearch.cluster.routing.ShardRoutingRoleIT.testRefreshOfUnpromotableShards(ShardRoutingRoleIT.java:624)
  at jdk.internal.reflect.NativeMethodAccessorImpl.invoke0(NativeMethodAccessorImpl.java:-2)
  at jdk.internal.reflect.NativeMethodAccessorImpl.invoke(NativeMethodAccessorImpl.java:77)
  at jdk.internal.reflect.DelegatingMethodAccessorImpl.invoke(DelegatingMethodAccessorImpl.java:43)
  at java.lang.reflect.Method.invoke(Method.java:568)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner.invoke(RandomizedRunner.java:1758)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$8.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:946)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$9.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:982)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$10.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:996)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.TestRuleSetupTeardownChained$1.evaluate(TestRuleSetupTeardownChained.java:48)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.AbstractBeforeAfterRule$1.evaluate(AbstractBeforeAfterRule.java:43)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.TestRuleThreadAndTestName$1.evaluate(TestRuleThreadAndTestName.java:45)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.TestRuleIgnoreAfterMaxFailures$1.evaluate(TestRuleIgnoreAfterMaxFailures.java:60)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.TestRuleMarkFailure$1.evaluate(TestRuleMarkFailure.java:44)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl$StatementRunner.run(ThreadLeakControl.java:390)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl.forkTimeoutingTask(ThreadLeakControl.java:843)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl$3.evaluate(ThreadLeakControl.java:490)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner.runSingleTest(RandomizedRunner.java:955)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$5.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:840)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$6.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:891)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$7.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:902)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.AbstractBeforeAfterRule$1.evaluate(AbstractBeforeAfterRule.java:43)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.TestRuleStoreClassName$1.evaluate(TestRuleStoreClassName.java:38)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.NoShadowingOrOverridesOnMethodsRule$1.evaluate(NoShadowingOrOverridesOnMethodsRule.java:40)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.NoShadowingOrOverridesOnMethodsRule$1.evaluate(NoShadowingOrOverridesOnMethodsRule.java:40)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.TestRuleAssertionsRequired$1.evaluate(TestRuleAssertionsRequired.java:53)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.AbstractBeforeAfterRule$1.evaluate(AbstractBeforeAfterRule.java:43)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.TestRuleMarkFailure$1.evaluate(TestRuleMarkFailure.java:44)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.TestRuleIgnoreAfterMaxFailures$1.evaluate(TestRuleIgnoreAfterMaxFailures.java:60)
  at org.apache.lucene.tests.util.TestRuleIgnoreTestSuites$1.evaluate(TestRuleIgnoreTestSuites.java:47)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl$StatementRunner.run(ThreadLeakControl.java:390)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl.lambda$forkTimeoutingTask$0(ThreadLeakControl.java:850)
  at java.lang.Thread.run(Thread.java:833)

```
server/src/internalClusterTest/java/org/elasticsearch/cluster/routing/ShardRoutingRoleIT.java
if (indexShardRoutingTable.primaryShard().assignedToNode()) {
                return new CancelAllocationCommand(INDEX_NAME, shardId, indexShardRoutingTable.primaryShard().currentNodeId(), true);
            } else {
                assertThat(indexShardRoutingTable.assignedShards(), empty());
                for (int copy = 0; copy < indexShardRoutingTable.size(); copy++) {
                    final var shardRouting = indexShardRoutingTable.shard(copy);
                    assertEquals(
                        shardRouting.role().isPromotableToPrimary()
                            ? UnassignedInfo.Reason.REROUTE_CANCELLED
                            : UnassignedInfo.Reason.UNPROMOTABLE_REPLICA,
                        shardRouting.unassignedInfo().getReason()
                    );
                }
            }
        }
        return null;
    }
    public void testSearchRouting() throws Exception {
        var routingTableWatcher = new RoutingTableWatcher();
        routingTableWatcher.numReplicas = Math.max(1, routingTableWatcher.numReplicas);
        routingTableWatcher.numIndexingCopies = Math.min(routingTableWatcher.numIndexingCopies, routingTableWatcher.numReplicas);
        getMasterNodePlugin().numIndexingCopies = routingTableWatcher.numIndexingCopies;
        internalCluster().ensureAtLeastNumDataNodes(routingTableWatcher.numReplicas + 1);
        installMockTransportVerifications(routingTableWatcher);
        final var masterClusterService = internalCluster().getCurrentMasterNodeInstance(ClusterService.class);
        try {
            
            masterClusterService.addListener(routingTableWatcher);
            createIndex(INDEX_NAME, routingTableWatcher.getIndexSettings());
            indexRandom(randomBoolean(), INDEX_NAME, randomIntBetween(50, 100));